Clinical course of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the implications for clinical trial design

Detecting at-risk steatotic liver disease and liver fibrosis in the community

Advanced liver fibrosis and "At-Risk" metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (At-Risk MASH) are present in 5% and 10%, respectively, of community-based patients with steatotic liver disease and metabolic risk factors and/or excess alcohol consumption. Identification of these patients is critical to guide prognosis and management due to their increased risk of liver decompensation and HCC. In addition, identification of At-Risk MASH will assist in targeting those eligible for pharmacotherapy. Screening pathways for detecting advanced liver fibrosis, consisting of sequential Fibrosis-4 Index and elastography or direct liver fibrosis biomarkers in patients with clinical risk factors, are recommended; however have suboptimal sensitivity and specificity. Biomarkers based on serum and/or elastography for At-Risk MASH have been developed in specialist centres; however lack broad validation, particularly in the community. Currently a range of barriers have retarded adoption of liver fibrosis screening in primary care, including knowledge gaps regarding non-invasive testing, cost, and limited access of non-invasive tests, and lack of integrated ordering and reporting systems. Once target patients are identified, robust pathways for linkage to specialist care are needed. Despite these challenges, studies performed in primary care have confirmed that liver fibrosis screening programs increase the detection of unrecognized advanced liver disease and may reduce unnecessary specialist referrals. Furthermore, some data suggest that community-based screening of liver fibrosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease is cost-effective. Widespread implementation of systematic evidence-based diagnostic pathways in the community is needed to reduce liver-related morbidity related to steatotic liver disease.

Liver cirrhosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis

In the present narrative review, we have summarized the current evidence on the natural progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) cirrhosis observed through the placebo arm in clinical trials and observational studies. The outcomes scrutinized throughout our review were histology-related changes, non-invasive fibrosis markers, indicators of decompensation, end-stage hepatic complications, and mortality reported during the different clinical trials. Given the short duration of clinical trials, observational studies were included to obtain better insight into the long-term progression and prognosis of MASH cirrhosis. Lastly, new updates about MASH cirrhosis treatments were listed, and the results of these randomized clinical trials were described to enhance our understanding of our current standing in the treatment of MASH cirrhosis.

Global patterns of utilization of noninvasive tests for the clinical management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive tests (NITs) are used to risk-stratify metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. The aim was to survey global patterns of real-world use of NITs.

METHODS

A 38-item survey was designed by the Global NASH Council. Providers were asked about risks for advanced fibrosis, which NITs (cutoff values) they use to risk-stratify liver disease, monitor progression, and which professional guidelines they follow.

RESULTS

A total of 321 participants from 43 countries completed the survey (54% hepatologists, 28% gastroenterologists, and 18% other). Of the respondents, 85% would risk-stratify patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity (82%), or abnormal liver enzymes (73%). Among NITs to rule out significant or advanced fibrosis, transient elastography (TE) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) were most used, followed by NAFLD Fibrosis Score, Enhanced Liver Fibrosis, and magnetic resonance elastography. The cutoffs for ruling out significant fibrosis varied considerably between practices and from guidelines, with only 50% using TE <8 kPa, 65% using FIB-4 <1.30 for age <65, and 41% using FIB-4 <2.00 for age ≥65. Similar variability was found for ruling in advanced fibrosis, where thresholds of FIB-4 ≥2.67 and TE ≥10 kPa were used by 20% and 17%, respectively. To establish advanced fibrosis, 48% would use 2 NITs while 23% would consider 1 NIT, and 17% would confirm with liver biopsy. TE was used by >75% to monitor, and 66% would monitor (intermediate or high risk) annually. Finally, 65% follow professional guideline recommendations regarding NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

In clinical practice, there is variability in NIT use and their thresholds. Additionally, there is suboptimal adherence to professional societies' guidelines.

Molecular mechanisms of pyroptosis in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and feasible diagnosis and treatment strategies

Pyroptosis is a distinct form of cell death that plays a critical role in intensifying inflammatory responses. It primarily occurs via the classical pathway, non-classical pathway, caspase-3/6/7/8/9-mediated pathways, and granzyme-mediated pathways. Key effector proteins involved in the pyroptosis process include gasdermin family proteins and pannexin-1 protein. Pyroptosis is intricately linked to the onset and progression of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). During the development of NASH, factors such as pyroptosis, innate immunity, lipotoxicity, endoplasmic reticulum stress, and gut microbiota imbalance interact and interweave, collectively driving disease progression. This review analyzes the molecular mechanisms of pyroptosis and its role in the pathogenesis of NASH. Furthermore, it explores potential diagnostic and therapeutic strategies targeting pyroptosis, offering new avenues for improving the diagnosis and treatment of NASH.

Gene-based therapies for steatotic liver disease

Advances in nucleic acid delivery have positioned the liver as a key target for gene therapy, with adeno-associated virus vectors showing long-term effectiveness in treating hemophilia. Steatotic liver disease (SLD), the most common liver condition globally, primarily results from metabolic dysfunction-associated and alcohol-associated liver diseases. In some individuals, SLD progresses from simple steatosis to steatohepatitis, cirrhosis, and eventually hepatocellular carcinoma, driven by a complex interplay of genetic, metabolic, and environmental factors. Genetic variations in various lipid metabolism-related genes, such as patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3), 17β-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type 13 (HSD17B13), and mitochondrial amidoxime-reducing component 1 (MTARC1), impact the progression of SLD and offer promising therapeutic targets. This review largely focuses on genes identified through clinical association studies, as they are more likely to be effective and safe for therapeutic intervention. While preclinical research continues to deepen our understanding of genetic factors, early-stage clinical trials involving gene-based SLD therapies, including transient antisense and small-molecule approaches, are helping prioritize therapeutic targets. Meanwhile, hepatocyte gene editing technologies are advancing rapidly, offering alternatives to transient methods. As such, gene-based therapies show significant potential for preventing the progression of SLD and enhancing long-term liver health.

Risk of hepatic decompensation or HCC is similar in patients with ALD- and MASLD-cirrhosis: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear if the risk of hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) differs between patients with compensated alcohol-related liver disease (ALD)- and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-cirrhosis. We investigated the risk to develop hepatic decompensation or HCC based on ALD or MASLD as the underlying etiology of cirrhosis.

METHODS

All patients with a new diagnosis in hospital-based outpatient care of ALD- or MASLD-cirrhosis in Sweden between 2002 and 2020 were identified using national registers. Hepatic decompensation was analyzed as a composite outcome with HCC. Cox regression was employed to compare rates of hepatic decompensation or HCC, and subsequent death.

RESULTS

1660 patients with ALD-cirrhosis and 943 patients with MASLD-cirrhosis were identified. The median ages were 64 years (IQR 57-70) and 69 years (IQR 62-75) in patients with ALD- and MASLD-cirrhosis, respectively. Patients with ALD-cirrhosis consisted of 69.4 % males, compared to 47.6 % males in the MASLD-cirrhosis group. 581 (35 %) patients with ALD-cirrhosis and 284 (30 %) patients with MASLD-cirrhosis developed hepatic decompensation or HCC (median follow-up time: 25 months), resulting in an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.12 (ALD- vs. MASLD-cirrhosis, 95 %-confidence interval=0.88-1.41). The adjusted risk of mortality afterwards was lower in patients with ALD-cirrhosis compared to patients with MASLD-cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio 0.62, 95 %-confidence interval=0.39-0.97).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of hepatic decompensation or HCC is comparable in patients with ALD- and MASLD-cirrhosis, but the risk of mortality after a decompensation event or HCC tends to be higher in patients with MASLD-cirrhosis.

