Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

BACKGROUND

Underweight and obesity are associated with adverse health outcomes throughout the life course. We estimated the individual and combined prevalence of underweight or thinness and obesity, and their changes, from 1990 to 2022 for adults and school-aged children and adolescents in 200 countries and territories.

METHODS

We used data from 3663 population-based studies with 222 million participants that measured height and weight in representative samples of the general population. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in the prevalence of different BMI categories, separately for adults (age ≥20 years) and school-aged children and adolescents (age 5-19 years), from 1990 to 2022 for 200 countries and territories. For adults, we report the individual and combined prevalence of underweight (BMI <18·5 kg/m2) and obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2). For school-aged children and adolescents, we report thinness (BMI <2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference) and obesity (BMI >2 SD above the median).

FINDINGS

From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity in adults decreased in 11 countries (6%) for women and 17 (9%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 that the observed changes were true decreases. The combined prevalence increased in 162 countries (81%) for women and 140 countries (70%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. In 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity was highest in island nations in the Caribbean and Polynesia and Micronesia, and countries in the Middle East and north Africa. Obesity prevalence was higher than underweight with posterior probability of at least 0·80 in 177 countries (89%) for women and 145 (73%) for men in 2022, whereas the converse was true in 16 countries (8%) for women, and 39 (20%) for men. From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of thinness and obesity decreased among girls in five countries (3%) and among boys in 15 countries (8%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80, and increased among girls in 140 countries (70%) and boys in 137 countries (69%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. The countries with highest combined prevalence of thinness and obesity in school-aged children and adolescents in 2022 were in Polynesia and Micronesia and the Caribbean for both sexes, and Chile and Qatar for boys. Combined prevalence was also high in some countries in south Asia, such as India and Pakistan, where thinness remained prevalent despite having declined. In 2022, obesity in school-aged children and adolescents was more prevalent than thinness with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 among girls in 133 countries (67%) and boys in 125 countries (63%), whereas the converse was true in 35 countries (18%) and 42 countries (21%), respectively. In almost all countries for both adults and school-aged children and adolescents, the increases in double burden were driven by increases in obesity, and decreases in double burden by declining underweight or thinness.

INTERPRETATION

The combined burden of underweight and obesity has increased in most countries, driven by an increase in obesity, while underweight and thinness remain prevalent in south Asia and parts of Africa. A healthy nutrition transition that enhances access to nutritious foods is needed to address the remaining burden of underweight while curbing and reversing the increase in obesity.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council, UK Research and Innovation (Research England), UK Research and Innovation (Innovate UK), and European Union.

Similarities and discrepancies between commercially available bioelectrical impedance analysis system and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry for body composition assessment in 10-14-year-old children

A variety of easy-to-use commercial bioelectrical impedance appliances are available. The aim of this study was to examine the usefulness of a commercially available body composition meter using bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) by comparing its measurement results with those obtained from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). The participants were 443 children aged from 10 to 14 years (226 boys and 217 girls). Fat mass, fat-free mass, lean body mass, percentage of body fat, and bone mineral contents were evaluated for all participants using BIA and DXA. The agreement in the anthropometric data obtained from both devices was analyzed using correlation analysis, intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), Lin's concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), Bland-Altman plots, and ordinary least products regression analysis. Equivalence between both devices was tested by two one-sided t-test. All measured indicators showed strong linear correlations between the two measurement systems (r, 0.853-1.000). Fat mass, fat-free mass, and lean body mass showed absolute concordance (ICC, 0.902-0.972; Lin's CCC, 0.902-0.972). BIA overestimated bone mineral content (62.7-66.5%) and underestimated percentage of body fat (- 8.9 to - 0.8%), lean body mass (- 3.5 to - 1.8%), and body mass (- 0.8 to - 0.5%). For fat mass and fat-free mass, the overestimate or underestimate varied according to the sex and statistical analysis test. Bland-Altman analysis and ordinary least products analysis showed fixed bias and proportional bias in all indicators. Results according to quartiles of body mass index showed poor agreement for fat mass and percentage of body fat in both boys and girls in the lowest body mass index quartile. The present results revealed strong linear correlations between BIA and DXA, which confirmed the validity of the present single-frequency BIA-derived parameters. Our results suggest that BIA cannot provide the exact same values as DXA for some body composition parameters, but that performance is sufficient for longitudinal use within an individual for daily health management and monitoring.

Association between the 110-kDa C-terminal agrin fragment and skeletal muscle decline among community-dwelling older women

BACKGROUND

C-terminal agrin fragment (CAF) is a biomarker for neuromuscular junction degradation. This study aimed to investigate whether 110-kDa CAF (CAF110) was associated with the presence and incidence of low muscle mass and strength.

METHODS

This cross-sectional retrospective cohort study comprised women aged ≥65 years. We measured muscle mass using a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scanner, hand-grip strength, and blood sampling between 2011 and 2012. A follow-up study with the same measurements was conducted between 2015 and 2017. Low muscle mass and strength were defined as an appendicular skeletal muscle mass index <5.4 kg/m2 and hand-grip strength <18 kg, respectively. The CAF110 level was measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits.

RESULTS

In total, 515 women (74.3 ± 6.3 years) were included in this cross-sectional analysis. Of these, 101 (19.6%) and 128 (24.9%) women presented with low muscle mass and strength, respectively. For low muscle mass, the odds ratios (ORs) of the middle and highest CAF110 tertile groups, compared with the lowest group, were 1.93 (95% confidence interval: 1.09-3.43; P = 0.024) and 2.15 (1.22-3.80; P = 0.008), respectively. After adjusting for age, the ORs remained significant: 1.98 (1.11-3.52; P = 0.020) and 2.27 (1.28-4.03; P = 0.005), respectively. Low muscle strength ORs of all the CAF110 tertile groups were not significant. In the longitudinal analysis, 292 and 289 women were assessed for incidents of low muscle mass and strength, respectively. Of those, 34 (11.6%) and 20 (6.9%) women exhibited low muscle mass and strength, respectively. For incident low muscle mass, the crude OR of the CAF110 ≥ the median value group was marginally higher than that of the CAF110 < median value group (median [interquartile range]: 1.98 [0.94-4.17] (P = 0.072). After adjusting for age and baseline muscle mass, the OR was 2.22 [0.97-5.06] (P = 0.058). All low muscle strength ORs of the median categories of CAF110 were not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

CAF110 was not associated with low muscle strength. However, CAF110 may be a potential marker for the incidence of low muscle mass.

Evaluation of a new method, "non-injection resection using bipolar soft coagulation mode (NIRBS)", for colonic adenomatous lesions

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Endoscopic resection of all colorectal adenomatous lesions with a low complication rate, simplicity, and negative residuals is challenging. Hence, we developed a new method called "non-injection resection using bipolar soft coagulation mode (NIRBS)" method, adapted for colorectal lesions. In addition, we evaluated the effectiveness of this method.

METHODS

We performed NIRBS throughout a 12-month period for all colorectal lesions which snare resection was acceptable without cancerous lesions infiltrating deeper than the submucosal layer.

RESULTS

A total of 746 resected lesions were included in the study, with a 4.5 mm mean size (range, 1-35 mm). The major pathological breakdowns were as follows: 64.3% (480/746) were adenomas, and 5.0% (37/746) were intraepithelial adenocarcinomas (Tis lesions). No residuals were observed in any of the 37 Tis lesions (mean size, 15.3 mm). Adverse events included bleeding (0.4%) but no perforation.

CONCLUSIONS

NIRBS allowed the resection of multiple lesions with simplicity because of the non-injection and without perforating due to the minimal burn effect of the bipolar snare set in the soft coagulation mode. Therefore, NIRBS can be used to resect adenomatous lesions easily, including Tis lesions, from small to large lesions without leaving residuals.

Nationwide Survey on Caregiver Burden When Supporting Terminal Cancer Patients with Dementia: Bereaved Family Members' Perspective

OBJECTIVE

The prevalence of dementia and cancer has increased in recent years. The presence of dementia complicates the care of terminal cancer patients and affects their family caregivers. However, palliative care research seldom focuses on the family caregivers of patients with terminal cancer and dementia. This study aimed to evaluate the degree and factors of caregiver burden in cancer patients with dementia who died in hospice palliative care units. Methods: A nationwide cross-sectional survey was conducted among bereaved family members of patients with cancer who died in palliative care units. An anonymous self-report questionnaire was sent to bereaved family members, and they were asked if they were aware of the diagnosis of dementia. The short version of the Caregiver Consequence Inventory was used to measure caregiver burden. Results: The analysis included 670 bereaved family members. Of these, 83 (12.4%) were bereaved family members of terminal cancer patients with dementia. The caregiver burden was statistically significantly higher (3.61 ± 1.58 vs 3.22 ± 1.47; p < 0.036) among family caregivers of terminal cancer patients with dementia. Longer anti-cancer treatment duration (odd ratio, 4.63), poor mental and physical health of family caregivers (odds ratio, 2.05 and 2.20, respectively), pain (odd ratio, 1.72), and dyspnea (odds ratio, 1.67) were contributing factors for caregiver burden. Conclusions: Family caregivers of terminal cancer patients with dementia require care that considers the characteristics of the two serious diseases. Considering the goal of anti-cancer treatment and symptom relief may be a useful strategy for reducing caregiver burden.

