Seasonal variations of plasma fibrinogen and factor VII activity in the elderly: winter infections and death from cardiovascular disease

Global and Regional Cardiovascular Mortality Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperatures Over Time

BACKGROUND

The association between nonoptimal temperatures and cardiovascular mortality risk is recognized. However, a comprehensive global assessment of this burden is lacking.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to assess global cardiovascular mortality burden attributable to nonoptimal temperatures and investigate spatiotemporal trends.

METHODS

Using daily cardiovascular deaths and temperature data from 32 countries, a 3-stage analytical approach was applied. First, location-specific temperature-mortality associations were estimated, considering nonlinearity and delayed effects. Second, a multivariate meta-regression model was developed between location-specific effect estimates and 5 meta-predictors. Third, cardiovascular deaths associated with nonoptimal, cold, and hot temperatures for each global grid (55 km × 55 km resolution) were estimated, and temporal trends from 2000 to 2019 were explored.

RESULTS

Globally, 1,801,513 (95% empirical CI: 1,526,632-2,202,831) annual cardiovascular deaths were associated with nonoptimal temperatures, constituting 8.86% (95% empirical CI: 7.51%-12.32%) of total cardiovascular mortality corresponding to 26 deaths per 100,000 population. Cold-related deaths accounted for 8.20% (95% empirical CI: 6.74%-11.57%), whereas heat-related deaths accounted for 0.66% (95% empirical CI: 0.49%-0.98%). The mortality burden varied significantly across regions, with the highest excess mortality rates observed in Central Asia and Eastern Europe. From 2000 to 2019, cold-related excess death ratios decreased, while heat-related ratios increased, resulting in an overall decline in temperature-related deaths. Southeastern Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Oceania observed the greatest reduction, while Southern Asia experienced an increase. The Americas and several regions in Asia and Europe displayed fluctuating temporal patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonoptimal temperatures substantially contribute to cardiovascular mortality, with heterogeneous spatiotemporal patterns. Effective mitigation and adaptation strategies are crucial, especially given the increasing heat-related cardiovascular deaths amid climate change.

Age-dependent seasonality in the incidence of stroke: A 21-year population-based study

INTRODUCTION

Seasonality in the incidence of stroke has been examined in numerous studies, yet data on whether it differs with age are limited. To fill this gap, we utilized a largescale dataset from Israel.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrieved data of all hospitalizations for ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA) and intra cerebral hemorrhage (ICH) from 2000 to 2020. We maintained separate datasets for IS/TIA and ICH, divided into five age groups: 18-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, and 80+. We modeled the monthly incidence using a generalized additive model. The seasonal effect was defined by the rate ratio (RR) of each month compared to the annual mean.

RESULTS

The analysis included 317,586 and 23,789 events of IS/TIA and ICH respectively. We found an interaction between age and seasonality, accounting for a phase shift with age in the seasonal pattern of IS/TIA incidence. For cases under 70 years, the peak was during summertime and the RRs increased with decreasing age, reaching 1.11 (95% CI 1.09-1.13) at the youngest age group. In contrast, among the elderly, a winter peak was observed and the RRs increased with age to 1.07 (95% CI 1.06-1.08) at the oldest age group. For ICH, a winter/autumn peak was identified and the RRs increased with age to 1.20 (95% CI 1.16-1.24).

CONCLUSIONS

Our finding of age-dependent seasonal patterns in the occurrence of stroke, suggests closer monitoring of cardiovascular risk factors during wintertime among elderly individuals. The mechanism governing the seasonal phase shift with age in IS/TIA incidence, requires further investigation.

Seasonal Variations in Stroke and a Comparison of the Predictors of Unfavorable Outcomes among Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke and Cardioembolic Stroke

We investigated the seasonal variations in stroke in 4040 retrospectively enrolled patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) admitted between January 2011 and December 2022, particularly those with cardioembolic (CE) stroke, and compared predictors of unfavorable outcomes between AIS patients and CE stroke patients. The classification of stroke subtypes was based on the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment. Stroke occurrence was stratified by seasons and weekdays or holidays. Of all AIS cases, 18% were of CE stroke. Of all five ischemic stroke subtypes, CE stroke patients were the oldest; received the most thrombolysis and thrombectomy; had the highest initial National Institutes of Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and discharge modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores; and had the highest rate of in-hospital complications, unfavorable outcomes (mRS > 2), and mortality. The highest CE stroke prevalence was noted in patients aged ≥ 85 years (30.9%); moreover, CE stroke prevalence increased from 14.9% in summer to 23.0% in winter. The main predictors of death in patients with CE stroke were age > 86 years, heart rate > 79 beats/min, initial NIHSS score > 16, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 6.4, glucose > 159 mg/dL, cancer history, in-hospital complications, and neurological deterioration (ND). The three most dominant factors influencing death, noted in not only patients with AIS but also those with CE stroke, are high initial NIHSS score, ND, and high NLR. We selected the most significant factors to establish nomograms for predicting fatal outcomes. Effective heart rhythm monitoring, particularly in older patients and during winter, may help develop stroke prevention strategies and facilitate early AF detection.

Seasonal Variation in Sudden Cardiac Death: Insights from a Large United Kingdom Registry

BACKGROUND

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is relatively common and may occur in apparently healthy individuals. The role of seasonal variation as a risk factor for SCD is poorly understood. The aim of this study was to investigate whether SCD exhibits a predilection for specific seasons.

METHODS

We reviewed a database of 4751 cases of SCD (mean age 38 ± 17 years) referred to our Center for Cardiac Pathology at St George's University of London between 2000 and 2018. Clinical information was obtained from referring coroners who were asked to complete a detailed questionnaire. All cases underwent macroscopic and histological evaluation of the heart, by expert cardiac pathologists.

RESULTS

SCD was more common during winter (26%) and rarer during summer (24%), p = 0.161. Significant seasonal variation was not observed among cases of sudden arrhythmic death syndrome (SADS, 2910 cases) in which the heart is structurally normal. In contrast, a significant difference in seasonal distribution among decedents exhibiting cardiac structural abnormalities at the post-mortem examination (n = 1841) was observed. In this subgroup, SCDs occurred more frequently during winter (27 %) compared to summer (22%) (p = 0.007). In cases diagnosed with a myocardial disease (n = 1399), SCD was most common during the winter (27%) and least common during the summer (22%) (p = 0.027).

CONCLUSIONS

While SADS occurs throughout the year with no seasonal variation, SCD due to structural heart disease appears to be more common during the winter. Bio-meteorological factors may be potential triggers of SCD in individuals with an underlying structural cardiac abnormality.

The comparison of mortality burden between exposure to dry-cold events and wet-cold events: A nationwide study in China

BACKGROUND

Most previous studies have focused on the health effect of temperature or humidity, and few studies have explored the combined health effects of exposure to temperature and humidity. This study aims to estimate the relationship between humidity-cold events and mortality, and then to compare the mortality burden between exposure to dry-cold events and wet-cold events, and finally to explore whether there was an additive interaction of temperature and humidity on mortality.

METHODS

In the study, Daily mortality data during 2006-2017 were collected from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in China, and daily mean temperature and daily mean relative humidity data from 698 weather stations in China were obtained from the China Meteorological Data Sharing Service system. We first employed time-series design with a distributed lag nonlinear model and a multivariate meta-analysis model to examine the association between humidity-cold events with mortality.

RESULTS

We found that humidity-cold events significantly increased mortality risk, and the effect of wet-cold events (RR:1.24, 95%CI:1.20,1.29) was higher than that of dry-cold events (RR:1.14, 95%CI:1.10,1.18). Dry-cold events and wet-cold events accounted for 2.41 % and 2.99 % excess deaths, respectively with higher burden for the elderly ≥85 years old, Central China and CVD. In addition, there is a synergistic additive interaction between low temperature and high humidity in winter.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that humidity-cold events significantly increased mortality risk, and the effect of wet-cold events was higher than that of dry-cold events.

Effects of temperature and humidity on cerebrovascular disease hospitalization in a super-aging society

Weather conditions influence the incidence of cardiovascular disease. However, few studies have investigated the association between weather temperature and humidity and cerebrovascular disease hospitalizations in a super-aging society. We included 606,807 consecutive patients with cerebrovascular disease admitted to Japanese acute-care hospitals between 2015 and 2019. The primary outcome was the number of cerebrovascular disease hospitalizations per day. Multilevel mixed-effects linear regression models were used to estimate the association of mean temperature and humidity, 1 day before hospital admission, with cerebrovascular disease hospitalizations, after adjusting for air pollution, hospital, and patient demographics. Lower mean temperatures and humidity < 70% or humidity ≧ 70% are associated with an increased incidence of cerebrovascular disease hospitalization (coefficient, - 1.442 [- 1.473 to - 1.411] per °C, p < 0.001, coefficient, - 0.084 [- 0.112 to - 0.056] per%, p < 0.001, and coefficient, 0.136 [0.103 to 0.168] per %, p < 0.001, respectively). Lower mean temperatures and extremely lower or higher humidity are associated with an increased incidence of cerebrovascular disease hospitalization in a super-aging society.

