Risk of severe COVID-19 in patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases treated with immunosuppressive therapy in Scotland

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRDs) treated with immunosuppressive drugs.

METHOD

A list of 4633 patients on targeted - biological or targeted synthetic - DMARDs in March 2020 was linked to a case-control study that includes all cases of COVID-19 in Scotland.

RESULTS

By 22 November 2021, 433 of the 4633 patients treated with targeted DMARDS had been diagnosed with COVID-19, of whom 58 had been hospitalized. With all those in the population not on DMARDs as the reference category, the rate ratio for hospitalized COVID-19 associated with DMARD treatment was 2.14 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.02-2.26] in those on conventional synthetic (cs) DMARDs, 2.01 (95% CI 1.38-2.91) in those on tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors as the only targeted agent, and 3.83 (95% CI 2.65-5.56) in those on other targeted DMARDs. Among those on csDMARDs, rate ratios for hospitalized COVID-19 were lowest at 1.66 (95% CI 1.51-1.82) in those on methotrexate and highest at 5.4 (95% CI 4.4-6.7) in those on glucocorticoids at an average dose > 10 mg/day prednisolone equivalent.

CONCLUSION

The risk of hospitalized COVID-19 is elevated in IRD patients treated with immunosuppressive drugs compared with the general population. Of these drugs, methotrexate, hydroxychloroquine, and TNF inhibitors carry the lowest risk. The highest risk is associated with prednisolone. A larger study is needed to estimate reliably the risks associated with each class of targeted DMARD.

Socio-economic status and mortality in people with type 1 diabetes in Scotland 2006-2015: a retrospective cohort study

AIMS

To describe the association between socio-economic status and mortality in a nation-wide cohort of people with type 1 diabetes in Scotland and to compare patterns over time and with the general population.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed using data for people with type 1 diabetes from a population-based register linked to mortality records. Socio-economic status was derived from quintiles of an area-based measure: the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation. Sex-specific directly age-standardized mortality rates for each Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation quintile and rate ratios comparing the most vs least deprived quintile were calculated for two time periods: 2006-2010 and 2011-2015. Data for the population without type 1 diabetes between 2011 and 2015 were available for comparison.

RESULTS

Data for 3802 deaths among 33 547 people with type 1 diabetes were available. The age-standardized mortality rate per 1000 person-years decreased over time (from 2006-2010 to 2011-2015) for men and women with type 1 diabetes: 24.8 to 20.2 and 22.5 to 17.6, respectively. Mortality in populations with and without type 1 diabetes was generally higher for men than women and was inversely associated with socio-economic status. Rate ratios for the most vs least deprived groups increased over time among people with type 1 diabetes (men: 2.49 to 2.81; women: 1.92 to 2.86) and were higher than among populations without type 1 diabetes in 2011-2015 (men: 2.06; women: 1.66).

CONCLUSIONS

Socio-economic deprivation was associated with a steeper mortality gradient in people with type 1 diabetes than in the population without type 1 diabetes in Scotland. Age-standardized mortality has decreased over time but socio-economic inequalities may be increasing.

The cost of prevalent and incident cardiovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland: data from the Scottish Care Information-Diabetes Collaboration

AIM

To compare costs for three groups of people with type 2 diabetes, those at high risk of future cardiovascular disease, those without cardiovascular disease and those with established cardiovascular disease, and to also compare costs incurred by people with type 2 diabetes with an incident cardiovascular disease event with those who remain incident event-free over a 3-year period.

METHODS

Data about people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland were obtained from the Scottish Care Information Diabetes registry. Data linkage was used to retrieve information on healthcare utilization, care home use and deaths. Productivity effects were estimated for those of non-pensionable age. We estimated costs over 12 months (prevalent cardiovascular disease) and 3 years from incident cardiovascular disease event.

RESULTS

Mean annual cost per person with established cardiovascular disease was £6900, £3300 for a person at high risk of future cardiovascular disease, and £2500 for a person without cardiovascular disease and not at high risk. In year 1, the cost of an incident cardiovascular disease event was £16 700 compared with £2100 for people without an incident event. Over 2 years, the cumulative costs were £21 500 and £4200, and by year 3, £25 000 and £5900, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes places a significant financial burden on healthcare and the wider economy. Our results emphasize the financial consequences of cardiovascular disease prevention strategies.

Socio-economic differences in cardiovascular disease risk factor prevalence in people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland: a cross-sectional study

AIM

To describe the association between socio-economic status and prevalence of key cardiovascular risk factors in people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of 264 011 people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland in 2016 identified from the population-based diabetes register. Socio-economic status was defined using quintiles of the area-based Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) with quintile (Q)1 and Q5 used to identify the most- and least-deprived fifths of the population, respectively. Logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, health board, history of cardiovascular disease and duration of diabetes were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for Q1 compared with Q5 for each risk factor.

RESULTS

The mean (sd) age of the study population was 66.7 (12.8) years, 56% were men, 24% were in Q1 and 15% were in Q5. Crude prevalence in Q1/Q5 was 24%/8.8% for smoking, 62%/49% for BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² , 44%/40% for HbA_1c ≥ 58 mmol/mol (7.5%), 31%/31% for systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg, and 24%/25% for total cholesterol ≥ 5 mmol/l, respectively. ORs [95% confidence intervals (CI)] were 3.08 (2.95-3.21) for current smoking, 1.48 (1.44-1.52) for BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² , 1.11 (1.08-1.15) for HbA_1c ≥ 58 mmol/mol (7.5%), 1.03 (1.00-1.06) for SBP ≥ 140 mmHg and 0.87 (0.84-0.90) for total cholesterol ≥ 5 mmol/l.

CONCLUSIONS

Socio-economic deprivation is associated with higher prevalence of smoking, BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² and HbA_1c ≥ 58 mmol/mol (7.5%), and lower prevalence of total cholesterol ≥ 5 mmol/l among people with type 2 diabetes in Scotland. Effective approaches to reducing inequalities are required as well as reducing risk factor prevalence across the whole population.

The effect of DAFNE education, continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion, or both in a population with type 1 diabetes in Scotland

AIM

To investigate the effect of DAFNE and continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion in clinical practice.

METHODS

Within NHS Lothian, continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion started in 2004 and DAFNE education began in 2006. We extracted anonymized data from the national database for all those aged > 18 years with type 1 diabetes having a Dose Adjustment For Normal Eating course or continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion start date (n = 4617).

RESULTS

In total, 956 persons received DAFNE education, and 505 had received an insulin pump, 208 of whom had DAFNE education followed by insulin pump. Mean (SD) HbA_1c before DAFNE education was 68 (15) mmol/mol (8.4% [1.4%]) and 66 (13) mmol/mol (8.2% [1.2%]) before continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion. In the year following DAFNE education, the mean fall in within-person HbA_1c was 3.8 mmol/mol (95% CI 4.0 to 3.4; 0.3% [0.4% to 0.3%]). Those with the poorest control (HbA_1c ≥ 85 mmol/mol [9.9%]) experienced the largest decline (15.7 mmol/mol [1.4%]). Those in the lowest HbA_1c band at initiation (< 53 mmol/mmol [7.0%]) experienced a rise. In the year following continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion initiation there was a mean fall in within-person HbA_1c of 6.6 mmol/mol (6.8 to 6.4; 0.6% [0.6% to 0.6%]). In those with the poorest control (HbA_1c ≥ 85 mmol/mol [9.9%]), the mean fall in HbA_1c was 22.2 mmol/mol (23 to 21; 2.0% [2.1% to 1.9%]). Continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion effectiveness was not different with or without DAFNE education. The effects of both interventions were sustained over 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Both DAFNE education and insulin pump therapy had the greatest effect on HbA_1c in those with higher baseline values. There was little difference to attained HbA_1c when Dose Adjustment For Normal Eating education was introduced before insulin pump therapy.

Cardiovascular disease prevalence and risk factor prevalence in Type 2 diabetes: a contemporary analysis

AIMS

To describe the prevalence of major cardiovascular disease (CVD) and risk factor control in a contemporary population with Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We used data from the national registry in Scotland, Scottish Care Information-Diabetes, linked to hospital admissions. Using descriptive statistics and logistic regression we described associations of risk factors with CVD. CVD was defined based on diagnostic codes in primary or secondary care data for ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease peripheral arterial disease, heart failure, cardiac arrhythmia, hypertensive heart disease and revascularization procedures.

RESULTS

Among 248 400 people with Type 2 diabetes with a median age of 67.5 years (IQR 58.2, 76.1) and median diabetes duration of 7.8 years (3.8, 13.0), 32% had prior CVD (35% of men, 29% of women). Median HbA_1c overall was 55 mmol/mol (7.2%), median SBP was 132 mmHg, median total cholesterol was 4.1 mmol/l and mean BMI was 32 kg/m² _. Overall two-thirds (65% of men, 68% of women) have two or more of the following CVD risk factor thresholds: HbA_1c ≥ 53 mmol/mol (7%), SBP > 130 mmHg or DBP > 80 mmHg, total cholesterol ≥ 5 mmol/l or BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² , or were currently smoking. Overall 84% were taking anti-hypertensives and 75% a statin. Use of metformin was common at 58%, but other diabetes drugs that reduce CVD were rarely used.

