Transitioning from emicizumab prophylaxis to valoctocogene roxaparvovec gene therapy: A simulation study for individuals with severe haemophilia A

INTRODUCTION

Valoctocogene roxaparvovec, a gene therapy evaluated in the phase 3 GENEr8-1 trial, supports endogenous factor VIII (FVIII) production to prevent bleeding in people with severe haemophilia A. Individuals receiving emicizumab, an antibody mimicking the function of activated FVIII, were excluded from GENEr8-1 enrolment since emicizumab was an investigational therapy at the time of trial initiation.

AIM

Utilize pharmacokinetic simulations to provide guidance on best practices for maintaining haemostatic control while transitioning from emicizumab prophylaxis to valoctocogene roxaparvovec.

METHODS

To estimate bleeding risk at weekly intervals following valoctocogene roxaparvovec infusion, a published emicizumab pharmacokinetic model was used to simulate emicizumab concentrations and merged with FVIII activity time-course data for participants in GENEr8-1. The analysis investigated three approved emicizumab dosing regimens for two transition scenarios that varied whether the last dose of emicizumab was administered on the same day or 4 weeks after valoctocogene roxaparvovec infusion.

RESULTS

Simulations demonstrated administering the last emicizumab dose the day of valoctocogene roxaparvovec infusion and 4 weeks after offered similar levels of haemostatic control, and bleeding risk was similar for all emicizumab dosing regimens. An algorithm was developed to provide guidance for discontinuation of emicizumab. Theoretical cases based on GENEr8-1 participants are presented to illustrate how decisions may vary among individuals.

CONCLUSION

Pharmacokinetic simulations demonstrated no clinically meaningful difference in bleeding risk caused by decaying emicizumab levels and rising gene therapy-derived endogenous FVIII for all examined emicizumab doses and dosing regimens. Therefore, multiple approaches can safely transition individuals from emicizumab prophylaxis to valoctocogene roxaparvovec.

Three-year outcomes of valoctocogene roxaparvovec gene therapy for hemophilia A

BACKGROUND

Valoctocogene roxaparvovec transfers a human factor VIII (FVIII) coding sequence into hepatocytes of people with severe hemophilia A to provide bleeding protection.

OBJECTIVE

Present 3-year efficacy and safety in the multicenter, open-label, single-arm, phase 3 GENEr8-1 trial.

METHODS

GENEr8-1 enrolled 134 adult males with severe hemophilia A who were receiving FVIII prophylaxis. Efficacy endpoints included annualized bleeding rate (ABR), annualized FVIII utilization (AFU), FVIII activity (chromogenic substrate assay; imputed as 1 IU/dL at baseline and 0 IU/dL after discontinuation), and the Haemophilia-Specific Quality of Life Questionnaire for Adults (Haemo-QOL-A). Safety was assessed by adverse events (AEs).

RESULTS

At week 156, 131/134 participants remained on study; overall, 17/134 resumed prophylaxis. Mean (standard deviation [SD]) treated ABR decreased from 4.8 (6.5) bleeds/year at baseline to 0.8 (SD, 2.3; P <0.0001) bleeds/year during post-prophylaxis (prophylaxis cessation to last follow-up) and 0.97 (SD, 3.48) bleeds/year during year 3. AFU decreased 96.8% from baseline post-prophylaxis and 94.2% during year 3. At week 156, mean and median FVIII activity were 18.4 (SD, 30.8) and 8.3 IU/dL, respectively. FVIII activity decrease was lower between years 2‒3 than 1‒2. At the end of year 3, clinically meaningful improvements in Haemo-QOL-A Total Score were observed (mean change from baseline, 6.6; 95% confidence interval, 4.24‒8.87; P <0.0001). Mild alanine aminotransferase elevations remained the most common AE during year 3 (23.7% of participants). A serious AE of B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia was considered unrelated to treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Hemostatic efficacy was maintained, and safety remained unchanged from previous years.

Long-term safety and efficacy outcomes of valoctocogene roxaparvovec gene transfer up to 6 years post-treatment

INTRODUCTION

Valoctocogene roxaparvovec uses an adeno-associated virus serotype 5 (AAV5) vector to transfer a factor VIII (FVIII) coding sequence to individuals with severe haemophilia A, providing bleeding protection.

AIM

To assess safety and efficacy of valoctocogene roxaparvovec 5-6 years post-treatment.

METHODS

In a phase 1/2 trial, adult male participants with severe haemophilia A (FVIII ≤1 IU/dL) without FVIII inhibitors or anti-AAV5 antibodies received valoctocogene roxaparvovec and were followed for 6 (6 × 1013 vg/kg; n = 7) and 5 (4 × 1013 vg/kg; n = 6) years. Safety, including investigation of potential associations between a malignancy and gene therapy, and efficacy are reported.

RESULTS

No new treatment-related safety signals emerged. During year 6, a participant in the 6 × 1013  vg/kg cohort was diagnosed with grade 2 parotid gland acinar cell carcinoma; definitive treatment was uncomplicated parotidectomy with lymph node dissection. Target enrichment sequencing of tumour and adjacent healthy tissue revealed low vector integration (8.25 × 10-5 per diploid cell). Integrations were not elevated in tumour samples, no insertions appeared to drive tumorigenesis, and no clonal expansion of integration-containing cells occurred. During all follow-ups, >90% decreases from baseline in annualised treated bleeds and FVIII infusion rates were maintained. At the end of years 6 and 5, mean FVIII activity (chromogenic assay) was 9.8 IU/dL (median, 5.6 IU/dL) and 7.6 IU/dL (median, 7.1 IU/dL) for the 6 × 1013 and 4 × 1013 vg/kg cohorts, respectively, representing proportionally smaller year-over-year declines than earlier timepoints.

CONCLUSIONS

Valoctocogene roxaparvovec safety and efficacy profiles remain largely unchanged; genomic investigations showed no association with a parotid tumour.

Uncertainty in phosphorus fluxes and budgets across the U.S. long-term agroecosystem research network

Phosphorus (P) budgets can be useful tools for understanding nutrient cycling and quantifying the effectiveness of nutrient management planning and policies; however, uncertainties in agricultural nutrient budgets are not often quantitatively assessed. The objective of this study was to evaluate uncertainty in P fluxes (fertilizer/manure application, atmospheric deposition, irrigation, crop removal, surface runoff, leachate) and the propagation of these uncertainties to annual P budgets. Data from 56 cropping systems in the P-FLUX database, which spans diverse rotations and landscapes across the U.S. and Canada, were evaluated. Results showed that across cropping systems, average annual P budget was 22.4 kg P ha^-1 (range = -32.7 to 340.6 kg P ha^-1 ), with an average uncertainty of 13.1 kg P ha^-1 (range = 1.0 to 87.1 kg P ha^-1 ). Fertilizer/manure application and crop removal were the largest P fluxes across cropping systems and, as a result, accounted for the largest fraction of uncertainty in annual budgets (61 and 37%, respectively). Remaining fluxes individually accounted for <2% of the budget uncertainty. Uncertainties were large enough that determining whether P was increasing, decreasing, or not changing was inconclusive in 39% of the budgets evaluated. Findings indicate that more careful and/or direct measurements of inputs, outputs, and stocks are needed. Recommendations for minimizing uncertainty in P budgets based on the results of the study were developed. Quantifying, communicating, and constraining uncertainty in budgets among production systems and multiple geographies is critical for engaging stakeholders, developing local and national strategies for P reduction, and informing policy. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Prestige and financial stability: motivating factors to pursue a doctor of pharmacy degree

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to identify factors influencing students' decision to pursue a doctorate in pharmacy (PharmD).

