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Mboringong AB, Ngomtcho SCH, Ndip Ndip R, Linda EE, Bertand DL, Patricia M, Sandrine B, Essiene BF, Ntamack T, Mballa EGA. Trends of cholera epidemics and associated mortality factors in Cameroon: 2018-2023: a cross-sectional study. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:1816. [PMID: 40380135 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-23007-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2024] [Accepted: 04/30/2025] [Indexed: 05/19/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cameroon has faced frequent and severe cholera outbreaks since 1971, with case-fatality rates (CFRs) ranging from 12% in 1991, to 5.3% in 2014, all higher than the less than 1% cholera CFR target set by WHO. However, not many studies providing insight on context-specific risk factors have been published. The purpose of this study was to describe the recent cholera outbreaks in Cameroon and to determine factors associated with mortality. METHODS This was an analytical cross-sectional study that employed a retrospective design exploiting Ministry of Public Health cholera line-lists from 2018-2023. These line lists were obtained from the Public Health Emergency Operations Coordination and Control Center, compiled into a single Microsoft Excel Sheet, cleaned and analyzed using Microsoft Excel 2016 and SPSS version 20. Cholera cases were defined as those confirmed in reference laboratories via stool culture and suspected cases with proven epidemiological link to laboratory-confirmed cases (suspected cases in health districts with active laboratory-confirmed cases). Factors associated with cholera mortality were identified using binary logistic regression (adjusted odds ratios), after socio-demographic, clinical, and geographical distribution of cholera cases were described. Maps were generated using QGIS version 3.28.14. RESULTS Between May 2018 and March 2023, Cameroon experienced four cholera epidemics resulting in 18,986 reported cases and affecting 8 out of 10 administrative regions. The three coastal regions (Littoral, South and South-West Region) reported 83.4% (15,839/18,986) of all the cases while the remaining five affected regions jointly reported 16.6% (3,147/18,986) cases. The most represented age group were those aged 25-35 years (21.9%; 4,163/1,876) and the male: female sex ratio was 1.27. The overall CFR was 2.7% (478 deaths/17,967 cases with known outcome) and was highest among persons > 65 years (6.8%; 59/869). Urban areas notified more cases than rural areas (13,267 vs 5,484). Factors associated with increased mortality were male sex (aOR 1.61, 95% CI: 1.30-2.04), dry season (aOR 1.67, 95% CI: 1.28-2.22), age above 45 years (aOR 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45-2.22) and severe dehydration at consultation (aOR 12.76, 95% CI: 7.66-21.25). CONCLUSIONS Cholera outbreaks occurred in eight out of the ten administrative regions in Cameroon during the study period and mortality appeared to be driven by multiple factors notably severe dehydration at time of consultation, advanced age, male sex and the dry season. The high caseloads and case-fatality rates reiterate the need for further strengthening of existing cholera surveillance and outbreak response mechanisms.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Roland Ndip Ndip
- Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, Faculty of Science, University of Buea, Buea, Cameroon
- Department of Biotechnology and Food Technology, Faculty of Science, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Esso Endalle Linda
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Dibog Luc Bertand
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Mendjime Patricia
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Belinga Sandrine
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Balana Flore Essiene
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Theodore Ntamack
- Department for the Control of Diseases, Epidemics and Pandemics (Ministry of Public Health), Yaounde, Cameroon
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Gallandat K, Macdougall A, Jeandron A, Mufitini Saidi J, Bashige Rumedeka B, Malembaka EB, Azman AS, Bompangue D, Cousens S, Allen E, Cumming O. Improved water supply infrastructure to reduce acute diarrhoeal diseases and cholera in Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo: Results and lessons learned from a pragmatic trial. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2024; 18:e0012265. [PMID: 38959264 PMCID: PMC11251581 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0012265] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2023] [Revised: 07/16/2024] [Accepted: 06/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Safely managed drinking water is critical to prevent diarrhoeal diseases, including cholera, but evidence on the effectiveness of piped water supply in reducing these diseases in low-income and complex emergency settings remains scarce. METHODS We conducted a trial of water supply infrastructure improvements in Uvira (DRC). Our primary objective was to estimate the relationship between a composite index of water service quality and the monthly number of suspected cholera cases admitted to treatment facilities and, as a secondary analysis, the number of cases confirmed by rapid diagnostic tests. Other exposures included the quantity of supplied water and service continuity. We used Poisson generalised linear models with generalised estimating equations to estimate incidence rate ratios. FINDINGS Associations between suspected cholera incidence and water service quality (RR 0·86, 95% CI 0·73-1·01), quantity (RR 0·80, 95% CI 0·62-1·02) and continuity (RR 0·81, 95% CI 0·77-0·86) were estimated. The magnitudes of the associations were similar between confirmed cholera incidence and water service quality (RR 0·84, 95% CI 0·73-0·97), quantity (RR 0·76, 95% CI 0·61-0·94) and continuity (RR 0·75, 95% CI 0·69-0·81). These results suggest that an additional 5 L/user/day or 1.2 hour per day of water production could reduce confirmed cholera by 24% (95% CI 6-39%) and 25% (95% CI 19-31%), respectively. INTERPRETATION Ensuring a sufficient and continuous piped water supply may substantially reduce the burden of endemic cholera and diarrhoeal diseases but evaluating this rigorously is challenging. Pragmatic strategies are needed for public health research on complex interventions in protracted emergency settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION The trial is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02928341. https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02928341.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karin Gallandat
- Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Amy Macdougall
- Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Aurélie Jeandron
- Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jaime Mufitini Saidi
- Ministère de la Santé Publique, Division Provinciale de la Santé du Sud-Kivu, Zone de Santé d’Uvira, Uvira, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Baron Bashige Rumedeka
- Ministère de la Santé Publique, Division Provinciale de la Santé du Sud-Kivu, Zone de Santé d’Uvira, Uvira, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Espoir Bwenge Malembaka
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
- Centre for Tropical Diseases and Global Health (CTDGH), Université Catholique de Bukavu, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | - Andrew S. Azman
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
- Geneva Centre for Emerging Viral Diseases, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
- Division of Tropical and Humanitarian Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Didier Bompangue
- Service d’Ecologie et Contrôle des Maladies Infectieuses, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Simon Cousens
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Elizabeth Allen
- Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver Cumming
- Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Girotto CD, Behzadian K, Musah A, Chen AS, Djordjević S, Nichols G, Campos LC. Analysis of environmental factors influencing endemic cholera risks in sub-Saharan Africa. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 926:171896. [PMID: 38522541 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171896] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2023] [Revised: 02/21/2024] [Accepted: 03/20/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024]
Abstract
The recurring cholera outbreaks in sub-Saharan Africa are of growing concern, especially considering the potential acceleration in the global trend of larger and more lethal cholera outbreaks due to the impacts of climate change. However, there is a scarcity of evidence-based research addressing the environmental and infrastructure factors that sustain cholera recurrence in Africa. This study adopts a statistical approach to investigate over two decades of endemic cholera outbreaks and their relationship with five environmental factors: water provision, sanitation provision, raising temperatures, increased rainfall and GDP. The analysis covers thirteen of the forty-two countries in the mainland sub-Saharan region, collectively representing one-third of the region's territory and half of its population. This breadth enables the findings to be generalised at a regional level. Results from all analyses consistently associate water provision with cholera reduction. The stratified model links increased water provision with a reduction in cholera risk that ranged from 4.2 % to 84.1 % among eight countries (out of 13 countries) as well as a reduction of such risk that ranged from 9.8 % to 68.9 % when there is increased sanitation provision, which was observed in nine countries (out of 13). These results indicate that the population's limited access to water and sanitation, as well as the rise in temperatures, are critical infrastructure and environmental factors contributing to endemic cholera and the heightened risk of outbreaks across the sub-Saharan region. Therefore, these are key areas for targeted interventions and cross-border collaboration to enhance resilience to outbreaks and lead to the end of endemic cholera in the region. However, it is important to interpret the results of this study with caution; hence, further investigation is recommended to conduct a more detailed analysis of the impact of infrastructure and environmental factors on reducing cholera risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristiane D Girotto
- School of Computing and Engineering, University of West London, St Mary's Road, Ealing, London W5 5RF, UK; Centre for Urban Sustainability and Resilience, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Kourosh Behzadian
- School of Computing and Engineering, University of West London, St Mary's Road, Ealing, London W5 5RF, UK; Centre for Urban Sustainability and Resilience, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Anwar Musah
- Geospatial Analytics and Computing (GSAC), Dept of Geography, University College London, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Albert S Chen
- Centre for Water Systems, University of Exeter, Harrison Building, Streatham Campus, N Park Rd, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK
| | - Slobodan Djordjević
- Centre for Water Systems, University of Exeter, Harrison Building, Streatham Campus, N Park Rd, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK
| | - Gordon Nichols
- Centre for Radiation Chemicals and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England, Chilton, Oxon OX11 0RQ, UK
| | - Luiza C Campos
- Centre for Urban Sustainability and Resilience, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
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Nyalundja AD, Bugeme PM, Ntaboba AB, Hatu’m VU, Ashuza GS, Tamuzi JL, Ndwandwe D, Iwu-Jaja C, Wiysonge CS, Katoto PDMC. COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy and Associated Oral Cholera Vaccine Hesitancy in a Cholera-Endemic Country: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:444. [PMID: 38675826 PMCID: PMC11053998 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12040444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/29/2024] [Revised: 04/09/2024] [Accepted: 04/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and its enablers shape community uptake of non-covid vaccines such as the oral cholera vaccine (OCV) in the post-COVID-19 era. This study assessed the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and its drivers on OCV hesitancy in a cholera-endemic region of the Democratic Republic of Congo. We conducted a community-based survey in Bukavu. The survey included demographics, intention to take OCV and COVID-19 vaccines, reasons for COVID-19 hesitancy, and thoughts and feelings about COVID-19 vaccines. Poisson regression analyses were performed. Of the 1708 respondents, 84.66% and 77.57% were hesitant to OCV alone and to both OCV and COVID-19, respectively. Hesitancy to COVID-19 vaccines rose OCV hesitancy by 12% (crude prevalence ratio, [cPR] = 1.12, 95%CI [1.03-1.21]). Independent predictors of OCV hesitancy were living in a semi-urban area (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] = 1.10, 95%CI [1.03-1.12]), religious refusal of vaccines (aPR = 1.06, 95%CI [1.02-1.12]), concerns about vaccine safety (aPR = 1.05, 95%CI [1.01-1.11]) and adverse effects (aPR = 1.06, 95%CI [1.01-1.12]), as well as poor vaccine literacy (aPR = 1.07, 95%CI [1.01-1.14]). Interestingly, the belief in COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness reduced OCV hesitancy by 24% (aPR = 0.76, 95%CI [0.62-0.93]). COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and its drivers exhibited a significant domino effect on OCV uptake. Addressing vaccine hesitancy through community-based health literacy and trust-building interventions would likely improve the introduction of novel non-COVID-19 vaccines in the post-COVID-19 era.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arsene Daniel Nyalundja
- Center for Tropical Diseases and Global Health (CTDGH), Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.D.N.); (P.M.B.)
- Faculty of Medicine, Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.B.N.); (V.U.H.); (G.S.A.)
| | - Patrick Musole Bugeme
- Center for Tropical Diseases and Global Health (CTDGH), Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.D.N.); (P.M.B.)
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| | - Alain Balola Ntaboba
- Faculty of Medicine, Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.B.N.); (V.U.H.); (G.S.A.)
| | - Victoire Urbain Hatu’m
- Faculty of Medicine, Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.B.N.); (V.U.H.); (G.S.A.)
| | - Guillaume Shamamba Ashuza
- Faculty of Medicine, Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.B.N.); (V.U.H.); (G.S.A.)
| | - Jacques Lukenze Tamuzi
- Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town 7505, South Africa;
| | - Duduzile Ndwandwe
- Cochrane South Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town 7501, South Africa; (D.N.); (C.I.-J.); (C.S.W.)
| | - Chinwe Iwu-Jaja
- Cochrane South Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town 7501, South Africa; (D.N.); (C.I.-J.); (C.S.W.)
| | - Charles Shey Wiysonge
- Cochrane South Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town 7501, South Africa; (D.N.); (C.I.-J.); (C.S.W.)
- Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Programme, World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa, Brazzaville P.O. Box 06, Congo
| | - Patrick D. M. C. Katoto
- Center for Tropical Diseases and Global Health (CTDGH), Catholic University of Bukavu (UCB), Bukavu 285, Democratic Republic of the Congo; (A.D.N.); (P.M.B.)
- Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town 7505, South Africa;
- Cochrane South Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town 7501, South Africa; (D.N.); (C.I.-J.); (C.S.W.)