Seasonal variations in renal biopsy numbers and primary glomerular disease features based on the Japan renal biopsy registry

We analyzed the seasonal variations in the number of renal biopsies and clinical characteristics of primary glomerular disease in Japan using the Japan Renal Biopsy Registry (J-RBR). We retrospectively collected clinical and pathological data of patients with primary glomerular disease who were registered in the J-RBR between 2007 and 2018. Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), minimal change nephrotic syndrome (MCNS), membranous nephropathy (MN), and postinfectious acute glomerulonephritis (PIAGN) constituted the four major glomerular disorders included in this study (total, 13,989; IgAN, 9121; MCNS, 2298; MN, 2447; and PIAGN, 123). The number of patients with IgAN or MCNS was higher during summer. However, no overt seasonal variations were observed in patients with MN or PIAGN. Subgroup analyses suggested that in the patients with IgAN, more renal biopsies of severe cases were performed during winter, probably owing to age and blood pressure. Furthermore, more renal biopsies of severe cases were performed during spring and winter in patients with MCNS even after adjusting for the abovementioned host factors. This study suggests that seasonal factors influence the decision to perform renal biopsy as well as the pathogenesis of primary glomerular disease. Thus, our findings may provide important insights regarding the pathophysiology of primary glomerular disease.

Effects of long-term average temperature on cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in an American elderly population

BACKGROUND

Short-term exposure to high or low temperatures is associated with increased mortality and morbidity. Less is known about effects of long-term exposure to high or low temperatures. Prolonged exposure to high or low temperatures might contribute to pathophysiological mechanisms, thereby influencing the development of diseases. Our aim was to evaluate associations of long-term temperature exposure with cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations.

METHODS

We constructed an open cohort consisting of all fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries, aged ≥65, living in the contiguous US from 2000 through 2016 (∼61.6 million individuals). We used data from the 4 km Gridded Surface Meteorological dataset to assess the summer (June-August) and winter (December-February) average daily maximum temperature for each year for each zip code. Cox-equivalent Poisson models were used to estimate associations with first CVD hospitalization, after adjustment for potential confounders. We performed stratified analyses to assess potential effect modification by sex, age, race, Medicaid eligibility and relative humidity.

RESULTS

Higher summer average and lower winter average temperatures were associated with an increased risk of CVD hospitalization. We found a HR of 1.068 (95% CI: 1.063, 1.074) per IQR increase (5.2 °C) for summer average temperature and a HR of 1.022 (95% CI: 1.017, 1.028) per IQR decrease (11.7 °C) for winter average temperature. Positive associations of higher summer average temperatures were strongest for individuals aged <75 years, Medicaid eligible, and White individuals. Positive associations of lower winter average temperatures were strongest for individuals aged <75 years and Black individuals, and individuals living in low relative humidity areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Living in areas with high summer average temperatures or low winter average temperatures could increase the risk of CVD hospitalizations. The magnitude of the associations of summer and winter average temperatures differs by demographics and relative humidity levels.

The impact of winter warming and more frequent icing events on reindeer herder occupational safety, health, and wellbeing

BACKGROUND

Northern Finland, like the rest of the Arctic, has experienced increases in mean annual temperature, the number of winter rains, the number of thaw-freeze days, the number of extremely warm weather events, and a shortened snow season. These changes have produced numerous problems for reindeer herders whose livelihoods rely on a healthy ecosystem with predictable weather patterns.

METHODS

We performed a scoping literature review to assess how climate change induced extreme weather has negatively impacted reindeer herding as well as the health and wellbeing of reindeer herders.

RESULTS

Late snow cover negatively impacts reindeer herding through a more widely dispersed herd that increases the work to gather reindeer, leads to reduced calf weight, and results in less meat for sale. This increased labor, especially in extreme cold conditions, can also negatively impact reindeer herder health. Icing due to thaw-freeze and rain-on-snow events makes it impossible for reindeer to dig through the snow to access lichens, increasing the need for reindeer herders to keep the herd in winter enclosures and provide supplemental feed.

CONCLUSION

Climate change induced weather events such as late snow cover and icing increase reindeer herder efforts and expenses, put their livelihood at risk, and put their health at risk.

Low ambient temperature might trigger the symptom onset of pulmonary embolism: A nationwide case-crossover study at hourly level in China

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is an important cause of death and its seasonality has long been observed. Very few epidemiological studies have explored the potential role of ambient temperature in PE symptom onset, especially at the hourly level.

METHODS

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study among 17,903 PE patients with hourly onset of symptom from 1590 hospitals across China between January 2015 and September 2020. Conditional logistic regression model combined with distributed lag non-linear models were used to explore the associations between hourly ambient temperature and PE symptom onset. The attributable fractions due to non-optimum temperature were calculated.

RESULTS

The exposure-response relationship curve was inverse and almost linear. Lower temperature was significantly associated with higher risk of PE symptom onset when temperature was below 18 °C. This risk occurred immediately at the same hour, attenuated thereafter, and became nonsignificant at approximately 72 h after exposure. Compared with the referent temperature (P₉₉, 34.1 °C), the odds ratio of PE symptom onset associated with extremely low temperature (P₁, -16.1 °C) over lag 0-72 h was 1.63 (95%CI: 1.23, 2.16). Low temperature may account for 16.19 % of the symptom onset nationally with higher proportion in the south of China. The effects were stronger in older adults, males, and cold seasons.

CONCLUSIONS

We provided the first-hand robust evidence that transient exposure (at the hourly level) to low temperature might trigger the symptom onset of PE and constitute a considerable burden for PE patients. Targeted protections and health education are needed for susceptible populations.

Associations of ambient temperature with mortality for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and the modification effects of greenness in Shandong Province, China

BACKGROUND

Evidence is scant on the relative and attributable contributions of ambient temperature on stroke subtypes mortality. Few studies have examined modification effects of multiple greenness indicators on such contributions, especially in China. We quantified the associations between ambient temperature and overall, ischemic, and hemorrhagic stroke mortality; further examined whether the associations were modified by greenness.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter time-series analysis from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2019. we adopted a distributed lag non-linear model to evaluate county-specific temperature-stroke mortality associations. We then applied a random-effects meta-analysis to pool county-specific effects. Attributable mortality was calculated for cold and heat, defined as temperatures below and above the minimum mortality temperature (MMT). Finally, We conducted a multivariate meta-regression to determine associations between greenness and stroke mortality risks for cold and heat, using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) as quantitative indicators of greenness exposure.

RESULTS

In the study period, 138,749 deaths from total stroke were reported: 86,873 ischemic and 51,876 hemorrhagic stroke. We observed significant W-shaped relationships between temperature and stroke mortality, with substantial differences among counties and regions. With MMT as the temperature threshold, 17.16 % (95 % empirical CI, 13.38 %-19.75 %) of overall, 20.05 % (95 % eCI, 16.46 %-22.70 %) of ischemic, and 12.55 % (95 % eCI, 5.59 %-16.24 %) of hemorrhagic stroke mortality were attributable to non-optimum temperature (combining cold and heat), more mortality was caused by cold (14.94 %; 95 % eCI, 11.57 %-17.34 %) than by heat (2.22 %; 95 % eCI, 1.54 %-2.72 %). Higher levels of NDVI, SAVI and EVI were related to mitigated effects of non-optimum temperatures-especially heat.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to non-optimum temperatures aggravated stroke mortality risks; increasing greenness could alleviate that risks. This evidence has important implications for local communities in developing adaptive strategies to minimize the health consequences of adverse temperatures.

Temperature-related chest pain presentations and future projections with climate change

BACKGROUND

Climate change has led to increased interest in studying adverse health effects relating to ambient temperatures. It is unclear whether incident chest pain is associated with non-optimal temperatures and how chest pain presentation rates might be affected by climate change.

METHODS

The study included ambulance data of chest pain presentations in Melbourne, Australia from 1/1/2015 to 30/6/2019 with linkage to hospital and emergency discharge diagnosis data. A time series quasi-Poisson regression with a distributed lag nonlinear model was fitted to assess the temperature-chest pain presentation associations overall and according to age, sex, socioeconomic status, and event location subgroups, with adjustment for season, day of the week and long-term trend. Future excess chest pain presentations associated with cold and heat were projected under six general circulation models under medium and high emission scenarios.