From "Burnt-Out" to "Burning-Out": Capturing Liver Fat Loss in Patients With Advanced Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease From a Dynamic Perspective

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The absence of hepatic fat in advanced fibrosis has been documented in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (''burnt-out" MASLD). However, whether hepatic fat loss occurs continuously with fibrosis progression is controversial. We proposed a "burning-out" concept to describe this process and analyze the long-term outcomes of "burnt-out" and "burning-out" MASLD.

METHODS

We included a MASLD cohort from 16 centers, including 3273 individuals with baseline histology and 5455 with serial vibration-controlled transient elastography measurements during the follow-up. "Burnt-out" MASLD was defined by steatosis grade ≤S1 and fibrosis stage ≥F3. Trajectory analysis identified "burning-out" patients with continuous trends of decreasing controlled attenuation parameter and increasing liver stiffness measurement values.

RESULTS

Of 3273 patients with histologic evaluation included, 435 had "burnt-out" MASLD. Compared with those with pronounced steatosis in advanced fibrosis, patients with "burnt-out" had higher risks of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-4.02), liver-related events (LREs; HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.12-2.78), and hepatic decompensation (HR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.11-3.01). Of 5455 patients with vibration-controlled transient elastography included for trajectory analysis, 176 were identified as "burning-out" MASLD. The incidence rates of all-cause mortality, LREs, and decompensation were 7.28, 26.47, and 21.92 per 1000 person-years in "burning-out" patients, respectively. The "burning-out" group had higher cumulative incidences of adverse outcomes than patients with consistently high controlled attenuation parameter and moderate/low liver stiffness measurement values (P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous hepatic fat loss accompanied by fibrosis progression, referred to as "burning-out," was observed in advanced MASLD and associated with high rates of all-cause mortality, LREs, and hepatic decompensation.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in adults

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the umbrella term that comprises metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver, or isolated hepatic steatosis, through to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, the progressive necroinflammatory disease form that can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. MASLD is estimated to affect more than one-third of adults worldwide. MASLD is closely associated with insulin resistance, obesity, gut microbial dysbiosis and genetic risk factors. The obesity epidemic and the growing prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus greatly contribute to the increasing burden of MASLD. The treatment and prevention of major metabolic comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity will probably slow the growth of MASLD. In 2023, the field decided on a new nomenclature and agreed on a set of research and action priorities, and in 2024, the US FDA approved the first drug, resmetirom, for the treatment of non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Reliable, validated biomarkers that can replace histology for patient selection and primary end points in MASH trials will greatly accelerate the drug development process. Additionally, noninvasive tests that can reliably determine treatment response or predict response to therapy are warranted. Sustained efforts are required to combat the burden of MASLD by tackling metabolic risk factors, improving risk stratification and linkage to care, and increasing access to therapeutic agents and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Therapeutic landscape of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and its severe subgroup metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) have become a global epidemic and are driven by chronic overnutrition and multiple genetic susceptibility factors. The physiological outcomes include hepatocyte death, liver inflammation and cirrhosis. The first therapeutic for MASLD and MASH, resmetirom, has recently been approved for clinical use and has energized this therapeutic space. However, there is still much to learn in clinical studies of MASH, such as the scale of placebo responses, optimal trial end points, the time required for fibrosis reversal and side effect profiles. This Review introduces aspects of disease pathogenesis related to drug development and discusses two main therapeutic approaches. Thyroid hormone receptor-β agonists, such as resmetirom, as well as fatty acid synthase inhibitors, target the liver and enable it to function within a toxic metabolic environment. In parallel, incretin analogues such as semaglutide improve metabolism, allowing the liver to self-regulate and reversing many aspects of MASH. We also discuss how combinations of therapeutics could potentially be used to treat patients.

Long-term liver outcomes after metabolic surgery in compensated cirrhosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis

No therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in patients with cirrhosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). The Surgical Procedures Eliminate Compensated Cirrhosis In Advancing Long-term (SPECCIAL) observational study compared the effects of metabolic surgery and nonsurgical treatment in patients with obesity and compensated histologically proven MASH-related cirrhosis. Using a doubly robust estimation methodology to balance key baseline characteristics between groups, the time-to-incident MALO was compared between 62 patients (68% female) who underwent metabolic surgery and 106 nonsurgical controls (71% female), with a mean follow-up of 10.0 ± 4.5 years. The 15 year cumulative incidence of MALO was 20.9% (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.5-35.9%) in the surgical group compared with 46.4% (95% CI, 25.6-61.3%) in the nonsurgical group, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.28 (95% CI, 0.12-0.64), P = 0.003. The 15 year cumulative incidence of decompensated cirrhosis was 15.6% (95% CI, 0-31.3%) in the surgical group compared with 30.7% (95% CI, 12.9-44.8%) in the nonsurgical group, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.20 (95% CI, 0.06-0.68), P = 0.01. Among patients with compensated MASH-related cirrhosis and obesity, metabolic surgery, compared with nonsurgical management, was associated with a significantly lower risk of incident MALO. In the absence of approved medical therapies for compensated MASH-related cirrhosis, metabolic surgery may represent a safe and effective therapeutic option to influence the trajectory of cirrhosis.

Identifying and Linking Patients At Risk for MASLD with Advanced Fibrosis to Care in Primary Care

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Severity of fibrosis is the driver of liver-related outcomes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and non-invasive testing such as fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score is utilized for risk stratification. We aimed to determine if primary care patients at risk for MASLD and advanced fibrosis were evaluated with subsequent testing. A secondary aim was to determine if at-risk patients with normal aminotransferases had advanced fibrosis.

METHODS

Primary care patients at increased risk for MASLD with advanced fibrosis (n = 91,914) were identified using previously established criteria. Patients with known alternative/concomitant etiology of liver disease or cirrhosis were excluded. The study cohort included patients with calculated FIB-4 score in 2020 (n = 52,006), and stratified into low, indeterminate, and high likelihood of advanced fibrosis. Among those at indeterminate/high risk, rates of subsequent testing were measured.

RESULTS

Risk stratification with FIB-4 characterized 77% (n = 40,026) as low risk, 17% (n = 8847) as indeterminate, and 6% (n = 3133) as high risk. Among indeterminate/high-risk patients (n = 11,980), 78.7% (n = 9433) had aminotransferases within normal limits, 0.95% (n = 114) had elastography, and 8.2% (n = 984) were referred for subspecialty evaluation.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of primary care patients at risk for MASLD with fibrosis, the FIB-4 score identified a substantial proportion of indeterminate/high-risk patients, the majority of which had normal aminotransferase levels. Low rates of subsequent testing were observed. These data suggest that a majority of patients at increased risk for liver-related outcomes remain unrecognized and highlight opportunities to facilitate their identification.

Current Status of Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists in Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Clinical Perspective

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is currently a pressing public health issue associated with adverse outcomes such as cirrhosis, malignancy, transplantation, and mortality. Lifestyle modifications constitute the most effective and fundamental management approach, but they often pose challenges in sustaining long-term clinical benefits. Hence, there is a critical need to enhance our understanding through pharmacological management, which unfortunately remains limited. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have emerged as a leading treatment in the fields of diabetes and obesity, with recent preclinical and clinical studies indicating significant benefits in the management and treatment of MASLD. Our article begins by reviewing the beneficial therapeutic components of GLP-1RAs in MASLD. Subsequently, from a clinical research perspective, we concluded with the liver outcomes of current primary GLP-1RAs and co-agonists. Finally, we presented our insights on clinical concerns such as appropriate trial endpoints, management of comorbidities, and future developments. In conclusion, the benefits of GLP-1RAs in MASLD are promising, and background therapy involving metabolic modulation may represent one of the future therapeutic paradigms.