- Centre for General Medicine and Global Health, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town 7505, South Africa
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Mashinagu MM, Wambura PN, King DP, Paton DJ, Maree F, Kimera SI, Rweyemamu MM, Kasanga CJ. Challenges of Controlling Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Pastoral Settings in Africa. Transbound Emerg Dis 2024; 2024:2700985. [PMID: 40303029 PMCID: PMC12017246 DOI: 10.1155/2024/2700985] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Revised: 12/07/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2025]
Abstract
Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly devastating viral disease affecting all cloven-hoofed animals. The disease threatens food security and livelihoods across different parts of the world. FMD is endemic in Africa; where the continuous circulation of the disease impacts the livelihoods of pastoral communities by reducing the quality and quantity of livestock products such as milk and meat, as well as undermining the access of the livestock sector to regional and lucrative global markets. Strategies used to control FMD in Africa, especially tropical Africa, are typically fragmented national-level focused activities with relatively poor outcomes, rather than regionally coordinated initiatives that have been used on other continents (South America, Europe) to successfully reduce and even eliminate virus circulation. Biotechnological advances have improved our ability to detect and characterize FMD virus strains, but more effective approaches to disease control are needed to encourage disease reporting and outbreak investigation. This review of the challenges to FMD control amongst Africa's diverse pastoral communities is intended to provide information and provoke discussion to improve the strategies and approaches for regional FMD control in Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mkama M. Mashinagu
- Department of Microbiology, Parasitology and Biotechnology, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3019, Morogoro, Tanzania
- SACIDS Foundation for One Health, Africa Centre of Excellence, P.O. Box 3297, Morogoro, Tanzania
- Tanzania Veterinary Laboratory Agency, Centre for Infectious Diseases and Biotechnology, P.O. Box 9254, Dar es salaam, Tanzania
| | - Philemon N. Wambura
- Department of Microbiology, Parasitology and Biotechnology, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3019, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Donald P. King
- FAO World Reference Laboratory for FMD, The Pirbright Institute, Ash Road, Pirbright, Woking GU24 ONF, UK
| | - David J. Paton
- FAO World Reference Laboratory for FMD, The Pirbright Institute, Ash Road, Pirbright, Woking GU24 ONF, UK
| | - Francois Maree
- Clinomics, Uitzich Road, Bainsvlei, Bloemfontein 9301, Free State, South Africa
| | - Sharadhuli I. Kimera
- SACIDS Foundation for One Health, Africa Centre of Excellence, P.O. Box 3297, Morogoro, Tanzania
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3021, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Mark M. Rweyemamu
- Department of Microbiology, Parasitology and Biotechnology, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3019, Morogoro, Tanzania
- SACIDS Foundation for One Health, Africa Centre of Excellence, P.O. Box 3297, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Christopher J. Kasanga
- Department of Microbiology, Parasitology and Biotechnology, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3019, Morogoro, Tanzania
- SACIDS Foundation for One Health, Africa Centre of Excellence, P.O. Box 3297, Morogoro, Tanzania
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Shah MM, Bundi M, Kathiiko C, Guyo S, Galata A, Miringu G, Ichinose Y, Yoshida LM. Antibiotic-Resistant Vibrio cholerae O1 and Its SXT Elements Associated with Two Cholera Epidemics in Kenya in 2007 to 2010 and 2015 to 2016. Microbiol Spectr 2023; 11:e0414022. [PMID: 37125926 PMCID: PMC10269778 DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.04140-22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Multidrug-resistant Vibrio cholerae O1 strains have long been observed in Africa, and strains exhibiting new resistance phenotypes have emerged during recent epidemics in Kenya. This study aimed to determine the epidemiological aspects, drug resistance patterns, and genetic elements of V. cholerae O1 strains isolated from two cholera epidemics in Kenya between 2007 and 2010 and between 2015 and 2016. A total of 228 V. cholerae O1 strains, including 226 clinical strains isolated from 13 counties in Kenya during the 2007-2010 and 2015-2016 cholera epidemics and two environmental isolates (from shallow well water and spring water isolates) isolated from Pokot and Kwale Counties, respectively, in 2010 were subjected to biotyping, serotyping, and antimicrobial susceptibility testing, including the detection of antibiotic resistance genes and mobile genetic elements. All V. cholerae isolates were identified as El Tor biotypes and susceptible to ceftriaxone, gentamicin, and ciprofloxacin. The majority of isolates were resistant to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (94.6%), streptomycin (92.8%), and nalidixic acid (64.5%), while lower resistance was observed against ampicillin (3.6%), amoxicillin (4.2%), chloramphenicol (3.0%), and doxycycline (1.8%). Concurrently, the integrating conjugative (SXT) element was found in 95.5% of the V. cholerae isolates; conversely, class 1, 2, and 3 integrons were absent. Additionally, 64.5% of the isolates exhibited multidrug resistance patterns. Antibiotic-resistant gene clusters suggest that environmental bacteria may act as cassette reservoirs that favor resistant pathogens. On the other hand, the 2015-2016 epidemic strains were found susceptible to most antibiotics except nalidixic acid. This revealed the replacement of multidrug-resistant strains exhibiting new resistance phenotypes that emerged after Kenya's 2007-2010 epidemic. IMPORTANCE Kenya is a country where cholera is endemic; it has experienced three substantial epidemics over the past few decades, but there are limited data on the drug resistance patterns of V. cholerae at the national level. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the antimicrobial susceptibility profiles of V. cholerae O1 strains isolated from two consecutive epidemics and to examine their associated antimicrobial genetic determinants. Our study results revealed two distinct antibiotic resistance trends in two separate epidemics, particularly trends for multidrug-associated mobile genetic elements and chromosomal mutation-oriented resistant strains from the 2007-2010 epidemic. In contrast, only nalidixic acid-associated chromosomal mutated strains were isolated from the 2015-2016 epidemic. This study also found similar patterns of antibiotic resistance in environmental and clinical strains. Continuous monitoring is needed to control emerging multidrug-resistant isolates in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Monir Shah
- Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Martin Bundi
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Cyrus Kathiiko
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Sora Guyo
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Amina Galata
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Gabriel Miringu
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Yoshio Ichinose
- Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine–Kenya Medical Research Institute Project, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Lay-Myint Yoshida
- Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
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Charnley GEC, Jean K, Kelman I, Gaythorpe KAM, Murray KA. Association between Conflict and Cholera in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Emerg Infect Dis 2022; 28:2472-2481. [PMID: 36417932 PMCID: PMC9707578 DOI: 10.3201/eid2812.212398] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Cholera outbreaks contribute substantially to illness and death in low- and middle-income countries. Cholera outbreaks are associated with several social and environmental risk factors, and extreme conditions can act as catalysts. A social extreme known to be associated with infectious disease outbreaks is conflict, causing disruption to services, loss of income, and displacement. To determine the extent of this association, we used the self-controlled case-series method and found that conflict increased the risk for cholera in Nigeria by 3.6 times and in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 2.6 times. We also found that 19.7% of cholera outbreaks in Nigeria and 12.3% of outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo were attributable to conflict. Our results highlight the value of providing rapid and sufficient assistance during conflict-associated cholera outbreaks and working toward conflict resolution and addressing preexisting vulnerabilities, such as poverty and access to healthcare.
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Charnley GEC, Kelman I, Gaythorpe KAM, Murray KA. Accessing sub-national cholera epidemiological data for Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo during the seventh pandemic. BMC Infect Dis 2022; 22:288. [PMID: 35351008 PMCID: PMC8966316 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-022-07266-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2022] [Accepted: 03/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Vibrio cholerae is a water-borne pathogen with a global burden estimate at 1.4 to 4.0 million annual cases. Over 94% of these cases are reported in Africa and more research is needed to understand cholera dynamics in the region. Cholera data are lacking, mainly due to reporting issues, creating barriers for widespread research on cholera epidemiology and management in Africa. MAIN BODY Here, we present datasets that were created to help address this gap, collating freely available sub-national cholera data for Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo. The data were collated from a variety of English and French publicly available sources, including the World Health Organization, PubMed, UNICEF, EM-DAT, the Nigerian CDC and peer-reviewed literature. These data include information on cases, deaths, age, gender, oral cholera vaccination, risk factors and interventions. CONCLUSION These datasets can facilitate qualitative, quantitative and mixed methods research in these two high burden countries to assist in public health planning. The data can be used in collaboration with organisations in the two countries, which have also collected data or undertaking research. By making the data and methods available, we aim to encourage their use and further data collection and compilation to help improve the data gaps for cholera in Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gina E. C. Charnley
- grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG UK
| | - Ilan Kelman
- grid.83440.3b0000000121901201Institute for Global Health & Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT UK ,grid.23048.3d0000 0004 0417 6230University of Agder, Kristiansand, Norway
| | - Katy A. M. Gaythorpe
- grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK
| | - Kris A. Murray
- grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK ,MRC Unit the Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Atlantic Boulevard, Fajara, The Gambia
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Charnley GEC, Kelman I, Murray KA. Drought-related cholera outbreaks in Africa and the implications for climate change: a narrative review. Pathog Glob Health 2022; 116:3-12. [PMID: 34602024 PMCID: PMC8812730 DOI: 10.1080/20477724.2021.1981716] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Africa has historically seen several periods of prolonged and extreme droughts across the continent, causing food insecurity, exacerbating social inequity and frequent mortality. A known consequence of droughts and their associated risk factors are infectious disease outbreaks, which are worsened by malnutrition, poor access to water, sanitation and hygiene and population displacement. Cholera is a potential causative agent of such outbreaks. Africa has the highest global cholera burden, several drought-prone regions and high levels of inequity. Despite this, research on cholera and drought in Africa is lacking. Here, we review available research on drought-related cholera outbreaks in Africa and identify a variety of potential mechanisms through which these outbreaks occurred, including poor access to water, marginalization of refugees and nomadic populations, expansion of informal urban settlements and demographic risks. Future climate change may alter precipitation, temperature and drought patterns, resulting in more extremes, although these changes are likely to be spatially heterogeneous. Despite high uncertainty in future drought projections, increases in drought frequency and/or durations have the potential to alter these related outbreaks into the future, potentially increasing cholera burden in the absence of countermeasures (e.g. improved sanitation infrastructure). To enable effective planning for a potentially more drought-prone Africa, inequity must be addressed, research on the health implications of drought should be enhanced, and better drought diplomacy is required to improve drought resilience under climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gina E. C. Charnley
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Ilan Kelman
- University of Agder, Kristiansand, Norway
- Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, London, UK
- Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, Faculty of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University College London, London, UK
| | - Kris A. Murray
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Mrc Unit the Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia
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10
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Kayembe HCN, Linard C, Bompangue D, Muwonga J, Moutschen M, Situakibanza H, Ozer P. The spread of cholera in western Democratic Republic of the Congo is not unidirectional from East-West: a spatiotemporal analysis, 1973-2018. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:1261. [PMID: 34923959 PMCID: PMC8684622 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06986-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2021] [Accepted: 12/16/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cholera outbreaks in western Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) are thought to be primarily the result of westward spread of cases from the Great Lakes Region. However, other patterns of spatial spread in this part of the country should not be excluded. The aim of this study was to explore alternative routes of spatial spread in western DRC. METHODS A literature review was conducted to reconstruct major outbreak expansions of cholera in western DRC since its introduction in 1973. We also collected data on cholera cases reported at the health zone (HZ) scale by the national surveillance system during 2000-2018. Based on data from routine disease surveillance, we identified two subperiods (week 45, 2012-week 42, 2013 and week 40, 2017-week 52, 2018) for which the retrospective space-time permutation scan statistic was implemented to detect spatiotemporal clusters of cholera cases and then to infer the spread patterns in western DRC other than that described in the literature. RESULTS Beyond westward and cross-border spread in the West Congo Basin from the Great Lakes Region, other dynamics of cholera epidemic propagation were observed from neighboring countries, such as Angola, to non-endemic provinces of southwestern DRC. Space-time clustering analyses sequentially detected clusters of cholera cases from southwestern DRC to the northern provinces, demonstrating a downstream-to-upstream spread along the Congo River. CONCLUSIONS The spread of cholera in western DRC is not one-sided. There are other patterns of spatial spread, including a propagation from downstream to upstream areas along the Congo River, to be considered as preferential trajectories of cholera in western DRC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harry César Ntumba Kayembe
- Service d'Ecologie et Contrôle des Maladies Infectieuses, Département des Sciences de Base, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.
- Département de Sciences Et Gestion de L'environnement, Faculté Des Sciences, Université de Liège, Arlon, Belgium.
- Service d'Ecologie et Contrôle des Maladies Infectieuses, Département des Sciences de Base, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kin XI, B.P. : 834, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.
| | | | - Didier Bompangue
- Service d'Ecologie et Contrôle des Maladies Infectieuses, Département des Sciences de Base, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
- Chrono-Environnement, UMR CNRS 6249, Université de Franche-Comté, Besançon, France
| | - Jérémie Muwonga
- Département de Biologie Clinique, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | - Michel Moutschen
- Département des Sciences Cliniques, Immunopathologie-Maladies infectieuses et Médecine interne générale, Université de Liège, Liege, Belgium
| | - Hippolyte Situakibanza
- Département de Médecine Interne, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
- Département de Parasitologie Et Médecine Tropicale, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | - Pierre Ozer
- Département de Sciences Et Gestion de L'environnement, Faculté Des Sciences, Université de Liège, Arlon, Belgium
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11
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Yang X, Xiong W, Huang T, He J. Meteorological and social conditions contribute to infectious diarrhea in China. Sci Rep 2021; 11:23374. [PMID: 34862400 PMCID: PMC8642416 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-00932-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2021] [Accepted: 10/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Infectious diarrhea in China showed a significant pattern. Many researchers have tried to reveal the drivers, yet usually only meteorological factors were taken into consideration. Furthermore, the diarrheal data they analyzed were incomplete and the algorithms they exploited were inefficient of adapting realistic relationships. Here, we investigate the impacts of meteorological and social factors on the number of infectious diarrhea cases in China. A machine learning algorithm called the Random Forest is utilized. Our results demonstrate that nearly half of infectious diarrhea occurred among children under 5 years old. Generally speaking, increasing temperature or relative humidity leads to increased cases of infectious diarrhea in China. Nevertheless, people from different age groups or different regions own different sensitivities to meteorological factors. The weight of feces that are harmfully treated could be a possible reason for infectious diarrhea of the elderly as well as children under 5 years old. These findings indicate that infectious diarrhea prevention for children under 5 years old remains a primary task in China. Personalized prevention countermeasures ought to be provided to different age groups and different regions. It is essential to bring the weight of feces that are harmfully treated to the forefront when considering infectious diarrhea prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiang Yang
- grid.24695.3c0000 0001 1431 9176Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, No. 11, Bei San Huan Dong Lu, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100029 China
| | - Weifeng Xiong
- grid.24695.3c0000 0001 1431 9176Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, No. 11, Bei San Huan Dong Lu, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100029 China
| | - Tianyao Huang
- grid.12527.330000 0001 0662 3178Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, 100084 China
| | - Juan He
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, No. 11, Bei San Huan Dong Lu, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100029, China.
