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Cocker D, Birgand G, Zhu N, Rodriguez-Manzano J, Ahmad R, Jambo K, Levin AS, Holmes A. Healthcare as a driver, reservoir and amplifier of antimicrobial resistance: opportunities for interventions. Nat Rev Microbiol 2024; 22:636-649. [PMID: 39048837 DOI: 10.1038/s41579-024-01076-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024]
Abstract
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global health challenge that threatens humans, animals and the environment. Evidence is emerging for a role of healthcare infrastructure, environments and patient pathways in promoting and maintaining AMR via direct and indirect mechanisms. Advances in vaccination and monoclonal antibody therapies together with integrated surveillance, rapid diagnostics, targeted antimicrobial therapy and infection control measures offer opportunities to address healthcare-associated AMR risks more effectively. Additionally, innovations in artificial intelligence, data linkage and intelligent systems can be used to better predict and reduce AMR and improve healthcare resilience. In this Review, we examine the mechanisms by which healthcare functions as a driver, reservoir and amplifier of AMR, contextualized within a One Health framework. We also explore the opportunities and innovative solutions that can be used to combat AMR throughout the patient journey. We provide a perspective on the current evidence for the effectiveness of interventions designed to mitigate healthcare-associated AMR and promote healthcare resilience within high-income and resource-limited settings, as well as the challenges associated with their implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Derek Cocker
- David Price Evans Infectious Diseases & Global Health Group, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
| | - Gabriel Birgand
- Centre d'appui pour la Prévention des Infections Associées aux Soins, Nantes, France
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Imperial College London, London, UK
- Cibles et medicaments des infections et de l'immunitée, IICiMed, Nantes Universite, Nantes, France
| | - Nina Zhu
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Jesus Rodriguez-Manzano
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Raheelah Ahmad
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Health Services Research & Management, City University of London, London, UK
- Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Kondwani Jambo
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | - Anna S Levin
- Department of Infectious Disease, School of Medicine & Institute of Tropical Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Alison Holmes
- David Price Evans Infectious Diseases & Global Health Group, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Imperial College London, London, UK.
- Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, UK.
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Yoo KH, Lee SH, Cho Y, Kim YJ, Kim JG, Lim TH, Kang H, Oh J, Ko BS, Lee J. Synergistic Effect of SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19 Vaccination on the Risk of Venous Thromboembolism. Am J Med 2024:S0002-9343(24)00469-8. [PMID: 39121987 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2024.07.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Revised: 07/08/2024] [Accepted: 07/15/2024] [Indexed: 08/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous studies have reported a greater risk of venous thromboembolism among patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 and those who received COVID-19 vaccination. Nevertheless, there is a lack of understanding regarding the interaction effect on the risk of venous thromboembolism occurrence between SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study including adult patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between October 2020 and September 2021. Patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were selected and matched 1:1 by age and sex with individuals who were not infected during the same period. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the venous thromboembolism risk. RESULTS The study included 422546 individuals who were divided into 4 groups; the interaction group defined by having SARS-CoV-2 infection within 90 days following COVID-19 vaccination, the infection group defined by no vaccination before 90 days of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the vaccination group defined by COVID-19 vaccination without SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the reference group defined by neither COVID-19 vaccination nor SARS-CoV-2 infection. The results showed that the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of the interaction group was 29.71 (95% confidence interval [CI], 22.95-38.47), while the aHRs of the infection group and the vaccination group were 6.66 (95% CI, 5.18-8.58) and 2.31 (95% CI, 1.78-3.00), respectively. CONCLUSIONS A synergistic effect on the risk of venous thromboembolism was suggested when individuals were infected with SARS-CoV-2 within 90 days following COVID-19 vaccination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyung Hun Yoo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Hwan Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yongil Cho
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Hanyang Institute of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
| | - Yun Jin Kim
- Biostatistical Consulting and Research Lab, Medical Research Collaborating Center, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jun Gon Kim
- School of Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Tae Ho Lim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyunggoo Kang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jaehoon Oh
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Byuk Sung Ko
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Juncheol Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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Zhang K, Zhong X, Fan X, Yu D, Chen Z, Zhao C, Zhang X, Guan Z, Wei X, Wan S, Zhang X, Zhao M, Dai Q, Liu W, Xu Q, Kong Y, Han S, Lin H, Wang W, Jiang H, Gu C, Zhang X, Jiang T, Liu S, Cui H, Yang X, Jiang Y, Chen Z, Sun Y, Tao L, Zheng R, Qiu R, You L, Shang H. Asymptomatic infection and disappearance of clinical symptoms of COVID-19 infectors in China 2022-2023: a cross-sectional study. Sci Rep 2024; 14:18232. [PMID: 39107338 PMCID: PMC11303783 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-68162-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2023] [Accepted: 07/22/2024] [Indexed: 08/10/2024] Open
Abstract
To explore the clinical characteristics of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 nationwide, especially the effect factors of asymptomatic infection and disappearance of clinical symptoms. A total of 66,448 COVID-19 patients in China who have been diagnosed by nucleic acid test or rapid antigen test were surveyed online (December 24, 2022 to January 16, 2023). Our cross-sectional study used descriptive analyses and binary Logistics regression model to assess the correlation between the clinical characteristics and relative factors, including age, gender, pre-existing conditions, reinfection, vaccination and treatment. A total of 64,515 valid questionnaires were collected. Among included participants, 5969 of which were asymptomatic. The symptoms were mainly upper respiratory symptoms, including dry and itchy throat (64.16%), sore throat (59.95%), hoarseness (57.90%), nasal congestion (53.39%). In binary Logistics regression model, we found that male, no pre-existing conditions, reinfection and vaccination have positive correlations with the appearance of asymptomatic COVID-19 patients. In Cox proportional-hazards regression model, considering all clinical symptoms disappeared in 14 days as outcome, we found that ≤ 60 years old, male, no pre-existing conditions, vaccination and adopted treatment have positive correlations with rapid amelioration of clinical symptoms in COVID-19 patients. The clinical symptoms of the participants were mainly upper respiratory symptoms which were according with the infection of Omicron variant. Factors including age, gender, pre-existing conditions and reinfection could influence the clinical characteristics and prognosis of COVID-19 patients. Importantly, vaccination has positive significance for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19. Lastly, the use of Chinese medicine maybe beneficial to COVID-19 patients, however, reasonable guidance is necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kaige Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Xiaoying Zhong
- School of Medical Information Engineering, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiaodan Fan
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Dongdong Yu
- The First Affiliated Hospital, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China
| | - Zhuo Chen
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Chen Zhao
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoyu Zhang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Zhiyue Guan
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Xuxu Wei
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Siqi Wan
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Xuecheng Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Mengzhu Zhao
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Qianqian Dai
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Wenjing Liu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Qianqian Xu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yifan Kong
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Songjie Han
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Hongyuan Lin
- College of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, China
| | - Wenhui Wang
- College of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, China
| | - Huiru Jiang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Chunling Gu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Xiaowei Zhang
- College of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, China
| | - Tong Jiang
- Binzhou Medical University, Binzhou, China
| | - Shuling Liu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Herong Cui
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Xinyu Yang
- Fangshan Hospital Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Yin Jiang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Zhao Chen
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yang Sun
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Liyuan Tao
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA
| | - Rui Zheng
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Ruijin Qiu
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China
- Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Liangzhen You
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China.
| | - Hongcai Shang
- Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, China.
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Mizuno T, Kondo Y, Sakai M, Saneyasu K, Kojima R, Miyake Y. Cost-effectiveness of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir for high-risk adult outpatients with COVID-19 in Japan. J Infect Chemother 2024; 30:716-724. [PMID: 38325626 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiac.2024.02.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/02/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Nir/Rit) for adult outpatients with COVID-19 from the perspective of a Japanese public healthcare payer. METHODS A cost-effectiveness simulation was conducted comparing Nir/Rit for the outpatient treatment of high-risk COVID-19 patients to best supportive care (BSC) without antiviral or antibody drugs. The analytical model was divided into two phases: the treatment phase, lasting 35 days from the start of COVID-19 treatment, and the post-treatment phase. Patients who survived the treatment phase were assumed to follow a general population survival curve. Expected costs and expected quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for both BSC and Nir/Rit were calculated for ages 40 to 80 to obtain the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The robustness of the results was evaluated through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA). RESULTS The ICERs for patients aged 40, 50, 60, 70, and 80 were 18,854,276 Japanese Yen (JPY)/QALY, 8,482,034 JPY/QALY, 4,976,612 JPY/QALY, 2,636,096 JPY/QALY, and 1,597,783 JPY/QALY, respectively. In the deterministic sensitivity analysis, both the mortality risk during the treatment phase and the relative mortality risk with Nir/Rit had a high impact on ICER across all ages. In the PSA, when the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at 5 million JPY/QALY, the probability of the ICER being below the WTP threshold was 0%, 0.2%, 45.4%, 99.9%, and 100% at ages 40, 50, 60, 70, and 80, respectively. CONCLUSION Nir/Rit is cost-effective for older individuals aged 60 and over but not for younger age groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takahito Mizuno
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan
| | - Yu Kondo
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan.
| | - Mikiyasu Sakai
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan
| | - Kenichi Saneyasu
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan
| | - Ryota Kojima
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan
| | - Yoshio Miyake
- Department of Pharmacy, Toyota Kosei Hospital: 500-1, Ibobara, Jousui-cho, Toyota, 470-0396, Japan
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Roohi A, Gharagozlou S. Vitamin D supplementation and calcium: Many-faced gods or nobody in fighting against Corona Virus Disease 2019. Clin Nutr ESPEN 2024; 62:172-184. [PMID: 38901939 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnesp.2024.05.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2023] [Revised: 05/07/2024] [Accepted: 05/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/22/2024]
Abstract
In December 2019, Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first identified and designated as a pandemic in March 2020 due to rapid spread of the virus globally. At the beginning of the pandemic, only a few treatment options, mainly focused on supportive care and repurposing medications, were available. Due to its effects on immune system, vitamin D was a topic of interest during the pandemic, and researchers investigated its potential impact on COVID-19 outcomes. However, the results of studies about the impact of vitamin D on the disease are inconclusive. In the present narrative review, different roles of vitamin D regarding the COVID-19 have been discussed to show that vitamin D supplementation should be recommended carefully.
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Affiliation(s)
- Azam Roohi
- Department of Immunology, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Fallah MP, Sembuche S, Kabwe PC, Dereje N, Abubakar T, Chipendo T, Ojo J, Bamutura M, Shaweno T, Ramakhunoane S, Ts'oeu S, Ndoula ST, Agoambin N, Kangbai DM, Jalloh MB, Tinuga F, Mutayoba R, Jalang'o RE, Kiarie J, Legge GA, David V, Clarke AT, Kamara PS, Kalangwa K, Sakanga V, Ndembi N, Raji T, Abdulaziz M. Urgent support mechanism: saving millions of COVID-19 vaccines from expiry in Africa. BMJ Glob Health 2024; 9:e015181. [PMID: 38844381 PMCID: PMC11163607 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015181] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2024] [Accepted: 05/25/2024] [Indexed: 06/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Delivering COVID-19 vaccines with 4-6 weeks shelf life remains one of Africa's most pressing challenges. The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) leadership recognised that COVID-19 vaccines donated to many African countries were at risk of expiry considering the short shelf life on delivery in the Member States and slow vaccine uptake rates. Thus, a streamlined rapid response system, the urgent support mechanism, was developed to assist countries accelerate COVID-19 vaccine uptake. We describe the achievements and lessons learnt during implementation of the urgent support mechanism in eight African countries. An Africa CDC team was rapidly deployed to meet with the Ministry of Health of each country alerted for COVID-19 vaccine expiry and identified national implementing partners to quickly develop operational work plans and strategies to scale up the urgent use of the vaccines. The time between the initiation of alerts to the start of the implementation was typically within 2 weeks. A total of approximately 2.5 million doses of vaccines, costing $900 000, were prevented from expiration. The urgent support has also contributed to the increased COVID-19 vaccination coverage in the Member States from 16.1% at the initiation to 25.3% at the end of the urgent support. Some of the effective strategies used by the urgent support mechanism included coordination between Africa CDC and country vaccine task forces, establishment of vaccination centres, building the capacity of routine and surge health workforce, procurement and distribution of vaccine ancillaries, staff training, advocacy and sensitisation events, and use of trusted religious scriptures and community influencers to support public health messages. The urgent support mechanism demonstrated a highly optimised process and serves as a successful example for acceleration and integration of vaccination into different healthcare delivery points.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mosoka Papa Fallah
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Senga Sembuche
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Nebiyu Dereje
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Tijani Abubakar
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Tendai Chipendo
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - John Ojo
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Moses Bamutura
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Tamrat Shaweno
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Susan Ramakhunoane
- Expanded Program of Immunization, Government of Lesotho Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, Maseru, Lesotho
| | - Silane Ts'oeu
- Christian Health Association of Lesotho, Maseru, Lesotho
| | | | | | - Desmond Maada Kangbai
- Government of Sierra Leone Ministry of Health and Sanitation, Freetown, Western Area, Sierra Leone
| | | | | | - Rita Mutayoba
- Amref Health Africa in Tanzania, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, United Republic of
| | - Rose E Jalang'o
- National Vaccines and Immunization Program, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | | | | | | | - Adolphus T Clarke
- Expanded Programme on Immunisation, Republic of Liberia Ministry of Health, Monrovia, Montserrado, Liberia
| | | | | | | | - Nicaise Ndembi
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Tajudeen Raji
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Mohammed Abdulaziz
- Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
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Theresa Pool SN, Shroff EH, Chetty A, Lewis L, Nonhlanhla YZ, Abdool Karim SS. Effectiveness of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and BBIBP-CorV vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalisation and death in the Seychelles infected adult population. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0299747. [PMID: 38578809 PMCID: PMC10997067 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299747] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 02/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Seychelles COVID-19 vaccination campaign was initiated using two different vaccines during the first wave of the pandemic in 2021. This observational study estimated vaccine effectiveness against severe outcomes (hospitalisation and/or death) from individuals infected with COVID-19 in the Seychelles adult population during Beta and Delta variant transmission. METHODS This nationwide retrospective cohort study included all Seychellois residents aged ≥ 18 years who tested positive by RT-PCR or rapid antigen test for COVID-19 between January 25, 2021, and June 30, 2021. We measured the relative risk (RR) of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 hospitalisation and/or death among individuals partially or fully vaccinated with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (SII Covishield) or BBIBP-CorV (Sinopharm) vaccines compared to unvaccinated individuals using modified Poisson regression. Controlling for age, gender and calendar month, vaccine effectiveness was estimated as 1-RR ≥14 days after the first dose and ≥7 days after the second dose for each available vaccine versus an unvaccinated control group. RESULTS A total of 12,326 COVID-19 infections were reported in adult Seychellois residents between January 25, 2021, and June 30, 2021. Of these, 1,287 individuals received one dose of either BBIBP-CorV (Sinopharm) or ChAdOx1-nCoV-19 (SII Covishield) vaccine, and 5,225 individuals received two doses. Estimated adjusted effectiveness of two doses of either Sinopharm or SII Covishield was high, at 70% (95% CI 58%-78%) and 71% (95% CI 62%-78%) respectively. Sinopharm maintained high levels of protection against severe outcomes in partially vaccinated individuals at 61% (95% CI 36%-76%), while the effectiveness of one dose of SII Covishield was low at 29% (95% CI 1%-49%). CONCLUSIONS This observational study demonstrated high levels of protection of two doses of two vaccine types against severe outcomes of COVID-19 during the first wave of the pandemic driven by Beta (B.1.351) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variant predominance. One dose of ChAdOx1-nCoV-19 (Covishield SII) was found to be inadequate in protecting the general adult population against hospitalisation and/or death from COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Agnes Chetty
- Ministry of Health, Mont Fleuri, Mahe Seychelles
| | - Lara Lewis
- Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Yende-Zuma Nonhlanhla
- Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Salim S. Abdool Karim
- Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
