The Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System predicts clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis: findings from a prospective cohort study

Assessment of Variations in HAPS Scores, CaMK II Expression Levels, and Prognostic Outcomes Among AP Patients with Diverse Disease Severities

Objective

To analyze the differences in Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS), serum Calcium/Calmodulin-dependent Protein Kinase II (CaMK II) expression, and prognosis among patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) of varying disease severities.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 103 patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) treated at our hospital between April 2022 and April 2024. According to the revised Atlanta classification and the International Consensus on Definitions (2012), patients were divided into Group A (59 cases, mild cases) and Group B (44 cases, severe cases). The HAPS score was calculated using relevant examination data obtained upon admission. Fasting venous blood samples (5 mL) were collected from all subjects on the morning of the second day after admission, and serum CaMK II expression levels were measured using a double-antibody sandwich method. Patients were followed up for three months from the date of admission to record local complications, systemic complications, and mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the predictive value of HAPS scores and serum CaMK II levels for mild AP and patient prognosis.

Results

HAPS scores and serum CaMK II levels were assessed at admission. Severe cases showed significantly higher HAPS and CaMK II levels vs mild (P<0.05). ROC analysis demonstrated combined detection (AUC=0.902) outperformed individual markers (HAPS=0.827; CaMK II=0.773) in predicting mild AP. Both biomarkers progressively increased with complication severity (local < systemic < death, P<0.05), showing predictive value (AUC>0.6) for prognosis.

Conclusion

HAPS scores and CaMK II expression levels in AP patients show a gradual increase with the severity of the disease, and both can serve as predictive indicators of disease severity and prognosis in AP patients. Moreover, combined detection of these indicators has a higher predictive efficiency than single-item detection.

Clinical Value of Circulating Angiopoietin-like Protein 8/Betatrophin Levels in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Background and Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas, with severe cases linked to a higher mortality rate. The prognosis of AP is influenced by factors such as necrosis, secondary infections, and organ failure. Tissue damage in AP is driven by the activation of leukocytes and the release of inflammatory mediators. Angiopoietin-like protein 8 (ANGPTL8), also known as betatrophin, is a recently discovered protein that regulates lipid metabolism. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between ANGPTL8 levels and disease severity in AP patients, and to explore the potential of ANGPTL8 as a biomarker. Materials and Methods: This prospective study included 50 patients diagnosed with AP who were admitted to the Department of Internal Medicine at Dr. Cemil Taşcıoğlu City Hospital between September 2021 and February 2022. Additionally, 39 healthy volunteers who underwent a check-up at the same hospital served as the control group. The Glasgow-Imrie (GI) score was used to assess the severity of pancreatitis. Results: ANGPTL8 levels were found to be significantly lower in the AP group compared to the control group, with a statistically significant correlation between ANGPTL8 levels and the severity of AP (p < 0.05). The cut-off level of ANGPTL8 based on the GI score was determined to be 70.9 ng/L. The GI score for ANGPTL8 was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.606-0.861) (p < 0.001). The overall cut-off value for ANGPTL8 was 179.2 ng/L, with an overall classification rate of 0.936 (95% CI: 0.864-0.977) (p < 0.001). Conclusions: This study demonstrates that ANGPTL8 levels vary between patients with and without AP, with lower levels observed in AP patients. Our research is the first to identify decreased ANGPTL8 levels as an independent predictor of AP severity. ANGPTL8 may play a crucial role in regulating inflammation or metabolic dysfunction in AP. However, further studies are needed to confirm these findings in larger populations and investigate ANGPTL8's mechanistic role in AP. Longitudinal studies could help determine whether ANGPTL8 levels act as a biomarker for disease progression or treatment response, potentially paving the way for targeted therapies to improve outcomes for AP patients.

Early Readmissions of Necrotizing Pancreatitis in the US: Where Do We Stand?

BACKGROUND

Necrotizing pancreatitis (NP), a severe form of pancreatitis characterized by necrosis of pancreatic tissue, is associated with a significant health care burden worldwide. In this study, we assess early readmissions of NP in the US.

METHODS

The National Readmission Database from 2016 to 2020 was utilized to identify all index and 30-day readmissions of NP in the US. Hospitalization characteristics, readmission rates, clinical outcomes, predictors of readmissions, and health care burden were assessed. P-values <0.05 were statistically significant.

RESULTS

From 2016 to 2020, 43,968 index admissions for NP were identified. Of which, 18.6% were readmitted within 30 days. There was a higher proportion of males on index and 30-day readmission. On readmission, NP was identified as the admitting diagnosis in only 27.64% of the patients, followed by pancreatitis without necrosis (17.7%), sepsis (8.8%), pancreatic pseudocyst (6.85%), and chronic pancreatitis (2.5%). Biliary pancreatitis (aHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.30-1.65, P<0.001), idiopathic pancreatitis (aHR 1.45, 95% CI 1.33-1.57, P<0.001), and other etiologies of pancreatitis (aHR 1.74, 95% CI 1.46-2.06, P<0.001) had a higher risk of 30-day readmission compared with alcohol-induced pancreatitis. We noted lower inpatient mortality (2.11 vs. 2.97%, aOR:0.65, 95% CI 0.50-0.83, P=0.001), mean length of stay (7.36 vs. 10.97 days, mean difference 3.86, 95% CI 4.25-3.48, P<0.001), and total hospitalization charges ($75,282 vs. $125,480, mean difference $53,979, 95% CI $59,417-$48,541, P<0.001) for 30-day readmissions compared with index NP hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

About one-fifth of NP patients were readmitted within 30 days. However, these patients had lower mortality and health care burden compared with index hospitalization.

Mild acute biliary pancreatitis: still a surgical disease. A post-hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study

BACKGROUND

The current standard of care for mild acute biliary pancreatitis (MABP) involves early laparoscopic cholecystectomy (ELC) to reduce the risk of recurrence. The MANCTRA-1 project revealed a knowledge-to-action gap and higher recurrence rates in patients admitted to medical wards, attributable to fewer ELCs being performed. The project estimated a 35% to 70% probability of narrowing this gap by 2025. This study evaluates the safety of suboptimal ELC implementation and identifies risk factors for recurrent acute biliary pancreatitis (RAP) in patients not undergoing ELC after an MABP episode.

METHODS

We conducted a post-hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 registry, including MABP patients who did not undergo ELC during the index hospitalization, excluding those with related complications. The primary outcome was the 30-day hospital readmission rate due to RAP. We performed multivariable logistic regression to find risk factors associated with the primary outcome.

RESULTS

Between January 2019 and December 2020, 1920, MABP patients from 150 centers were included in the study. The 30-day readmission rate due to RAP was 6%. Multivariable logistic regression found the admission to a medical ward (internal medicine or gastroenterology) (OR = 1.95, p = 0.001) and a positive COVID-19 test (OR = 3.08, p = 0.029) as independent risk factors for RAP.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis offers valuable insights into the management of MABP, particularly in centers where ELC cannot be fully implemented due to logistical and clinical constraints, worsened by the COVID-19 pandemic. Regardless of the admitting ward, prompt access to surgical care is crucial in reducing the risk of early recurrence, highlighting the need to implement surgical consultation pathways within MABP care bundles.

No Effect of Methylnaltrexone on Acute Pancreatitis Severity: A Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial

INTRODUCTION

Opioids used to manage severe pain in acute pancreatitis (AP) might exacerbate the disease through effects on gastrointestinal and immune functions. Methylnaltrexone, a peripherally acting µ-opioid receptor antagonist, may counteract these effects without changing analgesia.

METHODS

This double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial included adult patients with AP and systemic inflammatory response syndrome at 4 Danish centers. Patients were randomized to receive 5 days of continuous intravenous methylnaltrexone (0.15 mg/kg/d) or placebo added to the standard of care. The primary end point was the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System score after 48 hours of treatment. Main secondary outcomes included pain scores, opioid use, disease severity, and mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 105 patients (54% men) were randomized to methylnaltrexone (n = 51) or placebo (n = 54). After 48 hours, the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System score was 134.3 points in the methylnaltrexone group and 130.5 points in the placebo group (difference 3.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] -40.1 to 47.6; P = 0.87). At 48 hours, we found no differences between the groups in pain severity (0.0, 95% CI -0.8 to 0.9; P = 0.94), pain interference (-0.3, 95% CI -1.4 to 0.8; P = 0.55), and morphine equivalent doses (6.5 mg, 95% CI -2.1 to 15.2; P = 0.14). Methylnaltrexone also did not affect the risk of severe disease (8%, 95% CI -11 to 28; P = 0.38) and mortality (6%, 95% CI -1 to 12; P = 0.11). The medication was well tolerated.

