Association of functional, inherited vitamin D-binding protein variants with melanoma-specific death

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether genetic variants affecting vitamin D metabolism are associated with melanoma prognosis. Two functional missense variants in the vitamin D-binding protein gene (GC), rs7041 and rs4588, determine 3 common haplotypes, Gc1s, Gc1f, and Gc2, of which Gc1f may be associated with decreased all-cause death among melanoma patients based on results of a prior study, but the association of Gc1f with melanoma-specific death is unclear.

METHODS

We investigated the association of the Gc1s, Gc1f, and Gc2 haplotypes with melanoma-specific and all-cause death among 4490 individuals with incident, invasive primary melanoma in 2 population-based studies using multivariable Cox-proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

In the pooled analysis of both datasets, the patients with the Gc1f haplotype had a 37% lower risk of melanoma-specific death than the patients without Gc1f (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.47 to 0.83, P = .001), with adjustments for age, sex, study center, first- or higher-order primary melanoma, tumor site, pigmentary phenotypes, and Breslow thickness. Associations were similar in both studies. In pooled analyses stratified by Breslow thickness, the corresponding melanoma-specific death HRs for those patients with the Gc1f haplotype compared with those without Gc1f were 0.89 (95% CI = 0.63 to 1.27) among participants with tumor Breslow thickness equal to or less than 2.0 mm and 0.40 (95% CI = 0.25 to 0.63) among participants with tumor Breslow thickness greater than 2.0 mm (Pinteraction = .003).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that individuals with the GC haplotype Gc1f may have a lower risk of dying from melanoma-specifically from thicker, higher-risk melanoma-than individuals without this Gc1f haplotype.

Model-Based ISO 14971 Risk Management of EEG-Based Medical Devices

Risk management (RM) is a key component of the development of modern medical devices (MD) to achieve acceptable functional safety and pass the regulatory process. The emerging availability of various techniques, languages, and tools that use model-based system engineering (MBSE) promises to facilitate the development and analysis of complex MD. In this paper, we show how to integrate RM principles and activities recommended in ISO 14971 medical standard into an MBSE-driven MD development process. We propose a method and framework capable of modeling essential RM concepts and performing RM and safety analysis in the early stages of the MD development life cycle. The framework extends OMG RAAML (Object Management Group Risk Analysis and Assessment Modeling Language) to the medical domain according to ISO 14971. We illustrate our approach using a case study of the e-Glass system developed for real-time EEG-based subject monitoring with the intended use of stress monitoring.Clinical Relevance-This facilitates the MD certification process by semi-automation of RM based on ISO 14971 and obtaining safe MD by design.

Sex-Specific Associations of MDM2 and MDM4 Variants with Risk of Multiple Primary Melanomas and Melanoma Survival in Non-Hispanic Whites

MDM2-SNP309 (rs2279744), a common genetic modifier of cancer incidence in Li-Fraumeni syndrome, modifies risk, age of onset, or prognosis in a variety of cancers. Melanoma incidence and outcomes vary by sex, and although SNP309 exerts an effect on the estrogen receptor, no consensus exists on its effect on melanoma. MDM2 and MDM4 restrain p53-mediated tumor suppression, independently or together. We investigated SNP309, an a priori MDM4-rs4245739, and two coinherited variants, in a population-based cohort of 3663 primary incident melanomas. Per-allele and per-haplotype (MDM2_SNP309-SNP285; MDM4_rs4245739-rs1563828) odds ratios (OR) for multiple-melanoma were estimated with logistic regression models. Hazard ratios (HR) for melanoma death were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models. In analyses adjusted for covariates, females carrying MDM4-rs4245739*C were more likely to develop multiple melanomas (ORper-allele = 1.25, 95% CI 1.03-1.51, and Ptrend = 0.03), while MDM2-rs2279744*G was inversely associated with melanoma-death (HRper-allele = 0.63, 95% CI 0.42-0.95, and Ptrend = 0.03). We identified 16 coinherited expression quantitative loci that control the expression of MDM2, MDM4, and other genes in the skin, brain, and lungs. Our results suggest that MDM4/MDM2 variants are associated with the development of subsequent primaries and with the death of melanoma in a sex-dependent manner. Further investigations of the complex MDM2/MDM4 motif, and its contribution to the tumor microenvironment and observed associations, are warranted.

Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Approximate zero-crossing: a new interpretable, highly discriminative and low-complexity feature for EEG and iEEG seizure detection

Objective. Long-term monitoring of people with epilepsy based on electroencephalography (EEG) and intracranial EEG (iEEG) has the potential to deliver key clinical information for personalised epilepsy treatment. More specifically, in outpatient settings, the available solutions are not satisfactory either due to poor classification performance or high complexity to be executed in resource-constrained devices (e.g. wearable systems). Therefore, we hypothesize that obtaining high discriminative features is the main avenue to improve low-complexity seizure-detection algorithms.Approach. Inspired by how neurologists recognize ictal EEG data, and to tackle this problem by targeting resource-constrained wearable devices, we introduce a new interpretable and highly discriminative feature for EEG and iEEG, namely approximate zero-crossing (AZC). We obtain AZC by applying a polygonal approximation to mimic how our brain selects prominent patterns among noisy data and then using a zero-crossing count as a measure of the dominating frequency. By employing Kullback-Leiber divergence, leveraging CHB-MIT and SWEC-ETHZ iEEG datasets, we compare the AZC discriminative power against a set of 56 classical literature features (CLF). Moreover, we assess the performances of a low-complexity seizure detection method using only AZC features versus employing the CLF set.Main results. Three AZC features obtained with different approximation thresholds are among the five with the highest median discriminative power. Moreover, seizure classification based on only AZC features outperforms an equivalent CLF-based method. The former detects 102 and 194 seizures, against 99 and 161 for the latter (CHB-MIT and SWEC-ETHZ, respectively). Moreover, the AZC-based method keeps a similar false-alarm rate (i.e. an average of 2.1 and 1.0, against 2.0 and 0.5, per day).Significance. We propose a new feature and demonstrate its capability in seizure classification for both scalp and intracranial EEG. We envision the use of such a feature to improve outpatient monitoring with resource-constrained devices.