Controversies regarding albumin therapy in cirrhosis

Albumin is the most abundant protein in the human body and is synthetized exclusively by the liver. Therefore, serum albumin levels are reduced in acute and/or chronic liver disease. In cirrhosis, low levels of albumin predict the outcome. In advanced cirrhosis, the quality of albumin is decreased due to high oxidative stress and a proinflammatory state. Therefore, the administration of i.v. albumin would seem to be of pathophysiological relevance and benefit. Yet, the questions that remain are who, when, how much, and how often. While albumin infusion is recommended after large-volume paracentesis, at diagnosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, in acute kidney injury, and in hepatorenal syndrome, the amount and schedule of albumin to be administered require refinement, particularly given complications related to volume overload that have become increasingly apparent. Other indications for albumin such as infections other than spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hyponatremia, HE, prevention of poor outcomes in hospitalized, and in outpatients with cirrhosis are still debated. The results of studies in these settings are either negative, controversial, or inconclusive. This sheds some doubts regarding the use of albumin as a "one size fits all" strategy. The indication and patient selection are crucial and not always intuitive. The amount and frequency also seem to play a role in the success or failure of albumin. This review will critically discuss the evidence and underline areas where there are indications for albumin use and others where evidence is still insufficient and will have to await the development/results of randomized controlled trials.

Parallel randomised trial testing community fibrosis assessment for suspected non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: outcomes from LOCATE-NAFLD

OBJECTIVE

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is estimated to affect a third of Australian adults, and its prevalence is predicted to rise, increasing the burden on the healthcare system. The LOCal Assessment and Triage Evaluation of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (LOCATE-NAFLD) trialled a community-based fibrosis assessment service using FibroScan to reduce the time to diagnosis of high-risk NAFLD and improve patient outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a 1:1 parallel randomised trial to compare two alternative models of care for NAFLD diagnosis and assessment. Participants had suspected NAFLD and were referred to a hepatology clinic in one of three major hospitals in South-East Queensland. Eligible consenting participants were randomised to receive usual care or the intervention (LOCATE). Participants in the intervention arm received a FibroScan outside of the hospital setting, with results provided to their primary care provider and the referring hepatologist. All participants were followed up 12 months after randomisation to measure their clinical and patient-reported outcomes.

RESULTS

97 participants were recruited from October 2020 to December 2022. Of the 50 participants randomised to the intervention arm, one failed to attend their appointment, and of the 48 (98%) who had a FibroScan 13 (27%) had a liver stiffness measurement of 8.0 kPa or greater. The HR for the time to diagnosis of high risk was 1.28 (95% CI 0.59 to 2.79), indicating a faster average time to diagnosis with the intervention, but failing to conclusively demonstrate a faster time. The intervention did greatly reduce the time to FibroScan by almost 1 year (median difference 0.92 years, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.45). Other clinical outcomes showed minimal changes.

CONCLUSION

The LOCATE model shows potential for impact, particularly in reducing waiting times for patients at high risk of developing severe liver disease due to NAFLD. A larger sample and longer follow-ups are needed to measure additional clinical outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12620000158965.

Diagnostic accuracy of 2D-SWE ultrasound for liver fibrosis assessment in MASLD: A multilevel random effects model meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) imposes significant health care burdens. Early detection of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in MASLD is essential due to their unfavorable outcomes. This multilevel random-effects meta-analysis aimed to provide the best evidence for the diagnostic accuracy of 2-dimensional shear wave elastography in detecting liver fibrosis in biopsy-proven MASLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study involves systematic search in PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, LILACS, and Cochrane Library electronic databases for full-text articles published in any language up to February 26, 2024. Included studies reported liver stiffness measurement by 2-dimensional shear wave elastography and used histological diagnosis as the gold standard. A linear mixed-effects multiple thresholds model was employed, and summary estimates for sensitivity, specificity (Sp), and summary area under the receiver operator characteristic curve were computed. Twenty observational studies (SuperSonic Imagine, General Electric Healthcare, and Canon Medical Systems) fulfilled the inclusion criteria, comprising 2223 participants with biopsy-proven MASLD. The prevalence of mild fibrosis (F1), significant fibrosis (F2), advanced fibrosis (F3), and cirrhosis (F4) was 30.0%, 18.5%, 17.9%, and 10.9%, respectively. The summary area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [95% CI] in detecting ≥F1, ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 for all ultrasound machines considered together were 0.82 [0.16-0.98], 0.82 [0.76-0.88], 0.86 [0.77-0.93], and 0.89 [0.80-0.95], respectively. The optimal cutoff values were 6.432 kPa for ≥F1, 8.174 kPa for ≥F2, 9.418 kPa for ≥F3, and 11.548 kPa for F4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis identified optimized cutoffs for fibrosis staging by 2-dimensional shear wave elastography in etiology-specific chronic liver diseases (MASLD), with excellent diagnostic performance, underscoring the potential for standardizing cutoff values.

Steatotic liver disease

Steatotic liver disease is the overarching term for conditions characterised by abnormal lipid accumulation in the liver (liver or hepatic steatosis). Steatotic liver disease encompasses what was previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is now called metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Additionally, steatotic liver disease includes alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and MetALD, the new classification for the overlap between MASLD and ALD, and rare causes of liver steatosis. Cirrhosis is globally the 11th leading cause of death, and steatotic liver disease has become the leading cause of cirrhosis in the EU and USA. Steatotic liver disease affects around 30% of the global population and is mainly driven by obesity, type 2 diabetes, and alcohol intake, but only a minor proportion with steatotic liver disease progress to cirrhosis. The presence and progression of liver fibrosis led by hepatic inflammation is the main predictor of liver-related death across the entire spectrum of steatotic liver diseases. A combination of recent advancements of widely available biomarkers for early detection of liver fibrosis together with considerable advancements in therapeutic interventions offer the possibility to reduce morbidity and mortality in patients with steatotic liver disease. This Seminar covers the recent reclassification of steatotic liver disease and how it reflects clinical practice and prognosis. For early detection of liver fibrosis, we propose a collaborative diagnostic framework between primary care and liver specialists. Lastly, we discuss current best practices for managing steatotic liver disease, we explore therapeutic targets across the spectrum of steatotic liver diseases, and we review the pipeline of drugs in development for MASLD.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Current challenges and future perspectives in treating patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis

Despite the slow, progressive nature of NAFLD, the number of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis has significantly increased. Although the management of patients with cirrhosis is constantly evolving, improving the prognosis of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis is a challenge because it is situated at the crossroads between the liver, the metabolic, and the cardiovascular diseases. Therefore, the therapeutic interventions should not only target the liver but also the associated cardiometabolic conditions and should be adapted accordingly. The objective of the current review is to critically discuss the particularities in the management of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis. We relied on the recommendations of scientific societies and discussed them in the specific context of NAFLD cirrhosis and the surrounding cardiometabolic milieu. Herein, we covered the following aspects: (1) the weight loss strategies through lifestyle interventions to avoid sarcopenia and improve portal hypertension; (2) the optimal control of metabolic comorbidities in particular type 2 diabetes aimed not only to improve cardiovascular morbidity/mortality but also to lower the incidence of cirrhosis-related complications (we discussed various aspects related to the safety of oral antidiabetic drugs in cirrhosis); (3) the challenges in performing bariatric surgery in patients with cirrhosis related to the portal hypertension and the risk of cirrhosis decompensation; (4) the particularities in the diagnosis and management of the portal hypertension and the difficulties in managing patients awaiting for liver transplantation; and (5) the difficulties in developing drugs and conducting clinical trials in patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis. Moreover, we discussed the emerging options to overcome these obstacles.

Progression from Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis to Advanced Liver Diseases and Mortality Among Medicare Patients

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) may progress to more advanced liver disease. This study aimed to characterize NASH progression and mortality in the Medicare population.

METHODS

Patients with NASH in 100% Medicare fee-for-service claims accrued from 2015-2021 who were ≥ 66 years old at index diagnosis, continuously enrolled for ≥ 12 months prior to and ≥ 6 months following index (unless death), and had no evidence of other causes of liver disease were included. Diagnosis codes defined severity states: non-cirrhotic NASH, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver transplant (LT). Survival analyses of disease progression and mortality were conducted for each state and by year of progression (Y1-5). Cox proportional hazards models assessed risk factors of worsening disease.