Diminishing benefits of urban living for children and adolescents' growth and development

Optimal growth and development in childhood and adolescence is crucial for lifelong health and well-being1-6. Here we used data from 2,325 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight from 71 million participants, to report the height and body-mass index (BMI) of children and adolescents aged 5-19 years on the basis of rural and urban place of residence in 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. In 1990, children and adolescents residing in cities were taller than their rural counterparts in all but a few high-income countries. By 2020, the urban height advantage became smaller in most countries, and in many high-income western countries it reversed into a small urban-based disadvantage. The exception was for boys in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and in some countries in Oceania, south Asia and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. In these countries, successive cohorts of boys from rural places either did not gain height or possibly became shorter, and hence fell further behind their urban peers. The difference between the age-standardized mean BMI of children in urban and rural areas was <1.1 kg m-2 in the vast majority of countries. Within this small range, BMI increased slightly more in cities than in rural areas, except in south Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and some countries in central and eastern Europe. Our results show that in much of the world, the growth and developmental advantages of living in cities have diminished in the twenty-first century, whereas in much of sub-Saharan Africa they have amplified.

Association between trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio and renal function in elderly Japanese men: baseline data from the Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) study

BACKGROUND

Central obesity as measured by waist-to-hip circumference ratio (WHR) has been reported to be associated with renal hemodynamics and function. However, the adipose component of WHR, which is a composite measure of fat mass and fat-free mass, is small, particularly in nonobese subjects. Trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio as measured using dual-energy absorptiometry (DXA) is a more precise method for evaluating central fat distribution than WHR. The present study investigated the cross-sectional association between DXA-measured trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men.

METHODS

Participants were 575 men aged ≥65 years at the time of the baseline survey of the second Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) cohort study. Trunk-to-appendicular fat ratio (TAR) was calculated as trunk fat divided by appendicular fat (sum of arm and leg fat), and trunk-to-leg fat ratio (TLR) as trunk fat divided by leg fat.

RESULTS

eGFR values significantly decreased from the lowest to the highest quintile of TAR/TLR. After adjusting for potential confounding factors including whole-body fat, the highest quintile of both TAR and TLR showed statistically significant odds ratios for the risk of eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m², relative to the lowest quintile. In addition, a significant decreasing trend was observed for eGFR values from the lowest to the highest quintile of TAR/TLR after adjusting for confounding factors including whole-body fat.

CONCLUSION

Elderly men with a large trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio tended to have a lower eGFR. This association occurred independently of that between whole-body fat and eGFR.

Association between Dairy Product intake and Risk of Osteoporotic Fractures in Postmenopausal Japanese Women: Secondary Analysis of 15-Year Follow-Up data from the Japanese Population-Based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Few prospective cohort studies have evaluated the relationship between dairy product intake frequency and risk of osteoporotic fractures in Asians. This study aimed to investigate the association between habitual dairy product intake and risk of osteoporotic fractures.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Five municipalities of Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

This study included 1,429 postmenopausal Japanese women (age ≥45 years at baseline).

MEASUREMENTS

Baseline milk-intake frequency was obtained using nurse-administered questionnaires. Intakes of yogurt and cheese, and estimated calcium intake, were assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Osteoporotic fracture was defined as a clinical fracture diagnosed using radiography. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 15.1 years (interquartile range [IQR], 10.1-15.4 years; total, 18,118 person-years), 172 women sustained at least one osteoporotic fracture. The proportions of participants with milk intakes <1, 1, and ≥2 cups/d were 34.4%, 48.0%, and 17.6%, respectively. After adjustment for age, frequency of yogurt intake, frequency of cheese intake, body mass index, history of osteoporotic fractures, and frequency of natto intake, the HRs compared with that for milk intake <1 cup/d were 0.71 (95% CI: 0.51-0.98) and 0.57 (95% CI: 0.35-0.92) for 1 cup/d and ≥2 cups/d, respectively. After adjustment for bone mineral density, HR significance for milk intakes ≥2 cups/d remained significant. Yogurt and cheese intakes were not related to the risk of osteoporotic fractures.

CONCLUSION

High habitual milk intake, but not a habitual yogurt or cheese intake is associated with a decreased risk of osteoporotic fractures, independent of bone mineral density, in postmenopausal Japanese women.

Body weight at 1.5- and 3-year health checks and body fat at 14 years of age: a population-based retrospective cohort study using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry

Background

In Japan, height and weight measurements, taken for all children at birth and 1.5- and 3-year health checks, are recorded in the Mother and Child Health (MCH) Handbook, as required by the law. The present population-based retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of height and weight records in the Handbook for predicting excessive adiposity in adolescents.

Methods

The source population consisted of 8th grade students (800 students aged 14 years) registered at two public junior high schools. Of these, we excluded students who were born at a gestational age < 37 weeks or > 42 weeks. The present analyses included 435 participants who provided complete information. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated using height and weight records. Body fat mass at 14 years of age was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Diagnostic performance of BMI calculated from the MCH Handbook records to discriminate between the presence and absence of excessive adiposity at 14 years of age was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to quantify the diagnostic accuracy of BMI.

Results

With regard to the prediction of excessive fat at 14 years of age, AUCs and 95% confidence intervals for BMI at 1.5 and 3 years of age were greater than 0.5. Meanwhile, the AUC of BMI at birth was not significantly greater than 0.5.

Conclusion

The present study findings indicate that BMI values calculated using MCH Handbook data have potential ability to distinguish between the presence and absence of excessive fat at 14 years of age.

Attitude toward breakfast mediates the associations of wake time and appetite for breakfast with frequency of eating breakfast

PURPOSE

We investigated associations among attitude toward breakfast, appetite for breakfast, wake time, personality traits, self-esteem, and frequency of eating breakfast in university students and proposed a model of factors affecting the frequency of eating breakfast.

METHODS

The participants, 555 Japanese university students (177 men, 378 women), completed a questionnaire about their height and weight, living with family, wake time, frequency of eating breakfast, appetite for breakfast, attitude toward breakfast, personality traits, and self-esteem. Appetite for breakfast was evaluated with a four-point Likert-type scale. Attitude toward breakfast was assessed with a 13-item questionnaire using a five-point Likert-type scale; responses to the items were summed, and divided by the number of items to produce a score.

RESULTS

Multiple linear regression analysis showed that frequency of eating breakfast was positively associated with appetite for breakfast and attitude toward breakfast, and inversely associated with wake time. Wake time was inversely associated with attitude toward breakfast, and appetite for breakfast was positively associated with attitude toward breakfast. Structural equation modeling showed that the structured model based on the multiple regression analysis was a good fit for both men (chi-square value to the degrees of freedom [χ²/df] = 1.096, root mean square error of approximation [RMSEA] = 0.023) and women (χ²/df = 1.510, RMSEA = 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that wake time and appetite for breakfast are directly associated with frequency of eating breakfast. Attitude toward breakfast mediates the indirect association between frequency of eating breakfast and both wake time and appetite for breakfast.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

V, cross-sectional descriptive study.

Combined results of three physical performance tests predict incident fracture independently of aBMD in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men: Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Several studies have examined the association between physical performance and fracture in women, but few such studies have targeted elderly men. This study aimed to determine whether the combined results of several physical performance tests can predict the subsequent incidence of fractures in elderly men after adjusting for confounding factors.

METHODS

Of the 2174 elderly men who participated in this study, 2012 completed the baseline study visit, including physical performance tests (walking speed, hand grip strength, and one-leg standing) and measurement of bone mineral density by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Follow-up study visits were conducted five and ten years later, during which incident fractures were identified by detailed interviews. We excluded 140 men with diseases or who took medications known to affect bone metabolism at baseline, 185 with missing values for predictors and potential confounding factors, and one who did not participate in any of the follow-up study visits. The remaining 1686 men were analyzed. Each physical performance test was analyzed by quartiles. Poor performance was defined as belonging to the worst quartile of performance. The association between physical performance and fracture was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

We identified 175 clinical fractures (osteoporotic fracture: 77, major osteoporotic fracture: 48) in 1686 men during a mean follow-up period of 8.4 years. After adjusting for potential confounding factors including bone mineral density, men who performed poorly on all three physical performance tests had a 3.7-fold higher risk of osteoporotic fracture and a 6.6-fold higher risk of major osteoporotic fracture than men who did not perform poorly on any of the tests.

CONCLUSIONS

Japanese elderly men who performed poorly on all three physical performance tests had a significantly higher risk of incident osteoporotic fracture independently of bone mineral density. The combined results of several physical performance tests may be useful for predicting incident fractures in elderly men.

Predictive ability of novel volumetric and geometric indices derived from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometric images of the proximal femur for hip fracture compared with conventional areal bone mineral density: the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study

Areal BMD (aBMD) from DXA is not a sufficiently accurate predictor of fracture. Novel volumetric BMD derived from 3D modeling of the hip from DXA images significantly improved the predictive ability for hip fracture relative to aBMD at the femoral neck, but not aBMD at the total hip.

