Overtraining in neural networks that interpret clinical data

Backpropagation neural networks are a computer-based pattern-recognition method that has been applied to the interpretation of clinical data. Unlike rule-based pattern recognition, backpropagation networks learn by being repetitively trained with examples of the patterns to be differentiated. We describe and analyze the phenomenon of overtraining in backpropagation networks. Overtraining refers to the reduction in generalization ability that can occur as networks are trained. The clinical application we used was the differentiation of giant cell arteritis (GCA) from other forms of vasculitis (OTH) based on results for 807 patients (593 OTH, 214 GCA) and eight clinical predictor variables. The 807 cases were randomly assigned to either a training set with 404 cases or to a cross-validation set with the remaining 403 cases. The cross-validation set was used to monitor generalization during training. Results were obtained for eight networks, each derived from a different random assignment of the 807 cases. Training error monotonically decreased during training. In contrast, the cross-validation error usually reached a minimum early in training while the training error was still decreasing. Training beyond the minimum cross-validation error was associated with an increased cross-validation error. The shape of the cross-validation error curve and the point during training corresponding to the minimum cross-validation error varied with the composition of the data sets and the training conditions. The study indicates that training error is not a reliable indicator of a network's ability to generalize. To find the point during training when a network generalizes best, one must monitor cross-validation error separately.

Effects of individual and combined dietary weight loss and exercise interventions in postmenopausal women on adiponectin and leptin levels

BACKGROUND

Excess body weight and a sedentary lifestyle are associated with the development of several diseases, including cardiovascular disease, diabetes and cancer in women. One proposed mechanism linking obesity to chronic diseases is an alteration in adipose-derived adiponectin and leptin levels. We investigated the effects of 12-month reduced calorie, weight loss and exercise interventions on adiponectin and leptin concentrations.

METHODS

Overweight/obese postmenopausal women (n = 439) were randomized as follows: (i) a reduced calorie, weight-loss diet (diet; N = 118), (ii) moderate-to-vigorous intensity aerobic exercise (exercise; N = 117), (iii) a combination of a reduced calorie, weight-loss diet and moderate-to-vigorous intensity aerobic exercise (diet + exercise; N = 117), and (iv) control (N = 87). The reduced calorie diet had a 10% weight-loss goal. The exercise intervention consisted of 45 min of moderate-to-vigorous aerobic activity 5 days per week. Adiponectin and leptin levels were measured at baseline and after 12 months of intervention using a radioimmunoassay.

RESULTS

Adiponectin increased by 9.5% in the diet group and 6.6% in the diet + exercise group (both P ≤ 0.0001 vs. control). Compared with controls, leptin decreased with all interventions (diet + exercise, -40.1%, P < 0.0001; diet, -27.1%, P < 0.0001; exercise, -12.7%, P = 0.005). The results were not influenced by the baseline body mass index (BMI). The degree of weight loss was inversely associated with concentrations of adiponectin (diet, P-trend = 0.0002; diet + exercise, P-trend = 0.0005) and directly associated with leptin (diet, P-trend < 0.0001; diet + exercise, P-trend < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Weight loss through diet or diet + exercise increased adiponectin concentrations. Leptin concentrations decreased in all of the intervention groups, but the greatest reduction occurred with diet + exercise. Weight loss and exercise exerted some beneficial effects on chronic diseases via effects on adiponectin and leptin.

Effect of tumour necrosis factor alpha antagonists on serum transaminases and viraemia in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and chronic hepatitis C infection

BACKGROUND

Tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF alpha) antagonists are effective for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but concerns remain about the safety of these agents in the presence of chronic infections, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the influence of treatment with TNF alpha antagonists on levels of HCV viraemia and serum transaminases in patients with RA and HCV.

METHODS

In a retrospective survey the course of 16 HCV infected patients with RA who had received the TNF alpha antagonists etanercept or infliximab was analysed. Eight additional patients with RA and HCV were also enrolled into a three month prospective trial of etanercept. Serum concentrations of albumin, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and HCV were followed.

RESULTS

Viraemia was measured in 22 patients receiving a TNF alpha antagonist at the start of treatment and after 1-34 months (median 9 months follow up). Twenty four patients had serial tests of liver related enzymes and albumin. None of the differences between liver related tests at baseline and at follow up achieved significance (p>0.05). Similarly, the mean HCV measurement at 1-3, 4-6, 7-12, and 13-34 months did not differ significantly from baseline (p>0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this study, liver related blood tests and HCV viral load measurements did not change substantially. These findings suggest that TNF alpha antagonists merit further study for the treatment of RA in HCV infected patients. Larger and longer term studies are still needed.

Cryoglobulinemic glomerulonephritis in thymic stromal lymphopoietin transgenic mice

Mixed cryoglobulins are complexes of immunoglobulins that reversibly precipitate in the cold and lead to a systemic disease in humans. Renal involvement usually manifests as a membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis with marked monocyte infiltration and, at times, intracapillary thrombi. Thymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP) is a recently cloned cytokine that supports differentiation and long-term growth of B cells. Here we report that TSLP overexpression in mice results in the development of mixed cryoglobulins, with renal involvement closely resembling cryoglobulinemic glomerulonephritis as it occurs in humans. One hundred twenty-three mice were sacrificed at monthly intervals, with at least five TSLP transgenic mice and five controls in each group. Blood, kidneys, spleen, liver, lung, and ear were collected and studied by routine microscopy, immunofluorescence, immunohistochemistry, and electron microscopy. TSLP transgenic animals developed polyclonal mixed cryoglobulinemia (type III) and a systemic inflammatory disease involving the kidney, spleen, liver, lung, and ears. Renal involvement was of a membranoproliferative type demonstrating thickened capillary walls with cellular interposition and double contours of the basement membrane, expansion of the mesangium because of increased matrix and accumulation of immune-deposits, subendothelial immune-deposits, focal occlusion of capillary loops, and monocyte/macrophage influx. In contrast to the severe glomerular lesions, the tubulointerstitium was not involved in the disease process. The renal lesions and the disease course were more severe in females when compared to males. We describe a mouse strain in which a B-cell-promoting cytokine leads to formation of large amounts of mixed cryoglobulins and a systemic inflammatory injury that resembles important aspects of human cryoglobulinemia. This is the first reproducible mouse model of renal involvement in mixed cryoglobulinemia, which enables detailed studies of a membranoproliferative pattern of glomerular injury.

Antibodies to human myeloperoxidase in glomerular immune deposits of systemic lupus erythematosus

Antibodies to human myeloperoxidase and cathepsin G have been detected in the serum of some patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Therefore, the presence of antibodies to human myeloperoxidase and cathepsin G was examined in glomerular immune deposits. Glomerular basement membrane fragments were prepared from renal tissues obtained at autopsy from 19 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. IgG was extracted from the glomerular basement membrane fragments and tested with sensitive immunoassays for antibodies to myeloperoxidase and cathepsin G. Antibodies to cathepsin G were not detected in the extracts but antibodies to human myeloperoxidase were found in extracts of one specimen. In the extract with 6M guanidine hydrochloride these antibodies were enriched 103-fold, compared to the initial supernatant of glomeruli, which served as a serum surrogate. The recovered antibodies to myeloperoxidase accounted for 12% of the recovered IgG. These findings add autoantibodies to human myeloperoxidase to the list of antibodies that have been shown to be present in glomerular immune deposits of patients with lupus glomerulonephritis.