DISCUSSION

Methylnaltrexone treatment did not achieve superiority over placebo for reducing the severity of AP.

Radiomics models of contrast-enhanced computed tomography for predicting the activity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The modified pancreatitis activity scoring system (mPASS) was proposed to assess the activity of acute pancreatitis (AP) while it doesn't include indicators that directly reflect pathophysiology processes and imaging characteristics.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the threshold of admission mPASS and investigate radiomics and laboratory parameters to construct a model to predict the activity of AP.

METHODS

AP inpatients at institution 1 were randomly divided into training and validation groups based on a 5:5 ratio. AP inpatients at Institution 2 were served as test group. The cutoff value of admission mPASS scores in predicting severe AP was selected to divide patients into high and low level of disease activity group. LASSO was used in screening features. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop radiomics model. Meaningful laboratory parameters were used to construct combined model.

RESULTS

There were 234 (48 years ± 10, 155 men) and 101 (48 years ± 11, 69 men) patients in two institutions. The threshold of admission mPASS score was 112.5 in severe AP prediction. The AUC of the radiomics model was 0.79, 0.72, and 0.76 and that of the combined model incorporating rad-score and white blood cell were 0.84, 0.77, and 0.80 in three groups for activity prediction. The AUC of the combined model in predicting disease without remission was 0.74.

CONCLUSIONS

The threshold of admission mPASS was 112.5 in predicting severe AP. The model based on CECT radiomics has the ability to predict AP activity. Its ability to predict disease without remission is comparable to mPASS.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This work is the first attempt to assess the activity of acute pancreatitis using contrast-enhanced CT radiomics and laboratory parameters. The model provides a new method to predict the activity and prognosis of AP, which could contribute to further management.

KEY POINTS

Radiomics features and laboratory parameters are associated with the activity of acute pancreatitis. The combined model provides a new method to predict the activity and prognosis of AP. The ability of the combined model is comparable to the modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System.

Predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis: Current approaches and future directions

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden-onset inflammatory disease of the pancreas. The severity of AP is classified into mild, moderate, and severe categories based on the presence and persistence of organ failure. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) can be associated with significant morbidity and mortality. It requires early recognition for appropriate timely management. Prognostic scores for predicting SAP incorporating many clinical, laboratory, and radiological parameters have been developed in the past. However, all of these prognostic scores have low positive predictive value for SAP and some of these scores require >24 h for assessment. There is a need to develop biomarkers that can accurately identify patients at risk for SAP early in the course of the presentation. In this review, we aim to provide a summary of the most commonly utilized prognostic scores for AP and discuss future directions.

Qing Xia Jie Yi Formula granules alleviated acute pancreatitis through inhibition of M1 macrophage polarization by suppressing glycolysis

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Herbal formulas from Traditional Chinese Medicine are common and well-established practice for treating acute pancreatitis (AP) patients. However, little is known about their bioactive ingredients and mechanisms, such as their targets and pathways to inhibit inflammation.

AIM OF THE STUDY

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of Qing Xia Jie Yi Formula (QXJYF) granules on AP and discuss the molecular mechanisms involved.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Major compounds in QXJYF granules were identified using UPLC-quadrupole-Orbitrap mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-Orbitrap MS). The effect of QXJYF granules on experimental AP models both in vitro and in vivo, and detailed mechanisms were clarified. Two AP models were induced in mice by intraperitoneally injections of caerulein or L-arginine, and QXJYF granules were used to treat AP mice in vivo. Histological evaluation of pancreas and lung, serum amylase and lipase levels, serum inflammatory cytokines, inflammatory cell infiltration and macrophage phenotype were assessed. Bone marrow derived macrophages (BMDMs) were cultured and treated with QXJYF granules in vitro. BMDM phenotype and glycolysis levels were measured. Lastly, clinical effect of QXJYF granules on AP patients was verified. Predicted severe AP (pSAP) patients eligible for inclusion were assessed for enrollment.

RESULTS

Nine major compounds were identified in QXJYF granules. Data showed that QXJYF granules significantly alleviated AP severity both in caerulein and L-arginine-induced AP models in vivo, pancreatic injury and inflammatory cell infiltration, systematic inflammation, lung injury and inflammatory cell infiltration were all improved after QXJYF treatment. QXJYF granules significantly reduced M1 macrophages during AP both in vivo and in vitro; besides, the mRNA expression levels of M1 genes such as inos, Tnfα, Il1β and Il6 were significantly lower after QXJYF treatment in M1 macrophages. Mechanistically, we found that HK2, PFKFB3, PKM, LDHα levels were increased in M1 macrophages, but significantly decreased after QXJYF treatment. Clinical data indicated that QXJYF granules could significantly reduce CRP levels and shorten the duration of organ failure, thereby reducing the incidence of SAP and preventing pSAP patients from progressing to SAP.

CONCLUSION

QXJYF granules alleviated AP through the inhibition of M1 macrophage polarization by suppressing glycolysis.

A comparison of scoring systems and biomarkers to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis in patients referring to the emergency clinic

To investigate scoring systems and biomarkers for determining the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). Between January and July 2023, 100 patients with AP diagnosed and treated in the emergency department were included. AP was divided into 2 groups according to severity: mild AP and moderately severe AP (MSAP-SAP), according to the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012. Demographic characteristics, severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, white blood cell count (WBC), hematocrit, red cell distribution width from whole blood taken at admission and 48 hours later, C-reactive protein (CRP) and biochemistry values, Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS), and harmless AP score scores were recorded retrospectively. Our variables, which were found to be significant in multiple logistic regression results, were found to increase MSAP-SAP expectation by 4.36-, 7.85-, 6.63 and 5.80 times in the presence of CRP > 47.10, WBC > 13.10, PASS > 0, and necrotizing computed tomography findings, respectively. It was detected that the risk factor which was found significant as a single variable affecting the ICU admission increased the risk of ICU requirement by 28.88 when PASS > 0, by 3.96 when BISAP > 1, and it increased the Atlanta score by 9.93-fold. We found that WBC and CRP values at the time of hospital admission and WBC, CRP, and red cell distribution width values after 48 had the highest accuracy in determining AP disease severity. BISAP, which was found to be significant in determining MSAP-SAP expectations, lost its significance in multiple logistic regression results, and PASS was found to be effective. The PASS is an important score in the clinical evaluation of patients with AP and in determining the need for ICU hospitalization.

Value of serum CRP and IL-6 Assays combined with Pancreatitis activity scoring system for assessing the severity of patients with acute pancreatitis

Objective

To evaluate the accuracy of serum CRP and IL-6 assays combined with the pancreatitis activity scoring system (PASS) in assessing the severity of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

Methods

This was a retrospective study of 223 patients with AP admitted to Baoding Lianchi District People's Hospital between February 2021 and 2023. They were classified into three categories: mild AP (MAP), moderate severe AP (MSAP) and severe AP (SAP). The differences, accuracy and sensitivity of the individual assays, and the three in combination, were compared and analysed in the three groups.

Results

PASS scores, IL-6 and CRP levels were significantly higher in the SAP and MSAP groups compared to those in the MAP group, with statistically significant differences between the three groups. Multi-factorial logistic regression analysis suggested that PASS, IL-6 and CRP were correlated indicators of AP severity. The combination of the three assays was higher than that of the PASS score, IL-6 and CRP alone, suggesting optimal diagnostic efficacy when the three assays were combined. Moreover, the levels of PASS score, IL-6 and CRP showed a positive correlation with the degree of disease severity.

Conclusions

The serum CRP, IL-6 and PASS scores were significantly elevated in AP patients and showed a positive correlation with disease severity, all of which are beneficial for the diagnosis of AP. PASS is superior to CRP and IL-6 in the assessment of AP. The combination of the three assays can achieve a far superior diagnostic efficacy to that of the individual index assays.