INTRODUCTION

To clarify whether volumetric and geometric indices derived from novel three-dimensional (3D) modeling of the hip using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometric (DXA) images improve hip fracture prediction relative to areal bone mineral density (aBMD).

METHODS

We examined 1331 women who had completed the baseline survey and at least one follow-up survey over 20 years (age 40-79 years at baseline). Each survey included aBMD measurement at the hip by DXA. Volumetric and geometric indices of the hip at baseline and the 10-year follow-up were estimated from DXA images using a 3D modeling algorithm. Incident hip fractures during the 20-year follow-up period were identified through self-report. Cox proportional hazards regression models allowing for repeated measurements of predictors and outcomes were constructed, and their predictive ability for hip fracture was evaluated using areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) over aBMD at the femoral neck (FN) and total hip (TH) as references.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 19.8 years, 68 incident hip fractures were identified (2.22/1000 person-years). A significantly larger AUC of trabecular volumetric BMD (vBMD) at the total hip (AUC = 0.741), femoral neck (AUC = 0.748), and intertrochanter (AUC = 0.738) and significant NRI (0.177, 0.149, and 0.195, respectively) were observed compared with FN-aBMD (AUC = 0.701), but not TH-aBMD.

CONCLUSIONS

vBMD obtained from 3D modeling using routinely obtained hip DXA images significantly improved hip fracture risk prediction over conventional FN-aBMD, but not TH-aBMD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Japanese Population-Based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study was retrospectively registered as UMIN000032869 in the UMIN Clinical Trials Registry on July 1, 2018.

Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019: a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants

BACKGROUND

Hypertension can be detected at the primary health-care level and low-cost treatments can effectively control hypertension. We aimed to measure the prevalence of hypertension and progress in its detection, treatment, and control from 1990 to 2019 for 200 countries and territories.

METHODS

We used data from 1990 to 2019 on people aged 30-79 years from population-representative studies with measurement of blood pressure and data on blood pressure treatment. We defined hypertension as having systolic blood pressure 140 mm Hg or greater, diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg or greater, or taking medication for hypertension. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the prevalence of hypertension and the proportion of people with hypertension who had a previous diagnosis (detection), who were taking medication for hypertension (treatment), and whose hypertension was controlled to below 140/90 mm Hg (control). The model allowed for trends over time to be non-linear and to vary by age.

FINDINGS

The number of people aged 30-79 years with hypertension doubled from 1990 to 2019, from 331 (95% credible interval 306-359) million women and 317 (292-344) million men in 1990 to 626 (584-668) million women and 652 (604-698) million men in 2019, despite stable global age-standardised prevalence. In 2019, age-standardised hypertension prevalence was lowest in Canada and Peru for both men and women; in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and some countries in western Europe including Switzerland, Spain, and the UK for women; and in several low-income and middle-income countries such as Eritrea, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, and Solomon Islands for men. Hypertension prevalence surpassed 50% for women in two countries and men in nine countries, in central and eastern Europe, central Asia, Oceania, and Latin America. Globally, 59% (55-62) of women and 49% (46-52) of men with hypertension reported a previous diagnosis of hypertension in 2019, and 47% (43-51) of women and 38% (35-41) of men were treated. Control rates among people with hypertension in 2019 were 23% (20-27) for women and 18% (16-21) for men. In 2019, treatment and control rates were highest in South Korea, Canada, and Iceland (treatment >70%; control >50%), followed by the USA, Costa Rica, Germany, Portugal, and Taiwan. Treatment rates were less than 25% for women and less than 20% for men in Nepal, Indonesia, and some countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Control rates were below 10% for women and men in these countries and for men in some countries in north Africa, central and south Asia, and eastern Europe. Treatment and control rates have improved in most countries since 1990, but we found little change in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Improvements were largest in high-income countries, central Europe, and some upper-middle-income and recently high-income countries including Costa Rica, Taiwan, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Brazil, Chile, Turkey, and Iran.

INTERPRETATION

Improvements in the detection, treatment, and control of hypertension have varied substantially across countries, with some middle-income countries now outperforming most high-income nations. The dual approach of reducing hypertension prevalence through primary prevention and enhancing its treatment and control is achievable not only in high-income countries but also in low-income and middle-income settings.

FUNDING

WHO.

Infant weight gain and DXA-measured adolescent adiposity: data from the Japan Kids Body-composition Study

Background

Rapid weight gain in early life is associated with adiposity later in life. However, there is limited information on the association between weight gain and body fat mass measured using precise methods. This study aimed to investigate whether weight gain is associated with body fat mass measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in adolescents.

Methods

Participants of this retrospective cohort study were 423 adolescents born at full-term who were enrolled in the Japan Kids Body-composition Study. Anthropometric measurements related to pregnancy, delivery, and child health were obtained from the Japanese Maternal and Child Health Handbook. Fat mass in adolescents was measured with a DXA scanner. Weight gain was defined as the change in body weight from birth to age 1.5 years. Associations between birthweight and fat mass, and between weight gain and fat mass, were evaluated using multiple regression analysis.

Results

There was a significant positive association between weight gain from birth to age 1.5 years and fat mass in adolescents (boys: standardized regression coefficient (β) = 0.253, p < 0.01; girls: β = 0.246, p < 0.01), but not between birthweight standardized for gestational age and fat mass.

Conclusion

Children with a greater change in weight from birth to age 1.5 years tended to have increased fat mass in adolescence. Weight gain in early life has a greater impact on fat mass in adolescents than birthweight.

Circulating osteocalcin levels were not significantly associated with the risk of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus in elderly Japanese men: The Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Cross-sectional studies have shown that patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have low circulating levels of osteocalcin (OC) and undercarboxylated OC (ucOC). This longitudinal study aimed to examine whether low OC or ucOC levels at baseline are associated with the risk of incident T2DM.

METHODS

We examined 1700 community-dwelling Japanese men (≥65 years) after excluding those with history of diseases (other than T2DM) or medications that affect bone and glucose metabolism. T2DM was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥126 mg/dl or glycated hemoglobin A_1c (HbA1c) ≥6.5%. Participants without prevalent T2DM at baseline were invited to follow-up surveys 5 and 10 years after baseline.

RESULTS

Among the participants, 309 with prevalent T2DM showed significantly lower serum OC and ucOC levels at baseline than those without. After excluding these participants, 46 and 57 participants with incident T2DM were identified in the first and second follow-up surveys, respectively. These participants did not show significantly different OC and ucOC levels at baseline relative to those without T2DM, although their FPG and HbA1c levels at baseline were significantly higher compared to those without incident T2DM. Increase in glycemic indices preceded decrease in OC and ucOC levels. OC and ucOC levels at baseline were not significantly associated with the risk of incident T2DM identified in the follow-up surveys.

CONCLUSIONS

OC and ucOC levels at baseline were not significantly associated with the risk of incident T2DM. Our results do not support the findings of animal studies that ucOC is a hormone regulating glucose metabolism.

Determinants of bone health in elderly Japanese men: study design and key findings of the Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) study was launched to investigate risk factors for osteoporotic fractures, interactions of osteoporosis with other non-communicable chronic diseases, and effects of fracture on QOL and mortality.

METHODS

FORMEN baseline study participants (in 2007 and 2008) included 2012 community-dwelling men (aged 65-93 years) in Nara prefecture, Japan. Clinical follow-up surveys were conducted 5 and 10 years after the baseline survey, and 1539 and 906 men completed them, respectively. Supplemental mail, telephone, and visit surveys were conducted with non-participants to obtain outcome information. Survival and fracture outcomes were determined for 2006 men, with 566 deaths identified and 1233 men remaining in the cohort at 10-year follow-up.

COMMENTS

The baseline survey covered a wide range of bone health-related indices including bone mineral density, trabecular microarchitecture assessment, vertebral imaging for detecting vertebral fractures, and biochemical markers of bone turnover, as well as comprehensive geriatric assessment items. Follow-up surveys were conducted to obtain outcomes including osteoporotic fracture, cardiovascular diseases, initiation of long-term care, and mortality. A complete list of publications relating to the FORMEN study can be found at https://www.med.kindai.ac.jp/pubheal/FORMEN/Publications.html .

Associations between trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio and cardiometabolic risk factors in elderly Japanese men: baseline data from the Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) study

Background

Body mass-independent parameters might be more appropriate for assessing cardiometabolic abnormalities than weight-dependent indices in Asians who have relatively high visceral adiposity but low body fat. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-measured trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio is one such body mass-independent index. However, there are no reports on relationships between DXA-measured regional fat ratio and cardiometabolic risk factors targeting elderly Asian men.

Methods

We analyzed cross-sectional data of 597 elderly men who participated in the baseline survey of the Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) study, a community-based single-center prospective cohort study conducted in Japan. Whole-body fat and regional fat were measured with a DXA scanner. Trunk-to-appendicular fat ratio (TAR) was calculated as trunk fat divided by appendicular fat (sum of arm and leg fat), and trunk-to-leg fat ratio (TLR) as trunk fat divided by leg fat.