Low-grade systemic inflammation in overweight children

OBJECTIVE

Human adipose tissue expresses and releases the proinflammatory cytokine interleukin-6, potentially inducing low-grade systemic inflammation in persons with excess body fat. To limit potential confounding by inflammation-related diseases and subclinical cardiovascular disease, we tested the hypothesis that overweight is associated with low-grade systemic inflammation in children.

DESIGN AND SETTING

The third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994, a representative sample of the US population.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 3512 children 8 to 16 years of age.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Elevated serum C-reactive protein concentration (CRP; >/=.22 mg/dL) and white blood cell count (10(9) cells/L).

RESULTS

Elevated CRP was present in 7.1% of the boys and 6.1% of the girls. Overweight children (defined as having a body mass index or a sum of 3 skinfolds (triceps, subscapula, and supra-iliac) above the gender-specific 85th percentile) were more likely to have elevated CRP than were their normal-weight counterparts. After adjustment for potential confounders, including smoking and health status, the odds ratio (OR) was 3.74 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.66-8.43) for overweight boys and the OR was 3.17 (95% CI: 1.60-6.28) for overweight girls, based on the body mass index. Based on the sum of 3 skinfolds, these ORs were 5.11 (95% CI: 2.36-11.06) and 2.89 (95% CI: 1.49-5.59) for boys and girls, respectively. Overweight was also associated with statistically significant higher white blood cell counts. The results were similar when restricted to healthy, nonsmoking, nonestrogen-using children.

CONCLUSIONS

In children 8 to 16 years of age, overweight is associated with higher CRP concentrations and higher white blood cell counts. These findings suggest a state of low-grade systemic inflammation in overweight children. inflammation, obesity, children.

The influence of age, sex, and race on the upper reference limit of serum C-reactive protein concentration

OBJECTIVE

The recommended reference range for serum C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations is usually not adjusted for age and sex. We sought to determine if age, sex, and race or ethnicity influence the distribution of CRP values, and if upper reference limits of CRP should be adjusted by demographic factors.

METHODS

Interviews, physical examinations, and blood draws were performed on > 22,000 individuals age > or = 4 yrs representative of the noninstitutionalized population of the United States, as part of the Third National Health and Nutrition Evaluation Survey (NHANES III). Serum CRP concentrations were measured by nephelometric immunoassay.

RESULTS

The 95th percentile value of CRP in the overall population was 0.95 mg/dl for males and 1.39 mg/dl for females, and varied with age and race. For ages 25-70 yrs, the age adjusted approximate upper reference limit (mg/dl) was CRP = age/50 for males, and CRP = age/50 + 0.6 for females. The upper limits for Mexican-Americans and non-Hispanic whites were similar, whereas for non-Hispanic black adults the approximate upper limit was CRP = age/30 for males and CRP = age/50 + 1.0 for females. Even after accounting for identified inflammatory conditions, demographic factors influenced the reference limits of CRP. The 95th percentile values were uniformly lower in children than in older adults.

CONCLUSION

Demographic factors, including age, sex, and race, should be used to adjust the upper reference limit for CRP. Clinicians should be aware of these factors when using CRP values to assess inflammatory diseases.

SR proteins are autoantigens in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Importance of phosphoepitopes

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether members of the highly phosphorylated SR protein family are autoantigens and, if so, to determine the frequency and molecular basis of antigen recognition.

METHODS

Native human SR proteins were purified to homogeneity from HeLa cells, and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was developed. Further studies employed immunoblotting of both phosphorylated and dephosphorylated SR proteins.

RESULTS

Anti-SR protein reactivity was frequently detected in the sera of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Sera from 52% of the SLE patients in a group of patients with a variety of autoimmune and other disorders (n = 137) and from 50% of the SLE patients in a separate group (n = 102) were positive in an ELISA. In contrast, sera from patients with other disorders, such as rheumatoid arthritis and primary antiphospholipid syndrome, reacted infrequently. Reactivity with double-stranded DNA (dsDNA), used in the diagnosis of SLE, did not correlate with SR protein reactivity. Anti-SR autoantisera did not bind highly charged unphosphorylated peptides related to the SR domain, which is rich in arginine and phosphoserine residues. Surprisingly, many of the epitopes were influenced by the presence or absence of SR protein phosphorylation. In immunoblots, some patient sera lost reactivity upon SR protein dephosphorylation, while others significantly gained reactivity.

CONCLUSION

We have identified a novel set of autoantigens in SLE, the SR protein family of non-small nuclear RNP pre-messenger RNA splicing factors. Anti-SR autoantibodies are distinct from those which bind dsDNA. The identification of this new set of autoantigens and the observation that the auto-epitope(s) involves posttranslational modification offer new possibilities for understanding autoimmunity and its development.

Elevated C-reactive protein levels in overweight and obese adults

CONTEXT

Human adipose tissue expresses and releases the proinflammatory cytokine interleukin 6, potentially inducing low-grade systemic inflammation in persons with excess body fat.

OBJECTIVE

To test whether overweight and obesity are associated with low-grade systemic inflammation as measured by serum C-reactive protein (CRP) level.

DESIGN AND SETTING

The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, representative of the US population from 1988 to 1994.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 16616 men and nonpregnant women aged 17 years or older.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Elevated CRP level of 0.22 mg/dL or more and a more stringent clinically raised CRP level of more than 1.00 mg/dL.

RESULTS

Elevated CRP levels and clinically raised CRP levels were present in 27.6% and 6.7% of the population, respectively. Both overweight (body mass index [BMI], 25-29.9 kg/m2) and obese (BMI, > or =30 kg/m2) persons were more likely to have elevated CRP levels than their normal-weight counterparts (BMI, <25 kg/m2). After adjustment for potential confounders, including smoking and health status, the odds ratio (OR) for elevated CRP was 2.13 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56-2.91) for obese men and 6.21 (95% CI, 4.94-7.81) for obese women. In addition, BMI was associated with clinically raised CRP levels in women, with an OR of 4.76 (95% CI, 3.42-6.61) for obese women. Waist-to-hip ratio was positively associated with both elevated and clinically raised CRP levels, independent of BMI. Restricting the analyses to young adults (aged 17-39 years) and excluding smokers, persons with inflammatory disease, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes mellitus and estrogen users did not change the main findings.

CONCLUSION

Higher BMI is associated with higher CRP concentrations, even among young adults aged 17 to 39 years. These findings suggest a state of low-grade systemic inflammation in overweight and obese persons.

Clinicopathologic correlations in lupus nephritis in Lima, Peru

BACKGROUND

We assessed whether immunohistologic markers for glomerular or tubulointerstitial injury might provide better correlations with ongoing renal function and disease activity as compared with the WHO classification or the NIH activity and chronicity indices in lupus nephritis.