RESULTS

Mean age and follow-up were 72.2 and 2.8 years in 14,806 unique patients (n = 12,990 NASH; 1899 CC; 997 DCC; 209 HCC; 140 LT). Progression rates were highest for patients with CC (11-37% for Y1-5), followed by DCC (3-18%), NASH (3-12%), and HCC (2-4%). Mortality rates were highest for patients with HCC (41-85% for Y1-5), followed by DCC (41-76%), LT (7-33%), CC (6-26%), and NASH (2-12%). Patients with any disease progression had a 5-year mortality rate more than double that of patients without progression (41% vs. 16%). Delayed progression from NASH was associated with lower mortality risk; the 5-year mortality rate was 26% lower for patients with progression in Y2 vs. Y1 (32% vs. 43%) and further decreased for progression in Y3-Y5. Risk factors included age, nursing home use, congestive heart failure, coagulopathy, fluid/electrolyte disorders, and unexplained weight loss.

CONCLUSION

Medicare patients ≥ 66 years with NASH experience high risk of disease progression associated with increased mortality rates. Slower disease progression is associated with lower mortality rates, suggesting that therapies that can delay or prevent NASH progression may reduce morbidity and mortality.

Overweight Impacts Histological Disease Activity of De Novo Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a leading indication for liver transplantation (LT), but also occurs after LT. The prevalence of de novo MASLD (dnMASLD) after LT, based on both surveillance (svLbx) and indication biopsies (indLbx), is unknown. Furthermore, the impact of the distinct cardiometabolic risk factors on histological disease activity has not been assessed. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of dnMASLD and the association between the cardiometabolic risk factors and histological disease activity.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective single-center study in a LT cohort with indLbx and svLbx. Patients with NAFLD before LT were excluded.

RESULTS

We analyzed 249 patients who underwent either svLbx or indLbx. Forty-eight (19.2%) had either dnMASLD (n = 26/249, 10.4%) or metabolic dysfunction associated steatohepatitis (dnMASH) (n = 22/249, 8.8%). Although dnMASLD/dnMASH was more frequent in indLbx (35.1%, p < 0.01), still 16.5% of patients with svLbx had dnMASLD/dnMASH. While overweight (p < 0.01) and diabetes (p = 0.01) were more frequent in patients with dnMASH, only overweight was associated with histological disease activity in the multivariate analysis. No impact of dnMASLD on the overall survival was observed.

CONCLUSION

While dnMASLD is more frequent in patients with indLBX, it also occurs in 16.5% of patients without signs of graft dysfunction. Overweight has the strongest impact on histological disease activity and should be monitored carefully after LT.

Evaluating the efficacy of 8 non-invasive models in predicting MASLD and progression: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Selecting the optimal non-invasive diagnostic model for MASLD (Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatosis Liver Disease) and steatosis progression is a critical issue given the variety of available models. We aimed to compare the performance of eight clinical prediction models for diagnosing and predicting the progression of hepatic steatosis using MRI-PDFF (Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Derived Proton Density Fat Fraction), and validate the findings with FibroScan and histopathological results.

METHODS

In this study, 846 participants were initially enrolled, with 108 undergoing liver biopsy and 706 completing one-year follow-up, including 26 who underwent repeat biopsy. We calculated scores for eight clinical prediction models (FAST, KNAFLD, HSI, FLI, Liver Fat Score, Liver Fat Equation, BAAT, LAP) using collected clinical data and defined steatosis progression as a 30% relative increase in liver fat content (LFC) measured by MRI-PDFF. CAP(Controlled Attenuation Parameter) and LSM (Liver Stiffness Measurement) were obtained by Fibroscan. MRI-PDFF served as the reference standard for evaluating model accuracy, and sensitivity analyses were performed using liver biopsy and Fibroscan results.

RESULTS

Among the eight clinical models, NAS (nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score) showed higher correlation with the FAST and KNAFLD models (r: 0.62 and 0.52, respectively). Among the whole cohort (N = 846), KNAFLD was the best model for predicting different degrees of hepatic steatosis (AUC = 0.84). When the KNAFLD score was above 2.935, LFC was significantly higher (4.4% vs. 19.7%, P < 0.001). After 1 year of follow-up (N = 706), FAST performed best in predicting MASLD progression (AUC = 0.84); with dFAST > -0.02, LFC increased (8.6-10.9%, P < 0.05), mean LSM increased by 0.51 kPa, and with dFAST < -0.02, LFC significantly decreased (11.5-8.5%, P < 0.05), mean LSM and NAS decreased by 0.87 kPa and 0.76, respectively (both P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Most models demonstrated good diagnostic and prognostic capabilities for hepatic steatosis, with FAST and KNAFLD showing particular promise as primary non-invasive tools in clinical practice.

TRAIL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry NO: ChiCTR2100054743, Registered December 26, 2021.

Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Type 2 Diabetes: A Deadly Synergy

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are both facets of the metabolic syndrome, associated with obesity and insulin resistance. MASLD, a term that replaces non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), occurs in up to 70% of people with T2D. Not only do T2D and MASLD commonly co-occur, but there is a synergistic, bidirectional relationship between these conditions, meaning that each affects the natural disease course of the other. As such, it is important for those caring for people with T2D to recognize the importance of this co-diagnosis. In this summary, we detail the synergistic relationship between T2D and MASLD, explain the current challenges in recognizing this common co-diagnosis and suggest practical approaches for those caring for people with T2D to improve the diagnosis and treatment of MASLD.

Natural history and progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

The natural history of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously referred to as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is complex and long. A minority of patients develop inflammation and risk progressive fibrosis that can result in cirrhosis. Progression to cirrhosis occurs in 3-5% of patients and often takes more than 20 years. This narrative review presents an update on the natural history of MASLD, discussing studies and risk estimates for progression to severe outcomes, such as decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. We highlight the dynamic progression of liver damage, how to identify patients whose disease progresses over time, and how risk factors might be mitigated to reduce the risk for disease progression.

Epidemiology and diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

The most common chronic liver illness worldwide is metabolic dysfunction linked to fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which is poorly understood by doctors and patients. Many people with this disease develop steatohepatitis, cirrhosis and its consequences, as well as extrahepatic manifestations; these conditions are particularly common if they are linked to diabetes mellitus or obesity. A breakthrough with numerous benefits is the switch from NAFLD to MAFLD in terms of terminology and methodology. The diagnosis of MAFLD is based on affirmative criteria; unlike NAFLD, it is no longer based on exclusion. The diagnosis of MAFLD and the evaluation of steatosis and fibrosis is achieved using liver biopsy and non-invasive laboratory or radiographic techniques. We briefly address the most recent developments in MAFLD epidemiology and diagnosis.

A landscape of liver cirrhosis and transplantation in Mexico: Changing leading causes and transplant as response

Liver cirrhosis causes include alcoholism, viral infections (hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV)), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), and metabolic dysfunction associated with steatotic liver disease (MASLD), among others. Cirrhosis frequency has increased in recent years, with a prevalence of 1395 cases per 100,000 and a mortality rate of 18 per 100,000, which corresponded to 1,472,000 deaths during 2017. In Mexico, liver disease is a public health problem since it was associated to 41,890 deaths in 2022, including liver cirrhosis (>25,000) and ALD (14,927). This represents 114 daily deaths due to these causes, and corresponds to the 4th or 5th place of all causes. The global prevalence of MASLD is estimated to affect 25% of the world's population, while in the pediatric population it could be higher. In Mexican population it is more prevalent since estimations were around 41.3% in 2023. Alcohol consumption, a global health issue due to its high prevalence and associated morbidities, is associated to ALD in 32.9%, with a mortality rate of 23.9%, primarily due to liver-related causes. In Mexico, ALD is present in 23% of all cirrhosis cases, already surpassed by hepatitis B cases in 2009. HCV and HBV frequencies changed due to programs implementing screening detection, vaccines and direct-acting antivirals during the last years. A switch of causes has occurred, increasing MASLD and diminishing viral causes. Efficient performed liver transplantation has grown as a response to increasing cirrhosis cases, including recent authorized centers. These efforts are necessary, whereas preventive strategies should be implemented according to leading causes.