RESULTS

In 206,789 chest pain presentations, mean (SD) age was 61.2 (18.9) years and 50.3 % were female. Significant heat- and cold-related increased risk of chest pain presentations were observed for mean air temperatures above and below 20.8 °C, respectively. Excess chest pain presentations related to heat were observed in all subgroups, but appeared to be attenuated for older patients (≥70 years), patients of higher socioeconomic status (SES), and patients developing chest pain at home. We projected increases in heat-related chest pain presentations with climate change under both medium- and high-emission scenarios, which are offset by decreases in chest pain presentations related to cold temperatures.

CONCLUSIONS

Heat- and cold- exposure appear to increase the risk of chest pain presentations, especially among younger patients and patients of lower SES. This will have important implications with climate change modelling of chest pain, in particular highlighting the importance of risk mitigation strategies to minimise adverse health impacts on hotter days.

Seasonality of Deaths Due to Heart Diseases among Cancer Patients

Background and Objectives: Cancer patients are at increased short- and long-term risk of cardiac toxicity and mortality. It is well-known that cardiac morbidity and mortality follows a seasonal pattern. Here we address the question of whether heart disease-related fatalities among cancer patients also follow a seasonal pattern. Materials and Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of seasonality of deaths due to heart diseases (n = 503,243) in patients with newly diagnosed cancer reported during the period from 1975 to 2016 in the US's largest cancer registry-the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Seasonality was assessed through a classical cosinor model assuming a single annual peak. Results: We identified a significant seasonal peak in the first half of November. A peak with identical features was for all subgroups of patients defined based on demographic characteristics. This was also the case when analysis was performed on subgroups defined by the type of malignancy. Only patients with acute leukemias, pancreatic cancer and nervous system malignancies did not have a seasonal pattern in heart disease-related fatalities. Conclusion: the rate of heart disease-related fatalities after cancer diagnosis follows a seasonal pattern similar to that observed for the general population, albeit with an earlier peak in November. This suggests that close monitoring of the cardiovascular system in cancer survivors must be particularly active from late autumn and during the entire winter period.

Seasonal changes in proportion of cardiac surgeries associated with diabetes, smoking and elderly age

Background

Seasonal variations in the ambient temperature may affect the exacerbation of cardiovascular diseases. Our primary objective was to evaluate the seasonality of the monthly proportion of cardiac surgeries associated with diabetes, smoking and/or elderly age at a tertiary-care university hospital in East-Central Europe with a temperate climate zone. As a secondary objective, we also assessed whether additional factors affecting small blood vessels (smoking, aging, obesity) modulate the seasonal variability of diabetes.

Methods

Medical records were analyzed for 9838 consecutive adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery in 2007–2018. Individual seasonal variations of diabetes, smoking, and elderly patients were analyzed monthly, along with the potential risk factors for cardiovascular complication. We also characterized whether pairwise coexistence of diabetes, smoking, and elderly age augments or blunts the seasonal variations.

Results

Seasonal variations in the monthly proportion of cardiac surgeries associated with diabetes, smoking and/or elderly age were observed. The proportion of cardiac surgeries of non-elderly and smoking patients with diabetes peaked in winter (amplitude of change as [peak-nadir]/nadir: 19.2%, p<0.02), which was associated with increases in systolic (6.1%, p<0.001) and diastolic blood pressures (4.4%, p<0.05) and serum triglyceride levels (27.1%, p<0.005). However, heart surgery in elderly patients without diabetes and smoking was most frequently required in summer (52.1%, p<0.001). Concomitant occurrence of diabetes and smoking had an additive effect on the requirement for cardiac surgery (107%, p<0.001), while the simultaneous presence of older age and diabetes or smoking eliminated seasonal variations.

Conclusions

Scheduling regular cardiovascular control in accordance with periodicities in diabetes, elderly, and smoking patients more than once a year may improve patient health and social consequences.

Trial registration

NCT03967639.

Interactive short-term effects of meteorological factors and air pollution on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases

A substantial number of studies have demonstrated the association between air pollution and adverse health effects. However, few studies have explored the potential interactive effects between meteorological factors and air pollution. This study attempted to evaluate the interactive effects between meteorological factors (temperature and relative humidity) and air pollution ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text]) on cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Next, the high-risk population susceptible to air pollution was identified. We collected daily counts of CVD hospitalizations, air pollution, and weather data in Nanning from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2015. Generalized additive models (GAMs) with interaction terms were adopted to estimate the interactive effects of air pollution and meteorological factors on CVD after controlling for seasonality, day of the week, and public holidays. On low-temperature days, an increase of [Formula: see text] in [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text] was associated with increases of 4.31% (2.39%, 6.26%) at lag 2; 2.74% (1.65%, 3.84%) at lag 0-2; and 0.13% (0.02%, 0.23%) at lag 0-3 in CVD hospitalizations, respectively. During low relative humidity days, a [Formula: see text] increment of lag 0-3 exposure was associated with increases of 3.43% (4.61%, 2.67%) and 0.10% (0.04%, 0.15%) for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], respectively. On high relative humidity days, an increase of [Formula: see text] in [Formula: see text] was associated with an increase of 5.86% (1.82%, 10.07%) at lag 0-2 in CVD hospitalizations. Moreover, elderly (≥ 65 years) and female patients were vulnerable to the effects of air pollution. There were interactive effects between air pollutants and meteorological factors on CVD hospitalizations. The risk that [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text] posed to CVD hospitalizations could be significantly enhanced by low temperatures. For [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], CVD hospitalization risk increased in low relative humidity. The effects of [Formula: see text] were enhanced at high relative humidity.

High neutrophil counts before endovascular treatment for acute basilar artery occlusion predict worse outcomes

Background and purpose

Ischemic stroke is related to inflammation. We investigated leukocyte counts, neutrophil counts, and NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio) to explore their prognostic potential and determine if high neutrophil counts before endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) are associated with worse outcomes at 90 days post-EVT.

Methods

Leukocyte and neutrophil counts and NLR were determined in eligible patients from the Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion Study (BASILAR). Patients were divided into four groups according to leukocyte and neutrophil counts and NLR quartiles. The primary outcome was a favorable outcome based on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS: 0–3). The secondary outcome was functional independence (mRS 0–2). The safety outcome was mortality, and an unfavorable outcome was mRS 4–6. Successful reperfusion was mTICI (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction) of 2b or 3. All the data were collected within 90 days after EVT.

Results

We enrolled 586 patients in the study. The leukocyte and neutrophil counts and NLR were significantly associated with clinical outcomes in all patients though no effects were seen in some intervals. Of these three parameters, the neutrophil count had the most significant impact, negatively affecting the outcome. The findings were similar in patients who were successfully recanalized.

Conclusion

Higher neutrophil counts predicted worse clinical outcomes 90 days after EVT. This finding supports the deleterious role of inflammation in patients with acute BAO despite EVT or successful recanalization.

Early risk of acute myocardial infarction following hospitalization for severe influenza infection in the middle-aged population of Hong Kong

Introduction

Despite evidence suggesting an association between influenza infection and increased risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the older adult population (aged 65 years or above), little is known about its near-term risks in middle-aged adults (aged 45 to 64 years). This study aims to estimate the risks of and association between severe influenza infection requiring hospitalization and subsequent AMI within 12 months in middle-aged adults.

Method

This is a retrospective case-control analysis of territorywide registry data of people aged 45 to 64 years admitting from up to 43 public hospitals in Hong Kong during a 20-year period from January 1997 to December 2017. The exposure was defined as severe influenza infection documented as the principal diagnosis using International Classification of Diseases codes and non-exposure as hospitalization for orthopedic surgery. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk of subsequent hospitalization for AMI within 12 months following the exposure.

Results

Among 30,657 middle-aged adults with an indexed hospitalization, 8,840 (28.8%) had an influenza-associated hospitalization. 81 (0.92%) were subsequently rehospitalized with AMI within 12 months after the indexed hospitalization. Compared with the control group, the risk of subsequent hospitalization for AMI was significantly increased (odds ratio [OR]: 2.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.64–3.92, p<0.001). The association remained significant even after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted OR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.11–2.95, p = 0.02). Patients with a history of hypertension, but not those with diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia or atrial fibrillation/flutter, were at increased risk (adjusted OR: 5.01, 95% CI: 2.93–8.56, p<0.001).

Conclusion

Subsequent hospitalization for AMI within 12 months following an indexed respiratory hospitalization for severe influenza increased nearly two-fold compared with the non-cardiopulmonary, non-exposure control. Recommendation of influenza vaccination extending to middle-aged adult population may be justified for the small but significant increased near-term risk of AMI.