METHODS

Thirty-three patients with clinically defined systemic lupus underwent renal biopsy over a 1-year period at Hospital Loayza in Lima, Peru. Biopsy specimens were evaluated for macrophages, proliferating cells, alpha-actin expression, and type IV collagen deposition in both glomeruli and the tubulointerstitium and the results compared with the current WHO and NIH classifications in relation to the clinical presentation.

RESULTS

Patients with WHO class IV lupus nephritis were more likely to have lower serum complements, greater proteinuria and hematuria, and worse renal function. An elevated NIH activity index correlated with microhematuria, proteinuria, and impaired renal function, whereas an elevated chronicity index correlated with renal function, hypertension, and microhematuria, but not with proteinuria. The presence of glomerular macrophages correlated with both glomerular alpha-actin expression and type IV collagen deposition, but did not correlate with renal function or proteinuria. In contrast, interstitial macrophages correlated not only with interstitial collagen deposition and myofibroblast accumulation, but also correlated with both renal function and the presence of nephrotic syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the WHO classification and the NIH activity/chronicity indices correlate with clinical manifestations of lupus nephritis. While glomerular macrophage accumulation correlates with mesangial cell activation (alpha-actin expression) and collagen deposition, and interstitial macrophage accumulation correlates with interstitial fibroblast activation and collagen deposition, only interstitial macrophages correlate with renal function. Of particular interest will be future studies to determine whether these markers correlate with the prognosis.

Utility of laboratory testing in autoimmune inner ear disease

OBJECTIVES

To assess the utility of various laboratory tests used to diagnose autoimmune inner ear disease.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study of 82 patients evaluated at the University of Washington Otology Clinic from 1996 through 1998 with review of clinical history, laboratory tests, audiograms, response to therapy, and final diagnoses.

METHODS

Charts were reviewed for presenting history and initial workup including test results for erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP), Clq binding assay, anticardiolipin antibody (aCL), antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA), microhemagglutinin assay for Treponema pallidum (microhemagglutination assay), Lyme disease titers, and the Western blot for heat shock protein 70 (hsp 70).

RESULTS

The Western blot for hsp 70 is the best test for predicting corticosteroid responsiveness. The sensitivity was low at 42%, although the specificity was 90%, and the positive predictive value of this test was excellent at 91%. The ESR was as good as the CRP in detecting acute-phase reactants. The other, more specific tests in the laboratory panel (aCL, ANCA, MHA, and Lyme disease titers) did not detect any new cases of autoimmune disease in addition to those which were already identified by an abnormal ESR.

CONCLUSIONS

A diagnostic test panel for autoimmune inner ear disease should include an ESR and the Western blot for hsp70. More specific laboratory testing for systemic disease is warranted when the ESR is elevated. In patients with a positive Western blot, a trial of corticosteroid therapy can be given with good conviction because the test is quite specific. However, many people who are Western blot negative may also respond to corticosteroid therapy because the test lacks sensitivity.

Destructive tophaceous calcium hydroxyapatite tumor of the infratemporal fossa. Case report and review of the literature

Tophaceous pseudogout is one of the rarest forms of crystal deposition disease, typically presenting as a destructive and invasive mass involving the temporomandibular joint or the infratemporal fossa region in the absence of any other articular manifestations. Previous cases have been assumed to be caused by calcium pyrophosphate dihydrate (CPPD) crystal deposition, based on finding weakly birefringent crystals in the involved tissues. The authors present the unique case of a 65-year-old woman with a destructive and invasive facial mass extending to the middle cranial fossa with microscopic and clinical features consistent with tophaceous pseudogout. High-resolution x-ray crystallographic powder diffraction and Fourier transformed infrared spectroscopy subsequently revealed that the crystals were composed of calcium hydroxyapatite without CPPD. The patient was later found to have primary hyperparathyroidism and mild hypercalcemia. This case demonstrates that tissue deposits of calcium hydroxyapatite can cause a destructive and invasive mass containing weakly birefringent crystals and raises the question of whether previous cases attributed to tophaceous pseudogout resulting from CPPD actually were composed of birefringent calcium hydroxyapatite.

Teaching the microscopic examination of urine sediment to second year medical students using the Urinalysis-Tutor computer program

The microscopic examination of urine sediment is a common diagnostic tool taught to medical students, medical technologists, and others. The urine microscopic exam is difficult to teach because supervised instruction and textbook-based teaching suffer from numerous drawbacks. Here, we describe Urinalysis-Tutor, a computer program that uses digitized microscope images and computer-based teaching techniques to systematically teach the urine microscopic exam. In addition, we report the results of a 2-year study that evaluated the effectiveness of the program in 314 second year medical students who were required to use the program. The program contained two, 20-question exams. In the first year of the study (1996), one of the exams was chosen as the pretest and the other as the posttest; the pretest had to be completed before the students viewed the contents of the program, and the posttest was taken after finishing the tutorial. In 1997, the order of the two exams was reversed. In 1996, 159 students completed the study. The mean pretest score was 34% (SD, 14%), the mean posttest score was 71% (SD, 13%), and the improvement was significant (P <0.001, paired t-test). In 1997, 155 students participated. The mean pretest score was 41% (SD, 11%), the mean posttest score was 71% (SD, 13%), and the improvement was significant (P <0.001, paired t-test). The study shows that Urinalysis-Tutor helps medical students learn to interpret the microscopic appearance of urine sediment and that it is feasible to implement this tutorial in a medical school class.

Histoplasmosis-like choroiditis in a nonendemic area: the northwest United States

PURPOSE

Histoplasmosis is not endemic in the U.S. northwest, but a type of multifocal choroiditis resembling ocular histoplasmosis occurs there. This study was designed to find a group of affected patients and study their clinical characteristics and immunologic responses to Histoplasma antigens.

METHOD

Ten patients were found in the authors' files whose geographic histories made it unlikely that they had ever been exposed to Histoplasma capsulatum and yet they had features of ocular histoplasmosis. They were recalled for examination and testing by lymphocyte-stimulation assay for previous exposure to histoplasmosis.

RESULTS

The clinical features of these patients resembled those of patients with ocular histoplasmosis, but their histories and the results of the assay did not support H. capsulatum as the cause of the ocular disease.

CONCLUSION

This study confirmed that there is a type of choroiditis that resembles ocular histoplasmosis but is due to another agent or agents.

Teaching the clinical interpretation of peripheral blood smears to a second-year medical school class using the PeripheralBlood-Tutor computer program

The interpretation of peripheral blood smears has an important role in the diagnosis of hematologic diseases and is, therefore, part of the education of physicians and technologists. We describe a computer program, PeripheralBlood-Tutor (Lippincott-Raven, Philadelphia, Pa), that teaches the morphologic features of normal and abnormal peripheral blood smears; we also describe the evaluation of the effectiveness of the program in 133 second-year medical students who were required to use the program in their hematology course. The version of the PeripheralBlood-Tutor used in the study had 2 distinct but equivalent 20-question examinations; one examination, the pretest, was taken before the students viewed the contents of the program, and the other examination, the posttest, was taken after completing the program. The mean score on the pretest was 61% (SD, 14%), the mean on the posttest was 91% (SD, 10%), and the improvement was significant. In addition, 4 questions about peripheral blood smears, which were based on printed images, were administered at the end of the hematology course. The students scored an average of 2.75 (SD, 0.86), and a positive correlation was found between these scores and the scores on the Tutor posttest. The results of the study suggest that PeripheralBlood-Tutor is feasible to implement, and it helps students learn to interpret peripheral blood smears. The use of PeripheralBlood-Tutor is now a requirement in the medical school curriculum, the medical technology program, and the pathology residency at the University of Washington, Seattle.