Prevalence and prognosis of patients with MASLD-related cirrhosis after an ICU hospitalization in France: A single-centre prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-related cirrhosis has been increasing these last decades. There are no data regarding the prevalence of MASLD-related cirrhosis in intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

Prospective single-centre study in a cohort of patients hospitalized in the ICU of Hepatology La Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital between January 2019 and September 2021. We analysed three groups of patients: MASLD-cirrhosis (alcohol ≤210 g for men and 140 g weekly for women), ALD (alcohol-related liver disease, alcohol>140 g weekly for women or >210 g for men)-cirrhosis alone and MetALD (metabolic and alcohol-related liver disease)-cirrhosis. Endpoints were 1-year transplant-free survival (TFS), further acute decompensation (AD) and re-admission.

RESULTS

A total of 410 patients were hospitalized, and 315 analysed: 39 in MASLD, 160 in ALD and 116 in MetALD groups. The global prevalence was 10% for MASLD, 41% ALD and 29.7% for MetALD. Patients in the MASLD group were significantly older (65 vs. 57 and 59 years, p < 0.001), and had lower Child-Pugh (8 vs. 11 vs. 10, p < 0.001) and MELD score (17 vs. 22 vs. 21, p < 0.001). The 1-year TFS was not different between groups (53% vs. 54% vs. 54%, p = 0.96). Cardiovascular mortality was <5% in all groups. The 1-year probability of developing hepatic encephalopathy was significantly higher in the MASLD group (73% vs. 27% and 21%, p < 0.001). There was no difference regarding the development of other complications between groups.

CONCLUSION

MASLD or MetALD was responsible for 1/3 of the causes of cirrhosis in the ICU. MASLD-related cirrhosis is as severe as ALD-related cirrhosis. Liver transplantation should be rapidly discussed.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of biomarkers predicting decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis is crucial, drastically reducing prognosis from a median survival of over 10 years to 2 years. There is currently an unmet need to accurately predict decompensation. We systematically reviewed and meta-analysed data regarding biomarker use to predict decompensation in individuals with compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE database searches were conducted for all studies from inception until February 2024. The study was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The Quality of Prognosis Studies framework was used to assess the risk of bias. The meta-analysis was conducted with a random effects model using STATA software.

RESULTS

Of the 652 studies initially identified, 63 studies (n=31 438 patients) were included in the final review, examining 49 biomarkers. 25 studies (40%) were prospective with the majority of studies looking at all-cause decompensation (90%). The most well-studied biomarkers were platelets (n=17), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (n=17) and albumin (n=16). A meta-analysis revealed elevated international normalised ratio was the strongest predictor of decompensation, followed by decreased albumin. However, high statistical heterogeneity was noted (l2 result of 96.3%). Furthermore, 21 studies were assessed as having a low risk of bias (34%), 26 (41%) moderate risk and 16 (25%) high risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights key biomarkers that should potentially be incorporated into future scoring systems to predict decompensation. However, future biomarker studies should be conducted with rigorous and standardised methodology to ensure robust and comparable data.

Trajectories of hepatic steatosis and incidence of cardiovascular disease over a 29-year follow-up

AIM

To examine the dynamic change in hepatic steatosis status during repeated assessments over time, and its potential impact on the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

We assessed trajectories of hepatic steatosis and other metabolic disorders in 3134 middle-aged adults undergoing longitudinal assessment of ultrasonography during a pre-baseline period (1993-2009) in a population-based cohort study of liver health. Subsequently, we determined the association of hepatic steatosis trajectories with the incidence of CVD among 2185 CVD-free individuals, followed until 2021. Metabolic risk factors and cardiovascular events (including coronary heart disease and stroke) were determined through medical examination and linkage with nationwide health databases.

RESULTS

We identified three discrete trajectories of hepatic steatosis according to changing pattern over time through group-based trajectory modeling: "stable, non-steatosis" (n = 1298), "intermittent" (n = 921), and "persistent steatosis" (n = 915). During the pre-baseline period, hepatic steatosis trajectories were associated with trajectories of developing diabetes and hypertension, and persistent steatosis (vs. other trajectories) was associated with higher risks and rapidly progressive disease patterns. At a median 13.6 years of follow-up, 629 CVD events occurred. A persistent (vs. non-steatosis: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.17-1.76), but not intermittent, steatosis pattern predicted the future risk of CVD, after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, and obesity. This association was independent of genetic background, and remained after accounting for pre-baseline body-mass index, other cardiometabolic risk factors, Framingham risk score, medications, and hepatic fibrosis score.

CONCLUSIONS

The persistence of hepatic steatosis is associated with trajectories of metabolic disorder development and increased risk of CVD. These data have important implications for practice and further research.

Point-of-Care Noninvasive Prediction of Liver-Related Events in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individual risk prediction of liver-related events (LRE) is needed for clinical assessment of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients. We aimed to provide point-of-care validated liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-based risk prediction models for the development of LRE in patients with NAFLD, focusing on selecting patients for clinical trials at risk of clinical events.

METHODS

Two large multicenter cohorts were evaluated, 2638 NAFLD patients covering all LSM values as the derivation cohort and 679 more advanced patients as the validation cohort. We used Cox regression to develop and validate risk prediction models based on LSM alone, and the ANTICIPATE and ANTICIPATE-NASH models for clinically significant portal hypertension. The main outcome of the study was the rate of LRE in the first 3 years after initial assessment.

RESULTS

The 3 predictive models had similar performance in the derivation cohort with a very high discriminative value (c-statistic, 0.87-0.91). In the validation cohort, the LSM-LRE alone model had a significant inferior discrimination (c-statistic, 0.75) compared with the other 2 models, whereas the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model (0.81) was significantly better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model (0.79). In addition, the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model presented very good calibration in the validation cohort (integrated calibration index, 0.016), and was better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model.

CONCLUSIONS

The ANTICIPATE-LRE models, and especially the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model, could be valuable validated clinical tools to individually assess the risk of LRE at 3 years in patients with NAFLD/NASH.

Australians with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease have a twofold increase in the incidence of cancer

Background and Aim

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic morbidity. We compared the incidence of cancers in adults admitted to Queensland hospitals with MASLD with that for the Queensland population and examined the association between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes and the development of extrahepatic cancers.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we identified all cancers (Queensland Cancer Registry) after the first hospitalization with MASLD during Jul-2007 to Dec-2019, estimated age-standardized incidence (ASI) of cancers, and compared that with the ASI in the Queensland population (incidence rate ratios [IRR]). Among the MASLD cohort, we examined the association between diabetes and cancer risk (Cox regression). Median follow-up was 3.8 years (54 204 person-years).

Results

Totally 1104 new cancers were diagnosed in 1018 patients (8.9% of 9771 non-cirrhotic and 1712 adults with cirrhosis). The ASI (all cancers) of 1668.2 per 100 000 person-years in men (95% CI 1523.7-1827.4) and 1284.0 per 100 000 person-years in women (95% CI 1169.6-1408.2) was 2-fold higher than that of the Queensland population (IRR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.75-2.16 and IRR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.78-2.22, respectively). Incidence of stomach cancer, unknown primary, and pancreas was 3- to 5-fold higher compared to the general population (all P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis of the MASLD cohort, older age (e.g. ≥70 years adjusted hazard ratio [adj-HR] = 4.59, 95% CI 3.61-5.83), male gender (adj-HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37), and cirrhosis (adj-HR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.11-1.70) were independently associated with extrahepatic cancer risk, while diabetes was not.