CONCLUSIONS

There continues to be a high prevalence of CVD among people with Type 2 diabetes and a high level of unmet need for risk factor control. This implies substantial scope for reducing the excess risk of CVD in diabetes through improved management of known risk factors.

Incident ischaemic stroke and Type 2 diabetes: trends in incidence and case fatality in Scotland 2004-2013

AIM

To describe trends in first ischaemic stroke incidence and case fatality in adults with and without a diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes prior to their ischaemic stroke event in Scotland between 2004 and 2013.

METHODS

Using population-wide hospital admission, death and diabetes datasets, we conducted a retrospective cohort study. Negative binomial and logistic regression models were used to calculate year-specific incidence and case-fatality rates for people with Type 2 diabetes and for people without diabetes.

RESULTS

During 41.0 million person-years of follow-up there were 69 757 ischaemic stroke events. Type 2 diabetes prevalence among patients who experienced ischaemic stroke increased from 13.5% to 20.3% between 2004 and 2013. Stroke incidence rates declined by 2.7% (95% CI 2.4, 3.0) annually for people with and without diabetes [diabetes/year interaction: rate ratio 0.99 (95% CI 0.98, 1.01)]. Type 2 diabetes was associated with an increased risk of ischaemic stroke in men [rate ratio 1.23 (95% CI 1.17, 1.30)] and women [rate ratio 1.41 (95% CI 1.35, 1.48)]. Case-fatality rates were 14.2% and 12.7% in people with Type 2 diabetes and without diabetes, respectively. Case fatality declined by 3.5% (95% CI 2.7, 4.5) annually [diabetes/year interaction: odds ratio 1.01 (95% CI 0.98, 1.02)].

CONCLUSIONS

Ischaemic stroke incidence declined no faster in people with a diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes than in people without diabetes. Increasing prevalence of Type 2 diabetes among stroke patients may mean that declines in case fatality over time will be less marked in the future.

The impact of cardiovascular co-morbidities and duration of diabetes on the association between microvascular function and glycaemic control

BACKGROUND

Good glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) protects the microcirculation. Current guidelines suggest glycaemic targets be relaxed in advanced diabetes. We explored whether disease duration or pre-existing macrovascular complications attenuated the association between hyperglycaemia and microvascular function.

METHODS

743 participants with T2DM (n = 222), cardiovascular disease (CVD = 183), both (n = 177) or neither (controls = 161) from two centres in the UK, underwent standard clinical measures and endothelial dependent (ACh) and independent (SNP) microvascular function assessment using laser Doppler imaging.

RESULTS

People with T2DM and CVD had attenuated ACh and SNP responses compared to controls. This was additive in those with both (ANOVA p < 0.001). In regression models, cardiovascular risk factors accounted for attenuated ACh and SNP responses in CVD, whereas HbA₁c accounted for the effects of T2DM. HbA₁c was associated with ACh and SNP response after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (adjusted standardised beta (β) -0.096, p = <0.008 and -0.135, p < 0.001, respectively). Pre-existing CVD did not modify this association (β -0.099; p = 0.006 and -0.138; p < 0.001, respectively). Duration of diabetes accounted for the association between HbA₁c and ACh (β -0.043; p = 0.3), but not between HbA₁c and SNP (β -0.105; p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In those with T2DM and CVD, good glycaemic control is still associated with better microvascular function, whereas in those with prolonged disease this association is lost. This suggests duration of diabetes may be a better surrogate for "advanced disease" than concomitant CVD, although this requires prospective validation.

Modelling the cost-effectiveness of adopting risk-stratified approaches to extended screening intervals in the national diabetic retinopathy screening programme in Scotland

AIMS

To assess the cost-effectiveness of adopting risk-stratified approaches to extended screening intervals in the national diabetic retinopathy screening programme in Scotland.

METHODS

A continuous-time hidden Markov model was fitted to national longitudinal screening data to derive transition probabilities between observed non-referable and referable retinopathy states. These were incorporated in a decision model simulating progression, costs and visual acuity outcomes for a synthetic cohort with a covariate distribution matching that of the Scottish diabetic screening population. The cost-effectiveness of adopting extended (2-year) screening for groups with no observed retinopathy was then assessed over a 30-year time horizon.

RESULTS

Individuals with a current grade of no retinopathy on two consecutive screening episodes face the lowest risk of progressing to referable disease. For the cohort as a whole, the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained for annual vs. biennial screening ranged from approximately £74 000 (for those with no retinopathy and a prior observed grade of mild or observable background retinopathy) to approximately £232 000 per quality-adjusted life year gained (for those with no retinopathy on two consecutive screening episodes). The corresponding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in the subgroup with Type 1 diabetes were substantially lower; approximately £22 000 to £85 000 per quality-adjusted life year gained, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Biennial screening for individuals with diabetes who have no retinopathy is likely to deliver significant savings for a very small increase in the risk of adverse visual acuity and quality of life outcomes. There is greater uncertainty regarding the long-term cost-effectiveness of adopting biennial screening in younger people with Type 1 diabetes.

A genome-wide association study suggests an association of Chr8p21.3 (GFRA2) with diabetic neuropathic pain

Background

Neuropathic pain, caused by a lesion or a disease affecting the somatosensory system, is one of the most common complications in diabetic patients. The purpose of this study is to identify genetic factors contributing to this type of pain in a general diabetic population.

Method

We accessed the Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research Tayside (GoDARTS) datasets that contain prescription information and monofilament test results for 9439 diabetic patients, among which 6927 diabetic individuals were genotyped by Affymetrix SNP6.0 or Illumina OmniExpress chips. Cases of neuropathic pain were defined as diabetic patients with a prescription history of at least one of five drugs specifically indicated for the treatment of neuropathic pain and in whom monofilament test result was positive for sensory neuropathy in at least one foot. Controls were individuals who did not have a record of receiving any opioid analgesics. Imputation of non‐genotyped SNPs was performed by IMPUTE2, with reference files from 1000 Genomes Phase I datasets.

Results

After data cleaning and relevant exclusions, imputed genotypes of 572 diabetic neuropathic pain cases and 2491 diabetic controls were used in the Fisher's exact test. We identified a cluster in the Chr8p21.3, next to GFRA2 with a lowest p‐value of 1.77 × 10⁻⁷ at rs17428041. The narrow‐sense heritability of this phenotype was 11.00%.

Conclusion

This genome‐wide association study on diabetic neuropathic pain suggests new evidence for the involvement of variants near GFRA2 with the disorder, which needs to be verified in an independent cohort and at the molecular level.

Measures of atherosclerotic burden are associated with clinically manifest cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes: a European cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

There is a need to develop and validate surrogate markers of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in subjects with diabetes. The macrovascular changes associated with diabetes include aggravated atherosclerosis, increased arterial stiffness and endothelial dysfunction. The aim of this study was to determine which of these factors is most strongly associated with clinically manifest cardiovascular events.

METHODS

Vascular changes were measured in a cohort of 458 subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke or lower extremity arterial disease), 527 subjects with T2D but without clinically manifest CVD and 515 subjects without T2D and with or without CVD.

RESULTS

Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and ankle-brachial pressure index were independently associated with the presence of CVD in subjects with T2D, whereas pulse wave velocity and endothelial function provided limited independent additive information. Measurement of IMT in the carotid bulb provided better discrimination of the presence of CVD in subjects with T2D than measurement of IMT in the common carotid artery. The factors most significantly associated with increased carotid IMT in T2D were age, disease duration, systolic blood pressure, impaired renal function and increased arterial stiffness, whereas there were no or weak independent associations with metabolic factors and endothelial dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

Measures of atherosclerotic burden are associated with clinically manifest CVD in subjects with T2D. In addition, vascular changes that are not directly related to known metabolic risk factors are important in the development of both atherosclerosis and CVD in T2D. A better understanding of the mechanisms involved is crucial for enabling better identification of CVD risk in T2D.

End-stage renal disease and survival in people with diabetes: a national database linkage study

BACKGROUND

Increasing prevalence of diabetes worldwide is projected to lead to an increase in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT).

AIM

To provide contemporary estimates of the prevalence of ESRD and requirement for RRT among people with diabetes in a nationwide study and to report associated survival.

METHODS

Data were extracted and linked from three national databases: Scottish Renal Registry, Scottish Care Initiative-Diabetes Collaboration and National Records of Scotland death data. Survival analyses were modelled with Cox regression.

