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Sharman A, Shaw JE, Shayanrad A, Shayesteh AA, Shengelia L, Shi Z, Shibuya K, Shimizu-Furusawa H, Shimony T, Shiri R, Shrestha N, Si-Ramlee K, Siani A, Siantar R, Sibai AM, Sidossis LS, Silitrari N, Silva AM, Silva CRDM, Silva DAS, Silva KS, Sim X, Simon M, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöberg A, Sjöström M, Skoblina EV, Skoblina NA, Slazhnyova T, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Smeeth L, So HK, Soares FC, Sobek G, Sobngwi E, Sodemann M, Söderberg S, Soekatri MYE, Soemantri A, Sofat R, Solfrizzi V, Solovieva YV, Somi MH, Sonestedt E, Song Y, Soofi S, Sørensen TIA, Sørgjerd EP, Sossa Jérome C, Soto-Rojas VE, Soumaré A, Sousa-Poza A, Sovic S, Sparboe-Nilsen B, Sparrenberger K, Spencer PR, Spinelli A, Spiroski I, Staessen JA, Stamm H, Stang A, Starc G, Staub K, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stein AD, Steinsbekk S, Stergiou GS, Stessman J, Stevanović R, Stieber J, Stöckl D, Stokwiszewski J, Stoyanova E, Stratton G, Stronks K, Strufaldi MW, Sturua L, Suárez-Medina R, Suarez-Ortegón MF, Suebsamran P, Sugiyama M, Suka M, Sulo G, Sun CA, Sun L, Sund M, Sundström J, Sung YT, Sunyer J, Suriyawongpaisal P, Sweis NWG, Swinburn BA, Sy RG, Sylva RC, Szponar L, Tabone L, Tai ES, Takuro F, Tambalis KD, Tammesoo ML, Tamosiunas A, Tan EJ, Tang X, Tanrygulyyeva M, Tanser F, Tao Y, Tarawneh MR, Tarp J, Tarqui-Mamani CB, Taxová Braunerová R, Taylor A, Taylor J, Tchibindat F, Te Velde S, Tebar WR, Tell GS, Tello T, Tessema M, Tham YC, Thankappan KR, Theobald H, Theodoridis X, Thomas N, Thorand B, Thrift AG, Tichá Ľ, Timmermans EJ, Tjandrarini DH, Tjonneland A, Tolonen HK, Tolstrup JS, Tomaszewski M, Topbas M, Topór-Mądry R, Torheim LE, Tornaritis MJ, Torrent M, Torres-Collado L, Toselli S, Touloumi G, Traissac P, Tran TTH, Tremblay MS, Triantafyllou A, Trichopoulos D, Trichopoulou A, Trinh OTH, Trivedi A, Tshepo L, Tsigga M, Tsintavis P, Tsugane S, Tuitele J, Tuliakova AM, Tulloch-Reid MK, Tullu F, Tuomainen TP, Tuomilehto J, Twig G, Tynelius P, Tzala E, Tzotzas T, Tzourio C, Udoji N, Ueda P, Ugel E, Ukoli FAM, Ulmer H, Unal B, Usupova Z, Uusitalo HMT, Uysal N, Vaitkeviciute J, Valdivia G, Vale S, Valvi D, van Dam RM, van den Born BJ, Van der Heyden J, van der Schouw YT, Van Herck K, Van Lippevelde W, Van Minh H, Van Schoor NM, van Valkengoed IGM, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Varbo A, Varela-Moreiras G, Vargas LN, Varona-Pérez P, Vasan SK, Vasques DG, Vatasescu R, Vega T, Veidebaum T, Velasquez-Melendez G, Velika B, Verloigne M, Veronesi G, Verschuren WMM, Victora CG, Viegi G, Viet L, Vik FN, Vilar M, Villalpando S, Vioque J, Viriyautsahakul N, Virtanen JK, Visser M, Visvikis-Siest S, Viswanathan B, Vladulescu M, Vlasoff T, Vocanec D, Vollenweider P, Völzke H, Vourli G, Voutilainen A, Vrijheid M, Vrijkotte TGM, Vuletić S, Wade AN, Waldhör T, Walton J, Wambiya EOA, Wan Bebakar WM, Wan Mohamud WN, Wanderley Júnior RDS, Wang C, Wang H, Wang MD, Wang N, Wang Q, Wang X, Wang YX, Wang YW, Wannamethee SG, Wareham N, Wartha O, Weber A, Wedderkopp N, Weghuber D, Wei W, Weres A, Werner B, Westbury LD, Whincup PH, Wichstrøm L, Wickramasinghe K, Widhalm K, Widyahening IS, Więcek A, Wild PS, Wilks RJ, Willeit J, Willeit P, Williams J, Wilsgaard T, Wirth JP, Wojtyniak B, Woldeyohannes M, Wolf K, Wong-McClure RA, Wong A, Wong EB, Wong JE, Wong TY, Woo J, Woodward M, Wu FC, Wu HY, Wu