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Tsang RSM, Agrawal U, Joy M, Byford R, Robertson C, Anand SN, Hinton W, Mayor N, Kar D, Williams J, Victor W, Akbari A, Bradley DT, Murphy S, O’Reilly D, Owen RK, Chuter A, Beggs J, Howsam G, Sheikh A, Richard Hobbs FD, de Lusignan S. Adverse events after first and second doses of COVID-19 vaccination in England: a national vaccine surveillance platform self-controlled case series study. J R Soc Med 2024; 117:134-148. [PMID: 37921538 PMCID: PMC11100448 DOI: 10.1177/01410768231205430] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2022] [Accepted: 09/17/2023] [Indexed: 11/04/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To estimate the incidence of adverse events of interest (AEIs) after receiving their first and second doses of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccinations, and to report the safety profile differences between the different COVID-19 vaccines. DESIGN We used a self-controlled case series design to estimate the relative incidence (RI) of AEIs reported to the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners national sentinel network. We compared the AEIs that occurred seven days before and after receiving the COVID-19 vaccinations to background levels between 1 October 2020 and 12 September 2021. SETTING England, UK. PARTICIPANTS Individuals experiencing AEIs after receiving first and second doses of COVID-19 vaccines. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES AEIs determined based on events reported in clinical trials and in primary care during post-license surveillance. RESULTS A total of 7,952,861 individuals were vaccinated with COVID-19 vaccines within the study period. Among them, 781,200 individuals (9.82%) presented to general practice with 1,482,273 AEIs. Within the first seven days post-vaccination, 4.85% of all the AEIs were reported. There was a 3-7% decrease in the overall RI of AEIs in the seven days after receiving both doses of Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 (RI = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.91-0.94) and 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94-0.98), respectively) and Oxford-AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 (RI = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.95-0.98) for both doses), but a 20% increase after receiving the first dose of Moderna mRNA-1273 (RI = 1.20; 95% CI: 1.00-1.44)). CONCLUSIONS COVID-19 vaccines are associated with a small decrease in the incidence of medically attended AEIs. Sentinel networks could routinely report common AEI rates, which could contribute to reporting vaccine safety.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruby SM Tsang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Utkarsh Agrawal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Mark Joy
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Rachel Byford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G1 1XH, UK
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, G2 6QE, UK
| | - Sneha N Anand
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - William Hinton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Nikhil Mayor
- Royal Surrey NHS Foundation Trust, Guildford, GU2 7XX, UK
| | - Debasish Kar
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - John Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - William Victor
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, NW1 2FB, UK
| | - Ashley Akbari
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8QA, UK
| | - Declan T Bradley
- Centre for Public Health, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast, BT12 6BA, UK
- Public Health Agency, Belfast, BT2 8BS, UK
| | - Siobhan Murphy
- Centre for Public Health, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast, BT12 6BA, UK
| | - Dermot O’Reilly
- Centre for Public Health, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast, BT12 6BA, UK
| | - Rhiannon K Owen
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8QA, UK
| | - Antony Chuter
- BREATHE – The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health, Edinburgh, EH16 4SS, UK
| | - Jillian Beggs
- BREATHE – The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health, Edinburgh, EH16 4SS, UK
| | - Gary Howsam
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, NW1 2FB, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4SS, UK
| | - FD Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G1 1XH, UK
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9
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Sila T, Suriyaamorn W, Toh C, Rajborirug S, Surasombatpattana S, Thongsuksai P, Kongkamol C, Chusri S, Sornsenee P, Wuthisuthimethawee P, Chaowanawong R, Sangkhathat S, Ingviya T. Factors associated with the worsening of COVID-19 symptoms among cohorts in community- or home-isolation care in southern Thailand. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1350304. [PMID: 38572011 PMCID: PMC10987961 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1350304] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2023] [Accepted: 02/09/2024] [Indexed: 04/05/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction This study aimed to investigate factors associated with time-to-referral due to worsening symptoms in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in southern Thailand. While underlying diseases have been evaluated to assess COVID-19 severity, the influence of vaccinations and treatments is also crucial. Methods A cohort of 8,638 patients quarantined in home or community isolation with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 was analyzed. Survival analysis and the Cox proportional hazard ratio were employed to assess factors influencing time-toreferral. Results Age ≥ 60 years, neurologic disorders, cardiovascular disease, and human immunodeficiency virus infection were identified as significant risk factors for severe COVID-19 referral. Patients who received full- or booster-dose vaccinations had a lower risk of experiencing severe symptoms compared to unvaccinated patients. Notably, individuals vaccinated during the Omicron-dominant period had a substantially lower time-to-referral than those unvaccinated during the Delta-dominant period. Moreover, patients vaccinated between 1 and 6 months prior to infection had a significantly lower risk of time-to-referral than the reference group. Discussion These findings demonstrate early intervention in high-risk COVID-19 patients and the importance of vaccination efficacy to reduce symptom severity. The study provides valuable insights for guiding future epidemic management strategies and optimising patient care during infectious disease outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thanit Sila
- Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
- Department of Health Science and Clinical Research, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Wisanuwee Suriyaamorn
- Division of Digital Innovation and Data Analytics, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Chanavee Toh
- Department of Health Science and Clinical Research, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Songyos Rajborirug
- Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | | | - Paramee Thongsuksai
- Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
- Department of Health Science and Clinical Research, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Chanon Kongkamol
- Division of Digital Innovation and Data Analytics, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
- Department of Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Sarunyou Chusri
- Department of Internal Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Phoomjai Sornsenee
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkla, Thailand
| | - Prasit Wuthisuthimethawee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Raya Chaowanawong
- Faculty of Nursing, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkla, Thailand
| | - Surasak Sangkhathat
- Department of Biomedical Sciences and Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
- Faculty of Medicine, Translational Medicine Research Center, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Thammasin Ingviya
- Division of Digital Innovation and Data Analytics, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
- Department of Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
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10
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Wu S, Li Y, Baral S, Mishra S, Koh M, Golding H, Kwong JC, Wei X. Protection of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 boosters, and hybrid immunity against Omicron severe illness: A population-based cohort study of five million residents in Canada. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0299304. [PMID: 38394091 PMCID: PMC10889649 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299304] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence on protection of different patterns of infection- and vaccine-acquired immunity against Omicron-associated severe illness is useful in planning booster vaccination strategies. We examined protection of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, a third or a fourth COVID-19 vaccine dose, and hybrid immunity against Omicron-associated severe illness. METHODS AND FINDINGS This population-based cohort study followed five million individuals with at least one SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test before November 21, 2021 until an Omicron-associatedhospitalization or death. We used Cox regression models to estimate risks of Omicron-associated hospitalization and a composite severe outcome (hospitalized and death), among individuals with infection- and/or vaccination-acquired immunity. Individuals who were unvaccinated and had no history of a prior infection severed as the reference group. Both adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding protection (one minus adjusted HR), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were reported. Three doses provided 94% (95%CI 93-95) and 93% (95%CI 91-94) protection against Omicron-associated hospitalization at 2-3 and ≥3 months post-vaccination respectively, similar to the protection conferred by three doses and a prior infection (2-3 months: 99%, 95%CI 97-100; ≥3 months: 97%, 95%CI 92-99) and four doses (1 month: 87%, 95%CI 79-92; 1-2 months: 96%, 95%CI 92-98). In individuals ≥65 years old, protection of four doses increased to 95% (95%CI 91-98) at 1-2 months, significantly higher than that of three doses over the follow-up period. Similar results were observed with the composite severe outcome. CONCLUSION At least three antigenic exposures, achieved by vaccination or infection, confers significant protection against Omicron-associated hospitalization and death in all age groups. Our findings support a third dose for the overall population, regardless of prior infection status, and a fourth dose for the elderly to maintain high level of immunity and substantially reduce risk of severe illness at individual level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shishi Wu
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Yanhong Li
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Stefan Baral
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Sharmistha Mishra
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine and Institute of Medical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Maria Koh
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Haley Golding
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Jeffrey C. Kwong
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Centre for Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Xiaolin Wei
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Centre for Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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11
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Shi T, Millington T, Robertson C, Jeffrey K, Katikireddi SV, McCowan C, Simpson CR, Woolford L, Daines L, Kerr S, Swallow B, Fagbamigbe A, Vallejos CA, Weatherill D, Jayacodi S, Marsh K, McMenamin J, Rudan I, Ritchie LD, Mueller T, Kurdi A, Sheikh A. Risk of winter hospitalisation and death from acute respiratory infections in Scotland: national retrospective cohort study. J R Soc Med 2024:1410768231223584. [PMID: 38345538 DOI: 10.1177/01410768231223584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/22/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We undertook a national analysis to characterise and identify risk factors for acute respiratory infections (ARIs) resulting in hospitalisation during the winter period in Scotland. DESIGN A population-based retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING Scotland. PARTICIPANTS The study involved 5.4 million residents in Scotland. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between risk factors and ARI hospitalisation. RESULTS Between 1 September 2022 and 31 January 2023, there were 22,284 (10.9% of 203,549 with any emergency hospitalisation) ARI hospitalisations (1759 in children and 20,525 in adults) in Scotland. Compared with the reference group of children aged 6-17 years, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was higher in children aged 3-5 years (aHR = 4.55; 95% CI: 4.11-5.04). Compared with those aged 25-29 years, the risk of ARI hospitalisation was highest among the oldest adults aged ≥80 years (aHR = 7.86; 95% CI: 7.06-8.76). Adults from more deprived areas (most deprived vs. least deprived, aHR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.57-1.72), with existing health conditions (≥5 vs. 0 health conditions, aHR = 4.84; 95% CI: 4.53-5.18) or with history of all-cause emergency admissions (≥6 vs. 0 previous emergency admissions, aHR = 7.53; 95% CI: 5.48-10.35) were at a higher risk of ARI hospitalisations. The risk increased by the number of existing health conditions and previous emergency admission. Similar associations were seen in children. CONCLUSIONS Younger children, older adults, those from more deprived backgrounds and individuals with greater numbers of pre-existing conditions and previous emergency admission were at increased risk for winter hospitalisations for ARI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ting Shi
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Tristan Millington
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G1 1XQ, Scotland, UK
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, G2 6QE, Scotland, UK
| | - Karen Jeffrey
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | | | - Colin McCowan
- School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, KY16 9AJ, Scotland, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, 6140, New Zealand
| | - Lana Woolford
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Luke Daines
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
- Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Steven Kerr
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Ben Swallow
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, KY16 9SS, Scotland, UK
| | - Adeniyi Fagbamigbe
- Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2ZD, Scotland, UK
- Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan 200132, Nigeria
| | - Catalina A Vallejos
- MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, Scotland, UK
- The Alan Turing Institute, London, NW1 2DB, UK
| | - David Weatherill
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Sandra Jayacodi
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | | | - Jim McMenamin
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, G2 6QE, Scotland, UK
| | - Igor Rudan
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
| | - Lewis Duthie Ritchie
- Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2ZD, Scotland, UK
| | - Tanja Mueller
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G4 0RE, Scotland, UK
| | - Amanj Kurdi
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G4 0RE, Scotland, UK
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Iraq
- Division of Public Health Pharmacy and Management, School of Pharmacy, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Ga-Rankuwa, 0208, South Africa
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Al-Kitab University, Kirkuk, Iraq
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
- Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, Scotland, UK
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12
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Kerr S, Bedston S, Cezard G, Sampri A, Murphy S, Bradley DT, Morrison K, Akbari A, Whiteley W, Sullivan C, Patterson L, Khunti K, Denaxas S, Bolton T, Khan S, Keys A, Weatherill D, Mooney K, Davies J, Ritchie L, McMenamin J, Kee F, Wood A, Lyons RA, Sudlow C, Robertson C, Sheikh A. Undervaccination and severe COVID-19 outcomes: meta-analysis of national cohort studies in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales. Lancet 2024; 403:554-566. [PMID: 38237625 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)02467-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2023] [Revised: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 11/02/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Undervaccination (receiving fewer than the recommended number of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses) could be associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes-ie, COVID-19 hospitalisation or death-compared with full vaccination (receiving the recommended number of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses). We sought to determine the factors associated with undervaccination, and to investigate the risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes in people who were undervaccinated in each UK nation and across the UK. METHODS We used anonymised, harmonised electronic health record data with whole population coverage to carry out cohort studies in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales. Participants were required to be at least 5 years of age to be included in the cohorts. We estimated adjusted odds ratios for undervaccination as of June 1, 2022. We also estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for severe COVID-19 outcomes during the period June 1 to Sept 30, 2022, with undervaccination as a time-dependent exposure. We combined results from nation-specific analyses in a UK-wide fixed-effect meta-analysis. We estimated the reduction in severe COVID-19 outcomes associated with a counterfactual scenario in which everyone in the UK was fully vaccinated on June 1, 2022. FINDINGS The numbers of people undervaccinated on June 1, 2022 were 26 985 570 (45·8%) of 58 967 360 in England, 938 420 (49·8%) of 1 885 670 in Northern Ireland, 1 709 786 (34·2%) of 4 992 498 in Scotland, and 773 850 (32·8%) of 2 358 740 in Wales. People who were younger, from more deprived backgrounds, of non-White ethnicity, or had a lower number of comorbidities were less likely to be fully vaccinated. There was a total of 40 393 severe COVID-19 outcomes in the cohorts, with 14 156 of these in undervaccinated participants. We estimated the reduction in severe COVID-19 outcomes in the UK over 4 months of follow-up associated with a counterfactual scenario in which everyone was fully vaccinated on June 1, 2022 as 210 (95% CI 94-326) in the 5-15 years age group, 1544 (1399-1689) in those aged 16-74 years, and 5426 (5340-5512) in those aged 75 years or older. aHRs for severe COVID-19 outcomes in the meta-analysis for the age group of 75 years or older were 2·70 (2·61-2·78) for one dose fewer than recommended, 3·13 (2·93-3·34) for two fewer, 3·61 (3·13-4·17) for three fewer, and 3·08 (2·89-3·29) for four fewer. INTERPRETATION Rates of undervaccination against COVID-19 ranged from 32·8% to 49·8% across the four UK nations in summer, 2022. Undervaccination was associated with an elevated risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation National Core Studies: Data and Connectivity.
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13
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Gerhards C, Steingass M, Heininger A, Lange B, Hetjens M, Gerigk M, Neumaier M, Evliyaoglu O, Kittel M. The Impact of Clinical Factors and SARS-CoV-2 Variants on Antibody Production in Vaccinated German Healthcare Professionals Infected Either with the Delta or the Omicron Variant. Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:163. [PMID: 38400146 PMCID: PMC10893335 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12020163] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2023] [Revised: 01/22/2024] [Accepted: 02/02/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of the rapid introduction of vaccines during the COVID-19 pandemic was a reduction in SARS-CoV-2 transmission and a less frequent occurrence of severe COVID-19 courses. Thus, we evaluated COVID-19 severity in vaccinated individuals to examine variant-specific symptom characteristics and their clinical impact on the serological immune response. METHODS A total of 185 individuals previously vaccinated against and infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) or Omicron (BA.4 and BA.5) variant, were enrolled for anti-SARS-CoV-2 anti-N- and anti-RBD/S1-Ig level detection. A structured survey regarding medical history was conducted. RESULTS In 99.5 percent of cases, outpatient treatment was satisfactory. Specific symptoms associated with variants included ageusia and anosmia in patients with Delta infections and throat pain in Omicron infections. Among Delta-infected individuals with specific symptoms, significantly higher levels of anti-N antibodies were observed. CONCLUSION Our study identified variant-specific differences in the amount of SARS-CoV-2 antibody production and COVID-19 symptoms. Despite this, vaccinated individuals with Omicron or Delta infections generally experienced mild disease courses. Additionally, asymptomatic individuals exhibit lower anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels, indicating a clinical correlation between disease-specific antibodies and distinct symptoms, particularly in the case of the Delta variant. In follow-up studies, exploring post-COVID syndrome and focusing on cognitive symptoms in the acute phase of Omicron infections is crucial as it has the potential to longitudinally impact the lives of those affected.