Modified Bedside Index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score validation in the national inpatient sample database

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to build and validate modified score to be used in the healthcare cost and utilization project databases for further classification of acute pancreatitis (AP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The National Inpatient Sample database for the years 2016-2019 was queried for all primary adult discharge diagnoses of AP. An mBISAP score system was created utilizing the ICD-10CM codes for pleural effusion, encephalopathy, acute kidney injury, systemic inflammatory response, and age >60. Each was assigned a 1-point score. A multivariable regression analysis was built to test for mortality. Sensitivity and specificity analyses were performed for mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 1,160,869 primary discharges for AP were identified between 2016 and 2019. The pooled mortality rate was: 0.1%, 0.5%, 2.9%, 12.7%, 30.9% and 17.8% (P ​< ​0.01), respectively for scores 0 to 5. Multivariable regression analysis showed increasing odds of mortality with each one-point increment: mBISAP score of 1 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 6.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.69-9.48), score of 2 (aOR 37.87; 95% CI 26.05- 55.03), score of 3 (aOR 189.38; 95% CI 127.47-281.38), score of 4 (aOR 535.38; 95% CI 331.74-864.02), score of 5 (aOR 184.38; 95% CI 53.91-630.60). Using a cut-off of ≥3, sensitivity and specificity analyses reported 27.0% and 97.7%, respectively, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.811.

CONCLUSION

In this 4-year retrospective study of a US representative database, an mBISAP score was constructed showing increasing odds of mortality with each 1-point increase and a specificity of 97.7% for a cut-off of ≥3.

Exploring the value of early laboratory indicators combined with pancreatitis activity scoring system in assessing the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis

Objective

To investigate the value of early laboratory indicators combined with the pancreatitis activity scoring system in assessing the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP).

Methods

This is a retrospective study. A total of 160 patients with AP admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University from February 2021 to February 2023 were enrolled and classified into three categories: mild acute pancreatitis (MAP), moderate severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP), and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), with 80 cases with MAP and MSAP as the control group and 80 cases with SAP as the experimental group. The differences of inflammatory markers, blood routine, biochemical markers, coagulation markers and PASS score within 24 hours after admission were compared between the two groups, and independent risk factors for predicting AP severity were analyzed. Moreover, the diagnostic efficacy and prognostic value of independent risk factors were evaluated.

Results

The PASS score as well as CRP, PCT, IL-6, WBC, N, AST, DD and PT were higher in the experimental group than in the control group. Logistic regression analysis suggested that PASS, IL-6, PCT and WBC were independent risk factors for predicting severity of AP. In addition, PASS had the highest diagnostic efficacy.

Conclusion

Early elevation of PASS, IL-6, PCT and WBC in patients suffering from AP is of great significance in predicting SAP. PASS score combined with IL-6, PCT and WBC has important value in evaluating the severity and prognosis of AP.

Predicting need for intervention in acute necrotizing pancreatitis following discharge- A single center experience in 525 patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The clinical course of necrotizing pancreatitis (NP) is variable and unpredictable, with some patients managed conservatively, but a significant proportion become symptomatic and needing intervention for drainage and/or necrosectomy. The aim of this study was to identify patients based on baseline clinical and imaging metrics who will likely need intervention and therefore closer follow-up.

METHODS

All NP patients managed in our institution between 2010 and 2019 were identified from a prospective database and those who did not undergo intervention during initial hospitalization were followed longitudinally post discharge until clinical and imaging resolution of necrosis. Patients were categorized into a conservative arm or intervention arm (endoscopic/percutaneous/surgical drainage and/or necrosectomy) for criteria defined according to IAP/APA guidelines. Clinical and imaging characteristics during initial presentation were analyzed between the two groups to identify independent predictors for eventual intervention using multivariable logistic regression. A nomogram was designed based on factors that were significant as defined by P value < 0.05.

RESULTS

Among 525 patients, 340 who did not meet criteria for intervention during initial admission were included for study and followed for an average 7.4 ± 11.3 months. 140 were managed conservatively and 200 needed intervention (168 within 6 months and 32 after 6 months). Independent predictors of need for eventual intervention were white race [OR 3.43 (1.11-10.62)], transferred status [OR 3.37 (1.81-6.27)], and need for TPN [OR 6.86 (1.63-28.9)], necrotic collection greater than 6 cm [OR 8.66 (4.10-18.32)] and necrotic collection with greater than 75% encapsulation [OR 41.3 (8.29-205.5)]. A prediction model incorporating these factors demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.88.

CONCLUSIONS

Majority of NP patients do not need intervention during initial admission but may require drainage/necrosectomy mostly in the first 6 months following discharge. Need for subsequent intervention can be accurately predicted by a combination of clinical and imaging features on index admission.

Evidence-Based Approach to the Surgical Management of Acute Pancreatitis

Background  Acute pancreatitis is a significant challenge to health services. Remarkable progress has been made in the last decade in optimizing its management.

Methods  This review is a comprehensive assessment of 7 guidelines employed in current clinical practice with an appraisal of the underlying evidence, including 15 meta-analyses/systematic reviews, 16 randomized controlled trials, and 31 cohort studies.

Results  Key tenets of early management of acute pancreatitis include severity stratification based on the degree of organ failure and early goal-directed fluid resuscitation. Rigorous determination of etiology reduces the risk of recurrence. Early enteral nutrition and consideration of epidural analgesia have been pioneered in recent years with promising results. Indications for invasive intervention are becoming increasingly refined. The definitive indications for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in acute pancreatitis are associated with cholangitis and common bile duct obstruction. The role of open surgical necrosectomy has diminished with the development of a minimally invasive step-up necrosectomy protocol. Increasing use of endoscopic ultrasound–guided intervention in the management of pancreatic necrosis has helped reduce pancreatic fistula rates and hospital stay.

Conclusion  The optimal approach to surgical management of complicated pancreatitis depends on patient physiology and disease anatomy, in addition to the available resources and expertise. This is best achieved with a multidisciplinary approach. This review provides a distillation of the recommendations of clinical guidelines and critical discussion of the evidence that informs them and presents an algorithmic approach to key areas of patient management.

AGI grade-guided chaiqin chengqi decoction treatment for predicted moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis (CAP trial): study protocol of a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, pragmatic clinical trial

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common digestive disease with increased incidence globally but without internationally licenced pharmacological therapy. Moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP/SAP) contributes predominately for its morbidities and mortality and has been managed in West China Hospital for decades using the traditional Chinese medicinal formula chaiqin chengqi decoction (CQCQD). The current study tests whether the early administration of CQCQD will result in improved clinical outcomes in predicted MSAP/SAP patients.

Methods

This is a single-centre, randomised, controlled, double-blind pragmatic clinical trial. AP patients aged 18–75 admitted within 72 h of onset will be assessed at admission for enrolment. We excluded the predicted mild acute pancreatitis (Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score > 2 at admission) and severe organ failure (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA] score of respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal systems > 3) at admission. Eligible patients will be randomly allocated on a 1:1 basis to CQCQD or placebo control administration based on conventional therapy. The administration of CQCQD and placebo is guided by the Acute Gastrointestinal Injury grade-based algorithm. The primary outcome measure will be the duration of respiratory failure (SOFA score of respiratory system ≥ 2) within 28 days after onset. Secondary outcome measures include occurrence of new-onset any organ failure (SOFA score of respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal system ≥ 2) and new-onset persistent organ failure (organ failure lasts > 48 h), dynamic surrogate biochemical markers and clinical severity scores, gut-centred treatment modalities, local complications status, intensive care need and duration, surgical interventions, mortality, and length of hospital stay. Follow-up will be scheduled on 6, 12, and 26 weeks after enrolment to assess AP recurrence, local complications, the requirement for surgical interventions, all-cause mortality, and patient-reported outcomes.

Discussion

The results of this study will provide high-quality evidence to appraise the efficacy of CQCQD for the early management of AP patients.

Trial registration

Chictr.org.cn Registry (ChiCTR2000034325). Registered on 2 July, 2020.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-022-06792-x.

Acute Pancreatitis: Diagnosis and Treatment

Acute pancreatitis is a common indication for hospital admission, increasing in incidence, including in children, pregnancy and the elderly. Moderately severe acute pancreatitis with fluid and/or necrotic collections causes substantial morbidity, and severe disease with persistent organ failure causes significant mortality. The diagnosis requires two of upper abdominal pain, amylase/lipase ≥ 3 ×upper limit of normal, and/or cross-sectional imaging findings. Gallstones and ethanol predominate while hypertriglyceridaemia and drugs are notable among many causes. Serum triglycerides, full blood count, renal and liver function tests, glucose, calcium, transabdominal ultrasound, and chest imaging are indicated, with abdominal cross-sectional imaging if there is diagnostic uncertainty. Subsequent imaging is undertaken to detect complications, for example, if C-reactive protein exceeds 150 mg/L, or rarer aetiologies. Pancreatic intracellular calcium overload, mitochondrial impairment, and inflammatory responses are critical in pathogenesis, targeted in current treatment trials, which are crucially important as there is no internationally licenced drug to treat acute pancreatitis and prevent complications. Initial priorities are intravenous fluid resuscitation, analgesia, and enteral nutrition, and when necessary, critical care and organ support, parenteral nutrition, antibiotics, pancreatic exocrine and endocrine replacement therapy; all may have adverse effects. Patients with local complications should be referred to specialist tertiary centres to guide further management, which may include drainage and/or necrosectomy. The impact of acute pancreatitis can be devastating, so prevention or reduction of the risk of recurrence and progression to chronic pancreatitis with an increased risk of pancreas cancer requires proactive management that should be long term for some patients.