Inverse Association of Skin Temperature With Ambulatory Blood Pressure and the Mediation of Skin Temperature in Blood Pressure Responses to Ambient Temperature

BACKGROUND

The inverse association between ambient temperature and blood pressure (BP) has been investigated in the context of excess cardiovascular mortality in winter. However, the role of skin temperature (ST), which reflects our external and internal thermal environments, in BP regulation remains unclear. Therefore, we examined the association between ST and ambulatory BP and the mediation of ST in BP responses to ambient temperature in real-life settings.

METHODS

We conducted a longitudinal analysis using repeated measurements of ambulatory BP and ST for 48 hours (30 711 daytime readings and 17 382 nighttime readings) among 584 older adults between October and March (2012-2014). Linear mixed-effect models were used to examine the association of distal (mean of wrist and ankle) and proximal (abdomen) ST with systolic BP. The mediation of ST in BP responses to ambient temperature was examined using path analysis.

RESULTS

Distal and proximal STs were significantly associated with systolic BP during the daytime (regression coefficients: -4.27 mm Hg [95% CI, -4.58 to -3.96] and -2.74 mm Hg [95% CI, -3.14 to -2.56] per SD of ST, respectively), independent of potential confounders. The significant associations also existed during nighttime. The mediation effect of distal ST was 7.1 times higher than that of proximal ST during daytime, while those of distal and proximal STs during nighttime were almost identical.

CONCLUSIONS

ST, especially in distal regions, was inversely associated with ambulatory BP. Our results have the potential for application to interventional studies targeting ST regulation to reduce excess cardiovascular deaths in winter.

Short-term effects of cold spells on plasma viscosity: Results from the KORA cohort study in Augsburg, Germany

As the underlying mechanisms of the adverse effects of cold spells on cardiac events are not well understood, we explored the effects of cold spells on plasma viscosity, a blood parameter linked to cardiovascular disease. This cross-sectional study involved 3622 participants from the KORA S1 Study (1984-1985), performed in Augsburg, Germany. Exposure data was obtained from the Bavarian State Office for the Environment. Cold spells were defined as two or more consecutive days with daily mean temperatures below the 3^rd, 5^th, or 10^th percentile of the distribution. The effects of cold spells on plasma viscosity were explored by generalized additive models with distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM). We estimated cumulative effects at lags 0-1, 0-6, 0-13, 0-20, and 0-27 days separately. Cold spells (mean temperature <3^rd, <5^th or <10^th percentile) were significantly associated with an increase in plasma viscosity with a lag of 0-1 days [%change of geometric mean (95% confidence interval): 1.35 (0.06-2.68), 1.35 (0.06-2.68), and 2.49 (0.34-4.69), respectively], and a lag of 0-27 days [18.81 (8.97-29.54), 17.85 (8.29-28.25), and 7.41 (3.35-11.0), respectively]. For the analysis with mean temperature <3^rd or 10^th percentile, we also observed significant associations at lag 0-20 days [8.34 (0.43-16.88), and 4.96 (1.68, 8.35), respectively]. We found that cold spells had significant immediate and longer lagged effects on plasma viscosity. This finding supports the complex interplay of multiple mechanisms of cold on adverse cardiac events and enriches the knowledge about how cold exposure acts on the human body.

Differences in thrombin and plasmin generation potential between East African and Western European adults: The role of genetic and non-genetic factors

BACKGROUND

Geographic variability in coagulation across populations and their determinants are poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

To compare thrombin (TG) and plasmin (PG) generation parameters between healthy Tanzanian and Dutch individuals, and to study associations with inflammation and different genetic, host and environmental factors.

METHODS

TG and PG parameters were measured in 313 Tanzanians of African descent living in Tanzania and 392 Dutch of European descent living in the Netherlands and related to results of a dietary questionnaire, circulating inflammatory markers, genotyping, and plasma metabolomics.

RESULTS

Tanzanians exhibited an enhanced TG and PG capacity, compared to Dutch participants. A higher proportion of Tanzanians had a TG value in the upper quartile with a PG value in the lower/middle quartile, suggesting a relative pro-coagulant state. Tanzanians also displayed an increased normalized thrombomodulin sensitivity ratio, suggesting reduced sensitivity to protein C. In Tanzanians, PG parameters (lag time and TTP) were associated with seasonality and food-derived plasma metabolites. The Tanzanians had higher concentrations of pro-inflammatory cytokines, which correlated strongly with TG and PG parameters. There was limited overlap in genetic variation associated with TG and PG parameters between the two cohorts. Pathway analysis of genetic variants in the Tanzanian cohort revealed multiple immune pathways that were enriched with TG and PG traits, confirming the importance of co-regulation between coagulation and inflammation.

CONCLUSIONS

Tanzanians have an enhanced TG and PG potential compared to Dutch individuals, which may relate to differences in inflammation, genetics and diet. These observations highlight the importance of better understanding of the geographic variability in coagulation across populations.

Severe pneumonia and acute myocardial infarction complicated with pericarditis after percutaneous coronary intervention: A case report

BACKGROUND

Cases of severe pneumonia complicated with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with good prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are rare, especially those with postoperative pericarditis and intestinal obstruction.

CASE SUMMARY

A 53-year-old male patient was admitted to the emergency department of our hospital because of paroxysmal chest tightness for 4 d, aggravated with chest pain for 12 h. The symptoms, electrocardiography, biochemical parameters, echocardiography and chest computed tomography confirmed the diagnosis of severe pneumonia complicated with AMI. The patient was treated with antiplatelet aggregation, anticoagulation, lipid regulation, vasodilation, anti-infective agents and direct PCI. The patient was discharged after 3 wk of treatment. Follow-up showed that the patient was asymptomatic without recurrence.

CONCLUSION

For patients with severe pneumonia complicated with AMI, PCI and antibiotic therapy is a life-saving strategy.

Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature in Pune city, India: A time series analysis from 2004 to 2012

BACKGROUND

Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures is associated with morbidity and mortality across the globe. Most of these studies assessing the effects of non-optimum temperatures on health and have been conducted in the developed world, whereas in India, the limited evidence on ambient temperature and health risks and has focused mostly on the effects of heat waves. Here we quantify short term association between all temperatures and mortality in urban Pune, India.

METHODS

We applied a time series regression model to derive temperature-mortality associations based on daily mean temperature and all-cause mortality records of Pune city from year January 2004 to December 2012. We estimated high and low temperature-mortality relationships by using standard time series quasi-Poisson regression in conjunction with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). We calculated temperature attributable mortality fractions for total heat and total cold.

FINDINGS

The analysis provides estimates of the total mortality burden attributable to ambient temperature. Overall, 6∙5% [95%CI 1.76-11∙43] of deaths registered in the observational period were attributed to non-optimal temperatures, cold effect was greater 5.72% [95%CI 0∙70-10∙06] than heat 0∙84% [0∙35-1∙34]. The gender stratified analysis revealed that the highest burden among men both for heat and cold.

CONCLUSION

Non-optimal temperatures are associated with a substantial mortality burden. Our findings could benefit national, and local communities in developing preparedness and prevention strategies to reduce weather-related impacts immediately due to climate change.

Effects of ambient temperature on cardiovascular disease: a time-series analysis of 229288 deaths during 2009-2017 in Qingdao, China

The association between ambient temperature and cardiovascular mortality varied by regions, populations, and climates. We estimated the relative risk (RR) of cardiovascular mortality using 229,288 death cases of cardiovascular disease in Qingdao China from 1 January 2009, to 31 December 2017. A distributed lag non-linear model was used. The temperature showed a negative association with the cardiovascular mortality. The RR of cardiovascular death at -4.8 °C was 2.05 (95% CI: 1.55, 2.69). The high temperature had acute and short-term effects with the maximum risk occurring 0 day of exposure. The low temperature had the greatest effect on the 4th lag day. The cold temperature effect was stronger for males than females. The estimates of temperature-related cardiovascular mortality risk were higher in people age ≥75 years. Our study showed that the cold and hot ambient temperature had a relationship with the risk of cardiovascular mortality.

Causal Considerations Can Inform the Interpretation of Surprising Associations in Medical Registries

An exploratory analysis of registry data from 2437 patients with advanced gastric cancer revealed a surprising association between astrological birth signs and overall survival (OS) with p = 0.01. After dichotomizing or changing the reference sign, p-values <0.05 were observed for several birth signs following adjustments for multiple comparisons. Bayesian models with moderately skeptical priors still pointed to these associations. A more plausible causal model, justified by contextual knowledge, revealed that these associations arose from the astrological sign association with seasonality. This case study illustrates how causal considerations can guide analyses through what would otherwise be a hopeless maze of statistical possibilities.