RESULTS

Point prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD)5 in 2008 was 1.63% of 19 414 people with type 1 diabetes (T1DM) compared with 0.58% of 167 871 people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) (odds ratio for DM type 0.97, P = 0.77, on adjustment for duration. Although 83% of those with T1DM and CKD5 and 61% of those with T2DM and CKD5 were receiving RRT, there was no difference when adjusted for age, sex and DM duration (odds ratio for DM type 0.83, P = 0.432). Diabetic nephropathy was the primary renal diagnosis in 91% of people with T1DM and 58% of people with T2DM on RRT. Median survival time from initiation of RRT was 3.84 years (95% CI 2.77, 4.62) in T1DM and 2.16 years (95% CI: 1.92, 2.38) in T2DM.

CONCLUSION

Considerable numbers of patients with diabetes continue to progress to CKD5 and RRT. Almost half of all RRT cases in T2DM are considered to be due to conditions other than diabetic nephropathy. Median survival time for people with diabetes from initiation of RRT remains poor. These prevalence data are important for future resource planning.

Rates of referable eye disease in the Scottish National Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Programme

AIMS

Diabetic retinopathy screening aims to detect people at risk of visual loss due to proliferative diabetic retinopathy, but also refers cases of suspected macular oedema (maculopathy). At the introduction of screening, ophthalmology was concerned that referral rates would be unmanageable. We report yield of referable disease by referral reason for the first 5 years of the programme.

METHODS

We extracted screening results from a nationwide clinical diabetes database to calculate annual referral rates to ophthalmic clinics. We used logistic regression to examine associations between clinical measures and referable disease.

RESULTS

182 397 people underwent ≥ 1successful retinal screening between 2006 and 2010. The yield of referable eye disease was highest in the first 2 years of screening (7.0% and 6.0%) before stabilising at ∼4.3%. The majority of referrals are due to maculopathy with 73% of referrals in 2010 based on a finding of maculopathy.

CONCLUSIONS

The commonest cause for referral is for suspected macular oedema (maculopathy). Referral rates for retinopathy have stabilised, as predicted, at relatively low rates. However, ophthalmology workload continues to rise as new treatment options (ie, monthly intraocular injections) have unexpectedly increased the impact on ophthalmology. A review of the screening referral path for maculopathy may be timely.

Investigation of known estimated glomerular filtration rate loci in patients with type 2 diabetes

AIMS

To replicate the association of genetic variants with estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and albuminuria, which has been found in recent genome-wide studies in patients with Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We evaluated 16 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms for estimated GFR in 3028 patients with Type 2 diabetes sampled from clinics across Tayside, Scotland, UK, who were included in the Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research Tayside (GoDARTs) study. These single nucleotide polymorphisms were tested for their association with estimated GFR at entry to the study, with albuminuria, and with time to stage 3B chronic kidney disease (estimated GFR<45 ml/min/1.73 m(2)). We also stratified the effects on estimated GFR in patients with (n = 2096) and without albuminuria (n = 613).

RESULTS

rs1260326 in GCKR (β=1.30, P = 3.23E-03), rs17319721 in SHROOM3 (β = -1.28, P-value = 3.18E-03) and rs12917707 in UMOD (β = 2.0, P-value = 8.84E-04) were significantly associated with baseline estimated GFR. Analysis of effects on estimated GFR, stratified by albuminuria status, showed that in those without albuminuria (normoalbuminura; n = 613), UMOD had a significantly stronger effect on estimated GFR (β(normo) = 4.03 ± 1.23 vs β(albuminuria) = 1.72 ± 0.76, P = 0.002) compared with those with albuminuria, while GCKR (β(normo) = 0.45 ± 0.89 vs β(albuminuria) = 1.12 ± 0.55, P = 0.08) and SHROOM3 (β(normo) = -0.07 ± 0.89 vs β(albuminuria) = -1.43 ± 0.53, P = 0.003) had a stronger effect on estimated GFR in those with albuminuria. UMOD was also associated with a lower rate of transition to stage 3B chronic kidney disease (hazard ratio = 0.83[0.70, 0.99], P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

The genetic variants that regulate estimated GFR in the general population tend to have similar effects in patients with Type 2 diabetes and in this latter population, it is important to adjust for albuminuria status while investigating the genetic determinants of renal function.

The methylglyoxal-derived AGE tetrahydropyrimidine is increased in plasma of individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus and in atherosclerotic lesions and is associated with sVCAM-1

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Methylglyoxal (MGO) is a major precursor for advanced glycation end-products (AGEs), which are thought to play a role in vascular complications in diabetes. Known MGO-arginine-derived AGEs are 5-hydro-5-methylimidazolone (MG-H1), argpyrimidine and tetrahydropyrimidine (THP). We studied THP in relation to type 1 diabetes, endothelial dysfunction, low-grade inflammation, vascular complications and atherosclerosis.

METHODS

We raised and characterised a monoclonal antibody against MGO-derived THP. We measured plasma THP with a competitive ELISA in two cohort studies: study A (198 individuals with type 1 diabetes and 197 controls); study B (individuals with type 1 diabetes, 175 with normoalbuminuria and 198 with macroalbuminuria [>300 mg/24 h]). We measured plasma markers of endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation, and evaluated the presence of THP and N (ε)-(carboxymethyl)lysine (CML) in atherosclerotic arteries.

RESULTS

THP was higher in individuals with type 1 diabetes than in those without (median [interquartile range] 115.5 U/μl [102.4-133.2] and 109.8 U/μl [91.8-122.3], respectively; p = 0.03). THP was associated with plasma soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 in both study A (standardised β = 0.48 [95% CI 0.38, 0.58]; p < 0.001) and study B (standardised β = 0.31 [95% CI 0.23, 0.40]; p < 0.001), and with secreted phospholipase A2 (standardised β = 0.26 [95% CI 0.17, 0.36]; p < 0.001) in study B. We found no association of THP with micro- or macro-vascular complications. Both THP and CML were detected in atherosclerotic arteries.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our results suggest that MGO-derived THP may reflect endothelial dysfunction among individuals with and without type 1 diabetes, and therefore may potentially play a role in the development of atherosclerosis and vascular disease.

Predicted impact of extending the screening interval for diabetic retinopathy: the Scottish Diabetic Retinopathy Screening programme

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of our study was to identify subgroups of patients attending the Scottish Diabetic Retinopathy Screening (DRS) programme who might safely move from annual to two yearly retinopathy screening.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of screening data from the DRS programme collected between 2005 and 2011 for people aged ≥12 years with type 1 or type 2 diabetes in Scotland. We used hidden Markov models to calculate the probabilities of transitions to referable diabetic retinopathy (referable background or proliferative retinopathy) or referable maculopathy.

RESULTS

The study included 155,114 individuals with no referable diabetic retinopathy or maculopathy at their first DRS examination and with one or more further DRS examinations. There were 11,275 incident cases of referable diabetic eye disease (9,204 referable maculopathy, 2,071 referable background or proliferative retinopathy). The observed transitions to referable background or proliferative retinopathy were lower for people with no visible retinopathy vs mild background retinopathy at their prior examination (respectively, 1.2% vs 8.1% for type 1 diabetes and 0.6% vs 5.1% for type 2 diabetes). The lowest probability for transitioning to referable background or proliferative retinopathy was among people with two consecutive screens showing no visible retinopathy, where the probability was <0.3% for type 1 and <0.2% for type 2 diabetes at 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Transition rates to referable diabetic eye disease were lowest among people with type 2 diabetes and two consecutive screens showing no visible retinopathy. If such people had been offered two yearly screening the DRS service would have needed to screen 40% fewer people in 2009.

Type 2 diabetes, socioeconomic status and risk of cancer in Scotland 2001-2007

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The objective of this study was to use Scottish national data to assess the influence of type 2 diabetes on the risk of cancer at 16 different sites, while specifically investigating the role of confounding by socioeconomic status in the diabetes-cancer relationship.

METHODS

All people in Scotland aged 55-79 years diagnosed with any of the cancers of interest during the period 2001-2007 were identified and classified by the presence/absence of co-morbid type 2 diabetes. The influence of diabetes on cancer risk for each site was assessed via Poisson regression, initially with adjustment for age only, then adjusted for both age and socioeconomic status.

RESULTS

There were 4,285 incident cancers in people with type 2 diabetes. RR for any cancers (adjusted for age only) was 1.11 (95% CI 1.05, 1.17) for men and 1.33 (1.28, 1.40) for women. Corresponding values after additional adjustment for socioeconomic status were 1.10 (1.04, 1.15) and 1.31 (1.25, 1.38), respectively. RRs for individual cancer sites varied markedly.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Socioeconomic status was found to have little influence on the association between type 2 diabetes and cancer.

Insulin resistance in type 1 diabetes: what is 'double diabetes' and what are the risks?

