Sex Differences in Blood Pressure Trajectories Over the Life Course

Cumulative blood pressure predicts risk of cardiovascular outcomes in middle-aged and older population

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a major health concern globally, contributing to a considerable disease burden. However, few studies have considered long-term cumulative blood pressure (cBP) exposure in middle-aged and older population in China. The aim of this study was to investigate whether long-term cBP was associated with subsequent cardiovascular outcomes among participants without CVD at baseline in Chinese over 45 years old.

METHODS

6435 participants in China of the CHARLS (The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study) were included. Cumulative BP was calculated as the area under the curve using measurements from wave 1 (2011) to wave 2 (2013). Outcomes included CVD, heart disease and stroke.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 5 years, 1101 CVD events, 826 heart disease, and 351 stroke were recorded. Each 1-SD increase in cumulative systolic blood pressure (cSBP), cumulative diastolic blood pressure (cDBP), and cumulative mean arterial pressure (cMAP) was associated with increased risk of CVD (HR, 1.12; 95%, 1.05-1.20, HR, 1.14; 95%, 1.07-1.22, HR, 1.14; 95%, 1.07-1.22), heart disease (HR, 1.05; 95%, 0.97-1.13, HR, 1.09; 95%, 1.01-1.17, HR, 1.08; 95%, 1.00-1.16) and stroke (HR, 1.35; 95%, 1.21-1.51, HR, 1.31; 95%, 1.17-1.46, HR, 1.36; 95%, 1.22-1.51). The relationship between cBP and CVD has only been found in people younger than 60 years of age. A significant association was observed for cumulative pulse pressure (cPP) with stroke (HR, 1.23; 95%, 1.10-1.38). None nonlinear relationships were identified (p-nonlinear > .05). For the prediction of cardiovascular outcomes, cBP load outperformed baseline BP in terms of C statistics (p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term cSBP, cDBP and cMAP were associated with subsequent CVD and only found in people younger than 60 years of age, whereas cPP was associated with stroke only across all ages. Cumulative BP may provide a better prediction of cardiovascular outcomes compared with single BP measurement. Efforts are required to control long-term BP in assessing cardiovascular risks.

Nocturnal hypertension represents an uncontrolled burden in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUNDAIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Another critical risk factor in these patients is arterial hypertension (AH). Although it is estimated that 50% of MASLD patients are suffering from AH, 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (24-h-ABPM), the gold standard for diagnosing hypertension, is often neglected. However, only 24-h-ABPM can identify hypertension subtypes, particularly nocturnal hypertension (NH), which is a stronger predictor of cardiovascular mortality than daytime or 24-h blood pressure. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of NH in MASLD patients and to identify associated risk factors.

METHODS

To this end, 226 MASLD patients with or without known AH were prospectively recruited in an outpatient liver department and underwent 24-h-ABPM together with repeated office-blood-pressure measurements.

RESULTS

24-h-ABPM datasets from 218 patients were included in the final analysis. NH was observed in 112 patients (51.3%), of whom 54 (48.2%) were receiving antihypertensive treatment (uncontrolled hypertension). Univariable regression analysis showed that age, increased waist-to-hip ratio, a waist-to-height ratio ≥0.5, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), dyslipidemia, a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and increased liver stiffness were significantly associated with a higher risk of NH. In multivariable regression analysis, T2DM [odds ratio (OR) 2.56; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-6.23; P  = 0.033], dyslipidemia (OR 3.30; 95% CI, 1.67-6.73; P  = 0.001) and liver stiffness (OR 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02-1.18; P  = 0.021) were identified as independent risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, particularly MASLD patients with accompanying T2DM, dyslipidemia, and increased liver stiffness should undergo 24-h-ABPM to detect and treat NH, as they are at the highest risk of adverse cardiovascular events.

CLINICAL TRIAL

NCT-04543721.

Cardiovascular and neuroimmune adaptations to enalapril and exercise training: A comparative study in male and ovariectomized female spontaneously hypertensive rats

Antihypertensive drug and exercise training are commonly prescribed to treat arterial hypertension. However, there is a considerable gap in understanding how physiological mechanisms of male and female adapt to the combination of these approaches. Therefore, we focused to investigate sexual differences in cardiovascular, autonomic, inflammation and systemic oxidative stress adaptations in male and OVX female ovariectomized spontaneously hypertensive rats (SHR) treated with enalapril associated with moderate-intensity concurrent exercise training. Enalapril (3 mg/kg, diluted in drinking water) and exercise training (3 days/week, moderate intensity) was carried out for 8 weeks. Blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR) and its variabilities were assessed. Serum and plasma were used for inflammatory and oxidative stress analyses. Enalapril, associated or not with exercise training, induced a reduction in diastolic and mean BP in both sexes; however, only the OVX female groups showed a reduction in systolic BP, as well as resting bradycardia. Both sexes showed improvements in BP and HR variability following the treatments; however, improvement in SD2/SD1 ratio, which indicates how much the heartbeats occur at irregular intervals, and in variance of systolic BP were observed only in trained groups. A higher spontaneous baroreflex sensitivity, as well as reduced IL-6/IL-10 were found only in the trained groups. Increased IL-10 was observed in male trained group (vs. other groups). Finally, combination enalapril and exercise training reduced systemic pro-oxidants such as NADPH oxidase and hydrogen peroxide. The findings of our study showed that OVX female SHR, after ovarian hormone deprivation, presented more pronounced effects on hemodynamics, BP variability, and anti-inflammatory profile than hypertensive males with the combination of treatments.

BACKGROUND

Researchers are investigating how the body responds differently in males and females. These differences are also evident when examining how pharmacological and non-pharmacological approaches help the body control arterial hypertension. This study aimed to investigate how drug medication combined with exercise affects the heart's ability to self-regulate and how it relates to immune and oxidant defense, with a focus on differences in male and ovariectomized (OVX) female adaptations.

METHODS

The study was conducted using hypertensive male and OVX female rats, allocated into: a) sedentary, b) enalapril, or c) enalapril plus exercise groups, totaling six groups (3 males and 3 OVX females, respectively). Enalapril (3 mg/kg/day) and exercise (aerobic and resistance exercises) were prescribed for eight weeks. The effects on blood pressure control, serum, and plasma were assessed.

RESULTS

Although both males and OVX females showed improvements in blood pressure after medication, combined or not with exercise, OVX females had better control of blood pressure and heart rhythm regulation. Furthermore, including an exercise program during medication treatment improved immune defense in OVX females only, as well as the levels of key enzymes involved in the process of organ damage development in both sexes.

CONCLUSION

OVX female rats benefited more from the combination of medication and exercise compared to male rats. This suggests that OVX females may experience additional health benefits from the combination of antihypertensive approaches, highlighting the importance of understanding how exercise impacts the body differently in males and OVX females, which could contribute to better long-term disease management.

Long-term pulse pressure trajectories and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: the Tromsø Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sex-based differences in the association of long-term trends in pulse pressure with future risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) have been explored using data from the population-based Tromsø Study 1986-2016.

METHODS

Women (n = 8331) and men (n = 7638) aged ≥20 years who attended at least two of the three Tromsø Study surveys conducted between 1986 and 2001 (the exposure period) were followed up for incident AF throughout 2016 (the follow-up period). Pulse pressure ≥60 mmHg was considered elevated. Group-based trajectory modelling and Cox regression were used for statistical analyses.

RESULTS

Three long-term trajectory groups for pulse pressure were identified: Group 1 had normal pulse pressure throughout the exposure period, Group 2 had normal pulse pressure at the beginning and elevated pulse pressure at the end of the exposure period, and Group 3 had elevated pulse pressure throughout. Over the follow-up period, 568 (6.8%) women and 798 (10.5%) men developed AF. After adjustment for potential confounders at baseline, the long-term trajectory groups for elevated pulse pressure were associated with increased risk of AF in women, but not in men. In women, the adjusted hazard ratios of AF were 1.60 (95% confidence interval: 1.23, 2.09) for trajectory Group 2 and 2.78 (1.93, 4.02) for trajectory Group 3, compared with Group 1.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term elevated pulse pressure trajectories were independently associated with increased risk of AF in women, but not in men. Our findings call for further investigations to understand the mechanisms behind these sex-based differences.

Influence of estradiol deficiency on the mineralocorticoid receptor response in postmenopausal women: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Premenopausal women (PreM) have a cardioprotective advantage over postmenopausal women (PostM) due to estrogen. The interaction of estrogen with the mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) pathway remains unexplored. This study aimed to identify changes in aldosterone, renin and sexual steroid levels and MR surrogate biomarkers in PostM that may explain changes in blood pressure and renal damage.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was carried out with 47 normotensive and hypertensive Chilean women distributed between PreM and PostM. Clinical, anthropometric and biochemical parameters, including aldosterone, plasma renin activity (PRA) and surrogate markers of MR activity, were assessed.