METHODS

Focus-group interviews and quantitative surveys were used in sequence to investigate pharmacy students' motivations. A total of 36 current PharmD students from two US colleges of pharmacy participated in five focus groups. The resulting qualitative findings, along with existing literature, informed the development of a survey questionnaire, which was then administered to two cohorts of first-year pharmacy students at one of the participating colleges.

KEY FINDINGS

Identified themes include prestige of a doctorate, patient interaction, career versatility, and pharmacy school's lower intensity vis-à-vis medical school. A total of 110 first-year pharmacy students from a 4-year program (average (SD) age 23 (5); 65% female) completed the survey (98.5% response rate). The order of factors that respondents ranked as important or somewhat important for choosing pharmacy include: financial stability (n = 107 (97%)), prestige of a doctorate degree ((n = 97 (88%)), good work-life balance ((n = 96 (87%)), the opportunity to use critical thinking skills ((n = 93 (85%)), having patient interaction and communication ((n = 91 (83%)), and being in a profession or service ((n = 91 (83%)).

CONCLUSIONS

US PharmD students are mainly drawn by job and financial stability, prestige of a doctorate, and a good work-life balance.

P-FLUX: A phosphorus budget dataset spanning diverse agricultural production systems in the United States and Canada

Quantifying spatial and temporal fluxes of phosphorus (P) within and among agricultural production systems is critical for sustaining agricultural production while minimizing environmental impacts. To better understand P fluxes in agricultural landscapes, P-FLUX, a detailed and harmonized dataset of P inputs, outputs, and budgets, as well as estimated uncertainties for each P flux and budget, was developed. Data were collected from 24 research sites and 61 production systems through the Long-term Agroecosystem Research (LTAR) network and partner organizations spanning 22 U.S. states and 2 Canadian provinces. The objectives of this paper are to (a) present and provide a description of the P-FLUX dataset, (b) provide summary analyses of the agricultural production systems included in the dataset and the variability in P inputs and outputs across systems, and (c) provide details for accessing the dataset, dataset limitations, and an example of future use. P-FLUX includes information on select site characteristics (area, soil series), crop rotation, P inputs (P application rate, source, timing, placement, P in irrigation water, atmospheric deposition), P outputs (crop removal, hydrologic losses), P budgets (agronomic budget, overall budget), uncertainties associated with each flux and budget, and data sources. Phosphorus fluxes and budgets vary across agricultural production systems and are useful resources to improve P use efficiency and develop management strategies to mitigate environmental impacts of agricultural systems. P-FLUX is available for download through the USDA Ag Data Commons (https://doi.org/10.15482/USDA.ADC/1523365).

Sublineages of lineage 4 (Euro-American) Mycobacterium tuberculosis differ in genotypic clustering

SETTING

Mycobacterium tuberculosis is classified into six phylogenetic lineages, each of which can be divided into sublineages. Sublineages of the same lineage have phenotypic differences, including their capacity to cause disease (pathogenicity).

OBJECTIVE

1) To test the hypothesis that different sublineages of lineage 4, which causes most of the tuberculosis (TB) in the United States, have varying ability to cause secondary cases as determined by genotypic clustering, a proxy for pathogenicity; and 2) to determine if spoligotype and mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units (MIRU) typing could infer sublineage.

DESIGN

We included TB cases caused by lineage 4 strains from our community-based study in San Francisco. Sublineage was determined by regions of difference. Genotypic clustering was determined by insertion sequence 6110 and polymorphic guanine-cytosine-rich sequence. Associations between sublineages and patient characteristics were evaluated with adjusted and unadjusted analyses.

RESULTS

The most frequent sublineage was H37Rv-like. In the adjusted analysis, sublineage 183 was associated with clustering and homelessness. We found that strains from different sublineages had convergent spoligotype and MIRU types.

CONCLUSIONS

Sublineage 183 is associated with genotypic clustering, evidence of its being more able to cause secondary cases than the other lineage 4 sublineages. This finding suggests that bacterial factors contribute to the pathogenesis of TB. Spoligotype and MIRU type cannot be used to infer sublineage.

Comparing phosphorus indices from twelve southern U.S. states against monitored phosphorus loads from six prior southern studies

Forty-eight states in the United States use phosphorus (P) indices to meet the requirements of their Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Code 590 Standard, which provides national guidance for nutrient management of agricultural lands. The majority of states developed these indices without consultation or coordination with neighboring states to meet specific local conditions and policy needs. Using water quality and land treatment data from six previously published articles, we compared P loads with P-Index values and ratings using the 12 southern P indices. When total measured P loads were regressed with P-Index rating values, moderate to very strong relationships (0.50 to 0.97) existed for five indices (Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina) and all but one index was directionally correct. Regressions with dissolved P were also moderate to very strong ( of 0.55 to 0.95) for the same five state P indices (Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina); directionality of the Alabama Index was negative. When total measured P loads were transformed to current NRCS 590 Standard ratings (Low [<2.2 kg P ha], Moderate, [2.2-5.5 kg P ha], and High [>5.5 kg P ha]) and these ratings were then compared to the southern-Index ratings, many of the P indices correctly identified Low losses (77%), but most did not correctly identify Moderate or High loss situations (14 and 31%, respectively). This study demonstrates that while many of the P indices were directionally correct relative to the measured water quality data, there is a large variability among southern P indices that may result in different P management strategies being employed under similar conditions.

Differences among sublineages of the East-Asian lineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in genotypic clustering

SETTING

The East-Asian lineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis is composed of five sublineages, and includes the strains from the Beijing spoligotype family. In some studies these strains were highly pathogenic, although other studies did not support this finding.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if the sublineages of the East-Asian lineage of M. tuberculosis differ in their capacity to cause secondary cases, as assessed by genotypic clustering of isolates.

DESIGN

In a population-based study of 545 patients with M. tuberculosis from the East-Asian lineage in San Francisco, we used DNA-based fingerprinting to identify genotypic clustering, which was compared among the different sublineages defined by large sequence polymorphism.

RESULTS

Strains from sublineage 207 had the highest frequency of genotypic clustering. In the multivariate analysis, only patients born in the United States were associated with clustering.

CONCLUSIONS

We found evidence in a univariate analysis that the different East-Asian sublineages of M. tuberculosis have different frequencies of genotypic clustering. The effect size for this difference was unchanged in multivariate analysis, although loss of observations due to missing data resulted in a non-significant P value. It is tantalizing to hypothesize that the different East-Asian sublineages may differ in their capacity to cause secondary cases.

What happened to home HIV test collection kits? Intent to use kits, actual use, and barriers to use among persons at risk for HIV infection

Through sequential cross-sectional surveys, we examined intent to use home HIV test collection kits, actual use and barriers to use among persons at high risk for HIV infection. Interest in kits was assessed in the 1995-96 HIV Testing Survey (HITS, n=1683). Kit use, knowledge of kits and barriers to use were assessed in the 1998-99 HITS (n=1788), after kits had become widely available. When asked to choose among future testing options, 19% of 1995-96 participants intended to use kits. Untested participants were more likely than previously tested HIV-negative participants to choose kits for their next HIV test (p < 0.001). Among 1998-99 participants, only 24 (1%) had used kits; 46% had never heard of kits. Predictors of not knowing about kits included never having been HIV tested and black or Latino race. Common reasons for not using kits among participants aware of home test kits were concerns about accuracy, lack of in-person counselling and cost. Despite high rates of anticipated use, kits have had minimal impact on the testing behaviour of persons at high risk for HIV infection. Increasing awareness of kits, reducing price and addressing concerns about kit testing procedures may increase kit use, leading to more HIV testing by at-risk individuals.