Mammographic breast density and survival in women with invasive breast cancer

PURPOSE

We explored the under-debate association between mammographic breast density (MBD) and survival.

METHODS

From the Piedmont Cancer Registry, we identified 693 invasive breast cancer (BC) cases. We analyzed the overall survival in strata of MBD through the Kaplan-Meier method. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, we estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) of death; using the cause-specific hazards regression model, we estimated the HRs of BC-related and other causes of death. Models included term for Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) MBD (categorized as BI-RADS 1 and BI-RADS 2-4) and were adjusted for selected patient and tumour characteristics.

RESULTS

There were 102 deaths, of which 49 were from BC. After 5 years, the overall survival was 69% in BI-RADS 1 and 88% in BI-RADS 2-4 (p < 0.01). Compared to BI-RADS 2-4, the HRs of death for BI-RADS 1 were 1.65 (95% CI 1.06-2.58) in the crude model and 1.35 (95% CI 0.84-2.16) in the fully adjusted model. Compared to BI-RADS 2-4, the fully adjusted HRs for BI-RADS 1 were 1.52 (95% CI 0.74-3.13) for BC-related death and 1.83 (95% CI 0.84-4.00) for the other causes of death.

CONCLUSION

Higher MBD is one of the strongest independent risk factors for BC, but it seems not to have an unfavorable impact on survival.

Mild anemia and 11- to 15-year mortality risk in young-old and old-old: Results from two population-based cohort studies

Background

Mild anemia is a frequent although often overlooked finding in old age. Nevertheless, in recent years anemia has been linked to several adverse outcomes in the elderly population. Objective of the study was to investigate the association of mild anemia (hemoglobin concentrations: 10.0–11.9/12.9 g/dL in women/men) with all-cause mortality over 11–15 years and the effect of change in anemia status on mortality in young-old (65–84 years) and old-old (80+ years).

Methods

The Health and Anemia and Monzino 80-plus are two door-to-door, prospective population-based studies that included residents aged 65-plus years in Biella municipality and 80-plus years in Varese province, Italy. No exclusion criteria were used.

Results

Among 4,494 young-old and 1,842 old-old, mortality risk over 15/11 years was significantly higher in individuals with mild anemia compared with those without (young-old: fully-adjusted HR: 1.35, 95%CI, 1.15–1.58; old-old: fully-adjusted HR: 1.28, 95%CI, 1.14–1.44). Results were similar in the disease-free subpopulation (age, sex, education, smoking history, and alcohol consumption adjusted HR: 1.54, 95%CI, 1.02–2.34). Both age groups showed a dose-response relationship between anemia severity and mortality (P for trend <0.0001). Mortality risk was significantly associated with chronic disease and chronic kidney disease mild anemia in both age groups, and with vitamin B₁₂/folate deficiency and unexplained mild anemia in young-old. In participants with two hemoglobin determinations, seven-year mortality risk was significantly higher in incident and persistent anemic cases compared to constant non-anemic individuals in both age groups. In participants without anemia at baseline also hemoglobin decline was significantly associated with an increased mortality risk over seven years in both young-old and old-old. Limited to the Monzino 80-plus study, the association remained significant also when the risk was further adjusted also for time-varying covariates and time-varying anemia status over time.

Conclusions

Findings from these two large prospective population-based studies consistently suggest an independent, long-term impact of mild anemia on survival at older ages.

Disease-Associated Risk Variants in ANRIL Are Associated with Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte Presence in Primary Melanomas in the Population-Based GEM Study

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide association studies have reported that genetic variation at ANRIL (CDKN2B-AS1) is associated with risk of several chronic diseases including coronary artery disease, coronary artery calcification, myocardial infarction, and type 2 diabetes mellitus. ANRIL is located at the CDKN2A/B locus, which encodes multiple melanoma tumor suppressors. We investigated the association of these variants with melanoma prognostic characteristics.

METHODS

The Genes, Environment, and Melanoma Study enrolled 3,285 European origin participants with incident invasive primary melanoma. For each of ten disease-associated SNPs at or near ANRIL, we used linear and logistic regression modeling to estimate, respectively, the per allele mean changes in log of Breslow thickness and ORs for presence of ulceration and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL). We also assessed effect modification by tumor NRAS/BRAF mutational status.

RESULTS

Rs518394, rs10965215, and rs564398 passed false discovery and were each associated (P ≤ 0.005) with TILs, although only rs564398 was independently associated (P = 0.0005) with TILs. Stratified by NRAS/BRAF mutational status, rs564398*A was significantly positively associated with TILs among NRAS/BRAF mutant, but not wild-type, cases. We did not find SNP associations with Breslow thickness or ulceration.

CONCLUSIONS

ANRIL rs564398 was associated with TIL presence in primary melanomas, and this association may be limited to NRAS/BRAF-mutant cases.

IMPACT

Pathways related to ANRIL variants warrant exploration in relationship to TILs in melanoma, especially given the impact of TILs on immunotherapy and survival.

Cigarettes smoking and androgen receptor-positive breast cancer

OBJECTIVES

Cigarette smoking is related to higher levels of circulating androgens, but its association with androgen receptor (AR) status is still unaddressed.

METHODS

We analysed, with a case-only approach, smoking habits according to AR status in 112 cases of invasive female breast cancer, from the Piedmont Cancer Registry. We used a multivariate logistic regression model to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

The OR of AR-positive breast cancer (versus AR-negative) for ever smokers (versus never) was 2.85 (95% CI 1.02-7.96).

CONCLUSION

Smoking is related to AR-positive breast cancer.