RESULTS

PostM had greater systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p < 0.001) than PreM. A negative correlation was observed between estradiol and fractional excretion of potassium (FEK) (ρ = -0.29; p = 0.023), adjusted for age and SBP. Compared with hypertensive PreM, hypertensive PostM (PostM-HT) showed reduced PRA (p = 0.045) and greater FEK (p = 0.04). Normotensive PostM (Post-NT) exhibited greater SBP (p = 0.03), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) levels (p = 0.04) and FEK (p = 0.03) than normotensive PreM.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest enhanced MR sensitivity not only in PostM-HT, as evidenced by lower PRA and elevated FEK, but also in PostM-NT, who exhibited greater FEK and NGAL levels, surrogate markers of MR activation. These results support a novel role of MR activation and cardiovascular risk in PostM women.

Roles of sensory receptors in non-sensory organs: the kidney and beyond

Olfactory receptors (ORs), taste receptors and opsins are well-known for their pivotal roles in mediating the senses of smell, taste and sight, respectively. However, in the past two decades, research has shown that these sensory receptors also regulate physiological processes in a variety of non-sensory tissues. Although ORs, taste receptors and opsins have all been shown to have physiological roles beyond their traditional locations, most work in the kidney has focused on ORs. To date, renal ORs have been shown to have roles in blood pressure regulation (OLFR78 and OLFR558) and glucose homeostasis (OLFR1393). However, sensory receptors remain drastically understudied outside of traditional sensory systems, in part because of inherent challenges in studying these receptors. Increased knowledge of the physiological and pathophysiological roles of sensory receptors has the potential to substantially improve understanding of the function of numerous organs and systems, including the kidney. In addition, most sensory receptors are G protein-coupled receptors, which are considered to be the most druggable class of proteins, and thus could potentially be exploited as future therapeutic targets.

Structural and load-dependent arterial stiffness across the adult life span

BACKGROUND

The arterial stiffening is attributed to the intrinsic structural stiffening and/or load-dependent stiffening by increased blood pressure (BP). The respective lifetime alterations and major determinants of the two components with normal aging are not clear.

METHODS

A total of 3053 healthy adults (1922 women) aged 18-79 years were enrolled. The carotid intima-media thickness, diameter, and local BPs were automatically determined by the radio frequency ultrasound system. The Peterson and Young elastic moduli were then calculated to represent total arterial stiffness. Structural stiffness was recalculated at a reference BP of 120/80 mmHg with established models. Load-dependent stiffness was the difference between total and structural stiffness.

RESULTS

Both structural and load-dependent stiffness increased with aging, with much larger changes in the structural components. The age-related increasing rates were higher in women for the structural stiffness than men ( P  < 0.05), but similar for the load-dependent stiffness. The clinical characteristics and arterial stiffness were widely correlated, but most correlations were quite weak ( r  < 0.3) other than BPs. Multiple regression analyses adjusted for sex, age and other clinical correlates showed that structural stiffness increased with pulse pressure (PP) and load-dependent stiffness increased with mean arterial pressure (MAP), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The age-related arterial stiffening is mainly caused by the intrinsic structural stiffening, which demonstrated significant age-sex interaction. BPs were the major clinical determinants of arterial stiffness, with PP and MAP associated with different arterial stiffness components. The differentiation of the structural and load-dependent arterial stiffness should be highlighted for the optimal vascular health management.

Sex-Specific Blood Pressure Trajectories and Cardiovascular Disease in Type 1 Diabetes: 32-Year Follow-up of the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications Cohort

OBJECTIVE

We examined sex differences in longitudinal blood pressure (BP) and 32-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence in the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications type 1 diabetes cohort.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

BP was measured up to nine (median six) times between 1986-1988 baseline and 2016-2018; n = 300 women and 304 men without CVD at baseline were followed until December 2020 for incidence of total CVD, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (CVD death, myocardial infarction [MI], or stroke), and hard coronary artery disease (hCAD) (CAD death, MI, or coronary revascularization/blockage ≥ 50%). We estimated associations between time to event and longitudinal systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) by sex using joint models adjusted for time-varying longitudinal antihypertensive (AH) medication use, HbA1c, and overt nephropathy, baseline age, and other CVD risk factors.

RESULTS

Longitudinal SBP was 5.8 mmHg lower (P < 0.0001) and DBP 6.2 mmHg lower (P < 0.0001) in women versus men. Women had -0.3 mmHg/year faster DBP decline (P < 0.0001) despite similar AH rates by sex. Incidence of CVD was similar by sex. Each 5-mmHg increment in longitudinal SBP (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.23; 95% CI 1.04, 1.45) and DBP (HR = 1.56; 95% CI 1.20, 2.04) was associated with MACE in men only; DBP (HR = 1.28; 95% CI 1.05, 1.56) was associated with hCAD in women only.

CONCLUSIONS

BP was lower in women than men, and the strength of its association with the initial manifestation of CVD differed by sex. Further research into sex-specific BP mechanisms is needed to improve CVD risk reduction in people living with type 1 diabetes.

Sex-Divergent Blood Pressure Associations With Multiorgan System Metabolic Stress-Brief Report

BACKGROUND

Women experience excess cardiovascular risk compared with men in the setting of similar metabolic disease burden. We aimed to examine sex differences in the vascular response to various forms of metabolic stress.

METHODS

We conducted an observational study of 4299 adult participants (52% women, aged 59±13 years) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017 to 2018 cohort and 110 225 adult outpatients (55% women, aged 64±16 years) from the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in 2019. We used natural splines to examine the association of systemic and organ-specific measures of metabolic stress including body mass index, hemoglobin A1c, hepatic FIB-4 (Fibrosis-4) score, and CKD-EPI estimated glomerular filtration rate with systolic blood pressure (SBP). Piecewise linear models were generated using normal value thresholds (body mass index <25 kg/m2, hemoglobin A1c <5.7%, FIB-4 <1.3, and estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥90 mL/min), which approximated observed spline break points. The primary outcome was an increase in SBP in association with increase in each metabolic measure.

RESULTS

Women compared with men demonstrated larger magnitudes and an earlier onset of increase in SBP per increment increase across all metabolic stress measures. The slope of SBP increase per increment of each metabolic measure was greater for women than men particularly for metabolic measures within the normal range, with slope differences of 1.86 mm Hg per kg/m2 of body mass index, 12.48 mm Hg per %hemoglobin A1c, 6.87 mm Hg per FIB-4 unit, and 0.44 mm Hg per mL/min decrement of estimated glomerular filtration rate in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cohort (P difference <0.05 for all). Overall results were consistent in the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Women exhibited greater SBP alteration in the setting of multiple types of metabolic stress, particularly in periods representing the transition from metabolic health to disease. These findings suggest potential benefit of early metabolic health interventions as part of efforts to mitigate vascular risks in both women and men.

Sex Differences in Achieved Diastolic Blood Pressure and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Elderly Patients With Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure profiles differ in males and females. Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, sex differences in achieved DBP and associated CVD risk remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to examine sex differences in achieved DBP and CVD outcomes in elderly hypertensive patients.

METHODS

This study is a secondary analysis of the STEP (Strategy of Blood Pressure Intervention in the Elderly Hypertensive Patients) trial. The mean achieved DBP was compared between male and female participants. The association between mean achieved DBP and cardiovascular risk was evaluated as a continuous and categorical variable with a cubic spline model or Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 8,355 patients were included in this analysis. Median follow-up time was 3.08 years (Q1-Q3: 2.97-3.25 years). Female patients achieved lower DBP levels than male patients throughout the trial duration (P < 0.001), and in each treatment group (P < 0.05 for all). Mean achieved DBP exhibited a J-curve association with cardiovascular risk in females, but not in males. Both female and male patients showed increased cardiovascular risk at DBP >81 mm Hg (females: HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.03-1.16; males: HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01-1.11). Mean achieved DBP of <65 mm Hg was associated with increased CVD risk only in female patients (females: HR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.01-5.34; males: HR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.12-6.25).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows in elderly hypertensive patients, females have lower achieved DBP. A J-shaped relation between achieved DBP and CVD risk was observed in female, but not male patients. Low achieved DBP is associated with higher CVD risk among females but not males.

Sexual Dimorphism in Cardiometabolic Diseases: From Development to Senescence and Therapeutic Approaches

The global incidence and prevalence of cardiometabolic disorders have risen significantly in recent years. Although lifestyle choices in adulthood play a crucial role in the development of these conditions, it is well established that events occurring early in life can have an important effect. Recent research on cardiometabolic diseases has highlighted the influence of sexual dimorphism on risk factors, underlying mechanisms, and response to therapies. In this narrative review, we summarize the current understanding of sexual dimorphism in cardiovascular and metabolic diseases in the general population and within the framework of the Developmental Origins of Health and Disease (DOHaD) concept. We explore key risk factors and mechanisms, including the influence of genetic and epigenetic factors, placental and embryonic development, maternal nutrition, sex hormones, energy metabolism, microbiota, oxidative stress, cell death, inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, circadian rhythm, and lifestyle factors. Finally, we discuss some of the main therapeutic approaches, responses to which may be influenced by sexual dimorphism, such as antihypertensive and cardiovascular treatments, oxidative stress management, nutrition, cell therapies, and hormone replacement therapy.