CT Characteristics of Acute Pancreatitis with Preexisting Fatty Liver and Its Impact on Pancreatitis Severity and Persistent Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome

PURPOSE

To study the CT characteristics of acute pancreatitis (AP) associated with preexisting fatty liver (FL) and the impact of preexisting FL on the severity of AP and persistent systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 189 patients with AP were divided into AP with and without preexisting FL. The CT features, clinical characteristics, severity of AP, and presence of persistent SIRS between the two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors for predicting SIRS. The diagnostic performances of the risk factors were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 189 patients, 49.7% (94/189) had preexisting FL. On CT, AP patients with preexisting FL were more likely to develop necrosis (23.4% vs 10.5%, p=0.021), local complications (45.7% vs 29.5%, p=0.025) and persistent SIRS (59.6% vs 27.4%, p<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that preexisting FL (OR=2.863, 95% CI: 1.264-6.486, p=0.012), APACHE II≥6 (OR=1.334, 95% CI: 1.117-1.594, p=0.002), and MCTSI ≥4 (OR=1.489, 95% CI: 1.046-2.119, p=0.027) could be independent risk factors for persistent SIRS. The areas under the ROC curve of preexisting FL, APACHE II, and MCISI in diagnosing AP patients with persistent SIRS were 0.664, 0.703, and 0.783, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Patients with preexisting FL were more likely to develop necrosis and local complications on CT and present more severe AP and persistent SIRS. Preexisting FL can be an independent risk factor in predicting the presence of persistent SIRS in patients with AP.

Clinical utility of the pancreatitis activity scoring system in severe acute pancreatitis

Objective: To analyze clinical utility of pancreatitis activity scoring system (PASS) in prediction of persistent organ failure, poor prognosis, and in-hospital mortality in patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) or severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).

Methods: The study included a total of 140 patients with MSAP and SAP admitted to the ICU of Shandong Provincial Hospital from 2015 to 2021. The general information, biochemical indexes and PASS scores of patients at ICU admission time were collected. Independent risk factors of persistent organ failure, poor prognosis and in-hospital mortality were analyzed by binary logistic regression. Through receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the predictive ability of lactic acid, procalcitonin, urea nitrogen, PASS, and PASS in combination with urea nitrogen for the three outcomes was compared. The best cut-off value was determined.

Results: Binary logistic regression showed that PASS might be an independent risk factor for patients with persistent organ failure (odds ratio [OR]: 1.027, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.014–1.039), poor prognosis (OR: 1.008, 95% CI: 1.001–1.014), and in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.009, 95% CI: 1.000–1.019). PASS also had a good predictive ability for persistent organ failure (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.839, 95% CI: 0.769–0.910) and in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.780, 95% CI: 0.669–0.891), which was significantly superior to lactic acid, procalcitonin, urea nitrogen and Ranson score. PASS (AUC = 0.756, 95% CI: 0.675–0.837) was second only to urea nitrogen (AUC = 0.768, 95% CI: 0.686–0.850) in the prediction of poor prognosis. Furthermore, the predictive power of urea nitrogen in combination with PASS was better than that of each factor for persistent organ failure (AUC = 0.849, 95% CI: 0.779–0.920), poor prognosis (AUC = 0.801, 95% CI: 0.726–0.876), and in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.796, 95% CI: 0.697–0.894).

Conclusion: PASS was closely correlated with the prognosis of patients with MSAP and SAP. This scoring system may be used as a common clinical index to measure the activity of acute pancreatitis and evaluate disease prognosis.

Safety and efficacy of intravenous hydromorphone patient-controlled analgesia versus intramuscular pethidine in acute pancreatitis: An open-label, randomized controlled trial

Background: Hydromorphone patient-controlled analgesia (PCA) provides satisfactory postoperative pain therapy, but its effect has not been assessed in acute pancreatitis (AP).

Aim: To assess the safety and efficacy of intravenous hydromorphone PCA for pain relief in AP.

Methods: This open-label trial included AP patients admitted within 72 h of symptom onset, aged 18–70 years old, and with Visual Analog Scale (VAS) for pain intensity ≥5. They were randomized to receive intravenous hydromorphone PCA (0.05 mg/h with 0.2 mg on-demand) or intramuscular pethidine (50 mg as required) for three consecutive days. Intramuscular dezocine (5 mg on demand) was the rescue analgesia. The primary outcome was the change of VAS score recorded every 4 h for 3 days. Interim analysis was conducted by an Independent Data and Safety Monitoring Committee (IDSMC).

Results: From 26 July 2019 to 15 January 2020, 77 patients were eligible for the intention-to-treat analysis in the interim analysis (39 in the hydromorphone group and 38 in the pethidine group). Baseline parameters were comparable between groups. No difference in VAS between the two groups was found. Hydromorphone PCA was associated with higher moderately severe to severe cases (82.1% vs. 55.3%, p = 0.011), acute peripancreatic fluid collections (53.9% vs. 28.9%, p = 0.027), more cumulative opioid consumption (median 46.7 vs. 5 mg, p &lt; 0.001), higher analgesia costs (median 85.5 vs. 0.5 $, p &lt; 0.001) and hospitalization costs (median 3,778 vs. 2,273 $, p = 0.007), and more adverse events (20.5% vs. 2.6%, p = 0.087). The per-protocol analysis did not change the results. Although a sample size of 122 patients was planned, the IDSMC halted further recruitment as disease worsening or worse clinical outcomes between the groups in the interim analysis.

Conclusion: Hydromorphone PCA was not superior to pethidine in relieving pain in AP patients and might have worse clinical outcomes. Therefore, its use is not recommended.

Clinical Trial Registration: Chictr.org.cn. ChiCTR1900025971

Nomogram for the Prediction of 30-Day Readmission in Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

A prediction model for 30-day readmission in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) was needed.

AIMS

To develop a nomogram to predict 30-day readmission in patients with AP and validate the usefulness of serum indicators after discharge for the prediction of 30-day readmission.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study enrolling patients with the first attack of AP. Baseline characteristics, clinical profiles, and serum indicators after discharge were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and a nomogram were employed to determine the independent risk factors for 30-day readmission.

RESULTS

A total of 7.32% (121/1653) of the patients were readmitted within 30 days after discharge. Different etiologies (biliary pancreatitis (adjusted odds ratio (AdjOR), 9.63; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.28-72.52; P = 0.028), other causes (AdjOR, 9.37; 95% CI, 1.15-76.12, P = 0.026), mixed causes (AdjOR, 10.76; 95% CI, 1.27-91.35; P = 0.03) compared with alcoholic pancreatitis)), infected pancreatitis necrosis (IPN) (AdjOR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.2-4.42; P = 0.013), total bilirubin level ≥ 20.5 µmol/L (AdjOR, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.23-4.77; P = 0.01), glucose level ≥ 6.1 mmol/L (AdjOR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.16-3.19; P = 0.011), and albumin level < 40 g/L (AdjOR, 4.25; 95% CI, 2.44-7.41; P < 0.001) were independently associated with 30-day readmission. A nomogram incorporating these factors demonstrated good discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Serum indicators after discharge added predictive value compared with clinical variables alone (AUC, 0.78 vs. 0.685; P = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram combining etiology, IPN, and serum indicators after discharge has favorable predictive performance for 30-Day readmission. The close monitoring and reexamination of serum indicators are essential for AP patients at high risk.

Predicting Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis has a diverse etiology and natural history, and some patients have severe complications with a high risk of mortality. The prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis should be achieved by a careful ongoing clinical assessment coupled with the use of a multiple-factor scoring system and imaging studies. Over the past 40 years, various scoring systems have been suggested to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis. However, there is no definite and ideal scoring system with a high sensitivity and specificity. The interest in new biological markers and predictive models for identifying severe acute pancreatitis testifies to the continued clinical importance of early severity prediction. Although contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) is considered the gold standard for diagnosing pancreatic necrosis, early scanning for the prediction of severity is limited because the full extent of pancreatic necrosis may not develop within the first 48 h of presentation. This article provides an overview of the available scoring systems and biochemical markers for predicting severe acute pancreatitis, with a focus on their characteristics and limitations.

The Modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System Shows Distinct Trajectories in Acute Pancreatitis: An International Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The aims of this study were to: (1) assess the performance of the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a large intercontinental cohort of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP); and (2) investigate whether a modified PASS (mPASS) yields a similar predictive accuracy and produces distinct early trajectories between severity subgroups.

METHODS

Data was prospectively collected through the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies In Clinical Experience (APPRENTICE) consortium (2015-2018) involving 22 centers from 4 continents. AP severity was categorized per the revised Atlanta classification. PASS trajectories were compared between the three severity groups using the generalized estimating equations model. Four mPASS models were generated by modifying the morphine equivalent dose (MED), and their trajectories were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 1393 subjects were enrolled (median age, 49 years; 51% males). The study cohort included 950 mild (68.2%), 315 (22.6%) moderately severe, and 128 (9.2%) severe AP. Mild cases had the lowest PASS at each study time point (all P < .001). A subset of patients with outlier admission PASS values was identified. In the outlier group, 70% of the PASS variation was attributed to the MED, and 66% of these patients were from the United States centers. Among the 4 modified models, the mPASS-1 (excluding MED from PASS) demonstrated high performance in predicting severe AP with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (vs area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.83 in conventional PASS) and produced distinct trajectories with distinct slopes between severity subgroups (all P < .001).

CONCLUSION

We propose a modified model by removing the MED component, which is easier to calculate, predicts accurately severe AP, and maintains significantly distinct early trajectories.

Morphologic Severity of Acute Pancreatitis on Imaging Is Independently Associated with Opioid Dose Requirements in Hospitalized Patients

BACKGROUND

Prior studies have evaluated clinical characteristics associated with opioid dose requirements in hospitalized patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) but did not incorporate morphologic findings on CT imaging.

AIMS

We sought to determine whether morphologic severity on imaging is independently associated with opioid dose requirements in AP.

METHODS

Adult inpatients with a diagnosis of AP from 2006 to 2017 were reviewed. The highest modified CT severity index (MCTSI) score and the daily oral morphine equivalent (OME) for each patient over the first 7 days of hospitalization were used to grade the morphologic severity of AP and calculate mean OME per day(s) of treatment (MOME), respectively. Multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of MOME with MCSTI.

RESULTS

There were 249 patients with AP, of whom 196 underwent contrast-enhanced CT. The mean age was 46 ± 13.6 years, 57.9% were male, and 60% were black. The mean MOME for the patient cohort was 60 ± 52.8 mg/day. MCTSI (β = 3.5 [95% CI 0.3, 6.7], p = 0.03), early hemoconcentration (β = 21 [95% CI 4.6, 39], p = 0.01) and first episode of AP (β =  - 17 [95% CI - 32, - 2.7], p = 0.027) were independently associated with MOME. Among the 19 patients undergoing ≥ 2 CT scans, no significant differences in MOME were seen between those whose MCTSI score increased (n = 12) versus decreased/remained the same (n = 7).

CONCLUSION

The morphologic severity of AP positively correlated with opioid dose requirements. No difference in opioid dose requirements were seen between those who did versus those who did not experience changes in their morphologic severity.

Growth differentiation factor 15 is an early predictor for persistent organ failure and mortality in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Early prediction of persistent organ failure (POF) is crucial for patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), also known as macrophage inhibitory cytokine 1 (MIC-1), is associated with inflammatory responses. We investigated changes in plasma GDF15 and assessed its predictive value in AP.

METHODS

The study included 290 consecutive patients with AP admitted within 36 h after symptoms onset. Clinical data obtained during hospitalization were collected. Plasma GDF15 levels were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The predictive value of GDF15 for POF was analyzed.

RESULTS

There were 105 mild, 111 moderately severe, and 74 severe AP patients. Plasma GDF15 peak level were measured on admission, and significantly declined on the 3rd and 7th day. Admission GDF15 predicted POF and mortality with areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.847 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.798-0.895) and 0.934 (95% CI 0.887-0.980), respectively. Admission GDF15, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis, and hematocrit were independent factors for POF by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the nomogram built on these variables showed good performance (optimism-corrected c-statistic = 0.921). The combined predictive model increased the POF accuracy with an AUC 0.925 (95% CI 0.894-0.956), a net reclassification improvement of 0.3024 (95% CI: 0.1482-0.4565, P < 0.001), and an integrated discrimination index of 0.11 (95% CI 0.0497-0.1703; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma GDF15 measured within 48 h of symptom onset could help predict POF and mortality in AP patients.

Effects of the peripherally acting μ-opioid receptor antagonist methylnaltrexone on acute pancreatitis severity: study protocol for a multicentre double-blind randomised placebo-controlled interventional trial, the PAMORA-AP trial

Background

Moderate to severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is associated with a high rate of complications and increased mortality, yet no targeted pharmacologic treatment currently exists. As pain is a dominant symptom in AP, patients are exposed to excess levels of both endo- and exogenous opioids, which may have harmful effects on the course of AP. This trial investigates the effects of the peripherally acting μ-opioid receptor antagonist (PAMORA) methylnaltrexone on disease severity and clinical outcomes in patients with moderate to severe AP.

Methods

PAMORA-AP is a multicentre, investigator-initiated, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, interventional trial, which will be conducted at four referral centres for acute pancreatitis in Denmark. Ninety patients with early-onset AP (pain onset within 48 h) as well as predicted moderate to severe disease (two or more systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria upon admission) will be prospectively included. Subsequently, participants will be randomised (1:1) to intravenous treatment with either methylnaltrexone or matching placebo (Ringer’s lactate) during 5 days of admission. The primary endpoint will be the group difference in disease severity as defined and measured by the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) score 48 h after randomisation. Secondary endpoints include daily PASS scores; disease severity according to the Atlanta classification; quantification of need for analgesics, nutritional support, intravenous fluid resuscitation and antibiotics; duration of hospital admissions, readmission rates and mortality. Pain intensity and gut function will be self-reported using validated questionnaires. Exploratory endpoints include circulating levels of pro-and anti-inflammatory markers, polyethylene glycol recovery from the urine, circulating levels of blood markers of intestinal permeability, the prevalence of pancreatic complications on computed tomography (CT) scans, and colon transit time assessed using a CT-based radiopaque marker method.

Discussion

This trial aims to evaluate the PAMORA methylnaltrexone as a novel targeted pharmacotherapy in patients with moderate to severe AP with the potential benefit of improved patient outcomes.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.govNCT04743570. Registered on 28 January 2021. EudraCT 2020-002313-18.

Accurate prediction of acute pancreatitis severity based on genome-wide cell free DNA methylation profiles

Background

Patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) have a high mortality, thus early diagnosis and interventions are critical for improving survival. However, conventional tests are limited in acute pancreatitis (AP) stratification. We aimed to assess AP severity by integrating the informative clinical measurements with cell free DNA (cfDNA) methylation markers.

Methods

One hundred and seventy-five blood samples were collected from 61 AP patients at multiple time points, plus 24 samples from healthy individuals. Genome-wide cfDNA methylation profiles of all samples were characterized with reduced representative bisulfite sequencing. Clinical blood tests covering 93 biomarkers were performed on AP patients within 24 h. SAP predication models were built based on cfDNA methylation and conventional blood biomarkers separately and in combination.

Results

We identified 565 and 59 cfDNA methylation markers informative for acute pancreatitis and its severity. These markers were used to develop prediction models for AP and SAP with area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.92 and 0.81, respectively. Twelve blood biomarkers were systematically screened for a predictor of SAP with a sensitivity of 87.5% for SAP, and a specificity of 100% in mild acute pancreatitis, significantly higher than existing blood tests. An expanded model integrating 12 conventional blood biomarkers with 59 cfDNA methylation markers further improved the SAP prediction sensitivity to 92.2%.

Conclusions

These findings have demonstrated that accurate prediction of SAP by the integration of conventional and novel blood molecular markers, paving the way for early and effective SAP intervention through a non-invasive rapid diagnostic test.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13148-021-01217-z.

The harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) identifies non-severe patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

We previously described a scoring system to identify patients with harmless acute pancreatitis as defined by absence of pancreatic necrosis, no need for artificial ventilation or dialysis, and non-fatal course. This scoring system, the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS), can be quickly calculated from three parameters: absence of abdominal tenderness or rebound, normal hematocrit and normal creatinine level. We aim to assess the positive predictive value (PPV) of the HAPS by performing a meta-analysis of subsequently published studies.