Skin melanoma deaths within 1 or 3 years from diagnosis in Europe

The steep increase in incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma in white populations mainly applies to thin lesions with good survival suggesting overdiagnosis. Based on population-based cancer registries (CRs), we have investigated changes in aggressive melanoma, selecting only cases who died within 1 or 3 years after diagnosis in 11 European countries between 1995 and 2012. Trends in fatal cases were analysed by period of diagnosis, sex, tumour thickness, histologic subtype of the lesion, tumour site and CR with a multivariate generalised linear mixed effects model, where geographical area was considered as a random effect. We collected data on 123 360 invasive melanomas, with 5133 fatal cases at 1 year (4%) and 12 330 (10%) at 3 years. The number of fatal cases showed a 16% decrease at 1 year and 8% at 3 years between the first (1995-2000) and the last (2007-2012) period. The highest proportion of fatal cases was seen for men, older age (≥65 years), thick lesions (>1 mm), nodular melanoma, melanoma on the trunk and for poorly documented cases, lacking information about thickness and histologic subtype. The mixed-effects model showed a remarkable variability among European countries. The majority of registries showed a decreasing trend in fatal cases, but a few registries showed an opposite pattern. Trends in fatal melanoma cases, highlighting real changes in risk not related to overdiagnosis, showed a decrease in most European countries, with a few exceptions. Stronger efforts for early detection could lead to a more efficient treatment of melanoma in general.

Differences in Melanoma Between Canada and New South Wales, Australia: A Population-Based Genes, Environment, and Melanoma (GEM) Study

In an effort to understand the difference between melanomas diagnosed in Australia (New South Wales) and Canada, where the incidence in New South Wales is almost three times greater than in Canada, and mortality is twice as high although survival is slightly more favorable, we had one pathologist review 1,271 melanomas from British Columbia and Ontario, Canada, to compare these to melanomas in New South Wales, Australia. We hypothesized that histopathologic characteristics might provide insight into divergent pathways to melanoma development. We found a number of differences in risk factors and tumor characteristics between the two geographic areas. There were higher mole counts and darker phenotypes in the Canadian patients, while the Australian patients had greater solar elastosis, more lentigo maligna melanomas, and more tumor infiltrating lymphocytes. We hypothesize that the differences observed may illustrate different etiologies – the cumulative exposure pathway among Australian patients and the nevus pathway among Canadian patients. This is one of the largest studies investigating the divergent pathway hypothesis and is particularly robust due to the evaluation of all lesions by one dermatopathologist.

Mammographic breast density and characteristics of invasive breast cancer

INTRODUCTION

Inconclusive data exist on the association between breast density and breast cancer characteristics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a case-only study on 667 invasive breast cancers, using data from the Piedmont Cancer Registry. We applied a multivariate logistic regression model to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of high breast density (Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System, BI-RADS 3-4) versus low (BI-RADS 1-2) in relation to histologic grade, pathological tumour size and lymph node status, histotype, estrogen and progesterone receptor, HER2 and Ki67 status. Histopathological data were assessed according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Staging Manual guidelines. The model includes terms for age at diagnosis, education level, body mass index, reproductive factors, family history of breast cancer, smoking and diabetes.

RESULTS

As regards histologic grade, compared to well differentiated tumours, the OR of high (versus low) breast density cases was 0.61 (95% CI 0.38-0.98) for moderately-poorly differentiated tumours. No other associations with hormonal and histopathological characteristics were observed.

DISCUSSION

Our results indicate that low breast density is associated with moderately-poorly differentiated breast tumours.

The impact of selected risk factors among breast cancer molecular subtypes: a case-only study

PURPOSE

Breast cancer (BC) risk factors have been differentially associated with BC subtypes, but quantification is still undefined. Therefore, we compared selected risk factors with BC subtypes, using a case-case approach.

METHODS

We retrieved 1321 invasive female BCs from the Piedmont Cancer Registry. Through record linkage of clinical records, we obtained data on estrogen (Er) and progesterone (Pr) receptors, Ki67 and HER2+ status, BC family history, breast imaging reporting and data system (BI-RADS) density, reproductive risk factors and education. We defined BC subtypes as follows : luminal A (Er+ and/or Pr+ , HER2- , low Ki67), luminal BH- (Er+ and/or Pr + , HER2- , Ki67 high), luminal BH+ (Er+ and/or Pr + , HER2+), HER2+ (Er - , Pr - , HER2+), ) and triple negative (Er - , Pr - , HER2-). Using a multinomial regression model, we estimated the odds ratios (ORs) for selected BC risk factors considering luminal A as reference.

RESULTS

For triple negative, the OR for BC family history was 1.83 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-2.97). Compared to BI-RADS 1, for triple negative, the OR for BI-RADS 2 was 0.56 (95% CI 0.27-1.14) and for BI-RADS 3-4 was 0.37 (95% CI 0.15-0.88); for luminal BH +, the OR for BI-RADS 2 was 2.36 (95% CI 1.08-5.11). For triple negative, the OR for high education was 1.78 (95% CI 1.03-3.07), and for late menarche, the OR was 1.69 (95% CI 1.02-2.81). For luminal BH + , the OR for parous women was 0.56 (95% CI 0.34-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

This study supported BC etiologic heterogeneity across subtypes, particularly for triple negative.

National Estimates of Cancer Patients Survival in Italy: A Model-Based Method

Aims and background

To provide model-based estimates of all cancers patient survival in Italy and in Italian large geographical areas (North-West, North-East, Center, South), where only partial coverage of cancer registries data is available, and to describe them in terms of time trends. Moreover, to measure the degree of representativeness of cancer patient survival obtained from Italian cancer registries data.

Methods

Relative survival in the four main Italian geographical areas was estimated by a parametric mixture model belonging to the class of “cure” survival models. Data used are from Italian cancer registries, stratified by sex, period of diagnosis and age. The Italian national survival was obtained as a weighted average of these area-specific estimates, with weights proportional to the number of estimated incident cases in every area. The model takes into account also differences in survival temporal trends between the areas.

Results

Relative survival for all cancers combined in Italian patients diagnosed in 1990-1994 was estimated to be higher in women (53%) than in men (38%) at 5 years from the diagnosis. The survival trend is increasing by period and decreasing creasing by age, both for men and women. The greatest gain in terms of survival was obtained by the elderly, with annual mean growth rates in the period 1978-1994 equal to 3.5% and 3.2% for men and women, respectively. More than 50% of the youngest cancer patients were “cured”, whereas for the elderly this proportion dropped to 15% and 25% for men and women, respectively. The South of Italy had the lowest survival and the North the most pronounced increase.