J, Wu LJ, Wu S, Wyszyńska J, Xu H, Xu L, Yaacob NA, Yamborisut U, Yan L, Yan W, Yang L, Yang X, Yang Y, Yardim N, Yasuharu T, Yépez García M, Yiallouros PK, Yngve A, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, Yotov Y, You QS, You SL, Younger-Coleman NO, Yu YL, Yu Y, Yusof SM, Yusoff AF, Zaccagni L, Zafiropulos V, Zainuddin AA, Zakavi SR, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zamrazilová H, Zapata ME, Zargar AH, Zaw KK, Zayed AA, Zdrojewski T, Żegleń M, Zejglicova K, Zeljkovic Vrkic T, Zeng Y, Zentai A, Zhang B, Zhang L, Zhang ZY, Zhao D, Zhao MH, Zhao W, Zhecheva YV, Zhen S, Zheng W, Zheng Y, Zholdin B, Zhou M, Zhu D, Zimmet P, Zins M, Zitt E, Zocalo Y, Zoghlami N, Zuñiga Cisneros J, Zuziak M, Ezzati M. Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults. Lancet 2024; 403:1027-1050. [PMID: 38432237 PMCID: PMC7615769 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)02750-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 03/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Underweight and obesity are associated with adverse health outcomes throughout the life course. We estimated the individual and combined prevalence of underweight or thinness and obesity, and their changes, from 1990 to 2022 for adults and school-aged children and adolescents in 200 countries and territories. METHODS We used data from 3663 population-based studies with 222 million participants that measured height and weight in representative samples of the general population. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in the prevalence of different BMI categories, separately for adults (age ≥20 years) and school-aged children and adolescents (age 5-19 years), from 1990 to 2022 for 200 countries and territories. For adults, we report the individual and combined prevalence of underweight (BMI <18·5 kg/m2) and obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2). For school-aged children and adolescents, we report thinness (BMI <2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference) and obesity (BMI >2 SD above the median). FINDINGS From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity in adults decreased in 11 countries (6%) for women and 17 (9%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 that the observed changes were true decreases. The combined prevalence increased in 162 countries (81%) for women and 140 countries (70%) for men with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. In 2022, the combined prevalence of underweight and obesity was highest in island nations in the Caribbean and Polynesia and Micronesia, and countries in the Middle East and north Africa. Obesity prevalence was higher than underweight with posterior probability of at least 0·80 in 177 countries (89%) for women and 145 (73%) for men in 2022, whereas the converse was true in 16 countries (8%) for women, and 39 (20%) for men. From 1990 to 2022, the combined prevalence of thinness and obesity decreased among girls in five countries (3%) and among boys in 15 countries (8%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80, and increased among girls in 140 countries (70%) and boys in 137 countries (69%) with a posterior probability of at least 0·80. The countries with highest combined prevalence of thinness and obesity in school-aged children and adolescents in 2022 were in Polynesia and Micronesia and the Caribbean for both sexes, and Chile and Qatar for