Day to day changes in free and total PSA: significance of biological variation

In this study we evaluated the physiological variation of free and total prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels to determine how the percent free/total PSA was affected. Twenty four patients had blood drawn for ten consecutive weekdays. The percent coefficient of variation (%CV) of biological variation was calculated. The results were log-normally distributed with geometric means of 12.0% CV, 7.3% CV, and 8.8% CV for free, total, and percent free/total PSA, respectively. When applied, the percent free/total, PSA would need to fluctuate by 31% to indicate that a significant change (critical difference, P<0.05) between two measurements had occurred. Biological variation of PSA measurements is substantial.

Deposition of antibodies to the collagen-like region of C1q in renal glomeruli of patients with proliferative lupus glomerulonephritis

OBJECTIVE

To determine if antibodies to the collagen-like region of C1q (C1q-CLR) are present in the glomerular immune deposits of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

Kidney tissues were obtained at autopsy, glomeruli were isolated, and glomerular basement membrane fragments were prepared. Antibodies were extracted with low pH or with DNase.

RESULTS

The concentrations of antibodies to C1q-CLR recovered from the glomeruli were > or =50-fold higher per unit of IgG than that found in the serum or in the serum and interstitial fluid entrained in glomeruli. Antibodies to C1q-CLR were recovered from glomeruli of 4 of 5 patients with proliferative glomerulonephritis at autopsy.

CONCLUSION

This is the first demonstration that antibodies to C1q-CLR are deposited and concentrated in the renal glomeruli of patients with SLE. These antibodies, thus, have the potential of contributing to the pathogenesis of lupus glomerulonephritis.

Biological variation of prostate specific antigen levels in serum: an evaluation of day-to-day physiological fluctuations in a well-defined cohort of 24 patients

PURPOSE

We evaluated the daily biological variation of serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) concentrations to determine the critical difference required between 2 consecutive PSA measurements that would indicate a significant elevation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 24 men, grouped according to clinical diagnosis and PSA, underwent phlebotomy for 10 consecutive weekdays. Duplicate serum samples were measured using 3 separate lots of Tandem-E and IMx PSA assays. The biological variation was calculated and the 2 PSA assay systems were compared. The critical difference was examined to determine the percent elevation necessary to indicate (with 95% confidence) that PSA had increased beyond what would be expected from biological and analytical variation.

RESULTS

The biological variation, defined in terms of percent coefficient of variation, had a log-normal distribution with a geometric mean of 7.3% coefficient of variation and a 95th percentile value of 19.2% coefficient of variation using the Tandem-E PSA assay. Assuming an analytical variation of 5% coefficient of variation, the median critical difference was 20.5% and the 95th percentile critical difference was 45.8%. There was no significant difference between the 2 PSA assay systems in biological variation. However, PSA concentrations measured by the IMx assay were consistently lower compared to values measured by the Tandem-E assay.

CONCLUSIONS

Characterizing the biological variation of serum PSA assists in evaluating the significance of changes in serial PSA measurements. The degree of biological variation differs among patients, such that an increase between 2 consecutive PSA levels that is less than 20 to 46% may be due to biological and analytical variation. These data influence interpretation of repeated measurements of serum PSA with time.

Markers of inflammation and immune activation in chronic fatigue and chronic fatigue syndrome

OBJECTIVE

Chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) has been hypothesized to result from immune activation. We examined the role of serum markers of inflammation and immune activation among patients with CFS and in those with chronic fatigue (CF) not meeting the case definition.

METHODS

Assays for soluble interleukin 2 (IL-2) receptor, IL-6, C-reactive protein, beta 2-microglobulin, and neopterin were performed in 153 fatigued patients in a referral clinic. Patients were classified according to whether they met criteria for CFS, reported onset of illness with a viral syndrome or had a temperature > 37.5 degrees C on examination.

RESULTS

Compared to control subjects, mean concentrations of C-reactive protein, beta 2-microglobulin, and neopterin were higher in patients with CFS (p < or = 0.01) and CF (p < or = 0.01). Results did not distinguish CFS from CF. IL-6 was elevated among febrile patients compared to those without this finding (p < or = 0.001), but other consistent differences between patient subgroups were not observed. The presence of several markers was highly correlated (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Our findings that levels of several markers were significantly correlated points to a subset of patients with immune system activation. Whether this phenomenon reflects an intercurrent, transient, common condition, such as an upper respiratory infection, or is the result of an ongoing illness associated process is unknown. Overall, serum markers of inflammation and immune activation are of limited diagnostic usefulness in the evaluation of patients with CSF and CF.

Amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein determination at the time of genetic amniocentesis: has it outlived its usefulness?

The purpose of this retrospective study was to evaluate the utility of routine measurement of amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein levels at the time of second trimester genetic amniocentesis (mean gestational age, 17.3 weeks +/- 2.5 weeks standard deviation; median, 16.8 weeks; range, 15 to 22 weeks). During the study period 7174 patients underwent second trimester genetic amniocentesis. Outcome data were available in all cases. In 79 (1.1%) cases the amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein level was > or = 2.0 multiples of the median. Thirty-three of the 79 (42%) patients had normal ultrasonograms, and in 31 of 33 (94%) the amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein level was between 2.0 and 3.0 multiples of the median. Forty-six of the 79 (58%) patients had abnormal ultrasonographic findings, and of these, 82% were neural tube defects, abdominal wall defects, or cystic hygromas. Acetylcholinesterase was positive in 37 cases, all of which had abnormal ultrasonographic findings. None of the fetuses with negative findings on sonographic screening had detectable abnormalities at birth. In this study, with over 7000 patients, amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein and acetylcholinesterase levels did not increase the detection of fetal abnormalities. On the basis of these results, routine measurement of amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein level at the time of routine genetic amniocentesis (15 to 22 weeks) does not appear justified.

Humoral immune abnormalities in T-cell large granular lymphocyte leukemia

The prevalence of humoral immune dysfunction has not been defined in a large series of patients with T-cell large granular lymphocyte leukemia (T-LGL) confirmed to be clonal by T-cell receptor analysis. Therefore we evaluated the presence of multiple autoantibodies in 27 patients with this disease. Humoral immune abnormalities included: rheumatoid factor (RF) (15/27 patients), antinuclear antibody (ANA) (13/27 patients), polyclonal hypergammaglobulinemia (15/24 patients), elevated serum immunoglobulins (17/26 patients), immune complex formation (18/25 patients), elevated beta-2 microglobulin (13/18 patients) and neutrophil-reactive IgG (18/20 patients). Disease manifestations in these patients were due to complications of cytopenia or autoimmune abnormalities. Infection was a common finding (21/27 patients) and likely reflected their neutropenia. Rheumatoid arthritis (11/27 patients), anemia (12/27 patients) and thrombocytopenia (10/27 patients) were less common but still frequently observed. This study demonstrates the presence of multiple autoantibodies in a large series of patients with documented clonal T-LGL proliferations.