Results

Both TAR and TLR in the group of men who used ≥ 1 medication for hypertension, dyslipidemia, or diabetes (“user group”; N = 347) were significantly larger than those who did not use such medication (“non-user group”; N = 250) (P < 0.05). After adjusting for potential confounding factors including whole-body fat, both TAR and TLR were significantly associated with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, fasting serum insulin, and the insulin resistance index in the non-user group and non-overweight men in the non-user group (N = 199).

Conclusion

The trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio was associated with cardiometabolic risk factors independently of whole-body fat mass. Parameters of the fat ratio may be useful for assessing cardiometabolic risk factors, particularly in underweight to normal-weight populations.

Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight

From 1985 to 2016, the prevalence of underweight decreased, and that of obesity and severe obesity increased, in most regions, with significant variation in the magnitude of these changes across regions. We investigated how much change in mean body mass index (BMI) explains changes in the prevalence of underweight, obesity, and severe obesity in different regions using data from 2896 population-based studies with 187 million participants. Changes in the prevalence of underweight and total obesity, and to a lesser extent severe obesity, are largely driven by shifts in the distribution of BMI, with smaller contributions from changes in the shape of the distribution. In East and Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the underweight tail of the BMI distribution was left behind as the distribution shifted. There is a need for policies that address all forms of malnutrition by making healthy foods accessible and affordable, while restricting unhealthy foods through fiscal and regulatory restrictions.

Association between household solid fuel use and tuberculosis: cross-sectional data from the Mongolian National Tuberculosis Prevalence Survey

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) and indoor air pollution (IAP) are equally critical public health issues in the developing world. Mongolia is experiencing the double burden of TB and IAP due to solid fuel combustion. However, no study has assessed the relationship between household solid fuel use and TB in Mongolia. The present study aimed to assess the association between household solid fuel use and TB based on data from the Mongolian National Tuberculosis Prevalence Survey (MNTP Survey).

METHOD

The MNTP Survey was a nationally representative population-based cross-sectional survey targeting households in Mongolia from 2014 to 2015, with the aim of evaluating the prevalence of TB. The survey adopted a multistage cluster sampling design in accordance with the World Health Organization prevalence survey guidelines. Clusters with at least 500 residents were selected by random sampling. A sample size of 98 clusters with 54,100 participants was estimated to be required for the survey, and 41,450 participants were included in the final analysis of the present study. A structured questionnaire was used to collect information on environmental and individual factors related to TB. Physical examination, chest X-ray, and sputum examinations were also performed to diagnose TB.

RESULTS

The use of solid fuels for heating (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.5; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-2.1), male gender (aOR: 2.2; 95% CI: 1.6-3.2), divorced or widowed (aOR: 2.6; 95% CI: 1.7-3.8), daily smoker (aOR: 1.8; 95% CI: 1.3-2.5), contact with an active TB case (aOR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2-2.3), being underweight (aOR: 3.7; 95% CI: 2.4-5.7), and previous history of TB (aOR: 4.3; 95% CI: 3.0-6.1) were significantly associated with bacteriologically confirmed TB after adjusting for confounding variables.

CONCLUSION

The use of solid fuels for heating was significantly associated with active TB in Mongolian adults. Increased public awareness is needed on the use of household solid fuels, a source of IAP.

Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019 in 200 countries and territories: a pooled analysis of 2181 population-based studies with 65 million participants

BACKGROUND

Comparable global data on health and nutrition of school-aged children and adolescents are scarce. We aimed to estimate age trajectories and time trends in mean height and mean body-mass index (BMI), which measures weight gain beyond what is expected from height gain, for school-aged children and adolescents.

METHODS

For this pooled analysis, we used a database of cardiometabolic risk factors collated by the Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Collaboration. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1985 to 2019 in mean height and mean BMI in 1-year age groups for ages 5-19 years. The model allowed for non-linear changes over time in mean height and mean BMI and for non-linear changes with age of children and adolescents, including periods of rapid growth during adolescence.

FINDINGS

We pooled data from 2181 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in 65 million participants in 200 countries and territories. In 2019, we estimated a difference of 20 cm or higher in mean height of 19-year-old adolescents between countries with the tallest populations (the Netherlands, Montenegro, Estonia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina for boys; and the Netherlands, Montenegro, Denmark, and Iceland for girls) and those with the shortest populations (Timor-Leste, Laos, Solomon Islands, and Papua New Guinea for boys; and Guatemala, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Timor-Leste for girls). In the same year, the difference between the highest mean BMI (in Pacific island countries, Kuwait, Bahrain, The Bahamas, Chile, the USA, and New Zealand for both boys and girls and in South Africa for girls) and lowest mean BMI (in India, Bangladesh, Timor-Leste, Ethiopia, and Chad for boys and girls; and in Japan and Romania for girls) was approximately 9-10 kg/m2. In some countries, children aged 5 years started with healthier height or BMI than the global median and, in some cases, as healthy as the best performing countries, but they became progressively less healthy compared with their comparators as they grew older by not growing as tall (eg, boys in Austria and Barbados, and girls in Belgium and Puerto Rico) or gaining too much weight for their height (eg, girls and boys in Kuwait, Bahrain, Fiji, Jamaica, and Mexico; and girls in South Africa and New Zealand). In other countries, growing children overtook the height of their comparators (eg, Latvia, Czech Republic, Morocco, and Iran) or curbed their weight gain (eg, Italy, France, and Croatia) in late childhood and adolescence. When changes in both height and BMI were considered, girls in South Korea, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and some central Asian countries (eg, Armenia and Azerbaijan), and boys in central and western Europe (eg, Portugal, Denmark, Poland, and Montenegro) had the healthiest changes in anthropometric status over the past 3·5 decades because, compared with children and adolescents in other countries, they had a much larger gain in height than they did in BMI. The unhealthiest changes-gaining too little height, too much weight for their height compared with children in other countries, or both-occurred in many countries in sub-Saharan Africa, New Zealand, and the USA for boys and girls; in Malaysia and some Pacific island nations for boys; and in Mexico for girls.

INTERPRETATION

The height and BMI trajectories over age and time of school-aged children and adolescents are highly variable across countries, which indicates heterogeneous nutritional quality and lifelong health advantages and risks.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, AstraZeneca Young Health Programme, EU.

Maternal pre-pregnancy underweight is associated with underweight and low bone mass in school-aged children

INTRODUCTION

A number of studies have reported that pre-pregnancy overweight status is associated with offspring obesity, yet only a few studies have examined pre-pregnancy underweight status as it associates with offspring health. The aim of the present study was to assess the effect of pre-pregnancy underweight status in a mother on health outcomes in her offspring. To this end, the primary outcome examined in the present study was underweight status in the offspring, with a secondary outcome of offspring low bone mass.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The present retrospective cohort study, conducted from 2008 to 2011, targeted a source population of all students registered as fifth-graders at three public elementary schools in Hamamatsu and Fukuroi cities. Maternal height and weight before and after pregnancy and offspring weight and height at birth were obtained from the Maternal and Child Health Handbook. Offspring weight and height at age 10 years were measured using standard procedures. Offspring total body less head (TBLH) bone mineral content (BMC) was determined with a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scanner.

RESULTS

Pre-pregnancy underweight status was found to be associated with an increased risk of an underweight status in female offspring (OR = 2.88, 95% CI 1.06-7.81). Offspring TBLH BMC in the underweight mother group was significantly lower than that in the non-underweight mother group.

CONCLUSIONS

We determined that pre-pregnancy underweight status was more likely to lead to an underweight status and low TBLH BMC in school-aged offspring.

Relationships between serum uric acid concentrations, uric acid lowering medications, and vertebral fracture in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men: Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) Cohort Study

PURPOSE

The association between serum concentrations of uric acid (UA), a potent endogenous antioxidant, and fracture risk has not yet been examined for morphometric vertebral fracture (VF). This study aimed to determine whether serum UA concentrations are associated with risks of clinical osteoporotic fracture (OPF) and morphometric VF after adjusting for confounding factors including UA-lowering medications (ULMs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 2012 Japanese men aged ≥65 years completed the baseline study, which included serum UA measurement and X-ray absorptiometry-based VF assessment. We conducted a follow-up study five years later to identify incident OPFs and VFs. OPF was identified through interviews. Incident VF was defined as a vertebra which showed reduction in any of its anterior, central, or posterior heights by ≥20% during follow-up, and satisfied grade one or higher fracture criteria in Genant's method on follow-up images. Bone mineral density (BMD) of the hip and spine was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry at baseline and follow-up.

RESULTS

We identified 45 clinical OPFs from 2000 men and 39 VFs from 1530 men during a mean follow-up period of 4.3 years. Hip BMD was significantly higher in higher UA concentration groups after adjusting for age and body mass index. A significantly decreased multivariate-adjusted odds ratio (OR) of incident VF was observed for the highest quartile groups of serum UA concentrations compared with the lowest quartile group (OR: 0.17, 95% confidence interval: 0.05-0.62). This OR remained significant after further adjusting for ULM use. ULM users in the lowest quartile group of serum UA concentrations had a significantly higher incidence rate of VF compared to the other quartile groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher serum UA concentrations were associated with a lower risk of morphometric VF independently of ULM in Japanese elderly men. Excessive reduction of serum UA concentrations by ULM might increase VF risk.