In this review, we explore the concept of 'double diabetes', a combination of type 1 diabetes with features of insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes. After considering whether double diabetes is a useful concept, we discuss potential mechanisms of increased insulin resistance in type 1 diabetes before examining the extent to which double diabetes might increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We then go on to consider the proposal that weight gain from intensive insulin regimens may be associated with increased CV risk factors in some patients with type 1 diabetes, and explore the complex relationships between weight gain, insulin resistance, glycaemic control and CV outcome. Important comparisons and contrasts between type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes are highlighted in terms of hepatic fat, fat partitioning and lipid profile, and how these may differ between type 1 diabetic patients with and without double diabetes. In so doing, we hope this work will stimulate much-needed research in this area and an improvement in clinical practice.

Cause-specific mortality in Scottish patients with colorectal cancer with and without type 2 diabetes (2000-2007)

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The objective of this study was to use Scottish national data to assess the influence of type 2 diabetes on (1) survival (overall and cause-specific) in multiple time intervals after diagnosis of colorectal cancer and (2) cause of death.

METHODS

Data from the Scottish Cancer Registry were linked to data from a population-based national diabetes register. All people in Scotland diagnosed with non-metastatic cancer of the colon or rectum in 2000-2007 were included. The effect of pre-existing type 2 diabetes on survival over four discrete time intervals (<1, 1-2, 3-5 and >5 years) after cancer diagnosis was assessed by Cox regression. Cumulative incidence functions were calculated representing the respective probabilities of death from the competing causes of colorectal cancer, cardiovascular disease, other cancers and any other cause.

RESULTS

Data were available for 19,505 people with colon or rectal cancer (1,957 with pre-existing diabetes). Cause-specific mortality analyses identified a stronger association between diabetes and cardiovascular disease mortality than that between diabetes and cancer mortality. Beyond 5 years after colon cancer diagnosis, diabetes was associated with a detrimental effect on all-cause mortality after adjustment for age, socioeconomic status and cancer stage (HR [95% CI]: 1.57 [1.19, 2.06] in men; 1.84 [1.36, 2.50] in women). For patients with rectal cancer, diabetes was not associated with differential survival in any time interval.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Poorer survival observed for colon cancer associated with type 2 diabetes in Scotland may be explained by higher mortality from causes other than cancer.

Area-based socioeconomic status, type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular mortality in Scotland

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this study was to explore the relationships between type 2 diabetes mellitus, area-based socioeconomic status (SES) and cardiovascular disease mortality in Scotland.

METHODS

We used an area-based measure of SES, Scottish national diabetes register data linked to mortality records, and general population cause-specific mortality data to investigate the relationships between SES, type 2 diabetes and mortality from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CbVD), for 2001-2007. We used negative binomial regression to obtain age-adjusted RRs of mortality (by sex), comparing people with type 2 diabetes with the non-diabetic population.

RESULTS

Among 216,652 people aged 40 years or older with type 2 diabetes (980,687 person-years), there were 10,554 IHD deaths and 4,378 CbVD deaths. Age-standardised mortality increased with increasing deprivation, and was higher among men. IHD mortality RRs were highest among the least deprived quintile and lowest in the most deprived quintile (men: least deprived, RR 1.94 [95% CI 1.61, 2.33]; most deprived, RR 1.46 [95% CI 1.23, 1.74]) and were higher in women than men (women: least deprived, RR 2.84 [95% CI 2.12, 3.80]; most deprived, RR 2.04 [95% CI 1.55, 2.69]). A similar, weaker, pattern was observed for cerebrovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Absolute risk of cardiovascular mortality is higher in people with diabetes than in the non-diabetic population and increases with increasing deprivation. The relative impact of diabetes on cardiovascular mortality differs by SES, and further efforts to reduce cardiovascular risk both in deprived groups and people with diabetes are required. Prevention of diabetes may reduce socioeconomic health inequalities.

Hospitalised hip fracture risk with rosiglitazone and pioglitazone use compared with other glucose-lowering drugs

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Current drug labels for thiazolidinediones (TZDs) warn of increased fractures, predominantly for distal fractures in women. We examined whether exposure to TZDs affects hip fracture in women and men and compared the risk to that found with other drugs used in diabetes.

METHODS

Using a nationwide database of prescriptions, hospital admissions and deaths in those with type 2 diabetes in Scotland we calculated TZD exposure among 206,672 individuals. Discrete-time failure analysis was used to model the effect of cumulative drug exposure on hip fracture during 1999-2008.

RESULTS

There were 176 hip fractures among 37,479 exposed individuals. Hip fracture risk increased with cumulative exposure to TZD: OR per year of exposure 1.18 (95% CI 1.09, 1.28; p = 3 × 10(-5)), adjusted for age, sex and calendar month. Hip fracture increased with cumulative exposure in both men (OR 1.20; 95% CI 1.03, 1.41) and women (OR 1.18; 95% CI 1.07, 1.29) and risks were similar for pioglitazone (OR 1.18) and rosiglitazone (OR 1.16). The association was similar when adjusted for exposure to other drugs for diabetes and for other potential confounders. There was no association of hip fracture with cumulative exposure to sulfonylureas, metformin or insulin in this analysis. The 90-day mortality associated with hip fractures was similar in ever-users of TZD (15%) and in never-users (13%).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Hip fracture is a severe adverse effect with TZDs, affecting both sexes; labels should be changed to warn of this. The excess mortality is at least as much as expected from the reported association of pioglitazone with bladder cancer.

Diabetic retinopathy at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in Scotland

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this study was to examine the prevalence of and risk factors for diabetic retinopathy in people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus, using Scottish national data.

METHODS

We identified individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Scotland between January 2005 and May 2008 using data from the national diabetes database. We calculated the prevalence of retinopathy and ORs for risk factors associated with retinopathy at first screening.

RESULTS

Of the 51,526 people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus identified, 91.4% had been screened by 31 December 2010. The median time to first screening was 315 days (interquartile range [IQR] 111-607 days), but by 2008 the median was 83 days (IQR 51-135 days). The prevalence at first screening of any retinopathy was 19.3%, and for referable retinopathy it was 1.9%. For individuals screened after a year the prevalence of any retinopathy was 20.5% and referable retinopathy was 2.3%. Any retinopathy at screening was associated with male sex (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14, 1.25), HbA(1c) (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.06, 1.08 per 1% [11 mmol/mol] increase), systolic BP (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.05, 1.08 per 10 mmHg increase), time to screening (OR for screening >1 year post diagnosis = 1.12, 95% CI 1.07, 1.17) and obesity (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.82, 0.93) in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

The prevalence of retinopathy at first screening is lower than in previous UK studies, consistent with earlier diagnosis of diabetes. Most newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in Scotland are screened within an acceptable interval and the prevalence of referable disease is low, even in those with delayed screening.

The effect of deprivation and HbA1c on admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis in type 1 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Diabetic ketoacidosis is a potentially life-threatening complication of diabetes and has a strong relationship with HbA(1c). We examined how socioeconomic group affects the likelihood of admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis.

METHODS

The Scottish Care Information - Diabetes Collaboration (SCI-DC), a dynamic national register of all cases of diagnosed diabetes in Scotland, was linked to national data on hospital admissions. We identified 24,750 people with type 1 diabetes between January 2005 and December 2007. We assessed the relationship between HbA(1c) and quintiles of deprivation with hospital admissions for diabetic ketoacidosis in people with type 1 diabetes adjusting for patient characteristics.

RESULTS

We identified 23,479 people with type 1 diabetes who had complete recording of covariates. Deprivation had a substantial effect on odds of admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis (OR 4.51, 95% CI 3.73, 5.46 in the most deprived quintile compared with the least deprived). This effect persisted after the inclusion of HbA(1c) and other risk factors (OR 2.81, 95% CI 2.32, 3.39). Men had a reduced risk of admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.63, 0.79) and those with a history of smoking had increased odds of admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis by a factor of 1.55 (95% CI 1.36, 1.78).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Women, smokers, those with high HbA(1c) and those living in more deprived areas have an increased risk of admission to hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis. The effect of deprivation was present even after inclusion of other risk factors. This work highlights that those in poorer areas of the community with high HbA(1c) represent a group who might be usefully supported to try to reduce hospital admissions.

Do men develop type 2 diabetes at lower body mass indices than women?

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

To describe the associations between age, sex and BMI at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, and test the hypothesis that men are diagnosed with diabetes at lower average BMI than women of similar age.

METHODS

Linear regression was used to estimate and compare the relationship between age and BMI at diagnosis among 51,920 men and 43,137 women included in a population-based diabetes register in Scotland for whom an index BMI measurement was taken within 1 year of diabetes diagnosis. We also examined HbA(1c) values by sex within the same timescale.