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12
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Exploring relationships between drought and epidemic cholera in Africa using generalised linear models. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:1177. [PMID: 34809609 PMCID: PMC8609751 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06856-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2021] [Accepted: 11/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Temperature and precipitation are known to affect Vibrio cholerae outbreaks. Despite this, the impact of drought on outbreaks has been largely understudied. Africa is both drought and cholera prone and more research is needed in Africa to understand cholera dynamics in relation to drought. Methods Here, we analyse a range of environmental and socioeconomic covariates and fit generalised linear models to publicly available national data, to test for associations with several indices of drought and make cholera outbreak projections to 2070 under three scenarios of global change, reflecting varying trajectories of CO2 emissions, socio-economic development, and population growth. Results The best-fit model implies that drought is a significant risk factor for African cholera outbreaks, alongside positive effects of population, temperature and poverty and a negative effect of freshwater withdrawal. The projections show that following stringent emissions pathways and expanding sustainable development may reduce cholera outbreak occurrence in Africa, although these changes were spatially heterogeneous. Conclusions Despite an effect of drought in explaining recent cholera outbreaks, future projections highlighted the potential for sustainable development gains to offset drought-related impacts on cholera risk. Future work should build on this research investigating the impacts of drought on cholera on a finer spatial scale and potential non-linear relationships, especially in high-burden countries which saw little cholera change in the scenario analysis. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06856-4.
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D'Mello-Guyett L, Cumming O, Bonneville S, D'hondt R, Mashako M, Nakoka B, Gorski A, Verheyen D, Van den Bergh R, Welo PO, Maes P, Checchi F. Effectiveness of hygiene kit distribution to reduce cholera transmission in Kasaï-Oriental, Democratic Republic of Congo, 2018: a prospective cohort study. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e050943. [PMID: 34649847 PMCID: PMC8522665 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Accepted: 09/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Household contacts of cholera cases are at a greater risk of Vibrio cholerae infection than the general population. There is currently no agreed standard of care for household contacts, despite their high risk of infection, in cholera response strategies. In 2018, hygiene kit distribution and health promotion was recommended by Médecins Sans Frontières for admitted patients and accompanying household members on admission to a cholera treatment unit in the Democratic Republic of Congo. METHODS To investigate the effectiveness of the intervention and risk factors for cholera infection, we conducted a prospective cohort study and followed household contacts for 7 days after patient admission. Clinical surveillance among household contacts was based on self-reported symptoms of cholera and diarrhoea, and environmental surveillance through the collection and analysis of food and water samples. RESULTS From 94 eligible households, 469 household contacts were enrolled and 444 completed follow-up. Multivariate analysis suggested evidence of a dose-response relationship with increased kit use associated with decreased relative risk of suspected cholera: household contacts in the high kit-use group had a 66% lower incidence of suspected cholera (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 0.34, 95% CI 0.11 to 1.03, p=0.055), the mid-use group had a 53% lower incidence (aRR 0.47, 95% CI 0.17 to 1.29, p=1.44) and low-use group had 22% lower incidence (aRR 0.78, 95% CI 0.24 to 2.53, p=0.684), compared with household contacts without a kit. Drinking water contamination was significantly reduced among households in receipt of a kit. There was no significant effect on self-reported diarrhoea or food contamination. CONCLUSION The integration of a hygiene kit intervention to case-households may be effective in reducing cholera transmission among household contacts and environmental contamination within the household. Further work is required to evaluate whether other proactive localised distribution among patients and case-households or to households surrounding cholera cases can be used in future cholera response programmes in emergency contexts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren D'Mello-Guyett
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Oliver Cumming
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
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14
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Griffiths K, Moise K, Piarroux M, Gaudart J, Beaulieu S, Bulit G, Marseille JP, Jasmin PM, Namphy PC, Henrys JH, Piarroux R, Rebaudet S. Delineating and Analyzing Locality-Level Determinants of Cholera, Haiti. Emerg Infect Dis 2021; 27:170-181. [PMID: 33350917 PMCID: PMC7774537 DOI: 10.3201/eid2701.191787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Centre Department, Haiti, was the origin of a major cholera epidemic during 2010–2019. Although no fine-scale spatial delineation is officially available, we aimed to analyze determinants of cholera at the local level and identify priority localities in need of interventions. After estimating the likely boundaries of 1,730 localities by using Voronoi polygons, we mapped 5,322 suspected cholera cases reported during January 2015–September 2016 by locality alongside environmental and socioeconomic variables. A hierarchical clustering on principal components highlighted 2 classes with high cholera risk: localities close to rivers and unimproved water sources (standardized incidence ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.02–2.87; p = 0.04) and urban localities with markets (standardized incidence ratio 1.69, 95% CI 1.25–2.29; p = 0.0006). Our analyses helped identify and characterize areas where efforts should be focused to reduce vulnerability to cholera and other waterborne diseases; these methods could be used in other contexts.
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Debes AK, Shaffer AM, Ndikumana T, Liesse I, Ribaira E, Djumo C, Ali M, Sack DA. Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination. Trop Med Infect Dis 2021; 6:76. [PMID: 34064986 PMCID: PMC8163194 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed6020076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2021] [Revised: 05/03/2021] [Accepted: 05/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
The Republic of Burundi first reported cholera cases in 1978 and outbreaks have been occurring nearly every year since then. From 2008-2020, 6949 cases and 43 deaths were officially reported. To evaluate Burundi's potential to eliminate cholera, we identified hotspots using cholera incidence and disease persistence as suggested by the Global Task Force for Cholera Control. The mean annual incidence for each district that reported cholera ranged from 0.29 to 563.14 cases per 100,000 population per year from 2014-2020. Ten of 12 Health Districts which recorded cholera cases reported a mean annual incidence ≥5 per 100,000 for this time period. Cholera cases occur during the second half of the year in the areas near Lake Tanganyika and along the Ruzizi River, with the highest risk district being Bujumbura Centre. Additional research is needed to understand the role of Lake Tanganyika; risks associated with fishing; migration patterns; and other factors that may explain cholera's seasonality. Due to the consistent epidemiological pattern and the relatively small area affected by cholera, control and elimination are feasible with an integrated program of campaigns using oral cholera vaccine over the short term and community-based interventions including WASH activities for sustained control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanda K. Debes
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA; (A.M.S.); (M.A.); (D.A.S.)
| | - Allison M. Shaffer
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA; (A.M.S.); (M.A.); (D.A.S.)
| | - Thaddee Ndikumana
- Ministry of Public Health, Rue Pierre Ngendandumwe, Bujumbura B.P. 1650, Burundi; (T.N.); (I.L.)
| | - Iteka Liesse
- Ministry of Public Health, Rue Pierre Ngendandumwe, Bujumbura B.P. 1650, Burundi; (T.N.); (I.L.)
| | - Eric Ribaira
- UNICEF Burundi Country Office, Bujumbura B.P. 1650, Burundi; (E.R.); (C.D.)
| | - Clement Djumo
- UNICEF Burundi Country Office, Bujumbura B.P. 1650, Burundi; (E.R.); (C.D.)
| | - Mohammad Ali
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA; (A.M.S.); (M.A.); (D.A.S.)
| | - David A. Sack
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA; (A.M.S.); (M.A.); (D.A.S.)
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Opoku SK, Filho WL, Hubert F, Adejumo O. Climate Change and Health Preparedness in Africa: Analysing Trends in Six African Countries. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18094672. [PMID: 33925753 PMCID: PMC8124714 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18094672] [Citation(s) in RCA: 208] [Impact Index Per Article: 52.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2021] [Revised: 04/12/2021] [Accepted: 04/17/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Climate change is a global problem, which affects the various geographical regions at different levels. It is also associated with a wide range of human health problems, which pose a burden to health systems, especially in regions such as Africa. Indeed, across the African continent public health systems are under severe pressure, partly due to their fragile socioeconomic conditions. This paper reports on a cross-sectional study in six African countries (Ghana, Nigeria, South Africa, Namibia, Ethiopia, and Kenya) aimed at assessing their vulnerabilities to climate change, focusing on its impacts on human health. The study evaluated the levels of information, knowledge, and perceptions of public health professionals. It also examined the health systems’ preparedness to cope with these health hazards, the available resources, and those needed to build resilience to the country’s vulnerable population, as perceived by health professionals. The results revealed that 63.1% of the total respondents reported that climate change had been extensively experienced in the past years, while 32% claimed that the sampled countries had experienced them to some extent. Nigerian respondents recorded the highest levels (67.7%), followed by Kenya with 66.6%. South Africa had the lowest level of impact as perceived by the respondents (50.0%) when compared with the other sampled countries. All respondents from Ghana and Namibia reported that health problems caused by climate change are common in the two countries. As perceived by the health professionals, the inadequate resources reiterate the need for infrastructural resources, medical equipment, emergency response resources, and technical support. The study’s recommendations include the need to improve current policies at all levels (i.e., national, regional, and local) on climate change and public health and to strengthen health professionals’ skills. Improving the basic knowledge of health institutions to better respond to a changing climate is also recommended. The study provides valuable insights which may be helpful to other nations in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuel Kwasi Opoku
- Research and Transfer Centre “Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, Ulmenliet 20, D-21033 Hamburg, Germany; (S.K.O.); (F.H.)
| | - Walter Leal Filho
- Research and Transfer Centre “Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, Ulmenliet 20, D-21033 Hamburg, Germany; (S.K.O.); (F.H.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Fudjumdjum Hubert
- Research and Transfer Centre “Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, Ulmenliet 20, D-21033 Hamburg, Germany; (S.K.O.); (F.H.)
| | - Oluwabunmi Adejumo
- Institute for Entrepreneurship and Development Studies, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife 220282, Osun State, Nigeria;
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Ngwa MC, Ihekweazu C, Okwor T, Yennan S, Williams N, Elimian K, Karaye NY, Bello IW, Sack DA. The cholera risk assessment in Kano State, Nigeria: A historical review, mapping of hotspots and evaluation of contextual factors. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009046. [PMID: 33465091 PMCID: PMC7846125 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2020] [Revised: 01/29/2021] [Accepted: 12/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Nigeria is endemic for cholera since 1970, and Kano State report outbreaks annually with high case fatality ratios ranging from 4.98%/2010 to 5.10%/2018 over the last decade. However, interventions focused on cholera prevention and control have been hampered by a lack of understanding of hotspot Local Government Areas (LGAs) that trigger and sustain yearly outbreaks. The goal of this study was to identify and categorize cholera hotspots in Kano State to inform a national plan for disease control and elimination in the State. We obtained LGA level confirmed and suspected cholera data from 2010 to 2019 from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) and Kano State Ministry of Health. Data on inland waterbodies and population numbers were obtained from online sources and NCDC, respectively. Clusters (hotspots) were identified using SaTScan through a retrospective analysis of the data for the ten-year period using a Poisson discrete space-time scan statistic. We also used a method newly proposed by the Global Task Force on Cholera Control (GTFCC) to identify and rank hotspots based on two epidemiological indicators including mean annual incidence per 100 000 population of reported cases and the persistence of cholera for the study period. In the ten-year period, 16,461 cholera cases were reported with a case fatality ratio of 3.32% and a mean annual incidence rate of 13.4 cases per 100 000 population. Between 2010 and 2019, the most severe cholera exacerbations occurred in 2014 and 2018 with annual incidence rates of 58.01 and 21.52 cases per 100 000 inhabitants, respectively. Compared to 2017, reported cases and deaths increased by 214.56% and 406.67% in 2018. The geographic distribution of outbreaks revealed considerable spatial heterogeneity with the widest in 2014. Space-time clustering analysis identified 18 out of 44 LGAs as high risk for cholera (hotspots) involving both urban and rural LGAs. Cholera clustered around water bodies, and the relative risk of having cholera inside the hotspot LGA were 1.02 to 3.30 times higher than elsewhere in the State. A total of 4,894,144 inhabitants were in these hotspots LGAs. Of these, six LGAs with a total population of 1.665 million had a relative risk greater than 2 compared to the state as a whole. The SaTScan (statistical) and GTFCC methods were in agreement in hotspots identification. This study identified cholera hotspots LGAs in Kano State from 2010-2019. Hotspots appeared in both urban and rural settings. Focusing control strategies on these hotspots will facilitate control and eliminate cholera from the State.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moise Chi Ngwa
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | | | - Tochi Okwor
- Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Nigeria
| | | | | | - Kelly Elimian
- Department of Microbiology, University of Benin, Nigeria
| | - Nura Yahaya Karaye
- Department of Public Health and Disease Control, Kano State Ministry of Health, Kano, Nigeria
| | - Imam Wada Bello
- Department of Public Health and Disease Control, Ministry of Health Kano, Kano, Nigeria
| | - David A. Sack
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
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18
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Campbell AM, Racault MF, Goult S, Laurenson A. Cholera Risk: A Machine Learning Approach Applied to Essential Climate Variables. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2020; 17:ijerph17249378. [PMID: 33333823 PMCID: PMC7765326 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17249378] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2020] [Revised: 11/24/2020] [Accepted: 12/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
Oceanic and coastal ecosystems have undergone complex environmental changes in recent years, amid a context of climate change. These changes are also reflected in the dynamics of water-borne diseases as some of the causative agents of these illnesses are ubiquitous in the aquatic environment and their survival rates are impacted by changes in climatic conditions. Previous studies have established strong relationships between essential climate variables and the coastal distribution and seasonal dynamics of the bacteria Vibrio cholerae, pathogenic types of which are responsible for human cholera disease. In this study we provide a novel exploration of the potential of a machine learning approach to forecast environmental cholera risk in coastal India, home to more than 200 million inhabitants, utilising atmospheric, terrestrial and oceanic satellite-derived essential climate variables. A Random Forest classifier model is developed, trained and tested on a cholera outbreak dataset over the period 2010–2018 for districts along coastal India. The random forest classifier model has an Accuracy of 0.99, an F1 Score of 0.942 and a Sensitivity score of 0.895, meaning that 89.5% of outbreaks are correctly identified. Spatio-temporal patterns emerged in terms of the model’s performance based on seasons and coastal locations. Further analysis of the specific contribution of each Essential Climate Variable to the model outputs shows that chlorophyll-a concentration, sea surface salinity and land surface temperature are the strongest predictors of the cholera outbreaks in the dataset used. The study reveals promising potential of the use of random forest classifiers and remotely-sensed essential climate variables for the development of environmental cholera-risk applications. Further exploration of the present random forest model and associated essential climate variables is encouraged on cholera surveillance datasets in other coastal areas affected by the disease to determine the model’s transferability potential and applicative value for cholera forecasting systems.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Marie-Fanny Racault
- Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place, The Hoe, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK; (S.G.); (A.L.)