Trunk-to-peripheral fat ratio predicts a subsequent blood pressure in normal-weight pubertal boys: a 3-year follow-up of the Kitakata Kids Health Study

BACKGROUND

Limited evidence exists regarding the relationship between central-to-peripheral fat ratio measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and subsequent cardiometabolic risk in both pediatric and adult populations.

METHODS

The present cohort study investigated the relationship between DXA-measured body fat distribution and cardiometabolic parameters. The source population was 275 4th-6th graders (aged 9.6-12.6 years) in the northeast region of Japan (Shiokawa area in Kitakata). A 3-year follow-up was conducted to obtain complete information from 155 normal-weight children (87 boys and 68 girls). Normal-weight children were identified using sex- and age-specific international cut-offs for body mass index (BMI) based on adult BMI values of 25 kg/m² and 18.5 kg/m², respectively. Body fat distribution was assessed using the trunk-to-appendicular fat ratio (TAR) and trunk-to-leg fat ratio (TLR) measured by DXA.

RESULTS

In boys, systolic blood pressure (SBP) at follow-up showed a significant relationship with TAR at baseline after adjusting for age, height, pubic hair appearance, SBP, and whole body fat at baseline (β = 0.24, P < 0.05), and SBP also showed a significant relationship with TLR after adjusting for confounding factors including whole body fat (β = 0.25, P < 0.05). In girls, there were no significant relationships between blood pressure and TAR/TLR.

CONCLUSION

Body fat distribution in normal-weight boys predicted subsequent blood pressure levels in adolescence. The relationship between fat distribution and blood pressure was independent of fat volume.

Evaluation of complications after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography using a short type double balloon endoscope in patients with altered gastrointestinal anatomy: a single-center retrospective study of 1,576 procedures

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) using balloon-assisted endoscope such as double-balloon endoscope is even effective for patients with surgically altered anatomy. Yet comprehensive studies on complications of ERCP using balloon-assisted endoscope have not been made. We analyzed the characteristics and the causes of complications of ERCP using double-balloon endoscope (DB-ERCP) procedures and aimed to suggest effective managements.

METHODS

A total of 1576 procedures of DB-ERCP in 714 patients with surgically altered gastrointestinal anatomy in our hospital were evaluated retrospectively using a statistic analysis.

RESULTS

The overall complication occurrence rate was 5.8%. By type of complications are perforation 3.2%, mucosal laceration 0.5%, hemorrhage 1.0%, pancreatitis 0.6%, respiratory disorder 0.4%, and others 0.2%. By type of surgical reconstruction methods were Roux-en-Y reconstruction with choledocho-jejunal anastomosis 4.2%, Roux-en-Y reconstruction without choledocho-jejunal anastomosis 6.7%, pancreaticoduodenectomy 4.5%, pylorus preserving pancreaticoduodenectomy 4.2%, Billroth II gastrectomy (B-II) 11.6%, and other reconstruction method (others) 7.4%. The contributing factors calculated by a multivariate analysis were B-II (odds ratio: 1.864, 95% confidence interval: 1.001-3.471, P = 0.050) and the presence of naïve papilla (odds ratio: 3.268, 95% confidence interval: 1.426-7.490, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

DB-ERCP is a safe method with a total complication rate of 5.8% that could be considered within an acceptable range. The most common complication was the injury of the digestive tract such as perforation. Affecting risk factors for complications were B-II and the presence of naïve papilla. DB-ERCP procedures should be performed carefully of these factors.

Psychometric properties of the Japanese version of the Dutch Eating Behavior Questionnaire for Children

This study aimed to evaluate the psychometric properties of the 20-item Japanese version of the Dutch Eating Behavior Questionnaire for Children (DEBQ-C). A population-based sample of 502 Japanese school children who were fifth- and sixth-graders in elementary schools and first- and second-graders in junior high schools was assessed. A sample was randomly split into two subsamples, one for exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and another for confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). Internal consistency estimates for subscales (restrained, emotional, and external) were evaluated using Cronbach's alpha. Measurement invariance was examined across each subgroup (genders: boys and girls, school categories: elementary school and junior high school, body mass index (BMI) categories: underweight, normal weight, and overweight) by using multi-group CFA. The Japanese version of the DEBQ-C demonstrates good results of item analysis. The three-factor structure of the original DEBQ-C was supported by both EFA and CFA. The reliability of each factor was also satisfied (restrained: α = 0.86, emotional: α = 0.90, external: α = 0.86). Results of multi-group confirmatory factor analysis supported its metric and scalar or partial scalar measurement invariance across all subgroups. In gender subgroup, girls scored higher on restrained eating. In school subgroup, junior high school children scored higher on emotional and external eating. In BMI subgroup, overweight children scored higher on restrained eating. These findings suggest that the Japanese version of the DEBQ-C is a psychometrically valid and reliable instrument for assessing eating behaviors across gender, school categories, and BMI categories in Japanese children.

Repositioning of the global epicentre of non-optimal cholesterol

High blood cholesterol is typically considered a feature of wealthy western countries1,2. However, dietary and behavioural determinants of blood cholesterol are changing rapidly throughout the world3 and countries are using lipid-lowering medications at varying rates. These changes can have distinct effects on the levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and non-HDL cholesterol, which have different effects on human health4,5. However, the trends of HDL and non-HDL cholesterol levels over time have not been previously reported in a global analysis. Here we pooled 1,127 population-based studies that measured blood lipids in 102.6 million individuals aged 18 years and older to estimate trends from 1980 to 2018 in mean total, non-HDL and HDL cholesterol levels for 200 countries. Globally, there was little change in total or non-HDL cholesterol from 1980 to 2018. This was a net effect of increases in low- and middle-income countries, especially in east and southeast Asia, and decreases in high-income western countries, especially those in northwestern Europe, and in central and eastern Europe. As a result, countries with the highest level of non-HDL cholesterol-which is a marker of cardiovascular risk-changed from those in western Europe such as Belgium, Finland, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and Malta in 1980 to those in Asia and the Pacific, such as Tokelau, Malaysia, The Philippines and Thailand. In 2017, high non-HDL cholesterol was responsible for an estimated 3.9 million (95% credible interval 3.7 million-4.2 million) worldwide deaths, half of which occurred in east, southeast and south Asia. The global repositioning of lipid-related risk, with non-optimal cholesterol shifting from a distinct feature of high-income countries in northwestern Europe, north America and Australasia to one that affects countries in east and southeast Asia and Oceania should motivate the use of population-based policies and personal interventions to improve nutrition and enhance access to treatment throughout the world.

Calcium Intake and Bone Mineral Acquisition during the Pubertal Growth Spurt: Three-Year Follow-Up of the Kitakata Kids Health Study in Japan

Calcium intake during a growth spurt may influence bone mineral acquisition. However, no population-based cohort studies have examined the relationship between calcium intake and whole-body bone mineral acquisition in Japanese children. The present study investigated the relationship between calcium intake and whole-body bone mineral acquisition in community-dwelling children in a northeast region of Japan using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The source population for the baseline survey comprised all school children in 4th through 6th grades (275 children; age range, 10-12 y) in the Shiokawa area of Kitakata City, Fukushima. We obtained complete information from 220 children (100 girls and 120 boys), and analyzed total body less head (TBLH) bone mineral content (BMC), TBLH areal bone mineral density (aBMD), and bone mineral apparent density (BMAD) as an estimate of volumetric bone density. The Food Frequency Questionnaire for the Prevention and Management of Osteoporosis was validated in a previous study and used to estimate dietary nutrient intake. At baseline, mean calcium intake was 641 mg/d in girls and 660 mg/d in boys. Calcium intake in boys showed a significant (p<0.05) relationship with TBLH BMC and TBLH aBMD at follow-up, and with changes in TBLH BMC, TBLH aBMD, and TB BMAD from baseline to follow-up. After adjusting for potential confounding factors including body weight, we found no significant relationships between calcium intake and bone mineral parameters. Further studies are needed to clarify whether calcium intake affects bone mineral acquisition during pubertal growth spurts in the Japanese population.

Natto Intake is Inversely Associated with Osteoporotic Fracture Risk in Postmenopausal Japanese Women

BACKGROUND

The direct association between intake of Japanese fermented soybeans, namely natto, and bone mineral density (BMD) is known. However, the association with osteoporotic fractures has not been studied.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate whether habitual natto intake is associated with a risk of osteoporotic fractures.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 1417 postmenopausal Japanese women who were enrolled in the Japanese Population-Based Osteoporosis cohort study in 1996, 1999, 2002, and 2006 and were aged ≥45 y at baseline. The intake of natto, tofu, and other soybean products was surveyed with use of a FFQ at baseline. Fractures were ascertained in follow-up surveys conducted in 1999, 2002, 2006, and 2011/2012. Osteoporotic fracture was the primary outcome and was defined as a clinical fracture occurring without strong external force, diagnosed with radiographs by a medical doctor. HRs with 95% CIs were estimated with Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

During the 17,699 person-years of follow-up (median, 15.2 y), 172 women experienced osteoporotic fractures. After adjustment for age and BMD at the total hip, the HRs compared with those of < 1 pack (approximately 40 g)/wk natto intake were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.52, 0.98) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.30, 0.87) for 1-6 and ≥7 packs/wk, respectively. After further adjustment for BMI, history of osteoporotic fractures, history of myocardial infarction or stroke, diabetes mellitus, current smoking, alcohol intake, frequency of tofu and other soybean product intakes, and dietary calcium intake, the HRs were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.56, 1.10) and 0.56 (95% CI: 0.32, 0.99) for 1-6 and ≥7 packs/wk, respectively. Frequency of tofu or other soybean product intakes had no association with the risk of osteoporotic fractures.