Unlocking specialists' attitudes toward primary care gatekeepers

OBJECTIVES

Many managed care plans rely on primary care physicians to act as gatekeepers, which may increase tension between these physicians and specialists. We surveyed specialist physicians in California to determine whether their attitudes toward primary care gatekeepers differed depending on how the specialists were paid and the settings in which they practiced.

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a cross-sectional survey using a mailed questionnaire. The predictors of specialist attitudes toward gatekeepers were measured using chi-square, the t test, and regression analyses.

POPULATION

A probability sample of 1492 physicians in urban counties in California in the specialties of cardiology, endocrinology, gastroenterology, general surgery, neurology, ophthalmology, and orthopedics was used.

OUTCOMES

We used questions about specialists' attitudes toward primary care physicians in the gatekeeper role. A summary score of attitudes was developed.

RESULTS

A total of 979 physicians completed the survey (66%). Attitudes toward primary care physicians were mixed. Relative to nonsalaried physicians, those who were salaried had a somewhat more favorable attitude toward gatekeepers (P = .13), as did physicians with a greater percentage of practice income derived from capitation (P =.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Specialists' attitudes toward the coordinating role of primary care physicians are influenced by the practice setting in which the specialists work and by financial interests that may be threatened by referral restrictions. Policies that promote alternatives to fee for service and shift specialty practice toward more organized group settings may generate a common sense of purpose among primary care physicians and specialists.

Adverse impact of cigarette smoking on dimensions of health-related quality of life in persons with HIV infection

Because effects of cigarette smoking on health-related quality of life (HRQL) have not been well described, we carried out a cross-sectional assessment of HRQL using the Medical Outcomes Survey Scale adapted for patients with human immunodeficiency virus (MOS-HIV questionnaire) in 585 HIV-infected homosexual/bisexual men, injection drug users, and female partners enrolled in a multicenter, prospective study of the pulmonary complications of HIV infection. Mean scores for the following dimensions of HRQL were calculated: general health perception, quality of life, physical functioning, bodily pain, social functioning, role functioning, energy, cognitive functioning, and depression. A multivariate model was used to determine the impact on HRQL of the following factors: smoking, CD4 loss, acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnoses, number of symptoms, study site, education, injection drug use, gender, and age. Current smoking was independently associated with lower scores for general health perception, physical functioning, bodily pain, energy, role functioning, and cognitive functioning (all with p < 0.05). We conclude that patients with HIV infection who smoke have poorer HRQL than nonsmokers. These results support the use of smoking cessation strategies for HIV-infected persons who smoke cigarettes.

Specialists' and primary care physicians' participation in medicaid managed care

OBJECTIVE

To compare specialist and primary care physician participation in California's Medicaid fee-for-service and managed care programs.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional survey.

PARTICIPANTS

A probability sample stratified by county and by race of 962 specialist physicians and 713 primary care physicians practicing in the 13 largest counties in California in 1998.

MEASUREMENTS AND ANALYSIS

We used physician self-report from mailed questionnaires to compare acceptance of new Medicaid and new Medicaid managed care patients by specialists versus primary care physicians and by physician demographics, practice setting, attitudes toward Medicaid patients, and attitudes toward Medicaid managed care. We analyzed results using logistic regression with data weighted to represent the total population of primary care and specialist physicians in the 13 counties.

MAIN RESULTS

Specialists were as likely as primary care physicians to have any Medicaid patients in their practices (56% vs 56%; P=.9). Among physicians accepting any new patients, specialists were more likely than primary care physicians to be taking new Medicaid patients but were significantly more likely to limit their acceptance to only Medicaid fee-for-service patients. Thus, specialists were much less likely than primary care physicians to accept new Medicaid managed care patients. After controlling for physician demographics, practice settings, and attitudes toward Medicaid patients and Medicaid managed care, specialists remained much less likely to accept new Medicaid managed care patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Expansion of Medicaid managed care may decrease access to specialists as specialists were less likely to accept new Medicaid managed care patients compared to Medicaid fee-for-service patients. Any decrease in access may be mitigated if states are able to contract with group model HMOs and to recruit minority physicians.

Definition of an optimal cytotoxic T lymphocyte epitope in the latently expressed Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus kaposin protein

Cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTL) recognize and kill virus-infected cells and contribute to immunologic control of viral replication. For many herpesviruses (e.g., Epstein-Barr and cytomegalovirus), virus-specific CTL responses can be readily detected in infected persons, but CTL responses against Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV) appear to be weak and remain poorly characterized. Using a human leukocyte antigen (HLA) binding motif-based epitope prediction algorithm, we identified 37 HLA-A*0201 binding peptides from 8 KSHV open-reading frames (ORFs). After in vitro stimulation of peripheral blood mononuclear cells from KSHV-infected persons, CTL responses against 1 peptide in the KSHV kaposin protein (ORF K12) were detected in 2 HLA-A*0201-positive subjects. The optimal CTL epitope was identified by HLA restriction analysis and peptide titration assays. These data describe a latent phase viral gene product targeted by CTL that may be relevant for KSHV immunopathogenesis.

The continuing HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men

OBJECTIVES

This study characterized the AIDS epidemic among urban men who have sex with men (MSM).

METHODS

A probability sample of MSM was obtained in 1997 (n = 2881; 18 years and older) from New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, and San Francisco, and HIV status was determined through self-report and biological measures.

RESULTS

HIV prevalence was 17% (95% confidence interval = 15%, 19%) overall, with extremely high levels in African Americans (29%), MSM who used injection drugs (40%), "ultraheavy" noninjection drug users (32%), and less educated men (< high school, 37%). City-level HIV differences were non-significant once these other factors were controlled for. In comparing the present findings with historical data based on public records and modeling, HIV prevalence appears to have declined as a result of high mortality (69%) and stable, but high, incidence rates (1%-2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Although the findings suggest that HIV prevalence has declined significantly from the mid-1980s, current levels among urban MSM in the United States approximate those of sub-Saharan countries (e.g., 14%-25%) and are extremely high in many population subsegments. Despite years of progress, the AIDS epidemic continues unabated among subsegments of the MSM community.

Use of antiretroviral therapies among HIV-infected men who have sex with men: a household-based sample of 4 major American cities

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine the prevalence and determinants of use of recommended antiretroviral regimens among urban seropositive men who have sex with men (MSM).

METHODS

A probability telephone sample of MSM was taken within regions of Chicago, Los Angeles, New York, and San Francisco. Analysis focused on use of antiretroviral therapies.

RESULTS

Although the majority of seropositive MSM with CD4 counts below 500 per microliter were using recommended antiretroviral regimens, 26% of seropositive MSM were not receiving such care. Men who were younger, who reported a sexual orientation other than homosexual, who had a more recent interview date, who were at middle levels of affiliation with the gay community, and who reported higher levels of perceived exclusivity on the part of the gay community were less likely to be using recommended antiretroviral regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

Although current efforts to make antiretroviral therapies available to HIV-seropositive MSM are reasonably effective, additional efforts are needed for MSM characterized by relative youth and lower social support.