Effects of supplemental dietary arginine, canola oil, and trace elements on cellular immune function in critically injured patients

Dietary nutrients may have pharmacological value in modulating the immune system. We studied the effects of two enteral diets, which differed in their content of arginine, fat source, and select trace elements, on immune function in critically injured patients. Leukocytes were isolated from healthy volunteers and severely injured (ISS > 13) patients on the first, sixth, and tenth day of receiving either a standard diet or experimental diet. Monocytes were assayed for tumor necrosis factor, procoagulant activity, and prostaglandin E2 following endotoxin exposure. Neutrophil oxidant production and lymphocyte blastogenesis was assessed. Leukocyte function was uniformly depressed compared to normal patients on day 1. The response of leukocytes from patients receiving experimental diet improved or "normalized" by day 6, while remaining depressed in patients receiving standard diet. Dietary nutrient modification can effect cellular immune responses to inflammatory stimuli in severely injured patients.

ANCA-Tutor: a program that teaches interpretation of an immunofluorescence assay

The microscope-based immunofluorescence assay for anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCAs) is used in the evaluation of patients with Wegener's granulomatosis and related forms of vasculitis. We developed an interactive personal computer program, ANCA-Tutor, that introduces users to the assay and examines their understanding of the test. The program runs under Microsoft Windows and is based on processed digital images of human neutrophils stained in a standard immunofluorescence test. The images contain descriptive text overlays. The program contains a library of reference images and strategies for distinguishing between staining patterns.

A computer program that periodically monitors the ability to interpret the antinuclear antibody test

Our laboratory has been developing computer programs that help medical technologists improve their performance of the microscope-based immunofluorescence assay for antinuclear antibodies (ANA). This image-based laboratory test has been associated with poor reproducibility. We have previously described our first program, ANA-Tutor, which systematically teaches the ANA test by using approximately 150 processed digital images of ANA test results. The program we describe here, Pattern Plus Auditor, is a logical extension to ANA-Tutor. Pattern Plus Auditor tests the ability of laboratory personnel to interpret the ANA test, and tracks individual and laboratory performance over time. The program consists of image-based questions that test a variety of ANA staining patterns, including homogeneous, speckled, centromere, nucleolar, mixed patterns, and rare patterns. For each question, the program provides correct answers with explanations and color overlays that highlight key image features. By entering the proper password, users gain access to exam results for individuals and for the laboratory as a whole. Results are available for the current exam, any previous exam, or cumulatively on all exams to date. Intralaboratory testing with computer programs such as Pattern Plus Auditor might be a useful part of quality-assurance procedures for many image-based laboratory tests.

A computer program that periodically monitors the ability to interpret the antinuclear antibody test

Our laboratory has been developing computer programs that help medical technologists improve their performance of the microscope-based immunofluorescence assay for antinuclear antibodies (ANA). This image-based laboratory test has been associated with poor reproducibility. We have previously described our first program, ANA-Tutor, which systematically teaches the ANA test by using approximately 150 processed digital images of ANA test results. The program we describe here, Pattern Plus Auditor, is a logical extension to ANA-Tutor. Pattern Plus Auditor tests the ability of laboratory personnel to interpret the ANA test, and tracks individual and laboratory performance over time. The program consists of image-based questions that test a variety of ANA staining patterns, including homogeneous, speckled, centromere, nucleolar, mixed patterns, and rare patterns. For each question, the program provides correct answers with explanations and color overlays that highlight key image features. By entering the proper password, users gain access to exam results for individuals and for the laboratory as a whole. Results are available for the current exam, any previous exam, or cumulatively on all exams to date. Intralaboratory testing with computer programs such as Pattern Plus Auditor might be a useful part of quality-assurance procedures for many image-based laboratory tests.

Computer programs that teach the interpretation of image-based laboratory tests

OBJECTIVE

To review the effort of the University of Washington (UW) Department of Laboratory Medicine to develop and use personal computer programs to teach the interpretation of image-based clinical laboratory tests to medical technologists and other health care workers.

DATA SOURCES

Professional journals and books; Software owned by and licensed by the University of Washington.

STUDY SELECTION

Not applicable.

DATA EXTRACTION

Not applicable.

DATA SYNTHESIS

We have been developing interactive personal computer (PC) programs for teaching image-based laboratory tests to medical technologists and other health care workers. The programs, called "Laboratory Tutors," are useful for teaching microscope-based tests and tests based on electrophoresis. Our programs include ANA-Tutor, which teaches the immunofluorescence assay for anti-nuclear antibodies; Gram Stain-Tutor, which teaches the direct Gram stain; Electrophoresis-Tutor, which teaches the interpretation of agarose gel protein electrophoretic patterns; Urinalysis-Tutor, which teaches the microscopic examination of urine sediment; in addition to other programs. The tutorials are all based on high-quality digital images that were acquired and processed using digital imaging systems. They require minimal computer literacy and have a number of advantages over standard approaches to teaching image-based laboratory tests. The computer tutorials are used in UW's medical technology and medical school curriculum, where they are used as supplements to traditional instruction.

CONCLUSION

Laboratory tutors are computer programs that use high resolution digital images to teach the interpretation of image-based laboratory tests. We plan to continue to develop these programs, study their educational effectiveness, and update them periodically.

Variation in measurement of prostate-specific antigen: importance of method and lot variability

Equivalence between Hybritech Tandem and Abbott IMx PSA methods have been reported by some but not all previous investigators. To determine reasons for these differing conclusions, we measured serum PSA with three different lots each of IMx and Tandem-E kits. Overall, mean IMx results were significantly lower than Tandem-E results; however, for selected sera, the IMx results were consistently higher than the Tandem-E results. Lot-to-lot differences for the IMx method were significantly greater than those with the Tandem-E method. Most IMx/Tandem-E lot-to-lot comparisons had linear regression slopes that differed significantly from 1.0, but some did not. Conclusions concerning the equivalence of the IMx and the Tandem-E methods can be influenced both by variations in the proportions of free PSA in sera in tested populations and by lot-to-lot differences in the IMx method.

Variation in measurement of prostate-specific antigen: importance of method and lot variability

Equivalence between Hybritech Tandem and Abbott IMx PSA methods have been reported by some but not all previous investigators. To determine reasons for these differing conclusions, we measured serum PSA with three different lots each of IMx and Tandem-E kits. Overall, mean IMx results were significantly lower than Tandem-E results; however, for selected sera, the IMx results were consistently higher than the Tandem-E results. Lot-to-lot differences for the IMx method were significantly greater than those with the Tandem-E method. Most IMx/Tandem-E lot-to-lot comparisons had linear regression slopes that differed significantly from 1.0, but some did not. Conclusions concerning the equivalence of the IMx and the Tandem-E methods can be influenced both by variations in the proportions of free PSA in sera in tested populations and by lot-to-lot differences in the IMx method.