- National Centre For Earth Observation, PML, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK
- Correspondence:
| | - Stephen Goult
- Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place, The Hoe, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK; (S.G.); (A.L.)
- National Centre For Earth Observation, PML, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK
| | - Angus Laurenson
- Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place, The Hoe, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK; (S.G.); (A.L.)
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19
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A review of the risk of cholera outbreaks and urbanization in sub-Saharan Africa. JOURNAL OF BIOSAFETY AND BIOSECURITY 2020. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jobb.2020.11.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
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20
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Asadgol Z, Badirzadeh A, Niazi S, Mokhayeri Y, Kermani M, Mohammadi H, Gholami M. How climate change can affect cholera incidence and prevalence? A systematic review. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2020; 27:34906-34926. [PMID: 32661979 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-09992-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/29/2020] [Accepted: 07/01/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Although the number of cholera infection decreased universally, climate change can potentially affect both incidence and prevalence rates of disease in endemic regions. There is considerable consistent evidence, explaining the associations between cholera and climatic variables. However, it is essentially required to compare and interpret these relationships globally. The aim of the present study was to carry out a systematic review in order to identify and appraise the literature concerning the relationship between nonanthropogenic climatic variabilities such as extreme weather- and ocean-related variables and cholera infection rates. The systematic literature review of studies was conducted by using determined search terms via four major electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Scopus) according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach. This search focused on published articles in English-language up to December 31, 2018. A total of 43 full-text studies that met our criteria have been identified and included in our analysis. The reviewed studies demonstrated that cholera incidence is highly attributed to climatic variables, especially rainfall, temperature, sea surface temperature (SST) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The association between cholera incidence and climatic variables has been investigated by a variety of data analysis methodologies, most commonly time series analysis, generalized linear model (GLM), regression analysis, and spatial/GIS. The results of this study assist the policy-makers who provide the efforts for planning and prevention actions in the face of changing global climatic variables.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zahra Asadgol
- Research Center for Environmental Health Technology, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Alireza Badirzadeh
- Department of Parasitology and Mycology, School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sadegh Niazi
- Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Science and Engineering Faculty, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Yaser Mokhayeri
- Cardiovascular Research Center, Shahid Rahimi Hospital, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran
| | - Majid Kermani
- Research Center for Environmental Health Technology, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran.
| | - Mitra Gholami
- Research Center for Environmental Health Technology, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Batumbo Boloweti D, Giraudoux P, Deniel C, Garnier E, Mauny F, Kasereka CM, Kizungu R, Muyembe JJ, Bompangue D, Bornette G. Volcanic activity controls cholera outbreaks in the East African Rift. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008406. [PMID: 32776919 PMCID: PMC7441828 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008406] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2019] [Revised: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 05/21/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
We hypothesized that Cholera (Vibrio cholerae) that appeared along Lake Kivu in the African Rift in the seventies, might be controlled by volcano-tectonic activity, which, by increasing surface water and groundwater salinity and temperature, may partly rule the water characteristics of Lake Kivu and promote V. cholerae proliferation. Volcanic activity (assessed weekly by the SO2 flux of Nyiragongo volcano plume over the 2007-2012 period) is highly positively correlated with the water conductivity, salinity and temperature of the Kivu lake. Over the 2007-2012 period, these three parameters were highly positively correlated with the temporal dynamics of cholera cases in the Katana health zone that border the lake. Meteorological variables (air temperature and rainfall), and the other water characteristics (namely pH and dissolved oxygen concentration in lake water) were unrelated to cholera dynamics over the same period. Over the 2016-2018 period, we sampled weekly lake water salinity and conductivity, and twice a month vibrio occurrence in lake water and fish. The abundance of V. cholerae in the lake was positively correlated with lake salinity, temperature, and the number of cholera cases in the population of the Katana health zone. V. cholerae abundance in fishes was positively correlated with V. cholerae abundance in lake water, suggesting that their consumption directly contaminate humans. The activity of the volcano, by controlling the physico-chemical characteristics of Lake Kivu, is therefore a major determinant of the presence of the bacillus in the lake. SO2 fluxes in the volcano plume can be used as a tool to predict epidemic risks.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Patrick Giraudoux
- UMR CNRS 6249 Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne Franche
Comté, Besançon, France
| | - Catherine Deniel
- UMR CNRS 6524 Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, University of Blaise
Pascal-CNRS-IRD, Clermont Ferrand, France
| | - Emmanuel Garnier
- UMR CNRS 6249 Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne Franche
Comté, Besançon, France
| | - Frederic Mauny
- UMR CNRS 6249 Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne Franche
Comté, Besançon, France
| | | | - Roger Kizungu
- Faculty of Agronomy, University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic
Republic of Congo
| | - Jean Jacques Muyembe
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Kinshasa,
Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Didier Bompangue
- UMR CNRS 6249 Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne Franche
Comté, Besançon, France
| | - Gudrun Bornette
- UMR CNRS 6249 Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne Franche
Comté, Besançon, France
- * E-mail:
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22
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Bwire G, Sack DA, Kagirita A, Obala T, Debes AK, Ram M, Komakech H, George CM, Orach CG. The quality of drinking and domestic water from the surface water sources (lakes, rivers, irrigation canals and ponds) and springs in cholera prone communities of Uganda: an analysis of vital physicochemical parameters. BMC Public Health 2020; 20:1128. [PMID: 32680495 PMCID: PMC7368733 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-020-09186-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2019] [Accepted: 07/01/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Water is the most abundant resource on earth, however water scarcity affects more than 40% of people worldwide. Access to safe drinking water is a basic human right and is a United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6. Globally, waterborne diseases such as cholera are responsible for over two million deaths annually. Cholera is a major cause of ill-health in Africa and Uganda. This study aimed to determine the physicochemical characteristics of the surface and spring water in cholera endemic communities of Uganda in order to promote access to safe drinking water. METHODS A longitudinal study was carried out between February 2015 and January 2016 in cholera prone communities of Uganda. Surface and spring water used for domestic purposes including drinking from 27 sites (lakes, rivers, irrigation canal, springs and ponds) were tested monthly to determine the vital physicochemical parameters, namely pH, temperature, dissolved oxygen, conductivity and turbidity. RESULTS Overall, 318 water samples were tested. Twenty-six percent (36/135) of the tested samples had mean test results that were outside the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended drinking water range. All sites (100%, 27/27) had mean water turbidity values greater than the WHO drinking water recommended standards and the temperature of above 17 °C. In addition, 27% (3/11) of the lake sites and 2/5 of the ponds had pH and dissolved oxygen respectively outside the WHO recommended range of 6.5-8.5 for pH and less than 5 mg/L for dissolved oxygen. These physicochemical conditions were ideal for survival of Vibrio. cholerae. CONCLUSIONS This study showed that surface water and springs in the study area were unsafe for drinking and had favourable physicochemical parameters for propagation of waterborne diseases including cholera. Therefore, for Uganda to attain the SDG 6 targets and to eliminate cholera by 2030, more efforts are needed to promote access to safe drinking water. Also, since this study only established the vital water physicochemical parameters, further studies are recommended to determine the other water physicochemical parameters such as the nitrates and copper. Studies are also needed to establish the causal-effect relationship between V. cholerae and the physicochemical parameters.
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Affiliation(s)
- Godfrey Bwire
- Department of Community and Behavioral Sciences, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda.
| | - David A Sack
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Dove Project, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Atek Kagirita
- Uganda National Health Laboratory Services (UNHS/CPHL), Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Tonny Obala
- Department of Quality Control, Uganda National Drug Authority, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Amanda K Debes
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Dove Project, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Malathi Ram
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Dove Project, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Henry Komakech
- Department of Community and Behavioral Sciences, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Christine Marie George
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Dove Project, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Christopher Garimoi Orach
- Department of Community and Behavioral Sciences, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
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23
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Smirnova A, Sterrett N, Mujica OJ, Munayco C, Suárez L, Viboud C, Chowell G. Spatial dynamics and the basic reproduction number of the 1991-1997 Cholera epidemic in Peru. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008045. [PMID: 32663235 PMCID: PMC7360044 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008045] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2019] [Accepted: 01/09/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
After being cholera free for over 100 years, Peru experienced an unprecedented epidemic of Vibrio cholerae O1 that began in 1991 and generated multiple waves of disease over several years. We developed a mechanistic transmission model that accounts for seasonal variation in temperature to estimate spatial variability in the basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]), the initial concentration of vibrios in the environment, and cholera reporting rates. From 1991-1997, cholera spread following a multi-wave pattern, with weekly incidence concentrated during warm seasons. The epidemic first hit the coastal departments of Peru and subsequently spread through the highlands and jungle regions. The correlation between model predictions and observations was high (range in R2: 58% to 97%). Department-level population size and elevation explained significant variation in spatial-temporal transmission patterns. The overall R0 across departments was estimated at 2.1 (95% CI: 0.8,7.3), high enough for sustained transmission. Geographic-region level [Formula: see text] varied substantially from 2.4 (95% CI: 1.1, 7.3) for the coastal region, 1.9 (0.7, 6.4) for the jungle region, and 1.5 (0.9, 2.2) for the highlands region. At the department level, mean [Formula: see text] ranged from 0.8 to 6.9. Department-level [Formula: see text] were correlated with overall observed attack rates (Spearman ρ = 0.59, P = 0.002), elevation (ρ = -0.4, P = 0.04), and longitude (ρ = -0.6, P = 0.004). We find that both [Formula: see text] and the initial concentration of vibrios were higher in coastal departments than other departments. Reporting rates were low, consistent with a substantial fraction of asymptomatic or mild cases associated with the El Tor cholera biotype. Our results suggest that cholera vibrios, autochthonous to plankton in the natural aquatic environment, may have triggered outbreaks in multiple coastal locations along the Pacific coast of Peru. Our methodology could be useful to investigate multi-wave epidemics of cholera and could be extended to conduct near real-time forecasts and investigate the impact of vaccination strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra Smirnova
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Natalie Sterrett
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Oscar J. Mujica
- Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), Washington DC, United States of America
| | - César Munayco
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Lima, Peru
| | - Luis Suárez
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Lima, Peru
| | - Cécile Viboud
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Gerardo Chowell
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America
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24
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Bompangue D, Moore S, Taty N, Impouma B, Sudre B, Manda R, Balde T, Mboussou F, Vandevelde T. Description of the targeted water supply and hygiene response strategy implemented during the cholera outbreak of 2017-2018 in Kinshasa, DRC. BMC Infect Dis 2020; 20:226. [PMID: 32183745 PMCID: PMC7079479 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-020-4916-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2019] [Accepted: 02/21/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Rapid control of cholera outbreaks is a significant challenge in overpopulated urban areas. During late-2017, Kinshasa, the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, experienced a cholera outbreak that showed potential to spread throughout the city. A novel targeted water and hygiene response strategy was implemented to quickly stem the outbreak. Methods We describe the first implementation of the cluster grid response strategy carried out in the community during the cholera outbreak in Kinshasa, in which response activities targeted cholera case clusters using a grid approach. Interventions focused on emergency water supply, household water treatment and safe storage, home disinfection and hygiene promotion. We also performed a preliminary community trial study to assess the temporal pattern of the outbreak before and after response interventions were implemented. Cholera surveillance databases from the Ministry of Health were analyzed to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics of the outbreak using epidemic curves and maps. Results From January 2017 to November 2018, a total of 1712 suspected cholera cases were reported in Kinshasa. During this period, the most affected health zones included Binza Météo, Limeté, Kokolo, Kintambo and Kingabwa. Following implementation of the response strategy, the weekly cholera case numbers in Binza Météo, Kintambo and Limeté decreased by an average of 57% after 2 weeks and 86% after 4 weeks. The total weekly case numbers throughout Kinshasa Province dropped by 71% 4 weeks after the peak of the outbreak. Conclusion During the 2017–2018 period, Kinshasa experienced a sharp increase in cholera case numbers. To contain the outbreak, water supply and hygiene response interventions targeted case households, nearby neighbors and public areas in case clusters using a grid approach. Following implementation of the response, the outbreak in Kinshasa was quickly brought under control. A similar approach may be adapted to quickly interrupt cholera transmission in other urban settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Didier Bompangue
- Ministry of Health, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.,Faculty of Medicine, University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.,Laboratory Chrono-Environnement, UMR 6249, University of Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Bourgogne Franche-Comté, France
| | | | - Nadège Taty
- Ministry of Health, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.,Faculty of Medicine, University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | - Benido Impouma
- World Health Organization, African Regional Office, Brazzaville, Republic of, Congo
| | - Bertrand Sudre
- Laboratory Chrono-Environnement, UMR 6249, University of Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Bourgogne Franche-Comté, France
| | - Richard Manda
- Ministry of Health, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | - Thierno Balde
- World Health Organization, African Regional Office, Brazzaville, Republic of, Congo
| | - Franck Mboussou
- World Health Organization, African Regional Office, Brazzaville, Republic of, Congo
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25
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Hounmanou YMG, Leekitcharoenphon P, Kudirkiene E, Mdegela RH, Hendriksen RS, Olsen JE, Dalsgaard A. Genomic insights into Vibrio cholerae O1 responsible for cholera epidemics in Tanzania between 1993 and 2017. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2019; 13:e0007934. [PMID: 31869327 PMCID: PMC6927581 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007934] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2019] [Accepted: 11/18/2019] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Tanzania is one of seven countries with the highest disease burden caused by cholera in Africa. We studied the evolution of Vibrio cholerae O1 isolated in Tanzania during the past three decades. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Genome-wide analysis was performed to characterize V. cholerae O1 responsible for the Tanzanian 2015-2017 outbreak along with strains causing outbreaks in the country for the past three decades. The genomes were further analyzed in a global context of 590 strains of the seventh cholera pandemic (7PET), as well as environmental isolates from Lake Victoria. All Tanzanian cholera outbreaks were caused by the 7PET lineage. The T5 sub-lineage (ctxB3) dominated outbreaks until 1997, followed by the T10 atypical El Tor (ctxB1) up to 2015, which were replaced by the T13 atypical El Tor of the current third wave (ctxB7) causing most cholera outbreaks until 2017 with T13 being phylogenetically related to strains from East African countries, Yemen and Lake Victoria. The strains were less drug resistant with approximate 10-kb deletions found in the SXT element, which encodes resistance to sulfamethoxazole and trimethoprim. Nucleotide deletions were observed in the CTX prophage of some strains, which warrants further virulence studies. Outbreak strains share 90% of core genes with V. cholerae O1 from Lake Victoria with as low as three SNPs difference and a significantly similar accessory genome, composed of genomic islands namely the CTX prophage, Vibrio Pathogenicity Islands; toxin co-regulated pilus biosynthesis proteins and the SXT-ICE element. CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE Characterization of V. cholerae O1 from Tanzania reveals genetic diversity of the 7PET lineage composed of T5, T10 and T13 sub-lineages with introductions of new sequence types from neighboring countries. The presence of these sub-lineages in environmental isolates suggests that the African Great Lakes may serve as aquatic reservoirs for survival of V. cholerae O1 favoring continuous human exposure.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Egle Kudirkiene
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Robinson H. Mdegela
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Rene S. Hendriksen
- National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark
| | - John Elmerdahl Olsen
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anders Dalsgaard
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- School of Chemical and Biomedical Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore city, Singapore
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26
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Heaney AK, Shaman J, Alexander KA. El Niño-Southern oscillation and under-5 diarrhea in Botswana. Nat Commun 2019; 10:5798. [PMID: 31862873 PMCID: PMC6925142 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-13584-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2019] [Accepted: 11/14/2019] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Childhood diarrheal disease causes significant morbidity and mortality in low and middle-income countries, yet our ability to accurately predict diarrhea incidence remains limited. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been shown to affect diarrhea dynamics in South America and Asia. However, understanding of its effects in sub-Saharan Africa, where the burden of under-5 diarrhea is high, remains inadequate. Here we investigate the connections between ENSO, local environmental conditions, and childhood diarrheal disease in Chobe District, Botswana. Our results demonstrate that La Niña conditions are associated with cooler temperatures, increased rainfall, and higher flooding in the Chobe region during the rainy season. In turn, La Niña conditions lagged 0–5 months are associated with higher than average incidence of under-5 diarrhea in the early rainy season. These findings demonstrate the potential use of ENSO as a long-lead prediction tool for childhood diarrhea in southern Africa. Here, Heaney et al. show that La Niña conditions are associated with higher than average incidence of childhood diarrheal disease in Botswana in the early rainy season. This finding could help to predict childhood diarrhea outbreaks in southern Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra K Heaney
- Environmental Health Sciences Department, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, USA.