Dietary n-3 fatty acids alter the contractile response to thromboxane A(2) agonists of porcine coronary arteries

Dietary supplementation with marine fish oils rich in n-3 fatty acids reduces circulating thromboxane A(2) (TxA(2)). However, the effects on thomboxane A(2) receptor mediated vascular reactivity are uncertain. The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that dietary modification of TxA(2) levels alters vascular responsiveness to TxA(2) analogues. Juvenile female white pigs were fed a diet enriched in either 5% (w/w) fish oil or beef tallow for 6 weeks. Serum and myocardial tissue levels of eicosapentaenoic and docosahexaenoic acid reached a plateau during this period. Vascular responses were measured in isolated coronary arterial rings with intact endothelium by isometric tension measurement. Arteries from pigs fed fish oil produced a greater maximum vasoconstrictor tension to the TxA(2) analogue U46619 than did rings from pigs fed beef tallow (120 +/- 6% compared to 92 +/- 8%, values represented as a percentage relative to the maximum vasoconstrictor effect obtained to KCl, regression analysis, analysis of variance, P </= 0.05). The vasoconstrictor potency of U46619 was similar in both treatment groups. The vasoconstrictor EC(50) was 10.3 (6.8-15.7) nmol/L (mean, 95% confidence interval) for fish oil and 9.5 (5.7-15.8) nmol/L for beef tallow treated animals. Changes in vascular responses to U46619 were associated with a fourfold difference in plasma thromboxane B(2) levels between treatment groups (12.1 +/- 2.6 pg/mL fish oil, 48.3 +/- 3.1 pg/mL beef tallow, Students' unpaired t-test P </= 0.05). Vasoconstrictor responses obtained to endothelin-1, KCl and 5-hydroxtryptamine and the vasodilator response to sodium nitroprusside were not different between treatment groups. Dietary manipulation of thromboxane A(2) levels by n-3 fatty acids alters vascular reactivity to U46619, possibly as a result of agonist-induced desensitization of thromboxane A(2) receptors.

Does HIV reporting by name deter testing? MESH Study Group

OBJECTIVE

Name-based HIV reporting is controversial in the United States because of concerns that it may deter high-risk persons from being tested. We sought to determine whether persons at risk of HIV infection knew their state's HIV reporting policy and whether they had delayed or avoided testing because of it.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional anonymous survey.

METHODS

We interviewed 2404 participants in one of three high-risk groups: men who have sex with men (MSM), heterosexuals attending a sexually transmitted disease (STD) clinic, and street-recruited injection drug users (IDU). Participants were asked standardized questions about their knowledge of reporting policies and reasons for having delayed or avoided testing. We recruited in eight US states: four with name-based reporting and four without; all offered anonymous testing at certain sites.

RESULTS

Fewer than 25% correctly identified their state's HIV reporting policy. Over 50% stated they did not know whether their state used name-based reporting. Of the total, 480 participants (20%) had never been tested. Of these, 17% from states with name-based reporting selected concern about reporting as a reason for not testing compared with 14% from states without name-based reporting (P = 0.5). Comparing previously tested participants from states with name-based reporting to those from states without, concern about HIV reporting was given as a reason for delaying testing by 26% compared with 13% of IDU (P < 0.001), and for 26% compared with 19% of MSM (P = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

Most participants did not know their state's HIV reporting policy. Name-based reporting policies were not associated with avoiding HIV testing because of worry about reporting, although they may have contributed to delays in testing among some IDU.

Performance of an algorithm to detect Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia in symptomatic HIV-infected persons. Pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection Study Group

STUDY OBJECTIVES

To determine whether an algorithm consisting of a chest radiograph and the diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (D(LCO)) is effective in detecting Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) in symptomatic HIV-infected persons; and to establish a benchmark for future comparisons of alternative algorithms.

DESIGN

Prospective, 64-month study.

SETTING

Multicenter, ambulatory care.

PATIENTS

306 HIV-infected subjects enrolled in the Pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection Study who developed 467 episodes of new or worsening respiratory symptoms.

MEASUREMENTS

Chest radiography followed by D(LCO) measurement, if the radiograph was normal or unchanged.

RESULTS

An algorithm combining a chest radiograph followed by a D(LCO) measurement, if the radiograph was normal or unchanged, was effective and detected abnormalities that led to a diagnosis of PCP in 78 of 80 evaluable episodes (97.5%). The radiograph (specific parenchymal abnormality, number of lung zones involved) and the D(LCO) (degree of decrease, degree of decrease from baseline) also provided additional information on the probability of PCP.

CONCLUSIONS

In symptomatic HIV-infected patients suspected of having PCP, the diagnostic evaluation should begin with a chest radiograph, followed by a D(LCO) measurement, if the radiograph is normal or unchanged. If both of these tests are normal, it may be reasonable to conclude the evaluation rather than to proceed on to additional testing. This algorithm can serve as a benchmark for future comparisons.

Head-to-head evaluation of five chlamydia tests relative to a quality-assured culture standard

Nucleic acid amplification tests offer superior sensitivity for the detection of Chlamydia trachomatis infection, but many laboratories still use nonamplification methods because of the lower cost and ease of use. In spite of their availability for more than a decade, few studies have directly compared the nonamplification tests. Such comparisons are still needed in addition to studies that directly compare individual nonamplification and amplification tests. The purpose of this study was to evaluate and compare the performance characteristics relative to culture of five different tests for the detection of C. trachomatis with and without confirmation of positive results. The tests were applied to endocervical specimens from 4,980 women attending family planning clinics in the northwestern United States. The five nonculture tests included Chlamydiazyme (Abbott), MicroTrak direct fluorescent antibody (DFA) (Syva), MicroTrak enzyme immunoassay (EIA) (Syva), Pace 2 (Gen-Probe), and Pathfinder EIA (Sanofi/Kallestad). All positive results obtained with a nonculture test (except MicroTrak DFA) were confirmed by testing the original specimens with a blocking antibody test (Chlamydiazyme), a cytospin DFA (MicroTrak EIA and Pathfinder EIA), and a probe competition assay (Pace 2). The prevalence of culture-proven chlamydia was 3.9%. The sensitivities of the nonculture tests were in a range from 62 to 75%, and significant differences between tests in terms of sensitivity were observed. The positive predictive value for each test was 0.85 or higher. The specificities of the nonculture tests without performance of confirmations were greater than 99%. Performing confirmatory tests eliminated nearly all of the false positives.

Lack of infection in HIV-exposed individuals is associated with a strong CD8(+) cell noncytotoxic anti-HIV response

Individuals repeatedly exposed to HIV, but who remain uninfected, form a population enriched for persons likely to have either natural or acquired resistance to the virus. We have studied four such exposed uninfected cohorts, representing 60 individuals, for evidence of protective immunity. This population included participants exposed to HIV through anal or vaginal receptive intercourse on multiple occasions over many years. We observed CD8(+)-cell noncytotoxic inhibition of HIV replication in acutely infected CD4(+) cells in the vast majority of individuals most recently exposed to the virus (within 1 year). The levels of this CD8(+)-cell response were sufficient to inhibit the in vitro infection of the exposed subjects' peripheral blood mononuclear cells. We found no evidence of a significant role for CCR5 Delta32 mutation in this population, nor did CD4(+) cell susceptibility to infection or HIV-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocytes correlate with resistance to infection in the individuals tested. Therefore, the observed strong noncytotoxic CD8(+)-cell anti-HIV responses may be an antiviral immune activity contributing to the apparent protection from infection in these exposed uninfected individuals.

Increased human herpesvirus 8 seroprevalence in young homosexual men who have multiple sex contacts with different partners

The objective of this study was to evaluate the behavioral risks that are associated with human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) infection in a cohort of young homosexual men. Seventy-nine subjects (ages 22-33 years) who completed a questionnaire about their sexual and drug use behavior over the preceding year were recruited from the San Francisco Young Men's Health Study. Plasma samples were tested for anti-HHV-8 antibodies using an indirect IFA. Thirty-eight subjects (48.1%) were infected with HHV-8. HHV-8 infection was significantly linked to an increasing number of male sex partners (P=.025, Mantel-Haenszel chi2 test for trend), suggesting a strong association between HHV-8 infection and multiple homosexual contacts.

Primary care physicians' experience of financial incentives in managed-care systems

BACKGROUND

Managed-care organizations' use of financial incentives to influence the practice of primary care physicians is controversial. We studied the prevalence and effects of these incentives.

