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Abdulrazzak M, Alshaghel MM, Anadani R, Shabouk MB, Alhashemi M, Breim F, Ali Alahmad K, Alabrash M, Haj Kadour S. Seroprevalence of brucellosis antibodies and associated risk factors among the hospitalized patient, Aleppo, Syria: a hospital-based cross-sectional study. Ann Med Surg (Lond) 2024; 86:1887-1894. [PMID: 38576993 PMCID: PMC10990308 DOI: 10.1097/ms9.0000000000001687] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2023] [Accepted: 12/24/2023] [Indexed: 04/06/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction and importance Brucellosis is one of the most common infectious diseases in the world, especially in developing countries. Recent reports show that Syria is among the top ten countries where brucellosis is most prevalent. The purpose of this study is to estimate the seroprevalence of brucellosis antibodies among the hospitalized patients, in one of the largest hospitals in northern Syria. Materials and methods A cross-sectional study was conducted among the hospitalized patients. The authors used a questionnaire to collect sociodemographic and brucellosis-related data from the patients. The authors also collected blood samples from these patients to be screened for brucellosis antibodies using Wright Coombs Agglutination and 2-mercaptoethanol tests, during the period from November 2021 and March 2022. Results Among the 776 patients who were recruited in the study, the seroprevalence of brucellosis antibodies was 13.1% (n=776). The highest prevalence was among the female sex (16.7%, n=298), middle aged group 12-40 years (24.1%, n=116), and patients with history of brucellosis (30.1%, n=53). Among the positive samples, the findings of 2-mercaptoethanol tests show that (14.7%, n=102) were positive (presence of IgG Antibodies), and (75.5%, n=102) were negative. Conclusion This study is the first to describe the epidemiology of brucellosis in northern Syria. It clearly shows high rates of positivity, which reflects immense challenges facing the public health sector in Syria. The best next step in light of this crisis is to raise awareness among population about brucellosis and its risk factor.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Rami Anadani
- Faculty of Medicine
- CME Office, Faculty of Medicine, University of Aleppo
| | | | | | - Fatima Breim
- Faculty of Medicine
- CME Office, Faculty of Medicine, University of Aleppo
| | | | | | - Samer Haj Kadour
- Department of Laboratory, Aleppo University Hospital, Aleppo, Syria
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Gong W, Sun P, Zhai C, Yuan J, Chen Y, Chen Q, Zhao Y. Accessibility of the three-year comprehensive prevention and control of brucellosis in Ningxia: a mathematical modeling study. BMC Infect Dis 2023; 23:292. [PMID: 37147629 PMCID: PMC10161990 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-023-08270-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2023] [Indexed: 05/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brucellosis is a chronic zoonotic disease, and Ningxia is one of the high prevalence regions in China. To mitigate the spread of brucellosis, the government of Ningxia has implemented a comprehensive prevention and control plan (2022-2024). It is meaningful to quantitatively evaluate the accessibility of this strategy. METHODS Based on the transmission characteristics of brucellosis in Ningxia, we propose a dynamical model of sheep-human-environment, which coupling with the stage structure of sheep and indirect environmental transmission. We first calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and use the model to fit the data of human brucellosis. Then, three widely applied control strategies of brucellosis in Ningxia, that is, slaughtering of sicked sheep, health education to high risk practitioners, and immunization of adult sheep, are evaluated. RESULTS The basic reproduction number is calculated as [Formula: see text], indicating that human brucellosis will persist. The model has a good alignment with the human brucellosis data. The quantitative accessibility evaluation results show that current brucellosis control strategy may not reach the goal on time. "Ningxia Brucellosis Prevention and Control Special Three-Year Action Implementation Plan (2022-2024)" will be achieved in 2024 when increasing slaughtering rate [Formula: see text] by 30[Formula: see text], increasing health education to reduce [Formula: see text] to 50[Formula: see text], and an increase of immunization rate of adult sheep [Formula: see text] by 40[Formula: see text]. CONCLUSION The results demonstrate that the comprehensive control measures are the most effective for brucellosis control, and it is necessary to further strengthen the multi-sectoral joint mechanism and adopt integrated measures to prevention and control brucellosis. These results can provide a reliable quantitative basis for further optimizing the prevention and control strategy of brucellosis in Ningxia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Gong
- School of Science, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China
| | - Peng Sun
- Science and Technology Center, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China
| | - Changsheng Zhai
- School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Ningxia Normal University, 756000, Guyuan, China
| | - Jing Yuan
- School of Science, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China
| | - Yaogeng Chen
- School of Science, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China
| | - Qun Chen
- School of Science, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China
| | - Yu Zhao
- School of Public Health and Management, Ningxia Medical University, 750001, Yinchuan, China.
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, 750001, Yinchuan, China.
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Zinsstag J, Kaiser-Grolimund A, Heitz-Tokpa K, Sreedharan R, Lubroth J, Caya F, Stone M, Brown H, Bonfoh B, Dobell E, Morgan D, Homaira N, Kock R, Hattendorf J, Crump L, Mauti S, Del Rio Vilas V, Saikat S, Zumla A, Heymann D, Dar O, de la Rocque S. Advancing One human-animal-environment Health for global health security: what does the evidence say? Lancet 2023; 401:591-604. [PMID: 36682371 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)01595-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 22.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2021] [Revised: 05/24/2022] [Accepted: 08/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
In this Series paper, we review the contributions of One Health approaches (ie, at the human-animal-environment interface) to improve global health security across a range of health hazards and we summarise contemporary evidence of incremental benefits of a One Health approach. We assessed how One Health approaches were reported to the Food and Agricultural Organization of the UN, the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH, formerly OIE), and WHO, within the monitoring and assessment frameworks, including WHO International Health Regulations (2005) and WOAH Performance of Veterinary Services. We reviewed One Health theoretical foundations, methods, and case studies. Examples from joint health services and infrastructure, surveillance-response systems, surveillance of antimicrobial resistance, food safety and security, environmental hazards, water and sanitation, and zoonoses control clearly show incremental benefits of One Health approaches. One Health approaches appear to be most effective and sustainable in the prevention, preparedness, and early detection and investigation of evolving risks and hazards; the evidence base for their application is strongest in the control of endemic and neglected tropical diseases. For benefits to be maximised and extended, improved One Health operationalisation is needed by strengthening multisectoral coordination mechanisms at national, regional, and global levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jakob Zinsstag
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
| | - Andrea Kaiser-Grolimund
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland; Institute of Social Anthropology, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Kathrin Heitz-Tokpa
- Centre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques en Côte d'Ivoire, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Rajesh Sreedharan
- Health Security Preparedness Department, Health Emergencies Programme, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | | | | | - Hannah Brown
- Department of Anthropology, Durham University, Durham, UK
| | - Bassirou Bonfoh
- Centre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques en Côte d'Ivoire, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Emily Dobell
- Global Operations, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Dilys Morgan
- Global Operations, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Nusrat Homaira
- Centre for Child Health Research and Innovation, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Richard Kock
- Royal Veterinary College, University of London, London, UK
| | - Jan Hattendorf
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lisa Crump
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Stephanie Mauti
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Switzerland; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Victor Del Rio Vilas
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Surrey, Surrey, UK; Global Health Programme, Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, UK
| | - Sohel Saikat
- System Resilience and Essential Public Health Functions, Special Programme on Primary Health Care, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Alimuddin Zumla
- Department of Infection, Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - David Heymann
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Osman Dar
- Global Health Programme, Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, UK; Global Operations, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Stéphane de la Rocque
- Health Security Preparedness Department, Health Emergencies Programme, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
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Nie Y, Sun X, Hu H, Hou Q. Bifurcation analysis of a sheep brucellosis model with testing and saturated culling rate. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2023; 20:1519-1537. [PMID: 36650822 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2023069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Testing-culling is a very effective measure for the prevention and control of animal diseases. In this paper, based on sheep brucellosis control policies and animal testing characteristics and considering the limitation of culling resources, a dynamic model is established to study the impact of testing-culling measure. Theoretical analysis reveals that the model may have one or three positive equilibria. The equilibrium in the middle is always unstable, and the model shows saddle-node bifurcation, generalized Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation. Moreover, the theoretical results are verified via numerical analysis. These results reveal that testing and culling strategies can induce complex transmission dynamics that can help us develop appropriate prevention and control measures for animal brucellosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yongbing Nie
- School of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China
| | - Xiangdong Sun
- China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong 266032, China
| | - Hongping Hu
- School of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China
| | - Qiang Hou
- School of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China
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5
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Di Bari C, Venkateswaran N, Bruce M, Fastl C, Huntington B, Patterson GT, Rushton J, Torgerson P, Pigott DM, Devleesschauwer B. Methodological choices in brucellosis burden of disease assessments: A systematic review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2022; 16:e0010468. [PMID: 36512611 PMCID: PMC9794075 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2022] [Revised: 12/27/2022] [Accepted: 11/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Foodborne and zoonotic diseases such as brucellosis present many challenges to public health and economic welfare. Increasingly, researchers and public health institutes use disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to generate a comprehensive comparison of the population health impact of these conditions. DALYs calculations, however, entail a number of methodological choices and assumptions, with data gaps and uncertainties to accommodate. Thisreview identifies existing brucellosis burden of disease studies and analyzes their methodological choices, assumptions, and uncertainties. It supports the Global Burden of Animal Diseases programme in the development of a systematic methodology to describe the impact of animal diseases on society, including human health. METHODS/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS A systematic search for brucellosis burden of disease calculations was conducted in pre-selected international and grey literature databases. Using a standardized reporting framework, we evaluated each estimate on a variety of key methodological assumptions necessary to compute a DALY. Fourteen studies satisfied the inclusion criteria (human brucellosis and quantification of DALYs). One study reported estimates at the global level, the rest were national or subnational assessments. Data regarding different methodological choices were extracted, including detailed assessments of the adopted disease models. Most studies retrieved brucellosis epidemiological data from administrative registries. Incidence data were often estimated on the basis of laboratory-confirmed tests. Not all studies included mortality estimates (Years of Life Lost) in their assessments due to lack of data or the assumption that brucellosis is not a fatal disease. Only two studies used a model with variable health states and corresponding disability weights. The rest used a simplified singular health state approach. Wide variation was seen in the duration chosen for brucellosis, ranging from 2 weeks to 4.5 years, irrespective of the whether a chronic state was included. CONCLUSION Available brucellosis burden of disease assessments vary widely in their methodology and assumptions. Further research is needed to better characterize the clinical course of brucellosis and to estimate case-fatality rates. Additionally, reporting of methodological choices should be improved to enhance transparency and comparability of estimates. These steps will increase the value of these estimates for policy makers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlotta Di Bari
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
- * E-mail:
| | - Narmada Venkateswaran
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Mieghan Bruce
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Centre for Biosecurity and One Health, School of Veterinary Medicine, Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia
| | - Christina Fastl
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Ben Huntington
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Pengwern Animal Health Ltd, Wallasey Wirral, Merseyside, United Kingdom
| | - Grace T. Patterson
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada
| | - Jonathan Rushton
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Paul Torgerson
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Section of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - David M. Pigott
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Brecht Devleesschauwer
- GBADs programme -, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
- Department of Translational Physiology, Infectiology and Public Health, Ghent University, Merelbeke, Belgium
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Rapid vertical flow technique for the highly sensitive detection of Brucella antibodies with Prussian blue nanoparticle labeling and nanozyme-catalyzed signal amplification. World J Microbiol Biotechnol 2022; 39:23. [PMID: 36422675 DOI: 10.1007/s11274-022-03462-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis is a chronic infectious disease caused by Brucella, which is characterized by inflammation of reproductive organs and fetal membranes, abortion, infertility, and local inflammatory lesions of various tissues. Due to the widespread prevalence and spread of brucellosis, it has not only caused huge losses to animal husbandry, but also brought serious impacts on human health and safety. Therefore, rapid and accurate diagnosis is of great significance for the effective control of brucellosis. Therefore, we have developed a rapid vertical flow technique (RVFT) using Prussian blue nanoparticles (PBNPs) as a marker material for the detection of brucellosis antibodies. Lipopolysaccharide (LPS) was purified and used to detect brucellosis antibodies to improve the sensitivity of this technique. To enhance the sensitivity of serum antibody detection, a single multifunctional compound buffer was created using whole blood as a biological sample while retaining the advantages of typical lateral flow immunoassays. After signal amplification, standard Brucella-positive serum (containing Brucella antibody at 4000 IU mL-1) could be detected in this system even at a dilution factor of 1 × 10-2. The detection limit was 40 IU mL-1, which is ten times that before signal amplification. This RVFT displayed good specificity and no cross-reactivity. This RVFT effectively avoided the false negative phenomenon of lateral flow immunoassays, was easy to operate, had a short reaction time, has good repeatability, and could elicit results that were visible to the naked eye for 2 ~ 3 min without any equipment. Since this method is very important for controlling the prevalence of brucellosis, it holds great promise for application in primary medical units and veterinary brucellosis detection.