RESULTS

Mean BMI closest to date of diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus was 31.83 kg/m(2) (SD 5.13) in men and 33.69 kg/m(2) (SD 6.43) in women. The inverse relationship between age and BMI at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus was significantly steeper in women than in men (slope estimate in men -0.12 kg/m(2) per year [95% CI -0.13, -0.12] women -0.18 kg/m(2) per year [95% CI -0.18, -0.17], p < 0.0001 for formal test of interaction). Mean BMI difference was most marked at younger ages and narrowed with advancing age. However, HbA(1c) levels within 1 year of diagnoses were broadly similar in men and women.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Men are diagnosed with type 2 diabetes at lower BMI than women across the age range. This observation may help explain why type 2 diabetes is more common among middle-aged men in populations of European extraction. Whether the same pattern is also observed in other ethnic groups requires confirmation.

Inpatient costs for people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Scotland: a study from the Scottish Diabetes Research Network Epidemiology Group

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The rising prevalence of diabetes worldwide has increased interest in the cost of diabetes. Inpatient costs for all people with diabetes in Scotland were investigated.

METHODS

The Scottish Care Information-Diabetes Collaboration (SCI-DC), a real-time clinical information system of almost all diagnosed cases of diabetes in Scotland, UK, was linked to data on all hospital admissions for people with diabetes. Inpatient stay costs were estimated using the 2007-2008 Scottish National Tariff. The probability of hospital admission and total annual cost of admissions were estimated in relation to age, sex, type of diabetes, history of vascular admission, HbA(1c), creatinine, body mass index and diabetes duration.

RESULTS

In Scotland during 2005-2007, 24,750 people with type 1 and 195,433 people with type 2 diabetes were identified, accounting for approximately 4.3% of the total Scottish population (5.1 million). The estimated total annual cost of admissions for all people diagnosed with type 1 and type 2 diabetes was £26 million and £275 million, respectively, approximately 12% of the total Scottish inpatient expenditure (£2.4 billion). Sex, increasing age, serum creatinine, previous vascular history and HbA(1c) (the latter differentially in type 1 and type 2) were all associated with likelihood and total annual cost of admission.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Diabetes inpatient expenditure accounted for 12% of the total Scottish inpatient expenditure, whilst people with diabetes account for 4.3% of the population. Of the modifiable risk factors, HbA(1c) was the most important driver of cost in type 1 diabetes.

The use of metformin in type 1 diabetes: a systematic review of efficacy

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

As adding metformin to insulin therapy has been advocated in type 1 diabetes, we conducted a systematic review of published clinical trials and clinical trial databases to assess the effects on HbA(1c), weight, insulin-dose requirement and adverse effects.

METHODS

We constructed evidence tables and fitted a fixed-effects model (inverse variance method) in order to assess heterogeneity between studies and give a crude measure of each overall treatment effect.

RESULTS

Of 197 studies identified, nine involved randomisation with informed consent of patients with type 1 diabetes to metformin (vs placebo or comparator) in either a parallel or crossover design for at least 1 week. We noted marked heterogeneity in study design, drug dose, age of participants and length of follow-up. Metformin was associated with reductions in: (1) insulin-dose requirement (5.7-10.1 U/day in six of seven studies); (2) HbA(1c) (0.6-0.9% in four of seven studies); (3) weight (1.7-6.0 kg in three of six studies); and (4) total cholesterol (0.3-0.41 mmol/l in three of seven studies). Metformin was well tolerated, albeit with a trend towards increased hypoglycaemia. Formal estimates of combined effects from the five trials which reported appropriate data indicated a significant reduction in insulin dose (6.6 U/day, p < 0.001) but no significant reduction in HbA(1c) (absolute reduction 0.11%, p = 0.42). No reported trials included cardiovascular outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Metformin reduces insulin-dose requirement in type 1 diabetes but it is unclear whether this is sustained beyond 1 year and whether there are benefits for cardiovascular and other key clinical outcomes.

Use of insulin glargine and cancer incidence in Scotland: a study from the Scottish Diabetes Research Network Epidemiology Group

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of the present study was to examine whether patients with diabetes in Scotland using insulin glargine have a greater cancer risk than patients using other types of insulin.

METHODS

We used a nationwide diabetes clinical database that covers the majority of the Scottish population with diagnosed diabetes, and examined patients with diabetes who were exposed to any insulin therapy between 1 January 2002 and 31 December 2005. Among these we defined a fixed cohort based on exposure during a 4 month period in 2003 (n = 36,254, in whom 715 cases of cancer occurred) and a cohort of new insulin users across the period (n = 12,852 in whom 381 cancers occurred). Records from these cohorts were linked to cancer registry data up to the end of 2005. We used Cox proportional hazards models for survival analyses.

RESULTS

Those receiving any insulin glargine (n = 3,959) had the same incidence rate for all cancers as those not receiving insulin glargine (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.77-1.36, p = 0.9 in the fixed cohort) The subset of patients using insulin glargine alone (n = 447) had a significantly higher incidence of all cancers than those using other insulins only (n = 32,295) (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.01-2.37, p = 0.045), and those using insulin glargine with other insulins (n = 3,512) had a slightly lower incidence (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.55-1.18, p = 0.26). There were important differences in baseline characteristics between these three groups, although the risk ratios were broadly unaltered on adjustment for these. Overall, there was no increase in breast cancer rates associated with insulin glargine use (HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.79-2.83, though insulin glargine only users had a higher rate than those using non-glargine insulin only (HR 3.39, 95% CI 1.46-7.85, p = 0.004). Among type 2 diabetic incident insulin users, no significant difference between the three groups was observed with respect to all cancer or breast cancer. All the above HRs are adjusted for age, calendar time prior cancer and type of diabetes, as appropriate, and are stratified according to sex.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Overall, insulin glargine use was not associated with an increased risk of all cancers or site-specific cancers in Scotland over a 4 year time frame. Given the overall data, we consider the excess of cases of all cancers and breast cancer in the subgroup of insulin glargine only users to more likely reflect allocation bias rather than an effect of insulin glargine itself.

Risk of myocardial infarction in men and women with type 2 diabetes in the UK: a cohort study using the General Practice Research Database

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Our primary aim was to establish reliable and generalisable estimates of the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) for men and women with type 2 diabetes in the UK compared with people without diabetes. Our secondary aim was to investigate how the MI risk associated with diabetes differs between men and women.

METHODS

A cohort study using the General Practice Research Database (1992-1999) was carried out, selecting 40,727 patients with type 2 diabetes and 194,913 age and sex-matched patients without diabetes. Rates of MI in men and women with and without diabetes were derived, as were hazard ratios for MI adjusted for known risk factors.

RESULTS

The rate of MI in men with type 2 diabetes was 19.74 (95% CI 18.83-20.69) per 1,000 person-years compared with 16.18 (95% CI 15.33-17.08) per 1,000 person-years in women with type 2 diabetes. The overall adjusted relative risk of MI in diabetes versus no diabetes was 2.13 (95% CI 2.01-2.26) in men and 2.95 (95% CI 2.75-3.17) in women and decreased with age in both sexes. Women with type 2 diabetes aged 35 to 54 years were at almost five times the risk of MI compared with women of the same age without diabetes (HR 4.86 [95% CI 2.78-8.51]).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

This study has demonstrated that women with type 2 diabetes are at a much greater relative risk of MI than men even when adjusted for risk factors.

Antibodies to periodontal pathogens and coronary artery calcification in type 1 diabetic and nondiabetic subjects

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine whether serum immunoglobulin G (IgG) levels to Porphyromonas gingivalis and Actinobacillus actinomycetemcomitans are higher in type 1 diabetic patients than in controls and are associated with coronary artery calcification, a measure of atherosclerosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

One-hundred and ninety nine type 1 diabetic patients (mean age 38 +/- 4 years) and 201 age- and gender-matched nondiabetic subjects had coronary artery calcification, as measured by electron beam computed tomography. Serum IgG levels to P. gingivalis W50 and to A. actinomycetemcomitans HK1651 whole cells were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

RESULTS

A similar proportion of diabetic patients (29%) and controls (31%, p = 0.7) had elevated serum IgG to periodontal bacteria, defined as being above the median antibody level for both microorganisms. Elevated antibody levels were associated with higher systolic blood pressure (p = 0.02) and an increased odds of coronary artery calcification in all subjects combined (odds ratio = 1.7, p = 0.047) and in diabetic subjects examined separately (odds ratio = 2.01, p = 0.027). Association of serum IgG levels with coronary artery calcification was independent of social class, lipids and antibody levels to other microorganisms, but not systolic blood pressure (odds ratio = 1.4, p = 0.1 on adjustment for blood pressure). There was no association between serum IgG level and vascular endothelial function.

CONCLUSION

Elevated levels of serum IgG to P. gingivalis and A. actinomycetemcomitans are associated with coronary artery atherosclerosis. This may reflect a direct role for periodontal infection or a role for the host response to infection in coronary atherosclerosis, particularly in patients with type 1 diabetes.

Cost-effectiveness of primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with atorvastatin in type 2 diabetes: results from the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS)

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We estimated the cost-effectiveness of atorvastatin treatment in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes using data from the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS).