Gender-specific associations between sleep stages and cardiovascular risk factors

STUDY OBJECTIVES

Sleep characteristics are associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and both sleep and CVD risk vary by gender. Our objective was to examine associations between polysomnographic sleep characteristics and CVD risk after excluding moderate-severe sleep apnea, and whether gender modifies these associations.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study with at-home polysomnography in adults in Brazil (n = 1102 participants with apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) <15 events/hour). Primary exposures were N3, REM, wake after sleep onset (WASO), arousal index, and AHI, and outcomes were blood pressure (BP) and lipid levels.

RESULTS

Associations between sleep and BP varied by gender. In women, more N3 was associated with lower systolic BP (-0.40 mmHg per 10 minutes, 95% CI: -0.71, -0.09), lower diastolic BP (-0.29 mmHg per 10 minutes, 95% CI: -0.50, -0.07), and lower odds of hypertension (OR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 0.98). In men, more WASO was associated with higher systolic BP (0.41 mmHg per 10 minutes, 95% CI: 0.08, 0.74) and higher odds of hypertension (OR 1.07, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.14). No interactions by gender were observed for lipids. More WASO was associated with lower total cholesterol (-0.71 per 10 minutes, 95% CI: -1.37, -0.05). Higher AHI was associated with higher total cholesterol (+0.97 per event/hour, 95% CI: 0.24, 1.70) and higher LDL (+0.84 per event/hour, 95% CI: 0.04, 1.64).

CONCLUSIONS

N3 is more strongly associated with BP in women, which is consistent with other studies demonstrating gender differences in BP control and CVD risk and adds a novel risk factor. Longitudinal and interventional studies are required to determine whether changes in N3 result in BP changes.

Gender disparities in hypertension prevalence, awareness and healthcare seeking behaviour among young adults in Nigeria

BACKGROUND

The burden of hypertension and healthcare seeking behaviour can be driven by gender-related inequalities in access to care. Low hypertension awareness often originates in early adulthood, determining gender patterns in hypertension. The factors that contribute to these patterns in this life stage are critical for improving hypertension control and reducing cardiovascular disease risk. This study was conducted to assess the gender disparities in hypertension prevalence, awareness and healthcare seeking behaviour among young adults in three selected states in Nigeria.

METHODS

Using a cross-sectional design, we assessed gender differences in prevalence, awareness and healthcare seeking behaviour for hypertension among 924 young adults aged 18 - 40 years in three states of Nigeria (Abia, Oyo and Kano States). Pearson's Chi-square was used to test associations between variables. Predictors of gender disparities were assessed with binary logistic regression at 5% level of statistical significance.

RESULTS

Of these, 416 (45.0%) were less than 30 years old while 508 (55.0%) of the respondents were ≥ 30 years of age with a mean age ± SD of 29.6 ± 6.8 and 29.8 ± 6.8 for male and female respondents respectively. Overall, the prevalence of hypertension among young adults in the three states was 169 (18.2%); higher among females 107 (19.2%) compared to males 61 (16.7%). Awareness of high blood pressure (BP) was higher among female respondents 333 (59.7%) compared to their male counterparts 192 (52.5%) and the difference was statistically significant (p = 0.03). Visits to a health care provider was higher among females (16.0%) than males (8.7%). Age, marital status, ethnicity, education and occupation were significantly associated (p < 0.005) with elevated BP among female hypertensives while age, marital status and ethnicity were significantly associated with elevated BP among male hypertensives.

CONCLUSIONS

The study showed gender specific differences with regards to the burden, awareness and health seeking behaviour for hypertension among young adults in Nigeria. There is need for gender specific interventions to control the increasing burden of hypertension in Nigeria.

Sex Differences in the Relationship of Socioeconomic Position With Cardiovascular Disease, Cardiovascular Risk Factors, and Estimated Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Results of the German National Cohort

BACKGROUND

Using data from the largest German cohort study, we aimed to investigate sex differences in the relationship of socioeconomic position (SEP) with cardiovascular disease (CVD), CVD risk factors, and estimated CVD risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 204 780 (50.5% women) participants from the baseline examination of the population-based NAKO (German National Cohort) were included. Logistic, multinomial, and linear regression models were used to estimate sex-specific odds ratios (ORs) and β coefficients with 95% CIs of CVD, CVD risk factors, and very high-risk score (Systemic Coronary Risk Estimation-2) for CVD associated with SEP. Women-to-men ratios of ORs (RORs) with 95% CIs were estimated. In women compared with men, low versus high SEP (educational attainment and relative income) was more strongly associated with myocardial infarction, hypertension, obesity, overweight, elevated blood pressure, antihypertensive medication, and current alcohol consumption, but less strongly with current and former smoking. In women with the lowest versus highest educational level, the OR for a very high 10-year CVD risk was 3.61 (95% CI, 2.88-4.53) compared with 1.72 (95% CI, 1.51-1.96) in men. The women-to-men ROR was 2.33 (95% CI, 1.78-3.05). For the comparison of low versus high relative income, the odds of having a very high 10-year CVD risk was 2.55 (95% CI, 2.04-3.18) in women and 2.25 (95% CI, 2.08-2.42) in men (women-to-men ROR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.05-1.63]).

CONCLUSIONS

In women and men, there was an inverse relationship between indicators of SEP and the likelihood of having several CVD risk factors and a very high 10-year CVD risk. This association was stronger in women, suggesting that CVD risk is more strongly influenced by SEP in women compared with men.

Sex differences in the association between hypertension, cerebral small vessel disease and cognitive decline: a narrative review

The objective of this study was to review how cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) is associated with hypertension and cognitive decline, specifically regarding sex differences in this association. Strong evidence supports the associations between hypertension and cognitive decline, hypertension and CSVD, as well as CSVD and cognitive decline in both women and men. Sex-stratified analyses show that compared to men, hypertension leads to worse cognitive decline in women likely due to its stronger association with CSVD in women. Indeed, compared to men, prevalence of CSVD and CSVD lesion progression is also higher in women and later in life, the incidence of hypertension is higher in women. Moreover, the association between hypertension and CSVD was found to be stronger in women, as was the association between hypertension and cognitive decline. Therefore, focus on hypertension and CSVD as an important pathophysiological mechanism for cognitive decline may uncover novel sex-specific therapeutic avenues.

Sexual dimorphism in the downregulation of extracellular matrix genes contributes to aortic stiffness in female mice

The contribution of sex hormones to cardiovascular disease, including arterial stiffness, is established; however, the role of sex chromosome interaction with sex hormones, particularly in women, is lagging. Arterial stiffness depends on the intrinsic properties and transmural wall geometry that comprise a network of cells and extracellular matrix (ECM) proteins expressed in a sex-dependent manner. In this study, we used four-core genotype (FCG) mice to determine the relative contribution of sex hormones versus sex chromosomes or their interaction with arterial stiffness. Gonadal intact FCG mice included females (F) and males (M) with either XX or XY sex chromosomes (n = 9-11/group). We isolated the thoracic aorta, and a tissue puller was used to assess structural resistance to changes in shape under control, collagenase, or elastase conditions. We determined histological collagen area fraction and evaluated aortic ECM genes by PCR microarrays followed by quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). Stress-strain curves showed higher elastic modulus (P < 0.001), denoting decreased distensibility in XXF compared with XYF aortas, which were significantly reversed by collagenase and elastase treatments (P < 0.01). Aortic gene expression analysis indicated a significant reduction in Emilin1, Thbs2, and Icam1 in the XXF versus XYF aorta (P < 0.05). Uniaxial stretching of XXF aortic vascular smooth muscle cells indicated decreased Thbs2, Ctnna1, and Ecm1 genes. We observed a significant (P < 0.05) reduction in Masson's trichrome staining in collagenase but not elastase-treated aortic rings compared with the control. The increased aortic elastic modulus in XXF compared with XYF mice suggests a decrease in aortic distensibility mediated by a reduction in ECM genes.NEW & NOTEWORTHY FCG mice model can segregate vascular phenotypes by sex hormones, sex chromosomes, and their interaction. We show increased aortic stiffening in XX versus XY female mice and decreased ECM genes, suggesting decreased distensibility and impaired mechanotransduction in XXF versus XYF mice aortas. Therefore, the XX versus XY differences imply a unique role for sex chromosomes in regulating aortic integrity and ECM genes in female mice.