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Charypkhan D, Rüegg SR. One Health evaluation of brucellosis control in Kazakhstan. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0277118. [PMID: 36322602 PMCID: PMC9629608 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2021] [Accepted: 10/20/2022] [Indexed: 01/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis is one of the main livestock disease risks in Kazakhstan. It's been endemic there since 1930, accounting for over 1300 human cases per annum. The economic loss was 45 million USD in 2015 alone. Since 1952, Kazakhstan has implemented various control strategies with little success. One Health approaches have been suggested to tackle brucellosis, however, there is a lack of evidence for best practices to operationalise One Health in the literature, and methods for implementation are not established. The intention of this study was to introduce the One Health approach during the evaluation phase of the policy cycle. A two-day workshop was organized by the authors to familiarize participants with the evaluation methodology. Twenty-one specialists representing veterinary and public health sector, together with researchers, took part in this study. For two weeks following the workshop, first author conducted individual interviews with workshop participants to obtain individual scorings to assess knowledge integration capacity (One Health-ness). The evaluation results show that there is a lack of knowledge about the perceived damage caused by brucellosis to animal owners and other stakeholders. There is insufficient data available about farmers' practices, interests and motivations, and also data is missing for important transmission processes such as the amount of unsafe dairy consumption. The absence of such data illustrates the extent of the uncertainty to which decision-makers are exposed despite well-elaborated transmission models and supports the importance of co-producing solutions with participatory methods. The results suggest the need for broader involvement of stakeholders. Outputs of this study could help navigate the initial stages of One Health operationalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Duriya Charypkhan
- Vetsuisse Faculty, Section of Epidemiology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- Laboratory of Brucellosis, Kazakh Scientific Research Veterinary Institute, Almaty, Kazakhstan
- * E-mail:
| | - Simon R. Rüegg
- Vetsuisse Faculty, Section of Epidemiology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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8
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Zinsstag J, Hediger K, Osman YM, Abukhattab S, Crump L, Kaiser-Grolimund A, Mauti S, Ahmed A, Hattendorf J, Bonfoh B, Heitz-Tokpa K, Berger González M, Bucher A, Lechenne M, Tschopp R, Obrist B, Pelikan K. The Promotion and Development of One Health at Swiss TPH and Its Greater Potential. Diseases 2022; 10:diseases10030065. [PMID: 36135221 PMCID: PMC9497760 DOI: 10.3390/diseases10030065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2022] [Revised: 09/02/2022] [Accepted: 09/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
One Health, an integrated health concept, is now an integral part of health research and development. One Health overlaps with other integrated approaches to health such as EcoHealth or Planetary Health, which not only consider the patient or population groups but include them in the social-ecological context. One Health has gained the widest foothold politically, institutionally, and in operational implementation. Increasingly, One Health is becoming part of reporting under the International Health Legislation (IHR 2005). The Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH) has played a part in these developments with one of the first mentions of One Health in the biomedical literature. Here, we summarise the history of ideas and processes that led to the development of One Health research and development at the Swiss TPH, clarify its theoretical and methodological foundations, and explore its larger societal potential as an integrated approach to thinking. The history of ideas and processes leading to the development of One Health research at the Swiss TPH were inspired by far-sighted and open ideas of the directors and heads of departments, without exerting too much influence. They followed the progressing work and supported it with further ideas. These in turn were taken up and further developed by a growing number of individual scientists. These ideas were related to other strands of knowledge from economics, molecular biology, anthropology, sociology, theology, and linguistics. We endeavour to relate Western biomedical forms of knowledge generation with other forms, such as Mayan medicine. One Health, in its present form, has been influenced by African mobile pastoralists’ integrated thinking that have been taken up into Western epistemologies. The intercultural nature of global and regional One Health approaches will inevitably undergo further scrutiny of successful ways fostering inter-epistemic interaction. Now theoretically well grounded, the One Health approach of seeking benefits for all through better and more equitable cooperation can clearly be applied to engagement in solving major societal problems such as social inequality, animal protection and welfare, environmental protection, climate change mitigation, biodiversity conservation, and conflict transformation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jakob Zinsstag
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Correspondence:
| | - Karin Hediger
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Yahya Maidane Osman
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Jigjiga University, Jigjiga P.O. Box 1020, Ethiopia
| | - Said Abukhattab
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lisa Crump
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Andrea Kaiser-Grolimund
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Stephanie Mauti
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Ayman Ahmed
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Institute of Endemic Diseases, University of Khartoum, Khartoum 11111, Sudan
- Sudanese National Academy of Sciences, Khartoum 11111, Sudan
| | - Jan Hattendorf
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Bassirou Bonfoh
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Centre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques, Abidjan 01 BP 1303, Côte d’Ivoire
| | - Kathrin Heitz-Tokpa
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Centre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques, Abidjan 01 BP 1303, Côte d’Ivoire
| | - Mónica Berger González
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Universitdad del Valle, Unidad de Antropologia Médica, Guatemala City 01015, Guatemala
| | - Alvar Bucher
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Monique Lechenne
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Rea Tschopp
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
- Armauer Hansen Research Institute, Addis Ababa 1005, Ethiopia
| | - Brigit Obrist
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Kristina Pelikan
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, CH-4123 Allschwil, Switzerland
- University of Basel, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
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Ma X, Li M, Zhang J, Luo X, Sun GQ. Interactions of periodic birth and shearing induce outbreak of Brucellosis in Inner Mongolia. INT J BIOMATH 2022. [DOI: 10.1142/s1793524522500437] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, has brought about enormous human suffering and tremendous economic burden to animal husbandry in China. However, Inner Mongolia is the hardest hit area of brucellosis in China. A total of 132,037 human cases have been reported from 2010 to 2020. Endogenous mechanisms of brucellosis spreading across Inner Mongolia till remains to be revealed. We propose a periodic epidemic model to investigate the effect of periodic parameter changes on brucellosis epidemics. Then we evaluate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and analyze the global dynamics of the model. Furthermore, key parameters related to periodic transmission are estimated based on the monthly data of human brucellosis cases and the trend of newly infected human brucellosis cases are predicted in Inner Mongolia. Our modeling results illustrate that periodical birth and sheep shearing play a significant role in inducing periodical outbreak of brucellosis in Inner Mongolia. Moreover, it is exhibited that the annual peak number and the final scale of human brucellosis cases will be reduced dramatically with the delayed peak time of sheep birth. While the annual peak time will be lagged and the annual peak number will be decreased as the peak time of sheep shearing is postponed. In addition, we discover that it is difficult to stem brucellosis even if all sheep are vaccinated besides ewes. Nevertheless, the detection rate exceed a certain value 0.032 or the decaying rate of Brucella surpass a critical value 0.585, the human brucellosis can be regulated in Inner Mongolia according to the sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text]. The insights shed herein may contribute to the careful implementation of brucellosis control strategies in other regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xia Ma
- School of Big Data, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, P. R. China
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, P. R. China
- Department of Science, Taiyuan Institute of Technology, Taiyuan 030008, P. R. China
| | - Mingtao Li
- School of Mathematics, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, P. R. China
| | - Juan Zhang
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, P. R. China
| | - Xiaofeng Luo
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, P. R. China
| | - Gui-Quan Sun
- School of Big Data, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, P. R. China
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, P. R. China
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, P. R. China
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10
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Dang L, Abdurahman X, Teng Z. The threshold dynamics of a stochastic two-patch brucellosis model. STOCH MODELS 2022. [DOI: 10.1080/15326349.2022.2036192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Lei Dang
- College of Mathematics and Systems Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, P.R. China
| | - Xamxinur Abdurahman
- College of Mathematics and Systems Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, P.R. China
| | - Zhidong Teng
- College of Mathematics and Systems Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, P.R. China
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11
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Liang D, Liu D, Yang M, Wang X, Li Y, Guo W, Du M, Wang W, Xue M, Wu J, Cui B, Yin S, Wang R, Li S. Spatiotemporal distribution of human brucellosis in Inner Mongolia, China, in 2010-2015, and influencing factors. Sci Rep 2021; 11:24213. [PMID: 34930982 PMCID: PMC8688419 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-03723-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2019] [Accepted: 09/16/2020] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Human brucellosis is caused by Brucella species and remains a major burden in both human and domesticated animal populations, especially in Inner Mongolia, China. The aims of this study were to analyze the spatiotemporal trends in human brucellosis in Inner Mongolia during 2010 to 2015, to explore the factors affecting the incidence of brucellosis. The results showed that the annual incidence was 29.68–77.67 per 100,000, and peaked from March to June. The majority of human brucellosis was male farmers and herdsmen, aged 40–59 years. The high-risk areas were mainly Xilin Gol League and Hulunbeier City. The incidence of human brucellosis in Inner Mongolia decreased during 2010 to 2015, although the middle and eastern regions were still high-risk areas. The regions with larger number of sheep and cattle, lower GDP per capita, less number of hospital beds, higher wind speed, lower mean temperature more likely to become high-risk areas of human brucellosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Danyan Liang
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China.,Inner Mongolia People's Hospital, Hohhot, China
| | - Dan Liu
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China.,Department of Medicine, Hetao College, Bayan Nur, China
| | - Min Yang
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China
| | - Xuemei Wang
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China.