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

A total of 2,838 patients, who were aged 40 to 75 years and had type 2 diabetes without a documented history of cardiovascular disease and without elevated LDL-cholesterol, were recruited from 32 centres in the UK and Ireland and randomly allocated to atorvastatin 10 mg daily (n = 1,428) or placebo (n = 1,410). These subjects were followed-up for a median period of 3.9 years. Direct treatment costs and effectiveness were analysed to provide estimates of cost per endpoint-free year over the trial period for alternative definitions of endpoint, and of cost per life-year gained and cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained over a patient's lifetime.

RESULTS

Over the trial period, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was estimated to be 7,608 pounds per year free of any CARDS primary endpoint; the ICER was calculated to be 4,896 pounds per year free of any cardiovascular endpoint and 4,120 pounds per year free of any study endpoint. Over lifetime, the incremental cost per life-year gained was 5,107 pounds and the cost per QALY was 6,471 pounds (costs and benefits both discounted at 3.5%).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with atorvastatin is a cost-effective intervention in patients with type 2 diabetes, with the ICER for this intervention falling within the current acceptance threshold ( 20,000 pounds per QALY) specified by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE).

Risk of stroke in people with type 2 diabetes in the UK: a study using the General Practice Research Database

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Risk estimates for stroke in patients with diabetes vary. We sought to obtain reliable risk estimates for stroke and the association with diabetes, comorbidity and lifestyle in a large cohort of type 2 diabetic patients in the UK.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the General Practice Research Database, we identified all patients who had type 2 diabetes and were aged 35 to 89 years on 1 January 1992. We also identified five comparison subjects without diabetes and of the same age and sex. Hazard ratios (HRs) for stroke between January 1992 and October 1999 were calculated, and the association with age, sex, body mass index, smoking, hypertension, atrial fibrillation and duration of diabetes was investigated.

RESULTS

The absolute rate of stroke was 11.91 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 11.41-12.43) in people with diabetes (n = 41,799) and 5.55 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 5.40-5.70) in the comparison group (n = 202,733). The age-adjusted HR for stroke in type 2 diabetic compared with non-diabetic subjects was 2.19 (95% CI 2.09-2.32) overall, 2.08 (95% CI 1.94-2.24) in men and 2.32 (95% CI 2.16-2.49) in women. The increase in risk attributable to diabetes was highest among young women (HR 8.18; 95% CI 4.31-15.51) and decreased with age. No investigated comorbidity or lifestyle characteristic emerged as a major contributor to risk of stroke.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

This study provides risk estimates for stroke for an unselected population from UK general practice. Patients with type 2 diabetes were at an increased risk of stroke, which decreased with age and was higher in women. Additional risk factors for stroke in type 2 diabetic patients included duration of diabetes, smoking, obesity, atrial fibrillation and hypertension.

Mortality in people with type 2 diabetes in the UK

AIMS

Under-reporting of diabetes on death certificates contributes to the unreliable estimates of mortality as a result of diabetes. The influence of obesity on mortality in Type 2 diabetes is not well documented. We aimed to study mortality from diabetes and the influence of obesity on mortality in Type 2 diabetes in a large cohort selected from the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). Methods A cohort of 44 230 patients aged 35-89 years in 1992 with Type 2 diabetes was identified. A comparison group matched by year of birth and sex with no record of diabetes at any time was identified (219 797). Hazards ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality during the period January 1992 to October 1999 were calculated using the Cox Proportional Hazards Model. The effects of body mass index (BMI), smoking and duration of diabetes on all-cause mortality amongst people with diabetes was assessed (n = 28 725). Results The HR for all-cause mortality in Type 2 diabetes compared with no diabetes was 1.93 (95% CI 1.89-1.97), in men 1.77 (1.72-1.83) and in women 2.13 (2.06-2.20). The HR decreased with increasing age. In the multivariate analysis in diabetes only, the HR for all-cause mortality amongst smokers was 1.50 (1.41-1.61). Using BMI 20-24 kg/m(2) as the reference range, for those with a BMI 35-54 kg/m(2) the HR was 1.43 (1.28-1.59) and for those with a BMI 15-19 kg/m(2) the HR was 1.38 (1.18-1.61).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with Type 2 diabetes have almost double the mortality rate compared with those without. The relative risk decreases with age. In people with Type 2 diabetes, obesity and smoking both contribute to the risk of all-cause mortality, supporting doctrines to stop smoking and lose weight.

All-cause mortality rates in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus compared with a non-diabetic population from the UK general practice research database, 1992-1999

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We compiled up to date estimates of the absolute and relative risk of all-cause mortality in patients with type 1 diabetes in the UK.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We selected patients with type 1 diabetes (n=7,713), and for each of these diabetic subjects five age- and sex-matched control subjects without diabetes (n=38,518) from the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). Baseline was 1 January 1992; subjects were followed until 1999. The GPRD is a large primary-care database containing morbidity and mortality data of a large sample representative of the UK population. Deaths occurring in the follow-up period were identified.

RESULTS

The study comprised 208,178 person-years of follow-up. The prevalence of type 1 diabetes was 2.15/1,000 subjects in 1992 (mean age 33 years, SD 15). Annual mortality rates were 8.0 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 7.2-8.9) in type 1 diabetic subjects compared with 2.4 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 2.2-2.6) in those without diabetes (hazard ratio [HR]=3.7, 95% CI 3.2-4.3). The increased mortality rates in patients with type 1 diabetes were apparent across all age-bands. The HR was higher in women (HR=4.5, 95% CI 3.5-5.6 compared with non-diabetic women) than men (HR=3.3, 95% CI 2.7-4.0), such that the sex difference (p<0.0001) in mortality in the non-diabetic population was abolished (p=0.3) in the type 1 diabetic patients. The predominant cause of death in patients with type 1 diabetes was cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Despite advances in care, UK mortality rates in the past decade continue to be much greater in patients with type 1 diabetes than in those without diabetes.

Rapid emergence of effect of atorvastatin on cardiovascular outcomes in the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS)

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this study was to determine the pattern of the effect of the 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitor atorvastatin on cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes and no prior history of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A post hoc analysis of data from the Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS), a randomised, placebo-controlled trial of 2,838 patients with type 2 diabetes, was performed. Patients received atorvastatin (10 mg daily) or placebo and were evaluated for cardiovascular and other outcomes over a median follow-up period of 3.9 years. Cox proportional hazards modelling was carried out, and the hazard ratios calculated for various times after randomisation to treatment were investigated.

RESULTS

A reduction in the primary endpoint of major CVD events was apparent and statistically significant as soon as 18 months after treatment initiation. The effect of atorvastatin on CHD events was apparent by 6 months, and at 1 year was similar to the 37% relative risk reduction observed at trial closure.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Atorvastatin alters the pathogenesis of CVD rapidly, such that the effect on cardiovascular events is apparent within months of initiation of therapy.

Baseline characteristics in the Collaborative AtoRvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS) in patients with Type 2 diabetes

AIM

To describe baseline characteristics of patients in the Collaborative AtoRvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS), a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of lipid lowering with atorvastatin 10 mg daily for the primary prevention of major cardiovascular events in patients with Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

The main eligibility criteria were Type 2 diabetes, age 40-75 years, no previous history of coronary heart disease, stroke or other major cardiovascular events, a documented history of at least one of retinopathy, micro- or macroalbuminuria, hypertension or current smoking, LDL-cholesterol < or = 4.14 mmol/l and triglycerides < or = 6.78 mmol/l.

RESULTS

Randomization of 2838 persons (909 women) into CARDS was completed in June 2001. At entry, mean age was 62 years, 12% were over 70 years old and median duration of diabetes was 6 years. Median fasting lipid levels were total cholesterol 5.4 mmol/l, LDL-cholesterol 3.1 mmol/l, HDL-cholesterol 1.4 mmol/l and triglyceride 1.7 mmol/l. There was a documented history of retinopathy in 30% of patients, micro/macroalbuminuria in 11% (additionally 17% had micro/macroalbuminuria based on two elevated pretreatment measurements of albumin-creatinine ratios), hypertension in 79% and 23% were current smokers.

CONCLUSION

CARDS will contribute importantly to the evidence for the macrovascular and microvascular benefits of lipid lowering with atorvastatin in patients with Type 2 diabetes. The results are likely to have important implications for the management of patients.