Conclusions

The obtained national survival estimates are similar, but not identical, to previously published estimates, in which Italian registries’ data were pooled without any adjustment for geographical representativeness. The four Italian areas have different survival levels and trends, showing variability within the country. The differences in survival between men and women may be explained by the different proportion of lethal cancers. Among males, most cases had a poor prognosis (lung and stomach cancers), whereas among females the largest proportion was made up of curable and less lethal cancers (breast cancer).

MC1R variants in childhood and adolescent melanoma: a retrospective pooled analysis of a multicentre cohort

BACKGROUND

Germline variants in the melanocortin 1 receptor gene (MC1R) might increase the risk of childhood and adolescent melanoma, but a clear conclusion is challenging because of the low number of studies and cases. We assessed the association of MC1R variants with childhood and adolescent melanoma in a large study comparing the prevalence of MC1R variants in child or adolescent patients with melanoma to that in adult patients with melanoma and in healthy adult controls.

METHODS

In this retrospective pooled analysis, we used the M-SKIP Project, the Italian Melanoma Intergroup, and other European groups (with participants from Australia, Canada, France, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, and the USA) to assemble an international multicentre cohort. We gathered phenotypic and genetic data from children or adolescents diagnosed with sporadic single-primary cutaneous melanoma at age 20 years or younger, adult patients with sporadic single-primary cutaneous melanoma diagnosed at age 35 years or older, and healthy adult individuals as controls. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) for childhood and adolescent melanoma associated with MC1R variants by multivariable logistic regression. Subgroup analysis was done for children aged 18 or younger and 14 years or younger.

FINDINGS

We analysed data from 233 young patients, 932 adult patients, and 932 healthy adult controls. Children and adolescents had higher odds of carrying MC1R r variants than did adult patients (OR 1·54, 95% CI 1·02-2·33), including when analysis was restricted to patients aged 18 years or younger (1·80, 1·06-3·07). All investigated variants, except Arg160Trp, tended, to varying degrees, to have higher frequencies in young patients than in adult patients, with significantly higher frequencies found for Val60Leu (OR 1·60, 95% CI 1·05-2·44; p=0·04) and Asp294His (2·15, 1·05-4·40; p=0·04). Compared with those of healthy controls, young patients with melanoma had significantly higher frequencies of any MC1R variants.

INTERPRETATION

Our pooled analysis of MC1R genetic data of young patients with melanoma showed that MC1R r variants were more prevalent in childhood and adolescent melanoma than in adult melanoma, especially in patients aged 18 years or younger. Our findings support the role of MC1R in childhood and adolescent melanoma susceptibility, with a potential clinical relevance for developing early melanoma detection and preventive strategies.

FUNDING

SPD-Pilot/Project-Award-2015; AIRC-MFAG-11831.

Inherited Genetic Variants Associated with Melanoma BRAF/NRAS Subtypes

BRAF and NRAS mutations arise early in melanoma development, but their associations with low-penetrance melanoma susceptibility loci remain unknown. In the Genes, Environment and Melanoma Study, 1,223 European-origin participants had their incident invasive primary melanomas screened for BRAF/NRAS mutations and germline DNA genotyped for 47 single-nucleotide polymorphisms identified as low-penetrant melanoma-risk variants. We used multinomial logistic regression to simultaneously examine each single-nucleotide polymorphism's relationship to BRAF V600E, BRAF V600K, BRAF other, and NRAS+ relative to BRAF-/NRAS- melanoma adjusted for study features. IRF4 rs12203592*T was associated with BRAF V600E (odds ratio [OR] = 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.43-0.79) and V600K (OR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.41-1.03), but not BRAF other or NRAS+ melanoma. A global test of etiologic heterogeneity (Pglobal = 0.001) passed false discovery (Pglobal = 0.0026). PLA2G6 rs132985*T was associated with BRAF V600E (OR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.05-1.67) and BRAF other (OR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.11-2.98), but not BRAF V600K or NRAS+ melanoma. The test for etiologic heterogeneity (Pglobal) was 0.005. The IRF4 rs12203592 associations were slightly attenuated after adjustment for melanoma-risk phenotypes. The PLA2G6 rs132985 associations were independent of phenotypes. IRF4 and PLA2G6 inherited genotypes may influence melanoma BRAF/NRAS subtype development.

Preliminary investigation of extracellular vesicles in mammary cancer of dogs and cats: Identification and characterization

Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are membrane-bound vesicles produced by cells, known to play a key role in cell-to-cell communication. They exert pleiotropic biological functions via the horizontal transfer of bioactive molecules (DNA, RNAs, proteins, and lipids) within the tumour microenvironment and throughout the body. In human cancer, EVs are known to interfere with pathways that lead to tumour progression and are used as novel cancer biomarkers. In veterinary medicine, very little is known on cancer-derived EVs. In this study, we preliminarily characterized EVs in mammary gland cancer of dogs and cats. EVs were isolated by ultracentrifugation from canine (CYPp), feline (FMCp) and human (MCF7) mammary tumour cell lines. EVs were visualized by transmission electron microscopy (TEM), counted using nanoparticle tracking analysis (NTA) and characterized by immunogold (CD63 and Alix) and western blot (Alix and TSG101). Additionally, EV production by "donor" cells (palmtdTomato⁺ ) and uptake by "recipient" cells (GFP⁺ ) were assessed. EVs were successfully isolated from all 3 cell lines by ultracentrifugation. Membrane-bound structures (50-400 nm) were identified by TEM and were positive for both CD63 and Alix at immunogold. Western blot showed positivity of EVs to Alix and TSG101. NTA analysis detected EVs from cell culture media ranging from 1.67 to 2.56 × 10² as number of EVs/cell and from 80 to 600 nm in size. Confocal microscopy identified the presence of palmtdTomato⁺ EVs into the cytoplasm of GFP⁺ cells. This preliminary study identified and characterized canine and feline mammary tumour cell-derived EVs, opening in veterinary medicine a new interesting unexplored field with several applications and limitless potential.

[TNM Classification of malignant tumours - Eighth edition: which news?]