| | - Yunpeng Li
- Inner Mongolia Ecology and Agrometeorology Center, Hohhot, China
| | - Weidong Guo
- Inner Mongolia Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hohhot, China
| | - Maolin Du
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China
| | - Wenrui Wang
- Inner Mongolia Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hohhot, China
| | - Mingming Xue
- School of Basic Medicine, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, China
| | - Jing Wu
- National Center for Chronic and Non-Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Buyun Cui
- National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Shaohua Yin
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China
| | - Ruiqi Wang
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China
| | - Shiyuan Li
- School of Public Health, Inner Mongolia Medical University, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, China
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12
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Govindasamy K, Thompson PN, Harris BN, Rossouw J, Abernethy DA, Etter EMC. Bovine Brucellosis in Gauteng, South Africa: Seroprevalence amongst Cattle Handlers and Variables Associated with Seropositive Cattle Herds, 2014-2016. Pathogens 2021; 10:1547. [PMID: 34959502 PMCID: PMC8706623 DOI: 10.3390/pathogens10121547] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2021] [Revised: 11/11/2021] [Accepted: 11/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
In South Africa, the prevalence of cattle handler exposure to Brucella on cattle farms is unknown and risk factors and cattle symptoms associated with infected cattle herds are unavailable. To address this gap, a case-control study of cattle herds was conducted in Gauteng province and farm workers and veterinary officials were tested for exposure to Brucella. Seroprevalence amongst farm workers exposed to case herds ranged from 4.0% (BrucellaCapt®) to 16.7% (IgG ELISA®), compared to those exposed to control herds, where seroprevalence ranged from 1.9% (BrucellaCapt®) to 5.7% (IgG ELISA®). Seroprevalence amongst veterinary officials was significantly greater compared to farm workers exposed to case herds for the outcome RBT+ IgM- IgG+ (OR = 11.1, 95% CI: 2.5-49.9, p = 0.002) and RBT- IgM- IgG+ (OR = 6.3, 95% CI: 2.3-17.3, p < 0.001). Risk factors associated with being an infected herd were: being a government-sponsored farm vs. private farm (OR 4.0; 95% CI: 1.4-11.3; p = 0.009), beef vs. dairy herd (OR 7.9; 95% CI: 1.4-44.9; p = 0.020), open vs. closed herd (OR 3.3; 95% CI: 1.1-10.4; p = 0.038) and the presence of antelope on the farm (OR 29.4; 95% CI: 4.0-218.2; p = 0.001). Abortions (OR = 5.1; 95% CI: 2.0-13.3; p < 0.001), weak calves in the herd (OR = 8.0; 95% CI: 2.6-24.4; p < 0.001), reduction in number of calves born (OR = 9.0; 95% CI: 2.1-43.6; p < 0.001), reduction in conception rate (OR = 3.9; 95% CI: 0.8-18.3; p = 0.046), hygromas in cattle (p = 0.011) and farmers reporting brucellosis-like symptoms in their farm workers or in him/herself (OR = 3.4; 95% CI: 1.3-8.7; p = 0.006) were more likely to be associated with Brucella infected herds than control herds. This evidence can be used in strategic planning to protect both human and herd health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Krpasha Govindasamy
- Department of Production Animal Studies, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort 0110, South Africa; (P.N.T.); (E.M.C.E.)
| | - Peter N. Thompson
- Department of Production Animal Studies, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort 0110, South Africa; (P.N.T.); (E.M.C.E.)
| | - Bernice N. Harris
- School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0031, South Africa;
| | - Jennifer Rossouw
- Centre for Emerging Zoonotic and Parasitic Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg 2192, South Africa;
| | - Darrell A. Abernethy
- Centre for Veterinary Wildlife Studies, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort 0110, South Africa;
- Aberystwyth School of Veterinary Science, Institute of Biological, Environmental and Rural Sciences, Aberystwyth University, Penglais, Aberystwyth SY23 3FL, UK
| | - Eric M. C. Etter
- Department of Production Animal Studies, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort 0110, South Africa; (P.N.T.); (E.M.C.E.)
- CIRAD, UMR AnimalS Health Territories Risks Ecosystems (ASTRE), 34070 Montpellier, France
- ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRA, 34070 Montpellier, France
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13
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Knowledge of Brucellosis, Health-Seeking Behaviour, and Risk Factors for Brucella Infection amongst Workers on Cattle Farms in Gauteng, South Africa. Pathogens 2021; 10:pathogens10111484. [PMID: 34832639 PMCID: PMC8620615 DOI: 10.3390/pathogens10111484] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2021] [Revised: 11/09/2021] [Accepted: 11/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis in humans is under-detected and underreported in sub-Saharan Africa. Risk factors associated with Brucella infection and health seeking behaviour in response to brucellosis-like symptoms, amongst cattle farm workers and veterinary officials in South Africa, are unknown. Farm workers and veterinary officials (N = 230) were screened for brucellosis using commercial Rose Bengal Test (RBT®), IgM Enzyme-linked Immunoassay (ELISA)®, IgG ELISA® and the BrucellaCapt® test. Knowledge of brucellosis and risk factors for exposure to Brucella were also investigated. Seroprevalence varied according to test used: 10.1% (RBT®), 20.9% (IgG ELISA®) and 6.5% (BrucellaCapt®). Only 22.2% (6/27) of veterinary officials opt to visit a clinic, doctor, or hospital in response to self-experienced brucellosis-like symptoms, compared to 74.9% (152/203) of farm workers (p < 0.001). Of the BrucellaCapt® seropositive participants, 53% (7/15) did not visit a clinic in response to brucellosis-like symptoms. Weak evidence of an association between the handling of afterbirth or placenta and infection of a short evolution (RBT®, IgM ELISA® and IgG ELISA® seropositive) was found (OR = 8.9, 95% CI: 1.0–81.1, p = 0.052), and strong evidence of an association between this outcome and the slaughter of cattle (OR = 5.3, 95% CI: 1.4–19.6, p = 0.013). There was strong evidence of a positive association between inactive/resolved infection and veterinary officials vs. farm workers exposed to seropositive herds (OR = 7.0, 95% CI: 2.4–20.2, p < 0.001), with a simultaneous negative association with the handling of afterbirth or placenta (OR = 3.9, 95% CI: 1.3–11.3, p = 0.012). Findings suggest a proportion of undetected clinical cases of brucellosis amongst workers on cattle farms in Gauteng.
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14
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Rees EM, Minter A, Edmunds WJ, Lau CL, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R. Transmission modelling of environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases: a systematic review. Lancet Planet Health 2021; 5:e466-e478. [PMID: 34245717 DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(21)00137-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2020] [Revised: 05/02/2021] [Accepted: 05/06/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Transmission of many infectious diseases depends on interactions between humans, animals, and the environment. Incorporating these complex processes in transmission dynamic models can help inform policy and disease control interventions. We identified 20 diseases involving environmentally persistent pathogens (ie, pathogens that survive for more than 48 h in the environment and can cause subsequent human infections), of which indirect transmission can occur from animals to humans via the environment. Using a systematic approach, we critically appraised dynamic transmission models for environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases to quantify traits of models across diseases. 210 transmission modelling studies were identified and most studies considered diseases of domestic animals or high-income settings, or both. We found that less than half of studies validated their models to real-world data, and environmental data on pathogen persistence was rarely incorporated. Model structures varied, with few studies considering the animal-human-environment interface of transmission in the context of a One Health framework. This Review highlights the need for more data-driven modelling of these diseases and a holistic One Health approach to model these pathogens to inform disease prevention and control strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleanor M Rees
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - Amanda Minter
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - W John Edmunds
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Colleen L Lau
- Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia; School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Adam J Kucharski
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Rachel Lowe
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
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15
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MyD88-Dependent Glucose Restriction and Itaconate Production Control Brucella Infection. Infect Immun 2021; 89:e0015621. [PMID: 34125603 DOI: 10.1128/iai.00156-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis is one of the most common global zoonoses and is caused by facultative intracellular bacteria of the genus Brucella. Numerous studies have found that MyD88 signaling contributes to protection against Brucella, however the underlying mechanism has not been entirely defined. Here we show that MyD88 signaling in hematopoietic cells contributes both to inflammation and to control of Brucella melitensis infection in vivo. While the protective role of MyD88 in Brucella infection has often been attributed to promotion of IFN-γ production, we found that MyD88 signaling restricts host colonization by B. melitensis even in the absence of IFN-γ. In vitro, we show that MyD88 promotes macrophage glycolysis in response to B. melitensis. Interestingly, a B. melitensis mutant lacking the glucose transporter, GluP, was more highly attenuated in MyD88-/- than in WT mice, suggesting MyD88 deficiency results in an increased availability of glucose in vivo which Brucella can exploit via GluP. Metabolite profiling of macrophages identified several metabolites regulated by MyD88 in response to B. melitensis, including itaconate. Subsequently, we found that itaconate has antibacterial effects against Brucella and also regulates the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines in B. melitensis-infected macrophages. Mice lacking the ability to produce itaconate were also more susceptible to B. melitensis in vivo. Collectively, our findings indicate that MyD88-dependent changes in host metabolism contribute to control of Brucella infection.
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16
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Isolation of Brucella melitensis biovar 1 from human milk confirms breastfeeding as a possible route for infant infection. Microb Pathog 2021; 157:104958. [PMID: 34029659 DOI: 10.1016/j.micpath.2021.104958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2021] [Revised: 04/26/2021] [Accepted: 04/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis during pregnancy is associated with major concerns for mothers but, it is still not clear whether the infection could be transmitted through breastfeeding to newborns. This study aimed at evaluating the shedding of Brucella melitensis through human milk. We describe phenotypic and genotypic characterization of Brucella isolate from human milk. The characterized isolate by Bruce-ladder PCR, AMOS PCR and biotyping confirmed the presence of Brucella melitensis biovar 1 from human milk. However, the breastfeeding of newborn baby induced no serious abnormality, although occasional weakness, loss of appetite and vomiting were reported by the parents. All Brucella serological tests including RBT, SAT and 2 ME test were also positive for the baby and her mother, although the blood culture was negative for the baby. Evaluation of the blood DNA from mother and her baby also confirm the presence of Brucella melitensis in the blood samples. Therefore, the isolation of B. melitensis biovar 1 from human milk as well as presence of Brucella melitensis in the blood samples confirms breastfeeding as a possible route for infant infection.
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17
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Kong Y, Wang H, Wu S, Lv J, Mei L, Zhou H, Lin X, Han X. A quantum dot fluorescent microsphere based immunochromatographic strip for detection of brucellosis. BMC Vet Res 2021; 17:48. [PMID: 33485335 PMCID: PMC7823175 DOI: 10.1186/s12917-021-02760-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2020] [Accepted: 01/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brucellosis is a serious zoonosis disease that frequently causes significant economic loss in animal husbandry and threatens human health. Therefore, we established a rapid, accurate, simple and sensitive fluorescent immunochromatographic strip test (ICST) based on quantum dots (QDs) for detection the antibodies of Brucella infection animals serum. RESULTS The test strips were successfully prepared by quantum dot fluorescent microspheres (QDFM) as tracers, which were covalently coupled to an outer membrane protein of Brucella OMP22. The outer membrane protein OMP28 and monoclonal antibodies of OMP22 were separately dispensed onto a nitrocellulose membrane as test and quality control lines, respectively. The critical threshold for determining negative or positive through the ratio of the fluorescent signal of the test line and the control line (HT / HC) is 0.0492. The repeatability was excellent with an overall average CV of 8.78%. Under optimum conditions, the limit of detection was 1.05 ng/mL (1:512 dilution). With regard to the detection of brucellosis in 150 clinical samples, the total coincidence rate of ICST and Rose Bengal plate test (RBPT) was 97.3%, the coincidence rate of positive samples was 98.8%, the coincidence rate of negative samples was 95.3%, the sensitivity of RBPT is 1:32, and no cross reaction with the sera of other related diseases was observed. CONCLUSION In our present study, the QDFM has promising application for on-site screening of brucellosis owing to its high detection speed, high sensitivity, high specificity and low cost.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yufang Kong
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China
| | - Huiyu Wang
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China
| | - Shaoqiang Wu
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China
| | - Jizhou Lv
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China
| | - Lin Mei
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China
| | - Huifang Zhou
- People's Hospital of Jiaxiang, Jiaxiang County, Jining City, 272400, Shandong Province, China
| | - Xiangmei Lin
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China.
| | - Xueqing Han
- Institute of Animal Inspection and Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, 100176, Beijing, China.