Daily ambient temperature and mortality in Thailand: Estimated effects, attributable risks, and effect modifications by greenness

BACKGROUND

In recent years, many previous studies have examined the association between ambient temperature and mortality in different parts of the world. However, very few studies have explored the mortality burden attributable to temperature, especially those in developing countries. This study aimed to quantify the burden of mortality attributable to non-optimum temperature in Thailand and explore whether greenness, using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) as indicator, alleviates the mortality contributed by non-optimum ambient temperature.

METHODS

Daily number of mortality (i.e., all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases) and daily meteorological data were obtained over 65 provinces in Thailand during 2010 to 2017. The two-stage statistical approach was applied to estimate the association between temperature and mortality. First, the time-stratified case-crossover analysis was performed to examine province-specific temperature-mortality association. Second, province-specific association was pooled to derive national estimates using multivariate meta-regression. Mortality burden attributable to temperature was then estimated, and the association between attributed mortality and NDVI was explored using multivariate meta-regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 2,891,407 all-cause of death was included over the study period, in which 403,450 and 264,672 deaths were accounted for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, respectively. The temperature-mortality association at cumulative lag 0-7 days was non-linear with J-shaped curve for all-cause and respiratory mortality, whereas V-shaped curve was observed for cardiovascular mortality. Using minimum mortality temperature (MMT) as optimum temperature, 3.72% (95% empirical CI: 2.18, 5.21) of all-cause, 2.92% (0.55, 5.10) of cardiovascular and 3.00% (0.27, 5.49) of respiratory mortality were attributable to non-optimum temperature (both hot and cold effects). Higher level of NDVI was associated with alleviated impacts of non-optimum temperature, especially hot temperature.

CONCLUSION

Exposure to non-optimum temperature was associated with increased risks of mortality in Thailand. This finding is useful for planning the public health interventions to reduce health effects of non-optimum ambient temperature.

Influence of Indoor Temperature Exposure on Emergency Department Visits Due to Infectious and Non-Infectious Respiratory Diseases for Older People

Previous studies have demonstrated that outdoor temperature exposure was an important risk factor for respiratory diseases. However, no study investigates the effect of indoor temperature exposure on respiratory diseases and further assesses cumulative effect. The objective of this study is to study the cumulative effect of indoor temperature exposure on emergency department visits due to infectious (IRD) and non-infectious (NIRD) respiratory diseases among older adults. Subjects were collected from the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database in Taiwan. The cumulative degree hours (CDHs) was used to assess the cumulative effect of indoor temperature exposure. A distributed lag nonlinear model with quasi-Poisson function was used to analyze the association between CDHs and emergency department visits due to IRD and NIRD. For IRD, there was a significant risk at 27, 28, 29, 30, and 31 °C when the CDHs exceeded 69, 40, 14, 5, and 1 during the cooling season (May to October), respectively, and at 19, 20, 21, 22, and 23 °C when the CDHs exceeded 8, 1, 1, 35, and 62 during the heating season (November to April), respectively. For NIRD, there was a significant risk at 19, 20, 21, 22, and 23 °C when the CDHs exceeded 1, 1, 16, 36, and 52 during the heating season, respectively; the CDHs at 1 was only associated with the NIRD at 31 °C during the cooling season. Our data also indicated that the CDHs was lower among men than women. We conclude that the cumulative effects of indoor temperature exposure should be considered to reduce IRD risk in both cooling and heating seasons and NIRD risk in heating season and the cumulative effect on different gender.

Seasonal patterns and associations in the incidence of acute ischemic stroke requiring mechanical thrombectomy

Background

In order to identify risk periods with an increased demand in technical and human resources, we tried to determine patterns and associations in the incidence of acute ischemic stroke due to embolic large vessel occlusions (eLVO) requiring mechanical thrombectomy (MT).

Methods

We conducted a time series analysis over a 9‐year period (2010–2018) based on observational data in order to detect seasonal patterns in the incidence of MT due to eLVO (n = 2628 patients). In a series of sequential negative binominal regression models, we aimed to detect further associations (e.g., temperature, atmospheric pressure, air pollution).

Results

There was a 6‐month seasonal pattern in the incidence of MT due to eLVO (p = 0.024) peaking in March and September. Colder overall temperature was associated with an increase in MT due to eLVO (average marginal effect [AME], [95% CI]: −0.15 [−0.30–0.0001]; p = 0.05; per °C). A current increase in the average monthly temperature was associated with a higher incidence of MT due to eLVO (0.34 [0.11–0.56]; p = 0.003). Atmospheric pressure was positively correlated with MT due to eLVO (0.38 [0.13–0.64]; p = 0.003; per hectopascal [hPa]). We could detect no causal correlation between air pollutants and MT due to eLVO.

Conclusions

Our data suggest a 6‐month seasonal pattern in the incidence of MT due to eLVO peaking in spring and early autumn. This might be attributed to two different factors: (1) a current temperature rise (comparing the average monthly temperature in consecutive months) and (2) colder overall temperature. These results could help to identify risk periods requiring an adaptation in local infrastructure.

Basic Aspects of Seasonal Cardiovascular Mortality

The review demonstrates the main aspects of seasonal cardiovascular mortality. Climatic factors, including seasonal weather changes, have a significant impact on the biosphere. People are also characterized by the seasonal dynamics of the activity of many organs and systems, biochemical parameters, and mortality. Cardiovascular mortality is also characterized by seasonal fluctuations: in winter it is maximum, in summer it is minimal. The same patterns are characteristic of mortality from cardiovascular diseases (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiac arrhythmias, etc.). The article presents the basic patterns of seasonal cardiovascular mortality in various climatic zones, the cardiovascular mortality of countries located in the equatorial and subequatorial climatic region. In addition, the mortality displacement phenomenon, the paradox of winter mortality. The main trends in changes in cardiovascular mortality over a long period of time are demonstrated. The paper discusses some of the mechanisms that underlie the dynamics of cardiovascular mortality during the year: seasonal fluctuations in the level of vitamin D, lipids in the blood plasma, changes in hemodynamic parameters, the effects of microbial and viral infections in the cold season, etc. In addition, data on seasonal the dynamics of risk factors for cardiovascular diseases is considered: an increase in body weight, a physical activity decrease, a change in the nutrition structure in the winter, the seasonal dynamics of depression, anxiety, hostility, the relationship of seasonal cardiovascular mortality with socio-economic, demographic and other factors. In conclusion, the main ways of development and prevention of seasonal CV cardiovascular mortality M, taking into account modern technologies at the international level, for state health departments, for specific patients, are demonstrated.

Increased incidence of venous thromboembolism following hip or knee arthroplasty in winter

BACKGROUND

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) cause significant morbidity and mortality following arthroplasty. A seasonal variation in the rate of PE in arthroplasty patients in the northern hemisphere has been reported. We hypothesized that there would be a similar seasonal variation in arthroplasty patients in Australia.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of all patients who received primary and/or revision arthroplasty of the hip or knee over a 15-year period (2000-2015) across Western Australia. We identified all patients who were diagnosed with DVT and/or PE according to International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision, Australian Modification codes. The incidence of venous thromboembolic (VTE) disease was calculated as the proportion of operations that led to this complication per 3-month seasonal period.

RESULTS

A total of 12,507 total hip arthroplasties (THAs) and 8899 total knee arthroplasties (TKAs) were recorded during the study period. There was a total of 274 DVT and/or PE among the combined total of 21,406 hip and knee arthroplasties performed between 2000 and 2015. There was a significantly higher rate of VTE for females than males (odds ratio (OR): 1.33, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.71, p = 0.0293), for TKA than THA (OR: 1.60, 95% CI:1.26-2.03, p < 0.0001) and in winter than other seasons (OR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.14-2.01, p = 0.0047).

CONCLUSION

There is a statistically significant increase in the incidence of VTE in arthroplasty patients during the winter months in Western Australia. This finding is the first of its kind for patients in the southern hemisphere and corroborates previous studies in the northern hemisphere.

The effects of submaximal exercise and cold exposure on blood coagulation parameters in coronary artery disease patients

BACKGROUND

Both exercise and cold exposure increase blood coagulation potential but their combined effects are not known. The purpose of the present study was to assess blood coagulation factors in response to submaximal exercise in the cold environment among patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

Sixteen men (61.1 ± 7.1 years) with stable CAD participated in three 30-min experimental conditions (seated rest in - 15 °C and exercise in both + 22 °C and - 15 °C) in random order. The employed exercise consisted of brisk walking (66-69% of maximal heart rate). Factor VII (FVII), fibrinogen, D-dimer and von Willebrand factor (vWF) were analyzed from blood samples obtained before, immediately and one hour after each experiment.