METHODS

We surveyed a probability sample of primary care physicians practicing in the largest urban counties in California in 1996. The physicians were asked about the types of incentives they encountered, the amount of income that was keyed to incentives, their experience of pressure in their practices, and the ways in which such pressure affected patient care.

RESULTS

Data were analyzed for 766 physicians involved in managed-care systems. Thirty-eight percent of these physicians reported that their arrangements with the managed-care system included some type of incentive in the form of a bonus. Fifty-seven percent of the physicians reported that they felt pressure from the managed-care organization to limit referrals (17 percent said they believed such pressure compromised patient care), and 75 percent felt pressure to see more patients per day (24 percent believed such pressure compromised patient care). The physicians who reported that their financial arrangements included an incentive based on referrals were more likely than others to have felt pressured to limit referrals in a manner that compromised care (adjusted odds ratio 2.5; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 5.0), and physicians with an incentive based on productivity were more likely to have felt pressure to see more patients that they believed compromised care (adjusted odds ratio, 2.1; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 3.8). The physicians whose health care systems used incentives keyed to productivity were less likely than others to be very satisfied with their practices (adjusted odds ratio, 0.4; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.2 to 0.6), whereas those whose systems included incentives related to the quality of care or patients' satisfaction were more likely to be very satisfied (adjusted odds ratio, 1.8; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 3.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Many managed-care organizations include financial incentives for primary care physicians that are indexed to various measures of performance. Incentives that depend on limiting referrals or on greater productivity apply selective pressure to physicians in ways that are believed to compromise care. Incentives that depend on the quality of care and patients' satisfaction are associated with greater job satisfaction among physicians.

Multistate evaluation of anonymous HIV testing and access to medical care. Multistate Evaluation of Surveillance of HIV (MESH) Study Group

CONTEXT

Infection with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is the only infectious disease for which anonymous testing is publicly funded, an exception that has been controversial.

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether anonymous HIV testing was associated with earlier HIV testing and HIV-related medical care than confidential HIV testing.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING

Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon, and Texas.

PARTICIPANTS

Probability sample of 835 new acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) cases reported to the state health department's HIV/AIDS Reporting System from May 1995 through December 1996. All had responded to the AIDS Patient Survey; 643 had been tested confidentially for HIV, and 192 had been tested anonymously.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

First CD4+ cell count; number of days from HIV-positive test result to first HIV-related medical care, from first HIV-related medical care to AIDS, and from first HIV-positive test result to AIDS.

RESULTS

Persons tested anonymously sought testing and medical care earlier in the course of HIV disease than did persons tested confidentially. Mean first CD4+ cell count was 0.427x 10(9)/L in persons tested anonymously vs 0.267x 10(9)/L in persons tested confidentially. Persons tested anonymously experienced an average of 918 days in HIV-related medical care before an AIDS diagnosis vs 531 days for persons tested confidentially. The mean time from learning they were HIV positive to the diagnosis of AIDS was 1246 days for persons tested anonymously vs 718 days for persons tested confidentially. After adjustment for the subject's age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, income, insurance status, HIV exposure group, whether the respondent had a regular source of care or symptoms at the time of the HIV test, and state residence, anonymous testing remained significantly associated with earlier entry into medical care (P<.001).

CONCLUSION

Anonymous testing contributes to early HIV testing and medical care.

Selection and exclusion of primary care physicians by managed care organizations

CONTEXT

Little is known about the problems physicians may be encountering in gaining access to managed care networks and whether the process used by managed care plans to select physicians is discriminatory.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the incidence and predictors of denials or terminations of physicians' managed care contracts and the impact these denials and terminations had on primary care physicians' involvement with managed care.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional mail survey of a probability sample of primary care physicians.

SETTING

A total of 13 large urban counties in California.

PARTICIPANTS

Primary care physicians (family practice, internal medicine, obstetrics and gynecology, or pediatrics) who work in office-based practice.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Denial or termination from a contract with an independent practice association (IPA) or health maintenance organization (HMO) and managed care contracts.

RESULTS

Of the 947 respondents (response rate, 71%), 520 were involved in office-based primary care. After adjusting for sampling and response rate, 22% of primary care physicians had been denied or terminated from a contract with an IPA or HMO, but 87% of office-based primary care physicians had at least 1 IPA or direct HMO contract. Solo practice was the strongest predictor of having experienced a denial or termination and of having neither an IPA nor a direct HMO contract. Physician age, sex, and race did not predict the level of involvement with managed care. However, physicians' patient demographics were associated with managed care participation; physicians in managed care had significantly lower percentages of uninsured and nonwhite patients in their practices. Physicians experiencing a denial or termination had fewer capitated patients in their practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Denials and terminations, although relatively common, do not preclude most primary care physicians from participating in managed care. Managed care selective contracting does not appear to be systematically discriminatory based on physician characteristics, but it may be biased against physicians who provide greater amounts of care to the underserved.

Physician responses to a hospital policy allowing them to not offer cardiopulmonary resuscitation

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether physicians followed a hospital policy permitting them to not offer cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) to patients considered unlikely to benefit from this therapy.

DESIGN

Prospective series.

SETTING

San Francisco General Hospital, a university-affiliated public hospital.

PATIENTS

Attending physicians were interviewed about patients admitted over a period of 5 consecutive months for whom do-not resuscitate (DNR) orders were written. Only the first patient for whom each physician wrote a DNR order was included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Responses of physicians to questions regarding their initiation of DNR orders for these patients.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine physicians responded to questions about DNR orders written for 69 patients. Fifty-seven of these physicians said that they were aware of the hospital policy, and 49 of the 57 physicians said that they generally agreed with it. Thirty-three physicians felt that CPR should be offered only to patients likely to benefit from it. In contrast, 36 physicians said that CPR should be offered to all patients, regardless of benefit. CPR was offered to 41 patients and 15 surrogates; 27 of these patients were considered to be unlikely to benefit from CPR.

CONCLUSION

Despite a policy that allows them to do otherwise, physicians usually offered CPR to patients, regardless of benefit. Most physicians believed that CPR should be offered to all patients. These findings suggest that policies such as that of San Francisco General Hospital may not be compelling because physicians hold attitudes that are inconsistent with the policies.

Reliability of anergy skin testing in persons with HIV infection. The pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection Study Group

Testing with antigens that elicit delayed-type cutaneous hypersensitivity reactions is commonly used to evaluate immune competence in persons infected with the human immunodeficiency virus; however, the reliability of such testing has not been determined. We performed serial testing with tuberculin, mumps, and Candida antigens in 491 HIV-infected persons and found that 30% of persons who initially had no reaction (0 mm) to any of the three antigens, and, thus, were considered to be anergic, had reaction to the mumps or Candida antigen when they were retested 12 months later. We also examined the results of mumps antigen tests in 50 subjects who had a negative tuberculin tests after an initial positive test. The mumps antigen test was positive in 39% of the subjects when the tuberculin test was falsely negative. We conclude that tests commonly used to define anergy cannot reliably identify the anergic state. Moreover, using the mumps antigen to aid in the interpretation of the tuberculin test will often lead to erroneous conclusions. These data indicate that the results of anergy testing should not be used to make individual patient decisions concerning preventive therapy for tuberculosis.