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18
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Sun GQ, Li MT, Zhang J, Zhang W, Pei X, Jin Z. Transmission dynamics of brucellosis: Mathematical modelling and applications in China. Comput Struct Biotechnol J 2020; 18:3843-3860. [PMID: 33335683 PMCID: PMC7720096 DOI: 10.1016/j.csbj.2020.11.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2020] [Revised: 11/08/2020] [Accepted: 11/09/2020] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis, the most common zoonotic disease worldwide, represents a great threat to animal husbandry with the potential to cause enormous economic losses. Meanwhile, brucellosis is one of the major public-health problems in China, and the number of human brucellosis cases has increased dramatically in recent years. In order to show the main features of brucellosis transmission in China, we give a systematic review on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis including a series of mathematical models and their applications in China. For different situations, dynamical models of brucellosis transmission in single population and multiple populations are devised based on ordinary differential equations. Furthermore, we revealed the spatial-temporal characteristics and effective control measures of brucellosis transmission. The results may provide new perspectives for the prevention and control of other types of zoonoses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gui-Quan Sun
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030006, China
| | - Ming-Tao Li
- School of Mathematics, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030024, China
| | - Juan Zhang
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030006, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China
| | - Xin Pei
- School of Mathematics, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030024, China
| | - Zhen Jin
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030006, China
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19
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Modeling the Impact of Seasonal Weather Variations on the Infectiology of Brucellosis. COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN MEDICINE 2020; 2020:8972063. [PMID: 33123216 PMCID: PMC7586161 DOI: 10.1155/2020/8972063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2020] [Revised: 10/03/2020] [Accepted: 10/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
A deterministic mathematical model for brucellosis that incorporates seasonality on direct and indirect transmission parameters for domestic ruminants, wild animals, humans, and the environment was formulated and analyzed in this paper. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. From this study, the findings show that variations in seasonal weather have the great impact on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis in humans, livestock, and wild animals. Thus, in order for the disease to be controlled or eliminated, measures should be timely implemented upon the fluctuation in the transmission of the disease.
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20
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Zinsstag J, Utzinger J, Probst-Hensch N, Shan L, Zhou XN. Towards integrated surveillance-response systems for the prevention of future pandemics. Infect Dis Poverty 2020; 9:140. [PMID: 33028426 PMCID: PMC7539270 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-020-00757-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2020] [Accepted: 09/22/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Most human pathogens originate from non-human hosts and certain pathogens persist in animal reservoirs. The transmission of such pathogens to humans may lead to self-sustaining chains of transmission. These pathogens represent the highest risk for future pandemics. For their prevention, the transmission over the species barrier - although rare - should, by all means, be avoided. In the current COVID-19 pandemic, surprisingly though, most of the current research concentrates on the control by drugs and vaccines, while comparatively little scientific inquiry focuses on future prevention. Already in 2012, the World Bank recommended to engage in a systemic One Health approach for zoonoses control, considering integrated surveillance-response and control of human and animal diseases for primarily economic reasons. First examples, like integrated West Nile virus surveillance in mosquitos, wild birds, horses and humans in Italy show evidence of financial savings from a closer cooperation of human and animal health sectors. Provided a zoonotic origin can be ascertained for the COVID-19 pandemic, integrated wildlife, domestic animal and humans disease surveillance-response may contribute to prevent future outbreaks. In conclusion, the earlier a zoonotic pathogen can be detected in the environment, in wildlife or in domestic animals; and the better human, animal and environmental surveillance communicate with each other to prevent an outbreak, the lower are the cumulative costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jakob Zinsstag
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
| | - Jürg Utzinger
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Nicole Probst-Hensch
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lv Shan
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention & Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, WHO Collaborating Center for Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
- School of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research - Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiao-Nong Zhou
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention & Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, WHO Collaborating Center for Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
- School of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research - Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
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21
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Hou Q, Zhang L, Liu M. Mathematical analysis of a time-delayed model on brucellosis transmission with disease testing information. INT J BIOMATH 2020. [DOI: 10.1142/s1793524520500394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Testing–culling is one of the important prevention and control measures considered in the study of animal infectious diseases. However, the process of finding infected animals (animal testing) is still not well studied through the kinetic model. In this paper, based on the characteristics of animal testing, a time-delayed model on brucellosis transmission is established. Under the general hypothesis of biological significance, the existence and stability of equilibria are first investigated. The results find that the global stability of equilibria depends on the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] without the information delay: if [Formula: see text], the disease dies out; if [Formula: see text], the endemic equilibrium exists and the disease persists. Next, the impact of information delay on the dynamics of the model is analyzed and Hopf bifurcation is found in the established model when the information delay is greater than a critical value. Finally, the theoretical results are then further explained through numerical analysis and the significance of these results for the development of risk management measures is elaborated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiang Hou
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, P. R. China
| | - Lei Zhang
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, P. R. China
| | - Maoxing Liu
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, P. R. China
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22
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B Cells Inhibit CD4 + T Cell-Mediated Immunity to Brucella Infection in a Major Histocompatibility Complex Class II-Dependent Manner. Infect Immun 2020; 88:IAI.00075-20. [PMID: 32071068 DOI: 10.1128/iai.00075-20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2020] [Accepted: 02/10/2020] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Brucella spp. are facultative intracellular bacteria notorious for their ability to induce a chronic, and often lifelong, infection known as brucellosis. To date, no licensed vaccine exists for prevention of human disease, and mechanisms underlying chronic illness and immune evasion remain elusive. We and others have observed that B cell-deficient mice challenged with Brucella display reduced bacterial burden following infection, but the underlying mechanism has not been clearly defined. Here, we show that at 1 month postinfection, B cell deficiency alone enhanced resistance to splenic infection ∼100-fold; however, combined B and T cell deficiency did not impact bacterial burden, indicating that B cells only enhance susceptibility to infection when T cells are present. Therefore, we investigated whether B cells inhibit T cell-mediated protection against Brucella Using B and T cell-deficient Rag1-/- animals as recipients, we demonstrate that adoptive transfer of CD4+ T cells alone confers marked protection against Brucella melitensis that is abrogated by cotransfer of B cells. Interestingly, depletion of CD4+ T cells from B cell-deficient, but not wild-type, mice enhanced susceptibility to infection, further confirming that CD4+ T cell-mediated immunity against Brucella is inhibited by B cells. In addition, we found that the ability of B cells to suppress CD4+ T cell-mediated immunity and modulate CD4+ T cell effector responses during infection was major histocompatibility complex class II (MHCII)-dependent. Collectively, these findings indicate that B cells modulate CD4+ T cell function through an MHCII-dependent mechanism which enhances susceptibility to Brucella infection.
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23
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Prediction of Human Brucellosis in China Based on Temperature and NDVI. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2019; 16:ijerph16214289. [PMID: 31694212 PMCID: PMC6862670 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16214289] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2019] [Revised: 10/27/2019] [Accepted: 10/29/2019] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis occurs periodically and causes great economic and health burdens. Brucellosis prediction plays an important role in its prevention and treatment. This paper establishes relationships between human brucellosis (HB) and land surface temperature (LST), and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). A seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variables (SARIMAX) model is constructed to predict trends in brucellosis rates. The fitted results (Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) = 807.58, Schwarz Bayes Criterion (SBC) = 819.28) showed obvious periodicity and a rate of increase of 138.68% from January 2011 to May 2016. We found a significant effect between HB and NDVI. At the same time, the prediction part showed that the highest monthly incidence per year has a decreasing trend after 2015. This may be because of the brucellosis prevention and control measures taken by the Chinese Government. The proposed model allows the early detection of brucellosis outbreaks, allowing more effective prevention and control.