The eighth edition of TNM classification of malignant tumours has been published by the Union for International Cancer Control in January 2017. As for the previous editions - from the third on - it has been translated into Italian and recently published in our Country. This article explains the main changes from the previous edition: new classifications, some major revisions of cancer staging rules, the introduction of a grid of prognostic factors for each neoplasia and the addition of two chapters. These two chapters are about the essential TNM and the paediatric tumours, and have been developed in order to facilitate the use of data by Cancer Registries.

The impact of overdiagnosis on thyroid cancer epidemic in Italy,1998-2012

AIMS

In Italy, incidence rates of thyroid cancer (TC) are among the highest worldwide with substantial intracountry heterogeneity. The aim of the study was to examine time trends of TC incidence in Italy and to estimate the proportion of TC cases potentially attributable to overdiagnosis.

METHODS

Data on TC cases reported to Italian cancer registries during 1998-2012 aged <85 years were included. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASR) were computed by sex, period, and histology. TC overdiagnosis was estimated by sex, period, age, and Italian region.

RESULTS

In Italy between 1998-2002 and 2008-2012, TC ASR increased of 74% in women (from 16.2 to 28.2/100,000) and of 90% in men (from 5.3 to 10.1/100,000). ASR increases were nearly exclusively due to papillary TC (+91% in women, +120% in men). In both sexes, more than three-fold differences emerged between regions with highest and lowest ASR. Among TC cases diagnosed in 1998-2012 in Italy, we estimated that overdiagnosis accounted for 75% of cases in women and 63% in men and increased over the study period leading to overdiagnosis of 79% in women and 67% in men in 2008-2012. Notably, overdiagnosis was over 80% among women aged <55 years, and substantial variations were documented across Italian regions, in both genders.

CONCLUSION(S)

Incidence rates of TC are steadily increasing in Italy and largely due to overdiagnosis. These findings call for an update of thyroid gland examination practices in the asymptomatic general population, at national and regional levels.

Cancer Incidence in Turin: The Effect of Migration

Aims and Background

Studies on migrant populations have been of great value in clarifying the role of environmental factors in cancer occurrence. Most of them consider migrants from other countries or continents. Turin, the target territory of this study, was an important area of Internal migration initially from the East, and more recently from southern Italy.

Methods

The study compared incidence rates (age-standardized) of the native population, of the migrants and incidence rates of the Cancer Registries located in the four main areas of origin.

Results

Overall incidence rates in migrants from southern Italy were intermediate compared with those of the stable populations of the South and the North. The same effect was not true for people from the North-East, who migrated in earlier decades. In this population, migration towards lower-incidence areas did not reduce cancer incidence. Migrants from the South showed a significant increase in intestinal, breast, and tobacco-related tumors compared to the stable southern population. No effect of migration was found for cancer of the mouth, pharynx, esophagus, stomach or corpus uteri. Incidence of liver cancer in migrant southern males was significantly different from the stable and the native north-western population.

Conclusions

The results, based on incidence data, validated previous findings based on mortality data on the effect of Italian Internal migrations and showed that migrants underwent changes in some environmental exposures. In particular, migrants from the South to the North of Italy came into contact with new risk factors, with an increase in occurrence of cancer.

Comparative Completeness and Correspondence of Cancer Mortality Data as Collected by Istat and Cancer Registries

The authors have compared individual cancer mortality records from the file of the Central Statistics Office (ISTAT) with those of the Cancer Registries of Varese and Torino for the period July-December 1976. Most diagnoses ascertained by the Cancer Registries were histologically confirmed. The results showed a high degree of reciprocal completeness (over 90 %) for both systems (Cancer Registries and mortality statistics) and a satisfactory level of concordance (75 % at Varese, 70 % at Torino). The discrepancies, concentrated in certain nosologic codes, were analyzed. The conclusions suggest that the correspondence between mortality statistics and clinical diagnoses is hight, at least in the geographical areas examined.

Risk of Basal and Squamous Cell Carcinomas of the Skin in Sion, Switzerland: A Case-control Study

Aims and Background

Non-melanocytic skin cancers are the most common cancers in white populations. Studies on populations of Anglo-Saxon and Mediterranean origins highlighted different patterns of risk of basal-cell carcinoma and squamous-cell carcinoma in relation to sunlight exposure, skin characteristics and phenotype susceptibility. In Sion, and in Switzerland as a whole, the high incidence suggests the possible presence of additional risk factors or of a different pattern of exposure to solar radiation as well as different composition of pigmentary traits and skin sensitivity to sun.

Methods and Study Design

We conducted a case-control study of 146 cases (73% of eligible cases) and 144 controls (81% of eligible subjects) to further evaluate the relationship between nonmelanocytic skin cancer and risk factors in the Sion population. Interviews were conducted by trained interviewers with a standardized questionnaire.

Results

Pigmentary characteristics such as blonde and red hair as well as tendency to sunburn without tanning and number of sunburns showed a statistically significant and independent risk increase in basal-cell carcinoma. Sun exposure during recreational activities (outdoor sports) showed a risk increase in basal-cell carcinoma with borderline statistical significance. Analysis of squamous-cell carcinoma risk was limited by the small number of cases, but it was positively associated with lifetime exposure to sun during outdoor work and with skin characteristics.

Conclusions

Results confirmed previous suggestions of a different mechanism leading to malignant transformation of target cells from the basal and squamous epidermal layers, mediated by different phenotypes, and conditioning the ability to develop an effectively protective tan.

The Prevalence of Cancer: A Review of the Available Data

Aims and Background

Cancer prevalence in a population, defined as the proportion – or the number – of people who were diagnosed with a cancer during their lives and are still alive at a given date, is a crucial indicator for heath care planning and resource allocation. Long-term population-based cancer registries (CR) are the appropriate tools to produce prevalence figures, which, however, are scarcely available. This paper contains a review up to 1999 of the published data world-wide (reports and articles) on cancer prevalence: including measured and estimated figures.