RESULTS

On average, FVII activity (95% confidence interval, CI) was 123 (108-143) %, 123 (106-140) %, 121 (103-139) % (baseline, recovery 1, recovery 2), fibrinogen concentration (95% CI) 3.81 (3.49-4.12) g/l, 3.71 (3.34-4.08) g/l, 3.65 (3.26-4.05) g/l, D-dimer concentration (95% CI) 0.42 (0.28-0.56) µg/ml, 0.42 (0.29-.55) µg/ml and 0.39 (0.29-0.49) µg/ml, and vWF activity (95% CI) 184 (135-232) %, 170 (128-212) % and 173 (129-217) % after exercise in the cold. Average FVII activity varied from 122 to 123%, fibrinogen concentration from 3.71 to 3.75 g/l, D-dimer concentration from 0.35 to 0.51 µg/ml and von Willebrand factor activity from 168 to 175% immediately after each three experimental condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that submaximal lower body exercise carried out in a cold environment does not significantly affect blood coagulation parameters among patients with stable CAD.

Effect of extreme hot and cold weather on cause-specific hospitalizations in Sweden: A time series analysis

Considering that several meteorological variables can contribute to weather vulnerability, the estimation of their synergetic effects on health is particularly useful. The spatial synoptic classification (SSC) has been used in biometeorological applications to estimate the effect of the entire suite of weather conditions on human morbidity and mortality. In this study, we assessed the relationships between extremely hot and dry (dry tropical plus, DT+) and hot and moist (moist tropical plus, MT+) weather types in summer and extremely cold and dry (dry polar plus, DP+) and cold and moist (moist polar, MP+) weather types in winter and cardiovascular and respiratory hospitalizations by age and sex. Time-series quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lags was used to assess the relationship between oppressive weather types and daily hospitalizations over 14 subsequent days in the extended summer (May to August) and 28 subsequent days during the extended winter (November to March) over 24 years in 4 Swedish locations from 1991 to 2014. In summer, exposure to hot weather types appeared to reduce cardiovascular hospitalizations while increased the risk of hospitalizations for respiratory diseases, mainly related to MT+. In winter, the effect of cold weather on both cause-specific hospitalizations was small; however, MP+ was related to a delayed increase in cardiovascular hospitalizations, whilst MP+ and DP + increased the risk of hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases. This study provides useful information for the staff of hospitals and elderly care centers who can help to implement protective measures for patients and residents. Also, our results could be helpful for vulnerable people who can adopt protective measures to reduce health risks.

Extreme temperatures and cardiovascular mortality: assessing effect modification by subgroups in Ganzhou, China

Background

Many people die from cardiovascular diseases each year, and extreme temperatures are regarded as a risk factor for cardiovascular deaths. However, the relationship between temperature and cardiovascular deaths varies in different regions because of population density, demographic inequality, and economic situation, and the evidence in Ganzhou, China is limited and inconclusive.

Objective

This study aimed to assess extreme temperature-related cardiovascular mortality and identify the potential vulnerable people.

Methods

After controlling other meteorological measures, air pollution, seasonality, relative humidity, day of the week, and public holidays, we examined temperature-related cardiovascular mortality along 21 lag days by Poisson in Ganzhou, China.

Results

A J-shaped relationship was observed between mean temperature and cardiovascular mortality. Extremely low temperatures substantially increased the relative risks (RR) of cardiovascular mortality. The effect of cold temperature was delayed by 2–6 days and persisted for 4–10 days. However, the risk of cardiovascular mortality related to extremely high temperatures was not significant (p > 0.05). Subgroup analysis indicated that extremely low temperatures had a stronger association with cardiovascular mortality in people with cerebrovascular diseases (RR: 1.282, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.020–1.611), males (RR: 1.492, 95% CI: 1.175–1.896), married people (RR: 1.590, 95% CI: 1.224–2.064), and people above the age of 65 years (RR: 1.641, 95% CI: 1.106–2.434) than in people with ischemic heart disease, females, unmarried people, and the elderly (≥65 years old), respectively.

Conclusions

The type of cardiovascular disease, sex, age, and marital status modified the effects of extremely low temperatures on the risk of cardiovascular mortality. These findings may help local governments to establish warning systems and precautionary measures to reduce temperature-related cardiovascular mortality.

Coagulation Changes during Central Hypovolemia across Seasons

Lower body negative pressure (LBNP) application simulates hemorrhage. We investigated how seasons affect coagulation values at rest and during LBNP. Healthy participants were tested in cold (November–April) and warm (May–October) months. Following a 30-min supine period, LBNP was started at −10 mmHg and increased by −10 mmHg every five minutes until a maximum of −40 mmHg. Recovery was for 10 min. Blood was collected at baseline, end of LBNP, and end of recovery. Hemostatic profiling included standard coagulation tests, calibrated automated thrombogram, thrombelastometry, impedance aggregometry, and thrombin formation markers. Seven men (25.0 ± 3.6 years, 79.7 ± 7.8 kg weight, 182.4 ± 3.3 cm height, and 23.8 ± 2.3 kg/m² BMI) and six women (25.0 ± 2.4 years, 61.0 ± 8.4 kg weight, 167 ± 4.7 cm height, and 21.8 ± 2.4 kg/m² BMI) participated. Baseline levels of prothrombin (FII), tissue factor (TF) and markers for thrombin generation F1+2 and the thrombin/antithrombin complex (TAT) were higher during summer. Factor VIII, prothrombin fragment 1+2 (F1+2), TAT and the coagulation time showed significant increases during LBNP in both seasons. Some calibrated automated thrombography variables (Calibrated automated thrombography (CAT): lag, time to peak (ttPeak), peak) shifted in a procoagulant direction during LBNP in summer. Red blood cell counts (RBC), hemoglobin and white blood cell counts (WBC) decreased during LBNP. LBNP application reduced prothrombin time in winter and activated partial thromboplastin time in summer. Greater levels of FII, TF, F1+2, and TAT—a more pronounced LBNP-induced procoagulative effect, especially in CAT parameters (lag time (LT), Peak, ttPeak, Velindex)—were seen in summer. These results could have substantial medical implications.

Seasonality of stroke: Winter admissions and mortality excess: A Thailand National Stroke population database study

OBJECTIVES

We examined the existence and potential burden of seasonality of stroke admissions and mortality within a tropical climate using cohort data collected between 1 st November 2003 and 31 st October 2012.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In a prospective cohort of hospitalised stroke patients from the catchment of ∼75 % of the Thai population (n = 569,307; mean SD age = 64(14.5)), incident stroke admissions, in-hospital mortality, prolonged hospitalisations, and stroke related complications by season were determined. Rates of incident stroke admissions by month and season were plotted. Winter excess indexes for study outcomes expressed as a percentage were calculated. Using logistic regression we examined the association between winter admission and in-hospital mortality (non-winter admission as reference) adjusting for age, sex, stroke type, year of admission, and presence of pre-existing comorbidities.

RESULTS

We observed a winter excess in mortality during hospitalisation (+10.3 %) and prolonged length of stay (+7.3 %). Respective winter excess indexes for dyslipidaemias, arrhythmias, anaemia, and alcohol related disorders in patients that died during hospitalisation were +1.4 %, +6.2 %, +0.2 %, +1.5 %. In these patients, respective winter excess indexes for post-stroke complications of pneumonia and sepsis were +6.7 % and +3.2 %. In fully adjusted analyses, winter admission (compared to non-winter admission) was associated with increased odds of in-hospital mortality (OR (95 % CI) = 1.023 (1.006-1.040)).

CONCLUSIONS

We provide robust evidence for the existence of an excess in winter stroke admissions and subsequent in-hospital deaths within a tropical region.

Seasonal Variations in the Incidence of Ischemic Stroke, Extracranial and Intracranial Hemorrhage in Atrial Fibrillation Patients

BACKGROUND

Ischemic stroke (IS) and major bleeding, which are serious adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), could have seasonal variations, but there are few reports.Methods and Results:In the Shinken Database 2004-2016 (n=22,018), 3,581 AF patients (average age, 63.5 years; 2,656 men, 74.2%; 1,388 persistent AF, 38.8%) were identified. Median CHADS₂and HAS-BLED scores were both 1 point. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed for 2,082 (58.1%) patients (warfarin, 1,214; direct oral anticoagulants [DOACs], 868). Incidence and observation period (maximum 3 years) of IS, extracranial hemorrhage (ECH), and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) were counted separately for the northern hemisphere seasons. During the mean follow-up period of 2.4 years, there were totals of 90 IS, 73 ECH, and 33 ICH cases. The respective incidence rates per 1,000 patient-years in spring, summer, autumn, and winter were 8.5, 8.8, 7.5, and 16.8 for IS, 7.2, 9.7, 3.8, and 13.1 for ECH, and 2.7, 1.9, 3.8, and 7.0 for ICH. The number of patients with DOACs relatively increased among those with ECH in summer.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant seasonal variations were observed for IS, ECH, and ICH events in AF patients, and were consistently the highest in winter. A small peak of ECH was observed in summer, which seemed, in part, to be related to increased DOAC use.