The direct embryotoxicity of immunoglobulin G fractions from patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

PROBLEM

To determine if IgG fractions from sera of individuals with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) were toxic to cultures of whole rat embryos.

METHODS

Head-fold stage rat embryos (9.5 days of gestation) were cultured on media consisting of 50% rat serum containing IgG fractions isolated from plasmapheresis plasma of six subjects with SLE and six with other autoimmune diseases. Each fraction was tested at 11 mg/ml and those toxic were also tested at 7.5 and 4 mg/ml.

RESULTS

Of the six SLE IgG fractions, four were embryotoxic (embryolethal or teratogenic) while only one of the six non-SLE fractions were embryotoxic.

CONCLUSION

IgG fractions from subjects with SLE can be toxic to cultures of whole rat embryos in the absence of maternal tissues or influence. Such cultures of whole embryos may be useful to identify those antibodies that represent a risk for fetal loss as well as to understand their mechanisms of embryotoxicity.

Electrophoresis-tutor: an image-based personal computer program that teaches clinical interpretation of protein electrophoresis patterns of serum, urine, and cerebrospinal fluid

High-resolution protein electrophoresis of serum, urine, and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) can aid in the diagnosis of multiple myeloma, amyloidosis, macroglobulinemia, multiple sclerosis, and other diseases. Electrophoresis-Tutor is a personal computer program based on approximately 150 digital images that teaches the clinical interpretation of agarose gel electrophoretic patterns. The program is divided into the following sections: introduction, CSF, serum, urine, review of disease states, program navigator, and final exam. The CSF section describes normal and abnormal CSF findings with emphasis on oligoclonal banding, as seen in the CSF of patients with multiple sclerosis. The serum section emphasizes monoclonal gammopathy patterns but also has detailed descriptions of inflammation, liver disease, protein-losing disorders, genetic deficiencies, and other patterns. Monoclonal gammopathy is described in the context of specific associated clinical conditions (e.g., myeloma, amyloidosis). For each monoclonal gammopathy example, results of standard electrophoresis, densitometry, and immunofixation are presented. The review of disease states uses animation to illustrate the development and remission of a variety of pathological patterns. The program navigator allows the user to jump quickly to any place in the program. The optional exam contains 20 questions, and detailed feedback is given after each question. Electrophoresis-Tutor can be used as a stand-alone teaching tool, a companion to traditional instruction, or a reference source.

Neuropsychiatric lupus erythematosus: a 10-year prospective study on the value of diagnostic tests

PURPOSE

To evaluate which serologic, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and neuroradiographic tests alone or in combination are most useful in the diagnosis of neuropsychiatric lupus erythematosus (NPLE).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospective study of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) hospitalized with neuropsychiatric disease between January 1982 and December 1991. Special tests evaluated as part of this study included serum antinuclear antibodies, complement levels, serum and CSF antineuronal antibodies, CSF special protein studies (immunoglobulin G [IgG] index and oligoclonal bands), serum antiribosomal-P antibodies, serum antiphospholipid antibodies, and cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) were determined for single tests and combinations of tests.

RESULTS

Fifty-two NPLE patients were categorized by neuropsychiatric presentation (32 diffuse, 10 focal, and 10 complex presentations) and compared to 14 SLE control patients. Each NPLE patient with a diffuse or complex presentation had abnormal CSF IgG index/oligoclonal bands, elevated CSF antineuronal antibodies, and/or serum antiribosomal-P antibodies, yielding a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 86%, and PPV of 95% for this combination of tests. Nine of 10 patients with focal presentations and all with complex disease had evidence of vasculitis/livedo reticularis, antiphospholipid antibodies, and/or a cranial MRI with multiple lesions, giving a sensitivity of 95%, specificity of 86%, and a PPV of 90% for this battery of tests. These combinations of tests correctly diagnosed all nine SLE patients whose initial diagnosis proved to be incorrect based on subsequent clinical course. Abnormal test results frequently normalized or improved with successful therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Specific tests for CSF antibodies are most useful diagnostically in diffuse NPLE, implicating autoantibodies in the pathogenesis of this NPLE presentation. In those patients with diffuse NPLE who present with primarily psychiatric disease, serum antiribosomal-P antibodies appear to be helpful. In contrast, focal NPLE appears to be mostly secondary to vascular occlusion, and the presence of dermal vasculitis/livedo reticularis, antiphospholipid antibodies, and/or an abnormal cranial MRI are most helpful diagnostically. Patients with complex presentations demonstrate abnormalities characteristic of both diffuse and focal NPLE. Abnormal tests can be followed serially and appear to correlate with clinical responses to therapy.

Assay variability in serum prostate-specific antigen determination

Consistency and reproducibility of serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurement are essential in the application of this analyte to early detection or screening programs. In the present investigation, we sought to compare serum PSA levels determined by the IMx assay (Abbott Laboratories, North Chicago, IL) and the Tandem E (Hybritech Inc., San Diego, CA) to determine whether there were differences. Two hundred twenty-eight random sera from our archival bank were investigated. One hundred-eight specimens were in the Tandem range of 2.0-10.0 ng/ml, and prostatic histology was known based on either systematic sector needle biopsy or transurethral resection. PSA was measured with three different lost of the IMx and Tandem assays. Over the entire range, there was a good correlation (r2 = 0.985); however, in the more useful clinical range of 2.0-10.0 ng/ml, the correlation was reduced to 0.923; in the 2.0-6.0 ng/ml range, it was further reduced to 0.852. The slope for the entire range was 0.948; however, in the 2.0- to 10.0-ng/ml range, it was 0.894; in the 2.0- to 6.0-ng/ml range, the slope was 0.815. Using PSA cutoffs of 4.0, 5.0, and 6.0 ng/ml, significant decrease in abnormal PSA values in men with cancer was observed with the IMx compared with Tandem. These data suggest that the IMx and the Tandem PSA assays are not equivalent, and in most patients a lower value is realized with the IMx assay. This bias appears to be greater in men with prostate cancer. Clinicians must be aware which assay their patients are being tested with, and laboratory technicians should run internal standards to ensure lack of significant intralot variability and consistency over time.

Hepatitis C--associated glomerular disease in liver transplant recipients

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection may be associated with extrahepatic illness including renal disease. We investigated the clinical and virological characteristics of three patients who developed a mesangial proliferative and sclerosing glomerulopathy alone or in association with membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis after liver transplantation for end-stage liver disease secondary to HCV infection. Using polymerase chain reaction technology and the IgM RIBA assay, viral load, genotype and IgM antibody response to HCV in the setting of glomerulonephritis was evaluated. Within 1 year of transplantation, the patients showed decreased renal function, proteinuria and recurrent hepatitis C liver disease. Likewise, HCV viral load increased following transplantation, whereas the viral genotypes remained unchanged. Although the first patient presented with classic type II cryoglobulinemia in association with glomerulonephritis, the second patient developed an IgM directed specifically against the hepatitis C core antigen. The third patient developed a low-titered IgM directed against the hepatitis C core antigen with rheumatoid factor activity but without cryoglobulinemia. All of the patients show IgM in glomerular capillary walls by biopsy. One patient has shown a clinical response to interferon (IFN) alfa-2b therapy without evidence of hepatic allograft rejection. The second and third patients have not responded to IFN or developed hepatic rejection. This study suggests that HCV-associated glomerulonephritis may complicate liver transplantation in conjunction with the production of increased amounts of IgM of variable specificity. The posttransplant setting may provide a unique situation in which to investigate the specific requirements for the onset of renal disease.