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Lacey CA, Chambers CA, Mitchell WJ, Skyberg JA. IFN-γ-dependent nitric oxide suppresses Brucella-induced arthritis by inhibition of inflammasome activation. J Leukoc Biol 2019; 106:27-34. [PMID: 30748031 DOI: 10.1002/jlb.4mia1018-409r] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2018] [Revised: 01/14/2019] [Accepted: 01/31/2019] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis, caused by the intracellular bacterial pathogen Brucella, is a globally important zoonotic disease for which arthritis is the most common focal complication in humans. Wild-type mice infected systemically with Brucella typically do not exhibit arthritis, but mice lacking IFN-γ develop arthritis regardless of the route of Brucella infection. Here, we investigated mechanisms by which IFN-γ suppresses Brucella-induced arthritis. Several cell types, including innate lymphoid cells, contributed to IFN-γ production and suppression of joint swelling. IFN-γ deficiency resulted in elevated joint IL-1β levels, and severe joint inflammation that was entirely inflammasome dependent, and in particular, reliant on the NLRP3 inflammasome. IFN-γ was vital for induction of the nitric oxide producing enzyme, iNOS, in infected joints, and nitric oxide directly inhibited IL-1β production and inflammasome activation in Brucella-infected macrophages in vitro. During in vivo infection, iNOS deficiency resulted in an increase in IL-1β and inflammation in Brucella-infected joints. Collectively, this data indicate that IFN-γ prevents arthritis both by limiting Brucella infection, and by inhibiting excessive inflammasome activation through the induction of nitric oxide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carolyn A Lacey
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.,Laboratory for Infectious Disease Research, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - Catherine A Chambers
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.,Laboratory for Infectious Disease Research, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - William J Mitchell
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - Jerod A Skyberg
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA.,Laboratory for Infectious Disease Research, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
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Bayasgalan C, Chultemdorj T, Roth F, Zinsstag J, Hattendorf J, Badmaa B, Argamjav B, Schelling E. Risk factors of brucellosis seropositivity in Bactrian camels of Mongolia. BMC Vet Res 2018; 14:342. [PMID: 30424746 PMCID: PMC6234668 DOI: 10.1186/s12917-018-1664-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2018] [Accepted: 10/23/2018] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND More information on brucellosis epidemiology in Bactrian camels is needed due to their growing economic and livelihood importance for herders and renewed efforts in Mongolia to eliminate brucellosis through mass vaccination of ruminants excluding camels. Brucellosis prevalence in camels increased over the past two decades. Random multi-stage cluster surveys were done in the Eastern provinces of Dornod and Sukhbaatar in 2013 and 2014 and in the Southern & Western provinces of Dornogobi, Umnogobi and Khovd in 2014 and 2015. A total of 1822 camels, 1155 cattle, and 3023 small ruminant sera were collected and tested with the Rose Bengal Test. In addition, 195 vaginal swabs and 250 milk samples for bacteriological culture were taken from livestock with history of abortion. RESULTS The overall apparent seroprevalence in camels was 2.3% (95% confidence interval 1.6-3.3). The main risk factor for camel seropositivity was being in an Eastern province when compared to Southern & Western provinces (odds ratio 13.2, 95% CI 5.3-32.4). Camel seroprevalences were stable over the two consecutive survey years, despite introduction of ruminant vaccination: 5.7% (95% CI 3.1-10.2%) and 5.8% (3.3-10.1%) in Eastern provinces and 0.4% (0.2-1.2%) and 0.5% (0.1-2.0%) in Southern & Western provinces. We isolated Brucella abortus from camels and cattle. Camel seropositivity was associated to keeping cattle together with camels. Monitoring of vaccination campaigns showed that coverage in cattle was insufficient because animals could not be adequately restrained. CONCLUSIONS The present study reveals that brucellosis is present with important seroprevalence in Mongolian camels and was endemic in Eastern provinces. Camel herd seropositivity was most closely associated to infection in cattle. Longer term monitoring is needed to assess whether camel seroprevalance decreases with ongoing vaccination in Mongolia. This should be coupled with further confirmation on Brucella spp. isolates. To date, only Brucella abortus was isolated, but camels are also susceptible to Brucella melitensis. Clear verbal and written information on disease prevention in livestock and household members is important, particularly for remote camel herders who had only moderate knowledge on brucellosis epidemiology and preventive measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chimedtseren Bayasgalan
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Mongolian University of Life Sciences, PO Box 17024, Zaisan, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, PO Box, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Tungalag Chultemdorj
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Mongolian University of Life Sciences, PO Box 17024, Zaisan, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | | | - Jakob Zinsstag
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, PO Box, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Jan Hattendorf
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, PO Box, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Battsetseg Badmaa
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Mongolian University of Life Sciences, PO Box 17024, Zaisan, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Bayanzul Argamjav
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Mongolian University of Life Sciences, PO Box 17024, Zaisan, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Esther Schelling
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, PO Box, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
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Zhang N, Huang D, Wu W, Liu J, Liang F, Zhou B, Guan P. Animal brucellosis control or eradication programs worldwide: A systematic review of experiences and lessons learned. Prev Vet Med 2018; 160:105-115. [PMID: 30388992 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.10.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2018] [Revised: 08/31/2018] [Accepted: 10/05/2018] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis is one of the most common zoonoses worldwide, causing huge economic losses in the animal industry and posing a serious threat to human health. Although the World Health Organization (WHO) and World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) has recommended strategies or measures to control or eradicate brucellosis, only some developed countries have achieved freedom from animal brucellosis. In developing countries, brucellosis remains a serious problem, and the importance of its control has attracted little attention. The strategies and measures are difficult to implement effectively in countries with limited resources because the eradication of brucellosis is an expensive, time-consuming and labor-intensive project. Therefore, more effort is needed to explore the appropriate strategies and measures in developing countries. In this study, we collected the available publications regarding brucellosis control or eradication programs in different countries and areas, and summarized the main strategies and measures, supplementary measures, effects, and lessons learned during their implementation. Results showed that the freedom from animal brucellosis was only achieved in three countries among the 23 included countries and areas after the implementation of the programs, which had lasted several decades. Either alone or together, vaccination and test-and-slaughter programs can effectively reduce brucellosis prevalence. Supplementary measures involve a number of aspects, and their effective implementation is crucial to the success of disease control and cannot be ignored. While disease control or eradication requires extensive resources, some studies have shown that a well-designed and well-implemented disease control or eradication program is economically effective. Experience has revealed that even if significant results have been achieved, the project could not be terminated without careful consideration due to the potential for recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ning Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Desheng Huang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China; Department of Mathematics, School of Fundamental Sciences, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Wei Wu
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Jing Liu
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Feng Liang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Baosen Zhou
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Peng Guan
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China.
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Caspase-1 and Caspase-11 Mediate Pyroptosis, Inflammation, and Control of Brucella Joint Infection. Infect Immun 2018; 86:IAI.00361-18. [PMID: 29941463 DOI: 10.1128/iai.00361-18] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2018] [Accepted: 06/20/2018] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis, caused by the intracellular bacterial pathogen Brucella, is a zoonotic disease for which arthritis is the most common focal complication in humans. Here we investigated the role of inflammasomes and their effectors, including interleukin-1 (IL-1), IL-18, and pyroptosis, on inflammation and control of infection during Brucella-induced arthritis. Early in infection, both caspase-1 and caspase-11 were found to initiate joint inflammation and proinflammatory cytokine production. However, by 1 week postinfection, caspase-1 and caspase-11 also contributed to control of Brucella joint infection. Inflammasome-dependent restriction of Brucella joint burdens did not require AIM2 (absent in melanoma 2) or NLRP3 (NLR family, pyrin domain containing 3). IL-1R had a modest effect on Brucella-induced joint swelling, but mice lacking IL-1R were not impaired in their ability to control infection of the joint by Brucella In contrast, IL-18 contributed to the initiation of joint swelling and control of joint Brucella infection. Caspase1/11-dependent cell death was observed in vivo, and in vitro studies demonstrated that both caspase-1 and caspase-11 induce pyroptosis, which limited Brucella infection in macrophages. Brucella lipopolysaccharide alone was also able to induce caspase-11-dependent pyroptosis. Collectively, these data demonstrate that inflammasomes induce inflammation in an IL-18-dependent manner and that inflammasome-dependent IL-18 and pyroptosis restrict Brucella infection.
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Zhou L, Fan M, Hou Q, Jin Z, Sun X. Transmission dynamics and optimal control of brucellosis in Inner Mongolia of China. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2018; 15:543-567. [PMID: 29161849 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2018025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
A multigroup model is developed to characterize brucellosis transmission, to explore potential effects of key factors, and to prioritize control measures. The global threshold dynamics are completely characterized by theory of asymptotic autonomous systems and Lyapunov direct method. We then formulate a multi-objective optimization problem and, by the weighted sum method, transform it into a scalar optimization problem on minimizing the total cost for control. The existence of optimal control and its characterization are well established by Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. We further parameterize the model and compute optimal control strategy for Inner Mongolia in China. In particular, we expound the effects of sheep recruitment, vaccination of sheep, culling of infected sheep, and health education of human on the dynamics and control of brucellosis. This study indicates that current control measures in Inner Mongolia are not working well and Brucellosis will continue to increase. The main finding here supports opposing unregulated sheep breeding and suggests vaccination and health education as the preferred necessary emergency intervention control. The policymakers must take a new look at the current control strategy, and, in order to control brucellosis better in Inner Mongolia, the governments have to preemptively press ahead with more effective measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linhua Zhou
- Department of Applied Mathematics, School of Science, Changchun University of Science and Technology, Changchun 130022, China
| | - Meng Fan
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, and Key Laboratory for Vegetation Ecology of the Education Ministry, Northeast Normal University, 5268 Renmin Street, Changchun, Jilin, 130024, China
| | - Qiang Hou
- School of Mechatronic Engineering, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China
| | - Zhen Jin
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China
| | - Xiangdong Sun
- China Animal Health And Epidemiology Center, Qingdao 266032, China
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More S, Bøtner A, Butterworth A, Calistri P, Depner K, Edwards S, Garin-Bastuji B, Good M, Gortázar Schmidt C, Michel V, Miranda MA, Nielsen SS, Raj M, Sihvonen L, Spoolder H, Stegeman JA, Thulke HH, Velarde A, Willeberg P, Winckler C, Baldinelli F, Broglia A, Verdonck F, Beltrán Beck B, Kohnle L, Morgado J, Bicout D. Assessment of listing and categorisation of animal diseases within the framework of the Animal Health Law (Regulation (EU) No 2016/429): infection with Brucella abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis. EFSA J 2017; 15:e04889. [PMID: 32625554 PMCID: PMC7009888 DOI: 10.2903/j.efsa.2017.4889] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
The infection with Brucella abortus, Brucella melitensis and Brucella suis has been assessed according to the criteria of the Animal Health Law (AHL), in particular criteria of Article 7 on disease profile and impacts, Article 5 on the eligibility of the infection with B. abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis to be listed, Article 9 for the categorisation of the infection with B. abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis according to disease prevention and control rules as in Annex IV and Article 8 on the list of animal species related to the infection with B. abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis. The assessment has been performed following a methodology composed of information collection and compilation, expert judgement on each criterion at individual and, if no consensus was reached before, also at collective level. The output is composed of the categorical answer, and for the questions where no consensus was reached, the different supporting views are reported. Details on the methodology used for this assessment are explained in a separate opinion. According to the assessment performed, the infection with B. abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis can be considered eligible to be listed for Union intervention as laid down in Article 5(3) of the AHL. The disease complies with the criteria as in Sections 2, 3, 4 and 5 of Annex IV of the AHL, for the application of the disease prevention and control rules referred to in points (b), (c), (d) and (e) of Article 9(1). The animal species to be listed for the infection with B. abortus, B. melitensis and B. suis according to Article 8(3) criteria are several mammal species, as indicated in the present opinion.
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Savini L, Candeloro L, Conte A, De Massis F, Giovannini A. Development of a forecasting model for brucellosis spreading in the Italian cattle trade network aimed to prioritise the field interventions. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0177313. [PMID: 28654703 PMCID: PMC5486964 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177313] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2017] [Accepted: 04/25/2017] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis caused by Brucella abortus is an important zoonosis that constitutes a serious hazard to public health. Prevention of human brucellosis depends on the control of the disease in animals. Livestock movement data represent a valuable source of information to understand the pattern of contacts between holdings, which may determine the inter-herds and intra-herd spread of the disease. The manuscript addresses the use of computational epidemic models rooted in the knowledge of cattle trade network to assess the probabilities of brucellosis spread and to design control strategies. Three different spread network-based models were proposed: the DFC (Disease Flow Centrality) model based only on temporal cattle network structure and unrelated to the epidemiological disease parameters; a deterministic SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model; a stochastic SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered) model in which epidemiological and demographic within-farm aspects were also modelled. Containment strategies based on farms centrality in the cattle network were tested and discussed. All three models started from the identification of the entire sub-network originated from an infected farm, up to the fifth order of contacts. Their performances were based on data collected in Sicily in the framework of the national eradication plan of brucellosis in 2009. Results show that the proposed methods improves the efficacy and efficiency of the tracing activities in comparison to the procedure currently adopted by the veterinary services in the brucellosis control, in Italy. An overall assessment shows that the SIR model is the most suitable for the practical needs of the veterinary services, being the one with the highest sensitivity and the shortest computation time.