Physician practice style and rates of hospitalization for chronic medical conditions

Hospitalization rates for chronic medical conditions vary across small areas and are associated inversely with community income. The authors studied whether variation in hospitalization rates can be attributed to differences in physician practice style. Using census and hospital discharge data, hospitalization rates were calculated for asthma, congestive heart failure, and diabetes in 40 medical service areas in California. The authors surveyed a random sample of 1,530 emergency physicians, general internists, and family and general practitioners in these areas, and measured clinical admission threshold by asking physicians whether they would hospitalize patients presented in 15 vignettes of graded severity. The authors measured social admission predisposition by asking how physicians' admission decisions would be influenced by social characteristics that increase patients' vulnerability to illness, including homelessness and drug use; 1,090 physicians responded (71%). There was significant variation across areas in both the clinical (P < 0.0001) and social (P < 0.001) admission scores. Variation in hospitalization rates correlated with physicians' clinical (r = .34, P = 0.03) and social (r = .36, P = 0.02) admission scores. However, in a multiple linear regression analysis that included community sociodemographic factors, physician practice style was not associated significantly with hospitalization rates. Physician practice style varies across areas, but does not explain variation in admission rates for chronic medical conditions after adjusting for community sociodemographic factors. Using methods such as practice guidelines or utilization review to re-set physicians' threshold for admission may not be effective in reducing hospitalizations for chronic medical conditions.

Primary care and receipt of preventive services

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether health insurance, a regular place of care, and optimal primary care are independently associated with receiving preventive care services.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional telephone survey.

SETTING

Population based.

PARTICIPANTS

Probability sample of 3,846 English-speaking and Spanish-speaking women between the ages of 18 and 64 in urban California.

INTERVENTIONS

Women were asked about their demographic characteristics, financial status, health insurance status, need for ongoing care, regular place of care, and receipt of blood pressure screening, clinical breast examinations, mammograms, and Pap smears. Women who reported a regular place of care were asked about four components of primary care: availability, continuity, comprehensiveness, and communication.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

In multivariate analyses that controlled for differences in demographics, financial status, and need for ongoing care, having a regular place of care was the most important factor associated with receiving preventive care services (p < .0001). Having health insurance (p < .001) and receiving optimal primary care from the regular place of care (p < .01) further significantly increased the likelihood of receiving preventive care services.

CONCLUSION

A regular source of care is the single most important factor associated with the receipt of preventive services, but optimal primary care from a regular place increases the likelihood that women will receive preventive care.

Changes in AIDS survival time in two San Francisco cohorts of homosexual men, 1983 to 1993

BACKGROUND

During the first decade since the recognition of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), new therapies have been introduced and the frequency of clinical manifestations has changed. The impact of these changes on AIDS survival, however, has not been well characterized.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study of the outcomes of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection.

SETTING

Homosexual and bisexual men residing in San Francisco, Calif, recruited in 1983 and 1984 for two prospective studies and followed up for more than 9 years with clinical examinations.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 761 HIV-positive homosexual and bisexual men.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Survival time from a CD4 lymphocyte count at 0.20 x 10(9)/L (200/microL) and from a clinical AIDS diagnosis to death.

RESULTS

Median survival time from a CD4 lymphocyte count at 0.20 x 10(9)/L increased from 28.4 months in the October 1983 to November 1986 period to 40.1 months in the November 1986 to November 1988 period and is estimated at 38.1 months in the November 1988 to February 1993 period. Patients diagnosed with Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) accounted for most of this increase with a gain in median survival time of 9.7 months (P = .0009), compared with a nonsignificant decline in the survival time of those patients without a PCP diagnosis. Multivariate analysis showed that rate of CD4 lymphocyte loss (P < .001) and receipt of both PCP prophylaxis and antiretroviral therapy (P = .04) were significantly associated with longer survival time, whereas antiretroviral therapy alone was not (P = .81). Time to death from a clinical AIDS diagnosis was 14.7 months in the 1983 to 1986 period, 19.1 months in the 1986 to 1988 period, and an estimated 15.7 months in the 1988 to 1993 period.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival time from a CD4 lymphocyte count at 0.20 x 10(9)/L has improved significantly by about 1 year; yet survival time using the 1987 AIDS case definition has shown small improvement. The largest increase in survival time from a CD4 lymphocyte count at 0.20 x 10(9)/L was in patients diagnosed with PCP, suggesting that PCP prophylaxis and treatment were more important factors in longer survival time than antiretroviral therapy.

Circulating HIV-1-infected cell burden from seroconversion to AIDS: importance of postseroconversion viral load on disease course

The purpose of this study was to characterize quantitative changes in circulating infected cells over the natural history of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease in relation to clinical/immunological outcome. HIV-1 gag DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) co-cultures were performed on limiting dilutions of cryopreserved PBMC from specimens collected at enrollment and after 5 years of follow-up from nine seropositive subjects classified as rapid progressors, nine intermediate progressors, and 10 nonprogressors. Limiting dilution PCR was also performed on serial pre/postseroconversion specimens from 18 seroconvertors. By quantitative DNA PCR analysis, the infected cell burden was significantly higher at enrollment in the RP [mean of 330 PCR units (PCRU)/10(6) PBMCs] than in the IP (160 PCRU/10(6) PBMCs) and NP (73 PCRU/10(6) PBMCs) groups (p = 0.05). When results were analyzed on an individual level with proportional hazard regression, baseline PCRU (p = 0.05) and CD4 slope (p = 0.0007) were significantly associated with developing acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) in 5 years, but baseline tissue culture infectious units (TCIU) was not. The increase in PCR-positive cells after 5 years was modest in all three groups (two- to fivefold), whereas the proportion of PCR-positive cells that yielded virus in culture increased significantly (21- to 31-fold) over time in all three groups. Infected cell burden in postseroconversion specimens was relatively stable within each subject, but varied greatly (from 1.6 to 1,024 PCRU/10(6) PBMCs) among subjects.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

HIV seroconversion in intravenous drug users in San Francisco, 1985-1990

OBJECTIVE

To examine the HIV seroconversion rate, risk factors for seroconversion, and changes in risk behavior over time in intravenous drug users (IVDU) in San Francisco, 1985-1990.

DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING

All methadone maintenance and 21-day methadone detoxification programs in San Francisco.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2351 heterosexual IVDU, of whom 681 were seronegative at first visit and seen at least twice ('repeaters').

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

HIV seroconversion rates, risk factors for seroconversion, and changes in behavior.

RESULTS

The HIV seroconversion rate in repeaters was 1.9% per person-year (ppy) of follow-up [2.1% in women versus 1.7% in men (not significant); 4% in African Americans versus 1% in whites (P = 0.006); 3.9% ppy in the first third of the study, 1.2% in the second (P = 0.007), and 1.9% in the last (not significant)]. Risk factors for seroconversion were five or more sexual partners per year [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.6; P = 0.02], use of shooting gallery ever (HR = 2.9; P = 0.02), and less than 1 year (lifetime) in methadone maintenance (HR = 2.7; P = 0.02). Self-reported intravenous cocaine use fell from 33 to 15% over 5 years, shooting gallery use fell from 19 to 6%, and the proportion with five or more sexual partners fell from 25 to 10%. Bleach use rose to 75% of needle-sharers.

CONCLUSIONS

The 1985-1990 HIV seroconversion rate in IVDU (1.9% ppy) was comparable to that in San Francisco cohorts of homosexual men (1.4% ppy). A decline in HIV seroconversion coincided with changes in risk behavior. Stable attendance of methadone maintenance was highly protective: the seroconversion rate in subjects with 1 year or more in methadone was 12% ppy.

Tuberculin and anergy testing in HIV-seropositive and HIV-seronegative persons. Pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection Study Group

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prevalence and predictors of reactivity to tuberculin purified protein derivative (PPD) and skin test anergy in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and in HIV-seronegative controls.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from a prospective, multicenter study of pulmonary complications of HIV infection.

SETTING

Community-based cohort of persons with and without HIV infection.

PATIENTS

A total of 1171 HIV-seropositive patients without AIDS (841 homosexual men, 274 intravenous drug users, and 56 women with heterosexually acquired infection); 182 HIV-seronegative persons (125 homosexual men and 57 intravenous drug users).