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Affiliation(s)
- Catharina Gerhards
- Institute for Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Marlene Steingass
- Institute for Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Alexandra Heininger
- Department of Hygiene, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Bettina Lange
- Department of Hygiene, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Michael Hetjens
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Center for Preventive Medicine and Digital Health Baden-Württemberg, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg of University, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Marlis Gerigk
- Institute of Medical Microbiology and Hygiene, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Michael Neumaier
- Institute for Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Osman Evliyaoglu
- Institute for Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
| | - Maximilian Kittel
- Institute for Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, 68167 Mannheim, Germany
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14
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Vogrig A, Tartaglia S, Dentoni M, Fabris M, Bax F, Belluzzo M, Verriello L, Bagatto D, Gastaldi M, Tocco P, Zoccarato M, Zuliani L, Pilotto A, Padovani A, Villagrán-García M, Davy V, Gigli GL, Honnorat J, Valente M. Central nervous system immune-related disorders after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination: a multicenter study. Front Immunol 2024; 15:1344184. [PMID: 38375477 PMCID: PMC10876052 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2024.1344184] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2023] [Accepted: 01/09/2024] [Indexed: 02/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Background COVID-19 vaccines have been approved due to their excellent safety and efficacy data and their use has also permitted to reduce neurological complications of SARS-CoV-2. However, clinical trials were underpowered to detect rare adverse events. Herein, the aim was to characterize the clinical spectrum and immunological features of central nervous system (CNS) immune-related events following SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. Methods Multicenter, retrospective, cohort study (December 1, 2020-April 30, 2022). Inclusion criteria were (1) de novo CNS disorders developing after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination (probable causal relationship as per 2021 Butler criteria) (2); evidence for an immune-mediated etiology, as per (i) 2016 Graus criteria for autoimmune encephalitis (AE); (ii) 2015 Wingerchuk criteria for neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders; (iii) criteria for myelitis. Results Nineteen patients were included from 7 tertiary referral hospitals across Italy and France (one of them being a national referral center for AE), over almost 1 year and half of vaccination campaign. Vaccines administered were mRNA-based (63%) and adenovirus-vectored (37%). The median time between vaccination and symptoms onset was 14 days (range: 2-41 days). CSF was inflammatory in 74%; autoantibodies were detected in 5%. CSF cytokine analysis (n=3) revealed increased CXCL-10 (IP-10), suggesting robust T-cell activation. The patients had AE (58%), myelitis (21%), acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) (16%), and brainstem encephalitis (5%). All patients but 2 received immunomodulatory treatment. At last follow-up (median 130 days; range: 32-540), only one patient (5%) had a mRS>2. Conclusion CNS adverse events of COVID-19 vaccination appear to be very rare even at reference centers and consist mostly of antibody-negative AE, myelitis, and ADEM developing approximately 2 weeks after vaccination. Most patients improve following immunomodulatory treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Vogrig
- Department of Medicine (DMED), University of Udine, Udine, Italy
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Sara Tartaglia
- Department of Medicine (DMED), University of Udine, Udine, Italy
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Marta Dentoni
- Department of Medicine (DMED), University of Udine, Udine, Italy
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Martina Fabris
- Institute of Clinical Pathology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Francesco Bax
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Marco Belluzzo
- Neurology Unit, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Lorenzo Verriello
- Neurology Unit, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Daniele Bagatto
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Unit of Neuroradiology, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Matteo Gastaldi
- Neuroimmunology Laboratory, IRCCS Mondino Foundation, Pavia, Italy
| | - Pierluigi Tocco
- Neurology and Stroke Unit, “Spirito Santo” Hospital of Pescara, Pescara, Italy
| | - Marco Zoccarato
- UOC Neurologia O.S.A. - Azienda Ospedale Università di Padova, Padua, Italy
| | - Luigi Zuliani
- Neurology Unit, AULSS8 Berica, San Bortolo Hospital, Vicenza, Italy
| | - Andrea Pilotto
- Neurology Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
- Neurology Unit, Department of Continuity of Care and Frailty, ASST Spedali Civili Brescia University Hospital, Brescia, Italy
- Laboratory of Digital Neurology and Biosensors, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Alessandro Padovani
- Neurology Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
- Neurology Unit, Department of Continuity of Care and Frailty, ASST Spedali Civili Brescia University Hospital, Brescia, Italy
- Laboratory of Digital Neurology and Biosensors, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Macarena Villagrán-García
- French Reference Centre for Paraneoplastic Neurological Syndromes and Autoimmune Encephalitis, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Hôpital Neurologique, Bron, France
- MeLiS - UCBL-CNRS UMR 5284 - INSERM U1314, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Vincent Davy
- Department of Neurology, Hôpital Pitié Salpétrière, Assistance Publique des Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France
| | - Gian Luigi Gigli
- Department of Medicine (DMED), University of Udine, Udine, Italy
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
| | - Jérôme Honnorat
- French Reference Centre for Paraneoplastic Neurological Syndromes and Autoimmune Encephalitis, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Hôpital Neurologique, Bron, France
- MeLiS - UCBL-CNRS UMR 5284 - INSERM U1314, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Mariarosaria Valente
- Department of Medicine (DMED), University of Udine, Udine, Italy
- Clinical Neurology, Department of Head-Neck and Neuroscience, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale (ASU FC), Udine, Italy
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15
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Fung K, Jones M, Doshi P. Sources of bias in observational studies of covid-19 vaccine effectiveness. J Eval Clin Pract 2024; 30:30-36. [PMID: 36967517 DOI: 10.1111/jep.13839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2022] [Revised: 03/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2023] [Indexed: 03/30/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Mark Jones
- Institute of Evidence Based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia
| | - Peter Doshi
- University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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16
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Elamin MY, Maslamani YA, Alsheikh FA, Sailah MA, Samm MA, Motanbk AM, Hejri YM, Alameer AA, Khalid OH, Dahlan AA, Gosadi IM. Impact of vaccination on morbidity and mortality in adults hospitalized with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in the Jazan Region, Saudi Arabia. Saudi Med J 2024; 45:179-187. [PMID: 38309738 PMCID: PMC11115406 DOI: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.2.20230530] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/04/2024] [Indexed: 02/05/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To evaluate the impact of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) vaccination on morbidity and mortality in adults hospitalized with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in the Jazan Region, Saudi Arabia. METHODS A 6-month record-based historical prospective study enrolled COVID-19 adult patients admitted between January and June 2022. Individuals were classified into 3 groups according to their immunity status (immunized, partially immunized, and not immunized). Death, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mechanical ventilation were identified as the primary outcomes, collectively referred to as "serious outcomes". On the other hand, the length of hospital stays longer than 5 days was categorized as a secondary outcome. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate independent factors and the relationship between the outcomes and vaccination status. RESULTS Among the 634 COVID-19 patients admitted to Jazan hospitals, 46.4% were fully immunized, 19.7% were partially immunized, and 33.9% were not immunized. Not being immunized was significantly associated with ICU admission (odds ratio [OR]=1.91, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [1.17-3.11]; p=0.009), mechanical ventilation (OR=2.11, 95% CI: [1.25-3.56]; p=0.005), increased length of hospital stays (OR=1.79, 95% CI: [1.24-2.59]; p=0.002), and death (OR=3.03, 95% CI: [1.85-4.98]; p<0.001). CONCLUSION Our study underscores the importance of a comprehensive approach for managing COVID-19 patients that includes vaccination against the disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammed Y. Elamin
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Yahya A. Maslamani
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Feras A. Alsheikh
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Mohsen A. Sailah
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Mussab A. Samm
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Ahmed M. Motanbk
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Yehya M. Hejri
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Anwar A. Alameer
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Osama H. Khalid
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Abdu A. Dahlan
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
| | - Ibrahim M. Gosadi
- From the Public Health Administration (Elamin, Maslamani, Alsheikh, Sailah, Hejri, Alameer, Khalid, Dahlan); from the Command and Control Center (Samm); from the Emergency Administration (Motanbk), Jazan Health Directorate, and from the Department of Family and Community Medicine (Gosadi), Faculty of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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17
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Wicherski J, Haenisch B. [The application of real-world evidence in drug regulatory decision-making]. Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz 2024; 67:149-154. [PMID: 38214723 PMCID: PMC10834571 DOI: 10.1007/s00103-023-03830-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 01/13/2024]
Abstract
Drug regulation is a system to support and protect public health. Drugs with market access must be effective, safe and of high quality. Therefore, drug regulatory decision-making by the competent authorities is made on a scientific basis. Real-world evidence (RWE) from real-world data (RWD) has so far predominantly been taken into account in a supportive manner in drug regulatory decision-making with regard to drug safety after marketing authorisation. The extensive potential of RWE for regulatory decision-making processes along the entire product life cycle has been increasingly used and further examined in recent years.This article provides an overview of current applications of RWE in drug regulatory decision-making processes. The potentials of RWE along with the hurdles to be addressed are described and examples of current projects on RWE research for drug regulation are given. The work is based on current international literature as well as examples from international and European initiatives and regulatory practice, which aim to support an increased use of RWD/RWE in regulatory decision-making processes. In order to be able to utilise the potential of RWE even more in the future, it is important to make relevant RWD sources more readily available through research projects and initiatives, to further develop evaluative methods and to establish the significance of RWE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Wicherski
- Bundesinstitut für Arzneimittel und Medizinprodukte (BfArM), Kurt-Georg-Kiesinger-Allee 3, 53175, Bonn, Deutschland
| | - Britta Haenisch
- Bundesinstitut für Arzneimittel und Medizinprodukte (BfArM), Kurt-Georg-Kiesinger-Allee 3, 53175, Bonn, Deutschland.
- Deutsches Zentrum für Neurodegenerative Erkrankungen e. V. (DZNE), Bonn, Deutschland.
- Zentrum für Translationale Medizin, Universität Bonn, Bonn, Deutschland.
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18
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Martínez-Baz I, Trobajo-Sanmartín C, Miqueleiz A, Egüés N, García Cenoz M, Casado I, Navascués A, Fernández-Huerta M, Echeverría A, Guevara M, Ezpeleta C, Castilla J. Hospitalisations and Deaths Averted by COVID-19 Vaccination in Navarre, Spain, 2021-2022. Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:58. [PMID: 38250871 PMCID: PMC10818920 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12010058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2023] [Revised: 01/01/2024] [Accepted: 01/04/2024] [Indexed: 01/23/2024] Open
Abstract
In 2021-2022, most of the Spanish population received COVID-19 vaccines and a high proportion of them had SARS-CoV-2 infection. We estimated the rate of hospitalisations and deaths that were averted by risk reduction among vaccinated COVID-19 cases. Hospitalisations and deaths were analysed among COVID-19 cases confirmed in 2021 and 2022 in Navarre, Spain. To calculate the number of prevented outcomes by sex, age, comorbidities, and semester, the difference in the risk of each outcome between unvaccinated and vaccinated cases was multiplied by the number of vaccinated cases. COVID-19 vaccination coverage with any dose reached 88%, 86% with full vaccination, and 56% with a booster dose. The cumulative rates per 1000 inhabitants were 382 COVID-19 confirmed cases, 6.70 hospitalisations, and 1.15 deaths from COVID-19. The estimated rates of prevented events by vaccination were 16.33 hospitalisations and 3.39 deaths per 1000 inhabitants, which was 70.9% and 74.7% of expected events without vaccination, respectively. People aged 80 years and older or with major chronic conditions accounted for the majority of hospitalizations and deaths prevented by COVID-19 vaccination. One hospitalisation and death due to COVID-19 were averted for every 53 and 258 people vaccinated, respectively. The high COVID-19 vaccine effect in reducing the risk of severe outcomes and the high vaccination coverage in risk populations prevented three out of four hospitalisations and deaths due to COVID-19 during a period of intense circulation of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iván Martínez-Baz
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Camino Trobajo-Sanmartín
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Ana Miqueleiz
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
- Clinical Microbiology Department, Hospital Universitario de Navarra, 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Nerea Egüés
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Manuel García Cenoz
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Itziar Casado
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Ana Navascués
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
- Clinical Microbiology Department, Hospital Universitario de Navarra, 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Miguel Fernández-Huerta
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
- Clinical Microbiology Department, Hospital Universitario de Navarra, 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Aitziber Echeverría
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Marcela Guevara
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Carmen Ezpeleta
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
- Clinical Microbiology Department, Hospital Universitario de Navarra, 31008 Pamplona, Spain
| | - Jesús Castilla
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra, 31003 Pamplona, Spain; (I.M.-B.); (C.T.-S.); (M.G.C.)
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Navarra (IdiSNA), 31008 Pamplona, Spain
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19
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Smolarchuk C, Ickert C, Zelyas N, Kwong JC, Buchan SA. Early influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates using routinely collected data, Alberta, Canada, 2023/24 season. Euro Surveill 2024; 29:2300709. [PMID: 38214082 PMCID: PMC10785209 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2024.29.2.2300709] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2023] [Accepted: 01/10/2024] [Indexed: 01/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Timely and precise influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates are needed to guide public health messaging and impact vaccine uptake immediately. Using routinely collected laboratory, vaccination and health administrative data from Alberta, Canada, we estimated influenza VE against infection for the 2023/24 season on a near real-time basis, to late December, at 61% (95% CI: 58-64) against influenza A(H1N1), 49% (95% CI: 28-63) against influenza A(H3N2) and 75% (95% CI: 58-85) against influenza B.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christa Smolarchuk
- Public Health Analytics, Alberta Health, Edmonton, Alberta
- These authors contributed equally to this work and share first authorship
| | - Carla Ickert
- Public Health Analytics, Alberta Health, Edmonton, Alberta
- These authors contributed equally to this work and share first authorship
| | - Nathan Zelyas
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
| | - Jeffrey C Kwong
- ICES, Toronto, Canada
- Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
- University Health Network, Toronto, Canada
| | - Sarah A Buchan
- ICES, Toronto, Canada
- Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
- Centre for Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of Toronto, ON, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
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20
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Shankar R, Schmeer M, Schleef M. Producing Plasmid DNA Template for Clinical Grade RNA Vaccine Manufacture. Methods Mol Biol 2024; 2786:303-319. [PMID: 38814401 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-0716-3770-8_14] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/31/2024]
Abstract
A plasmid production process has been established to manufacture plasmid DNA at a large scale in High-Quality grade. This is used as a starting material to produce mRNA vaccines for clinical trials. Recently, the World Health Organization (WHO) has released regulatory guidelines related to the quality, safety, and efficacy for DNA- as well as for mRNA-based vaccines. Following an extraordinary year of scientific, regulatory, and manufacturing developments, the scientific community today stands considerably better equipped to deal with urgent production requirements in large scale for nucleic acid-based vaccinations and therapies. Going forward, work needs to be done in better coordinating the supply and logistics of essential raw materials for biological manufacturing, especially under emergency conditions.