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Affiliation(s)
- L. Savini
- Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e Molise, National and OIE Reference Laboratory for Brucellosis, OIE Collaborating Centre for Veterinary Training, Epidemiology, Food Safety and Animal Welfare, Via Campo Boario, Teramo, Italy
- * E-mail:
| | - L. Candeloro
- Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e Molise, National and OIE Reference Laboratory for Brucellosis, OIE Collaborating Centre for Veterinary Training, Epidemiology, Food Safety and Animal Welfare, Via Campo Boario, Teramo, Italy
| | - A. Conte
- Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e Molise, National and OIE Reference Laboratory for Brucellosis, OIE Collaborating Centre for Veterinary Training, Epidemiology, Food Safety and Animal Welfare, Via Campo Boario, Teramo, Italy
| | - F. De Massis
- Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e Molise, National and OIE Reference Laboratory for Brucellosis, OIE Collaborating Centre for Veterinary Training, Epidemiology, Food Safety and Animal Welfare, Via Campo Boario, Teramo, Italy
| | - A. Giovannini
- Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e Molise, National and OIE Reference Laboratory for Brucellosis, OIE Collaborating Centre for Veterinary Training, Epidemiology, Food Safety and Animal Welfare, Via Campo Boario, Teramo, Italy
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Webster JP, Borlase A, Rudge JW. Who acquires infection from whom and how? Disentangling multi-host and multi-mode transmission dynamics in the 'elimination' era. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 2017; 372:20160091. [PMID: 28289259 PMCID: PMC5352818 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 58] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/25/2016] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Multi-host infectious agents challenge our abilities to understand, predict and manage disease dynamics. Within this, many infectious agents are also able to use, simultaneously or sequentially, multiple modes of transmission. Furthermore, the relative importance of different host species and modes can itself be dynamic, with potential for switches and shifts in host range and/or transmission mode in response to changing selective pressures, such as those imposed by disease control interventions. The epidemiology of such multi-host, multi-mode infectious agents thereby can involve a multi-faceted community of definitive and intermediate/secondary hosts or vectors, often together with infectious stages in the environment, all of which may represent potential targets, as well as specific challenges, particularly where disease elimination is proposed. Here, we explore, focusing on examples from both human and animal pathogen systems, why and how we should aim to disentangle and quantify the relative importance of multi-host multi-mode infectious agent transmission dynamics under contrasting conditions, and ultimately, how this can be used to help achieve efficient and effective disease control.This article is part of the themed issue 'Opening the black box: re-examining the ecology and evolution of parasite transmission'.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joanne P Webster
- Department of Pathology and Pathogen Biology, Centre for Emerging, Endemic and Exotic Diseases, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hatfield AL9 7TA, UK
| | - Anna Borlase
- Department of Pathology and Pathogen Biology, Centre for Emerging, Endemic and Exotic Diseases, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hatfield AL9 7TA, UK
| | - James W Rudge
- Communicable Diseases Policy Research Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University, 420/1 Rajavithi Road, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
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Model-Based Evaluation of Strategies to Control Brucellosis in China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2017; 14:ijerph14030295. [PMID: 28287496 PMCID: PMC5369131 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14030295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2017] [Revised: 02/26/2017] [Accepted: 03/07/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis, the most common zoonotic disease worldwide, represents a great threat to animal husbandry with the potential to cause enormous economic losses. Brucellosis has become a major public health problem in China, and the number of human brucellosis cases has increased dramatically in recent years. In order to evaluate different intervention strategies to curb brucellosis transmission in China, a novel mathematical model with a general indirect transmission incidence rate was presented. By comparing the results of three models using national human disease data and 11 provinces with high case numbers, the best fitted model with standard incidence was used to investigate the potential for future outbreaks. Estimated basic reproduction numbers were highly heterogeneous, varying widely among provinces. The local basic reproduction numbers of provinces with an obvious increase in incidence were much larger than the average for the country as a whole, suggesting that environment-to-individual transmission was more common than individual-to-individual transmission. We concluded that brucellosis can be controlled through increasing animal vaccination rates, environment disinfection frequency, or elimination rates of infected animals. Our finding suggests that a combination of animal vaccination, environment disinfection, and elimination of infected animals will be necessary to ensure cost-effective control for brucellosis.
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Temporal Role for MyD88 in a Model of Brucella-Induced Arthritis and Musculoskeletal Inflammation. Infect Immun 2017; 85:IAI.00961-16. [PMID: 28069819 DOI: 10.1128/iai.00961-16] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2016] [Accepted: 01/05/2017] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Brucella spp. are facultative intracellular Gram-negative bacteria that cause the zoonotic disease brucellosis, one of the most common global zoonoses. Osteomyelitis, arthritis, and musculoskeletal inflammation are common focal complications of brucellosis in humans; however, wild-type (WT) mice infected systemically with conventional doses of Brucella do not develop these complications. Here we report C57BL/6 WT mice infected via the footpad with 103 to 106 CFU of Brucella spp. display neutrophil and monocyte infiltration of the joint space and surrounding musculoskeletal tissue. Joint inflammation is detectable as early as 1 day postinfection and peaks 1 to 2 weeks later, after which WT mice are able to slowly resolve inflammation. B and T cells were dispensable for the onset of swelling but required for resolution of joint inflammation and infection. At early time points, MyD88-/- mice display decreased joint inflammation, swelling, and proinflammatory cytokine levels relative to WT mice. Subsequently, swelling of MyD88-/- joints surpassed WT joint swelling, and resolution of joint inflammation was prolonged. Joint bacterial loads in MyD88-/- mice were significantly greater than those in WT mice by day 3 postinfection and at all time points thereafter. In addition, MyD88-/- joint inflammatory cytokine levels on day 3 and beyond were similar to WT levels. Collectively these data demonstrate MyD88 signaling mediates early inflammatory responses in the joint but also contributes to subsequent clearance of Brucella and resolution of inflammation. This work also establishes a mouse model for studying Brucella-induced arthritis, musculoskeletal complications, and systemic responses, which will lead to a better understanding of focal complications of brucellosis.
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Fournié G, Pfeiffer DU, Bendrey R. Early animal farming and zoonotic disease dynamics: modelling brucellosis transmission in Neolithic goat populations. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 2017; 4:160943. [PMID: 28386446 PMCID: PMC5367282 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.160943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2016] [Accepted: 01/11/2017] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Abstract
Zoonotic pathogens are frequently hypothesized as emerging with the origins of farming, but evidence of this is elusive in the archaeological records. To explore the potential impact of animal domestication on zoonotic disease dynamics and human infection risk, we developed a model simulating the transmission of Brucella melitensis within early domestic goat populations. The model was informed by archaeological data describing goat populations in Neolithic settlements in the Fertile Crescent, and used to assess the potential of these populations to sustain the circulation of Brucella. Results show that the pathogen could have been sustained even at low levels of transmission within these domestic goat populations. This resulted from the creation of dense populations and major changes in demographic characteristics. The selective harvesting of young male goats, likely aimed at improving the efficiency of food production, modified the age and sex structure of these populations, increasing the transmission potential of the pathogen within these populations. Probable interactions between Neolithic settlements would have further promoted pathogen maintenance. By fostering conditions suitable for allowing domestic goats to become reservoirs of Brucella melitensis, the early stages of agricultural development were likely to promote the exposure of humans to this pathogen.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guillaume Fournié
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield AL9 7TA, UK
| | - Dirk U. Pfeiffer
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield AL9 7TA, UK
- School of Veterinary Medicine, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong
| | - Robin Bendrey
- Department of Archaeology, University of Reading, Whiteknights Box 226, Reading RG6 6AB, UK
- School of History, Classics and Archaeology, University of Edinburgh, William Robertson Wing, Old Medical School, Teviot Place, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
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Kang SI, Her M, Erdenebaataar J, Vanaabaatar B, Cho H, Sung SR, Lee JJ, Jung SC, Park YH, Kim JY. Molecular epidemiological investigation of Brucella melitensis circulating in Mongolia by MLVA16. Comp Immunol Microbiol Infect Dis 2017; 50:16-22. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cimid.2016.11.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2016] [Revised: 10/28/2016] [Accepted: 11/07/2016] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
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Abakar MF, Yahyaoui Azami H, Justus Bless P, Crump L, Lohmann P, Laager M, Chitnis N, Zinsstag J. Transmission dynamics and elimination potential of zoonotic tuberculosis in morocco. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2017; 11:e0005214. [PMID: 28152056 PMCID: PMC5289436 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2016] [Accepted: 11/28/2016] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is an endemic zoonosis in Morocco caused by Mycobacterium bovis, which infects many domestic animals and is transmitted to humans through consumption of raw milk or from contact with infected animals. The prevalence of BTB in Moroccan cattle is estimated at 18%, and 33% at the individual and the herd level respectively, but the human M. bovis burden needs further clarification. The current control strategy based on test and slaughter should be improved through local context adaptation taking into account a suitable compensation in order to reduce BTB prevalence in Morocco and decrease the disease burden in humans and animals. We established a simple compartmental deterministic mathematical model for BTB transmission in cattle and humans to provide a general understanding of BTB, in particular regarding transmission to humans. Differential equations were used to model the different pathways between the compartments for cattle and humans. Scenarios of test and slaughter were simulated to determine the effects of varying the proportion of tested animals (p) on the time to elimination of BTB (individual animal prevalence of less than one in a thousand) in cattle and humans. The time to freedom from disease ranged from 75 years for p = 20% to 12 years for p = 100%. For p > 60% the time to elimination was less than 20 years. The cumulated cost was largely stable: for p values higher than 40%, cost ranged from 1.47 to 1.60 billion euros with a time frame of 12 to 32 years to reach freedom from disease. The model simulations also suggest that using a 2mm cut off instead of a 4mm cut off in the Single Intradermal Comparative Cervical Tuberculin skin test (SICCT) would result in cheaper and quicker elimination programs. This analysis informs Moroccan bovine tuberculosis control policy regarding time frame, range of cost and levels of intervention. However, further research is needed to clarify the national human-bovine tuberculosis ratio in Morocco.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mahamat Fayiz Abakar
- Institut de Recherches en Elevage pour le Développement, N’Djaména, Chad
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Hind Yahyaoui Azami
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- Institut Agronomique et Vétérinaire Hassan II, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Philipp Justus Bless
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Lisa Crump
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Petra Lohmann
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Mirjam Laager
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Nakul Chitnis
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Jakob Zinsstag
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
- University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
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Acharya KP, Kaphle K, Shrestha K, Garin Bastuji B, Smits HL. Review of brucellosis in Nepal. Int J Vet Sci Med 2016; 4:54-62. [PMID: 33195685 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijvsm.2016.10.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2016] [Revised: 10/21/2016] [Accepted: 10/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis is an abortifacient zoonotic disease that remains prominent in third world countries like Nepal. Brucellosis poses a public health concern, because its incidence in livestock can present substantial economic and health burdens for herders and health professionals. Several cases of bovine and human brucellosis have been reported and the prevalence is higher among livestock than among humans in Nepal. Lack of awareness, unhealthy food habit, traditional husbandry practices, and a lack of surveillance and immunization have been the major factors in maintaining a vicious cycle of propagation of the disease in human and animals. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the current status of the disease, the mechanism of infection, and pathogenesis, its zoonotic potential, diagnostic advances, treatment regimens, and the preventive measures that can be adopted in managing human brucellosis in under-developed countries such as Nepal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Krishna Prasad Acharya
- Ecole d'Ingenieurs de Purpan, Toulouse, France
- Agriculture and Forestry University (AFU), Rampur, Chitwan, Nepal
- Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science (IAAS), Tribhuvan University (TU), Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Krishna Kaphle
- Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science (IAAS), Tribhuvan University (TU), Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | - Bruno Garin Bastuji
- European & International Affairs Department Agence Nationale de Sécurité Sanitaire de l'alimentation, de l'environnement et du travail French Agency for Food, Environmental & Occupational Health & Safety (ANSES)
| | - Henk L Smits
- KIT Biomedical Research, Royal Tropical Institute/Koninklijk Instituut voor de Tropen, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Lal A, Dobbins T, Bagheri N, Baker MG, French NP, Hales S. Cryptosporidiosis Risk in New Zealand Children Under 5 Years Old is Greatest in Areas with High Dairy Cattle Densities. ECOHEALTH 2016; 13:652-660. [PMID: 27766441 DOI: 10.1007/s10393-016-1187-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2015] [Revised: 09/06/2016] [Accepted: 09/18/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
The public health risks associated with dairy farming intensification are an emerging concern. We examine the association between dairy cattle density and cryptosporidiosis risk in children <5 years old in New Zealand from 1997 to 2008, a period of rapid intensification of the dairy industry. Multi-level Poisson regression was used to model reported cryptosporidiosis (N = 3869 cases) incidence in relation to dairy cattle densities across urban and rural areas separately, after controlling for microbiological quality of public drinking water supplies and neighbourhood socio-economic factors using the Census Area Unit of residence. Within urban areas, the risk of cryptosporidiosis in children less than 5 years old was significantly, positively associated with medium and high dairy cattle density IRR 1.3 (95% CI 1.2, 1.5) and 1.5 (95% CI 1.2, 1.9) respectively, when compared to areas with no dairy cattle. Within rural areas, the incidence risk of cryptosporidiosis in children less than 5 years old were significantly, positively associated with medium and high dairy cattle density: IRR 1.7 (95% CI 1.3, 2.3) and 2.0 (95% CI 1.5, 2.8) respectively, when compared to areas with no dairy cattle. These results have public health implications for children living on and in proximity to intensively stocked dairy cattle farms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aparna Lal
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Research School of Population Health, The Australian National University, Building 62, Acton, Canberra, ACT, 2601, Australia.