Conclusions

Our findings will help to raise awareness among clinicians about the importance of cancer vigilance in this patient group.

Non-invasive biomarkers prognostic of decompensation events in NASH cirrhosis: a systematic literature review

Liver cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a life-threatening condition with increasing incidence world-wide. Although its symptoms are unspecific, it can lead to decompensation events such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In addition, an increased risk for cardiovascular events has been demonstrated in patients with NASH. Pharmacological treatments for NASH cirrhosis are not yet available, one of the reasons being the lack in surrogate endpoints available in clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. The feasibility of non-invasive prognostic biomarkers makes them interesting candidates as possible surrogate endpoints if their change following treatment would result in better outcomes for patients in future clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. In this systematic literature review, a summary of the available literature on the prognostic performance of non-invasive biomarkers in terms of cardiovascular events, liver-related events, and mortality is outlined. Due to the scarcity of data specific for NASH cirrhosis, this review includes studies on NAFLD whose evaluation focuses on cirrhosis. Our search strategy identified the following non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in studies of NASH patients: NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF™), BARD (BMI, AST/ALT (alanine aminotransferase) ratio, diabetes), Hepamet Fibrosis Score (HFS), liver enzymes (AST + ALT), alpha-fetoprotein, platelet count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), Lysyl oxidase-like (LOXL) 2, miR-122, liver stiffness, MEFIB (liver stiffness measured with magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) + FIB-4), and PNPLA3 GG genotype. The aim of the present systematic literature review is to provide the reader with a summary of the non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in NASH cirrhosis and give an evaluation of their utility as treatment monitoring biomarkers in future clinical trials.

A Composite Blood Biomarker Including AKR1B10 and Cytokeratin 18 for Progressive Types of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGRUOUND

We aimed to evaluate whether composite blood biomarkers including aldo-keto reductase family 1 member B10 (AKR1B10) and cytokeratin 18 (CK-18; a nonalcoholic steatohepatitis [NASH] marker) have clinically applicable performance for the diagnosis of NASH, advanced liver fibrosis, and high-risk NASH (NASH+significant fibrosis).

METHODS

A total of 116 subjects including healthy control subjects and patients with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were analyzed to assess composite blood-based and imaging-based biomarkers either singly or in combination.

RESULTS

A composite blood biomarker comprised of AKR1B10, CK-18, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) showed excellent performance for the diagnosis of, NASH, advanced fibrosis, and high-risk NASH, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.934 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.888 to 0.981), 0.902 (95% CI, 0.832 to 0.971), and 0.918 (95% CI, 0.862 to 0.974), respectively. However, the performance of this blood composite biomarker was inferior to that various magnetic resonance (MR)-based composite biomarkers, such as proton density fat fraction/MR elastography- liver stiffness measurement (MRE-LSM)/ALT/AST for NASH, MRE-LSM+fibrosis-4 index for advanced fibrosis, and the known MR imaging-AST (MAST) score for high-risk NASH.

CONCLUSION

Our blood composite biomarker can be useful to distinguish progressive forms of NAFLD as an initial noninvasive test when MR-based tools are not available.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

Natural history of clinical outcomes and hepatic decompensation in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The natural progression of hepatic decompensation in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is not well-characterised. We aimed to describe it by conducting a retrospective analysis.

METHODS

This longitudinal, retrospective analysis of well-characterised MASLD cohorts followed for hepatic decompensation and death. The sequence of liver-related events was evaluated, and the median time between hepatic decompensation episodes and death versus. transplantation was measured.

RESULTS

Of the 2016 patients identified, 220 (11%) developed at least one episode of hepatic decompensation during a median follow-up of 3.2 years. Ascites was the most common first liver-related event [153 (69.5%)], followed by hepatic encephalopathy (HE) [55 (25%)] and variceal haemorrhage (VH) [30 (13.6%)]. Eighteen out of the 220 (8.1%) patients had more than one liver-related event as their first hepatic decompensation. Among the patients who had the first episode, 87 (39.5%) had a second episode [44 (50.5%) HE, 31 (35.6%) ascites, and 12 (13.7%) VH]. Eighteen out of 220 (8.1%) had a third episode [10 (55.5%) HE, 6 (33.3%) VH, and 2 (11.1%) ascites]. Seventy-three out of 220 (33.1%) died, and 31 (14%) received liver transplantation. The median time from the first episode to the second was 0.7 years and 1.3 years from the second episode to the third. The median survival time from the first episode to death or transplantation was 2.0 years.

CONCLUSION

The most common first liver-related event in MASLD patients is ascites. The median survival from the first hepatic decompensation to either death or transplantation is 2 years.

New nomenclature for fatty liver disease

This review investigates that, in 2023, fatty liver disease underwent a name change to "steatotic liver disease" (SLD). SLD now includes metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), alcohol-related liver disease (ALD), and metabolic and alcohol-related liver disease (MetALD). The renaming aims to better incorporate alcohol intake and metabolic risk factors into disease classification and to diminish the stigma associated with the previous nomenclature. Early identification of the patient's aetiology is important for the prognosis which can be improved by interventions against the causative risk factors.

mARC1 in MASLD: Modulation of lipid accumulation in human hepatocytes and adipocytes

BACKGROUND

Mutations in the gene MTARC1 (mitochondrial amidoxime-reducing component 1) protect carriers from metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and cirrhosis. MTARC1 encodes the mARC1 enzyme, which is localized to the mitochondria and has no known MASH-relevant molecular function. Our studies aimed to expand on the published human genetic mARC1 data and to observe the molecular effects of mARC1 modulation in preclinical MASH models.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We identified a novel human structural variant deletion in MTARC1, which is associated with various biomarkers of liver health, including alanine aminotransferase levels. Phenome-wide Mendelian Randomization analyses additionally identified novel putatively causal associations between MTARC1 expression, and esophageal varices and cardiorespiratory traits. We observed that protective MTARC1 variants decreased protein accumulation in in vitro overexpression systems and used genetic tools to study mARC1 depletion in relevant human and mouse systems. Hepatocyte mARC1 knockdown in murine MASH models reduced body weight, liver steatosis, oxidative stress, cell death, and fibrogenesis markers. mARC1 siRNA treatment and overexpression modulated lipid accumulation and cell death consistently in primary human hepatocytes, hepatocyte cell lines, and primary human adipocytes. mARC1 depletion affected the accumulation of distinct lipid species and the expression of inflammatory and mitochondrial pathway genes/proteins in both in vitro and in vivo models.

CONCLUSIONS

Depleting hepatocyte mARC1 improved metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related outcomes. Given the functional role of mARC1 in human adipocyte lipid accumulation, systemic targeting of mARC1 should be considered when designing mARC1 therapies. Our data point to plasma lipid biomarkers predictive of mARC1 abundance, such as Ceramide 22:1. We propose future areas of study to describe the precise molecular function of mARC1, including lipid trafficking and subcellular location within or around the mitochondria and endoplasmic reticulum.

High prevalence of diabetes among young First Nations Peoples with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a population-based study in Australia

BACKGROUND

Liver disease is an important contributor to the mortality gap between First Nations Peoples and non-Indigenous Australian adults. Despite a high burden of metabolic comorbidities among First Nations Peoples, data about the epidemiology of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in this population is scarce.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all adults hospitalized with MASLD or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with/without cirrhosis during 2007-2019 in the state of Queensland was performed. Patients were followed from the first admission with MASLD/MASH (identified based on validated algorithms) to decompensated cirrhosis and overall mortality. We explored differences according to Indigenous status using Multivariable Cox regression.