Glomerulonephritis with anti-glomerular basement membrane antibody during pregnancy: potential role of the placenta in amelioration of disease

A case of rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis with glomerular deposition of anti-glomerular basement membrane (anti-GBM) antibody during pregnancy is described. Development of precipitous renal failure postpartum raised the possibility that the placenta may have served as an adsorptive surface for the autoantibody, thereby ameliorating its manifestations antepartum. Sera from the patient obtained during pregnancy contained low titers of anti-GBM immunoglobulin G. No antibody was identified in the serum from the healthy infant. Additional studies of this patient's sera, as well as sera from other patients with documented anti-GBM antibody-mediated glomerulonephritis, demonstrated that binding of anti-GBM antibody to placental membranes can occur, although it appears weaker than binding to basement membranes in renal glomeruli. We postulate that the patient's accelerated decline in renal function postpartum may have been due to removal of the ameliorating influence of the placenta.

A broadened spectrum of juvenile myositis. Myositis-specific autoantibodies in children

OBJECTIVE

Myositis-specific autoantibodies (MSA) define relatively homogeneous clinical and immunogenetic patient groups in adults with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM). This study explores the usefulness of MSA in defining groups of children with myositis.

METHODS

Sera from 77 children with myositis and other connective tissue diseases were tested for MSA by immunoprecipitation and immunodiffusion. Clinical data were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

The MSA anti-PL-12 (alanyl-transfer RNA synthetase), anti-Jo-1 (histidyl-tRNA synthetase), anti-signal recognition particle, and anti-Mi-2 were each identified in the sera of 12 children with IIM. In these patients, the clinical manifestations, disease courses, and responses to therapy closely resembled those in adults with the same autoantibodies.

CONCLUSION

These observations suggest that the clinical syndromes defined by particular MSA are similar in children and adults with IIM. By defining similar clinical syndromes in children who have MSA, this study provides a basis for future studies of MSA in the idiopathic inflammatory myopathies of childhood, which may be useful in predicting the clinical courses of a subset of these patients and improving their therapy.

Cytoplasmic tutor: a program for teaching interpretation of a microscope-based laboratory test

Antibodies to cytoplasmic antigens can be identified with a microscope-based indirect immunofluorescence assay that uses a mouse stomach-kidney substrate. The antibodies are diagnostic markers in chronic active hepatitis, primary biliary cirrhosis, pernicious anemia, and other autoimmune diseases. We describe the development and features of an image-based computer program for teaching medical technologists and other health care workers the proper interpretation of cytoplasmic fluorescence staining patterns. The program, called Cytoplasmic Tutor, is written in Microsoft Visual Basic for Windows and runs on an 80486 microcomputer. it is based on a library of digital images, with key features described by overlays of text. The images were collected and processed with a computer-based fluorescence video microscopy system assembled in our laboratory.

Risk factors for repeatedly reactive HIV-1 EIA and indeterminate western blots. A population-based case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Causes of indeterminate results of Western blot testing (IWB) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 include seroconversion, HIV-2 cross-reactivity, and autoimmune disease, but most IWB results remain unexplained. This case-control study assessed risk factors for IWB results, including early HIV infection, other retroviral infection, autoantibodies, and other medical conditions.

DESIGN

Prospective study to determine HIV seroconversion rate, with a case-control design to assess other risk factors for IWB. Cases (persons with one or more repeatedly reactive HIV-1 enzyme immunoassay with IWB), their current sexual partners, and controls (persons with negative enzyme immunoassay and Western blot results) were recruited from blood banks, health department and prenatal clinics, and private providers in Washington and Oregon.

RESULTS

Of 244 cases enrolled, 206 were followed up for 6 months or longer, and six (3.0%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7% to 5.3%) with recent HIV risk behaviors seroconverted. The Western blot banding patterns differed among groups; cases usually had p17 or p24 bands, while controls and cases' sexual partners usually had polymerase bands. Conditional logistic regression indicated that independent risk factors for IWB among male cases and controls were a tetanus booster in the past 2 years (odds ratio, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.2 to 8.6) and sexual contact with a prostitute (odds ratio, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.0 to 9.5). Independent risk factors for women were parity (odds ratio, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.4) and autoantibodies, either rheumatoid factor or antinuclear antibodies (odds ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.03 to 5.6). No cross-reactivity was detected with HIV-2, human T-lymphotrophic virus type 1, feline immunodeficiency or feline leukemia, or bovine immunodeficiency viruses.

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of persons with reactive HIV-1 enzyme immunoassays and IWB should include an assessment of HIV risk and other possible risk factors, such as alloimmunization (ie, parity or recent immunization) or autoantibodies (ie, antinuclear antibodies and rheumatoid factor). The relationship of IWB among men who reported sex with prostitutes is intriguing and warrants further study.

Application of neural networks to the classification of giant cell arteritis

OBJECTIVE

Neural networks are a group of computer-based pattern recognition methods that have recently been applied to clinical diagnosis and classification. In this study, we applied one type of neural network, the backpropagation network, to the diagnostic classification of giant cell arteritis (GCA).

METHODS

The analysis was performed on the 807 cases in the vasculitis database of the American College of Rheumatology. Classification was based on the 8 clinical criteria previously used for classification of this data set: 1) age > or = 50 years, 2) new localized headache, 3) temporal artery tenderness or decrease in temporal artery pulse, 4) polymyalgia rheumatica, 5) abnormal result on artery biopsy, 6) erythrocyte sedimentation rate > or = 50 mm/hour, 7) scalp tenderness or nodules, and 8) claudication of the jaw, of the tongue, or on swallowing. To avoid overtraining, network training was terminated when the generalization error reached a minimum. True cross-validation classification rates were obtained.

RESULTS

Neural networks correctly classified 94.4% of the GCA cases (n = 214) and 91.9% of the other vasculitis cases (n = 593). In comparison, classification trees correctly classified 91.6% of the GCA cases and 93.4% of the other vasculitis cases. Neural nets and classification trees were compared by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The ROC curves for the two methods crossed, indicating that the better classification method depended on the choice of decision threshold. At a decision threshold that gave equal costs to percentage increases in false-positive and false-negative results, the methods were not significantly different in their performance (P = 0.45).

CONCLUSION

Neural networks are a potentially useful method for developing diagnostic classification rules from clinical data.