Blood Pressure Goals and Outcomes in Kidney Transplant Recipients in an Analysis of the Collaborative Transplant Study

Introduction

Hypertension is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of death in kidney transplant recipients. However, optimal blood pressure targets posttransplant remain uncertain. We investigated the impact of different American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) blood pressure categories on graft survival and patient mortality, and analyzed subgroup-specific effects.

Methods

This large-scale retrospective study included 1-year blood pressure data from 62,556 kidney transplant recipients across 209 centers in 39 countries, using the collaborative transplant study (CTS) database. Primary outcomes were death-censored graft failure and patient mortality during first 6 years posttransplantation. Multivariable Cox regression analysis controlled for multiple immunological and nonimmunological confounders.

Results

At 1 year posttransplant, 77% of kidney transplant recipients had hypertension. We did not find a significant difference in death-censored graft failure and patient mortality between patients with normal blood pressure (< 120/< 80 mm Hg) and those with elevated blood pressure (120-129/< 80 mm Hg). Hypertension stages 1 (130-139/80-89 mm Hg) and 2 (≥ 140/≥ 90 mm Hg) were associated with an 11% and 55% increased risk of death-censored graft failure, respectively. Patient mortality was only significantly increased in those with hypertension stage 2. Kidney transplant recipients with hypertension stage 2 continued to have an increased risk of graft failure, even when they achieved normal blood pressure in the second year posttransplant. Certain subgroups of patients were at particularly high risk of detrimental effects of high blood pressure.

Conclusion

This study highlights the negative impact of hypertension early after kidney transplantation and emphasizes the importance of effective treatment to improve long-term graft and patient survival.

2025 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2025 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2024 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. This year's edition includes a continued focus on health equity across several key domains and enhanced global data that reflect improved methods and incorporation of ≈3000 new data sources since last year's Statistical Update.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Subclassification of obesity for precision prediction of cardiometabolic diseases

Obesity and cardiometabolic disease often, but not always, coincide. Distinguishing subpopulations within which cardiometabolic risk diverges from the risk expected for a given body mass index (BMI) may facilitate precision prevention of cardiometabolic diseases. Accordingly, we performed unsupervised clustering in four European population-based cohorts (N ≈ 173,000). We detected five discordant profiles consisting of individuals with cardiometabolic biomarkers higher or lower than expected given their BMI, which generally increases disease risk, in total representing ~20% of the total population. Persons with discordant profiles differed from concordant individuals in prevalence and future risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and type 2 diabetes. Subtle BMI-discordances in biomarkers affected disease risk. For instance, a 10% higher probability of having a discordant lipid profile was associated with a 5% higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio in women 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.03, 1.06, P = 4.19 × 10-10; hazard ratio in men 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.04, 1.06, P = 9.33 × 10-14). Multivariate prediction models for MACE and type 2 diabetes performed better when incorporating discordant profile information (likelihood ratio test P < 0.001). This enhancement represents an additional net benefit of 4-15 additional correct interventions and 37-135 additional unnecessary interventions correctly avoided for every 10,000 individuals tested.

Racism and Postpartum Blood Pressure in a Multiethnic Prospective Cohort

BACKGROUND

Postpartum hypertension is a key factor in racial-ethnic inequities in maternal mortality. Emerging evidence suggests that experiences of racism, both structural and interpersonal, may contribute to disparities. We examined associations between gendered racial microaggressions (GRMs) during obstetric care with postpartum blood pressure (BP).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective postpartum cohort of 373 Asian, Black, and Hispanic people in New York City and Philadelphia. At delivery, we administered the GRM in obstetrics scale. We measured BP for 3 months using text-based monitoring. We estimated place-based structural racism with the Structural Racism Effect Index. We used mixed models to estimate associations between GRM and mean postpartum systolic BP and diastolic BP. We adjusted for race-ethnicity, education, body mass index, chronic hypertension (diagnosed at <20 weeks of gestation), age, and the Structural Racism Effect Index. We examined effect modification by hypertensive disorder of pregnancy and place-based structural racism.

RESULTS

A total of 4.6% of participants had chronic hypertension, 20.9% had pregnancy hypertension, and 13.4% had preeclampsia, comprising a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy subgroup (n=117). A total of 37.5% of participants experienced ≥1 GRM. Participants who experienced ≥1 GRM versus none had 1.88 mm Hg higher systolic BP from days 1 to 10 (95% CI, -0.19 to 3.95) and 2.19 mm Hg higher systolic BP from days 11 to 85 (95% CI, 0.17-4.22). Associations followed a similar pattern for diastolic BP and were stronger among the hypertensive disorder of pregnancy subgroup. Participants experiencing GRM and a high Structural Racism Effect Index had systolic BP 7.55 mm Hg (95% CI, 3.41-11.69) and diastolic BP 6.03 mm Hg (95% CI, 2.66-9.41) higher than those with neither.

CONCLUSIONS

Structural racism and interpersonal racism are associated with increased postpartum BP, potentially contributing to inequities in postpartum morbidity and mortality and lifecourse cardiovascular disease.

Education differences in blood pressure trajectories by sex through midlife: Findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2018

OBJECTIVE

Although it has long been established that age and sex play a role in blood pressure levels across the lifespan, the extent to which educational attainment moderates these relationships has been understudied. Thus, the purpose of this study was to assess educational differences in SBP, DBP, and pulse pressure (PP) trajectories among men and women through the midlife years.

METHOD

We conducted an analysis of pooled data from the 1999 to 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey to assess whether education moderates blood pressure measurements among men and women over the midlife years. Statistical analyses were performed using survey-weighted linear and quadratic regressions to assess these trajectories.

RESULTS

During midlife, women with at least a college degree maintained the lowest average level of SBP compared to men at all education levels and women with a high school diploma or less. They also maintained the lowest level of PP, though not different from men with at least a college degree and women with less than a college degree. However, no educational differences were observed in DBP between men and women during the midlife years.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows clear delineation in the trajectories of PP and SBP by education such that a 4-year education is more protective than some college and a high school degree, particularly among women. These results highlight the need to consider upstream policy interventions (education policy initiatives) that could reduce population-wide elevated blood pressure.

Sex-specific responses of central artery stiffness to cold pressor test-mediated sympathetic activation

Considerable attention has been devoted to investigating whether acute activation of the sympathetic nervous system, triggered by daily life stressors, increases central artery stiffness (CAS). Overt sex differences in sympathetic neurovascular transduction lead to distinct cardiovascular responses to sympathoexcitation in men versus women. Our study aimed to determine if the cold pressor test (CPT), chosen to simulate highly painful stressors individuals encounter daily, would induce CAS augmentation in a sex-balanced cohort of young individuals and whether any observed CAS increase would differ between sexes. Twenty-eight participants (14 men, 14 women) provided baseline and CPT measurements of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cf-PWV), mean arterial pressure (MAP), cardiac output (CO), total peripheral resistance (TPR), and heart rate (HR). CPT involved immersing participants' feet in 5 °C ice-water slurry. Data were analyzed using 2-way analysis of variance and post hoc testing, where applicable. CPT significantly increased (p < 0.01) cf-PWV values in our population, with women showing lower collective CAS values compared to men across baseline and CPT conditions. CPT augmented (p < 0.01) MAP, HR, and CO without altering stroke volume (SV), but increased (p = 0.002) TPR only in men. Men collectively exhibited higher (p < 0.01) CO and SV values across baseline and CPT conditions, as well as lower (p < 0.01) TPR values compared to women. These results support the notion that CPT increases CAS in a healthy young population. Despite observed sex differences in peripheral vascular responses to CPT, these variances did not differently impact the central pressor response or central artery stiffening between sexes. Given the well-documented sex differences in cardiovascular risk and incidence, these findings deepen understanding of how cardiocirculatory responses differ between sexes under stress. These findings support sex-specific approaches in cardiovascular medicine and prevention, including tailored coping strategies for managing stress.

Sex-Specific Clinical and Genetic Factors Associated With Adverse Outcomes in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Females with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy present at a more advanced stage of the disease and have a higher risk of heart failure and death. The factors behind these differences are unclear. We aimed to investigate sex-related differences in clinical and genetic factors affecting adverse outcomes in the Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry.

METHODS

Cox proportional hazard models were fit with a sex interaction term to determine if significant sex differences existed in the association between risk factors and outcomes. Models were fit separately for females and males to find the sex-specific hazard ratio (HR).