| | - Jeffrey Shaman
- Environmental Health Sciences Department, Columbia University, New York, USA
| | - Kathleen A Alexander
- Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, USA.,Chobe Research Center, Center for African Resources: Animals Communities and Land use (CARACAL), Kasane, Botswana
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27
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Environmental Reservoirs of Vibrio cholerae: Challenges and Opportunities for Ocean-Color Remote Sensing. REMOTE SENSING 2019. [DOI: 10.3390/rs11232763] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]
Abstract
The World Health Organization has estimated the burden of the on-going pandemic of cholera at 1.3 to 4 million cases per year worldwide in 2016, and a doubling of case-fatality-rate to 1.8% in 2016 from 0.8% in 2015. The disease cholera is caused by the bacterium Vibrio cholerae that can be found in environmental reservoirs, living either in free planktonic form or in association with host organisms, non-living particulate matter or in the sediment, and participating in various biogeochemical cycles. An increasing number of epidemiological studies are using land- and water-based remote-sensing observations for monitoring, surveillance, or risk mapping of Vibrio pathogens and cholera outbreaks. Although the Vibrio pathogens cannot be sensed directly by satellite sensors, remotely-sensed data can be used to infer their presence. Here, we review the use of ocean-color remote-sensing data, in conjunction with information on the ecology of the pathogen, to map its distribution and forecast risk of disease occurrence. Finally, we assess how satellite-based information on cholera may help support the Sustainable Development Goals and targets on Health (Goal 3), Water Quality (Goal 6), Climate (Goal 13), and Life Below Water (Goal 14).
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28
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Hounmanou YMG, Mølbak K, Kähler J, Mdegela RH, Olsen JE, Dalsgaard A. Cholera hotspots and surveillance constraints contributing to recurrent epidemics in Tanzania. BMC Res Notes 2019; 12:664. [PMID: 31639037 PMCID: PMC6805412 DOI: 10.1186/s13104-019-4731-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2019] [Accepted: 10/14/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We described the dynamics of cholera in Tanzania between 2007 and 2017 and assessed the weaknesses of the current surveillance system in providing necessary data in achieving the global roadmap to 2030 for cholera control. RESULTS The Poisson-based spatial scan identified cholera hotspots in mainland Tanzania. A zero-inflated Poisson regression investigated the relationship between the incidence of cholera and available demographic, socio-economic and climatic exposure variables. Four cholera hotspots were detected covering 17 regions, home to 28 million people, including the central regions and those surrounding the Lakes Victoria, Tanganyika and Nyaza. The risk of experiencing cholera in these regions was up to 2.9 times higher than elsewhere in the country. Regression analyses revealed that every 100 km of water perimeter in a region increased the cholera incidence by 1.5%. Due to the compilation of surveillance data at regional level rather than at district, we were unable to reliably identify any other significant risk factors and specific hotspots. Cholera high-risk populations in Tanzania include those living near lakes and central regions. Successful surveillance require disaggregated data available weekly and at district levels in order to serve as data for action to support the roadmap for cholera control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaovi M G Hounmanou
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, 1870, Frederiksberg C, Copenhagen, Denmark.
| | - Kåre Mølbak
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, 1870, Frederiksberg C, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Division of Infectious Disease Preparedness, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Jonas Kähler
- Division of Infectious Disease Preparedness, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Robinson H Mdegela
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, College of Veterinary and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, PO Box: 3021, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - John E Olsen
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, 1870, Frederiksberg C, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anders Dalsgaard
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, 1870, Frederiksberg C, Copenhagen, Denmark.,School of Chemical and Biomedical Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
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Hounmanou YMG, Mdegela RH, Dougnon TV, Madsen H, Withey JH, Olsen JE, Dalsgaard A. Tilapia ( Oreochromis niloticus) as a Putative Reservoir Host for Survival and Transmission of Vibrio cholerae O1 Biotype El Tor in the Aquatic Environment. Front Microbiol 2019; 10:1215. [PMID: 31214149 PMCID: PMC6554700 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2019.01215] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2019] [Accepted: 05/15/2019] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Studies have reported the occurrence of Vibrio cholerae in fish but little is known about the interaction between fish and toxigenic V. cholerae as opposed to phytoplankton, which are well-established aquatic reservoirs for V. cholerae. The present study determined the role of tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) as a reservoir host for survival and transmission of V. cholerae in aquatic environments. Three experiments were performed with one repetition each, where O. niloticus (∼2 g) kept in beakers were inoculated with four V. cholerae strains (5 × 107 cfu/mL). Firstly, infected tilapia were kept in stagnant water and fed live brine shrimp (Artemia salina) larvae daily. Secondly, infected tilapia were kept without feeding and water was changed every 24 h. Thirdly, infected tilapia were fed and water was renewed daily. Infected tilapia and non-infected controls were sacrificed on days 1, 2, 3, 7, and 14 post-inoculation and V. cholerae were enumerated in intestinal content and water. Another experiment assessed the transmission of V. cholerae from infected to non-infected tilapia. The study revealed that El Tor biotype V. cholerae O1 and V. cholerae non-O1 colonized tilapia intestines and persisted at stable concentrations during the second week of the experiment whereas the Classical biotype was undetectable after 1 week. In stagnant water with feeding, V. cholerae counts dropped to 105 cfu/ml in water and from 107 to 104 cfu/intestine in fish after 14 days. When water was renewed, counts in water decreased from 107 to 103 cfu/ml and intestinal counts went from 106 to 102 cfu/intestine regardless of feeding. All strains were transmitted from infected to naïve fish after 24 h of cohabitation. Tilapia like other fish may play an essential role in the survival and dissemination of V. cholerae O1 in aquatic environments, e.g., the seventh pandemic strains mostly. In this study, tilapia were exposed to high concentrations of V. cholerae to ensure initial uptake and follow-up studies with lower doses resembling natural concentrations of V. cholerae in the aquatic environment are needed to confirm our findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaovi Mahuton Gildas Hounmanou
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Robinson H Mdegela
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Tamegnon Victorien Dougnon
- Research Unit in Applied Microbiology and Pharmacology of Natural Substances, Research Laboratory in Applied Biology, Polytechnic School of Abomey-Calavi, University of Abomey-Calavi, Abomey-Calavi, Benin
| | - Henry Madsen
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Jeffrey H Withey
- Department of Biochemistry, Microbiology, and Immunology, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, MI, United States
| | - John E Olsen
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anders Dalsgaard
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Mandja BAM, Bompangue D, Handschumacher P, Gonzalez JP, Salem G, Muyembe JJ, Mauny F. The score of integrated disease surveillance and response adequacy (SIA): a pragmatic score for comparing weekly reported diseases based on a systematic review. BMC Public Health 2019; 19:624. [PMID: 31118016 PMCID: PMC6532185 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-6954-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2018] [Accepted: 05/08/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy implemented by the World Health Organization (WHO) in Africa has produced a large amount of data on participating countries, and in particular on the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). These data are increasingly considered as unevaluable and, therefore, as requiring a rigorous process of validation before they can be used for research or public health purposes. The aim of this study was to propose a method to assess the level of adequacy of IDSR morbidity data in reflecting actual morbidity. METHODS A systematic search of English- and French-language articles was performed in Scopus, Medline, Science Direct, Springer Link, Cochrane, Cairn, Persée, and Erudit databases. Other types of documents were identified through manual searches. Selected articles focused on the determinants of the discrepancies (differences) between reported morbidity and actual morbidity. An adequacy score was constructed using some of the identified determinants. This score was applied to the 15 weekly reported diseases monitored by IDSR surveillance in the DRC. A classification was established using the Jenks method and a sensitivity analysis was performed. Twenty-three classes of determinants were identified in 35 IDSR technical guides and reports of outbreak investigations and in 71 out of 2254 researched articles. For each of the 15 weekly reported diseases, the SIA was composed of 12 items grouped in 6 dimensions. RESULTS The SIA classified the 15 weekly reported diseases into 3 categories or types: high score or good adequacy (value > = 14), moderate score or fair adequacy (value > = 8 and < 14), and low score or low or non-adequacy (value < 8). Regardless of the criteria used in the sensitivity analysis, there was no notable variation in SIA values or categories for any of the 15 weekly reported diseases. CONCLUSION In a context of sparse health information in low- and middle-income countries, this study developed a score to help classify IDSR morbidity data as usable, usable after adjustment, or unusable. This score can serve to prioritize, optimize, and interpret data analyses for epidemiological research or public health purposes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bien-Aimé Makasa Mandja
- Service de Microbiologie, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.