| | - Timothy Dobbins
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Research School of Population Health, The Australian National University, Building 62, Acton, Canberra, ACT, 2601, Australia
| | - Nasser Bagheri
- Department of Health Service Research and Policy, Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, 63 Eggleston Rd, Canberra, 2601, Australia
| | - Michael G Baker
- Department of Public Health, University of Otago School of Medical and Health Sciences, PO Box 7343, Wellington South, 6242, New Zealand
| | - Nigel P French
- mEpiLab, Hopkirk Research Institute, Massey University, Private Bag 11222, Palmerston North, 4442, New Zealand
| | - Simon Hales
- Department of Public Health, University of Otago School of Medical and Health Sciences, PO Box 7343, Wellington South, 6242, New Zealand
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Modelling Seasonal Brucellosis Epidemics in Bayingolin Mongol Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang, China, 2010-2014. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2016; 2016:5103718. [PMID: 27872852 PMCID: PMC5107254 DOI: 10.1155/2016/5103718] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2016] [Accepted: 09/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis is one of the severe public health problems; the cumulative number of new human brucellosis cases reached 211515 from 2010 to 2014 in China. Bayingolin Mongol Autonomous Prefecture is situated in the southeast of Xinjiang, where brucellosis infection occurs every year. Based on the reported data of newly acute human brucellosis cases for each season in Bayingolin Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, we proposed a susceptible, exposed, infected, and vaccinated (SEIV) model with periodic transmission rates to investigate the seasonal brucellosis transmission dynamics among sheep/cattle and from sheep/cattle to humans. Compared with the criteria of MAPE and RMSPE, the model simulations agree to the data on newly acute human brucellosis. We predict that the number of newly acute human brucellosis is increasing and will peak 15325 [95% CI: 11920-18242] around the summer of 2023. We also estimate the basic reproduction number R0 = 2.5524 [95% CI: 2.5129-2.6225] and perform some sensitivity analysis of the newly acute human brucellosis cases and the basic reproduction number R0 in terms of model parameters. Our study demonstrates that reducing the birth number of sheep/cattle, raising the slaughter rate of infected sheep/cattle, increasing the vaccination rate of susceptible sheep/cattle, and decreasing the loss rate of vaccination are effective strategies to control brucellosis epidemic.
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Acharya KP, Niroula N, Kaphle K. Review of Brucellosis in Nepal. Epidemiol Health 2016; 38:e2016042. [PMID: 27703129 PMCID: PMC5425907 DOI: 10.4178/epih.e2016042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2016] [Accepted: 09/30/2016] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of this paper is to evaluate the current status of the disease, the mechanism of infection, and pathogenesis, its zoonotic potential, diagnostic advances, treatment regimens, and the preventive measures that can be adopted in managing human brucellosis in under-developed countries such as Nepal. METHODS We performed a systematic review of all the available literture through Google Scholar, PubMed, Gideon Informatics, World Health Organization and other legitimate sources. Other secondary informations were collected from the government agencies such as department of livestock services and Ministry of Health. The obtained information was then re-analysed and summarized. RESULTS Few publications have addressed brucellosis in Nepal and most of those publications have focused on bovine brucellosis with sparse information available on brucellosis in humans and small ruminants. Brucella abortus is the most predominant causative agent followed by B. suis. B. abortus is predominant in cattle accounting for a substantial portion of bovine abortion in the country. Lack of awareness, unhealthy food habit, traditional husbandry practices, and a lack of surveillance and immunization have been the major factors in maintaining a vicious cycle of propagation of the disease in human and animals. Unfortunately, nothing has been done to identify the species of Brucella at the biovar level. CONCLUSIONS Although brucellosis has been reported to be endemic in Nepal, neither the distribution nor the economic and public health impact of this disease is well characterized. Robust and well-designed nationwide survey is warranted to assess the prevalence and distribution of disease in livestock and humans. Such data would facilitate the design of appropriate control programmes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Nirajan Niroula
- Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science, Tribhuwan University, Chitwan, Nepal
| | - Krishna Kaphle
- Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science, Tribhuwan University, Chitwan, Nepal
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Acharya KP. Brucellosis in Nepal - A Potential Threat to Public Health Professionals. CURRENT HEALTH SCIENCES JOURNAL 2016; 42:396-407. [PMID: 30581595 PMCID: PMC6269619 DOI: 10.12865/chsj.42.04.10] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2016] [Accepted: 12/18/2016] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Brucellosis is a prominent zoonotic disease affecting humans and animals which with the lack of proper diagnosis and treatment remains dangerous in third world countries like Nepal. Currently, Brucellosis poses a public health concern, whose incidences among entire herds of animals can present substantial economic and health burdens for herders and health professionals. Additionally, factors such as close contact with animals, poor animal husbandry, and unhygienic feeding habits can exacerbate the spread of Brucella and related zoonotic agents. In Nepal, serious cases of bovine and even human brucellosis have been reported, although the topic is yet to be extensively reviewed. This paper evaluates the literatures on human and animal brucellosis in Nepal and other countries, with an emphasis on the impact of Brucella outbreaks on public health professionals. Herein, we summarize the current status of the disease, the mechanism of infection, pathogenesis, zoonotic potential, diagnostic advances, treatment regimens, and the preventive measures that can be adopted in managing human brucellosis in under-developed countries such as Nepal.
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Affiliation(s)
- K P Acharya
- Animal Science Instructor,Shree Himganga Higher Secondary School, Ramechhap, Nepal; Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science, Tribhuwan University, Rampur, Chitwan, Nepal
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43
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WITHDRAWN: Acute brucellosis in Nepal: Research and prospects. JOURNAL OF ACUTE DISEASE 2016. [DOI: 10.1016/j.joad.2016.05.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
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Keleher LL, Skyberg JA. Activation of bovine neutrophils by Brucella spp. Vet Immunol Immunopathol 2016; 177:1-6. [PMID: 27436438 DOI: 10.1016/j.vetimm.2016.05.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2016] [Revised: 05/03/2016] [Accepted: 05/10/2016] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
Brucellosis is a globally important zoonotic infectious disease caused by gram negative bacteria of the genus Brucella. While many species of Brucella exist, Brucella melitensis, Brucella abortus, and Brucella suis are the most common pathogens of humans and livestock. The virulence of Brucella is largely influenced by its ability to evade host factors, including phagocytic killing mechanisms, which are critical for the host response to infection. The aim of this study was to characterize the bovine neutrophil response to virulent Brucella spp. Here, we found that virulent strains of smooth B. abortus, B. melitensis, B. suis, and virulent, rough, strains of Brucella canis possess similar abilities to resist killing by resting, or IFN-γ-activated, bovine neutrophils. Bovine neutrophils responded to infection with a time-dependent oxidative burst that varied little between Brucella spp. Inhibition of TAK1, or SYK kinase blunted the oxidative burst of neutrophils in response to Brucella infection. Interestingly, Brucella spp. did not induce robust death of bovine neutrophils. These results indicate that bovine neutrophils respond similarly to virulent Brucella spp. In addition, virulent Brucella spp., including naturally rough strains of B. canis, have a conserved ability to resist killing by bovine neutrophils.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren L Keleher
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, United States; Laboratory for Infectious Disease Research, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, United States
| | - Jerod A Skyberg
- Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, United States; Laboratory for Infectious Disease Research, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, United States.
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45
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Eltholth MM, Hegazy YM, El-Tras WF, Bruce M, Rushton J. Temporal Analysis and Costs of Ruminant Brucellosis Control Programme in Egypt Between 1999 and 2011. Transbound Emerg Dis 2016; 64:1191-1199. [PMID: 28670862 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.12491] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2015] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Data for the prevalence of brucellosis in ruminants in Egypt are scarce; recent studies suggest the disease is endemic, with a high prevalence. The aim of this study was to assess the financial costs and the impact of the current control programme on the pattern of brucellosis among ruminants between 1999 and 2011. A univariate binary logistic regression model was used to compare between seropositive proportions for different years for each species. The proportion of seropositive cattle was significantly increased from 2000 to 2004 then significantly decreased from 2005 to 2011. The proportion of seropositive buffalo fluctuated year to year; however, there was a significant increase in 2008 (OR 3.13, 95% CI 2.69-3.66, P < 0.001). There was a decrease in the proportion of seropositive sheep during the study period except in 2001 and 2009 in which there was a significant increase. The proportion of seropositive goats increased in 2000 and 2001, and then decreased from 2002 to 2007. In 2008, there was a significant increase in the seropositive proportion of goats (OR 2.53, 95% CI 2.21-2.90, P < 0.001). The average annual cost for the control programme including testing and compensation was more than US$3 million. The total cost for the control programme including testing and compensation for the period (13 years) between 1999 and 2011 was more than US$40 million, from which more than 56% for cattle. Further studies are required for the effectiveness of the current control strategies and alternative strategies should be considered. The socio-economic impact of brucellosis and its control measures should be investigated.