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 6.4 years, females had a higher risk of heart failure (HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.21-1.88]; P=0.0003) but a lower risk of atrial fibrillation (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.59-0.93]; P<0.0001) and ventricular arrhythmia (HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.38-0.94]; P=0.027) than males. No sex difference was observed for death (P=0.84). Sarcomere-positive males had higher heart failure (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.06-1.69]) and death risks (HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.08-2.04]) not seen in females (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.66-1.08] versus HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.71-1.21]). MYBPC3 variants lowered heart failure risk in females (HR, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.41-0.77]) but not in males (HR, 1.29 [95% CI, 0.99-1.67]). A sex difference appeared in moderate (4% to <6%) versus low risk (<4%) European Society of Cardiology hypertrophic cardiomyopathy risk score, with females at moderate risk more prone to ventricular arrhythmia (HR, 3.57 [95% CI, 1.70-7.49]), unobserved in males (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 0.63-2.03]).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that clinical and genetic factors contributing to adverse outcomes in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy affect females and males differently. Thus, research to inform sex-specific management of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy could improve outcomes for both sexes.

Household Air Pollution Exposures Over Pregnancy and Maternal Blood Pressure Trajectories through 8 Years Postpartum: Evidence from the Ghana Randomized Air Pollution and Health Study (GRAPHS)

Background

Household air pollution is a major contributor to cardiovascular disease burden in women in Sub-Saharan Africa. However, little is known about exposures during pregnancy or the effect of clean cooking interventions on postpartum blood pressure trajectories.

Methods

The Ghana Randomized Air Pollution and Health Study (GRAPHS) randomized 1414 non-smoking women in the first and second trimesters to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) or improved biomass stoves - vs control (traditional three-stone open fire). Personal exposure to carbon monoxide was measured at four prenatal timepoints and three times over the first postpartum year. Participants were prospectively followed with annual resting BP measurements at 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 years postpartum. We employed linear mixed effects models to determine effect of GRAPHS interventions on postpartum BP, and to examine associations between prenatal and postnatal CO and postpartum BP.

Results

LPG intervention was associated with 3.54mmHg (95% CI -5.55, -1.53) lower change in systolic BP from enrolment through 8 years postpartum, and 2.27mmHg (95% CI -3.61, -0.93) lower change in diastolic BP from enrolment through 8 years postpartum, as compared to control. In exposure-response analysis, average prenatal CO was positively associated with change in systolic BP from enrolment (β=0.71mmHg, 95% CI 0.08, 1.30, per doubling of CO).

Conclusions

LPG cookstove intervention initiated in early pregnancy and maintained through the first postpartum year was associated with lower systolic and diastolic BP trajectories through 8 years postpartum. These findings support the need to integrate clean cooking solutions into existing antenatal care packages.

Sex differences in the association between age-related decline in blood pressure and decline in cognition: A prospective cohort study

Background

Both high and declining blood pressure (BP) are associated with cognitive decline risk in older adults. In late-life, women have higher rates of hypertension, experience faster cognitive decline, and represent two-thirds of individuals with Alzheimer's disease dementia. However, sex differences in the association between BP decline and cognitive decline are unknown.

Methods

Data were analyzed from 4719 older adults without known baseline dementia (mean age = 76.7 [SD = 7.7] years; 74% women) enrolled in one of five US-based prospective community-based cohort studies, followed annually for up to 31 years (mean = 8.7 [SD = 5.7] years). A 19-test cognitive battery, yielding composite global and five domain-specific scores, and BP were assessed annually. Bivariate mixed-effects models simultaneously estimated change in BP and cognition, for the total group and by sex.

Findings

Systolic BP, diastolic BP, and cognition all declined over time (ps <0.01). Bivariate mixed-effect models revealed a sex difference in the correlation of decline in systolic BP and decline in global cognition (women: r = 0.26, 95%CI: 0.17 - 0.37; men: r = 0.01, 95%CI: -0.13 - 0.11), such that women exhibited a stronger correlation than men. Decline in systolic BP was related to decline in global and all five cognitive domains in women but none in men, with another sex difference identified in the working memory domain. An increase of diastolic BP was related to decline in working memory in men, and no other associations with diastolic BP were significant for either sex.

Interpretation

Systolic BP decline in late-life is related to decline in global and domain-specific cognition in women but not men, with sex differences in global cognition and the working memory domain. These findings suggest that in older women, declining systolic BP - a routinely-used clinical measure - may be an important marker of concurrent cognitive decline.

Relationship between fundus of the eye examination and arterial stiffness

This review addresses the correlation between arterial stiffness, measured by pulse wave velocity (PWV), and retinal microvascular changes, highlighting the retina as an important accessible window for inferences about cardiovascular health. Arterial stiffness, intrinsically linked to vascular aging and several comorbidities, results in damage to the microcirculation, including ocular vasculature, which can act as a predictor of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular outcomes. The review highlights the relationship between PWV assessment and funduscopic examination, with the aim of improving diagnostic accuracy and optimizing the clinical application of these tools in the management of cardiovascular and ophthalmological diseases, thus promoting more effective and early intervention.

Predictors of self-reported hypertension among women of reproductive age in North Dakota

BACKGROUND

Understanding the risk factors of hypertension among women of reproductive age (18-44 years) is important for guiding health programs aimed at reducing the burden of hypertensive disorders in this population. Therefore, the objective of this study was to investigate predictors of self-reported hypertension among women of reproductive age in North Dakota.

METHODS

Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data for the years 2017, 2019, and 2021 were obtained from North Dakota Department of Health and Human Services. A conceptual model was used to identify potential predictors of hypertension including sociodemographic characteristics, behavioral factors, chronic health conditions, and healthcare access. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was then used to identify significant predictors of hypertension. The predictive ability of the final model was assessed using a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The odds of hypertension were significantly higher among women of reproductive age who reported frequent mental distress (odds ratio [OR] = 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.3-3.3), resided in a primary care health professional shortage area (OR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.2-2.6), were obese (OR = 2.6, 95% CI = 1.7-4.1) and were 35-44 years old (OR = 2.3, 95% CI = 1.6-3.4), relative to their counterparts who did not have frequent mental distress, did not reside in a health professional shortage area, had a normal body mass index, and were 18-34 years old, respectively. Additionally, the odds of hypertension were lower among women who did not have a checkup within the last year compared to those who did have a checkup within the last year (OR = 0.6, 95% CI = 0.4-0.9). The AUC of the final model was 0.68.

CONCLUSIONS

There is evidence that frequent mental distress and disparities in healthcare access or utilization are predictors of hypertension among women of reproductive age in North Dakota. Further research is warranted to determine whether improved mental health can reduce the risk of hypertension in this population. Public health officials may consider promoting hypertension awareness and control programs in areas with limited access to healthcare professionals.

History of Pregnancy Loss and Risk for Higher Midlife Blood Pressure in Parous Females

Introduction: Pregnancy loss has been associated with later cardiometabolic conditions, potentially due to shared underlying etiology, but associations with midlife blood pressure (BP) remain unclear. Methods: We examined participants enrolled 1999-2002 in prospective Project Viva. At midlife ∼18 years after enrollment, we collected lifetime pregnancy history and measured BP. Exposures included any pregnancy loss or number of pregnancy losses. Outcomes were systolic and diastolic BP (SBP, DBP), and American Heart Association (AHA) BP categories. We performed multivariable regression adjusted for race and ethnicity, education, income, perceived body size at age 10 years, and age at outcome. Results: Of 623 participants, 33.7% reported pregnancy loss, 9.6% had elevated BP, and 34.8% had hypertension. Mean(±standard deviation) age was 50.7 ± 5.0 years, SBP 118.1 ± 15.6 mmHg, and DBP 74.8 ± 11.5 mmHg. In adjusted models, any pregnancy loss was associated with higher SBP (β = 2.25 mmHg, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.23, 4.78). Strongest associations with SBP were among those with first pregnancy loss ≥35 years (β = 5.58 mmHg, 95% CI: 1.76, 9.40 versus 0 pregnancy losses and first pregnancy <35 years). All associations with DBP were nonsignificant but similar in direction. For AHA outcomes, pregnancy loss was associated with higher risk for elevated BP (relative-risk ratio [RRR] = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.58, 5.43) but not with hypertension (RRR = 1.45, 95% CI: 0.95, 2.22) versus normotension. In models examining race and ethnicity, SBP was higher among non-Hispanic White and Hispanic individuals with pregnancy loss; non-Hispanic Black individuals had higher BP regardless of pregnancy loss status. Conclusions: History of pregnancy loss was associated with higher SBP and elevated BP category at midlife. These findings highlight reproductive history as an important consideration for cardiopreventive strategies and interventions.

Multivariate Joint Analysis of Blood Pressure Measurements and Time to Remission: A Case Study of Hypertensive Patients Receiving Treatment at Jimma University Medical Center

BACKGROUND

Hypertension (HTN) elevates blood pressure (BP) in the arteries. It is defined as systolic BP (SBP)>140 mm Hg and/or diastolic BP (DBP)>90 mm Hg. This study aimed to identify determinant risk factors of longitudinal change of SBP and DBP with time to first remission of hypertensive patients. Study Design: A retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

A descriptive and inferential analysis was employed to explore the determinant risk factors, and a multivariate joint model was applied to test the significant association of the possible risk factors.