MEASUREMENTS

Delayed-type hypersensitivity response to tuberculin PPD, trichophytin, mumps, and Candida antigens; T-lymphocyte subsets.

RESULTS

The prevalence of tuberculin PPD reactivity was higher among intravenous drug users than among homosexual men, in both HIV-seronegative (19.1% compared with 6.8%, P = 0.03) and HIV-seropositive persons (15.1% compared with 2.5%, P < 0.001). Among HIV-infected patients, the prevalence of tuberculin reactivity varied directly and that of anergy inversely with the absolute CD4 lymphocyte count. Prevalences were 1% and 72%, respectively, in patients with fewer than 200 CD4 cells/mm3, and 8.4% and 25.5%, respectively, in those with 600 CD4 cells/mm3 (P < 0.001 for both comparisons). Patients with HIV infection and fewer than 400 CD4 lymphocytes/mm3 had a lower prevalence of PPD reactivity than HIV-seronegative controls (2.7% compared with 10.0%, P < 0.001). The strongest predictors of tuberculin reactivity were intravenous drug use, black race, a previous positive PPD test result, and a history of Calmette-Guérin bacillus vaccination. The strongest predictor of anergy was HIV seropositivity.

CONCLUSIONS

The response to delayed-type hypersensitivity antigens depends on immune status. The value of PPD and anergy testing in HIV-seropositive patients depends on the ability of such testing to predict subsequent tuberculosis, which is imprecisely known. Until more data or better methods are available, these tests should be done as early as possible in the course of HIV infection.

Use of T lymphocyte subset analysis in the case definition for AIDS

Infection with HIV-1 and < 200 CD4+ lymphocytes/mm3 has been proposed as an AIDS-defining condition. We have evaluated the effects of using this and other T-cell subset measurements, in the diagnosis of AIDS in two cohorts of homosexual/bisexual men in San Francisco. Among 762 HIV-1 infected men, 200 CD4+ lymphocytes/mm3 corresponded to 13 percent CD4+ lymphocytes and a CD4+/CD8+ ratio of 0.23. If these AIDS-defining criteria had been implemented in mid-1991, the number of living AIDS cases would have increased by 106 (212%), 133 (266%), and 136 (272%), respectively. When these criteria were first met, either before or in the absence of a clinical AIDS diagnosis, about half of the subjects were asymptomatic and the median clinically AIDS-free interval was approximately 2 years. Using two consecutive tests or pair-wise combinations of criteria reduced the number of cases identified by testing error or transient biological variation, but the number of living AIDS cases would still be increased more than twofold. Finally, any AIDS case definition using a specific T-cell subset value will be compromised by the inherent variability in these measurements and the substantial overlap in the results for those with and without clinical manifestations of HIV infection.

Population-based estimates of antiretroviral therapy and anti-Pneumocystis prophylaxis in San Francisco: 1991

Using data from the San Francisco Men's Health Study and the San Francisco General Hospital Cohort, we derived partially population-based estimates of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antiretroviral therapy and Pneumocystis carinii prophylaxis use in HIV-infected men in 1991. Zidovudine, didanosine, and dideoxycytidine were the antiretroviral therapies and aerosolized pentamidine, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, and dapsone were the Pneumocystis prophylaxis evaluated. Among 81 men (29 of whom had AIDS) with < or = 200 CD4 cells, 76 (94%) had ever used and 56 (69%) were currently using an antiretroviral drug; 73 (90%) had ever used and 61 (75%) were currently using Pneumocystis prophylaxis. Among 127 men with 201-499 CD4 cells, 95 (75%) had ever used and 81 (64%) were currently using antiretroviral therapy; 49 (39%) had ever used and 36 (28%) were currently using Pneumocystis prophylaxis. Among 122 men with > or = 500 CD4 cells, 29 (24%) were currently receiving antiretroviral therapy. Forty-three men had discontinued antiretroviral therapy, 29 (67%) because of side effects. Thirty-seven men with < or = 500 CD4 cells had never used antiretroviral drugs: 48% because of feeling well and 28% because of possible side effects. Compared with 1987-1989, there were substantial increases in both antiretroviral therapy and anti-Pneumocystis prophylaxis use.

Progression to AIDS in HIV-infected homosexual and bisexual men with hairy leukoplakia and oral candidiasis

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to assess the significance of HIV-related oral lesions in predicting the rate of progression to AIDS.

DESIGN

Cohorts were investigated prospectively, and oral examinations were performed by clinicians trained in the diagnosis of oral lesions.

SETTING

We studied three existing cohorts of homosexual and bisexual men in San Francisco, California, USA.

PARTICIPANTS

Of the HIV-infected men who received standardized oral examinations (n = 791), 603 were eligible for analysis of baseline examinations and 448 for analysis of follow-up examinations.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We determined time from presence of oral lesion at baseline or follow-up examination, or from participant self-reported history of the lesion, to diagnosis of AIDS.

RESULTS

Using proportional hazard regression and stratifying by CD4 lymphocyte count at the time of baseline oral examination, we found that the rate of development of AIDS was increased among men with hairy leukoplakia [relative hazard, 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2-2.7], oral candidiasis (relative hazard, 7.3; 95% CI, 3.1-17.3), and both lesions (relative hazard, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.6-6.1) compared with men with normal findings. On follow-up examination, stratifying for CD4 count, the rate of progression to AIDS was similar for those with hairy leukoplakia compared with those with oral candidiasis. The progression rate from oral candidiasis to AIDS was faster from presence on baseline examination than from presence on follow-up examination or from self-reported history of the lesion.

CONCLUSION

The presence of oral candidiasis and/or hairy leukoplakia on baseline examination confers independent prognostic information and should be incorporated into HIV-staging schemes.

Lymphocyte subset analysis to predict progression to AIDS in a cohort of homosexual men in San Francisco

A group of 10 leukocyte and lymphocyte subsets were measured by simultaneous dual immunofluorescence and flow cytometry in a group of homosexual men from the San Francisco General cohort. Absolute numbers and percentages of lymphocytes were determined in 30 individuals who progressed to AIDS and 29 who did not over a 44-month period at annual intervals. At entry into the study, all subjects were asymptomatic, HIV seropositive, and had multiple changes in lymphocyte subsets compared to HIV-negative controls. In progressors, large changes occurred from the first visit to the last visit before progression in both absolute numbers and percentages of CD4 cells. The percentage of HLA-DR-bearing CD8 cells also increased. We utilized a proportional hazards model to assign a predictive value for progression to AIDS to lymphocyte subsets in both univariate and multivariate tests. Increased DR-positive CD8 cells, decreased CD4 cells, and increased CD8-positive, Leu 7-positive cells independently predicted progression to AIDS at P less than 0.006 (relative hazard 5.8-4.0). In a multivariate model, the most useful tests were either increased numbers or percentages of DR-positive CD8 cells. These data suggest parsimonious approaches to following HIV-positive individuals and further support the possibility of autoreactive T cells in the pathogenesis of HIV-associated diseases.

Cocaine use and HIV infection in intravenous drug users in San Francisco

We assessed risk factors for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in 633 heterosexual intravenous drug users. The HIV seroprevalence was 26% in blacks, 10% in Hispanics, and 6% in whites. Intravenous cocaine use significantly increased the risk of HIV infection, with a seroprevalence of 35% in daily cocaine users (odds ratio, 6.4; 95% confidence interval, 3.0 to 13.3). Black subjects were more likely to use cocaine regularly. Drug use in shooting galleries and sharing of drug injection equipment were also associated with HIV infection and were more common in cocaine users. By multivariate analysis, black race, daily cocaine injection by blacks and Hispanics, all other cocaine injection, heavy use prior to entry into methadone treatment by blacks, and use of drugs in shooting galleries were independent predictors of HIV infection. Methadone therapy was associated with substantial reductions in heroin use and some reduction in cocaine use, but 24% of cocaine users receiving methadone began or increased cocaine injection after entry into treatment.