METHODS

We performed a literature search using Pubmed, Web of Science^TM and Google Scholar. We used random effects models, with maximum likelihood estimates, to estimate the PPV of HAPS. We produced forest plots and used the I² statistic to quantify heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty reports covering 6374 patients were identified. The overall PPV based on 16 studies that closely followed the original description of the HAPS system was 97% (95%CI 95-99%) with significant heterogeneity (I² = 76%; P < 0.01). For 11 studies in which HAPS was used to identify patients with mild AP, the overall PPV dropped to 83% (74-91%). For 8 studies in which HAPS was used to predict non-fatal course the overall PPV was 98% (97-100%).

CONCLUSION

The HAPS, if used as originally defined, accurately identifies patients with non-severe AP who will not require ICU care and facilitate selection of patients who can be discharged after a short stay on a general ward or can even be cared for at home. This could free hospital beds for other purposes and decrease healthcare costs.

Heparin-binding protein (HBP) worsens the severity of pancreatic necrosis via up-regulated M1 macrophages activation in acute pancreatitis mouse models

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most widespread clinical emergencies. Macrophages are the most common immune cells in AP pancreatic tissue and are closely associated with pancreatic necrosis and recovery. The level of heparin-binding protein (HBP) is closely linked to inflammation. In this study, we assessed the effect of HBP on AP tissue necrosis severity and whether HBP is associated with M1 macrophages in pancreatic necrosis. We observed the dynamic changes of HBP levels in the pancreas during acute inflammation in the caerulein-induced AP mice model. We used hematoxylin-eosin staining to evaluate pancreatic edema and necrosis, and to detect infiltration of macrophages by immunohistochemistry. Moreover, expressions of the maker and cytokines of macrophages, including inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), and arginase 1 (Arg-1), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) mRNA, were detected by real-time polymerase-chain reaction (RT-PCR). High levels of HBP in the pancreas were detected at 48 h, and heparin inhibited HBP expression in AP pancreatic tissue. Inhibiting HBP expression by injecting heparin before AP can alleviate pancreatic necrosis and inhibit F4/80 labeled M1 macrophage infiltration and IL-6, TNF-α, and iNOS mRNA expression. Clodronate liposome (CLDL) intraperitoneally treated mice showed no change in pancreatic HBP levels, but pancreatic macrophage-specific antigen F4/80 and TNF-α, IL-1β, and IL-6 mRNA levels decreased after CLDL treatment. HBP is critical for pancreatic necrosis response in acute pancreatitis by increasing the infiltration of M1 macrophages and promoting the secretion of inflammatory factors, such as TNF-α, IL-6, IL-1β, which can be reduced by heparin.

Dynamic changes in the pancreatitis activity scoring system during hospital course in a multicenter, prospective cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The primary aim was to validate the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a multicenter prospectively ascertained acute pancreatitis (AP) cohort. Second, we investigated the association of early PASS trajectories with disease severity and length of hospital stay (LOS).

METHODS

Data were prospectively collected through the APPRENTICE consortium (2015-2018). AP severity was categorized based on revised Atlanta classification. Delta PASS (ΔPASS) was calculated by subtracting activity score from baseline value. PASS trajectories were compared between severity subsets. Subsequently, the cohort was subdivided into three LOS subgroups as short (S-LOS): 2-3 days; intermediate (I-LOS): 3-7 days; and long (L-LOS): ≥7 days. The generalized estimating equations model was implemented to compare PASS trajectories.

RESULTS

There were 434 subjects analyzed including 322 (74%) mild, 86 (20%) moderately severe, and 26 (6%) severe AP. Severe AP subjects had the highest activity levels and the slowest rate of decline in activity (P = 0.039). Focusing on mild AP, L-LOS subjects (34%) had 28 points per day slower decline; whereas, S-LOS group (13%) showed 34 points per day sharper decrease compared with I-LOS (53%; P < 0.001). We noticed an outlier subset with a median admission-PASS of 466 compared with 140 in the rest. Morphine equivalent dose constituted 80% of the total PASS in the outliers (median morphine equivalent dose score = 392), compared with only 25% in normal-range subjects (score = 33, P value < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlighted that PASS can quantify AP activity. Significant differences in PASS trajectories were found both in revised Atlanta classification severity and LOS groups, which can be harnessed in AP monitoring/management (ClincialTrials.gov number, NCT03075618).

Gut microbiome in acute pancreatitis: A review based on current literature

The gut microbiome is a complex microbial community, recognized for its potential role in physiology, health, and disease. The available evidence supports the role of gut dysbiosis in pancreatic disorders, including acute pancreatitis (AP). In AP, the presence of gut barrier damage resulting in increased mucosal permeability may lead to translocation of intestinal bacteria, necrosis of pancreatic and peripancreatic tissue, and infection, often accompanied by multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. Preserving gut microbial homeostasis may reduce the systemic effects of AP. A growing body of evidence suggests the possible involvement of the gut microbiome in various pancreatic diseases, including AP. This review discusses the possible role of the gut microbiome in AP. It highlights AP treatment and supplementation with prebiotics, synbiotics, and probiotics to maintain gastrointestinal microbial balance and effectively reduce hospitalization, morbidity and mortality in an early phase. It also addresses novel therapeutic areas in the gut microbiome, personalized treatment, and provides a roadmap of human microbial contributions to AP that have potential clinical benefit.

RORγt inhibitor SR1001 alleviates acute pancreatitis by suppressing pancreatic IL-17-producing Th17 and γδ-T cells in mice with ceruletide-induced pancreatitis

The management of acute pancreatitis (AP) remains a challenge to clinicians worldwide for limited effective interventions. Retinoid orphan receptor gamma t (RORγt) is a therapeutic target for several diseases; however, it is unclear whether inhibiting RORγt can ameliorate AP. The relative expression of RORγt, IL‐17 and IL‐23 in the peripheral blood mononuclear cells of AP patients was measured by RT‐PCR. An AP mouse model was induced by ceruletide, and SR1001 was injected before ceruletide administration. RORγt+ cells, T helper 17 cells (Th17), regulatory T cells (Tregs) and γδ T cells were assessed in the pancreas and spleen by flow cytometry. Higher RORγt expression in patients indicated the potential role of RORγt in AP progression. Analyses of the IL‐17/IL‐23 axis confirmed its role. SR1001 significantly alleviated AP histologically in the mouse model. Serum levels of amylase, IL‐6, TNFalpha, IL‐17 and IL‐23 decreased upon SR1001 treatment. SR1001 selectively decreased the number of RORγt+, Th17, Tregs and γδ T cells in the pancreas but not the spleen. Collectively, these results showed that SR1001 exerted therapeutic effects on AP by suppressing IL‐17‐secreting Th17 and γδ T cells in the pancreas. Thus, SR1001 may be a promising drug for the treatment of AP in the clinic.

Pancreatic Pain-Knowledge Gaps and Research Opportunities in Children and Adults: Summary of a National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases Workshop

ABSTRACT

A workshop was sponsored by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases to focus on research gaps and opportunities in pancreatic pain. The event was held on July 21, 2021, and structured into 4 sessions: (1) pathophysiology; (2) biomarkers, mediators, and pharmacology of pain; (3) pain assessment; and (4) pain treatment challenges and opportunities. The current state of knowledge was reviewed; many knowledge gaps and research needs were identified that require further investigation. Common themes included the need to better understand the underlying mechanisms of pain in pancreatic diseases, the relationship of visceral neural pathways and central pain centers, the role of behavioral factors and disorders on the perception of pain, and differences in pain perception and processes in children when compared with adults. In addition, the role of genetic risk factors for pain and the mechanisms and role of placebos in pain treatment were discussed. Methods of pain assessment including quantitative sensory testing were examined, as well as the process of central sensitization of pain. Finally, newer approaches to pain management including cognitive behavioral therapy, nerve stimulation, experimental (nonopioid) drugs, and cannabinoid compounds were covered.

Study protocol P-MAPS: microbiome as predictor of severity in acute pancreatitis-a prospective multicentre translational study

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder that causes a considerable economic health burden. While the overall mortality is low, around 20% of patients have a complicated course of disease resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. There is an emerging body of evidence that the microbiome exerts a crucial impact on the pathophysiology and course of AP. For several decades multiple clinical and laboratory parameters have been evaluated, and complex scoring systems were developed to predict the clinical course of AP upon admission. However, the majority of scoring systems are determined after several days and achieve a sensitivity around 70% for early prediction of severe AP. Thus, continued efforts are required to investigate reliable biomarkers for the early prediction of severity in order to guide early clinical management of AP patients.