CONCLUSIONS

Habitual natto intake may be associated with a reduced risk of osteoporotic fractures independent of confounding factors, including BMD, in Japanese postmenopausal women. This trial was registered at umin.ac.jp as UMIN 000032869.

National trends in total cholesterol obscure heterogeneous changes in HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio: a pooled analysis of 458 population-based studies in Asian and Western countries

BACKGROUND

Although high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and non-HDL cholesterol have opposite associations with coronary heart disease, multi-country reports of lipid trends only use total cholesterol (TC). Our aim was to compare trends in total, HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and the total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio in Asian and Western countries.

METHODS

We pooled 458 population-based studies with 82.1 million participants in 23 Asian and Western countries. We estimated changes in mean total, HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and mean total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio by country, sex and age group.

RESULTS

Since ∼1980, mean TC increased in Asian countries. In Japan and South Korea, the TC rise was due to rising HDL cholesterol, which increased by up to 0.17 mmol/L per decade in Japanese women; in China, it was due to rising non-HDL cholesterol. TC declined in Western countries, except in Polish men. The decline was largest in Finland and Norway, at ∼0.4 mmol/L per decade. The decline in TC in most Western countries was the net effect of an increase in HDL cholesterol and a decline in non-HDL cholesterol, with the HDL cholesterol increase largest in New Zealand and Switzerland. Mean total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio declined in Japan, South Korea and most Western countries, by as much as ∼0.7 per decade in Swiss men (equivalent to ∼26% decline in coronary heart disease risk per decade). The ratio increased in China.

CONCLUSIONS

HDL cholesterol has risen and the total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio has declined in many Western countries, Japan and South Korea, with only a weak correlation with changes in TC or non-HDL cholesterol.

Associations between serum levels of insulin-like growth factor-I and bone mineral acquisition in pubertal children: a 3-year follow-up study in Hamamatsu, Japan

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological data regarding the association between serum levels of IGF-I and bone mineral acquisition during childhood are scarce. Here, we investigated the association between serum levels of IGF-I and bone status during puberty.

METHODS

We analyzed prospective 3-year follow-up data of 254 community-dwelling children who completed both baselines (at age 11.2 years) and follow-up (at age 14.2 years) surveys in Hamamatsu, Japan. Total body (TB) bone area and bone mineral parameters were assessed using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry.

RESULTS

During the 3-year follow-up period, there were significant (P < 0.05) increases in total body less head (TBLH) areal bone mineral density (aBMD), TBLH bone mineral content (BMC), and TB bone area, and a significant decrease in TB bone mineral apparent density (BMAD, volumetric bone mineral density, vBMD). IGF-I levels showed significant positive relationships with TBLH BMC and TBLH aBMD at both baseline and follow-up. TBLH aBMD in boys and TB BMAD in girls at follow-up showed significant increases from the lowest to highest quartiles of baseline IGF-I levels after adjusting for confounding factors. Similarly, changes in TBLH aBMD in boys and TB BMAD in girls during the 3-year follow-up period showed significant increases from the lowest to highest quartiles of baseline IGF-I levels after adjusting for confounding factors.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that pubertal children with high levels of serum IGF-I tended to have high bone mineral acquisition later on.

Increased risk of osteoporotic fracture in community-dwelling elderly men 20 or more years after gastrectomy: The Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men (FORMEN) Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Many studies have reported that patients with a history of gastrectomy (gastrectomized patients) have lower areal bone mineral density (aBMD) and higher fracture risk than those without. However, population-based studies on this topic are scarce, and little is known regarding the bone metabolic status of gastrectomized patients in the long-term. This study aimed to clarify the association of gastrectomy with aBMD, bone metabolism markers, and fracture risk in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men.

METHODS

A total of 1992 men aged ≥65 years completed baseline measurements including aBMD at the spine and hip, serum levels of intact parathyroid hormone (PTH), intact osteocalcin (OC), tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase isoenzyme 5b (TRACP5b), and undercarboxylated OC (ucOC), and an interview regarding past medical history including gastrectomy. Osteoporotic fractures (OPFs) that occurred during the 5-year follow-up period were determined through structured interviews.

RESULTS

After excluding participants with type 1 diabetes mellitus and those with missing values, 1985 men, including 132 gastrectomized men, were analyzed. Gastrectomized men had significantly higher PTH, TRACP5b, and ucOC levels, and lower aBMD, than non-gastrectomized men. Gastrectomy was associated with a significantly higher risk of OPF after adjusting for confounding variables (hazard ratio (HR): 2.55, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17, 5.55), and the risk was no longer significant when further adjusted for PTH and aBMD. Even in this model, however, increase in OPF risk was significant in gastrectomized men who survived 20 years or more after the surgery (HR: 3.56, 95% CI: 1.33, 9.52).

CONCLUSIONS

History of gastrectomy was associated with elevated bone resorption, decreased aBMD, and increased fracture risk in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men. This increase in fracture risk was more prominent long after gastrectomy.

Association between hand-grip strength and site-specific risks of major osteoporotic fracture: Results from the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between hand-grip strength and site-specific risks of major osteoporotic fracture.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

MAIN OUTCOME

Associations between low hand-grip strength and increased risk of fracture at the distal forearm, vertebrae, and hip.

MEASURES

We enrolled 1342 postmenopausal women aged 50 years or more into baseline and follow-up surveys of the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis Cohort Study in 1996, 1999, 2002, or 2006. Fracture events were ascertained by follow-up surveys until 2011 or 2012. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of hand-grip strength on fracture event.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 15.2 years, 162 women sustained at least one osteoporotic fracture and 135 of these women sustained at least one major osteoporotic fracture, the larger group including 65, 38, 35, and 8 women with fractures of the distal forearm, vertebrae, hip, and proximal humerus, respectively. In the crude models, the associations between low hand-grip strength and increased risk of fracture at the distal forearm, vertebrae, and hip were significant; the HRs (95% confidence interval) of the lowest tertile of hand-grip strength were 2.02 (1.10-3.71), 11.35 (4.07-31.63), and 4.72 (1.79-12.47), respectively. Age adjustment attenuated the significance of hip fracture risk, and adjusting for bone mineral density attenuated the significance of distal forearm fracture risk. After additional adjustment for body mass index, history of diabetes mellitus, and calcium intake, the HR for vertebral fracture risk was 4.55 (1.56-13.27). When limiting the follow-up period to 5 and 10 years, low hand-grip strength was associated with an increased risk of distal forearm fracture independently of the aforementioned covariates; the HRs were 4.22 (1.12-15.95) and 2.52 (1.03-6.17), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Low hand-grip strength is specifically associated with the risk of distal forearm fractures within 10 years and clinical vertebral fractures within 15 years or more in Japanese postmenopausal women.

Hyperglycemic status is associated with an elevated risk of osteoporotic fracture in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men: The Fujiwara-kyo osteoporosis risk in men (FORMEN) cohort study

PURPOSE

Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus have an increased fracture risk. However, population-based studies on the association between glycemic status and fracture risk are scarce, and none have targeted a Japanese population. In addition, patients in the lowest category of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) do not always show the lowest risk. This study aimed to clarify the association between glycemic status and fracture risk in community-dwelling elderly Japanese men.

METHODS

A total of 1992 men aged ≥65 years completed baseline measurements including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), HbA1c, bone density, and an interview regarding past disease history. Osteoporotic fractures (OPFs) that occurred during the 5-year follow-up period were determined through interviews. An OPF at the spine, hip, proximal humerus, or distal radius was defined as a major OPF (MOF).

RESULTS

After excluding participants who had a history of type 1 diabetes mellitus and thiazolidinedione therapy, 1951 men were analyzed. Men with hyperglycemia in the diabetic range had a significantly higher risk of OPF compared with those with normoglycemia, after adjusting for confounding factors including insulin therapy (hazard ratio (HR): 2.76, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17, 6.50 in FPG ≥ 126 mg/dl; HR: 2.49, 95% CI: 1.07, 5.77 in HbA1c ≥ 6.5%). An elevated risk of MOF was observed in participants in the prediabetic HbA1c category (HR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.00, 4.62 in 5.7% ≤ HbA1c < 6.5%) in addition to those in the diabetic category. The intermediate glycemic status group showed intermediate risk, suggesting that the association was linear.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperglycemia was associated linearly with elevated fracture risk in community-dwelling elderly men. MOF risk may be elevated in Japanese elderly men with prediabetic glycemic status.