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21
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Chang MH, Liao KM. The association between COVID-19 vaccination and confirmed patients with hospitalization in Omicron era: A retrospective study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e36777. [PMID: 38206726 PMCID: PMC10754555 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000036777] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/04/2023] [Indexed: 01/13/2024] Open
Abstract
With the emergence of Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, Taiwan has encountered the greatest coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic since 2022 spring. We analyzed the characteristics, vaccinations, and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients quarantined in a dedicated ward. This retrospective study enrolled hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the dedicated wards of a district hospital in southern Taiwan from May 2022 to July 2022. We assessed in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), and dedicated ward LOS. Among 209 COVID-19 patients, the in-hospital mortality rates were 20.7% and 29.7% (P = .145) in patients with and without vaccination. A shorter dedicated ward LOS was noted in the vaccination group, with marginal statistical significance. Age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score were recognized as strong prognostic indicators for mortality in multivariable analysis. Vaccination demonstrated significant lower odds of death among relatively young populations in subgroup analysis. COVID-19 vaccination had significant efficacy in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the relatively young group, and the effect may decline among individuals with advanced age and multiple comorbidities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming-Hung Chang
- Division of Chest Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Chiali, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Kuang-Ming Liao
- Division of Chest Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Chiali, Tainan, Taiwan
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22
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Xie J, Ye F, Deng X, Tang Y, Liang JY, Huang X, Sun Y, Tang H, Lei J, Zheng S, Zou Y. Circular RNA: A promising new star of vaccine. J Transl Int Med 2023; 11:372-381. [PMID: 38130633 PMCID: PMC10732498 DOI: 10.2478/jtim-2023-0122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Circular RNAs (circRNAs) are a class of single-stranded RNAs with covalently closed structures. Owing to their not having 3' or 5' ends, circRNAs are highly durable and insusceptible to exonuclease-mediated degradation. Moreover, some circRNAs with certain structures are translatable, making them novel vaccines. Vaccines are efficient tools for immunotherapy, such as for the prevention of infectious diseases and cancer treatment. The immune system is activated during immunotherapy to fight against abnormal allies or invaders. CircRNA vaccines represent a potential new avenue in the vaccine era. Recently, several circRNA vaccines have been synthesized and tested in vitro and in vivo. Our review briefly introduces the current understanding of the biology and function of translatable circRNAs, molecular biology, synthetic methods, delivery of circRNA, and current circRNA vaccines. We also discussed the challenges and future directions in the field by summarizing the developments in circRNA vaccines in the past few years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jindong Xie
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Fengxi Ye
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xinpei Deng
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yuhui Tang
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Jie-Ying Liang
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Department of Medical Oncology, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou510000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xufeng Huang
- Department of Data Science and Visualization, Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Yuying Sun
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Hailin Tang
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Jinsong Lei
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Shaoquan Zheng
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
- Breast Disease Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou510000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yutian Zou
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou510060, Guangdong Province, China
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23
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Mood N, Darivemula SB, Shravani S, Kavyasri K, Kiran JR. A comparative study on COVID-19 disease severity and outcome among patients admitted before and after vaccination at tertiary care hospital. J Family Med Prim Care 2023; 12:3115-3118. [PMID: 38361904 PMCID: PMC10866253 DOI: 10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_2238_22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2022] [Revised: 04/27/2023] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 02/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a novel infectious disease caused by SARS CoV-2 that emerged in Wuhan, China, and has rapidly spread worldwide. The mortality rate of critically ill COVID-19 patients is high. The objective of the study was to assess the COVID-19 disease severity and outcome among COVID-19 positive patients admitted before and after vaccination. Methodology A prospective observational study conducted among all patients aged more than 18 years were included in the study. The patients who were positive before vaccination and received at least one dose of vaccine and positive after receiving two doses of vaccination included in the study. Disease severity was assessed in terms of high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) score, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, SpO2 maintained, oxygen, plasma exchange, steroids received and on mechanical ventilation, and outcome was assessed on prognosis and stabilized/discharged to home. Results A total of 172 were participated in the study with 101 (58.7%) males and 71 (41.3) females, respectively. Amongst them, 92 were affected before vaccination and 80 were affected before vaccination. The patients admitted in the ICU were 56 (32.6%) and 116 (67.4%) were not admitted in the ICU; among the patient admitted in ICU 42 (45.7%) before vaccination, and 14 (17.5%) were after vaccination, and difference was statistically significant with P- value <0.001. SPO2, steroids given, plasma exchange, oxygen >10 litres given and mechanical ventilation were positively associated with the vaccine received and disease severity with P- value <0.05. Conclusion The severe COVID-19 had the worst outcome in the unvaccinated patients in terms of severity. Most partially vaccinated patients got infected before developing immunity; receiving at least one vaccination dose significantly reduced illness severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Narayan Mood
- Associate Professor, Department of Respiratory Medicine, ESIC Medical College, Sanath Nagar, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
| | - Surendra Babu Darivemula
- Assistant Professor, Department of Community Medicine, ESIC Medical College, Sanath Nagar, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
| | - Sreeram Shravani
- Junior Resident, Department of Respiratory Medicine, ESIC Medical College, Sanath Nagar, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
| | - Kotte Kavyasri
- Junior Resident, Department of General Medicine, ESIC Medical College, Sanath Nagar, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
| | - J Ravi Kiran
- Senior Resident, Department of General Medicine, ESIC Medical College, Sanath Nagar, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
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24
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Sallam M, Abbasi H, Obeidat RJ, Badayneh R, Alkhashman F, Obeidat A, Oudeh D, Uqba Z, Mahafzah A. Unraveling the association between vaccine attitude, vaccine conspiracies and self-reported side effects following COVID-19 vaccination among nurses and physicians in Jordan. Vaccine X 2023; 15:100405. [PMID: 38161986 PMCID: PMC10755110 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2023.100405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Revised: 10/25/2023] [Accepted: 11/01/2023] [Indexed: 01/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The negative impact of vaccine conspiracies is linked with negative health behavior. The aim of the current study was to examine the association between attitudes toward booster COVID-19, influenza, and monkeypox (mpox) vaccinations with post-COVID-19 vaccine side effects, vaccine conspiracies, and attitude towards mandatory vaccination among nurses and physicians in Jordan. Methods A structured closed-ended questionnaire was used to collect data on demographics, COVID-19 history, COVID-19 vaccine type and doses received, self-reported side effects post-COVID-19 vaccination, acceptance of booster COVID-19, seasonal influenza, and mpox vaccinations, attitudes towards mandatory vaccination, and beliefs in vaccine conspiracies. Results The study sample comprised a total of 341 participants. Acceptance of yearly booster COVID-19 vaccination was expressed by 46.6% of the sample, while 73.3% accepted seasonal influenza vaccination, and only 37.0% accepted mpox vaccination. A higher frequency of self-reported side effects following the first COVID-19 vaccine dose was associated with embrace of vaccine conspiracies and vaccine type. For the second vaccine dose, a higher frequency of self-reported side effects was associated with the embrace of vaccine conspiracies, older age, and affiliation to private sector. In multinomial logistic regression analyses, the lower embrace of vaccine conspiracies was associated with lower odds of reporting side effects post-COVID-19 vaccination. The lower embrace of vaccine conspiracies and favorable attitude towards mandatory vaccination were associated with the willingness to get COVID-19, influenza, and mpox vaccinations. Conclusion The study findings highlighted the negative impact of embracing vaccine conspiracies on health-seeking behavior among nurses and physicians. The findings indicated that the willingness to get vaccinated was associated with lower endorsement of vaccine conspiracies. Additionally, the lower embrace of vaccine conspiracies was associated with a lower frequency of self-reported side effects following COVID-19 vaccination. These results emphasize the importance of addressing vaccine misinformation and promoting accurate information to ensure optimal vaccine uptake and public health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Malik Sallam
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Forensic Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
- Department of Clinical Laboratories and Forensic Medicine, Jordan University Hospital, Amman, Jordan
| | - Hiba Abbasi
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Jordan University Hospital, Amman, Jordan
| | - Rawan J. Obeidat
- The Office of Infection Prevention and Control, Jordan University Hospital, Amman, Jordan
| | - Reham Badayneh
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
| | - Farah Alkhashman
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
| | - Aseel Obeidat
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
| | - Dana Oudeh
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
| | - Zena Uqba
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman 11942, Jordan
| | - Azmi Mahafzah
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Forensic Medicine, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
- Department of Clinical Laboratories and Forensic Medicine, Jordan University Hospital, Amman, Jordan
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Torabi F, Orton C, Squires E, Heys S, Hier R, Lyons RA, Thompson S. Common governance model: a way to avoid data segregation between existing trusted research environment. Int J Popul Data Sci 2023; 8:2164. [PMID: 38419826 PMCID: PMC10900179 DOI: 10.23889/ijpds.v8i4.2164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Trusted Research Environments provide a legitimate basis for data access along with a set of technologies to support implementation of the "five-safes" framework for privacy protection. Lack of standard approaches in achieving compliance with the "five-safes" framework results in a diversity of approaches across different TREs. Data access and analysis across multiple TREs has a range of benefits including improved precision of analysis due to larger sample sizes and broader availability of out-of-sample records, particularly in the study of rare conditions. Knowledge of governance approaches used across UK-TREs is limited. Objective To document key governance features in major UK-TRE contributing to UK wide analysis and to identify elements that would directly facilitate multi TRE collaborations and federated analysis in future. Method We summarised three main characteristics across 15 major UK-based TREs: 1) data access environment; 2) data access requests and disclosure control procedures; and 3) governance models. We undertook case studies of collaborative analyses conducted in more than one TRE. We identified an array of TREs operating on an equivalent level of governance. We further identify commonly governed TREs with architectural considerations for achieving an equivalent level of information security management system standards to facilitate multi TRE functionality and federated analytics. Results All 15 UK-TREs allow pooling and analysis of aggregated research outputs only when they have passed human-operated disclosure control checks. Data access requests procedures are unique to each TRE. We also observed a variability in disclosure control procedures across various TREs with no or minimal researcher guidance on best practices for file out request procedures. In 2023, six TREs (40.0%) held ISO 20071 accreditation, while 9 TREs (56.2%) participated in four-nation analyses. Conclusion Secure analysis of individual-level data from multiple TREs is possible through existing technical solutions but requires development of a well-established governance framework meeting all stakeholder requirements and addressing public and patient concerns. Formation of a standard model could act as the catalyst for evolution of current TREs governance models to a multi TRE ecosystem within the UK and beyond.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Torabi
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Dementias Platform U, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Chris Orton
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Health Data Research UK, 215 Euston Road, London, England, NW1 2BE
- These authors contributed equally to the work
| | - Emma Squires
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Dementias Platform U, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- These authors contributed equally to the work
| | - Sharon Heys
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- SAIL Databank, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Richard Hier
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Ronan A. Lyons
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Dementias Platform U, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- SAIL Databank, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Simon Thompson
- Population Data Science, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Dementias Platform U, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
- Health Data Research UK, 215 Euston Road, London, England, NW1 2BE
- SAIL Databank, Swansea University, Swansea, SA2 8PP
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Rose AM, Nicolay N, Sandonis Martín V, Mazagatos C, Petrović G, Baruch J, Denayer S, Seyler L, Domegan L, Launay O, Machado A, Burgui C, Vaikutyte R, Niessen FA, Loghin II, Husa P, Aouali N, Panagiotakopoulos G, Tolksdorf K, Horváth JK, Howard J, Pozo F, Gallardo V, Nonković D, Džiugytė A, Bossuyt N, Demuyser T, Duffy R, Luong Nguyen LB, Kislaya I, Martínez-Baz I, Gefenaite G, Knol MJ, Popescu C, Součková L, Simon M, Michelaki S, Reiche J, Ferenczi A, Delgado-Sanz C, Lovrić Makarić Z, Cauchi JP, Barbezange C, Van Nedervelde E, O'Donnell J, Durier C, Guiomar R, Castilla J, Jonikaite I, Bruijning-Verhagen PC, Lazar M, Demlová R, Wirtz G, Amerali M, Dürrwald R, Kunstár MP, Kissling E, Bacci S, Valenciano M. Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalisation in adults (≥ 20 years) during Omicron-dominant circulation: I-MOVE-COVID-19 and VEBIS SARI VE networks, Europe, 2021 to 2022. Euro Surveill 2023; 28:2300187. [PMID: 37997665 PMCID: PMC10668256 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2023.28.47.2300187] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 07/24/2023] [Indexed: 11/25/2023] Open
Abstract
IntroductionThe I-MOVE-COVID-19 and VEBIS hospital networks have been measuring COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) in participating European countries since early 2021.AimWe aimed to measure VE against PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 in patients ≥ 20 years hospitalised with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) from December 2021 to July 2022 (Omicron-dominant period).MethodsIn both networks, 46 hospitals (13 countries) follow a similar test-negative case-control protocol. We defined complete primary series vaccination (PSV) and first booster dose vaccination as last dose of either vaccine received ≥ 14 days before symptom onset (stratifying first booster into received < 150 and ≥ 150 days after last PSV dose). We measured VE overall, by vaccine category/product, age group and time since first mRNA booster dose, adjusting by site as a fixed effect, and by swab date, age, sex, and presence/absence of at least one commonly collected chronic condition.ResultsWe included 2,779 cases and 2,362 controls. The VE of all vaccine products combined against hospitalisation for laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 was 43% (95% CI: 29-54) for complete PSV (with last dose received ≥ 150 days before onset), while it was 59% (95% CI: 51-66) after addition of one booster dose. The VE was 85% (95% CI: 78-89), 70% (95% CI: 61-77) and 36% (95% CI: 17-51) for those with onset 14-59 days, 60-119 days and 120-179 days after booster vaccination, respectively.ConclusionsOur results suggest that, during the Omicron period, observed VE against SARI hospitalisation improved with first mRNA booster dose, particularly for those having symptom onset < 120 days after first booster dose.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Nathalie Nicolay
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden
| | | | - Clara Mazagatos
- National Centre for Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
- Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Joaquin Baruch
- IDCU within Health promotion and disease prevention Directorate, G'mangia, Malta
| | | | - Lucie Seyler
- Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Lisa Domegan
- Health Service Executive-Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Odile Launay
- Inserm, CIC Cochin-Pasteur, Paris, France
- AP-HP, Hôpital Cochin, Paris, France
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Paris City, Paris, France
| | - Ausenda Machado
- National Institute of Health Dr Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Cristina Burgui
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra-IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain
- Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | | | - F Annabel Niessen
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Isabela I Loghin
- St. Parascheva Clinical Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Iasi, Romania
- Grigore T. Popa University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi, Romania
| | - Petr Husa
- Faculty of Medicine, Masaryk University, Brno, Czechia
- University Hospital Brno, Brno, Czechia
| | | | | | | | - Judit Krisztina Horváth
- National Laboratory for Health Security, Epidemiology and Surveillance Centre, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | | | - Francisco Pozo
- National Centre for Microbiology, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Virtudes Gallardo
- Dirección General de Salud Pública y Ordenación Farmacéutica, Junta de Andalucía, Spain
| | - Diana Nonković
- Teaching Public Health Institute of Split-Dalmatia County, Split, Croatia
| | - Aušra Džiugytė
- IDCU within Health promotion and disease prevention Directorate, G'mangia, Malta
| | | | | | - Róisín Duffy
- Health Service Executive-Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland
| | | | - Irina Kislaya
- National Institute of Health Dr Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Iván Martínez-Baz
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra-IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain
- Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | - Giedre Gefenaite
- Faculty of Medicine, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
- Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania
| | - Mirjam J Knol
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Corneliu Popescu
- Dr Victor Babes Clinical Hospital of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, Bucharest, Romania
- Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania
| | | | - Marc Simon
- Centre Hospitalier de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
| | | | | | - Annamária Ferenczi
- National Laboratory for Health Security, Epidemiology and Surveillance Centre, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Concepción Delgado-Sanz
- National Centre for Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
- Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | | | - John Paul Cauchi
- IDCU within Health promotion and disease prevention Directorate, G'mangia, Malta
| | | | | | - Joan O'Donnell
- Health Service Executive-Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland
| | | | - Raquel Guiomar
- National Institute of Health Dr Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Jesús Castilla
- Instituto de Salud Pública de Navarra-IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain
- Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Patricia Cjl Bruijning-Verhagen
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Mihaela Lazar
- "Cantacuzino" National Military Medical Institute for Research-Development, Bucharest, Romania
| | | | - Gil Wirtz
- Centre Hospitalier de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
| | - Marina Amerali
- National Public Health Organisation (EODY), Athens, Greece
| | | | - Mihály Pál Kunstár
- National Laboratory for Health Security, Epidemiology and Surveillance Centre, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | | | - Sabrina Bacci
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden
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Nogareda F, Regan AK, Couto P, Fowlkes AL, Gharpure R, Loayza S, Leite JA, Rodríguez A, Vicari A, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Salas D. Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against hospitalisation in Latin America during three pandemic waves, 2021-2022: a test-negative case-control design. LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. AMERICAS 2023; 27:100626. [PMID: 38035125 PMCID: PMC10682274 DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2023] [Revised: 10/10/2023] [Accepted: 10/23/2023] [Indexed: 12/02/2023]
Abstract
Background Vaccine effectiveness (VE) is essential to monitor the performance of vaccines and generate strategic information to guide decision making. We pooled data from six Latin American countries to estimate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 hospitalisation during three different pandemic waves from February 2021 to September 2022. Methods We used a test-negative case-control design in hospitalised adults in Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, Paraguay, and Uruguay. We estimated adjusted VE by age group (18-64 and ≥65 years), vaccine type and product for primary series vaccination and booster vaccination and by time since last dose during the Omicron variant dominant period. We used mixed effects logistic regression models adjusting for sex, age, week of onset of symptom onset and pre-existing conditions with country fit as a random effect term. Findings We included 15,241 severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) patients in the analysis. Among adults 18-64 years, VE estimates for primary series vaccination during pre-Delta and Delta periods ranged by product from 66.5% to 95.1% and from 33.5% to 88.2% for older adults. During the Omicron period, VE estimates for primary series were lower and decreased by time since last vaccination, but VE increased to between 26.4% and 57.4% when a booster was administered. Interpretation mRNA and viral vector vaccines presented higher VE for both primary series and booster. While VE decreased over time, protection against severe COVID-19-associated hospitalisation increased when booster doses were administered. Vaccination with additional doses should be recommended, particularly for persons at increased risk of developing severe COVID-19. Funding This work was supported by a grant from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) through cooperative agreements with the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Annette K. Regan
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
- School of Nursing and Health Professions, University of San Francisco, USA
- Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, USA
| | - Paula Couto
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Ashley L. Fowlkes
- National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. CDC, USA
| | - Radhika Gharpure
- National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, U.S. CDC, USA
| | - Sergio Loayza
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
| | | | | | - Andrea Vicari
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
| | | | - Daniel Salas
- Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USA
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Simpson CR, Robertson C, McMenamin J, Ritchie LD, Sheikh A. Developing the EAVE III platform for future health crises. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2023; 23:1223-1225. [PMID: 37839426 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(23)00626-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2023] [Revised: 09/07/2023] [Accepted: 09/22/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Colin R Simpson
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington 6140, New Zealand; Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
| | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Strathclyde, UK; Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
| | | | - Lewis D Ritchie
- Centre for Academic Primary Care, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Wood AJ, Sanchez AR, Bessell PR, Wightman R, Kao RR. Assessing the importance of demographic risk factors across two waves of SARS-CoV-2 using fine-scale case data. PLoS Comput Biol 2023; 19:e1011611. [PMID: 38011282 PMCID: PMC10703279 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011611] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2023] [Revised: 12/07/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 11/29/2023] Open
Abstract
For the long term control of an infectious disease such as COVID-19, it is crucial to identify the most likely individuals to become infected and the role that differences in demographic characteristics play in the observed patterns of infection. As high-volume surveillance winds down, testing data from earlier periods are invaluable for studying risk factors for infection in detail. Observed changes in time during these periods may then inform how stable the pattern will be in the long term. To this end we analyse the distribution of cases of COVID-19 across Scotland in 2021, where the location (census areas of order 500-1,000 residents) and reporting date of cases are known. We consider over 450,000 individually recorded cases, in two infection waves triggered by different lineages: B.1.1.529 ("Omicron") and B.1.617.2 ("Delta"). We use random forests, informed by measures of geography, demography, testing and vaccination. We show that the distributions are only adequately explained when considering multiple explanatory variables, implying that case heterogeneity arose from a combination of individual behaviour, immunity, and testing frequency. Despite differences in virus lineage, time of year, and interventions in place, we find the risk factors remained broadly consistent between the two waves. Many of the observed smaller differences could be reasonably explained by changes in control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony J. Wood
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Midlothian, United Kingdom
| | - Aeron R. Sanchez
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Midlothian, United Kingdom
| | - Paul R. Bessell
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Midlothian, United Kingdom
| | - Rebecca Wightman
- Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Rowland R. Kao
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Midlothian, United Kingdom
- Royal (Dick) School of Veterinary Studies, University of Edinburgh, Midlothian, United Kingdom
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30
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Aggarwal J, Nguyen KT, Campbell ML, Shiau S, Shendell DG. Factors Associated with COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy and Case Status among New Jersey Secondary Educational Professionals. Vaccines (Basel) 2023; 11:1667. [PMID: 38005999 PMCID: PMC10674534 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines11111667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2023] [Revised: 10/24/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Vaccine hesitancy remains a societal problem, including during the COVID-19 pandemic. New Jersey (NJ) Safe Schools Program provides work-based learning training to supervisory-level career-technical-vocational education teachers and administrators who have to consider varied state and local mandates concerning COVID-19 vaccination and exemptions. METHODS In early 2022, we distributed an online survey via PsychData to individuals trained between 2014 and 2022 to understand NJ teachers' practices and concerns regarding COVID-19 vaccines. Overall, 269 completed the survey. We stratified data by vaccination status, number of doses, booster status, age, teaching experience, gender, race, county of work, and COVID-19 diagnosis status. RESULTS Overall, results suggested differences in COVID-19-related concerns, including access to, perceptions of, and confidence in COVID-19 vaccines and COVID-19-related practices. About 90.7% received the initial vaccine; 77.7% received the booster. About half the participants had received a positive COVID-19 diagnosis by the time of the survey; they were less likely to get the vaccine or booster if they had received the initial vaccine. CONCLUSIONS Data suggested differences in levels of COVID-19-related concerns and confidence in, or importance of, vaccines when comparing different demographic factors and vaccination practices. The data informs efforts to understand factors affecting vaccine hesitancy among educational professionals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juhi Aggarwal
- NJ Safe Schools Program, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA (M.L.C.); (D.G.S.)
| | - Kimberly T. Nguyen
- NJ Safe Schools Program, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA (M.L.C.); (D.G.S.)
| | - Maryanne L. Campbell
- NJ Safe Schools Program, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA (M.L.C.); (D.G.S.)
| | - Stephanie Shiau
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA;
| | - Derek G. Shendell
- NJ Safe Schools Program, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA (M.L.C.); (D.G.S.)
- Department of Environmental and Occupational Health and Justice, Rutgers School of Public Health (SPH), Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA
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Reynolds L, Dewey C, Asfour G, Little M. Vaccine efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 for Pfizer BioNTech, Moderna, and AstraZeneca vaccines: a systematic review. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1229716. [PMID: 37942238 PMCID: PMC10628441 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1229716] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 09/15/2023] [Indexed: 11/10/2023] Open
Abstract
The purpose of this systematic review was to report on the vaccine efficacy (VE) of three SARS-CoV-2 vaccines approved by Health Canada: Pfizer BioNTech, Moderna, and AstraZeneca. Four databases were searched for primary publications on population-level VE. Ninety-two publications matched the inclusion criteria, and the extracted data were separated by vaccine type: mRNA vaccines (Pfizer and Moderna) and the AstraZeneca vaccine. The median VE for PCR-positive patients and various levels of clinical disease was determined for the first and second doses of both vaccine types against multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants. The median VE for PCR-positive infections against unidentified variants from an mRNA vaccine was 64.5 and 89%, respectively, after one or two doses. The median VE for PCR-positive infections against unidentified variants from the AstraZeneca vaccine was 53.4 and 69.6%, respectively, after one or two doses. The median VE for two doses of mRNA for asymptomatic, symptomatic, and severe infection against unidentified variants was 85.5, 93.2, and 92.2%, respectively. The median VE for two doses of AstraZeneca for asymptomatic, symptomatic, and severe infection against unidentified variants was 69.7, 71, and 90.2%, respectively. Vaccine efficacy numerically increased from the first to the second dose, increased from the first 2 weeks to the second 2 weeks post-vaccination for both doses, but decreased after 4 months from the second dose. Vaccine efficacy did not differ by person's age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lia Reynolds
- Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada
| | - Cate Dewey
- Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada
| | - Ghaid Asfour
- Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada
| | - Matthew Little
- Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada
- School of Public Health and Social Policy, Faculty of Human and Social Development, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
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Meza-Torres B, Forbes A, Elson W, Kar D, Jamie G, Hinton W, Fan X, Byford R, Feher M, Whyte M, Joy M, de Lusignan S. Hepatitis A Vaccination Coverage Among People With Chronic Liver Disease in England (HEALD): Protocol for a Retrospective Cohort Study. JMIR Res Protoc 2023; 12:e51861. [PMID: 37874614 PMCID: PMC10630863 DOI: 10.2196/51861] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2023] [Revised: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis A outbreaks in the United Kingdom are uncommon. Most people develop mild to moderate symptoms that resolve, without sequelae, within months. However, in high-risk groups, including those with underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), hepatitis A infection can be severe, with a higher risk of mortality and morbidity. The Health Security Agency and the National Institute of Health and Care Excellence recommend preexposure hepatitis A vaccination given in 2 doses to people with CLD, regardless of its cause. There are currently no published reports of vaccination coverage for people with CLD in England or internationally. OBJECTIVE This study aims to describe hepatitis A vaccination coverage in adults with CLD in a UK primary care setting and compare liver disease etiology, sociodemographic characteristics, and comorbidities in people who are and are not exposed to the hepatitis A vaccine. METHODS We will conduct a retrospective cohort study with data from the Primary Care Sentinel Cohort of the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Clinical Informatics Digital Hub database, which is nationally representative of the English population. We will include people aged 18 years and older who have been registered in general practices in the Research and Surveillance Centre network and have a record of CLD between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2022, including those with alcohol-related liver disease, chronic hepatitis B, chronic hepatitis C, nonalcohol fatty liver disease, Wilson disease, hemochromatosis, and autoimmune hepatitis. We will carefully curate variables using the Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine Clinical Terms. We will report the sociodemographic characteristics of those who are vaccinated. These include age, gender, ethnicity, population density, region, socioeconomic status (measured using the index of multiple deprivation), obesity, alcohol consumption, and smoking. Hepatitis A vaccination coverage for 1 and 2 doses will be calculated using an estimate of the CLD population as the denominator. We will analyze the baseline characteristics using descriptive statistics, including measures of dispersion. Pairwise comparisons of case-mix characteristics, comorbidities, and complications will be reported according to vaccination status. A multistate survival model will be fitted to estimate the transition probabilities among four states: (1) diagnosed with CLD, (2) first dose of hepatitis A vaccination, (3) second dose of hepatitis A vaccination, and (4) death. This will identify any potential disparities in how people with CLD get vaccinated. RESULTS The Research and Surveillance Centre population comprises over 8 million people. The reported incidence of CLD is 20.7 cases per 100,000. International estimates of hepatitis A vaccine coverage vary between 10% and 50% in this group. CONCLUSIONS This study will describe the uptake of the hepatitis A vaccine in people with CLD and report any disparities or differences in the characteristics of the vaccinated population. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID) PRR1-10.2196/51861.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bernardo Meza-Torres
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Anna Forbes
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - William Elson
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Debasish Kar
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Gavin Jamie
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - William Hinton
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Xuejuan Fan
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Rachel Byford
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Michael Feher
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Martin Whyte
- School of Biosciences and Medicine, University of Surrey, Guildford, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Joy
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Clinical Informatics and Health Outcomes Research Group, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Royal College of General Practitioners, Research and Surveillance Centre, London, United Kingdom
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Yıldırım S, Erkoyun E, Alpdoğan Ö, Yılmaz HO, Yılmaz B, Erdal Dönmez G, Sarıtaş A, Gökmen N, Ergan B, Bayrak V, Yakar MN, Kılıç Ö, Kılınç A, Saygılı S, Gaygısız Ü, Aydın K, Özel Yeşilyurt A, Cankar Dal H, Bayındır Dicle Ç, Turan S, Binay S, Yarıcı M, Yıldırım F, Hancı P, İnal MT, Akbaş T, Eyüpoğlu S, Albayrak T, Koçak G, Çakır T, Yüksel RC, Sarı A, Güneş M, Menteş O, Yamanel HL, Kirakli C. Vaccination status of COVID-19 patients followed up in the ICU in a country with heterologous vaccination policy: A multicenter national study in Turkey. J Infect Chemother 2023; 29:959-964. [PMID: 37343924 PMCID: PMC10278896 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiac.2023.06.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2023] [Revised: 06/07/2023] [Accepted: 06/18/2023] [Indexed: 06/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Vaccination against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-2) prevents the development of serious diseases has been shown in many studies. However, the effect of vaccination on outcomes in COVID-19 patients requiring intensive care is not clear. METHODS This is a retrospective multicenter study conducted in 17 intensive care unit (ICU) in Turkey between January 1, 2021, and December 31, 2021. Patients aged 18 years and older who were diagnosed with COVID-19 and followed in ICU were included in the study. Patients who have never been vaccinated and patients who have been vaccinated with a single dose were considered unvaccinated. Logistic regression models were fit for the two outcomes (28-day mortality and in-hospital mortality). RESULTS A total of 2968 patients were included final analysis. The most of patients followed in the ICU during the study period were unvaccinated (58.5%). Vaccinated patients were older, had higher Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), and had higher APACHE-2 scores than unvaccinated patients. Risk for 28-day mortality and in-hospital mortality was similar in across the year both vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. However, risk for in-hospital mortality and 28-day mortality was higher in the unvaccinated patients in quarter 4 adjusted for gender and CCI (OR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.06-1.99 and OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.03-1.96, respectively) compared to the vaccinated group. CONCLUSION Despite effective vaccination, fully vaccinated patients may be admitted to ICU because of disease severity. Unvaccinated patients were younger and had fewer comorbid conditions. Unvaccinated patients have an increased risk of 28-day mortality when adjusted for gender and CCI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Süleyman Yıldırım
- University of Health Sciences Turkey, Dr. Suat Seren Chest Disease and Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, İzmir, Turkey.