Rheumatoid factor, HLA-DR4, and allelic variants of DRB1 in women with recent-onset rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationship of rheumatoid factor (RF) to HLA-DR4 and alleles of DRB1 in women with recent-onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

Incident cases of RA were identified as part of a prospective, population-based case-control study. HLA typing was completed for 246 cases meeting criteria for definite or classic RA.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-six patients (55%) were positive for DR4, and 130 (53%) were RF positive. DR4 was found to be strongly associated with seropositivity (odds ratio 4.1, P < 0.0001). Patients with a shorter interval from RA onset to RF testing had a higher frequency of seropositivity than those with a longer interval (< or = 18 months 60%, > 18 months 33%). Further analysis of patients who had RF testing within 18 months of RA onset showed that the frequency of seropositivity was significantly greater among DR4-positive patients who had the shared sequence stretch of DR beta 1 associated with RA susceptibility (76% RF positive) than among DR1-positive patients who had this sequence (45% RF positive) (odds ratio 3.8, P = 0.01). Moreover, the frequency of seropositivity among DR1-positive patients with the sequence did not differ from that among all patients without the shared sequence (47%) (odds ratio 0.9, P = 0.8).

CONCLUSION

HLA-DR4 is strongly associated with seropositivity in women with recent-onset RA. The amino acid sequence of DR beta 1 that is associated with susceptibility to RA and is shared between DR4 and DR1 appears not to be the primary determinant of seropositivity in these women.

Characteristics of women in preterm labor associated with elevated C-reactive protein levels

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate clinical, microbiologic, and histologic findings associated with elevated C-reactive protein levels among women in preterm labor or with preterm premature rupture of the membranes (PROM).

METHODS

Obstetric data, serum C-reactive protein levels, and amniotic fluid (AF) and chorioamniotic membrane cultures and histology were obtained on 203 women presenting between 22-34 weeks' gestation in preterm labor or with PROM.

RESULTS

Women with C-reactive protein greater than 1.5 mg/dL were more likely to deliver within 7 days of enrollment (54 of 68, 79%) than were women with normal C-reactive protein levels (45 of 135, 33%) (P < .001). The median C-reactive protein levels and association with rapid delivery did not differ between women with intact versus ruptured membranes. Elevated C-reactive protein levels were associated with a positive AF culture among women in preterm labor with intact membranes. To control for confounding by a long interval to delivery, only the group delivering within 7 days was considered for evaluation of C-reactive protein levels and placental and infant outcome. Among women delivering within 7 days, elevated C-reactive protein was associated with the development of clinical chorioamnionitis and with infant death before hospital discharge, but not with a positive membrane culture or histologic chorioamnionitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated C-reactive protein appears to be associated with AF infection, delivery within 7 days of admission, and infant death among women delivering preterm, but not with membrane infection or inflammation. Elevated C-reactive protein may be helpful in determining the need for AF culture and in targeting studies of antibiotic therapy among women in preterm labor or with preterm PROM.

Humoral and cellular immune response of adults from northeastern Brazil with chronic Trypanosoma cruzi infection: depressed cellular immune response to T. cruzi antigen among Chagas' disease patients with symptomatic versus indeterminate infection

Infection with Trypanosoma cruzi can cause chronic Chagas' disease manifestations (cardiac, gastrointestinal), although most persons with chronic infection have no ill effects (indeterminate form). Cell-mediated immunity (CMI) responses are believed to be intrinsically important in the containment of T. cruzi and in the pathogenesis of Chagas' disease. Humoral and CMI responses were investigated in 70 T. cruzi-infected persons from an endemic area in northeastern Brazil and in 30 uninfected controls. An epidemiologic survey, physical examination, and blood evaluation were conducted for each subject. The 70 chronically infected persons were subclassified into three clinical groups: indeterminate, cardiac, and gastrointestinal. Serum was tested for antibodies to T. cruzi by hemagglutination assay, indirect immunofluorescent assay, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and for autoantibodies to tubulin. Serum levels of soluble interleukin-2 receptor (sIL-2R), albumin, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were also measured to assess one parameter each of immunosuppression, nutritional status, and inflammation. The proliferative response of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) to T. cruzi antigens, mitogen (phytohemagglutinin), and antigen-free controls was also assessed. Our data did not reveal any significant differences in serum levels of antibodies to T. cruzi, antibodies to tubulin, albumin, CRP, or sIL-2R among the subgroups of infected individuals. The data demonstrate differences in CMI responses. Trypanosoma cruzi trypomastigote lysate stimulated proliferation of PBMC from infected persons, but not uninfected controls. Patients with symptomatic Chagas' disease (cardiac and gastrointestinal groups) had decreased cellular responses to T. cruzi lysate (median proliferation index [PI] = 3), compared with those in the indeterminate group (median PI = 9; P < 0.005). Further investigations of the mechanism of this reduced CMI response in those with chronic disease may yield insights into the pathogenesis of Chagas' disease.

Overtraining in neural networks that interpret clinical data

Backpropagation neural networks are a computer-based pattern-recognition method that has been applied to the interpretation of clinical data. Unlike rule-based pattern recognition, backpropagation networks learn by being repetitively trained with examples of the patterns to be differentiated. We describe and analyze the phenomenon of overtraining in backpropagation networks. Overtraining refers to the reduction in generalization ability that can occur as networks are trained. The clinical application we used was the differentiation of giant cell arteritis (GCA) from other forms of vasculitis (OTH) based on results for 807 patients (593 OTH, 214 GCA) and eight clinical predictor variables. The 807 cases were randomly assigned to either a training set with 404 cases or to a cross-validation set with the remaining 403 cases. The cross-validation set was used to monitor generalization during training. Results were obtained for eight networks, each derived from a different random assignment of the 807 cases. Training error monotonically decreased during training. In contrast, the cross-validation error usually reached a minimum early in training while the training error was still decreasing. Training beyond the minimum cross-validation error was associated with an increased cross-validation error. The shape of the cross-validation error curve and the point during training corresponding to the minimum cross-validation error varied with the composition of the data sets and the training conditions. The study indicates that training error is not a reliable indicator of a network's ability to generalize. To find the point during training when a network generalizes best, one must monitor cross-validation error separately.

Screening for prostatic carcinoma with prostate specific antigen: results of the second year

Prostate specific antigen (PSA) has been shown to be useful alone and in conjunction with other tests in the diagnosis of prostatic carcinoma. Previously, we demonstrated that a PSA level of greater than 4.0 ng./ml. as the initial diagnostic test in a screening population results in a detection rate of 2.6 and positive predictive value of 30.5. In the present investigation we performed digital rectal examination and transrectal ultrasound as well as ultrasound guided biopsy in men who in the initial year of the screening study had a PSA level of less than 4.0 ng./ml. but on evaluation 1 year later they had a 20% increase in the PSA level. A total of 701 subjects returned for year 2 of the protocol and 260 (37.1%) demonstrated more than a 20% increase in PSA value. Biopsy was performed in 82 men and carcinoma was detected in 14 (17.1%). Of the men with carcinoma 12 had a second year PSA level of less than 4.0 ng./ml. Radical prostatectomy was performed in 8 patients, 7 of whom had organ confined disease or tumor penetrating the capsule with negative margins. We conclude that a 20% annual change in PSA level may identify men at significant risk for prostatic carcinoma and that patients so identified have favorable pathological stage.