FINDINGS

439 First Nations Peoples and 7,547 non-Indigenous Australians were followed for a median of 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.7-7.2). Overall, women were overrepresented, but more so in the First Nations cohort (72.7% vs. 57.0%, p < 0.001). First Nations patients were younger, a higher proportion lived in remote and socioeconomic disadvantaged areas, and had higher comorbidity compared to non-Indigenous Australians (all p < 0.001). Diabetes, the most common comorbidity affecting both groups, was overrepresented in First Nations Peoples versus non-Indigenous Australians (43.5% vs. 30.8%, p < 0.001, respectively). Nineteen (4.3%) First Nations Peoples and 332 (4.4%) of non-Indigenous patients progressed to cirrhosis decompensation (9.0% [95%CI 4.5-17.7] vs. 7.7% [95%CI 6.6-8.9; p = 0.956] respectively within 10 years). In multivariable analysis, there was no association between Indigenous status and progression to decompensated cirrhosis (p = 0.759) and survival (p = 0.437).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides the first population-based epidemiological data on MASLD in First Nations Australians. The high prevalence of diabetes (that is associated with advanced fibrosis and liver disease mortality) among young First Nations Peoples with MASLD raises concern about future risk of progressive liver disease in this patient population. These data highlight the importance of early identification of MASLD, and providing culturally appropriate intervention to reduce disease progression in parallel with the management of cardiometabolic comorbidities.

Voluntary exercise fails to prevent metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease progression in male rats fed a high-fat high-cholesterol diet

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a major public health issue with a worldwide prevalence of 30%-32%. In animal models, voluntary exercise may be an alternative to forced physical activity, avoiding stress, potential injuries, and being logistically simpler. Here, we assessed voluntary exercise (Vex) in Sprague-Dawley rats fed a high-fat, high-cholesterol diet for 18 weeks to induce MASLD. We quantified workload (speed and distance) using exercise wheels and evaluated energy expenditure using calorimetric cages. MASLD progression was assessed using circulating and hepatic biochemical and gene markers of steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis. The animals ran an average of 301 km during the study period, with the average daily distance peaking at 4937 m/day during Weeks 3-4 before decreasing to 757 m/day by the end of the study. Rats exposed to Vex showed no improvement in any of the MASLD-associated features, such as steatosis, inflammation, or fibrosis. Rats exposed to Vex exhibited a higher total energy expenditure during the night phase (+0.35 kcal/h; p = 0.003) without resulting in any effect on body composition. We conclude that, in our experimental conditions, Vex failed to prevent MASLD progression in male Sprague-Dawley rats exposed to a high-fat high-cholesterol diet for 18 weeks.

Optimizing surveillance of low-risk metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease using transient elastography

BACKGROUND

Most people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) lack significant fibrosis and are considered low-risk. Surveillance strategy for low-risk MASLD remains uncertain.

AIM

Identify which low-risk subjects can avoid follow-up vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) within 1 year.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of two independent low-risk MASLD cohorts (baseline liver stiffness [LS] < 8kPa) with routine 6-12 months follow-up VCTE. The primary outcome was LS ≥ 8kPa on follow-up, requiring referral and further work-up according to current guidance. Predictors of the primary outcome on univariate and multivariate logistic regression were incorporated into a decision algorithm, and validated in an independent cohort.

RESULTS

Of 206 subjects in the derivation cohort, 96 were low-risk. After a median of 10 months, 24 (25%) low-risk subjects had LS ≥ 8kPa. Baseline LS ( P  < 0.01) and ALT change from baseline ( P  = 0.02) (multivariate AUROC = 0.84 [0.74-0.94]) predicted the primary outcome, and were incorporated to a two-step decision algorithm. Low-risk subjects with baseline LS < 5.5 kPa can avoid repeating VCTE in a year, while those with LS > 6.8 kPa require one. For intermediate baseline LS (5.5-6.8kPa), repeat VCTE is only indicated when ALT increase > 6 U/L. The algorithm had 92% negative predictive value, 78% specificity, and 78% accuracy in the derivation cohort. In the validation cohort (n = 64), it had 91% NPV, 72% specificity, and 71% accuracy.

CONCLUSION

In low-risk MASLD, a simple algorithm combining baseline LS and ALT change can be used to safely avoid a repeat VCTE in a year.

Further decompensation in cirrhosis: Results of a large multicenter cohort study supporting Baveno VII statements

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognostic weight of further decompensation in cirrhosis is still unclear. We investigated the incidence of further decompensation and its effect on mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Multicenter cohort study. The cumulative incidence of further decompensation (development of a second event or complication of a decompensating event) was assessed using competing risks analysis in 2028 patients. A 4-state model was built: first decompensation, further decompensation, liver transplant, and death. A cause-specific Cox model was used to assess the adjusted effect of further decompensation on mortality. Sensitivity analyses were performed for patients included before or after 1999. In a mean follow-up of 43 months, 1192 patients developed further decompensation and 649 died. Corresponding 5-year cumulative incidences were 52% and 35%, respectively. The cumulative incidences of death and liver transplant after further decompensation were 55% and 9.7%, respectively. The most common further decompensating event was ascites/complications of ascites. Five-year probabilities of state occupation were 24% alive with first decompensation, 21% alive with further decompensation, 7% alive with a liver transplant, 16% dead after first decompensation without further decompensation, 31% dead after further decompensation, and <1% dead after liver transplant. The HR for death after further decompensation, adjusted for known prognostic indicators, was 1.46 (95% CI: 1.23-1.71) ( p <0.001). The significant impact of further decompensation on survival was confirmed in patients included before or after 1999.

CONCLUSIONS

In cirrhosis, further decompensation occurs in ~60% of patients, significantly increases mortality, and should be considered a more advanced stage of decompensated cirrhosis.

Validation of the new nomenclature of steatotic liver disease in patients with a history of excessive alcohol intake: an analysis of data from a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Steatotic liver disease is a new overarching term that includes metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-related steatotic liver disease (MetALD), and alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). We aimed to validate the prognostic importance of MASLD, MetALD, and ALD as steatotic liver disease subclasses.

METHODS

Between April 18, 2013, and Sept 17, 2018, we prospectively recruited patients aged 18-75 years with current or previous excessive alcohol intake (>24 g/day for women and >36 g/day for men) for at least a year and no previous hepatic decompensation from the Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology at Odense University Hospital (Odense, Denmark). Participants were followed up until Sept 15, 2022. Here, we characterise these patients according to steatotic liver disease subclasses. We classified patients as having MASLD, MetALD, or ALD in accordance with the nomenclature definitions, on the basis of metabolic comorbidity and self-reported average alcohol intake in the 3 months leading up to inclusion. Histological scoring was done by a pathologist who was masked to the clinical data. We compared prognoses between classes using Cox regression analyses on hepatic decompensation and overall mortality as the two outcome measures. Patients not meeting the criteria for steatotic liver disease were classified as no steatotic liver disease and served as a reference group.

FINDINGS

We enrolled 446 patients with a history of excessive alcohol intake were included in this analysis (334 [75%] were male and 112 [25%] were female; median age 56 years [SD 10]). Cirrhosis was present in 58 (13%), and 435 (98%) had at least one cardiometabolic risk factor. 321 (72%) met steatotic liver disease criteria and 125 (28%) did not have steatotic liver disease, meaning no evident liver steatosis and no significant fibrosis (≥F2). Of the 321 patients with steatotic liver disease, six (2%) were identified as having ALD due to the absence of cardiometabolic risk factors. The remaining 315 (98%) patients presented with at least one cardiometabolic risk factor. Of these patients, 153 (49%) had MASLD, 76 (24%) had MetALD, and 86 (27%) had ALD. During follow-up, 67 (15%) of 446 patients decompensated and 97 (22%) died (median follow-up 70 months [IQR 53-94]). Patients with steatotic liver disease had a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation and overall mortality than those without steatotic liver disease, independent of age, sex, and liver stiffness. The risk of decompensation increased in a stepwise manner from MASLD (hazard ratio 4·73 [95% CI 1·03-21·6]), through MetALD (7·69 [1·66-35·6]), to ALD (10·2 [2·24-46·4]). Similarly, overall mortality increased from MASLD (HR 2·30 [95% CI 1·08-4·90]), through MetALD (2·94 [1·31-6·58]), to ALD (3·57 [1·64-7·80]), independent of age, sex, and liver stiffness.