- Laboratoire Chrono-Environnement, UMR 6249 CNRS, Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Besançon, France.
| | - Didier Bompangue
- Service de Microbiologie, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
- Laboratoire Chrono-Environnement, UMR 6249 CNRS, Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Besançon, France
| | | | - Jean-Paul Gonzalez
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Division of Biomedical Graduate Research Organization, Georgetown University School of Medicine, 4000 Reservoir Road, Washington, D.C., NW, 20057, USA
| | | | - Jean-Jacques Muyembe
- Service de Microbiologie, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
- Institut National de Recherche Biomédicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Frédéric Mauny
- Laboratoire Chrono-Environnement, UMR 6249 CNRS, Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Besançon, France
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Besançon, uMETh, Besançon, France
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Ingelbeen B, Hendrickx D, Miwanda B, van der Sande MA, Mossoko M, Vochten H, Riems B, Nyakio JP, Vanlerberghe V, Lunguya O, Jacobs J, Boelaert M, Kebela BI, Bompangue D, Muyembe JJ. Recurrent Cholera Outbreaks, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2008-2017. Emerg Infect Dis 2019; 25:856-864. [PMID: 31002075 PMCID: PMC6478228 DOI: 10.3201/eid2505.181141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
In 2017, the exacerbation of an ongoing countrywide cholera outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo resulted in >53,000 reported cases and 1,145 deaths. To guide control measures, we analyzed the characteristics of cholera epidemiology in DRC on the basis of surveillance and cholera treatment center data for 2008-2017. The 2017 nationwide outbreak resulted from 3 distinct mechanisms: considerable increases in the number of cases in cholera-endemic areas, so-called hot spots, around the Great Lakes in eastern DRC; recurrent outbreaks progressing downstream along the Congo River; and spread along Congo River branches to areas that had been cholera-free for more than a decade. Case-fatality rates were higher in nonendemic areas and in the early phases of the outbreaks, possibly reflecting low levels of immunity and less appropriate prevention and treatment. Targeted use of oral cholera vaccine, soon after initial cases are diagnosed, could contribute to lower case-fatality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Berthe Miwanda
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Marianne A.B. van der Sande
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Mathias Mossoko
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Hilde Vochten
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Bram Riems
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Jean-Paul Nyakio
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Veerle Vanlerberghe
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Octavie Lunguya
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Jan Jacobs
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Marleen Boelaert
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Benoît Ilunga Kebela
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Didier Bompangue
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
| | - Jean-Jacques Muyembe
- Santé Publique France, Paris, France (B. Ingelbeen)
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden (B. Ingelbeen, D. Hendrickx)
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium (B. Ingelbeen, M.A.B. van der Sande, V. Vanlerberghe, J. Jacobs, M. Boelaert)
- Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, Germany (D. Hendrickx)
- Institut National de Recherche Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo (B. Miwanda, O. Lunguya, J.-J. Muyembe)
- Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (M.A.B. van der Sande)
- Ministère de la Santé, Kinshasa (M. Mossoko, B.I. Kebela, D. Bompangue)
- Médecins sans Frontières, Kinshasa (H. Vochten, B. Riems, J.-P. Nyakio)
- Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa (D. Bompangue)
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Alkassoum SI, Djibo I, Amadou H, Bohari A, Issoufou H, Aka J, Mamadou S. The global burden of cholera outbreaks in Niger: an analysis of the national surveillance data, 2003-2015. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2019; 113:273-280. [PMID: 30715523 DOI: 10.1093/trstmh/try145] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2018] [Revised: 11/24/2018] [Accepted: 12/21/2018] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Niger has experienced multiple cholera outbreaks since the occurrence of cholera in West Africa in 1970-1971. Understanding the origins of these geographic variations at different scales in the region and in health districts is an essential step in the rational and operational fight against this disease. METHODS We conducted a retrospective review of all suspected cholera cases in Niger from 2003 to 2015. Data from 2010 to 2015 were reviewed to determine the number and percentage of stool specimens tested, with distribution by serotype. We also determined the time between sampling and sending to a laboratory. RESULTS From 2003 through 2015 a total of 16 328 cases of cholera, including 578 deaths, were reported to the National Surveillance Database (overall case fatality rate 3.5%). The number of cases was greater among males (63.29%). Patients >15 y of age accounted for 69.80% of cases. All regions recorded cholera cases throughout the period 2003 to 2015, except in 2009, when no outbreak was reported. All epidemics recorded were due to the subtype serogroup O1 serotype Ogawa and all strains confirmed the presence of the ctxB, rstR, tcpA, zot, ace and ctxA genes encoding the toxin of this serotype. CONCLUSIONS The global burden of cholera remains high in Niger. To successfully prevent and control outbreaks, adapted guidelines and strategies should be reviewed to provide more focused information and assign clear roles and responsibilities.
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Affiliation(s)
- S I Alkassoum
- Département de Santé Publique, Faculté des Sciences de la Santé, Université Abdou Moumouni, Niamey, Niger
| | - I Djibo
- Direction de la Surveillance et la Riposte aux Epidémies, MSP, Niamey, Niger
| | - H Amadou
- Département de Santé Publique, Faculté des Sciences de la Santé, Université Dan Dicko Dan Koulodo, Maradi, Niger
| | - A Bohari
- Direction Générale de la Santé Publique, MSP, Niamey, Niger
| | - H Issoufou
- Clinique Telfi, quartier Medina, Avenue du gober, Rue MD-3, Niamey, Niger
| | - J Aka
- Département Etudes et Développement, CRESAC, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - S Mamadou
- Département des Sciences Biologiques Appliquées, Faculté des Sciences de la Santé, Université Abdou Moumouni, Niamey, Niger
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Hounmanou YMG, Leekitcharoenphon P, Hendriksen RS, Dougnon TV, Mdegela RH, Olsen JE, Dalsgaard A. Surveillance and Genomics of Toxigenic Vibrio cholerae O1 From Fish, Phytoplankton and Water in Lake Victoria, Tanzania. Front Microbiol 2019; 10:901. [PMID: 31114556 PMCID: PMC6503148 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2019.00901] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2019] [Accepted: 04/09/2019] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
The occurrence of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae O1 during a non- outbreak period in Lake Victoria was studied and genetic characteristics for environmental persistence and relatedness to pandemic strains were assessed. We analyzed 360 samples of carps, phytoplankton and water collected in 2017 during dry and rainy seasons in the Tanzanian basin of Lake Victoria. Samples were tested using PCR (ompW and ctxA) with DNA extracted from bacterial isolates and samples enriched in alkaline peptone water. Isolates were screened with polyvalent antiserum O1 followed by antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Whole genome sequencing and bioinformatics tools were employed to investigate the genomic characteristics of the isolates. More V. cholerae positive samples were recovered by PCR when DNA was obtained from enriched samples than from isolates (69.0% vs. 21.3%, p < 0.05), irrespectively of season. We identified ten V. cholerae O1 among 22 ctxA-positive isolates. Further studies are needed to serotype the remaining ctxA-positive non-O1 strains. Sequenced strains belonged to El Tor atypical biotype of V. cholerae O1 of MLST ST69 harboring the seventh pandemic gene. Major virulence genes, ctxA, ctxB, zot, ace, tcpA, hlyA, rtxA, ompU, toxR, T6SS, alsD, makA and pathogenicity islands VPI-1, VPI-2, VSP-1, and VSP-2 were found in all strains. The strains contained Vibrio polysaccharide biosynthesis enzymes, the mshA gene and two-component response regulator proteins involved in stress response and autoinducers for quorum sensing and biofilm formation. They carried the SXT integrative conjugative element with phenotypic and genotypic resistance to aminoglycoside, sulfamethoxazole, trimethoprim, phenicol, and quinolones. Strains contained a multidrug efflux pump component and were resistant to toxic compounds with copper homeostasis and cobalt-zinc-cadmium resistance proteins. The environmental strains belonged to the third wave of the seventh pandemic and most are genetically closely related to recent outbreak strains from Tanzania, Kenya, and Uganda with as low as three SNPs difference. Some strains have persisted longer in the environment and were more related to older outbreak strains in the region. V. cholerae O1 of outbreak potential seem to persist in Lake Victoria through interactions with fish and phytoplankton supported by the optimum water parameters and intrinsic genetic features enhancing survival in the aquatic environment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaovi M Gildas Hounmanou
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Pimlapas Leekitcharoenphon
- National Food Institute, WHO Collaborating Center for Antimicrobial Resistance in Food Borne Pathogens and Genomics and European Union Reference Laboratory for Antimicrobial Resistance, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark
| | - Rene S Hendriksen
- National Food Institute, WHO Collaborating Center for Antimicrobial Resistance in Food Borne Pathogens and Genomics and European Union Reference Laboratory for Antimicrobial Resistance, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark
| | - Tamegnon V Dougnon
- Research Unit in Applied Microbiology and Pharmacology of Natural Substances, Laboratory of Research in Applied Biology, Polytechnic School of Abomey-Calavi, University of Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Benin
| | - Robinson H Mdegela
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - John E Olsen
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anders Dalsgaard
- Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Abubakar A, Bwire G, Azman AS, Bouhenia M, Deng LL, Wamala JF, Rumunu J, Kagirita A, Rauzier J, Grout L, Martin S, Orach CG, Luquero FJ, Quilici ML. Cholera Epidemic in South Sudan and Uganda and Need for International Collaboration in Cholera Control. Emerg Infect Dis 2019; 24:883-887. [PMID: 29664387 PMCID: PMC5938777 DOI: 10.3201/eid2405.171651] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Combining the official cholera line list data and outbreak investigation reports from the ministries of health in Uganda and South Sudan with molecular analysis of Vibrio cholerae strains revealed the interrelatedness of the epidemics in both countries in 2014. These results highlight the need for collaboration to control cross-border outbreaks.
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Anyamba A, Chretien JP, Britch SC, Soebiyanto RP, Small JL, Jepsen R, Forshey BM, Sanchez JL, Smith RD, Harris R, Tucker CJ, Karesh WB, Linthicum KJ. Global Disease Outbreaks Associated with the 2015-2016 El Niño Event. Sci Rep 2019; 9:1930. [PMID: 30760757 PMCID: PMC6374399 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-38034-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 60] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/08/2018] [Accepted: 12/18/2018] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Interannual climate variability patterns associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon result in climate and environmental anomaly conditions in specific regions worldwide that directly favor outbreaks and/or amplification of variety of diseases of public health concern including chikungunya, hantavirus, Rift Valley fever, cholera, plague, and Zika. We analyzed patterns of some disease outbreaks during the strong 2015-2016 El Niño event in relation to climate anomalies derived from satellite measurements. Disease outbreaks in multiple El Niño-connected regions worldwide (including Southeast Asia, Tanzania, western US, and Brazil) followed shifts in rainfall, temperature, and vegetation in which both drought and flooding occurred in excess (14-81% precipitation departures from normal). These shifts favored ecological conditions appropriate for pathogens and their vectors to emerge and propagate clusters of diseases activity in these regions. Our analysis indicates that intensity of disease activity in some ENSO-teleconnected regions were approximately 2.5-28% higher during years with El Niño events than those without. Plague in Colorado and New Mexico as well as cholera in Tanzania were significantly associated with above normal rainfall (p < 0.05); while dengue in Brazil and southeast Asia were significantly associated with above normal land surface temperature (p < 0.05). Routine and ongoing global satellite monitoring of key climate variable anomalies calibrated to specific regions could identify regions at risk for emergence and propagation of disease vectors. Such information can provide sufficient lead-time for outbreak prevention and potentially reduce the burden and spread of ecologically coupled diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Assaf Anyamba
- Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, Maryland, USA.
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA.
| | - Jean-Paul Chretien
- Department of Defense, Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
- National Center for Medical Intelligence, Fort Detrick, Maryland, USA
| | - Seth C Britch
- USDA-Agricultural Research Service Center for Medical, Agricultural, and Veterinary Entomology, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Radina P Soebiyanto
- Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, Maryland, USA
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA
| | - Jennifer L Small
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA
- Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, Maryland, USA
| | - Rikke Jepsen
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA
- Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, Maryland, USA
- Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | - Brett M Forshey
- Department of Defense, Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
- Cherokee Nation Technology Solutions, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
| | - Jose L Sanchez
- Department of Defense, Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
| | - Ryan D Smith
- United States Air Force, 14th Weather Squadron - DoD Climate Services, Asheville, North Carolina, USA
| | - Ryan Harris
- United States Air Force, 14th Weather Squadron - DoD Climate Services, Asheville, North Carolina, USA
| | - Compton J Tucker
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Kenneth J Linthicum
- USDA-Agricultural Research Service Center for Medical, Agricultural, and Veterinary Entomology, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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Experience and Future Perceived Risk of Floods and Diarrheal Disease in Urban Poor Communities in Accra, Ghana. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2018; 15:ijerph15122830. [PMID: 30545071 PMCID: PMC6313637 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15122830] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2018] [Revised: 11/28/2018] [Accepted: 12/04/2018] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Diarrheal disease is a critical health condition in urban areas of developing countries due to increasing urbanization and its associated problems of sanitation and poor access to good drinking water. Increasing floods in cities have been linked to the risk of diarrheal disease. There are few studies that specifically link flooding with diarrhea diseases. This may be due to the fact that secondary data mainly hospital recorded cases, and not individual cases at the household level are used. Furthermore, of the few papers that consider the flood-diarrheal diseases nexus, none have considered risk perceptions in general, and more specifically, whether households that have experienced floods which resulted in a reported case of diarrhea, have higher perceived risks of future occurrences of the two phenomena compared to households that had different experiences. Yet, this is critical for the development of interventions that seek to increase protective behaviors and reduce the risk of contracting diarrhea. We surveyed 401 households in some selected urban poor communities in Accra, the capital of Ghana. Results show that households that experienced floods which resulted in a reported case of diarrhea, have higher perceived risk of future occurrence of the two phenomena compared to other households. We recommend public education that reduces the risk of exposure to flood and diarrhea through flood mitigation measures, including the construction of drains in communities and educating communities on good sanitation.
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Relationship between Flooding and Out Break of Infectious Diseasesin Kenya: A Review of the Literature. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2018; 2018:5452938. [PMID: 30416526 PMCID: PMC6207902 DOI: 10.1155/2018/5452938] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2018] [Accepted: 09/06/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Flooding can potentially increase the spread of infectious diseases. To enhance good understanding of the health consequences of flooding and facilitate planning for mitigation strategies, deeper consideration of the relationship between flooding and out-break of infectious diseases is required. This paper examines the relationship between occurrence of floods in Kenya and outbreak of infectious diseases and possible interventions. This review intended to build up the quality and comprehensiveness of evidence on infectious diseases arising after flooding incidence in Kenya. An extensive literature review was conducted in 2017, and published literature from 2000 to 2017 was retrieved. This review suggests that infectious disease outbreaks such as waterborne, rodent-borne, and vector-borne diseases have been associated with flooding in Kenya. But there is need for more good quality epidemiological data to cement the evidence. Comprehensive surveillance and risk assessment, early warning systems, emergency planning, and well-coordinated collaborations are essential in reducing future vulnerability to infectious diseases following flooding.