Methods

We designed a multi-center, prospective clinical-translational study to test whether the orointestinal microbiome may serve as novel early predictor of the course, severity and outcome of patients with AP. We will recruit 400 AP patients and obtain buccal and rectal swabs within 72 h of admission to the hospital. Following DNA extraction, microbiome analysis will be performed using 3rd generation sequencing Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT) for 16S rRNA and metagenomic sequencing. Alpha- and beta-diversity will be determined and correlated to the revised Atlanta classification and additional clinical outcome parameters such as the length of hospital stay, number and type of complications, number of interventions and 30-day mortality.

Discussion

If AP patients show a distinct orointestinal microbiome dependent on the severity and course of the disease, microbiome sequencing could rapidly be implemented in the early clinical management of AP patients in the future.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04777812

The Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System Predicts Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Infected Pancreatic Necrosis

OBJECTIVES

The Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) is an objective tool validated in acute pancreatitis but not in infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Our aim was to evaluate the role of PASS in IPN.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of IPN patients admitted to the University of California, San Francisco from January 2011 to March 2019. Daily PASS scores were calculated for each patient. Receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to define the optimal cutoff PASS score to predict outcomes. The primary and secondary outcomes were 72 hours postintervention multiorgan failure (MOF) and early readmission (within 30 days), respectively.

RESULTS

One hundred and four patients underwent intervention (median age, 55 years). Thirty-five patients (33.6%) developed MOF postintervention. A 72-hour postintervention PASS greater than 250 was strongly associated with postintervention MOF (area under curve, 0.87; adjusted odds ratio, 26.83; 95% confidence interval, 6.37-112.86; P < 0.001). Discharge PASS greater than 150 was associated with 30-day readmission (area under curve, 0.82; adjusted odds ratio, 26.44; 95% confidence interval, 8.48-82.43; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The PASS score was associated with postintervention clinical outcomes and early readmission, suggesting it is a valid measure of disease activity in patients with IPN. Further prospective validation of PASS in IPN is needed.

Chaiqin chengqi decoction ameliorates acute pancreatitis in mice via inhibition of neuron activation-mediated acinar cell SP/NK1R signaling pathways

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Chaiqin chengqi decoction (CQCQD) and its derivatives have been widely used in China for the early management of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Numerous studies demonstrate the anti-inflammatory and anti-oxidative effects of CQCQD and derivatives, but whether these effects can be attributed to suppressing neurogenic inflammation, has never been studied.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To investigate the effects of CQCQD on substance P (SP)-neurokinin 1 receptor (NK1R) based neurogenic inflammation in an experimental AP model.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

For AP patients on admission, pain score was accessed by visual analog scale (VAS); the levels of serum SP and expressions of pancreatic SP and NK1R were also determined. For in vivo study, mice received 7 intraperitoneal injections of cerulein (50 μg/kg) at hourly intervals to induce AP, whilst controls received normal saline injections. In the treatment groups, CQCQD (10 g/kg, 200 μl) was intragastrically given at the third, fifth, and seventh of the cerulein injection or the NK1R antagonist CP96345 (5 mg/kg) was intraperitoneally injected 30 min before the first cerulein administration. The von Frey test was performed to evaluate pain behavior. Animals were sacrificed at 12 h from the first cerulein/saline injection for severity assessment. Pharmacology network analysis was used to identify active ingredients of CQCQD for AP and pain. In vitro, freshly isolated pancreatic acinar cells were pre-treated with CQCQD (5 mg/ml), CP96345 (1 μM), or selected active compounds of CQCQD (12.5, 25, and 50 μM) for 30 min, followed by SP incubation for another 30 min.

RESULTS

The VAS score as well as the levels of serum SP and expressions of pancreatic SP-NK1R were up-regulated in moderately severe and severe patients compared with those with mild disease. CQCQD, but not CP96345, consistently and significantly ameliorated pain, pancreatic necrosis, and systemic inflammation in cerulein-induced AP as well as inhibited NK1R internalization of pancreatic acinar cells. These effects of CQCQD were associated with reduction of pancreatic SP-NK1R and neuron activity in pancreas, dorsal root ganglia, and spinal cord. Baicalin, emodin, and magnolol, the top 3 active components of CQCQD identified via pharmacology network analysis, suppressed NK1R internalization and NF-κB signal pathway activation in isolated pancreatic acinar cells.

CONCLUSIONS

CQCQD ameliorated cerulein-induced AP and its associated pain via inhibiting neuron activation-mediated pancreatic acinar cell SP-NK1R signaling pathways and its active compounds baicalin, emodin, and magnolol contributed to this effect.

Management of Severe Acute Pancreatitis: An Update

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) continues to be a serious gastrointestinal disease with relevant morbidity and mortality.

SUMMARY

Successful clinical management requires close interdisciplinary cooperation and coordination from experienced gastroenterologists, intensive care physicians, surgeons, and radiologists. While the early phase of the disease is characterized by intensive care aspects that focus primarily on treatment of organ failure, later complications are characterized especially by (infected) necrotic collections. Here, we discuss current clinical standards and developments for conservative and interventional management of patients with severe AP. Key messages: Early targeted fluid therapy within the first 48 h is critical to improve the outcome of severe AP. Thoracic epidural analgesia may have prognostically beneficial effects due to suspected anti-inflammatory effects and increased perfusion of splanchnic vessels. Enteral feeding should be started early during severe AP. Persistent organ failure (>48 h) is the strongest predictor of poor prognosis, and local complications such as infected walled-off necrosis should be primarily treated by minimally invasive endoscopic step-up approaches that are usually superior to surgical therapy options.

Serum phosphate is associated with mortality among patients admitted to ICU for acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Routine laboratory tests can be useful predictors in the early assessment of the severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of clinical and laboratory parameters for the prediction of mortality among patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for AP.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital made publicly available to examine the relationship between routine clinical and laboratory parameters with respect to mortality for AP. Cox proportional hazard ratio was used to evaluate the impact of several routine laboratory markers on mortality. Receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to determine the accuracy of diagnosis of laboratory tests by using area under curve (AUC) for the respective analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 499 patients were admitted to the ICU for AP. Several factors for predicting mortality in AP at admission were identified in the multivariate analysis: alkaline phosphatase hazard ratio (HR) = 1.00 (1.00-1.00, p = 0.024), anion gap HR = 1.09 (1.00-1.20, p = 0.047), bilirubin total HR = 1.11 (1.06-1.17, p < 0.001), calcium total HR = 0.59 (0.42-0.84, p = 0.004), phosphate HR = 1.51 (1.18-1.94, p = 0.001), potassium HR = 1.91 (1.03-3.55, p = 0.041), white blood cells HR = 1.04 (1.00-1.07, p = 0.028). The AUC of serum phosphate level for mortality was 0.7 in the ROC analysis. The optimal cut-off value of serum phosphate level for prediction of mortality was 3.78 mg/dl (sensitivity, 0.58; specificity, 0.78).

CONCLUSION

In this large cohort, we identified baseline serum phosphate as the most valuable single routine laboratory test for predicting mortality in AP. Future prospective studies are required to confirm these results.

Accuracy of conventional and novel scoring systems in predicting severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Recently, several novel scoring systems have been developed to evaluate the severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of novel and conventional scoring systems in predicting the severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Patients treated between January 2003 and August 2020 were reviewed. The Ranson score (RS), Glasgow score (GS), bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), pancreatic activity scoring system (PASS), and Chinese simple scoring system (CSSS) were determined within 48 h after admission. Multivariate logistic regression was used for severity, mortality, and organ failure prediction. Optimum cutoffs were identified using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1848 patients were included. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of RS, GS, BISAP, PASS, and CSSS for severity prediction were 0.861, 0.865, 0.829, 0.778, and 0.816, respectively. The corresponding AUCs for mortality prediction were 0.693, 0.736, 0.789, 0.858, and 0.759. The corresponding AUCs for acute respiratory distress syndrome prediction were 0.745, 0.784, 0.834, 0.936, and 0.820. Finally, the corresponding AUCs for acute renal failure prediction were 0.707, 0.734, 0.781, 0.868, and 0.816.

CONCLUSIONS

RS and GS predicted severity better than they predicted mortality and organ failure, while PASS predicted mortality and organ failure better. BISAP and CSSS performed equally well in severity and outcome predictions.