INTERPRETATION

Steatotic liver disease and its subclasses portend distinct prognoses. There is a need to specify how historical alcohol intake should be integrated into the nomenclature and risk stratification of steatotic liver disease.

FUNDING

EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program.

Understanding the Burden of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Time for Action

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the United States is 38%, having increased by 50% within the past 3 decades. The estimated NAFLD prevalence among people with type 2 diabetes is 55-70%. The presence of type 2 diabetes is associated with a higher likelihood of progression of NAFLD to fibrosis development, liver transplant, and death. Cardiovascular disease is the main cause of mortality among people with NAFLD, and the risk of death is significantly higher in people with both NAFLD and type 2 diabetes. NAFLD carries high patient and economic burdens but low awareness among both the general public and health care providers. This article reviews the epidemiology of NAFLD and discusses the need for appropriate risk stratification, referral for specialty care, management of cardiometabolic risk factors, and treatment of the disease. The authors present a call to action to raise awareness of NAFLD and address its increasing burden in a systematic and efficient manner.

Comparison of all-cause mortality associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease in Taiwan MJ cohort

OBJECTIVES

The global burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is rising. An alternative term, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), instead highlights the associated metabolic risks. This cohort study examined patient classifications under NAFLD and MAFLD criteria and their associations with all-cause mortality.

METHODS

Participants who attended a paid health check-up (2012-2015) were included. Hepatic steatosis (HS) was diagnosed ultrasonographically. NAFLD was defined as HS without secondary causes, while MAFLD involved HS with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, or ≥2 metabolic dysfunctions. Mortality was tracked via the Taiwan Death Registry until November 30, 2022.

RESULTS

Of 118,915 participants, 36.9% had NAFLD, 40.2% had MAFLD, and 32.9% met both definitions. Participants with NAFLD alone had lower mortality, and those with MAFLD alone had higher mortality, than individuals with both conditions. After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78 to 1.48) for NAFLD alone and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.47) for MAFLD alone, relative to both conditions. Advanced fibrosis conferred greater mortality risk, with HRs of 1.93 (95% CI, 1.44 to 2.58) and 2.08 (95% CI, 1.61 to 2.70) for advanced fibrotic NAFLD and MAFLD, respectively. Key mortality risk factors for NAFLD and MAFLD included older age, unmarried status, higher body mass index, smoking, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, and advanced fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

All-cause mortality in NAFLD and/or MAFLD was linked to cardiometabolic covariates, with risk attenuated after multivariable adjustment. A high fibrosis-4 index score, indicating fibrosis, could identify fatty liver disease cases involving elevated mortality risk.

Relevance of GLP-1 receptor agonists or SGLT-2 inhibitors on the recruitment for clinical studies in patients with NAFLD

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines increasingly recommend the use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) or sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) to prevent cardiovascular and cardiorenal endpoints. Both drugs also show beneficial effects in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Preexisting GLP-1 RA and SGLT2i therapies are frequently defined as exclusion criterion in clinical studies to avoid confounding effects. We therefore investigated how this might limit recruitment and design of NAFLD studies.

METHODS

GLP-1 RA and SGLT2i prescriptions were analyzed in NAFLD patients with diabetes mellitus recruited at a tertiary referral center and from the population-based LIFE-Adult-Study. Individuals were stratified according to noninvasive parameters of liver fibrosis based on vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE).

RESULTS

97 individuals were recruited at tertiary care and 473 from the LIFE-Adult-Study. VCTE was available in 97/97 and 147/473 cases.GLP-1 RA or SGLT2i were used in 11.9% of the population-based cohort (LSM < 8 kPa), but in 32.0% with LSM ≥ 8 kPa. In the tertiary clinic, it was 30.9% overall, independent of LSM, and 36.8% in patients with medium and high risk for fibrotic NASH (FAST score > 0.35). At baseline, 3.1% of the patients in tertiary care were taking GLP-1 RA and 4.1% SGLT2i. Four years later, the numbers had increased to 15.5% and 21.6%.

CONCLUSION

GLP-1 RA and SGLT2i are frequently and increasingly prescribed. In candidates for liver biopsy for NASH studies (VCTE ≥ 8 kPa) the use of them exceeds 30%, which needs careful consideration when designing NASH trials.

Changing Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within the United States and Worldwide

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. The predominant cause of HCC is shifting from viral to nonviral causes, in parallel with the high global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and increasing alcohol consumption in many countries. There have been promising recent advances in the treatment of all stages of HCC; however, improvements in early detection, increased utilization of HCC surveillance, and equitable access to HCC therapies are needed to curb increases in HCC mortality.

NAFLD and NAFLD-related HCC in Asia: Burden and Surveillance

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is rapidly emerging as a leading etiology of chronic liver disease (CLD) in Asia. The increasing incidence of NAFLD is projected to drive a surge in NAFLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A notable characteristic of NAFLD-HCC is its capacity for development in individuals without cirrhosis in more than a third of patients. Most practice guidelines recommend biannual ultrasound screening for patients with cirrhosis. In cases of severe limitations to ultrasound visualisation, cross-sectional abdominal imaging may be warranted. Improved strategies for HCC risk stratification are required for people with NAFLD but without cirrhosis. In this Review, we discuss the evolving trends of NAFLD and HCC in Asia, and implications for surveillance.

MASLD treatment-a shift in the paradigm is imminent

MASLD prevalence is growing towards the leading cause of end-stage liver disease. Up to today, the most effective treatment is weight loss. Weight loss interventions are moving from lifestyle changes to bariatric surgery or endoscopy, and, more recently, to a new wave of anti-obesity drugs that can compete with bariatric surgery. Liver-targeted therapy is a necessity for those patients who already present liver fibrosis. The field is moving fast, and in the near future, we will testify to a disruptive change in MASLD treatment, similar to the paradigm-shift that occurred for hepatitis C almost one decade ago with direct antiviral agents.

Exercise in the Management of Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) in Adults: A Position Statement from Exercise and Sport Science Australia

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting 25% of people globally and up to 80% of people with obesity. MAFLD is characterised by fat accumulation in the liver (hepatic steatosis) with varying degrees of inflammation and fibrosis. MAFLD is strongly linked with cardiometabolic disease and lifestyle-related cancers, in addition to heightened liver-related morbidity and mortality. This position statement examines evidence for exercise in the management of MAFLD and describes the role of the exercise professional in the context of the multi-disciplinary care team. The purpose of these guidelines is to equip the exercise professional with a broad understanding of the pathophysiological underpinnings of MAFLD, how it is diagnosed and managed in clinical practice, and to provide evidence- and consensus-based recommendations for exercise therapy in MAFLD management. The majority of research evidence indicates that 150-240 min per week of at least moderate-intensity aerobic exercise can reduce hepatic steatosis by ~ 2-4% (absolute reduction), but as little as 135 min/week has been shown to be effective. While emerging evidence shows that high-intensity interval training (HIIT) approaches may provide comparable benefit on hepatic steatosis, there does not appear to be an intensity-dependent benefit, as long as the recommended exercise volume is achieved. This dose of exercise is likely to also reduce central adiposity, increase cardiorespiratory fitness and improve cardiometabolic health, irrespective of weight loss. Resistance training should be considered in addition to, and not instead of, aerobic exercise targets. The information in this statement is relevant and appropriate for people living with the condition historically termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), regardless of terminology.