Materials and Methods

Data on cancer prevalence from CRs are available for the Nordic countries, Connecticut, and Italy. In addition, electronic data are available for the European Union (EU). Data for the Nordic countries were first published in the mid-seventies, reporting the prevalence for 1970. The first data from Connecticut were available 10 years later. Estimates for all EU countries were published by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in 1997. In Italy, observed and estimated data on the prevalence of respiratory and digestive tract cancer and breast cancer have been published during the nineties, followed by a systematic analysis for all cancers in 1999. By using information obtained from CRs, cancer prevalence data were calculated directly (observed prevalence) by means of incidence and follow-up information on individual cancer patients, or indirectly (estimated prevalence) by means of mathematical models, which generally use epidemiological information at the aggregate level.

Results

Cancer prevalence for all cancers combined (proportions per 100,000 inhabitants) showed values of less than 700 in males and less than 800 in females in 1970 (Finland) to over 2,300 in males and over 3,000 in females in 1992 (Italian registries). With few exceptions, in each country and period considered the cancer sites contributing most to cancer prevalence are lung, colon-rectum, prostate and bladder in males, colon-rectum, breast, uterus (both cervix and corpus) and ovary in females. At present, comparison of measurements from different areas is difficult because there exists no standardized mode of presentation.

Conclusions

In spite of their being potentially useful for health care planning, prevalence data have been produced inconsistently and late by cancer registries, at least in comparison with the systematic availability of incidence and survival statistics. The available data can be compared only to a limited extent due to differences in completeness, in the choice of indicators, in the standard populations, and in the frequency of publication. It would be desirable that in the future data will be produced systematically, with a higher level of standardization compared to the past, and, most importantly, on the same geographic and administrative scale as health-care decision-making.

Cancer Mortality in Migrant Populations within Italy

Italian death certification rates from all causes of death, all diseases of the circulatory system, all neoplasms, and cancers of the upper digestive and respiratory tract, stomach, intestines, lung and breast in middle age (45-64 years) were analyzed according to selected geographic areas of birth and residence at death. For total cancer mortality and most neoplasms considered, the rates in middle age were closer to those of place of birth than to those of area of residence, although this pattern was more evident for some sites (e.g., mouth or pharynx, esophagus, larynx, stomach or bladder) than for others (e.g., intestines or breast). In most cases, migration had an adverse effect on cancer rates, and the lowest mortality was reported among stable populations (i.e., those with the same area of birth and death). These findings are discussed in relation to the major migration fluxes within Italy during the current century. Moreover, these analyses give information on the quality of Italian cancer death certification, since the observation that area of birth is often a more important determinant of cancer rates than area of residence provides indirect evidence that cancer death certification in various Italian geographic areas is satisfactorily reliable and consistent.

Descriptive Epidemiology of Breast Cancer in the City and Province of Torino

Between 1950–54 and 1970–74 the mortality rates from breast cancer showed a 35 % increase in Italy. In the city of Torino, an increase occurred between 1950–54 and 1960–64 but not in the following 10-year period. These trends were confirmed by the analysis of rates by cohorts of birth. In the province of Torino, between 1960–64 and 1970–74 the increase in breast cancer death rates was far lower than in the other provinces of Piedmont. It is suggested that the peculiar patterns in the city and in the province of Torino reflect qualitative changes of lifestyle brought about by the conspicous immigration from southern Italy during the sixties.

Reproducibility of Histopathologic Diagnosis and Classification of Non-Melanocytic Skin Cancer: A Panel Exercise in the Framework of the Multicenter Southern European Study Helios

Aims and background

The reproducibility of histologic diagnoses, and in particular of the distinction between basal and squamous cell forms, has been evaluated in the framework of a multicenter case-control study (in Italy, France, Spain and Switzerland) aimed to assess the causes of non-melanocytic skin cancers.

Methods

A panel composed of 10 pathologists from the collaborating centers was appointed. A total of 1774 slides of routine diagnoses were blindly reviewed by a second panelist; discordant diagnoses underwent a third examination. Controversial and interesting cases were discussed during general sessions.

Results

The results showed a high degree of concordance (99.5%), with a Cohen's kappa of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.77–0.94) in the assessment of malignancy of lesions. The concordance in the distinction between large morphologic groups, basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma was also high (Cohen's kappa = 0.85; 95% CI, 0.82–0.89). The assessment of histologic subtypes, degree of invasion and differentiation showed a lower degree of concordance, presumably as a consequence of a weaker consistency in the relevant classifications.

Conclusions

The reproducibility study has therefore validated the epidemiologic study and in particular allowed to correct some misclassifications that could have lessened the analysis of the case-control study. In general, because of its characteristics (number of pathologists and variety of their origins, the large number of cases examined, blind examination of histologic slides), the conclusions of the study may show a certain degree of generalization, at least with regard to the countries represented. Routine histologic diagnoses of cutaneous carcinoma showed a high degree of reliability with reference to the assessment of malignancy and the distinction between basal and squamous cell carcinoma morphotypes.

Variations in the Survival of Adult Cancer Patients in Italy

Aims

As part of the ITACARE project, the present study analyzed and compared population-based data on the survival of adult cancer patients in Italy, according to sex, age, period of diagnosis and geographical area.

Methods

Nine Italian population-based cancer registries provided data on all their cancer patients (total 90,431 cases) followed for at least 5 years and diagnosed during the period 1978–1989. About 10% of the Italian population is covered by these registries. The data was analyzed by means of a multivariate model.

Results

The major findings were that there was a general improvement in 5-year relative survival over the study period (from 33% to 39%) and that there were significant differences in survival between different areas of the country, particularly for cancer sites which respond well to treatment. In general, the area covered by the Ragusa (Sicily) registry was characterized by significantly worse survival than other registry populations. Other important findings were that for all malignant cancer sites 5-year relative survival decreased with age from 50% for the youngest age class (15–44 years) to 27% for the oldest age class (75+ years) and that women have a better prognosis for most cancer sites (overall 5-year relative survival in women 48% vs 32% in men).

Conclusions

The significant regional differences in survival may reflect unequal provision of care, particularly between northern-central Italy and the south. The reasons for the general survival improvement with time are not completely understood, whereas the marked overall sex difference is related to the fact that the commonest cancer in women (breast cancer) is eminently more treatable than the commonest malignancy in men (lung cancer). The unfavorable trend with increasing age may be due to increasing difficulty in applying complete therapy protocols as general health declines, sometimes in relation to an advanced cancer stage at diagnosis.