RESULTS

Of all 369 patients, 235 (63.7%) had first remission with a median survival time of five months. The patients demonstrated shorter first remission time when they had no history of comorbidity, resided in urban areas, took a combination of drugs, and were younger. Similarly, residence, age, treatment, history of diabetes mellitus (DM), history of stroke, and observation time were determinant risk factors of SBP. On the other hand, age, treatment, history of DM, chronic kidney diseases, and observation time were identified as determinant risk factors of DBP. The result revealed a strong positive association between changes in SBP and DBP (P=0.9923). In addition, a significant association was observed between the value of SBP and time to first remission (γ_1=-0.0693, HR=0.993).

CONCLUSION

Having good follow-ups, receiving control of comorbidity, and taking a combination of drugs show several opportunities for decreasing BP. Consequently, this compels patients to experience the first remission early.

Prevalence, trends, and associated factors of isolated systolic, diastolic, and systolic-diastolic hypertension in Peru: A nine-year analysis of the Demographic and Family Health Survey

INTRODUCTION

While HTN is widely seen as a primary threat to cardiovascular conditions worldwide, it is essential to recognize that not all HTN is identical.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prevalence, trend, and factors associated with each type of HTN: isolated systolic (ISH), isolated diastolic (IDH), and systolic-diastolic (SDH).

METHODS

A secondary analysis of data from the Demographic and Family Health Survey from 2014 to 2022 was conducted. For the analysis of associated factors, a Poisson regression model with robust variance was implemented to calculate adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) along with their 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

The prevalence was 7.02%, 1.55%, and 3.28% for ISH, IDH, and SDH, respectively. ISH showed a decline in 2022, unlike the other two types, which seem to be on the rise. A statistically significant association was found in men and an increased risk with age for ISH and SDH, unlike IDH, where age acts as a protective factor. Additional factors identified include smoking and excessive alcohol consumption, while a high intake of fruits/vegetables offers a protective effect. Obesity and diabetes were associated with a higher risk, and significant variations by region and altitude, as well as among ethnic groups, were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant differences in the prevalence of HTN subtypes have been found, underscoring the heterogeneity of this chronic condition, both in related factors and in trends over the years.

Association of Duration of Recognized Hypertension and Stroke Risk: The REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND

The focus for reducing hypertension-related cardiovascular disease is the management of blood pressure. Limited data are available on the potential benefit of delaying the onset of hypertension.

METHODS

Stroke-free Black and White participants from the REGARDS cohort study (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke; recruited 2003-2007) were followed through 2022 for incident stroke events. Participants were stratified by duration of recognized hypertension: normotensive (0 years), ≤5 years, 6 to 20 years, or 21+ years. The baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP), the number of classes of antihypertensive medications, and the risk of incident stroke were assessed by duration strata adjusting for demographics, cerebrovascular risk factors, SBP, and use of antihypertensive medications (where appropriate).

RESULTS

Of 30 239 study participants, we included 27 310 participants (mean age, 65 years; 45% male), followed a median of 12.4 years, during which 1763 incident stroke events occurred. On average, participants with hypertension duration ≤5 years, 6 to 20 years, and 21+ years were taking 1.68 (95% CI, 1.65-1.71), 2.04 (95% CI, 2.01-2.07), and 2.28 (95% CI, 2.25-2.31) classes of antihypertensive medications, respectively. The adjusted mean SBP level was higher with each increasing duration of recognized hypertension (0, ≤5, 6-20, and 21+ years): 123.9 mm Hg (95% CI, 123.3-124.6), 129.7 mm Hg (95% CI, 129.1-130.2), 131.7 mm Hg (95% CI, 130.6-131.5), and 132.6 mm Hg (95% CI, 132.0-133.1). Compared with normotensive individuals, the hazard for incident stroke increased from 1.31 (95% CI, 1.05-1.63) for ≤5 years duration, 1.50 (95% CI, 1.21-1.87) for 6 to 20 years duration, and 1.67 (95% CI, 1.32-2.10) for 21+ years duration.

CONCLUSIONS

Longer duration of recognized hypertension was associated with more classes of antihypertensive medications, higher mean SBP, and higher stroke risk even after adjustment for age and SBP. Collectively, this suggests that delaying the onset of hypertension could reduce the burden of stroke.

2024 Latin American Society of Hypertension guidelines on the management of arterial hypertension and related comorbidities in Latin America

Hypertension is responsible for more than two million deaths due to cardiovascular disease annually in Latin America (LATAM), of which one million occurs before 70 years of age. Hypertension is the main risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, affecting between 20 and 40% of LATAM adults. Since the publication of the 2017 LASH hypertension guidelines, reports from different LATAM countries have confirmed the burden of hypertension on cardiovascular disease events and mortality in the region. Many studies in the region have reported and emphasized the dramatically insufficient blood pressure control. The extremely low rates of awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension, particularly in patients with metabolic disorders, is a recognized severe problem in LATAM. Earlier implementation of antihypertensive interventions and management of all cardiovascular risk factors is the recognized best strategy to improve the natural history of cardiovascular disease in LATAM. The 2024 LASH guidelines have been developed by a large group of experts from internal medicine, cardiology, nephrology, endocrinology, general medicine, geriatrics, pharmacology, and epidemiology of different countries of LATAM and Europe. A careful search for novel studies on hypertension and related diseases in LATAM, together with the new evidence that emerged since the 2017 LASH guidelines, support all statements and recommendations. This update aims to provide clear, concise, accessible, and useful recommendations for health professionals to improve awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension and associated cardiovascular risk factors in the region.

Associations of blood pressure with white matter hyperintensities later in life; influence of short-term menopausal hormone therapy

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP) in recently menopausal women with white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume later in life and determine whether short-term menopausal hormone therapy (mHT) modifies these associations.

METHODS

Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study (KEEPS) was a multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled 4-year mHT trial (oral conjugated equine estrogens or transdermal 17β-estradiol). KEEPS continuation was an observational follow-up of the participants 10 years after the end of mHT. The associations between KEEPS baseline blood pressure (BP) with KEEPS continuation WMH volume were examined adjusting for covariates in model 1 (age, total intracranial volume, study site, mHT type) and model 2 (additionally conventional CVD risk factors). Interaction terms (BP × mHT type) were added into the linear regression models.

RESULTS

The mean ± SD ages of participants were 53 (±2) years at KEEPS baseline and 67 (±2) years at KEEPS continuation. Elevated BP at KEEPS baseline was associated with greater WMH volume measured 14 years later (model 1: SBP: β = 0.01 [95% CI, 0.001-0.01] and DBP: β = 0.01 [95% CI, 0.003-0.03]) and after additionally adjusting for CVD risk factors (model 2). We did not find any evidence that mHT versus placebo modified these associations. Topographically, higher BP was associated with greater periventricular WMH in the frontal and parietal lobes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest the importance of maintaining normal BP in recently postmenopausal women with low CVD risk, irrespective of short-term mHT usage, to potentially reduce the risk of WMH later in life.

Somatic Symptoms Are Associated With Elevated Blood Pressure and Epstein-Barr Virus Antibodies Among Shuar of the Ecuadorian Amazon

INTRODUCTION

This study tests the hypothesis that self-reported somatic symptoms are associated with biomarkers of stress, including elevated blood pressure and suppressed immune function, among Shuar adults living in the Ecuadorian Amazon.

METHODS

Research was conducted in three Shuar communities in the Upano Valley of the Ecuadorian Amazon and included the collection of biomarkers and a structured morbidity interview. Participants self-reported somatic symptoms such as headaches, body pain, fatigue, and other bodily symptoms. We examined whether the number of somatic symptoms reported was associated with measures of immune (Epstein-Barr virus [EBV] antibodies) and cardiovascular (blood pressure) functioning in 97 Shuar adults (37 women, 60 men; ages 18-65 years). Multivariate linear regression analyses were used to examine the relationships among somatic symptoms and stress biomarkers, controlling for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), active infection, level of education, and income.

RESULTS

Controlling for relevant covariates, Shuar adults reporting the highest level of somatic symptoms (three symptoms) were more likely to exhibit elevated systolic (β = 0.20, p = 0.04) and diastolic blood pressure (β = 0.23, p = 0.03), in comparison to adults reporting no symptoms. Shuar adults reporting two symptoms, compared to no symptoms, were more likely to exhibit elevated EBV antibody concentrations (β = 0.34, p = < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

These preliminary findings demonstrate that somatic symptoms reported by Shuar men and women are associated with physiological measures widely associated with chronic psychosocial stress. These findings complement the cross-cultural literature in medical anthropology documenting the close connection between the expression of somatic symptoms and stressful life circumstances and highlight the important role that human biologists can play in exploring biocultural phenomena.