Leptin mediates the relationship between fat mass and blood pressure: The Hamamatsu School-based health study

Animal studies have shown that leptin mediates the association between obesity and hypertension. However, only a few studies have assessed this relationship in population-based epidemiological studies. This study aimed to determine whether leptin mediates the relationship between body fat and blood pressure in school-aged children.A cross-sectional survey was conducted among school-aged children in Hamamatsu, Japan. Body fat was measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Height-normalized index of fat mass (fat mass index) was calculated by dividing fat mass by height squared. Serum leptin levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate relationships between body fat, serum leptin levels, and blood pressure. The mediating effect of leptin on the association between body fat and blood pressure was assessed by causal mediation analysis and regression analysis.Both fat mass index and leptin were significantly and positively associated with blood pressure. Fat mass index was also strongly associated with serum leptin levels. Body fat and blood pressure were no longer associated after adjusting for leptin. These findings suggest that the association between body fat and blood pressure is mediated by leptin. Of the total effect of fat mass index on blood pressure, the mediating effect of leptin accounted for 78.6% (P = .03) in boys and 42.2% (P = .11) in girls.Our findings suggest that body fat is associated with blood pressure, and this association is mediated by leptin. Thus, leptin acts as a mediator that links body adiposity with blood pressure elevation in school-aged children.

Muscle strength is associated with bone health independently of muscle mass in postmenopausal women: the Japanese population-based osteoporosis study

There are conflicting reports on whether muscle strength is associated with bone mineral density (BMD) independently of muscle mass. Here, we examined the association between muscle strength and BMD in a representative population of Japanese women. Cross-sectional data from 680 postmenopausal women, who were participants in the 15th-year follow-up survey of the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis cohort study, were analyzed. Areal BMD (aBMD) at the femoral neck and lumbar spine, whole-body bone mineral density, and appendicular skeletal muscle mass (ASM, kg) were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The ASM index (ASMI, kg/m²) was calculated as ASM divided by height squared (m²). Grip strength (kg) was measured as an indicator of muscle strength. Grip strength showed significantly (P < 0.05) positive relationships with aBMDs at several skeletal sites after adjusting for ASMI and age (standardized partial regression coefficient (β) = 0.102 at femoral neck, β = 0.126 at lumbar spine). Adjusted means of aBMD at the femoral neck and lumbar spine showed significant increasing trends from the lowest to highest tertile of grip strength. Our findings indicate that muscle strength is associated with aBMD at several sites independently of muscle mass in Japanese postmenopausal women. Thus, postmenopausal women with strong muscle strength tend to have a healthy bone status regardless of muscle size.

Relationships between serum leptin levels and bone mineral parameters in school-aged children: a 3-year follow-up study

Leptin regulates bone cell differentiation and functions via direct and indirect actions in experimental settings. Epidemiologically, however, the impact of leptin on the regulation of bone metabolism remains unclear. While some studies have reported a positive relationship between leptin and bone mineral parameters, other studies found an inverse or no association. We analyzed data from a population-based follow-up survey of community-dwelling children in Hamamatsu, Japan, to investigate relationships between leptin levels and bone mineral parameters. Multiple regression analysis was performed. Multicollinearity was quantified using the variance infiltration factor (VIF). Among 408 children who participated in the baseline survey (at age 11.2 years), 254 (121 boys and 133 girls) completed the follow-up survey (at age 14.2 years). Leptin levels were strongly related to fat mass (r = 0.87 in boys, r = 0.80 in girls). Leptin levels at baseline were significantly (P < 0.05) positively related to total body less head (TBLH) areal bone mineral density (aBMD) at follow-up in girls (standardized partial regression coefficient: β = 0.302, VIF = 2.246), after adjusting for body fat percentage (%). On the other hand, leptin levels were inversely related to TBLH aBMD in boys (β = - 0.395, VIF = 4.116), after adjusting for body fat mass (kg). Positive relationships between leptin levels and bone mineral parameters were observed with VIF values < 4.0, whereas inverse relationships were observed with VIF values ≥ 4.0. These findings suggest that positive relationships between leptin levels and bone mineral parameters are weak, or not always observed, due to statistical problems (i.e., multicollinearity) and other factors derived from adipose tissue.

Trends in Serum Lipid Levels of a 10- and 13-Year-Old Population in Fukuroi City, Japan (2007-2017)

Background

Current trends in serum lipid levels among children are likely to be important predictors of future cardiovascular disease prevalence. However, no studies have examined trends in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels in Japanese children.

Methods

We investigated trends in LDL-C levels from 2008 through 2017 and HDL-C levels from 2007 through 2017 in a population of 10- and 13-year-old children in Fukuroi City, Japan. We analyzed 17,838 children, accounting for 93.8% of all fifth and eighth graders in the entire city. Adverse lipid levels were defined as follows: 130 mg/dL or higher for LDL-C, and lower than 40 mg/dL for HDL-C. The Jonckheere-Terpstra and Cochran-Armitage tests were used to evaluate secular trends in mean serum lipid levels and prevalence of dyslipidemia, respectively.

Results

There were no significant trends in BMI during the study period. In children aged 10 years, serum levels of LDL-C and HDL-C showed significant positive associations with calendar year during the study period for both sexes. A significant increase in HDL-C levels was observed in girls aged 13 years. On the other hand, no significant trends were observed in the prevalence of high LDL-C or low HDL-C regardless of sex or age, while the prevalence of high non-HDL-C showed a significant increase in boys.

Conclusions

In the Fukuroi population, serum levels of LDL-C and HDL-C slightly increased in both boys and girls aged 10 years, and HDL-C levels slightly increased in girls aged 13 years, during the past decade.

Contributions of mean and shape of blood pressure distribution to worldwide trends and variations in raised blood pressure: a pooled analysis of 1018 population-based measurement studies with 88.6 million participants

BACKGROUND

Change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure could be due to both shifts in the entire distribution of blood pressure (representing the combined effects of public health interventions and secular trends) and changes in its high-blood-pressure tail (representing successful clinical interventions to control blood pressure in the hypertensive population). Our aim was to quantify the contributions of these two phenomena to the worldwide trends in the prevalence of raised blood pressure.

METHODS

We pooled 1018 population-based studies with blood pressure measurements on 88.6 million participants from 1985 to 2016. We first calculated mean systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and prevalence of raised blood pressure by sex and 10-year age group from 20-29 years to 70-79 years in each study, taking into account complex survey design and survey sample weights, where relevant. We used a linear mixed effect model to quantify the association between (probit-transformed) prevalence of raised blood pressure and age-group- and sex-specific mean blood pressure. We calculated the contributions of change in mean SBP and DBP, and of change in the prevalence-mean association, to the change in prevalence of raised blood pressure.

RESULTS

In 2005-16, at the same level of population mean SBP and DBP, men and women in South Asia and in Central Asia, the Middle East and North Africa would have the highest prevalence of raised blood pressure, and men and women in the high-income Asia Pacific and high-income Western regions would have the lowest. In most region-sex-age groups where the prevalence of raised blood pressure declined, one half or more of the decline was due to the decline in mean blood pressure. Where prevalence of raised blood pressure has increased, the change was entirely driven by increasing mean blood pressure, offset partly by the change in the prevalence-mean association.

CONCLUSIONS

Change in mean blood pressure is the main driver of the worldwide change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure, but change in the high-blood-pressure tail of the distribution has also contributed to the change in prevalence, especially in older age groups.

Relationship Between Maternal Pre-pregnancy Weight and Offspring Weight Strengthens as Children Develop: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Maternal pre-pregnancy weight has been reported to be positively associated with offspring weight. The association between maternal weight and offspring weight might be explained by maternal lifestyle. We investigated the strength of the relationship between maternal body mass index (BMI) at the beginning of pregnancy and offspring BMI at several growth stages.

Methods

The source population was all eighth graders registered in all public schools in the city of Fukuroi, Japan, in 2012. Records of maternal anthropometry at the beginning of pregnancy were obtained from the Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Handbook. The height and body weight of each student were measured. A regression model was used to assess the association between maternal BMI z-score at the beginning of pregnancy and offspring BMI z-score at various ages.

Results

Of the source population, data from the MCH Handbook were obtained for 480 students. Among males, maternal BMI z-score was not associated with offspring BMI z-score at birth and at age 3 years but was associated with offspring BMI z-score at age 13 years (standardized regression coefficient (β) = 0.19; P < 0.01). Among females, maternal BMI z-score was associated with offspring BMI z-score at birth (β = 0.11; P < 0.05), at age 3 years (β = 0.22; P < 0.01) and at age 13 years (β = 0.51; P < 0.01).

Conclusions

Our results suggest that the positive association between maternal weight at the beginning of pregnancy and offspring weight around puberty is stronger than that between maternal weight and offspring weight at birth. Maternal lifestyle may influence offspring weight in adolescence.