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38
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Oyugi EO, Boru W, Obonyo M, Githuku J, Onyango D, Wandeba A, Omesa E, Mwangi T, Kigen H, Muiruri J, Gura Z. An outbreak of cholera in western Kenya, 2015: a case control study. Pan Afr Med J 2018; 28:12. [PMID: 30167037 PMCID: PMC6113693 DOI: 10.11604/pamj.supp.2017.28.1.9477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2016] [Accepted: 04/03/2016] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction in February 2015, an outbreak of acute watery diarrhea was reported in two sub counties in western Kenya. Vibrio cholerae 01 serotype Ogawa was isolated from 26 cases and from water samples collected from a river mainly used by residents of the two sub-counties for domestic purposes. We carried out an investigation to determine factors associated with the outbreak. Methods we conducted a frequency matched case control study in the community. We defined cases as episodes of watery diarrhea (at least three motions in 24 hours) in persons ≥ 2 years who were residents of Rongo or Ndhiwa sub-counties from January 23-February 25, 2015. Cases were systematically recruited from a cholera line list and matched to two controls (persons without diarrhea since January 23, 2015) by age category and residence. A structured questionnaire was administered to evaluate exposures in cases and controls and multivariable logistic regression done to determine independent factors associated with the outbreak. Results we recruited 52 cases and 104 controls. Females constituted 61% (95/156) of all participants. Overall latrine coverage was 58% (90/156). Latrine coverage was 44% (23/52) for cases and 64% (67/104) for controls. Having no latrine at home (aOR = 10.9; 95% CI: 3.02-39.21), practicing communal hand washing in a basin (aOR = 6.5; 95% CI: 2.30-18.11) and vending of food as an occupation (aOR = 3.4; 95% CI: 1.06-10.74) were independently associated with the outbreak. Conclusion poor latrine coverage and personal hygiene practices were identified as the main drivers of the outbreak. We recommended improved public health education on latrine usage and promotion of hand washing with soap and water in the community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elvis O Oyugi
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya
| | - Waqo Boru
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya
| | - Mark Obonyo
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Jane Githuku
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya
| | - Dickens Onyango
- Kisumu County Department of Health, Ministry of Health, Kenya
| | - Alfred Wandeba
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Eunice Omesa
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Tabitha Mwangi
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Hudson Kigen
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Joshua Muiruri
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
| | - Zeinab Gura
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Ministry of Health, Kenya.,Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Kenya
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39
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Recurrent cholera epidemics in Africa: which way forward? A literature review. Infection 2018; 47:341-349. [DOI: 10.1007/s15010-018-1186-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2018] [Accepted: 07/27/2018] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
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40
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Bwire G, Debes AK, Orach CG, Kagirita A, Ram M, Komakech H, Voeglein JB, Buyinza AW, Obala T, Brooks WA, Sack DA. Environmental Surveillance of Vibrio cholerae O1/O139 in the Five African Great Lakes and Other Major Surface Water Sources in Uganda. Front Microbiol 2018; 9:1560. [PMID: 30123189 PMCID: PMC6085420 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2018.01560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2018] [Accepted: 06/25/2018] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Cholera is a major public health problem in the African Great Lakes basin. Two hypotheses might explain this observation, namely the lakes are reservoirs of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae O1 and O139 bacteria, or cholera outbreaks are a result of repeated pathogen introduction from the neighboring communities/countries but the lakes facilitate the introductions. A prospective study was conducted in Uganda between February 2015 and January 2016 in which 28 selected surface water sources were tested for the presence of V. cholerae species using cholera rapid test and multiplex polymerase chain reaction. Of 322 water samples tested, 35 (10.8%) were positive for V. cholerae non O1/non O139 and two samples tested positive for non-toxigenic atypical V. cholerae O139. None of the samples tested had toxigenic V. cholerae O1 or O139 that are responsible for cholera epidemics. The Lake Albert region registered the highest number of positive tests for V. cholerae non O1/non O139 at 47% (9/19). The peak period for V. cholerae non O1/non O139 positive tests was in March–July 2015 which coincided with the first rainy season in Uganda. This study showed that the surface water sources, including the African Great Lakes in Uganda, are less likely to be reservoirs for the observed V. cholerae O1 or O139 epidemics, though they are natural habitats for V. cholerae non O1/non O139 and atypical non-toxigenic V. cholerae O139. Further studies by WGS tests of non-toxigenic atypical V. cholerae O139 and physicochemical tests of surface water sources that supports V. cholerae should be done to provide more information. Since V. cholerae non O1/non O139 may cause other human infections, their continued surveillance is needed to understand their potential pathogenicity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Godfrey Bwire
- Department of Community Health, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda.,Department of Quality Control, National Drug Authority, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Amanda K Debes
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Christopher G Orach
- Community and Behavioral Sciences, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Atek Kagirita
- Department of Quality Control, National Drug Authority, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda.,Uganda National Health Laboratory Services - Central Public Health Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Malathi Ram
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Henry Komakech
- Community and Behavioral Sciences, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Joseph B Voeglein
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | | | - Tonny Obala
- Department of Quality Control, National Drug Authority, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - W Abdullah Brooks
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - David A Sack
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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41
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El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Health: An Overview for Climate and Health Researchers. ATMOSPHERE 2018. [DOI: 10.3390/atmos9070282] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important mode of climatic variability that exerts a discernible impact on ecosystems and society through alterations in climate patterns. For this reason, ENSO has attracted much interest in the climate and health science community, with many analysts investigating ENSO health links through considering the degree of dependency of the incidence of a range of climate diseases on the occurrence of El Niño events. Because of the mounting interest in the relationship between ENSO as a major mode of climatic variability and health, this paper presents an overview of the basic characteristics of the ENSO phenomenon and its climate impacts, discusses the use of ENSO indices in climate and health research, and outlines the present understanding of ENSO health associations. Also touched upon are ENSO-based seasonal health forecasting and the possible impacts of climate change on ENSO and the implications this holds for future assessments of ENSO health associations. The review concludes that there is still some way to go before a thorough understanding of the association between ENSO and health is achieved, with a need to move beyond analyses undertaken through a purely statistical lens, with due acknowledgement that ENSO is a complex non-canonical phenomenon, and that simple ENSO health associations should not be expected.
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42
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Pande G, Kwesiga B, Bwire G, Kalyebi P, Riolexus A, Matovu JKB, Makumbi F, Mugerwa S, Musinguzi J, Wanyenze RK, Zhu BP. Cholera outbreak caused by drinking contaminated water from a lakeshore water-collection site, Kasese District, south-western Uganda, June-July 2015. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0198431. [PMID: 29949592 PMCID: PMC6021037 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198431] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2017] [Accepted: 05/18/2018] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
On 20 June 2015, a cholera outbreak affecting more than 30 people was reported in a fishing village, Katwe, in Kasese District, south-western Uganda. We investigated this outbreak to identify the mode of transmission and to recommend control measures. We defined a suspected case as onset of acute watery diarrhoea between 1 June and 15 July 2015 in a resident of Katwe village; a confirmed case was a suspected case with Vibrio cholerae cultured from stool. For case finding, we reviewed medical records and actively searched for cases in the community. In a case-control investigation we compared exposure histories of 32 suspected case-persons and 128 age-matched controls. We also conducted an environmental assessment on how the exposures had occurred. We found 61 suspected cases (attack rate = 4.9/1000) during this outbreak, of which eight were confirmed. The primary case-person had onset on 16 June; afterwards cases sharply increased, peaked on 19 June, and rapidly declined afterwards. After 22 June, eight scattered cases occurred. The case-control investigation showed that 97% (31/32) of cases and 62% (79/128) of controls usually collected water from inside a water-collection site "X" (ORM-H = 16; 95% CI = 2.4-107). The primary case-person who developed symptoms while fishing, reportedly came ashore in the early morning hours on 17 June, and defecated "near" water-collection site X. We concluded that this cholera outbreak was caused by drinking lake water collected from inside the lakeshore water-collection site X. At our recommendations, the village administration provided water chlorination tablets to the villagers, issued water boiling advisory to the villagers, rigorously disinfected all patients' faeces and, three weeks later, fixed the tap-water system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gerald Pande
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
- Ministry of Health Uganda, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Benon Kwesiga
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
- Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Godfrey Bwire
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - AlexArio Riolexus
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
- Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Joseph K. B. Matovu
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
- Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | | | | | - Rhoda K. Wanyenze
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program – Field Epidemiology Track, Kampala, Uganda
- Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Bao-Ping Zhu
- United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kampala, Uganda
- Divison of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
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43
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Bwire G, Ali M, Sack DA, Nakinsige A, Naigaga M, Debes AK, Ngwa MC, Brooks WA, Garimoi Orach C. Identifying cholera "hotspots" in Uganda: An analysis of cholera surveillance data from 2011 to 2016. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2017; 11:e0006118. [PMID: 29284003 PMCID: PMC5746206 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2017] [Accepted: 11/17/2017] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite advance in science and technology for prevention, detection and treatment of cholera, this infectious disease remains a major public health problem in many countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Uganda inclusive. The aim of this study was to identify cholera hotspots in Uganda to guide the development of a roadmap for prevention, control and elimination of cholera in the country. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPLE FINDINGS We obtained district level confirmed cholera outbreak data from 2011 to 2016 from the Ministry of Health, Uganda. Population and rainfall data were obtained from the Uganda Bureau of Statistics, and water, sanitation and hygiene data from the Ministry of Water and Environment. A spatial scan test was performed to identify the significantly high risk clusters. Cholera hotspots were defined as districts whose center fell within a significantly high risk cluster or where a significantly high risk cluster was completely superimposed onto a district. A zero-inflated negative binomial regression model was employed to identify the district level risk factors for cholera. In total 11,030 cases of cholera were reported during the 6-year period. 37(33%) of 112 districts reported cholera outbreaks in one of the six years, and 20 (18%) districts experienced cholera at least twice in those years. We identified 22 districts as high risk for cholera, of which 13 were near a border of Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), while 9 districts were near a border of Kenya. The relative risk of having cholera inside the high-risk districts (hotspots) were 2 to 22 times higher than elsewhere in the country. In total, 7 million people were within cholera hotspots. The negative binomial component of the ZINB model shows people living near a lake or the Nile river were at increased risk for cholera (incidence rate ratio, IRR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97 to 0.99, p < .01); people living near the border of DRC/Kenya or higher incidence rate in the neighboring districts were increased risk for cholera in a district (IRR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.00, p = .02 and IRR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.03, p < .01, respectively). The zero inflated component of the ZINB model yielded shorter distance to Kenya or DRC border, higher incidence rate in the neighboring districts, and higher annual rainfall in the district were associated with the risk of having cholera in the district. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE The study identified cholera hotspots during the period 2011-2016. The people located near the international borders, internationally shared lakes and river Nile were at higher risk for cholera outbreaks than elsewhere in the country. Targeting cholera interventions to these locations could prevent and ultimately eliminate cholera in Uganda.
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Affiliation(s)
- Godfrey Bwire
- Department of Community Health, Uganda Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Mohammad Ali
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - David A. Sack
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Anne Nakinsige
- Department of National Disease Control, Uganda Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Martha Naigaga
- Department of Environmental Health, Uganda Ministry of Water and Environment, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Amanda K. Debes
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Moise C. Ngwa
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - W. Abdullah Brooks
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Christopher Garimoi Orach
- Department of Community and Behavioural Sciences, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
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Oguttu DW, Okullo A, Bwire G, Nsubuga P, Ario AR. Cholera outbreak caused by drinking lake water contaminated with human faeces in Kaiso Village, Hoima District, Western Uganda, October 2015. Infect Dis Poverty 2017; 6:146. [PMID: 28992811 PMCID: PMC5634859 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-017-0359-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2017] [Accepted: 09/04/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background On 12 October 2015, a cholera outbreak involving 65 cases and two deaths was reported in a fishing village in Hoima District, Western Uganda. Despite initial response by the local health department, the outbreak persisted. We conducted an investigation to identify the source and mode of transmission, and recommend evidence-led interventions to control and prevent cholera outbreaks in this area. Methods We defined a suspected case as the onset of acute watery diarrhoea from 1 October to 2 November 2015 in a resident of Kaiso Village. A confirmed case was a suspected case who had Vibrio cholerae isolated from stool. We found cases by record review and active community case finding. We performed descriptive epidemiologic analysis for hypothesis generation. In an unmatched case-control study, we compared exposure histories of 61 cases and 126 controls randomly selected among asymptomatic village residents. We also conducted an environmental assessment and obtained meteorological data from a weather station. Results We identified 122 suspected cases, of which six were culture-confirmed, 47 were confirmed positive with a rapid diagnostic test and two died. The two deceased cases had onset of the disease on 2 October and 10 October, respectively. Heavy rainfall occurred on 7–11 October; a point-source outbreak occurred on 12–15 October, followed by continuous community transmission for two weeks. Village residents usually collected drinking water from three lakeshore points – A, B and C: 9.8% (6/61) of case-persons and 31% (39/126) of control-persons were found to usually use point A, 21% (13/61) of case-persons and 37% (46/126) of control-persons were found to usually use point B (OR = 1.8, 95% CI: 0.64–5.3), and 69% (42/61) of case-persons and 33% (41/126) of control-persons were found to usually use point C (OR = 6.7; 95% CI: 2.5–17) for water collection. All case-persons (61/61) and 93% (117/126) of control-persons reportedly never treated/boiled drinking water (OR = ∞, 95% CIFisher: 1.0 – ∞). The village’s piped water system had been vandalised and open defecation was common due to a lack of latrines. The lake water was found to be contiminated due to a gully channel that washed the faeces into the lake at point C. Conclusions This outbreak was likely caused by drinking lake water contaminated by faeces from a gully channel. We recommend treatment of drinking water, fixing the vandalised piped-water system and constructing latrines. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s40249-017-0359-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- David W Oguttu
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program - Field Epidemiology Track, P.O. Box 7272, Kampala, Uganda.
| | - A Okullo
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program - Field Epidemiology Track, P.O. Box 7272, Kampala, Uganda
| | - G Bwire
- Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - P Nsubuga
- African Field Epidemiology Network, Kampala, Uganda
| | - A R Ario
- Uganda Public Health Fellowship Program - Field Epidemiology Track, P.O. Box 7272, Kampala, Uganda
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Abstract
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other climate patterns can have profound impacts on the occurrence of infectious diseases ranging from dengue to cholera. In Africa, El Niño conditions are associated with increased rainfall in East Africa and decreased rainfall in southern Africa, West Africa, and parts of the Sahel. Because of the key role of water supplies in cholera transmission, a relationship between El Niño events and cholera incidence is highly plausible, and previous research has shown a link between ENSO patterns and cholera in Bangladesh. However, there is little systematic evidence for this link in Africa. Using high-resolution mapping techniques, we find that the annual geographic distribution of cholera in Africa from 2000 to 2014 changes dramatically, with the burden shifting to continental East Africa-and away from Madagascar and portions of southern, Central, and West Africa-where almost 50,000 additional cases occur during El Niño years. Cholera incidence during El Niño years was higher in regions of East Africa with increased rainfall, but incidence was also higher in some areas with decreased rainfall, suggesting a complex relationship between rainfall and cholera incidence. Here, we show clear evidence for a shift in the distribution of cholera incidence throughout Africa in El Niño years, likely mediated by El Niño's impact on local climatic factors. Knowledge of this relationship between cholera and climate patterns coupled with ENSO forecasting could be used to notify countries in Africa when they are likely to see a major shift in their cholera risk.