Truncating mutations of TP53AIP1 gene predispose to cutaneous melanoma

Genetic predisposition to cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) involves highly penetrant predisposing genes and low and intermediate penetrant predisposing alleles. However, the missing heritability in (CMM) is still high. For such and in order to identify new genetic factors for CMM, we conducted an exome sequencing study in high-risk CMM patients. Two rounds of exome sequencing were successively performed in 33 and 27 high-risk patients. We focused on genes carrying rare nonsense, frameshift, and splice variants (allelic frequency <1%) that were present in both series of exomes. An extension study was then conducted in a large cohort (1 079 CMM patients and 1 230 Caucasian ethnically matched healthy controls), and the inactivating variants frequency was compared between groups using two-sided Fisher exact test. Two TP53AIP1 truncating mutations were identified in four patients: a frameshift c.63_64insG, p.Q22Afs*81 in two patients from the same family and in the proband of a second family; and a nonsense mutation c.95 C > A, p.Ser32Stop in a patient with multiple CMMs. In all patients, TP53AIP1 truncating variants were strongly associated with CMM risk (two-sided Fisher exact test = 0.004, OR = 3.3[1.3-8.5]). Additionally, we showed that TP53AIP1 mRNA was strongly down-regulated throughout different phases of melanoma progression. TP53AIP1 gene is a TP53 target which plays a key role by inducting apoptosis in response to UV-induced DNA damage. Constitutional mutations of TP53AIP1 had previously been involved in susceptibility to prostate cancer. Our results show that constitutional truncating TP53AIP1 mutations predispose to CMM in the French population. Replication studies in other populations should be performed.

Trends in incidence of thick, thin and in situ melanoma in Europe

BACKGROUND

We analysed trends in incidence for in situ and invasive melanoma in some European countries during the period 1995-2012, stratifying for lesion thickness.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Individual anonymised data from population-based European cancer registries (CRs) were collected and combined in a common database, including information on age, sex, year of diagnosis, histological type, tumour location, behaviour (invasive, in situ) and lesion thickness. Mortality data were retrieved from the publicly available World Health Organization database.

RESULTS

Our database covered a population of over 117 million inhabitants and included about 415,000 skin lesions, recorded by 18 European CRs (7 of them with national coverage). During the 1995-2012 period, we observed a statistically significant increase in incidence for both invasive (average annual percent change (AAPC) 4.0% men; 3.0% women) and in situ (AAPC 7.7% men; 6.2% women) cases.

DISCUSSION

The increase in invasive lesions seemed mainly driven by thin melanomas (AAPC 10% men; 8.3% women). The incidence of thick melanomas also increased, although more slowly in recent years. Correction for lesions of unknown thickness enhanced the differences between thin and thick cases and flattened the trends. Incidence trends varied considerably across registries, but only Netherlands presented a marked increase above the boundaries of a funnel plot that weighted estimates by their precision. Mortality from invasive melanoma has continued to increase in Norway, Iceland (but only for elder people), the Netherlands and Slovenia.

The Beginning of a Decline in Breast Cancer Incidence in Italy?

The incidence of invasive breast cancer in Turin, Italy, showed a statistically significant decrease during 1999–2003 overall (estimated annual percent change -2.6; 95% CL -8.52; -0.78) and in women aged over 50, similar to the recently documented trend in American data. This represents the first demonstration of a decline in breast cancer incidence in the early years of this decade outside the United States. In our population, the drop in the usage of hormone replacement therapy which occurred after 2002 is unlikely to be at the origin of this declining incidence trend, which is largely explained by a screening effect. This observation may be relevant to other geographical areas where organized or spontaneous screening reached a plateau after an increase in the preceding years.

Strong Seasonality in the Diagnosis of Skin Melanoma in Italy: The Italian Network of Cancer Registries (AIRTUM) Study

Aim

To evaluate seasonality in the diagnosis of cutaneous melanoma in Italy.

Methods

A total of 16,284 invasive (and 1,235 in situ) cutaneous melanomas incident from 1978 to 2002 in 14 cancer registries belonging to the Italian Network of Cancer Registries (AIRTUM) was analyzed. We used the Walter and Elwood test to evaluate seasonality. The monthly distribution of diagnosis was evaluated for sex, skin site, melanoma morphology and period of diagnosis.

Results

The overall monthly diagnosis of invasive melanoma showed a statistically significant excess around the month of June. The same pattern was present for males and females, across age-groups and periods of time. All skin sites showed a cycling trend, melanoma of the head and neck peaked around April, all the others peaked around June. As regards morphologic types, a cyclic trend was evident for superficial-spreading melanomas (peak around July), for not-specified melanomas (June) and for other histotypes (June). Diagnosis of in situ melanoma peaked in September.

Conclusions

The present study showed that also in Italy melanoma diagnosis has a seasonal trend, with the peak in early summer. It seemed that summer UV exposure, acting both as a late promoter of malignant melanoma development and also increasing the visibility of pigmented skin lesion, may be relevant to explain such a peak.

Estimates of cancer burden in Italy

Aims and background

This paper presents updated estimates of the incidence, prevalence and mortality of stomach, colorectal, lung, breast, uterine cervix and prostate cancer and skin melanoma in the Italian population. In particular, point estimates for 2012 and time trends from 1970 to 2015 will be provided.

Methods

The presented figures were obtained by summing up the regional epidemiological indicator estimates presented in the other papers of this monographic issue, which were derived by applying the MIAMOD statistical back-calculation method to cancer registries survival data and official mortality rates.

Results

Our findings indicate that breast, colon-rectum and prostate will be the cancer sites with the highest incidence rates in the forthcoming years. The incidence rates still tend to increase for breast, male colorectal cancer and female lung cancer as well as for skin melanoma. By contrast, the incidence of stomach cancer, cervical cancer and male lung cancer, by far the most common tumor sites up to the early 1990s, will continue to decrease. The mortality estimates showed a decreasing trend for all considered cancers with the only exception of lung cancer in women.