| | | | - Özcan Alpdoğan
- University of Health Sciences, İzmir Tepecik Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, İzmir, Turkey
| | | | - Barış Yılmaz
- University of Health Sciences, Istanbul Sureyyapasa Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery Training and Research Hospital, İstanbul, Turkey
| | - Gül Erdal Dönmez
- University of Health Sciences, Istanbul Sureyyapasa Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery Training and Research Hospital, İstanbul, Turkey
| | - Aykut Sarıtaş
- University of Health Sciences, İzmir Tepecik Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Necati Gökmen
- Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Division of Intensive Care, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Begüm Ergan
- Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Chest Disease, Division of Intensive Care, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Vecihe Bayrak
- Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Division of Intensive Care, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Nuri Yakar
- Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Division of Intensive Care, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Özgür Kılıç
- On Dokuz Mayıs University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Kılınç
- On Dokuz Mayıs University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care, Samsun, Turkey
| | - Saba Saygılı
- University of Health Sciences Turkey, Dr. Suat Seren Chest Disease and Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, İzmir, Turkey
| | - Ümmügülsüm Gaygısız
- Gazi University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Division of Intensive Care, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Kaniye Aydın
- Çukurova University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care Medicine, Adana, Turkey
| | - Aysun Özel Yeşilyurt
- Çukurova University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care Medicine, Adana, Turkey
| | - Hayriye Cankar Dal
- University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Çilem Bayındır Dicle
- University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Sema Turan
- University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Songül Binay
- University of Health Sciences, Ankara Dr Abdurrahman Yurtaslan Oncology Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Metin Yarıcı
- Dışkapı Yıldırım Beyazıt Training and Research Hospital, Department of General Surgery, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Fatma Yıldırım
- University of Health Sciences, Dışkapı Yıldırım Beyazıt Research and Education Hospital, Department of Chest Diseases, Pulmonary Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Pervin Hancı
- Trakya University Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pulmonology, Division of Intensive Care, Edirne, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Turan İnal
- Trakya University Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pulmonology, Division of Intensive Care, Edirne, Turkey
| | - Türkay Akbaş
- Düzce University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care, Düzce, Turkey
| | - Selin Eyüpoğlu
- Giresun Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Giresun, Turkey
| | - Tuna Albayrak
- Giresun University, Giresun Training and Research Hospital, Department of Anesthesiology and Reanimation, Giresun, Turkey
| | - Gamze Koçak
- Mersin City Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Mersin, Turkey
| | - Tümay Çakır
- Muğla Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Muğla, Turkey
| | - Recep Civan Yüksel
- Ministry of Health, Kayseri City Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Kayseri, Turkey
| | - Ali Sarı
- Gaziantep Abdulkadir Yüksel State Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Gaziantep, Turkey
| | - Murat Güneş
- Gümüşhane State Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Gümüşhane, Turkey
| | - Oral Menteş
- Gülhane Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - H Levent Yamanel
- Gülhane Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Cenk Kirakli
- University of Health Sciences Turkey, Dr. Suat Seren Chest Disease and Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Intensive Care Unit, İzmir, Turkey
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Coimbra MT, Francisco JATS, Freitas JC, Carvalho RV, Vilela SRB, Ribeiro CICD, Silvano JLCSL, Pedroso S, Almeida M, Martins LS, Malheiro J. Excess Mortality in Kidney and Kidney-Pancreas Transplant Recipients in the COVID-19 Pandemic in Portugal-A Cohort Study. Transpl Int 2023; 36:11655. [PMID: 37850156 PMCID: PMC10577594 DOI: 10.3389/ti.2023.11655] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2023] [Accepted: 09/19/2023] [Indexed: 10/19/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic increased morbidity and mortality worldwide, particularly in the Kidney and Kidney-Pancreas Transplant Recipient (KTR/KPTR) population. Aiming at assessing the absolute and relative excess mortality (EM) in a Portuguese KTR/KPTR cohort, we conducted a retrospective observational study of two KTR/KPTRs cohorts: cohort 1 (P1; n = 2,179) between September/2012 and March/2020; cohort 2 (P2; n = 2067) between March/2020, and August/2022. A correlation between relative and absolute EM and age, sex, time from transplantation and cause of death was explored. A total of 145 and 84 deaths by all causes were observed in P1 and P2, respectively. The absolute EM in P2 versus P1 was 19.2 deaths (observed/expected mortality ratio 1.30, p = 0.006), and the relative EM was 1.47/1,000 person-months (95% CI 1.11-1.93, p = 0.006). Compared to the same period in the general population, the standardized mortality rate by age in P2 was 3.86 (95% CI 2.40-5.31), with a peak at 9.00 (95% CI 4.84-13.16) in P2C. The higher EM identified in this population was associated, mainly, with COVID-19 infection, with much higher values during the second seasonal COVID-19 peak when compared to the general population, despite generalized vaccination. These highlight the need for further preventive measures and improved therapies in these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miguel T. Coimbra
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital Espírito Santo de Évora, Évora, Portugal
| | - José A. T. S. Francisco
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, Vila Real, Portugal
| | - Joana C. Freitas
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
| | - Renata V. Carvalho
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital de Braga, Braga, Portugal
| | - Sara R. B. Vilela
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital Garcia de Orta, Almada, Portugal
| | | | | | - Sofia Pedroso
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
| | - Manuela Almeida
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
| | - La Salete Martins
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
| | - Jorge Malheiro
- Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Porto, Portugal
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Rojas-Botero ML, Fernández-Niño JA, Arregocés-Castillo L, Palacios-Clavijo A, Pinto-Álvarez M, Ruiz-Gómez F. Real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines among Colombian adults: A retrospective, population-based study of the ESPERANZA cohort. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 3:e0001845. [PMID: 37682804 PMCID: PMC10491003 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001845] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2023] [Accepted: 08/14/2023] [Indexed: 09/10/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19 vaccines have been essential for reducing the impact of the pandemic; nevertheless, population-based data under real-life conditions are needed to compare their effectiveness in various contexts. The objective of this study was to estimate the effectiveness of vaccines in preventing hospitalization and death from COVID-19 in Colombia under real-life conditions among people aged 18 years and older, according to sex, age, confirmed history of COVID-19 and vaccination series, including the effects of boosters. This investigation was an observational, retrospective, population-based study based on the Colombian cohort "Esperanza". A total of 14,213,409 individuals aged 18 years and older were analyzed, who were matched in a 1:1 ratio of vaccinated to unvaccinated. The study groups consisted of unvaccinated individuals, those with a complete series (CS) and individuals with a CS plus booster. The vaccinated individuals received either homologous or heterologous vaccinations with Ad26.COV2-S, BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, CoronaVac and mRNA-1273 vaccines. Follow-up was conducted between February 2021 and June 2022. Cox proportional hazards models were used, adjusted for potential confounders, to estimate the effectiveness of different vaccination series. For adults aged 18 years and older, the overall effectiveness of the vaccines in preventing hospitalization was 82.7% (95% CI 82.1-83.2) for CS and 80.2% (95%CI 78.7-81.6) for CS + booster. The effectiveness in preventing death was 86.0% (95%CI 85.5-86.5) for CS and 83.1% (95%CI 81.5-84.5) for CS + booster. Effectiveness decreased with age. While all efficacies were high, CoronaVac offered significantly lower protection, although this improved with a booster. Continued mass vaccination is pivotal, especially in low- and middle-income countries. The study highlights both the real-world effectiveness of these vaccines and the challenges in understanding waning immunity and the influence of different VoC(Variants of Concern) on results.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Julián Alfredo Fernández-Niño
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
- Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia
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Barkay O, Binay UD, Karakeçili F. Evolution of Public Responses to COVID-19: Comparing Changes in People's Emotions, Behaviors, and Precautions at the Onset and End Stage of the Pandemic. Cureus 2023; 15:e45213. [PMID: 37842427 PMCID: PMC10576243 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.45213] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/14/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a significant impact on global public health, with profound changes in people's psychological and behavioral responses to the virus. Our aim is to evaluate the evolution of people's responses to COVID-19. Methods This observational study compares two groups of YouTube videos (495 videos in the first group and 620 videos in the second group) posted during different periods of the pandemic to examine the evolution of people's emotions, behaviors, and precautions toward COVID-19. We analyzed the titles of these videos to gain insights into the evolving public responses to the pandemic and how they may impact future public health interventions. Results Our results show a shift in focus from basic prevention measures to a more nuanced approach to prevention and management, characterized by a greater emphasis on vaccination and travel-related precautions in the second group of videos. These findings can inform public health policies and interventions aimed at mitigating the impact of COVID-19 and other pandemics. Furthermore, this study highlights the potential of social media platforms, such as YouTube, as a tool for monitoring and understanding public responses to pandemics and other health crises. Conclusion Continued analysis of public responses and behaviors can help inform effective public health interventions and policies as the COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve.
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Affiliation(s)
- Orçun Barkay
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Erzincan Binali Yildirim University, Erzincan, TUR
| | - Umut D Binay
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Erzincan Binali Yildirim University, Erzincan, TUR
| | - Faruk Karakeçili
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Erzincan Binali Yildirim University, Erzincan, TUR
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San Martín-López JV, Mesa N, Bernal-Bello D, Morales-Ortega A, Rivilla M, Guerrero M, Calderón R, Farfán AI, Rivas L, Soria G, Izquierdo A, Madroñal E, Duarte M, Piedrabuena S, Toledano-Macías M, Marrero J, de Ancos C, Frutos B, Cristóbal R, Velázquez L, Mora B, Cuenca P, Satué JÁ, Ayala-Larrañaga I, Carpintero L, Lara C, Llerena ÁR, García V, García de Viedma V, Prieto S, González-Pereira N, Bravo C, Mariño C, Lechuga LA, Tarancón J, Gonzalo S, Moreno S, Ruiz-Giardin JM. Seven Epidemic Waves of COVID-19 in a Hospital in Madrid: Analysis of Severity and Associated Factors. Viruses 2023; 15:1839. [PMID: 37766248 PMCID: PMC10538062 DOI: 10.3390/v15091839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Revised: 08/21/2023] [Accepted: 08/28/2023] [Indexed: 09/29/2023] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: COVID-19 has evolved during seven epidemic waves in Spain. Our objective was to describe changes in mortality and severity in our hospitalized patients. (2) Method: This study employed a descriptive, retrospective approach for COVID-19 patients admitted to the Hospital de Fuenlabrada (Madrid, Spain) until 31 December 2022. (3) Results: A total of 5510 admissions for COVID-19 were recorded. The first wave accounted for 1823 (33%) admissions and exhibited the highest proportion of severe patients: 65% with bilateral pneumonia and 83% with oxygen saturation under 94% during admission and elevated levels of CRP, IL-6, and D-dimer. In contrast, the seventh wave had the highest median age (79 years) and comorbidity (Charlson: 2.7), while only 3% of patients had bilateral pneumonia and 3% required intubation. The overall mortality rate was 10.3%. The first wave represented 39% of the total. The variables related to mortality were age (OR: 1.08, 1.07-1.09), cancer (OR: 1.99, 1.53-2.60), dementia (OR: 1.82, 1.20-2.75), the Charlson index (1.38, 1.31-1.47), the need for high-flow oxygen (OR: 6.10, 4.94-7.52), mechanical ventilation (OR: 11.554, 6.996-19.080), and CRP (OR: 1.04, 1.03-1.06). (4) Conclusions: The variables associated with mortality included age, comorbidity, respiratory failure, and inflammation. Differences in the baseline characteristics of admitted patients explained the differences in mortality in each wave. Differences observed between patients admitted in the latest wave and the earlier ones suggest that COVID-19 has evolved into a distinct disease, requiring a distinct approach.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Víctor San Martín-López
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
- CIBERINFEC, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, 28029 Madrid, Spain;
| | - Nieves Mesa
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - David Bernal-Bello
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Alejandro Morales-Ortega
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
- Departamento de Medicina y Especialidades Médicas, Universidad de Alcalá, 28871 Madrid, Spain
| | - Marta Rivilla
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Marta Guerrero
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Ruth Calderón
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Ana I. Farfán
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Luis Rivas
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Guillermo Soria
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Aída Izquierdo
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Elena Madroñal
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Miguel Duarte
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Sara Piedrabuena
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - María Toledano-Macías
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Jorge Marrero
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Cristina de Ancos
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Begoña Frutos
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Rafael Cristóbal
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Laura Velázquez
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Belén Mora
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Paula Cuenca
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - José Á. Satué
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Ibone Ayala-Larrañaga
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Lorena Carpintero
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Celia Lara
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Álvaro R. Llerena
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Virginia García
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Vanessa García de Viedma
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Santiago Prieto
- Servicio de Laboratorio Clínico, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (S.P.); (N.G.-P.)
| | - Natalia González-Pereira
- Servicio de Laboratorio Clínico, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (S.P.); (N.G.-P.)
| | - Cristina Bravo
- Servicio de Farmacia, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (C.B.); (C.M.)
| | - Carolina Mariño
- Servicio de Farmacia, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (C.B.); (C.M.)
| | - Luis Antonio Lechuga
- Sistemas, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (L.A.L.); (J.T.)
| | - Jorge Tarancón
- Sistemas, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (L.A.L.); (J.T.)
| | - Sonia Gonzalo
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
| | - Santiago Moreno
- CIBERINFEC, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, 28029 Madrid, Spain;
- Departamento de Medicina y Especialidades Médicas, Universidad de Alcalá, 28871 Madrid, Spain
- Servicio de Enfermedades Infecciosas, Hospital U. Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034 Madrid, Spain
| | - José M. Ruiz-Giardin
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, 28942 Madrid, Spain; (N.M.); (D.B.-B.); (A.M.-O.); (M.R.); (M.G.); (R.C.); (A.I.F.); (L.R.); (G.S.); (A.I.); (E.M.); (M.D.); (S.P.); (M.T.-M.); (J.M.); (C.d.A.); (B.F.); (R.C.); (L.V.); (B.M.); (P.C.); (J.Á.S.); (I.A.-L.); (L.C.); (C.L.); (Á.R.L.); (V.G.); (V.G.d.V.); (S.G.); (J.M.R.-G.)
- CIBERINFEC, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, 28029 Madrid, Spain;
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Guo Z, Lin Q, Meng X. A Comparative Study on Deep Learning Models for COVID-19 Forecast. Healthcare (Basel) 2023; 11:2400. [PMID: 37685434 PMCID: PMC10486679 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare11172400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2023] [Revised: 08/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 09/10/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a global health crisis with significant morbidity, mortality, and socioeconomic disruptions. Understanding and predicting the dynamics of COVID-19 are crucial for public health interventions, resource allocation, and policy decisions. By developing accurate models, informed public health strategies can be devised, resource allocation can be optimized, and virus transmission can be reduced. Various mathematical and computational models have been developed to estimate transmission dynamics and forecast the pandemic's trajectories. However, the evolving nature of COVID-19 demands innovative approaches to enhance prediction accuracy. The machine learning technique, particularly the deep neural networks (DNNs), offers promising solutions by leveraging diverse data sources to improve prevalence predictions. In this study, three typical DNNs, including the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, Physics-informed Neural Network (PINN), and Deep Operator Network (DeepONet), are employed to model and forecast COVID-19 spread. The training and testing data used in this work are the global COVID-19 cases in the year of 2021 from the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University. A seven-day moving average as well as the normalization techniques are employed to stabilize the training of deep learning models. We systematically investigate the effect of the number of training data on the predicted accuracy as well as the capability of long-term forecast in each model. Based on the relative L2 errors between the predictions from deep learning models and the reference solutions, the DeepONet, which is capable of learning hidden physics given the training data, outperforms the other two approaches in all test cases, making it a reliable tool for accurate forecasting the dynamics of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziyuan Guo
- Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410008, China
| | - Qingyi Lin
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
| | - Xuhui Meng
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
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39
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Violán C, Carrasco-Ribelles LA, Collatuzzo G, Ditano G, Abedini M, Janke C, Reinkemeyer C, Giang LTT, Liviero F, Scapellato ML, Mauro M, Rui F, Porru S, Spiteri G, Monaco MGL, Carta A, Otelea M, Rascu A, Fabiánová E, Klöslová Z, Boffetta P, Torán-Monserrat P. Multimorbidity and Serological Response to SARS-CoV-2 Nine Months after 1st Vaccine Dose: European Cohort of Healthcare Workers-Orchestra Project. Vaccines (Basel) 2023; 11:1340. [PMID: 37631908 PMCID: PMC10459685 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines11081340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2023] [Revised: 07/25/2023] [Accepted: 08/03/2023] [Indexed: 08/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Understanding antibody persistence concerning multimorbidity is crucial for vaccination policies. Our goal is to assess the link between multimorbidity and serological response to SARS-CoV-2 nine months post-first vaccine. We analyzed Healthcare Workers (HCWs) from three cohorts from Italy, and one each from Germany, Romania, Slovakia, and Spain. Seven groups of chronic diseases were analyzed. We included 2941 HCWs (78.5% female, 73.4% ≥ 40 years old). Multimorbidity was present in 6.9% of HCWs. The prevalence of each chronic condition ranged between 1.9% (cancer) to 10.3% (allergies). Two regression models were fitted, one considering the chronic conditions groups and the other considering whether HCWs had diseases from ≥2 groups. Multimorbidity was present in 6.9% of HCWs, and higher 9-months post-vaccine anti-S levels were significantly associated with having received three doses of the vaccine (RR = 2.45, CI = 1.92-3.13) and with having a prior COVID-19 infection (RR = 2.30, CI = 2.15-2.46). Conversely, lower levels were associated with higher age (RR = 0.94, CI = 0.91-0.96), more time since the last vaccine dose (RR = 0.95, CI = 0.94-0.96), and multimorbidity (RR = 0.89, CI = 0.80-1.00). Hypertension is significantly associated with lower anti-S levels (RR = 0.87, CI = 0.80-0.95). The serological response to vaccines is more inadequate in individuals with multimorbidity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Concepción Violán
- Unitat de Suport a la Recerca Metropolitana Nord, Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Mataró, Spain; (L.A.C.-R.); (P.T.-M.)
- Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), Camí de les Escoles, s/n, 08916 Badalona, Spain
- Grup de REcerca en Impacte de les Malalties Cròniques i les Seves Trajectòries (GRIMTra) (2021 SGR 01537), Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Barcelona, Spain
- Network for Research on Chronicity, Primary Care, and Health Promotion (RICAPPS) (RD21/0016/0029), Insitituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. de Monforte de Lemos, 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Direcció d’Atenció Primària Metropolitana Nord Institut Català de Salut, Ctra. de Barcelona, 473, Sabadell, 08204 Barcelona, Spain
- Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona, Plaça Cívica, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain
| | - Lucía A. Carrasco-Ribelles
- Unitat de Suport a la Recerca Metropolitana Nord, Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Mataró, Spain; (L.A.C.-R.); (P.T.-M.)
- Grup de REcerca en Impacte de les Malalties Cròniques i les Seves Trajectòries (GRIMTra) (2021 SGR 01537), Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Barcelona, Spain
- Network for Research on Chronicity, Primary Care, and Health Promotion (RICAPPS) (RD21/0016/0029), Insitituto de Salud Carlos III, Av. de Monforte de Lemos, 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Giulia Collatuzzo
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, 40138 Bologna, Italy; (G.C.); (G.D.); (M.A.); (P.B.)
| | - Giorgia Ditano
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, 40138 Bologna, Italy; (G.C.); (G.D.); (M.A.); (P.B.)
| | - Mahsa Abedini
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, 40138 Bologna, Italy; (G.C.); (G.D.); (M.A.); (P.B.)
| | - Christian Janke
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, LMU Klinikum, Leopoldstraße 5, 80802 Munich, Germany; (C.J.); (C.R.)
| | - Christina Reinkemeyer
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, LMU Klinikum, Leopoldstraße 5, 80802 Munich, Germany; (C.J.); (C.R.)
| | - Le Thi Thu Giang
- Department of Pediatrics, Dr. von Hauner Children’s Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Lindwurmstrasse 4, 80337 Munich, Germany;
| | - Filippo Liviero
- Department of Cardiac Thoracic Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padova, 35128 Padova, Italy;
| | | | - Marcella Mauro
- Unit of Occupational Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Trieste, 34129 Trieste, Italy; (M.M.); (F.R.)
| | - Francesca Rui
- Unit of Occupational Medicine, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Trieste, 34129 Trieste, Italy; (M.M.); (F.R.)
| | - Stefano Porru
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Hospital of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy; (S.P.); (G.S.); (M.G.L.M.); (A.C.)
- Section of Occupational Health, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy
| | - Gianluca Spiteri
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Hospital of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy; (S.P.); (G.S.); (M.G.L.M.); (A.C.)
| | - Maria Grazia Lourdes Monaco
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Hospital of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy; (S.P.); (G.S.); (M.G.L.M.); (A.C.)
| | - Angela Carta
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Hospital of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy; (S.P.); (G.S.); (M.G.L.M.); (A.C.)
- Section of Occupational Health, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, 37134 Verona, Italy
| | - Marina Otelea
- University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Carol Davila”, 020022 Bucharest, Romania; (M.O.); (A.R.)
| | - Agripina Rascu
- University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Carol Davila”, 020022 Bucharest, Romania; (M.O.); (A.R.)
| | - Eleonóra Fabiánová
- Occupational Health Department, Regional Authority of Public Health, 97556 Banská Bystrica, Slovakia; (E.F.); (Z.K.)
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Health, Catholic University, 03401 Ružomberok, Slovakia
| | - Zuzana Klöslová
- Occupational Health Department, Regional Authority of Public Health, 97556 Banská Bystrica, Slovakia; (E.F.); (Z.K.)
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Health, Catholic University, 03401 Ružomberok, Slovakia
| | - Paolo Boffetta
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, 40138 Bologna, Italy; (G.C.); (G.D.); (M.A.); (P.B.)
| | - Pere Torán-Monserrat
- Unitat de Suport a la Recerca Metropolitana Nord, Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Mataró, Spain; (L.A.C.-R.); (P.T.-M.)
- Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), Camí de les Escoles, s/n, 08916 Badalona, Spain
- Direcció d’Atenció Primària Metropolitana Nord Institut Català de Salut, Ctra. de Barcelona, 473, Sabadell, 08204 Barcelona, Spain
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitat de Girona, 17001 Girona, Spain
- Multidisciplinary Research Group in Health and Society (GREMSAS) (2021 SGR 01484), Institut Universitari d’Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Mare de Déu de Guadalupe, 08303 Barcelona, Spain
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Mori A, Onozawa M, Kobayashi M, Tsukamoto S, Senjo H, Ishio T, Yokoyama E, Kanaya M, Izumiyama K, Saito M, Muraki H, Morioka M, Teshima T, Kondo T. Booster effect of a third mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine dose in patients with myeloid malignancies. Cancer Med 2023; 12:16881-16888. [PMID: 37409608 PMCID: PMC10501249 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.6314] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Revised: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 06/24/2023] [Indexed: 07/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We have reported that seroconversion rates after the second dose of mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines for myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) were 100% and 95% respectively, with no significant difference from healthy controls (HCs).However, there are very limited data for the response to a third vaccine dose in those patients. AIMS In this complementary study, we investigated the booster effect of a third mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine dose in patients with myeloid malignancies. MATERIALS & METHODS A total 58 patients including 20 patients with MDS and 38 patients with AML were enrolled. Anti-SARS-CoV-2S immunoassays were performed at 3, 6, and 9 months after the second vaccine dose. RESULTS Seventy-five percent of the MDS patients and 37% of the AML patients were receiving active treatment at the time of the third vaccination. Both the initial and third vaccine response in AML patients were comparable to those in HCs. In MDS patients, although the initial vaccine immunogenicity was inferior to that in HCs and AML patients, the third vaccine improved the response to a level not inferior to those in HCs and AML patients. Of note, the third vaccine resulted in a significant increase of antibodies in actively treated MDS patients who had shown a response inferior to that in untreated patients after two doses of vaccination. DISCUSSION In patients with myeloid malignancies, the third vaccine dose showed a booster effect, and disease- and therapy-related factors associated with the booster response have been identified. CONCLUSION The third dose of an mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine showed a booster effect in patients with myeloid malignancies. Such a good booster response has not been reported in other haematological malignancies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akio Mori
- Blood Disorders CenterAiiku HospitalSapporoJapan
| | - Masahiro Onozawa
- Department of HematologyHokkaido University Faculty of MedicineSapporoJapan
| | | | | | - Hajime Senjo
- Blood Disorders CenterAiiku HospitalSapporoJapan
- Department of HematologyHokkaido University Faculty of MedicineSapporoJapan
| | | | - Emi Yokoyama
- Blood Disorders CenterAiiku HospitalSapporoJapan
| | | | | | - Makoto Saito
- Blood Disorders CenterAiiku HospitalSapporoJapan
| | - Haruna Muraki
- Division of LaboratoryAiiku HospitalSapporoJapan
- Sapporo Clinical Laboratory Inc.SapporoJapan
| | | | - Takanori Teshima
- Department of HematologyHokkaido University Faculty of MedicineSapporoJapan
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Lee YS, Jamaluddin J, Ho BK. Characteristics and factors associated with severity of COVID-19 infections in primary care. MALAYSIAN FAMILY PHYSICIAN : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS OF MALAYSIA 2023; 18:42. [PMID: 37593088 PMCID: PMC10431198 DOI: 10.51866/oa.285] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/19/2023]
Abstract
Introduction Primary care service plays a vital role in early clinical assessment of patients with COVID-19 in Malaysia. This study aimed to evaluate the potential risk factors of COVID-19 severity at presentation to primary care facilities in the post-vaccination period. Method Clinical records from the Selangkah system of all patients with COVID-19 aged above 18 years seen at COVID-19 assessment centres located in 10 government health clinics in Gombak district, Selangor, from 1 October to 31 December 2021 with complete documentation and outcomes were retrieved. Demographics, comorbidities, clinical features and vaccination statuses and types were retrospectively evaluated. The variables were compared between mild and severe diseases. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the factors affecting disease severity. Results A total of 4406 patients (median age=37 years, men=51.2%) were analysed. Approximately 97.1% of the cases were mild, while 2.9% were severe. Fever, difficulty breathing, lethargy, throat irritation/runny nose, oxygen saturation of <95%, respiratory rate of >20 breaths per minute, CoronaVac vaccination and hypertension were the determinants of severity (P<0.05). Conclusion The high proportion (97.1%) of mild cases in this study compared with an earlier report (81.8%) during the pre-vaccination period may suggest the impact of vaccine, as 84.9% of this cohort was fully vaccinated. Our study also demonstrated a significant difference in COVID-19 severity between the vaccine types. The identified clinical features and comorbidities could assist primary care doctors in stratifying patients with COVID-19 judiciously in terms of hospital referral or home quarantine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yeow Siong Lee
- MBBS (IMU), MMed (Family Medicine) (UM), Klinik Kesihatan Selayang Baru, Jalan Sungai Tua, Batu Caves, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia
| | - Jazlan Jamaluddin
- MD (Moscow), MMed (Family Medicine) (UiTM), Klinik Kesihatan Sauk, Jalan Besar Lenggong, Sauk, Kuala Kangsar, Perak, Malaysia.
| | - Bee Kiau Ho
- MBBS (UM), MMed (Family Medicine) (UM), Klinik Kesihatan Bandar Botanic, Blok A, Jalan Langat, Bandar Botanic, Klang, Selangor, Malaysia
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Graham S, Tessier E, Stowe J, Bernal JL, Parker EPK, Nitsch D, Miller E, Andrews N, Walker JL, McDonald HI. Bias assessment of a test-negative design study of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness used in national policymaking. Nat Commun 2023; 14:3984. [PMID: 37414791 PMCID: PMC10325974 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-39674-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2022] [Accepted: 06/21/2023] [Indexed: 07/08/2023] Open
Abstract
National test-negative-case-control (TNCC) studies are used to monitor COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in the UK. A questionnaire was sent to participants from the first published TNCC COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness study conducted by the UK Health Security Agency, to assess for potential biases and changes in behaviour related to vaccination. The original study included symptomatic adults aged ≥70 years testing for COVID-19 between 08/12/2020 and 21/02/2021. A questionnaire was sent to cases and controls tested from 1-21 February 2021. In this study, 8648 individuals responded to the questionnaire (36.5% response). Using information from the questionnaire to produce a combined estimate that accounted for all potential biases decreased the original vaccine effectiveness estimate after two doses of BNT162b2 from 88% (95% CI: 79-94%) to 85% (95% CI: 68-94%). Self-reported behaviour demonstrated minimal evidence of riskier behaviour after vaccination. These findings offer reassurance to policy makers and clinicians making decisions based on COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness TNCC studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sophie Graham
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
- UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London, UK.
| | | | | | | | | | - Dorothea Nitsch
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- UK Renal Registry, Bristol, UK
- Renal Unit, Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, Hertfordshire, UK
| | - Elizabeth Miller
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London, UK
| | - Nick Andrews
- UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London, UK
| | - Jemma L Walker
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London, UK
| | - Helen I McDonald
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London, UK
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Meshref TS, Hamad DA, Aly MM, Kamal DT, Elkhayat MR, Elghazally SA. Impact of SARS-CoV-2 AstraZeneca Vaccine on Safety and Blood Elements of Egyptian Healthcare Workers. Indian J Occup Environ Med 2023; 27:241-248. [PMID: 38047168 PMCID: PMC10691519 DOI: 10.4103/ijoem.ijoem_275_22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2022] [Revised: 03/05/2023] [Accepted: 04/15/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Many coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines were approved worldwide. Their safety was the primary concern. In Egypt, Oxford-AstraZeneca (AZ) vaccine was the first approved vaccine initially for healthcare workers (HCWs). Objective We aim to determine adverse events and hematological abnormalities following the COVID-19 AZ vaccine and estimate the infection rate of the candidates by COVID-19 between the first and second doses of vaccination. Methods Within 8-10 days of receiving their initial dose of the AZ vaccine, 909 HCWs were assessed for adverse events as part of a prospective longitudinal study. Complete blood counts (CBCs) were evaluated before and one month after vaccination. Results 37.2% of the candidates experienced side effects following vaccination. Pain at the injection site was the most common (25.4%) and more frequent in participants between 20 and 40 years (27.9%). The mean total leukocyte count (TLC), absolute leukocyte count (ALC), absolute neutrophil count (ANC), and absolute monocyte count (AMC) increased one month following vaccination (P < 0. 001). Sixty-six vaccinated HCWs were infected with COVID-19 between the two vaccine doses. 82% were infected after 14 days of the first dose, while 18% were infected before 14 days (P < 0.0001). Conclusions Most of the vaccinated personnel did not experience any side effects after the first dose of the vaccine. Furthermore, the most common complaints were pain at the injection site, fatigue, fever, headache, arthralgia, myalgia, and chills. Infected people with COVID-19 after the first dose had significantly more severe disease if they were infected before 14 days than those who got infected later on.