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Affiliation(s)
- M M Eltholth
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group (VEEPH), Royal Veterinary College, London, UK.,Department of Hygiene and Preventive Medicine (Hygiene), Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Kafrelsheikh University, Kafrelsheikh, Egypt.,Department of Economics, School of Arts and Social Sciences, City University London, London, UK
| | - Y M Hegazy
- Department of Animal Medicine, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Kafrelsheikh University, Kafrelsheikh, Egypt
| | - W F El-Tras
- Department of Hygiene and Preventive Medicine (Zoonoses), Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Kafrelsheikh University, Kafrelsheikh, Egypt
| | - M Bruce
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group (VEEPH), Royal Veterinary College, London, UK
| | - J Rushton
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group (VEEPH), Royal Veterinary College, London, UK
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Beauvais W, Musallam I, Guitian J. Vaccination control programs for multiple livestock host species: an age-stratified, seasonal transmission model for brucellosis control in endemic settings. Parasit Vectors 2016; 9:55. [PMID: 26825313 PMCID: PMC4733281 DOI: 10.1186/s13071-016-1327-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2015] [Accepted: 01/20/2016] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brucella melitensis causes production losses in ruminants and febrile disease in humans in Africa, Central Asia, the Middle East and elsewhere. Although traditionally understood to affect primarily sheep and goats, it is also the predominant Brucella species that affects cows in some endemic areas. Despite this, no licensed vaccine is available specifically for use against B. melitensis in cows. The mainstay of most control programs is vaccination of sheep and goats with a live vaccine, Rev-1. The aim of this study was to investigate how critical vaccination of cows might be, in order to control B. melitensis on a mixed sheep-and-cattle farm. METHODS A dynamic, differential-equation, age-structured, seasonal model with births and deaths, was used to investigate whether vaccination of both sheep and cattle had an impact on time to elimination of brucellosis on an individual mixed species farm, when compared to vaccination of sheep only. The model was a Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SEIRS) model with an additional compartment for Persistently Infected (PI) individuals. Transmission parameters were fit based on a nation-wide probabilistic seroprevalence survey in Jordan. RESULTS The model predicted that it would take 3.5 years to eliminate brucellosis (to less than 0.5% of adult sheep seropositive as a result of infection) on a mixed-species B. melitensis-endemic farm with the median field-study seroprevalence, following vaccination of both sheep and cattle, assuming a vaccine effectiveness of 80%. Limiting the vaccination to sheep only, increased the time to 16.8 years. Sensitivity analysis showed that the finding that vaccination of cattle was of significant importance, was robust. Vaccine effectiveness had a strong influence on time to elimination. CONCLUSIONS In the absence of further data, vaccination of cattle should be considered essential in Brucella-endemic settings where mixed small ruminant and cattle flocks predominate. Further evidence that Brucella melitensis predominates in cattle in Jordan, as opposed to Brucella abortus, is needed in order to validate this model. The results may be applicable to other mixed-species settings with similar livestock management practices. These methods may be applied to other pathogens affecting multiple livestock species or with seasonal transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wendy Beauvais
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, The Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, AL9 7TA, UK. .,London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, London, UK.
| | - Imadidden Musallam
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, The Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, AL9 7TA, UK. .,London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, London, UK.
| | - Javier Guitian
- Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, The Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, AL9 7TA, UK. .,London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, London, UK.
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Kracalik IT, Abdullayev R, Asadov K, Ismayilova R, Baghirova M, Ustun N, Shikhiyev M, Talibzade A, Blackburn JK. Human Brucellosis Trends: Re-emergence and Prospects for Control Using a One Health Approach in Azerbaijan (1983-2009). Zoonoses Public Health 2015; 63:294-302. [PMID: 26403990 DOI: 10.1111/zph.12229] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2014] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
Abstract
Brucellosis is one of the most common and widely spread zoonotic diseases in the world. Control of the disease in humans is dependent upon limiting the infection in animals through surveillance and vaccination. Given the dramatic economic and political changes that have taken place in the former Soviet Union, which have limited control, evaluating the status of human brucellosis in former Soviet states is crucial. We assessed annual spatial and temporal trends in the epidemiology of human brucellosis in Azerbaijan, 1983-2009, in conjunction with data from a livestock surveillance and control programme (2002-2009). To analyse trends, we used a combination of segmented regression and spatial analysis. From 1983 to 2009, a total of 11 233 cases of human brucellosis were reported. Up to the mid-1990s, the incidence of human brucellosis showed a pattern of re-emergence, increasing by 25% annually, on average. Following Soviet governance, the incidence rates peaked, increasing by 1.8% annually, on average, and subsequently decreasing by 5% annually, on average, during the period 2002-2009. Despite recent national declines in human incidence, we identified geographic changes in the case distribution characterized by a geographic expansion and an increasing incidence among districts clustered in the south-east, compared to a decrease of elsewhere in the country. Males were consistently, disproportionately afflicted (71%) and incidence was highest in the 15 to 19 age group (18.1 cases/100 000). During the period 2002-2009, >10 million small ruminants were vaccinated with Rev1. Our findings highlight the improving prospects for human brucellosis control following livestock vaccination; however, the disease appears to be re-emerging in south-eastern Azerbaijan. Sustained one health measures are needed to address changing patterns of brucellosis in Azerbaijan and elsewhere in the former Soviet Union.
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Affiliation(s)
- I T Kracalik
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Lab, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.,Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
| | - R Abdullayev
- Republican Anti-plague Station, Baku, Azerbaijan
| | - K Asadov
- State Veterinary Service, Baku, Azerbaijan
| | - R Ismayilova
- Republican Anti-plague Station, Baku, Azerbaijan
| | | | - N Ustun
- Republican Anti-plague Station, Baku, Azerbaijan
| | | | - A Talibzade
- Republican Anti-plague Station, Baku, Azerbaijan
| | - J K Blackburn
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Lab, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.,Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
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Jia P, Joyner A. Human brucellosis occurrences in inner mongolia, China: a spatio-temporal distribution and ecological niche modeling approach. BMC Infect Dis 2015; 15:36. [PMID: 25644986 PMCID: PMC4319220 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-015-0763-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2014] [Accepted: 01/15/2015] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brucellosis is a common zoonotic disease and remains a major burden in both human and domesticated animal populations worldwide. Few geographic studies of human Brucellosis have been conducted, especially in China. Inner Mongolia of China is considered an appropriate area for the study of human Brucellosis due to its provision of a suitable environment for animals most responsible for human Brucellosis outbreaks. METHODS The aggregated numbers of human Brucellosis cases from 1951 to 2005 at the municipality level, and the yearly numbers and incidence rates of human Brucellosis cases from 2006 to 2010 at the county level were collected. Geographic Information Systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS) and ecological niche modeling (ENM) were integrated to study the distribution of human Brucellosis cases over 1951-2010. RESULTS Results indicate that areas of central and eastern Inner Mongolia provide a long-term suitable environment where human Brucellosis outbreaks have occurred and can be expected to persist. Other areas of northeast China and central Mongolia also contain similar environments. CONCLUSIONS This study is the first to combine advanced spatial statistical analysis with environmental modeling techniques when examining human Brucellosis outbreaks and will help to inform decision-making in the field of public health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peng Jia
- Department of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA.
| | - Andrew Joyner
- Department of Geosciences, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN, USA.
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NIE JING, SUN GUIQUAN, SUN XIANGDONG, ZHANG JUAN, WANG NAN, WANG YOUMING, SHEN CHAOJIAN, HUANG BAOXU, JIN ZHEN. MODELING THE TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF DAIRY CATTLE BRUCELLOSIS IN JILIN PROVINCE, CHINA. J BIOL SYST 2014. [DOI: 10.1142/s021833901450020x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Dairy cattle brucellosis is a chronic bacterial disease, which is caused by Brucella abortus and mainly characterized by abortion in dairy cattle. With the rapid development of breeding industry of milk cows in China, the infectious cases of dairy cattle brucellosis show an increasing trend. Particularly in Jilin province, the annual number of the positive cases of dairy cattle was only 3 cows in 1987, and went up to 168 cows in 2005. Based on the situation of the brucellosis infection in Jilin province, we propose an Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Virus (SEIV) dynamical model with outside transferred amount to describe the transmission of brucellosis amongst dairy cattle in this paper. We calculate the basic reproduction number R0 and prove that the equilibria are globally stable. Moreover, using the real data of nearly 20 years in Jilin province, we estimate the parameter values in the system. As a result, we can predict the number of infections as time increases. According to the prediction for the next 30 years, we can conclude that the disease will persist if we just take existing measures. If culling, sterilizing and decreasing the number of outer importing are used together, dairy cattle brucellosis will be well controlled.
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Affiliation(s)
- JING NIE
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030051, People's Republic of China
| | - GUI-QUAN SUN
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030006, People's Republic of China
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030051, People's Republic of China
- School of Mathematical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, People's Republic of China
| | - XIANG-DONG SUN
- China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong 266032, People's Republic of China
| | - JUAN ZHANG
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030051, People's Republic of China
| | - NAN WANG
- Jilin Animal Disease Prevent and Control Center, Changchun, Jilin 130062, People's Republic of China
| | - YOU-MING WANG
- China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong 266032, People's Republic of China
| | - CHAO-JIAN SHEN
- China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong 266032, People's Republic of China
| | - BAO-XU HUANG
- China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong 266032, People's Republic of China
| | - ZHEN JIN
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030006, People's Republic of China
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi 030051, People's Republic of China
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Zhang J, Sun GQ, Sun XD, Hou Q, Li M, Huang B, Wang H, Jin Z. Prediction and control of brucellosis transmission of dairy cattle in Zhejiang Province, China. PLoS One 2014; 9:e108592. [PMID: 25386963 PMCID: PMC4227660 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0108592] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2013] [Accepted: 09/02/2014] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Brucellosis is a bacterial disease caused by brucella; mainly spread by direct contact transmission through the brucella carriers, or indirect contact transmission by the environment containing large quantities of bacteria discharged by the infected individuals. At the beginning of 21st century, the epidemic among dairy cows in Zhejiang province, began to come back and has become a localized prevalent epidemic. Combining the pathology of brucellosis, the reported positive data characteristics, and the feeding method in Zhejiang province, this paper establishes an dynamic model to excavate the internal transmission dynamics, fit the real disease situation, predict brucellosis tendency and assess control measures in dairy cows. By careful analysis, we give some quantitative results as follows. (1) The external input of dairy cows from northern areas may lead to high fluctuation of the number of the infectious cows in Zhejiang province that can reach several hundreds. In this case, the disease cannot be controlled and the infection situation cannot easily be predicted. Thus, this paper encourages cows farms to insist on self-supplying production of the dairy cows. (2) The effect of transmission rate of brucella in environment to dairy cattle on brucellosis spreading is greater than transmission rate of the infectious dairy cattle to susceptible cattle. The prevalence of the epidemic is mainly aroused by environment transmission. (3) Under certain circumstances, the epidemic will become a periodic phenomenon. (4) For Zhejiang province, besides measures that have already been adopted, sterilization times of the infected regions is suggested as twice a week, and should be combined with management of the birth rate of dairy cows to control brucellosis spread.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Zhang
- School of Mechatronic Engineering, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
| | - Gui-Quan Sun
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
- School of Mathematical Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiang-Dong Sun
- The Laboratory of Animal Epidemiological Surveillance, China Animal Health & Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong, People's Republic of China
| | - Qiang Hou
- Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
| | - Mingtao Li
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
| | - Baoxu Huang
- The Laboratory of Animal Epidemiological Surveillance, China Animal Health & Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong, People's Republic of China
| | - Haiyan Wang
- School of Mathematical & Natural Sciences, Arizona State University, Phoenix, AZ, United States of America
| | - Zhen Jin
- Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China
- * E-mail:
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