Time of exposure and risk of HIV infection in homosexual partners of men with AIDS

We interviewed, and tested for HIV antibody, 117 homosexual men who had been regular sexual partners of men who developed acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS); 85 tested seropositive. Receptive anal intercourse with the index AIDS case and number of different sexual partners with whom subjects were anally receptive were both risk factors. Controlling for the number of partners with whom subjects were anally receptive, we found that the odds ratio of receptive anal intercourse with the case was infinite (95% confidence intervals, 3.3-infinity) if sexual contact continued up to or beyond the time of diagnosis, while the odds ratio was 1.0 (95% CI 0.3-3.2) if contact ceased before the case's AIDS diagnosis. Risk was not associated with the duration or frequency of contact. Our data suggest that the potential for sexual transmission from an HIV-infected person may be greater close to or after the onset of disease.

Seropositivity for HIV and the development of AIDS or AIDS related condition: three year follow up of the San Francisco General Hospital cohort

The three year actuarial progression rate to the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) in a cohort of men in San Francisco who were seropositive for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) was 22%. An additional 26 (19%) developed AIDS related conditions. Beta 2 Microglobulin concentration, packed cell volume, HIV p24 antigenaemia, and the proportion and number of T4 lymphocytes each independently predicted progression to AIDS. Beta 2 Microglobulin was the most powerful predictor. The 111 subjects tested who were normal by all predictors (40%) had a three year progression of 7%, and the 68 subjects who were abnormal by two or more predictors (24%) had a progression rate of 57%. Two thirds of all men who progressed to AIDS were in the last group. The median T4 lymphocyte count in subjects who did not progress to AIDS fell from 626 x 10(6) to 327 x 10(6)/l. HIV p24 antigenaemia developed in 7% of the subjects per year. The proportion who were abnormal by two or more predictive variables rose to 41%. At three years an estimated two thirds of the seropositive subjects showed clinical AIDS, an AIDS related condition, or laboratory results that were highly predictive of AIDS. It is concluded from the observed rates and the distribution of predictive variables at three years that half of the men who were seropositive for HIV will develop AIDS by six years after the start of the study, and three quarters will develop AIDS or an AIDS related condition.

Risk of transmitting the human immunodeficiency virus, cytomegalovirus, and hepatitis B virus to health care workers exposed to patients with AIDS and AIDS-related conditions

This prospective cohort study was designed to evaluate the risk of occupational transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), and cytomegalovirus (CMV) to health care workers with intensive exposure to HIV-infected patients. Seventy-five percent of the 270 subjects had been exposed to patients with AIDS and AIDS-related conditions (ARC) for at least one year before enrollment, 18% worked in specialized AIDS units, and 35% sustained a total of 342 accidental parenteral exposures to HIV-infected body fluids. At the time of enrollment, none had antibody to HIV, and none of the 175 subjects retested 10 months later had acquired antibody. No evidence of increased risk of acquiring CMV or HBV was obtained. These results indicate that health care workers are at minimal risk for HIV, CMV, and HBV transmission from occupational exposure to patients with AIDS or ARC, even when intensively exposed for prolonged periods of time.

Risk factors for AIDS and HIV seropositivity in homosexual men

The authors compared cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnosed in San Francisco, California, during 1983-1984 with human immuno-deficiency virus (HIV) antibody-negative neighborhood and clinic controls, looking for risk factors for clinical AIDS. They also compared antibody-positive with antibody-negative neighborhood and clinic controls for risk factors for HIV infection. Odds ratios were 52.0 for AIDs and 7.8 for seropositivity for more than 100 sexual partners versus 0-5 partners when antibody-negative neighborhood controls were compared with cases and with antibody-positive neighborhood controls, respectively. Odds ratios were only 2.9 and 3.4 when antibody-negative clinic controls were compared with cases and with antibody-positive clinic controls, respectively. Odds ratios of 4.6-7.3 for rectal receptivity with most or all partners versus none or one partner were statistically significant, independent of the number of partners. Douching before sex was independently associated with odds ratios of 2.2-2.8. There was no evidence for oral-genital, oral-anal, or other sexual transmission of AIDS. In multivariate analysis, independent odds ratios of 2.4-6.0 for prior syphilis and 10.8-27.9 for prior giardiasis were statistically significant or marginally significant in all comparisons. There was a moderate association with nitrite use. No other drugs were consistently associated with clinical AIDS or HIV seropositivity. Odds ratios associated with AIDS and seropositivity were closely comparable except for number of partners.

Human immunodeficiency virus infection in heterosexual intravenous drug users in San Francisco

To investigate the risk of infection with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in San Francisco, the prevalence of antibodies to HIV was determined in 281 heterosexual intravenous drug users recruited from community-based settings. Ten per cent of subjects had ELISA and Western blot confirmed seropositivity for antibodies (95 per cent CI 6.8-14.2 per cent). Analysis of behavioral factors revealed an increased risk of seropositivity in addicts who reported regularly sharing needles when injecting, particularly those sharing with two or more persons (odds ratio = 5.43; 95 per cent CI 1.08-52.5). Blacks and Latinos also had a greater prevalence of seropositivity than Whites, and this finding persisted after adjustment for needle sharing (adjusted odds ratio = 2.8; 95 per cent CI .84-8.59). Seropositivity was not associated with age, sex, duration of drug use, or history of prostitution. These data indicate that a new epidemic of AIDS (acquired immunodeficiency syndrome) in intravenous drug users, similar to that which has occurred among homosexuals in San Francisco, is possible. The relatively low seroprevalence in 1985 provides health officials an important opportunity to intervene and attempt to prevent widespread infection of drug users with HIV.

Risk of seroconversion for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in San Francisco health workers

The occupational risk of acquiring acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) virus infection in health workers exposed to AIDS patients and specimens was assessed by a serologic study at San Francisco General Hospital and collaborating research laboratories. A total of 101 medical workers without risk factors for AIDS were examined for antibodies to two isolates of the AIDS retrovirus (AIDS-associated retrovirus 2[ARV-2] and human T cell lymphotropic virus III). Most had heavy, long-term exposure to AIDS patients and 29 had been exposed by needlestick or mucocutaneous accident. None of the 101 had antibodies to ARV-2 by immunofluorescence or to HTLV-III by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and Western Blot.

Hormonal risk factors in testicular cancer. A case-control study

The authors interviewed 273 northern California testicular cancer cases aged 40 and under diagnosed between 1976 and 1981, their mothers, and matched peer controls and their mothers on prenatal hormone exposure and other variables. Included was a population-based substudy (1979-1981) of all interviewable cases reported to the San Francisco Bay Area Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry. They found odds ratios (OR) of from 8.3 (sons' report) to 4.5 (mothers' report) associated with cryptorchidism, but found no association with mothers' hormone exposure or diethylstilbestrol exposure in pregnancy. They also found a significant association with lower age at puberty (OR = 2.0); a marginally significant association with mothers' breast cancer (OR = 2.9, p = 0.054); and a significant protective effect of reported mononucleosis (OR = 0.6). These associations remained strong in the population-based substudy. When cases were divided by histology, strong and specific associations of earlier puberty (OR = 2.3) and mothers' breast cancer (OR = 4.4) with nonseminomatous cancer, and of reported mononucleosis (OR = 0.3) with seminomatous cancer, were found. These observations suggest that 1) prenatal exogenous hormone exposure does not account for a significant fraction of testicular cancer, 2) a cluster of "breast-cancer-like" risk factors are associated with nonseminomas, and 3) there is some genetic risk of nonseminomas.