Cardiovascular risk markers in apparently healthy young adults: Evaluation according to optimal or non-optimal office blood pressure

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) is linearly related to the incidence of cardiovascular disease from values as low as 115/75mmHg, even at young ages. A particularly concerning issue is the decrease representation of optimal BP among children and youth. The mechanisms by which minimal elevations in BP increase cardiovascular risk are not defined. The limitations of office BP measurements could be a possible explanation since 24-h ambulatory measurements (ABPM) better detect the risk of future cardiovascular events. Therefore, we aimed to compare healthy normotensive undergraduate students with optimal vs. non-optimal BP: ABPM, the cardiometabolic risk profile, and echocardiographic characteristics.

METHODS

Medical students from La Plata voluntarily completed a survey to collect personal and family data on cardiovascular risk factors. Subsequently, anthropometric, BP (office and ABPM), and echocardiography determinations were recorded. Cholesterol, triglycerides, and glucose were measured in fasting blood samples. Statistical analyses were performed blinded, using SPSS software.

RESULTS

Data from 135 students were analyzed (76% female, age 22.5±3.5 years). Mean office BP was 114.5±10.4 and 73.7±7.5mmHg. Forty percent of students had non-optimal BP (61% females) showing significantly higher BP values in all ABPM periods and higher left ventricular mass index, cardiac wall thicknesses, fasting glucose, TyG index, TG/HDL-c ratio. Seven students met diagnostic criteria for nocturnal hypertension, six of whom were in the non-optimal BP group (11.1% vs 1.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Therefore, our study shows that apparently healthy young individuals with non-optimal BP, even if not hypertensive, exhibit differences in several cardiovascular risk markers compared to those with optimal BP.

Relationship between lipid levels, TyG, TyG-BMI index and hypertension in Tibetan population in Tibet, China based on restricted cubic spline model

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of hypertension among the Tibetan population in Tibet is higher than in other regions of China, and there is a lack of unified epidemiological surveys. This study aims to conduct a standardized epidemiological investigation to assess the current status of hypertension among the Tibetan population, as well as to explore the dose-response relationship between cholesterol (TC), triglyceride glucose index (TyG), triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and hypertension in this population.

METHODS

From June 2020 to July 2023, a total of 5042 Tibetans aged 18 to 80 years from three cities and one region in Tibet were randomly sampled for the study. Logistic regression analysis models combined with restricted cubic splines were used to analyze the relationship between LDL-C, TC, TyG, TyG-BMI index, and HTN in the Tibetan population.

RESULTS

(1) The prevalence of HTN in the Tibetan population in Tibet, China, was 32.35%, of which men were slightly higher than women. (2) Age, BMI, fasting blood glucose (FBG), uric acid (UA), TC, triglycerides (TG), LDL-C, homocysteine (Hcy), TyG, and TyG-BMI were higher in HTN populations compared to non-HTN populations (P < 0.05). (3) The risk of HTN was increased in individuals with borderline elevated and elevated LDL-C, borderline elevated TC, the second(Q2), third(Q3), and fourth quartile groups(Q4) of TyG as well as the third(Q3) and fourth quartile groups(Q4) of TyG-BMI. The prevalence risk of HTN gradually increased with elevated levels of LDL-C, TC, TyG, and TyG-BMI (P trend < 0.001). (4) The results of restricted cubic spline analysis showed a nonlinear dose-response relationship between LDL-C, TC, and TyG-BMI and the risk of developing HTN (P < 0.001, P Nonlinear < 0.05), and a linear dose-response relationship between TyG and the risk of developing HTN (P < 0.001, P Nonlinear > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Higher LDL-C, TC, TyG, and TyG-BMI are risk factors for HTN in the Tibetan population of Tibet, China. Effective prevention can be achieved by controlling lipid and glucose indices.

Blood Pressure Trajectories During Young Adulthood and Cardiovascular Events in Later Life

BACKGROUND

Studying the association between blood pressure (BP) trajectories during young adulthood and subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk can provide insights into how long-term BP patterns in early-life influence the development of CVD later in life.

METHODS

We pooled data from 2 US cohorts (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults, Framingham Heart Study). We used latent growth curve models to identify distinct BP trajectory groups between ages 18 and 39 years. We then used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the associations between BP trajectories and CVD events (composite of coronary heart disease [CHD], stroke, and heart failure [HF]) after age 40 years.

RESULTS

We included 6,579 participants and identified 4 distinct systolic BP (SBP) trajectory groups during young adulthood. During a median follow-up of 18.2 years after age 40 years, 213 CHD, 139 stroke, 120 HF, and 400 composite CVD events occurred. Individuals in an elevated-increasing vs. low-stable SBP trajectory during young adulthood were associated with a higher risk of CVD after adjusting for traditional CVD risk factors, with hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of 3.25 (1.63, 6.46) for CHD, 3.92 (1.63, 9.43) for stroke, 8.30 (2.97, 23.17) for HF, and 3.91 (2.38, 6.41) for composite CVD outcomes. Adding BP trajectory to BP at baseline improved model discrimination for all outcomes (changes in Harrell's C-index 0.0084-0.0192).

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated-increasing BP trajectory during young adulthood is associated with a higher risk of CVD later in life, highlighting the importance of maintaining a low-stable BP trajectory throughout the young adulthood period for prevention of CVD in later life.

The Influence of Sex, Fitness, BMI, and Cardiovascular Risk Factors on Cerebral Blood Velocity Responsiveness to Graded Exercise Testing in Middle-Aged Adults

Mean middle cerebral artery velocity (MCAv) and the pulsatility index (PI), at rest and in response to exercise, are important markers of cerebrovascular health status in middle-aged adults, when vascular decline assumes substantial relevance. Thus, this study aimed to describe and compare the responses of MCAv and PI to incremental exercise. Two hundred and forty-eight volunteers (50-58 years, 55% women) completed a ramp test on a cycle-ergometer. Gas exchange was assessed on a breath-by-breath basis. MCAv was measured via transcranial Doppler and PI calculated. Cardiovascular disease risk (CVR) factors were determined and comprised of measurements of central obesity, blood pressure, fasted plasma glucose, and lipids. The MCAv and PI responses to exercise were compared across body mass index categories, CVR score, and fitness status. We found sex-specific differences in MCAv and PI at rest. However, both sexes showed a similar relative change to baseline (Δ%MCAvmean). Regarding body mass index, obese women (body mass index > 30 kg m-2) had lower MCAv and Δ%MCAvmean and higher PI compared with normo-weight women during exercise. Apart, women with a 0 CVR score showed higher MCAv and lower PI during exercise than those with a score of +3 CVR. Differences between low and high CVR during exercise in Δ%MCAvmean were also found. Eventually, low fitness showed diminished MCAv and a lower response to exercise than high fitness. This study has highlighted significant variability in MCAv responsiveness to exercise among middle-aged adults. Body composition, CVR, and fitness status may play a significant role in preserving cerebrovascular health. These findings shed light on the importance of understanding the cerebrovascular response to exercise.

Sex disparities in hypertension prevalence, blood pressure trajectories and the effects of anti-hypertensive treatment

INTRODUCTION

Sex differences in blood pressure (BP), hypertension and hypertension mediated cardiovascular complications have become an increasingly important focus of attention. This narrative review gives an overview of current studies on this topic, with the aim to provide a deeper understanding of the sex-based disparities in hypertension with essential insights for refining prevention and management strategies for both men and women.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We searched Medline, Embase and the Cochrane libray on sex differences in BP-trajectories and hypertension prevalence. In the past decade various population-based studies have revealed substantial sex-disparities in BP-trajectories throughout life with women having a larger increase in hypertension prevalence after 30 years of age and a stronger association between BP and cardiovascular disease (CVD). In general, the effects of antihypertensive treatment appear to be consistent across sexes in different populations, although there remains uncertainty about differences in the efficacy of BP lowering drugs below 55 years of age.

CONCLUSION

The current uniform approach to the diagnosis and management of hypertension in both sexes neglects the distinctions in hypertension, while the differences underscore the need for sex-specific recommendations, particularly for younger individuals. A major limitation hampering insights into sex differences in BP-related outcomes is the lack of sex-stratified analyses or an adequate representation of women. Additional large-scale, longitudinal studies are imperative.

Single-cell transcriptome unveils unique transcriptomic signatures of human organ-specific endothelial cells

The heterogeneity of endothelial cells (ECs) across human tissues remains incompletely inventoried. We constructed an atlas of > 210,000 ECs derived from 38 regions across 24 human tissues. Our analysis reveals significant differences in transcriptome, phenotype, metabolism and transcriptional regulation among ECs from various tissues. Notably, arterial, venous, and lymphatic ECs shared more common markers in multiple tissues than capillary ECs, which exhibited higher heterogeneity. This diversity in capillary ECs suggests their greater potential as targets for drug development. ECs from different tissues and vascular beds were found to be associated with specific diseases. Importantly, tissue specificity of EC senescence is more determined by somatic site than by tissue type (e.g. subcutaneus adipose tissue and visceral adipose tissue). Additionally, sex-specific differences in brain EC senescence were observed. Our EC atlas offers valuble resoursce for identifying EC subclusters in single-cell datasets from body tissues or organoids, facilitating the screen of tissue-specific targeted therapies, and serving as a powerful tool for future discoveries.