Fat mass is positively associated with bone mass acquisition in children with small or normal lean mass: A three-year follow-up study

The independent impact of fat mass (FM) on bone health is difficult to assess, as FM is correlated with lean soft tissue mass (LSTM). In a previous cross-sectional study, FM was suggested to help promote high bone mass acquisition in adolescents with small LSTM. The present prospective cohort study investigated the effects of FM on bone in pubertal children after stratification by height-normalized index of LSTM (LSTMI). The source population was all 5th grade children enrolled in either one of the two public elementary schools in Hamamatsu, Japan. Of these, 545 children who participated in both baseline (at age 11) and follow-up (at age 14) surveys were included in the present analysis. Body composition and whole body areal bone mineral density (aBMD) were measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. From baseline to follow-up, significant (P<0.05) differences were observed in changes in aBMD among tertiles of change in FM in both sexes after adjusting for confounding factors including LSTMI. After stratification by tertiles of sex-specific LSTMI, adjusted means of changes in aBMD according to tertiles of change in FM within the lowest and second lowest tertiles of LSTMI in both sexes showed a significant increase from the lower tertiles to the highest tertile of change in FM. In the highest tertile of LSTMI, changes in FM showed no significant association with changes in aBMD. These findings suggest that adipose tissue might help promote high bone mass acquisition in pubertal children with small or normal LSTMI.

Ratio of Endogenous Secretory Receptor for Advanced Glycation End Products to Pentosidine Predicts Fractures in Men

CONTEXT

Although the endogenous secretory receptor for advanced glycation end products (esRAGE) has been associated with reduced activity of pentosidine (PEN), the association between PEN, esRAGE, and fracture is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the ability of serum PEN and esRAGE levels to predict fragility fractures.

METHODS

A cohort of 1285 Japanese men aged ≥65 years old participated in a 2007 to 2008 Fujiwara-kyo Osteoporosis Risk in Men study baseline survey, as part of the Fujiwara-kyo prospective cohort study. Those participants provided information regarding any fractures they experienced during 5 years. The baseline bone mineral density (BMD) was measured. Hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation increase of log-transformed serum levels of PEN, esRAGE, and esRAGE-to-PEN ratio were estimated at baseline.

RESULTS

Twenty-five participating men suffered incident clinical fragility fractures. The crude HRs (95% confidence interval) for PEN, esRAGE, and esRAGE-to-PEN ratio were 1.56 (1.05 to 2.31), 0.79 (0.54 to 1.15), and 0.65 (0.44 to 0.95), respectively. HRs for PEN adjusted for age, esRAGE, and T score of BMD at femoral neck (FN) and lumbar spine (LS) were 1.48 (1.00 to 2.18) and 1.51 (1.03 to 2.21), respectively. The marginal significance adjusted for BMD at FN and the statistical significance adjusted for BMD at LS were attenuated after additional adjustment for glycated hemoglobin A1c level (P = 0.111 and 0.072, respectively). The HRs for esRAGE-to-PEN ratio adjusted for age, glycated hemoglobin A1c, and T-score of BMD at FN and LS were 0.67 (0.45 to 0.98) and 0.64 (0.43 to 0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher esRAGE-to-PEN ratios were associated with decreased risk of fragility fractures independent of BMD among elderly Japanese men.

Worldwide trends in body-mass index, underweight, overweight, and obesity from 1975 to 2016: a pooled analysis of 2416 population-based measurement studies in 128·9 million children, adolescents, and adults

BACKGROUND

Underweight, overweight, and obesity in childhood and adolescence are associated with adverse health consequences throughout the life-course. Our aim was to estimate worldwide trends in mean body-mass index (BMI) and a comprehensive set of BMI categories that cover underweight to obesity in children and adolescents, and to compare trends with those of adults.

METHODS

We pooled 2416 population-based studies with measurements of height and weight on 128·9 million participants aged 5 years and older, including 31·5 million aged 5-19 years. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1975 to 2016 in 200 countries for mean BMI and for prevalence of BMI in the following categories for children and adolescents aged 5-19 years: more than 2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference for children and adolescents (referred to as moderate and severe underweight hereafter), 2 SD to more than 1 SD below the median (mild underweight), 1 SD below the median to 1 SD above the median (healthy weight), more than 1 SD to 2 SD above the median (overweight but not obese), and more than 2 SD above the median (obesity).

FINDINGS

Regional change in age-standardised mean BMI in girls from 1975 to 2016 ranged from virtually no change (-0·01 kg/m2 per decade; 95% credible interval -0·42 to 0·39, posterior probability [PP] of the observed decrease being a true decrease=0·5098) in eastern Europe to an increase of 1·00 kg/m2 per decade (0·69-1·35, PP>0·9999) in central Latin America and an increase of 0·95 kg/m2 per decade (0·64-1·25, PP>0·9999) in Polynesia and Micronesia. The range for boys was from a non-significant increase of 0·09 kg/m2 per decade (-0·33 to 0·49, PP=0·6926) in eastern Europe to an increase of 0·77 kg/m2 per decade (0·50-1·06, PP>0·9999) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Trends in mean BMI have recently flattened in northwestern Europe and the high-income English-speaking and Asia-Pacific regions for both sexes, southwestern Europe for boys, and central and Andean Latin America for girls. By contrast, the rise in BMI has accelerated in east and south Asia for both sexes, and southeast Asia for boys. Global age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 0·7% (0·4-1·2) in 1975 to 5·6% (4·8-6·5) in 2016 in girls, and from 0·9% (0·5-1·3) in 1975 to 7·8% (6·7-9·1) in 2016 in boys; the prevalence of moderate and severe underweight decreased from 9·2% (6·0-12·9) in 1975 to 8·4% (6·8-10·1) in 2016 in girls and from 14·8% (10·4-19·5) in 1975 to 12·4% (10·3-14·5) in 2016 in boys. Prevalence of moderate and severe underweight was highest in India, at 22·7% (16·7-29·6) among girls and 30·7% (23·5-38·0) among boys. Prevalence of obesity was more than 30% in girls in Nauru, the Cook Islands, and Palau; and boys in the Cook Islands, Nauru, Palau, Niue, and American Samoa in 2016. Prevalence of obesity was about 20% or more in several countries in Polynesia and Micronesia, the Middle East and north Africa, the Caribbean, and the USA. In 2016, 75 (44-117) million girls and 117 (70-178) million boys worldwide were moderately or severely underweight. In the same year, 50 (24-89) million girls and 74 (39-125) million boys worldwide were obese.

INTERPRETATION

The rising trends in children's and adolescents' BMI have plateaued in many high-income countries, albeit at high levels, but have accelerated in parts of Asia, with trends no longer correlated with those of adults.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, AstraZeneca Young Health Programme.

Hyperglycemia is associated with increased bone mineral density and decreased trabecular bone score in elderly Japanese men: The Fujiwara-kyo osteoporosis risk in men (FORMEN) study

PURPOSE

Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have an increased fracture risk despite having higher areal bone mineral density (aBMD). This study aimed to clarify the association between glycemic and insulin resistance status and bone microarchitecture, and whether pentosidine and bone turnover markers play any roles in the association.

METHODS

A total of 2012 community-dwelling men aged ≥65years completed baseline measurements of spine aBMD, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and serum insulin, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), osteocalcin, type I procollagen N-terminal propeptide, type I collagen C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide, tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase isoenzyme 5b, pentosidine, height and weight and an interview regarding past disease history. Homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) was also calculated. T2DM was defined as physician-diagnosed middle age or elderly-onset diabetes mellitus, or according to biochemical test results. To evaluate bone microarchitecture, trabecular bone score (TBS) was calculated at the same vertebrae as those used for aBMD measurement.

RESULTS

After excluding participants who had a disease history and/or were taking medications affecting bone metabolism, 1683 men (age, 72.9±5.2years) were analyzed. Men with T2DM had significantly higher aBMD compared to those without T2DM. There was no significant difference in TBS. However, FPG, HbA1c and HOMA-IR levels were significantly inversely correlated with TBS after adjusting for age, BMI and aBMD. Multivariate linear regression analyses revealed that glycemic indices (FPG and HbA1c) were significantly associated with increased aBMD and decreased TBS, and that HOMA-IR was associated only with TBS. These associations did not change after further adjusting for bone turnover makers and pentosidine levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperglycemia and elevated insulin-resistance were associated with low TBS independently of bone turnover and pentosidine levels.

Association of social support with gratitude and sense of coherence in Japanese young women: a cross-sectional study

PURPOSE

Recent studies have shown that perceived social support is associated with gratitude and sense of coherence, but evidence for this concept remains scarce. In the present study, we investigated relationships between social support, gratitude, and sense of coherence, focusing on the construct of and source of social support among young women.

METHODS

The study was conducted in 2014 in Japan. Participants comprised 208 female university students (aged 19.9 ± 1.1 years), who completed a self-administered anonymous questionnaire regarding perceived social support, gratitude, and sense of coherence.

RESULTS

Emotional and instrumental social support from acquaintances were found to be lower than those from family and friends. Gratitude was positively correlated with all forms of social support except instrumental social support from acquaintances. However, sense of coherence was positively correlated with both emotional and instrumental social support from family and only emotional social support from acquaintances. Multiple regression analysis showed that emotional support from family and emotional support from acquaintances were positively associated with gratitude whereas emotional support from family was associated with sense of coherence.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate that emotional social support from family was related to both gratitude and sense of coherence.