Study of agreement between LDL size as measured by nuclear magnetic resonance and gradient gel electrophoresis

LDL particle size can be measured by gradient gel electrophoresis (GGE) and NMR. The agreement between the two methods has not been extensively evaluated. Therefore, we measured LDL size by NMR and GGE in 324 individuals (152 with type 1 diabetes and 172 controls). The Spearman correlation between both methods was 0.39 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.29, 0.48]. The average difference was 5.38 nm (NMR being smaller), but it increased with increasing LDL size. Less than 50% of people classified as pattern B on GGE were classified as pattern B on NMR (kappa = 0.31; 95% CI = 0.17, 0.45). Agreement was lower for diabetic subjects compared with controls, for women compared with men, and for subjects with triglycerides less than 1.30 mmol/l compared with subjects with triglycerides greater than 1.30 mmol/l. External validation showed that cholesteryl ester transfer rate was related to LDL size on GGE in all subgroups and to LDL size on NMR only in men and nondiabetic subjects. Our findings show that agreement between NMR- and GGE-based LDL size is far from perfect and is not consistent across subgroups of patients. In particular, the two methods should not be assumed to be interchangeable in women and diabetic subjects. Whether NMR or GGE predicts cardiovascular disease risk better has not yet been evaluated.

The effect of atorvastatin on serum lipids, lipoproteins and NMR spectroscopy defined lipoprotein subclasses in type 2 diabetic patients with ischaemic heart disease

The effect of statin therapy on subclasses of LDL, VLDL and HDL lipoproteins is unclear. We compared changes in serum lipids, apolipoproteins and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy measured lipoprotein subclass concentration and average particle size over a minimum 6 months treatment period of atorvastatin 10 mg vs. placebo in 122 men and women. All subjects had type 2 diabetes and a modest dyslipidaemia (mean LDL-cholesterol 3.2 mmol/l and median triglycerides 1.8 mmol/l) and had a previous myocardial infarction. Compared with placebo, atorvastatin therapy was associated with a greater decrease in medium VLDL (median within person change -13.4 vs. -5.9 nmol/l, P<0.001 adjusted for baseline level), small VLDL (median change -17.8 vs. -8.1 nmol/l, P=0.002), large LDL (mean within person change -167.9 vs. -48.6 nmol/l, P<0.001) and medium LDL (median within person change -101.8 vs. -22.3 nmol/l, P=0.017). Atorvastatin therapy was also associated with a greater increase in large HDL than placebo (median change 1.40 vs. 0.80 micromol/l, P=0.02) and there was little change in small HDL so that average HDL particle size increased significantly with atorvastatin (P=0.04). In addition to reducing levels of (enzymatically measured) triglyceride, LDL-cholesterol and apolipoprotein B in diabetic patients, atorvastatin significantly reduces NMR measured medium and small VLDL and large and medium LDL, and increases large HDL.

Trends in hypertension management in Type I diabetes across Europe, 1989/1990 - 1997/1999

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Our aim was to examine the change in the management of hypertension in patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in Europe, between 1989-1990 and 1997-1999.

METHODS

Seven-year changes in hypertension treatment and control (defined as blood pressure <130/85 mmHg) were examined in a large sample of Type I diabetic patients recruited from 26 centres involved in the EURODIAB Prospective Complications Study. Hypertension was defined as a systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure greater than 140 and/or 90 mmHg respectively, and/or use of blood pressure lowering drugs.

RESULTS

Of 1866 Type I diabetic patients, 412 had hypertension at baseline and 631 at follow-up. A greater proportion of hypertensive patients were treated at follow-up (69% vs 40%, p<0.0001), which persisted after adjustment for age or centre. Of those who were treated, a modest increase in the proportion of those controlled for hypertension was found (41% vs 32%, p=0.048), which disappeared after adjustment for age. Among hypertensive patients with albuminuria, the proportions treated also increased, from 35% to 76% ( p<0.0001) in microalbuminuric and 64% to 95% ( p<0.0001) in macroalbuminuric patients. Control of hypertension in albuminuric patients did not change significantly and was below 50%. The use of more than one anti-hypertensive drug increased over a 7-year period, from 19% to 33% ( p<0.0001), and a marked increase was shown in the proportion of those taking an ACE inhibitor (from 57% to 82%, p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

The management of hypertension in Type I diabetic patients across Europe has improved over a 7-year follow-up period. Optimal levels of blood pressure treatment and optimal levels of control have not yet been achieved.

Design of the Collaborative AtoRvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS) in patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

There are few data on the role of lipid lowering in the primary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) in diabetic patients. This paper describes the design of a collaborative clinical trial between Diabetes UK, the NHS Research and Development Directorate and Pfizer UK, that addresses this question.

METHODS

The Collaborative AtoRvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS) is a multicentre, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial of primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in patients with Type 2 diabetes. The primary objective is to investigate whether treatment with the hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitor, atorvastatin, reduces the incidence of major cardiovascular events. At entry patients have at least one other risk factor for CHD in addition to diabetes, namely current smoking, hypertension, retinopathy, or micro- or macroalbuminuria. At randomization patients have been selected for a serum low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol concentration < or = 4.14 mmol/l (160 mg/dl) and triglycerides < or = 6.78 mmol/l (600 mg/dl). Randomization was completed in June 2001. Patients will be followed until 304 primary endpoints have accrued (expected date early 2005). The trial includes 2838 men and women aged 40-75 years. This report describes the design and administration of the study and reviews the evidence to date of the effectiveness of lipid-lowering therapy in Type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

The case for lipid-lowering therapy for the primary prevention of CHD in diabetes has not been demonstrated. CARDS will provide essential information on the extent of any benefits and adverse effects of lipid-lowering therapy in diabetic patients without prior CHD.

Cardiovascular risk factors as determinants of endothelium-dependent and endothelium-independent vascular reactivity in the general population

OBJECTIVES

We examined to what extent the variation in risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) and the Framingham risk score (FRS) explain the variation in vascular reactivity in adults aged 30 to 53 years.

BACKGROUND

The role of risk factors in determining vascular reactivity in the general population has not been quantified.

METHODS

Risk factors for CHD were measured, and the FRS was calculated in 69 healthy volunteers. Lipoprotein particle size was measured using proton-nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Forearm plethysmography was used to assess blood flow responses to acetylcholine (ACh), bradykinin (BK), glyceryl trinitrate (GTN), noradrenaline and N(G)-monomethyl-L-arginine (L-NMMA).

RESULTS

Lower ACh and BK responses were associated with a higher body mass index (BMI), a higher total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol ratio, lower HDL cholesterol and a cigarette smoking habit (all p < 0.05). Higher low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol was also associated with a lower BK response (p = 0.001). A decreased GTN response was associated with a higher BMI and total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio (both p < 0.05). A decreased L-NMMA response was associated with a smoking habit (p < 0.001). Lipoprotein particle sizes did not independently predict any vascular response. A high FRS was associated with a reduced response to ACh (p = 0.07), BK (p = 0.003) and L-NMMA (p = 0.003), and the relationship was stronger in women than in men. Altogether, risk factors explained 13%, 9%, 8% and 15% of the response to ACh, BK, GTN and L-NMMA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Lipids, BMI and smoking are important determinants of vascular reactivity. The FRS is predictive of agonist-stimulated, endothelium-dependent vasodilation and basal NO release. However, much of the variation in the vascular responses to these drugs, at this age, remains unexplained.

Risk factors for renal failure: the WHO Mulinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to examine risk factors for, and differences in, renal failure in diabetic patients from 10 centres.

METHODS

Risk factors for renal failure were examined in 3,558 diabetic patients who did not have renal disease at baseline in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD).

RESULTS

In 959 subjects with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 2,559 with Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, the average follow-up was 8.4 years (+/- 2.7). By the end of the follow-up period 53 patients in the Type I diabetic group and 134 patients in the Type II diabetic group had developed renal failure (incidence rate 6.3:1,000 person years). Increasing age and duration of diabetes were associated with renal failure in Type II and Type I diabetes. In Type II diabetes duration of diabetes was a more important risk factor than age. In both Type I and Type II diabetic retinopathy and proteinuria were strongly associated with renal failure. Systolic blood pressure was associated with renal failure in Type I but not in Type II diabetic patients. ECG abnormalities at baseline, self-reported smoking and cholesterol were not associated with renal failure. Triglycerides were measured in a subset of centres. Among those with Type II, but not Type I diabetes, triglycerides were associated with renal failure independently of systolic blood pressure, proteinuria or retinopathy. In Type II diabetes fasting plasma glucose was associated with renal failure independently of other risk factors.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

We have confirmed the role of proteinuria and retinopathy as markers of renal failure and the importance of hyperglycaemia in renal failure in Type I and Type II diabetes. Plasma triglycerides seem to be an important predictor of renal failure in Type II diabetes. In Type I diabetes systolic blood pressure is an important predictor of renal failure.

The association of heart-rate variability with cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcification: a study in type 1 diabetic patients and the general population

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of heart-rate variability with cardiovascular risk factors and coronary calcification in type 1 diabetic and nondiabetic subjects without a history of cardiovascular disease. Reduced heart-rate variability is associated with increased risk of coronary events. Whether it is associated with coronary atherosclerosis is unknown.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Power spectral analysis was used to define heart-rate variability in a cross-sectional study of 160 type 1 diabetic patients and 163 randomly selected nondiabetic adults from the general population aged 30-55 years. Coronary artery calcification was measured using electron beam-computed tomography.