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46
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Bwire G, Munier A, Ouedraogo I, Heyerdahl L, Komakech H, Kagirita A, Wood R, Mhlanga R, Njanpop-Lafourcade B, Malimbo M, Makumbi I, Wandawa J, Gessner BD, Orach CG, Mengel MA. Epidemiology of cholera outbreaks and socio-economic characteristics of the communities in the fishing villages of Uganda: 2011-2015. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2017; 11:e0005407. [PMID: 28288154 PMCID: PMC5370135 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005407] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2016] [Revised: 03/28/2017] [Accepted: 02/13/2017] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The communities in fishing villages in the Great Lakes Region of Africa and particularly in Uganda experience recurrent cholera outbreaks that lead to considerable mortality and morbidity. We evaluated cholera epidemiology and population characteristics in the fishing villages of Uganda to better target prevention and control interventions of cholera and contribute to its elimination from those communities. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS We conducted a prospective study between 2011-15 in fishing villages in Uganda. We collected, reviewed and documented epidemiological and socioeconomic data for 10 cholera outbreaks that occurred in fishing communities located along the African Great Lakes and River Nile in Uganda. These outbreaks caused 1,827 suspected cholera cases and 43 deaths, with a Case-Fatality Ratio (CFR) of 2.4%. Though the communities in the fishing villages make up only 5-10% of the Ugandan population, they bear the biggest burden of cholera contributing 58% and 55% of all reported cases and deaths in Uganda during the study period. The CFR was significantly higher among males than females (3.2% vs. 1.3%, p = 0.02). The outbreaks were seasonal with most cases occurring during the months of April-May. Male children under age of 5 years, and 5-9 years had increased risk. Cholera was endemic in some villages with well-defined "hotspots". Practices predisposing communities to cholera outbreaks included: the use of contaminated lake water, poor sanitation and hygiene. Additional factors were: ignorance, illiteracy, and poverty. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE Cholera outbreaks were a major cause of morbidity and mortality among the fishing communities in Uganda. In addition to improvements in water, sanitation, and hygiene, oral cholera vaccines could play an important role in the prevention and control of these outbreaks, particularly when targeted to high-risk areas and populations. Promotion and facilitation of access to social services including education and reduction in poverty should contribute to cholera prevention, control and elimination in these communities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Godfrey Bwire
- Department of Community Health, Ministry of Health (MOH), Kampala, Uganda
| | - Aline Munier
- Agence de Médecine Préventive (AMP), Paris, France
| | | | | | - Henry Komakech
- Department of Community and Behavioral Sciences, Makerere University School of Public Health (MUSPH), Kampala, Uganda
| | - Atek Kagirita
- National Health Laboratory Services, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Richard Wood
- Agence de Médecine Préventive (AMP), Ferney-Voltaire, France
| | | | | | - Mugagga Malimbo
- National Disease Control Department, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Issa Makumbi
- Health Emergency Operation Centre (EOC), Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Jennifer Wandawa
- Department of Health, Mbale District Local Government, Mbale, Uganda
| | | | - Christopher Garimoi Orach
- Department of Community and Behavioral Sciences, Makerere University School of Public Health (MUSPH), Kampala, Uganda
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Rossati A. Global Warming and Its Health Impact. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OCCUPATIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE 2017; 8:7-20. [PMID: 28051192 PMCID: PMC6679631 DOI: 10.15171/ijoem.2017.963] [Citation(s) in RCA: 142] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2016] [Accepted: 11/29/2016] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
Since the mid-19th century, human activities have increased greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide in the Earth's atmosphere that resulted in increased average temperature. The effects of rising temperature include soil degradation, loss of productivity of agricultural land, desertification, loss of biodiversity, degradation of ecosystems, reduced fresh-water resources, acidification of the oceans, and the disruption and depletion of stratospheric ozone. All these have an impact on human health, causing non-communicable diseases such as injuries during natural disasters, malnutrition during famine, and increased mortality during heat waves due to complications in chronically ill patients. Direct exposure to natural disasters has also an impact on mental health and, although too complex to be quantified, a link has even been established between climate and civil violence. Over time, climate change can reduce agricultural resources through reduced availability of water, alterations and shrinking arable land, increased pollution, accumulation of toxic substances in the food chain, and creation of habitats suitable to the transmission of human and animal pathogens. People living in low-income countries are particularly vulnerable. Climate change scenarios include a change in distribution of infectious diseases with warming and changes in outbreaks associated with weather extreme events. After floods, increased cases of leptospirosis, campylobacter infections and cryptosporidiosis are reported. Global warming affects water heating, rising the transmission of water-borne pathogens. Pathogens transmitted by vectors are particularly sensitive to climate change because they spend a good part of their life cycle in a cold-blooded host invertebrate whose temperature is similar to the environment. A warmer climate presents more favorable conditions for the survival and the completion of the life cycle of the vector, going as far as to speed it up as in the case of mosquitoes. Diseases transmitted by mosquitoes include some of the most widespread worldwide illnesses such as malaria and viral diseases. Tick-borne diseases have increased in the past years in cold regions, because rising temperatures accelerate the cycle of development, the production of eggs, and the density and distribution of the tick population. The areas of presence of ticks and diseases that they can transmit have increased, both in terms of geographical extension than in altitude. In the next years the engagement of the health sector would be working to develop prevention and adaptation programs in order to reduce the costs and burden of climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonella Rossati
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University Hospital "Maggiore della Carità", Novara, Italy.
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Ngwa MC, Liang S, Kracalik IT, Morris L, Blackburn JK, Mbam LM, Ba Pouth SFB, Teboh A, Yang Y, Arabi M, Sugimoto JD, Morris JG. Cholera in Cameroon, 2000-2012: Spatial and Temporal Analysis at the Operational (Health District) and Sub Climate Levels. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2016; 10:e0005105. [PMID: 27855171 PMCID: PMC5113893 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2016] [Accepted: 10/12/2016] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Recurrent cholera outbreaks have been reported in Cameroon since 1971. However, case fatality ratios remain high, and we do not have an optimal understanding of the epidemiology of the disease, due in part to the diversity of Cameroon's climate subzones and a lack of comprehensive data at the health district level. METHODS/FINDINGS A unique health district level dataset of reported cholera case numbers and related deaths from 2000-2012, obtained from the Ministry of Public Health of Cameroon and World Health Organization (WHO) country office, served as the basis for the analysis. During this time period, 43,474 cholera cases were reported: 1748 were fatal (mean annual case fatality ratio of 7.9%), with an attack rate of 17.9 reported cases per 100,000 inhabitants per year. Outbreaks occurred in three waves during the 13-year time period, with the highest case fatality ratios at the beginning of each wave. Seasonal patterns of illness differed strikingly between climate subzones (Sudano-Sahelian, Tropical Humid, Guinea Equatorial, and Equatorial Monsoon). In the northern Sudano-Sahelian subzone, highest number of cases tended to occur during the rainy season (July-September). The southern Equatorial Monsoon subzone reported cases year-round, with the lowest numbers during peak rainfall (July-September). A spatial clustering analysis identified multiple clusters of high incidence health districts during 2010 and 2011, which were the 2 years with the highest annual attack rates. A spatiotemporal autoregressive Poisson regression model fit to the 2010-2011 data identified significant associations between the risk of transmission and several factors, including the presence of major waterbody or highway, as well as the average daily maximum temperature and the precipitation levels over the preceding two weeks. The direction and/or magnitude of these associations differed between climate subzones, which, in turn, differed from national estimates that ignored subzones differences in climate variables. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE The epidemiology of cholera in Cameroon differs substantially between climate subzones. Development of an optimal comprehensive country-wide control strategy for cholera requires an understanding of the impact of the natural and built environment on transmission patterns at the local level, particularly in the setting of ongoing climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moise C. Ngwa
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Department of Environmental and Global Health, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Song Liang
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Department of Environmental and Global Health, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Ian T. Kracalik
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Laboratory, Department of Geography, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Lillian Morris
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Laboratory, Department of Geography, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Jason K. Blackburn
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Laboratory, Department of Geography, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Leonard M. Mbam
- World Health Organization country office for The Republic of Cameroon, Yaoundé, Republic of Cameroon
| | - Simon Franky Baonga Ba Pouth
- Cellule de Supervision, Suivi et Evaluation, Délégation Régionale de la Santé Publique du Centre, Yaoundé, Cameroun
| | - Andrew Teboh
- Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Republic of Cameroon
| | - Yang Yang
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Department of Biostatistics, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Mouhaman Arabi
- Higher Institute of the Sahel, University of Maroua, Maroua, Republic of Cameroon
| | - Jonathan D. Sugimoto
- Center for Inference and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases and Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle Washington, United States of America
| | - John Glenn Morris
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America
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Hounmanou YMG, Mdegela RH, Dougnon TV, Mhongole OJ, Mayila ES, Malakalinga J, Makingi G, Dalsgaard A. Toxigenic Vibrio cholerae O1 in vegetables and fish raised in wastewater irrigated fields and stabilization ponds during a non-cholera outbreak period in Morogoro, Tanzania: an environmental health study. BMC Res Notes 2016; 9:466. [PMID: 27756420 PMCID: PMC5069930 DOI: 10.1186/s13104-016-2283-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2016] [Accepted: 10/14/2016] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cholera, one of the world’s deadliest infectious diseases, remains rampant and frequent in Tanzania and thus hinders existing control measures. The present study was undertaken to evaluate the occurrence of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae O1 in wastewater, fish and vegetables during a non-outbreak period in Morogoro, Tanzania. Methods From October 2014 to February 2015, 60 wastewater samples, 60 fish samples from sewage stabilization ponds and 60 wastewater irrigated vegetable samples were collected. Samples were cultured for identification of V. cholerae using conventional bacteriological methods. Isolates were confirmed as V. cholerae by detection of the outer membrane protein gene (ompW) using polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Isolates were further tested for antibiotic susceptibility and presence of virulence genes including, cholera enterotoxin gene (ctx), the toxin co-regulated pilus gene (tcpA) and the haemolysin gene (hlyA). Results The prevalence of V. cholerae in wastewater, vegetables and fish was 36.7, 21.7 and 23.3 %, respectively. Two isolates from fish gills were V. cholerae O1 and tested positive for ctx and tcpA. One of these contained in addition the hlyA gene while five isolates from fish intestines tested positive for tcpA. All V. cholerae isolates were resistant to ampicillin, amoxicillin and some to tetracycline, but sensitive to gentamicin, chloramphenicol, and ciprofloxacin. Conclusions Our results show that toxigenic and drug-resistant V. cholerae O1 species are present and persist in aquatic environments during a non-cholera outbreak period. This is of public health importance and shows that such environments may be important as reservoirs and in the transmission of V. cholerae O1.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaovi M G Hounmanou
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania. .,Research Laboratory in Applied Biology, Polytechnic School of Abomey-Calavi, University of Abomey-Calavi, Abomey-Calavi, Benin.
| | - Robinson H Mdegela
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Tamègnon V Dougnon
- Research Laboratory in Applied Biology, Polytechnic School of Abomey-Calavi, University of Abomey-Calavi, Abomey-Calavi, Benin
| | - Ofred J Mhongole
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Edward S Mayila
- National Health Laboratory Quality Assurance and Training Centre (NHLQATC), Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Joseph Malakalinga
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - George Makingi
- Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | - Anders Dalsgaard
- Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences (UC-HEALTH), University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Abstract
Members of the genus Vibrio are known to interact with phyto- and zooplankton in aquatic environments. These interactions have been proven to protect the bacterium from various environmental stresses, serve as a nutrient source, facilitate exchange of DNA, and to serve as vectors of disease transmission. This review highlights the impact of Vibrio-zooplankton interactions at the ecosystem scale and the importance of studies focusing on a wide range of Vibrio-zooplankton interactions. The current knowledge on chitin utilization (i.e., chemotaxis, attachment, and degradation) and the role of these factors in attachment to nonchitinous zooplankton is also presented.
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