Transient increase in blood thrombogenicity may be a critical mechanism for the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction

Although the mechanism for the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction (MI) has been investigated by many pathological and clinical studies, it has not been adequately clarified yet. Although the disruption of vulnerable plaque is a well-known cause of acute MI, there are many silent plaque disruptions detected in the coronary artery by intravascular imaging studies. Therefore, many vulnerable plaques may disrupt and heal without causing acute MI. Some additional mechanisms other than the disruption of vulnerable plaque would be essential for the onset of acute MI. On the other hand, blood thrombogenicity would change dynamically due to circadian rhythms and many other factors. The combination of plaque and blood thrombogenicity would play an important and determinant role for the onset of acute MI.

Seasonal variation in hydration status among community-dwelling elderly in Japan

AIM

While the heat during the summer season may dehydrate the elderly, little is known about the seasonal variation in dehydration. This study aimed to investigate the seasonal variation in hydration status among the community-dwelling elderly in Japan.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data collected after an overnight fast of adults aged ≥65 years who had no advanced kidney disease and underwent an annual health checkup at Nihon University Hospital between January and December 2019. Participants were classified according to their checkup date, whether summer (n = 265) or not summer (n = 638). The not summer group was subdivided into spring (n = 235), autumn (n = 213) and winter (n = 190).

RESULTS

Among the four seasons, the spring group showed the highest levels of plasma osmolality (306.1 ± 3.9 mOsm/L), urine specific gravity (1.0172 ± 0.0058) and prevalence rates of urine specific gravity ≥1.020 (34.0%). However, seasonal differences were clinically mild, and >90% of participants showed plasma osmolality ≥300 mOsm/L, indicating dehydration, in all four seasons. The summer group showed lower urine specific gravity levels (1.0150 ± 0.0062 vs. 1.0165 ± 0.0064, P < 0.001) and prevalence rates of urine specific gravity ≥1.020 (22.6% vs. 30.4%, P = 0.023) than did the not summer group. The summer season was associated with low urine specific gravity levels even after adjusting for the multiple linear regression model.

CONCLUSION

Japanese elderly after overnight fast are more dehydrated during the spring rather than the summer. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 904-910.

Seasonal Variations in the Pathogenesis of Acute Coronary Syndromes

Background Seasonal variations in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) have been reported, with incidence and mortality peaking in the winter. However, the underlying pathophysiology for these variations remain speculative. Methods and Results Patients with ACS who underwent optical coherence tomography were recruited from 6 countries. The prevalence of the 3 most common pathologies (plaque rupture, plaque erosion, and calcified plaque) were compared between the 4 seasons. In 1113 patients with ACS (885 male; mean age, 65.8±11.6 years), the rates of plaque rupture, plaque erosion, and calcified plaque were 50%, 39%, and 11% in spring; 44%, 43%, and 13% in summer; 49%, 39%, and 12% in autumn; and 57%, 30%, and 13% in winter (P=0.039). After adjusting for age, sex, and other coronary risk factors, winter was significantly associated with increased risk of plaque rupture (odds ratio [OR], 1.652; 95% CI, 1.157-2.359; P=0.006) and decreased risk of plaque erosion (OR, 0.623; 95% CI, 0.429-0.905; P=0.013), compared with summer as a reference. Among patients with rupture, the prevalence of hypertension was significantly higher in winter (P=0.010), whereas no significant difference was observed in the other 2 groups. Conclusions Seasonal variations in the incidence of ACS reflect differences in the underlying pathobiology. The proportion of plaque rupture is highest in winter, whereas that of plaque erosion is highest in summer. A different approach may be needed for the prevention and treatment of ACS depending on the season of its occurrence. Registration URL: https://www.clini​caltr​ials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT03479723.

Association between moderately cold temperature and mortality in China

Ambient air temperature is a key factor affecting human health. Adverse effects of extreme weather on mortality have been well explored and expounded in numerous epidemiological studies. The relationship between moderate temperature and mortality is, however, underexplored. This study quantitatively investigated the temperature-dependent mortality burden in China. Data on daily average temperature and mortality in 15 Chinese cities during 2010-2016 were collected for this study. The association between temperature and city-specific mortality was investigated with a quasi-Poisson regression combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model across lag 0-21 days. The results were then included in a multivariate meta-analysis to derive the pooled estimates of the effect of temperature on mortality at the multi-city level. Mortality fractions attributable to cold and heat (i.e., at temperatures below and above the minimum mortality temperature (MMT)) were calculated. Additionally, temperature ranges were further divided into 1 °C intervals of ambient temperature, and the attributable fractions were calculated for each range. The MMT varied from the 71th to 93th percentiles of temperature in the 15 Chinese cities, centering at the 78th percentile at the multi-city level. In total, 12.65% of non-accidental mortality was attributable to non-optimum temperature, of which cold and hot temperatures corresponded to attributable fractions of 11.38% and 1.27%, respectively. The results of temperature stratifications suggested that moderately cold temperatures provided the highest contribution to mortality caused by temperature. Specifically, the highest attributable fractions were at 7 °C, 7 °C, 8 °C, 8 °C, 4 °C, 4 °C, 5 °C, 7 °C, 7 °C, 4 °C, 5 °C, 5 °C, 6 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C, for Harbin, Changchun, Shenyang, Urumqi, Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Xining, Lanzhou, Nanjing, Shanghai, Hefei, Chengdu, Kunming, and Guangzhou, respectively. Cold temperature was responsible for a higher proportion of deaths than heat. Moderate cold temperature contributed to most of the total health burden. Finally, the cumulative total counts of deaths caused by moderate cold were the largest. Although moderate cold conferred a slightly lower relative risk than extreme cold, it was more common than extreme cold. Taken together, our results show that the effects of moderate cold temperature on health should receive more attention. Furthermore, our findings could help improve the prediction of climate change effects on human health and support the development of response strategies for the changing climate.

Association between admission time and in-hospital mortality in acute aortic dissection patients: A retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between admission time and in-hospital mortality in acute aortic dissection (AAD) patients.

METHODS

The risk factors of in-hospital clinical outcomes were retrospectively evaluated in patients with AAD. All the patients were enrolled from January to December 2017 and were divided into two groups depending on the time of admission: daytime admissions were conducted from 8: 00 to 17: 30 hours whereas, nighttime admissions were from 17: 30 to 8: 00 hours. The primary endpoints were in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariable cox analyses were used to test the association between admission time and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The average age of the 363 participants in the present study was 52.25 ± 11.77 years, of which 81.6% were male. A total of 183 (50.4%) of these patients were admitted during nighttime. In-hospital mortality rate was higher in the nighttime admission group than in the daytime admission group (HR=1.86; 95%CI, 1.13 to 3.06, P=0.015). After adjusting for age, sex, and other risk factors, nighttime admission suggested as an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (HR=2.67, 95%CI, 1.30 to 5.46; P=0.007). Further subgroup analysis showed that none of the variables had a significant effect on the association between nighttime admission and in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Nighttime admission for type A acute aortic dissection is associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. Therefore, health care systems should focus on managing the increased risk of in-hospital mortality among patients admitted at night, regardless of the cause.

Prominent seasonal variation in pulmonary embolism than deep vein thrombosis incidence: a Korean venous thrombosis epidemiology study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Seasonal variation is an environmental factor proposed to affect the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, VTE seasonal variation is not well studied in Asian populations, which have different genetic determinants of VTE compared to Westerners. The present study aimed at investigating seasonal variation of VTE occurrence and the effect of various demographic factors (i.e., age, sex, and co-morbidities) on variation.

METHODS

VTE seasonal variation was evaluated in 59,626 index cases (from January 2009 to December 2013) in the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database. We quantified and compared VTE occurrence across four seasons, and additionally assessed monthly through a chronobiological analysis.

RESULTS

VTE incidence varied both seasonally and monthly, with new cases peaking in the winter (January and February) and the lowest incidence in the summer (August and September). After adjusting for sex, age, type of VTE, and combined cancer diagnosis, winter remained a significant independent factor driving VTE incidence. Additionally, seasonal variation was prominent in patients aged 60 years or older and in patients with pulmonary embolism, but not so prominent in patients of aged less than 60 years and patients with deep vein thrombosis.