Adolescent Blood Pressure and Early Age Stroke

BACKGROUND

Underdiagnosis of relevant risk factors has contributed to the increasing stroke incidence in young adults. Blood pressure cut-off values for adolescents are neither sex specific nor based on cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

This nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study included all Israeli adolescents 16-19 years of age who were medically evaluated before compulsory military service from 1985 to 2013, including routine blood pressure measurements. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of a stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) at a young age (≤52 years), as documented in the Israeli National Stroke Registry. Cox proportional hazard models were stratified by sex and adjusted for birth year, sociodemographic variables, and adolescent body mass index.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 1,897,048 adolescents (42.4% women). During 11,355,476 person-years of follow-up, there were 1470 first stroke events at a young age. In men, an adolescent diastolic blood pressure value of ≥80 mmHg, compared with the reference group (diastolic blood pressure value of <70 mmHg), was associated with an increased risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.58), while a diastolic blood pressure value of 70-79 mmHg was not associated with an increased risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio 1.11; 95% CI 0.90 to 1.34). Among women, an adolescent diastolic blood pressure value of ≥80 mmHg, compared with the reference group (diastolic blood pressure value of <70 mmHg) was associated with an increased risk of stroke at a young age (adjusted hazard ratio 1.38; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.88), as was a diastolic blood pressure value of 70-79 mmHg (adjusted hazard ratio 1.41; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.81). Elevated adolescent systolic blood pressure values (≥120 mmHg) were not associated with an increased risk of stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Diastolic blood pressure values of ≥80 mmHg in adolescence were associated with an increased risk of stroke at a young age in both men and women. No similar association was observed for elevated systolic blood pressure.

Genetics of hypertension-related sex differences and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

Background: Hypertension and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) cause a significant burden of disease on societies and individuals by increasing cardiovascular disease risk. Environmental risk factors alone do not explain the observed sexual dimorphism in lifetime blood pressure (BP) trajectories nor inter-individual variation in HDP risk.

Methods: In this short review, we focus on the genetics of hypertension-related sex differences and HDP and discuss the importance of genetics utilization for sex-specific hypertension risk prediction.

Results: Population and twin studies estimate that 28-66% of variation in BP levels and HDP is explained by genetic variation, while genomic wide association studies suggest that BP traits and HDP partly share a common genetic background. Moreover, environmental and epigenetic regulation of these genes differ by sex and oestrogen receptors in particular are shown to convey cardio- and vasculoprotective effects through epigenetic regulation of DNA. The majority of known genetic variation in hypertension and HDP is polygenic. Polygenic risk scores for BP display stronger associations with hypertension risk in women than in men and are associated with sex-specific age of hypertension onset. Monogenic forms of hypertension are rare and mostly present equally in both sexes.

Conclusion: Despite recent genetic discoveries providing new insights into HDP and sex differences in BP traits, further research is needed to elucidate the underlying biology. Emphasis should be placed on demonstrating the added clinical value of these genetic discoveries, which may eventually facilitate genomics-based personalized treatments for hypertension and HDP.

Sex disparity in the burden of NCDs and its four main subgroups in Iran 1990-2019: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019

Objectives

The significant health differences between sexes in Iran in terms of burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) point to the urgency of developing policies. We aim to explore sex disparities in NCDs.

Methods

We used Global Burden of Disease 2019 study to compare estimates of incidence, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disabilities (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and deaths among sexes for NCDs, and their main subgroups; neoplasms, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs), diabetes mellitus (DM) during 1990-2019.

Results

In 2019, there were 62,476,274 (59517167.5, 65759931) incident NCDs in men and 78758640.6 (75222093.7, 82272935.8) in women. There were 7734064.3 (6744951.2, 8846192) DALYs in men and 7760484.2 (6496609, 9218299.9) in women. Fatal estimates (deaths and YLLs) of NCDs were higher for men, while non-fatal estimates (prevalence, YLDs) were higher for women. Men were superior in all burden indices of NCDs subgroups, except for all indices of DM and YLDs in CVDs. Compared to 1990-2010, the period 2010-2019 confirmed a marked stagnation in decline rates of burden indices, as well as an increase in incidence and prevalence which was more pronounced among men. Despite shrinking sex gaps in NCDs subgroups since 1990, sex gap in DM is widening in 2019.

Conclusions

There is a notable sex disparity in NCDs prevalence in Iran, which has become increasingly evident in DM burden. It will be imperative to continue monitoring sexual differences in NCDs burden to determine if disease rates between sexes continue to diverge in the future.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-024-01489-1.

Ischemic Stroke in Women: Understanding Sex-Specific Risk Factors, Treatment Considerations, and Outcomes

Ischemic stroke is a major cause of mortality and disability and has become a significant public health concern among women. Overall, women have more ischemic stroke events than men, in part due to their longer life span, and also suffer from more severe stroke-related disabilities compared to men. Women are also more likely than men to present with atypical non-focal neurological symptoms, potentially leading to delayed diagnosis and treatment. Female-specific risk factors, especially those related to pregnancy, are often under-recognized. A woman's risk for ischemic stroke evolves throughout her lifespan, influenced by various factors including the age of menarche, pregnancy and its complications (such as parity, pre-eclampsia/eclampsia, and preterm delivery), postpartum challenges, oral contraceptive use, and menopause. Additionally, vascular risk factors like hypertension, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation are more prevalent among older women. Despite comparable treatment efficacies, women generally experience poorer outcomes after stroke. They also face higher rates of post-stroke depression, further complicating recovery. Although significant strides have been made in reducing the incidence of ischemic stroke, our understanding of the unique risks, underlying causes, and long-term consequences for women remains limited. While sex hormones may explain some differences, a lack of awareness regarding sex-related disparities can result in suboptimal care. This review aims to illuminate the unique risks and burdens of ischemic stroke faced by women, advocating for a more nuanced understanding to enhance prevention and treatment strategies.

Association of Ozone and Temperature with Ischemic Heart Disease Mortality Risk: Mediation and Interaction Analyses

Global warming and elevated ozone (O3) levels are gradually gaining widespread attention, and exposure to which may cause many physiological changes associated with cardiovascular events such as hypertension, cardiomyocyte apoptosis, etc. In addition, ischemic heart disease (IHD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. However, the contributions of temperature and O3, independently or in combination, to IHD mortality are not well understood. This study employs a two-stage analytical protocol (generalized additive model followed by meta-analysis) to explore the respective associations of temperature and O3 with IHD mortality, and determine their possible mediation and interaction effects. Our results suggest that increases of 10 μg/m3 in O3 and 1 °C in temperature at lag01 day are associated with increased IHD mortality risks of 0.789% and 0.686%, respectively. O3 can mediate the relationship between temperature and IHD mortality, with a pooled estimate of 0.140%, while temperature can mediate the association between O3 and IHD mortality, with a pooled estimate of 0.162%. The additive and multiplicative interaction effects of O3 and temperature were significantly associated with IHD mortality. The study findings demonstrate that higher temperature and O3 concentrations can increase human IHD mortality risk through interaction and mediation effects, providing a scientific basis for the synergistic management of temperature and O3 or associated interventions.

Machine learning for predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with heart failure combined with hypertension: a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Heart failure combined with hypertension is a major contributor for elderly patients (≥ 65 years) to in-hospital mortality. However, there are very few models to predict in-hospital mortality in such elderly patients. We aimed to develop and test an individualized machine learning model to assess risk factors and predict in-hospital mortality in in these patients.

METHODS

From January 2012 to December 2021, this study collected data on elderly patients with heart failure and hypertension from the Chongqing Medical University Medical Data Platform. Least absolute shrinkage and the selection operator was used for recognizing key clinical variables. The optimal predictive model was chosen among eight machine learning algorithms on the basis of area under curve. SHapley Additive exPlanations and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations was employed to interpret the outcome of the predictive model.

RESULTS

This study ultimately comprised 4647 elderly individuals with hypertension and heart failure. The Random Forest model was chosen with the highest area under curve for 0.850 (95% CI 0.789-0.897), high accuracy for 0.738, recall 0.837, specificity 0.734 and brier score 0.178. According to SHapley Additive exPlanations results, the most related factors for in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with heart failure and hypertension were urea, length of stay, neutrophils, albumin and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed eight machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with hypertension as well as heart failure. Compared to other algorithms, the Random Forest model performed significantly better. Our study successfully predicted in-hospital mortality and identified the factors most associated with in-hospital mortality.