Accurate prediction of acute pancreatitis severity with integrative blood molecular measurements

BACKGROUND

Early diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is essential to minimize its mortality and improve prognosis. We aimed to develop an accurate and applicable machine learning predictive model based on routine clinical testing results for stratifying acute pancreatitis (AP) severity.

RESULTS

We identified 11 markers predictive of AP severity and trained an AP stratification model called APSAVE, which classified AP cases within 24 hours at an average area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74 +/- 0.04. It was further validated in 568 validation cases, achieving an AUC of 0.73, which is similar to that of Ranson's criteria (AUC = 0.74) and higher than APACHE II and BISAP (AUC = 0.69 and 0.66, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a venous blood marker-based AP severity stratification model with higher accuracy and broader applicability, which holds promises for reducing SAP mortality and improving its clinical outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Nine hundred and forty-five AP patients were enrolled into this study. Clinical venous blood tests covering 65 biomarkers were performed on AP patients within 24 hours of admission. An SAP prediction model was built with statistical learning to select biomarkers that are most predictive for AP severity.

[Acute kidney injury following acute pancreatitis (AP-AKI): Definition, Pathophysiology, Diagnosis and Therapy]

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most frequent gastrointestinal cause for hospitalization and one of the leading causes of in-hospital deaths. Severe acute pancreatitis is often associated with multiorgan failure and especially with acute kidney injury (AKI). AKI can develop early or late in the course of the disease and is a strong determinator of outcome. The mortality in the case of dialysis-dependent AKI and acute pancreatitis raises exponentially in the affected patients. AP-induced AKI (AP-AKI) shows many similarities but also distinct differences to other causes of AKI occurring in the intensive care unit setting. The knowledge of the exact pathophysiology can help to adjust, control and improve therapeutic approaches to the disease. Unfortunately, there are only a few studies dealing with AP and AKI.In this review, we discuss recent data about pathogenesis, causes and management of AP-AKI in patients with severe acute pancreatitis and exploit in this regard the diagnostic and prognostic potential of respective newer serum and urine markers.

A single center randomized double blind controlled trial of pentoxifylline in acute pancreatitis: Challenges and opportunities

OBJECTIVES

Despite substantial morbidity and mortality associated with acute pancreatitis (AP), only one small randomized controlled drug trial (RCT) is available in the past few decades from the United States. Hence, we conducted a single-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled RCT of pentoxifylline in AP.

METHODS

A total of 9 doses of oral pentoxifylline 400 mg or placebo tablet, three times daily, was administered within 72 h of diagnosis, using randomization blocks by pharmacy. Primary outcome was a composite outcome including any of the following: death, peripancreatic and/or pancreatic necrosis, infected pancreatic necrosis, persistent organ failure, persistent systemic inflammatory response syndrome, hospital stay longer than 4 days, need for intensive care, and need for intervention for necrosis.

RESULTS

Between July 7, 2015, and April 4, 2017, we identified 685 patients with AP, 233 met eligibility criteria and 176 were approached for the study. Of these, 91 (51.7%) declined and finally 45 in pentoxifylline group and 38 in placebo group (83 total) were compared. There were no significant differences in primary outcome (27 [60.0%] vs 15 [39.5%]; P = .06). Pentoxifylline group was not associated with any benefit, but withlonger stay (42% vs. 21%; P = .04) and higher readmission rates (16 %vs 3%; P = .047).

CONCLUSIONS

We could not demonstrate superiority of pentoxifylline over placebo. Smaller sample size and inclusion of all types of severity might be the reasons for lack of efficacy. The challenges observed in the present study indicate that, in order to conduct a successful drug trial in AP, a multi center collaboration is essential.

Assessment of the course of acute pancreatitis in the light of aetiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The main causes of acute pancreatitis (AP) are biliary disease, alcohol consumption, hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the effects of these aetiological factors on the severity and outcome of AP. Pubmed and Embase were searched between 01/01/2012 and 31/05/2020. Included articles involved adult alcoholic, biliary, HTG- or post-ERCP AP (PAP) patients. Primary outcome was severity, secondary outcomes were organ failures, intensive care unit admission, recurrence rate, pancreatic necrosis, mortality, length of hospital stay, pseudocyst, fluid collection and systematic inflammatory response syndrome. Data were analysed from 127 eligible studies. The risk for non-mild (moderately severe and severe) condition was the highest in HTG-induced AP (HTG-AP) followed by alcoholic AP (AAP), biliary AP (BAP) and PAP. Recurrence rate was significantly lower among BAP vs. HTG-AP or AAP patients (OR = 2.69 and 2.98, 95% CI 1.55-4.65 and 2.22-4.01, respectively). Mortality rate was significantly greater in HTG-AP vs. AAP or BAP (OR = 1.72 and 1.50, 95% CI 1.04-2.84 and 0.96-2.35, respectively), pancreatic necrosis occurred more frequently in AAP than BAP patients (OR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.08-2.30). Overall, there is a potential association between aetiology and the development and course of AP. HTG-AP is associated with the highest number of complications. Furthermore, AAP is likely to be more severe than BAP or PAP. Greater emphasis should be placed on determining aetiology on admission.

Nonaggressive Versus Aggressive Intravenous Fluid Therapy in Acute Pancreatitis With More Than 24 Hours From Disease Onset: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare a "nonaggressive" hydration versus an "aggressive" hydration using Hartmann's solution in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) with more than 24 hours from disease onset.

METHODS

We included 88 patients with AP with more than 24 hours from disease onset, and were randomized into 2 groups. Group I (n = 45) received a nonaggressive hydration (Hartmann's solution at 1.5 mL kg h for the first 24 hours and 30 mL kg during the next 24 hours), and group II (n = 43) received an aggressive hydration (bolus of Hartmann's solution 20 mL kg, followed by an infusion of 3 mL kg h for the first 24 hours and then 30 mL kg for the next 24 hours).

RESULTS

The mean volume of fluid administered was greater in group II (P < 0.001). We did not find differences when comparing both groups in reference to persistent systemic inflammatory response syndrome (P = 0.528), pancreatic necrosis (P = 0.710), respiratory complications (P = 0.999), acute kidney injury (P = 0.714), or length of hospital stay (P = 0.892).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that the clinical evolution of patients with AP with more than 24 hours from disease onset is similar using an aggressive or nonaggressive hydration.

[Harmless acute pancreatitis score on admission can accurately predict mild acute pancreatitis]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy of harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) on admission for predicting mild acute pancreatitis (MAP).

METHODS

We prospectively collected the data from consecutive AP patients admitted to West China Hospital between January, 2016 and August, 2017, and HAPS scores were calculated on admission. The clinical outcomes of the patients with harmless AP (HAPS>2) and those with non-harmless AP (HAPS≤2) were compared. MAP was defined based on the severity classification of 2012 Revised Atlanta guidelines. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver- operator characteristic curve (ROC), specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of HAPS on admission for predicting MAP were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 703 patients with AP analyzed, 182 were predicted to have harmless AP and 521 to have non- harmless AP, and the patients in the latter group had significantly worse clinical outcomes (P < 0.001). The total number of patients with MAP was 359 in the study. The specificity, the sensitivity, the PPV and NPV of HAPS on admission for predicting MAP was 97.7% (95% CI: 95.4-99.0), 48.2% (95% CI: 42.9-53.3), 95.6% (95% CI: 91.5- 98.1) and 64.1% (95% CI: 59.8- 68.2), respectively, and the AUC was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.72- 0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

HAPS score on admission can accurately predict MAP.

Multifactorial Scores and Biomarkers of Prognosis of Acute Pancreatitis: Applications to Research and Practice

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe inflammation of the pancreas presented with sudden onset and severe abdominal pain with a high morbidity and mortality rate, if accompanied by severe local and systemic complications. Numerous studies have been published about the pathogenesis of AP; however, the precise mechanism behind this pathology remains unclear. Extensive research conducted over the last decades has demonstrated that the first 24 h after symptom onset are critical for the identification of patients who are at risk of developing complications or death. The identification of these subgroups of patients is crucial in order to start an aggressive approach to prevent mortality. In this sense and to avoid unnecessary overtreatment, thereby reducing the financial implications, the proper identification of mild disease is also important and necessary. A large number of multifactorial scoring systems and biochemical markers are described to predict the severity. Despite recent progress in understanding the pathophysiology of AP, more research is needed to enable a faster and more accurate prediction of severe AP. This review provides an overview of the available multifactorial scoring systems and biochemical markers for predicting severe AP with a special focus on their advantages and limitations.