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Affiliation(s)
- Taghreed S. Meshref
- Department of Internal Medicine, Critical Care Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Dina A. Hamad
- Department of Internal Medicine, Critical Care Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Mai M. Aly
- Department of Internal Medicine, Clinical Hematology Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Dalia T. Kamal
- Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Mariam R. Elkhayat
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Shimaa A. Elghazally
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
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Collett S, Earnest L, Carrera Montoya J, Edeling MA, Yap A, Wong CY, Christiansen D, Roberts J, Mumford J, Lecouturier V, Pavot V, Marco S, Loi JK, Simmons C, Gulab SA, Mackenzie JM, Elbourne A, Ramsland PA, Cameron G, Hans D, Godfrey DI, Torresi J. Development of virus-like particles with inbuilt immunostimulatory properties as vaccine candidates. Front Microbiol 2023; 14:1065609. [PMID: 37350788 PMCID: PMC10282183 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2023.1065609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 06/24/2023] Open
Abstract
The development of virus-like particle (VLP) based vaccines for human papillomavirus, hepatitis B and hepatitis E viruses represented a breakthrough in vaccine development. However, for dengue and COVID-19, technical complications, such as an incomplete understanding of the requirements for protective immunity, but also limitations in processes to manufacture VLP vaccines for enveloped viruses to large scale, have hampered VLP vaccine development. Selecting the right adjuvant is also an important consideration to ensure that a VLP vaccine induces protective antibody and T cell responses. For diseases like COVID-19 and dengue fever caused by RNA viruses that exist as families of viral variants with the potential to escape vaccine-induced immunity, the development of more efficacious vaccines is also necessary. Here, we describe the development and characterisation of novel VLP vaccine candidates using SARS-CoV-2 and dengue virus (DENV), containing the major viral structural proteins, as protypes for a novel approach to produce VLP vaccines. The VLPs were characterised by Western immunoblot, enzyme immunoassay, electron and atomic force microscopy, and in vitro and in vivo immunogenicity studies. Microscopy techniques showed proteins self-assemble to form VLPs authentic to native viruses. The inclusion of the glycolipid adjuvant, α-galactosylceramide (α-GalCer) in the vaccine formulation led to high levels of natural killer T (NKT) cell stimulation in vitro, and strong antibody and memory CD8+ T cell responses in vivo, demonstrated with SARS-CoV-2, hepatitis C virus (HCV) and DEN VLPs. This study shows our unique vaccine formulation presents a promising, and much needed, new vaccine platform in the fight against infections caused by enveloped RNA viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon Collett
- School of Science, College of Science, Engineering and Health, RMIT University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Linda Earnest
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Julio Carrera Montoya
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Melissa A. Edeling
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Ashley Yap
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Chinn Yi Wong
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Dale Christiansen
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Jason Roberts
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Melbourne at the Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Jamie Mumford
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | - Joon Keit Loi
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Cameron Simmons
- Institute of Vector-Borne Disease, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Shivali A. Gulab
- Avalia Immunotherapies Limited, Wellington, New Zealand
- Vaccine Alliance Aotearoa New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Jason M. Mackenzie
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Aaron Elbourne
- School of Science, College of Science, Engineering and Health, RMIT University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Paul A. Ramsland
- School of Science, College of Science, Engineering and Health, RMIT University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Surgery Austin Health, University of Melbourne, Heidelberg, VIC, Australia
- Department of Immunology, Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Garth Cameron
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Dhiraj Hans
- Research, Innovation and Commercialisation, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Dale I. Godfrey
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Joseph Torresi
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
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Bannick MS, Gao F, Brown ER, Janes HE. Retrospective, Observational Studies for Estimating Vaccine Effects on the Secondary Attack Rate of SARS-CoV-2. Am J Epidemiol 2023; 192:1016-1028. [PMID: 36883907 PMCID: PMC10505422 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwad046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2022] [Revised: 11/21/2022] [Accepted: 02/23/2023] [Indexed: 03/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are highly efficacious at preventing symptomatic infection, severe disease, and death. Most of the evidence that COVID-19 vaccines also reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is based on retrospective, observational studies. Specifically, an increasing number of studies are evaluating vaccine effectiveness against the secondary attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 using data available in existing health-care databases or contact-tracing databases. Since these types of databases were designed for clinical diagnosis or management of COVID-19, they are limited in their ability to provide accurate information on infection, infection timing, and transmission events. We highlight challenges with using existing databases to identify transmission units and confirm potential SARS-CoV-2 transmission events. We discuss the impact of common diagnostic testing strategies, including event-prompted and infrequent testing, and illustrate their potential biases in estimating vaccine effectiveness against the secondary attack rate of SARS-CoV-2. We articulate the need for prospective observational studies of vaccine effectiveness against the SARS-CoV-2 secondary attack rate, and we provide design and reporting considerations for studies using retrospective databases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marlena S Bannick
- Correspondence to Marlena Bannick, Department of Biostatistics, Hans Rosling Center for Population Health, Box 357232, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 (e-mail: )
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Yang XH, Bao WJ, Zhang H, Fu SK, Jin HM. The Efficacy of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination in the Elderly: A Systemic Review and Meta-analysis. J Gen Intern Med 2023:10.1007/s11606-023-08254-9. [PMID: 37266884 DOI: 10.1007/s11606-023-08254-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2023] [Accepted: 05/19/2023] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Given the reduced immune response to vaccines in older populations, this study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccinations and its impact on breakthrough infection, hospital admission, and mortality in the elderly. METHODS We carried out a systemic review and meta-analysis where MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials were queried to identify relevant literature. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs), non-randomized trials, prospective, observational cohort, and case-control studies assessing breakthrough infection, hospital admission, and mortality after coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination in the elderly (≥ 60 years old). RESULTS Overall, 26 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with the unvaccinated group, the vaccinated group showed a decreased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection after 28-34 (relative risk [RR] = 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37-0.49) and 35-60 days (RR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.37-0.62). There was a step-wise increase in efficacy with additional doses with the two-dose group experiencing decreased risk of breakthrough infection (RR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.32-0.42), hospital admissions (RR = 0.25, 95% CI 0.14-0.45), disease severity (RR = 0.38, 95% CI 0.20-0.70), and mortality (RR = 0.21, 95% CI 0.14-0.32) compared with those receiving one or no doses. Similarly three-dose and four-dose vaccine groups also showed a decreased risk of breakthrough infection (3-dose: RR = 0.14, 95% CI 0.10-0.20; 4-dose RR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.4-0.53), hospital admissions (3-dose: RR = 0.11, 95% CI 0.07-0.17; 4-dose: RR = 0.42, 95% CI 0.32-0.55), and all-cause mortality (3-dose: RR = 0.10, 95% CI 0.02-0.48; 4-dose: RR = 0.48, 95% CI 0.28-0.84) Subgroup analysis found that protection against mortality for vaccinated vs. unvaccinated groups was similar by age (60-79 years: RR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.47-0.74; ≥ 80 years: RR = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.98) and gender (female: RR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50-0.87, male: (RR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44-0.76), and comorbid cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.52-0.92) or diabetes (DM) (RR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39-0.89. CONCLUSIONS Our pooled results showed that SARS-CoV-2 vaccines administered to the elderly is effective in preventing prevent breakthrough infection, hospitalization, severity, and death. What's more, increasing number of vaccine doses is becoming increasingly effective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiu Hong Yang
- Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated the Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Wen Jing Bao
- Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Hua Zhang
- Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Shun Kun Fu
- Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Hui Min Jin
- Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China.
- Department of Nephrology, the People's Hospital Of Wenshan Prefecture, Wenshan, Yunnan Province, China.
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AlQahtani SY, Alabdulqader AA, Al Mashhour WA, Aldawood ZM, Al Masari OA, Alotaibi T, AlGhamdi ZM, Alzahrani IM, Albaloushi NN. Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Vaccinated VS Non-Vaccinated Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Retrospective Observation Study. Infect Drug Resist 2023; 16:3329-3338. [PMID: 37274364 PMCID: PMC10237627 DOI: 10.2147/idr.s411299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2023] [Accepted: 05/18/2023] [Indexed: 06/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective We aim to identify the clinical characteristics and outcome of vaccine breakthrough infection in critically ill COVID-19 patients and to compare the clinical course of disease between vaccinated and non-vaccinated patients. Methods A retrospective review of all adult patients aged ≥18 years admitted to the ICU in King Fahd Hospital of the University in Saudi Arabia with positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test between the period of January 1st to August 31st, 2021, were included. The recruited patients were grouped in to "vaccinated and non-vaccinated group" based on their immunization status. The demographic data, co-morbidities, modality of oxygen support, ICU length of stay (ICU LOS) and mortality were collected and analyzed. Results A total of 167 patients were included. Seventy-two patients (43%) were vaccinated. Cardiovascular diseases were higher among the vaccinated group (33.3% vs 12.6%, p value <0.001). Requirements of Non-invasive ventilation was significantly lower in vaccinated group compared to non-vaccinated group (73.6% vs 91.6%, p value <0.011). The rates of intubation were similar between both groups. The total intubation days was longer in non-vaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients and the median duration of intubation was 8 days vs 2 days, respectively (p value 0.027). In subgroup analysis, the P/F ratio was significantly higher in patients who received two doses of vaccine compared to single dose (p value <0.002). Conclusion In critically ill COVID-19 patients, the vaccinated group has significantly less need for Non-invasive ventilation, fewer intubation days and less hypoxia compared to non-vaccinated patients. We recommend more policies and public education nationwide and worldwide to encourage vaccination and raise awareness of the general population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shaya Yaanallah AlQahtani
- Department of Internal Medicine and Critical Care Medicine, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
| | | | | | | | - Osama Ali Al Masari
- Department of Internal Medicine and Critical Care Medicine, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
| | - Thabit Alotaibi
- Department of Internal Medicine and Critical Care Medicine, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
| | - Zeead M AlGhamdi
- Thoracic Surgery Division, Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ibrahim M Alzahrani
- Department of Internal medicine, Imam Abdulrahman bin Faisal University, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
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Calabrò GE, Pappalardo C, D'Ambrosio F, Vece M, Lupi C, Lontano A, Di Russo M, Ricciardi R, de Waure C. The Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 Burden of Disease in the Adult and Elderly Population: A Systematic Review of Italian Evidence. Vaccines (Basel) 2023; 11:vaccines11051011. [PMID: 37243115 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines11051011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2023] [Revised: 05/19/2023] [Accepted: 05/20/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 is a major global health threat, with millions of confirmed cases and deaths worldwide. Containment and mitigation strategies, including vaccination, have been implemented to reduce transmission and protect the population. We conducted two systematic reviews to collect nonrandomized studies investigating the effects of vaccination on COVID-19-related complications and deaths in the Italian population. We considered studies conducted in Italian settings and written in English that contained data on the effects of vaccination on COVID-19-related mortality and complications. We excluded studies that pertained to the pediatric population. In total, we included 10 unique studies in our two systematic reviews. The results showed that fully vaccinated individuals had a lower risk of death, severe symptoms, and hospitalization compared to unvaccinated individuals. The review also looked at the impact of vaccination on post-COVID-19 syndrome, the effectiveness of booster doses in older individuals, and nationwide adverse events. Our work highlights the crucial role that vaccination campaigns have played in reducing the burden of COVID-19 disease in the Italian adult population, positively impacting the pandemic trajectory in Italy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giovanna Elisa Calabrò
- Section of Hygiene, Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
- VIHTALI (Value in Health Technology and Academy for Leadership & Innovation), Spin-Off of Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Ciro Pappalardo
- Section of Hygiene, Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Floriana D'Ambrosio
- Section of Hygiene, Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Michele Vece
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Perugia, 06132 Perugia, Italy
| | - Chiara Lupi
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Perugia, 06132 Perugia, Italy
| | - Alberto Lontano
- Section of Hygiene, Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Mattia Di Russo
- Section of Hygiene, Department of Life Sciences and Public Health, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Roberto Ricciardi
- VIHTALI (Value in Health Technology and Academy for Leadership & Innovation), Spin-Off of Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Chiara de Waure
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Perugia, 06132 Perugia, Italy
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Bordalo Ferreira F, Rafael MA, Coimbra L, Boavida N, Arrobas F, Pereira Correia F, Martins Figueiredo L, Carvalho E Branco J, Carvalho Lourenço L, Santos L, Oliveira AM. Anti-tumor necrosis factor therapy is associated with attenuated humoral response to SARS-COV-2 vaccines in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Vaccine 2023:S0264-410X(23)00530-3. [PMID: 37202269 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.05.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2022] [Revised: 04/21/2023] [Accepted: 05/01/2023] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Immunosuppressive therapy used in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is known to reduce vaccine immunogenicity. AIMS This study aimed to 1) predict the humoral response elicited by SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in IBD patients based on their ongoing treatment and other relevant patient and vaccine characteristics and 2) assess the humoral response to a booster dose of mRNA vaccine. METHODS We conducted a prospective study in adult IBD patients. Anti-spike (S) IgG antibodies were measured after initial vaccination and again after one booster dose. A multiple linear regression model was created to predict anti-S antibody titer following initial complete vaccination in different therapeutic groups (no immunosuppression, anti-TNF, immunomodulators and combination therapy). A two-tailed Wilcoxon test for two dependent groups was performed to compare anti-S values before and after the booster dose. RESULTS Our study included 198 IBD patients. The multiple linear regression identified anti-TNF and combination therapy (versus no immunosuppression), current smoking, viral vector (versus mRNA) vaccine and interval between vaccination and anti-S measurement as statistically significant predictors of the log anti-S antibody levels (p < 0.001). No statistically significant differences were found between no immunosuppression and immunomodulators (p = 0.349) and between anti-TNF and combination therapy (p = 0.997). Statistically significant differences for anti-S antibody titer before and after the booster dose of mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine were found, both for non-anti-TNF and anti-TNF groups. CONCLUSIONS Anti-TNF treatment (either alone or in combination therapy) is associated with lower anti-S antibody levels. Booster mRNA doses seem to increase anti-S both in non-anti-TNF and anti-TNF treated patients. Special attention should be paid to this group of patients when planning vaccination schemes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Filipa Bordalo Ferreira
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal.
| | - Maria Ana Rafael
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Lúcia Coimbra
- Clinical Pathology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Nazaré Boavida
- Clinical Pathology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | | | - Fábio Pereira Correia
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Luísa Martins Figueiredo
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Joana Carvalho E Branco
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Luís Carvalho Lourenço
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Liliana Santos
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Ana Maria Oliveira
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
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Gaio V, Santos AJ, Amaral P, Faro Viana J, Antunes I, Pacheco V, Paiva A, Pinto Leite P, Antunes Gonçalves L, Araújo L, Silva A, Dias C, Kislaya I, Nunes B, Machado A. COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among healthcare workers: a hospital-based cohort study. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e068996. [PMID: 37130692 PMCID: PMC10163328 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-068996] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/04/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Healthcare workers (HCWs) were the first to be prioritised for COVID-19 vaccination. This study aims to estimate the COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 symptomatic infection among HCWs in Portuguese hospitals. DESIGN Prospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS We analysed data from HCWs (all professional categories) from three central hospitals: one in the Lisbon and Tagus Valley region and two in the central region of mainland Portugal, between December 2020 and March 2022. VE against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was estimated as one minus the confounder adjusted HRs by Cox models considering age group, sex, self-reported chronic disease and occupational exposure to patients diagnosed with COVID-19 as adjustment variables. RESULTS During the 15 months of follow-up, the 3034 HCWs contributed a total of 3054 person-years at risk, and 581 SARS-CoV-2 events occurred. Most participants were already vaccinated with a booster dose (n=2653, 87%), some are vaccinated with only the primary scheme (n=369, 12.6%) and a few remained unvaccinated (n=12, 0.4%) at the end of the study period. VE against symptomatic infection was 63.6% (95% CI 22.6% to 82.9%) for HCWs vaccinated with two doses and 55.9% (95% CI -1.3% to 80.8%) for HCWs vaccinated with one booster dose. Point estimate VE was higher for individuals with two doses taken between 14 days and 98 days (VE=71.9%; 95% CI 32.3% to 88.3%). CONCLUSION This cohort study found a high COVID-19 VE against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in Portuguese HCWs after vaccination with one booster dose, even after Omicron variant occurrence. The small sample size, the high vaccine coverage, the very low number of unvaccinated individuals and the few events observed during the study period contributed to the low precision of the estimates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vânia Gaio
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Ana João Santos
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
| | | | | | - Isabel Antunes
- Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra EPE, Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Vânia Pacheco
- Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra EPE, Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Artur Paiva
- Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra EPE, Coimbra, Portugal
- University of Coimbra Institute for Clinical and Biomedical Research, Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Pedro Pinto Leite
- Directorate of Information and Analysis, Direção-Geral da Saúde, Lisbon, Portugal
| | | | - Lucília Araújo
- Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra EPE, Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Adriana Silva
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Carlos Dias
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Irina Kislaya
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Baltazar Nunes
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Ausenda Machado
- Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
- Public Health Research Center, National School of Public Health, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
- Comprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
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