CONCLUSION

Seasonal variation was a weak but independent contributor to VTE incidence in a Korean population diagnosed from 2009 to 2013, especially in those individuals with old age or suffering from a pulmonary embolism.

The influence of the ambient temperature on blood pressure and how it will affect the epidemiology of hypertension in Asia

Epidemiologic studies have consistently demonstrated an increased risk of cardiovascular disease during colder temperatures. Hemodynamic changes associated with cold temperature and an increase in thrombogenicity may both account for the increase in cardiovascular risk and mortality. Studies using both in-office and out-of-office BP measurements have consistently shown an elevation in BP during the colder seasons. The large difference in BP between cold and warm months may increase the incidence of hypertension and reduce the hypertension control rate, potentially resulting in increased cardiovascular risk, especially among those at risk of cardiovascular disease. The current trends in global warming and climate change may have a profound impact on the epidemiology of hypertension and cardiovascular disease, as changes in the climate may significantly affect both BP variability and cardiovascular disease, especially in those with high cardiovascular risk and the elderly. Furthermore, climate change could have a significant influence on hypertension in Asia, considering the unique characteristics of hypertensive patients in Asia. As an increase in ambient temperature decreases the mean daytime average and morning surge in BP, but increases the nocturnal BP, it is difficult to predict how environmental changes will affect the epidemiology and prognosis of hypertension in the Asian-Pacific region. However, these seasonal variations in BP could be minimized by adjusting the housing conditions and using anticipation medicine. In this review, we discuss the impact of seasonal variation in the ambient temperature on hypertension and cardiovascular disease and discuss how this may impact the epidemiology of hypertension and cardiovascular disease.

Seasonal and Secular Trends of Cardiovascular, Nutritional, and Inflammatory Markers in Patients on Hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

All life on earth has adapted to the effects of changing seasons. The general and ESKD populations exhibit seasonal rhythms in physiology and outcomes. The ESKD population also shows secular trends over calendar time that can convolute the influences of seasonal variations. We conducted an analysis that simultaneously considered both seasonality and calendar time to isolate these trends for cardiovascular, nutrition, and inflammation markers.

METHODS

We used data from adult patients on hemodialysis (HD) in the United States from 2010 through 2014. An additive model accounted for variations over both calendar time and time on dialysis. Calendar time trends were decomposed into seasonal and secular trends. Bootstrap procedures and likelihood ratio methods tested if seasonal and secular variations exist.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 354,176 patients on HD at 2436 clinics. Patients were 59±15 years old, 57% were men, and 61% had diabetes. Isolated average secular trends showed decreases in pre-HD systolic BP (pre-SBP) of 2.6 mm Hg (95% CI, 2.4 to 2.8) and interdialytic weight gain (IDWG) of 0.35 kg (95% CI, 0.33 to 0.36) yet increases in post-HD weight of 2.76 kg (95% CI, 2.58 to 2.97). We found independent seasonal variations of 3.3 mm Hg (95% CI, 3.1 to 3.5) for pre-SBP, 0.19 kg (95% CI, 0.17 to 0.20) for IDWG, and 0.62 kg (95% CI, 0.46 to 0.79) for post-HD weight as well as 0.12 L (95% CI, 0.11 to 0.14) for ultrafiltration volume, 0.41 ml/kg per hour (95% CI, 0.37 to 0.45) for ultrafiltration rates, and 3.30 (95% CI, 2.90 to 3.77) hospital days per patient year, which were higher in winter versus summer.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients on HD show marked seasonal variability of key indicators. Secular trends indicate decreasing BP and IDWG and increasing post-HD weight. These methods will be of importance for independently determining seasonal and secular trends in future assessments of population health.

Seasonal variation in the frequency of venous thromboembolism: An updated result of a meta-analysis and systemic review

Objective

Venous thromboembolism, including deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is likely to cause the death of both medical and surgical patients. Despite some evidence of seasonal variation in the incidence of venous thromboembolism, the existing studies obtain contradictory results. A temporal pattern for pulmonary embolism is known, but data on deep vein thrombosis are inconclusive. The purpose of this study is to make a meta-analysis and systematically review the literature about seasonal variations of pulmonary embolism and/or deep vein thrombosis in order to objectively diagnose venous thromboembolism.

Methods

According to dichotomous data, risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to compare the incidence of venous thromboembolism in different seasons. The research was classified according to pulmonary embolism mortality, pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis incidence, latitude/elevation/climatic types, and monthly incidence for four subgroup comparisons. There were a total of 23 eligible studies, in which 40,309 patients with venous thromboembolism were compared.

Results

The pooled total venous thromboembolism incidence was 27.2% in winter, 23.1% in spring, 24.6% in summer, and 25.1% in autumn. According to the results of pooled analysis, the incidence of venous thromboembolism in winter was much higher than that in summer (RR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.01–1.24, adjusted P = .04), especially deep vein thrombosis. Moreover, the incidence of venous thromboembolism in summer and autumn was lower than that in winter in low-latitude (<200 m) areas and median low-latitude (0–50°-N) areas. Interestingly, the frequency of pulmonary embolism mortality was the largest in spring and smallest in summer (spring > winter ≈ autumn > summer). For monthly data, a statistically significantly lower incidence of venous thromboembolism was observed in May and July than in October.

Conclusions

The study revealed a significantly higher incidence of venous thromboembolism and deep vein thrombosis in winter than in summer. Pulmonary embolism mortality occurred more frequently in spring than during other seasons. A statistically significantly lower incidence of venous thromboembolism was observed in May and July compared with that in October.

Statistical Modelling of Temperature-Attributable Deaths in Portuguese Metropolitan Areas under Climate Change: Who Is at Risk?

Several studies emphasize that temperature-related mortality can be expected to have differential effects on different subpopulations, particularly in the context of climate change. This study aims to evaluate and quantify the future temperature-attributable mortality due to circulatory system diseases by age groups (under 65 and 65+ years), in Lisbon metropolitan area (LMA) and Porto metropolitan area (PMA), over the 2051–2065 and 2085–2099 time horizons, considering the greenhouse gas emissions scenario RCP8.5, in relation to a historical period (1991–2005). We found a decrease in extreme cold-related deaths of 0.55% and 0.45% in LMA, for 2051–2065 and 2085–2099, respectively. In PMA, there was a decrease in cold-related deaths of 0.31% and 0.49% for 2051–2065 and 2085–2099, respectively, compared to 1991–2005. In LMA, the burden of extreme heat-related mortality in age group 65+ years is slightly higher than in age group <65 years, at 2.22% vs. 1.38%, for 2085–2099. In PMA, only people aged 65+ years showed significant temperature-related burden of deaths that can be attributable to hot temperatures. The heat-related excess deaths increased from 0.23% for 2051–2065 to 1.37% for 2085–2099, compared to the historical period.

Seasonal and meteorological associations of vitamin K-dependent coagulation factors in 1-month-old infants: assessment of Normotest values

: We aimed to determine the presence of seasonal and meteorological associations of the activity of vitamin K-dependent coagulation factors to explain the seasonal variation in vitamin K deficiency-related bleeding. Seasonal and monthly changes in Normotest values in 1759 healthy 1-month-old infants were retrospectively accessed, and the impact of meteorological parameters on Normotest values was analyzed. Normotest values peaked in winter and were the lowest in summer, with statistically significant differences among the seasonal values (P < 0.001). Comparing monthly variations, the values peaked in January and were the lowest in August (P < 0.001). Only the average daily air temperature significantly correlated with the Normotest values on multiple linear regression (P < 0.001) and with low Normotest values on multiple logistic regression analysis (odds ratio, 1.023; P = 0.002). Seasonal and monthly variations in Normotest values were observed in 1-month-old infants, possibly due to fluctuations in daily air temperature.

Association Between Air Temperature and the Incidence of Acute Coronary Heart Disease in Northeast China

Aim

The aim of this study was to examine the association between air temperature and incidence of acute coronary heart disease in Northeast China.

Methods

We obtained coronary heart disease (CHD) daily hospitalization data from January 2017 to June 2019, and collected meteorological data including average daily air temperature, air pressure, relative humidity, wind velocity, sunshine duration and water vapor pressure, for the same period. Totally, This study included data from 6775 patients with CHD.

Results

After adjusting for confounding factors, low air temperature was inversely associated with CHD. Additionally, in the warm season (April–September), the number of daily hospital admissions for CHD was higher (≥24.2°C) if the average daily air temperature was low (≤15.4°C).

Conclusion

Low air temperature might be a risk factor for CHD among the elderly, especially in the warm season.