RESULTS

Reduced heart-rate variability was associated with similar risk factors in the diabetic and nondiabetic subjects, namely higher HbA(1c), triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, BMI, and albumin excretion rate. Reduced heart-rate variability was significantly associated with coronary artery calcification in all subjects (odds ratio per tertile lower total power = 1.5, P = 0.01). This association was not independent of blood pressure or BMI (odds ratio on adjustment = 1.3, P = 0.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Reduced heart-rate variability clusters with other cardiovascular disease risk factors, especially those that are more common in the insulin resistance syndrome, and is associated with increased coronary calcification in asymptomatic young adults. Whether reduced heart-rate variability leads to other risk factor disturbances or mediates the effects of other risk factors on atherosclerosis deserves further study.

Changes in endothelium-dependent vasodilatation and alpha-adrenergic responses in resistance vessels during the menstrual cycle in healthy women

During the menstrual cycle, changes in endothelium-dependent vasodilatation have been demonstrated in conduit vessels in vivo, but responses in resistance vessels have not been studied. The aim of this study was to examine endothelium-dependent vasodilatation, the effects of local nitric oxide synthesis, and alpha-adrenergic constriction in resistance vessels during the menstrual cycle in 15 healthy female volunteers (mean age, 28.07 +/- 2.1 yr). Forearm blood flow in response to intrabrachial infusion of bradykinin (10, 30, and 100 pmol/min; endothelium-dependent vasodilator), glyceryl trinitrate (4, 8, and 16 nmol/min; endothelium-independent vasodilator), noradrenaline (60, 120, and 240 pmol/min; alpha-adrenergic receptor agonist), and N(G)-monomethyl-L-arginine (1, 2, and 4 micromol/min; nitric oxide synthase inhibitor) was assessed by venous occlusion plethysmography. All subjects were studied in early menstrual phase (days 1--4) and midcycle (days 10-13). Vasodilator response to bradykinin, expressed as the within-subject mean difference in the area under the dose-response curve between phases, was significantly increased at midcycle compared with that in the early menstrual phase (486.5 +/- 165.0; P = 0.01), whereas there was no significant difference in response to glyceryl trinitrate (185.8 +/- 239.0; P = 0.45). The vasoconstrictor response to noradrenaline was significantly greater at midcycle (97.1 +/- 39.4; P = 0.027), but the response to N(G)-monomethyl-L-arginine was not significantly different (17.5 +/- 35.2; P = 0.63). Serum estradiol was approximately 3-fold higher at midcycle, with a mean difference of 252.3 +/- 56.0 pmol/L (P = 0.0005). Progesterone concentrations were not significantly different (-0.11 +/- 0.1 nmol/L; P = 0.28). Differences in endogenous estrogen levels between menstrual phases may underlie changes in bradykinin and noradrenaline responses. If exogenous estrogens have similar effects, the balance of these two opposing actions may determine whether estrogen replacement in postmenopausal women has beneficial or harmful effects on the vasculature.

Lipid transfer protein activities in type 1 diabetic patients without renal failure and nondiabetic control subjects and their association with coronary artery calcification

This study examined the role of cholesteryl ester transfer (CET), cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) activity, and phospholipid transfer protein (PLTP) activity in the increased prevalence of coronary artery calcification (CAC) in diabetic subjects compared with nondiabetic subjects and in the loss of the sex difference in CAC in diabetes. CETP activity, PLTP activity, and CET were measured in 195 type 1 diabetic subjects without renal failure and 194 nondiabetic control subjects of similar age (30-55 years) and sex distribution (50% female). CAC was quantified with electron beam computed tomography. CETP activity was higher in diabetic subjects (mean 84 arbitrary units [AU]) than in nondiabetic subjects (80 AU, P = 0.028). PLTP activity was also higher in diabetic subjects (96 AU) than in nondiabetic subjects (81 AU, P < 0.001). However, CET was lower in diabetic men (geometric mean 32 nmol. ml(-1).h(-1)) than nondiabetic men (37 nmol.ml(-1).h(-1), P = 0.004) and did not differ between diabetic (30 nmol. ml(-1).h(-1)) and nondiabetic (32 nmol.ml(-1).h(-1), P = 0.3) women. CETP and PLTP activities were not associated with CAC. CET was positively associated with CAC in both diabetic and nondiabetic subjects (odds ratio per 10 nmol.ml(-1).h(-1) increase in CET in all subjects = 1.4, P = 0.001). The prevalence of CAC was similar in diabetic (51%) and nondiabetic (54%, P = 0.7) men but was much higher in diabetic (47%) than nondiabetic (21%, odds ratio 3.6, P < 0.001) women so that there was no sex difference in CAC in diabetic subjects. The odds of CAC in diabetic women compared with nondiabetic women was altered little by adjustment for CETP activity, PLTP activity, or CET (odds ratio on adjustment 3.7, P < 0.001). The greater effect of diabetes on CAC in women than in men, i.e., the loss of the sex difference in CAC, was independent of CETP and PLTP activity and CET. In conclusion, among both diabetic and nondiabetic subjects, higher cholesteryl ester transfer is a risk factor for CAC. However, abnormalities in cholesteryl ester transfer or lipid transfer protein activities do not underlie the increased CAC risk in diabetic women compared with nondiabetic women or the loss of the sex difference in CAC in diabetes.

The effect of type 1 diabetes mellitus on the gender difference in coronary artery calcification

OBJECTIVES

To examine whether the gender difference in coronary artery calcification, a measure of atherosclerotic plaque burden, is lost in type 1 diabetic patients, and whether abnormalities in established coronary heart disease risk factors explain this.

BACKGROUND

Type 1 diabetes abolishes the gender difference in coronary heart disease mortality because it is associated with a greater elevation of coronary disease risk in women than men. The pathophysiological basis of this is not understood.

METHODS

Coronary artery calcification and coronary risk factors were compared in 199 type 1 diabetic patients and 201 nondiabetic participants of similar age (30 to 55 years) and gender (50% female) distribution. Only one subject had a history of coronary disease. Calcification was measured with electron beam computed tomography.

RESULTS

In nondiabetic participants there was a large gender difference in calcification prevalence (men 54%, women 21%, odds ratio 4.5, p < 0.001), half of which was explained by established risk factors (odds ratio after adjustment = 2.2). Diabetes was associated with a greatly increased prevalence of calcification in women (47%), but not men (52%), so that the gender difference in calcification was lost (p = 0.002 for the greater effect of diabetes on calcification in women than men). On adjustment for risk factors, diabetes remained associated with a threefold higher odds ratio of calcification in women than men (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In type 1 diabetes coronary artery calcification is greatly increased in women and the gender difference in calcification is lost. Little of this is explained by known coronary risk factors.

Differences in HDL-cholesterol:apoA-I + apoA-II ratio and apoE phenotype with albuminuric status in Type I diabetic patients

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

To examine whether the HDL-cholesterol:apoA-I + apoA-II ratio and the epsilon2 allele are related to albuminuria at baseline and whether they are risk factors for progression of albuminuria in a cohort study of patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

At baseline, the study cohort comprised 617 patients, aged 15-60 years, from seven European diabetic centres of the EURODIAB study. Albumin excretion rate, measured in a central laboratory, was categorised as normoalbuminuria at 20 microg/min or less, microalbuminuria between 20 and 200 microg/min or macroalbuminuria at 200 microg/min or over. Of the 250 patients who were normoalbuminuric at baseline and had follow-up albuminuria measurements, 34 patients were defined as early progressors.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean HDL-cholesterol:apoA-I + apoA-II ratio was lower in macroalbuminuric patients (0.79, 95 % CI:0.74-0.83) compared with normoalbuminuric (0.88, 95 % CI:0.87-0.90) patients (p = 0.0002, adjusted for age and sex). At follow-up, 34 patients who progressed from normoalbuminuria to microalbuminuria or macroalbuminuria also had a slightly lower baseline ratio (0.85, 95% CI:0.80-0.89) than those 216 who remained normoalbuminuric (0.89, 95 % CI:0.87-0.92) (adjusted p = 0.08). Neither of these relations were independent of LDL-cholesterol or fasting triglyceride. There was no association of the epsilon2 allele with albuminuria either at baseline (OR = 1.4, 95% CI:0.7-2.8) or with progression of albuminuria (OR = 0.4, 95 % CI:0.1-3.5).

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

There is an inverse relation of HDL-cholesterol:apoA-I + apoA-II ratio with albuminuria at baseline. This lower ratio in microalbuminuric or macroalbuminuric patients could contribute to the increased risk of cardiovascular disease associated with nephropathy. There is weak evidence that HDL-composition is a risk factor for progression of albuminuria and no association of the epsilon2 allele with diabetic nephropathy.