Conclusion

These results point to the need to reinforce prevention activities by developing more effective preventive measures for population groups at risk. There is also a need to support timely and continuous cancer surveillance in the Italian population through cancer registries in order to monitor the spread of the cancer risk and to evaluate the impact of prevention policies and therapeutic advances.

Estimates of cancer burden in Piedmont and Aosta Valley

Aims and background

Cancer registration in Piedmont currently covers the city of Turin and the province of Biella, together representing 24% of the regional population. The objective of this paper is to provide estimates of the incidence and mortality rates and prevalence proportions for cancer of the lung, breast, cervix, prostate, colon-rectum and stomach and melanoma of the skin for 2012 and the time trends up to 2015 for the Piedmont and Aosta Valley regions.

Methods

The estimates were obtained by applying the MIAMOD method, a statistical back-calculation approach to derive incidence and prevalence figures starting from mortality and relative survival data. Published data from the Italian cancer registries were modeled in order to estimate the regional cancer survival. The MIAMOD estimates were also compared with those obtained by applying a method based on the mortality-incidence and prevalence-incidence ratios.

Results

The most frequently diagnosed cancers in absolute terms were prostate, colorectal, breast and lung cancer with about 5,000, 4,700, 3,300, and 2,900 new cases, respectively, in 2012. Incidence rates were rising for melanoma in both sexes and lung cancer in women, while they diminished for cervical and stomach cancer. For prostate cancer and male lung cancer the rates initially increased but were estimated to decrease in the most recent period. Colorectal cancer also increased up to the 1990s but was estimated to reach a plateau in the final years of estimation. Prevalence increased for all the considered cancers with the exception of cervical cancer. Mortality was declining for all considered cancers with the exception of lung cancer in women.

Conclusions

Monitoring indicators of the cancer burden is crucial for setting priorities among possible health system activities in a limited-resource setting. Piedmont has long invested in organized, population-based screening programs: these will have to be extended and accompanied by greater efforts in primary prevention.

Eighth Edition of the UICC Classification of Malignant Tumours: an overview of the changes in the pathological TNM classification criteria-What has changed and why?

The TNM classification of malignant tumours is a mainstay tool in clinical practice and research for prognostic assessment of patients, treatment allocation and trial enrolment, as well as for epidemiological studies and data collection by cancer registries worldwide. Pathological TNM (pTNM) represents the pathological classification of a tumor, assigned after surgical resection or adequate sampling by biopsy, and periodical updates to the relative classification criteria are necessary to preserve its clinical relevance by integrating newly reported data. A structured approach has been put in place to fulfil this need and, based upon this process, the Eighth Edition of Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) TNM Classification of Malignant Tumours has been published, introducing many significant changes, including novel classification criteria for specific tumour types. In this review, we aim to describe the major changes introduced in the pTNM classification criteria and to summarize the evidence supporting these changes.

The interaction between vitamin D receptor polymorphisms and sun exposure around time of diagnosis influences melanoma survival

Evidence on the relationship between the vitamin D pathway and outcomes in melanoma is growing, although it is not always clear. We investigated the impact of measured levels of sun exposure at diagnosis on associations of vitamin D receptor gene (VDR) polymorphisms and melanoma death in 3336 incident primary melanoma cases. Interactions between six SNPs and a common 3'-end haplotype were significant (p < .05). These SNPs, and a haplotype, had a statistically significant association with survival among subjects exposed to high UVB in multivariable regression models and exerted their effect in the opposite direction among those with low UVB. SNPs rs1544410/BsmI and rs731236/TaqI remained significant after adjustment for multiple testing. These results suggest that the association between VDR and melanoma-specific survival is modified by sun exposure around diagnosis, and require validation in an independent study. Whether the observed effects are dependent or independent of vitamin D activation remains to be determined.

Association of Incident Amelanotic Melanoma With Phenotypic Characteristics, MC1R Status, and Prior Amelanotic Melanoma

Importance

We previously reported that survival is poorer from histopathologically amelanotic than pigmented melanoma because of more advanced stage at diagnosis. Identifying patients at risk of amelanotic melanoma might enable earlier diagnosis and improved survival; however, the phenotypic characteristics and underlying genetics associated with amelanotic melanoma are unknown.

Objective

To determine whether phenotypic characteristics, carriage of MC1R variants, and history of amelanotic melanoma are associated with histopathologically amelanotic melanoma.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Genes, Environment, and Melanoma (GEM) study is an international cohort study that enrolled patients with incident primary cutaneous melanomas from population-based and hospital-based cancer registries (1998 to 2003). The GEM participants included here were 2387 patients with data for phenotypes, MC1R genotype, and primary melanomas scored for histopathologic pigmentation. Of these 2387 patients with incident melanomas scored for pigmentation, 527 had prior primary melanomas also scored for pigmentation.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Associations of phenotypic characteristics (freckles, nevi, phenotypic index) and MC1R status with incident amelanotic melanomas were evaluated using logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, study center, and primary status (single or multiple primary melanoma); odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs are reported. Association of histopathologic pigmentation between incident and prior melanomas was analyzed using an exact logistic regression model.

Results

This study included 2387 patients (1065 women, 1322 men; mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 58.3 [16.1] years) and 2917 primary melanomas. In a multivariable model including phenotypic characteristics, absence of back nevi, presence of many freckles, and a sun-sensitive phenotypic index were independently associated with amelanotic melanoma. Carriage of MC1R variants was associated with amelanotic melanoma but lost statistical significance in a model with phenotype. Further, patients with incident primary amelanotic melanomas were more likely to have had a prior primary amelanotic melanoma (OR, 4.62; 95% CI, 1.25-14.13) than those with incident primary pigmented melanomas.

Conclusions and Relevance

Absence of back nevi, presence of many freckles, a sun-sensitive phenotypic index, and prior amelanotic melanoma increase odds for development of amelanotic melanoma. An increased index of suspicion for melanoma in presenting nonpigmented lesions and more careful examination for signs of amelanotic melanoma during periodic skin examination in patients at increased odds of amelanotic melanoma might lead to earlier diagnosis and improved survival.