boys. Combined prevalence was also high in some countries in south Asia, such as India and Pakistan, where thinness remained prevalent despite having declined. In 2022, obesity in school-aged children and adolescents was more prevalent than thinness with a posterior probability of at least 0·80 among girls in 133 countries (67%) and boys in 125 countries (63%), whereas the converse was true in 35 countries (18%) and 42 countries (21%), respectively. In almost all countries for both adults and school-aged children and adolescents, the increases in double burden were driven by increases in obesity, and decreases in double burden by declining underweight or thinness. INTERPRETATION The combined burden of underweight and obesity has increased in most countries, driven by an increase in obesity, while underweight and thinness remain prevalent in south Asia and parts of Africa. A healthy nutrition transition that enhances access to nutritious foods is needed to address the remaining burden of underweight while curbing and reversing the increase in obesity. FUNDING UK Medical Research Council, UK Research and Innovation (Research England), UK Research and Innovation (Innovate UK), and European Union.
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Zhou B, Sheffer KE, Bennett JE, Gregg EW, Danaei G, Singleton RK, Shaw JE, Mishra A, Lhoste VPF, Carrillo-Larco RM, Kengne AP, Phelps NH, Heap RA, Rayner AW, Stevens GA, Paciorek CJ, Riley LM, Cowan MJ, Savin S, Vander Hoorn S, Lu Y, Pavkov ME, Imperatore G, Aguilar-Salinas CA, Ahmad NA, Anjana RM, Davletov K, Farzadfar F, González-Villalpando C, Khang YH, Kim HC, Laatikainen T, Laxmaiah A, Mbanya JCN, Narayan KMV, Ramachandran A, Wade AN, Zdrojewski T, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Rahim HFA, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Adambekov S, Adams RJ, Aekplakorn W, Agdeppa IA, Aghazadeh-Attari J, Agyemang C, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi N, Ahmadi N, Ahmed SH, Ajlouni K, Al-Hinai H, Al-Lahou B, Al-Lawati JA, Asfoor DA, Al Qaoud NM, Alarouj M, AlBuhairan F, AlDhukair S, Aldwairji MA, Ali MM, Alinezhad F, Alkandari A, Alomirah HF, Aly E, Amarapurkar DN, Andersen LB, Anderssen SA, Andrade DS, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Aris T, Arlappa N, Aryal KK, Assah FK, Assembekov B, Auvinen J, Avdičová M, Azad K, Azimi-Nezhad M, Azizi F, Bacopoulou F, Balakrishna N, Bamoshmoosh M, Banach M, Bandosz P, Banegas JR, Barbagallo CM, Barceló A, Baretić M, Barrera L, Basit A, Batieha AM, Batista AP, Baur LA, Belavendra A, Ben Romdhane H, Benet M, Berkinbayev S, Bernabe-Ortiz A, Berrios Carrasola X, Bettiol H, Beybey AF, Bhargava SK, Bika Lele EC, Bikbov MM, Bista B, Bjerregaard P, Bjertness E, Bjertness MB, Björkelund C, Bloch KV, Blokstra A, Bo S, Bobak M, Boggia JG, Bonaccio M, Bonilla-Vargas A, Borghs H, Bovet P, Brajkovich I, Brenner H, Brewster LM, Brian GR, Briceño Y, Brito M, Bugge A, Buntinx F, Cabrera de León A, Caixeta RB, Can G, Cândido APC, Capanzana MV, Čapková N, Capuano E, Capuano R, Capuano V, Cardoso VC, Carlsson AC, Casanueva FF, Censi L, Cervantes‐Loaiza M, Chamnan P, Chamukuttan S, Chan Q, Charchar FJ, Chaturvedi N, Chen H, Cheraghian B, Chirlaque MD, Chudek J, Cifkova R, Cirillo M, Claessens F, Cohen E, Concin H, Cooper C, Costanzo S, Cowell C, Crujeiras AB, Cruz JJ, Cureau FV, Cuschieri S, D’Arrigo G, d’Orsi E, Dallongeville J, Damasceno A, Dastgiri S, De Curtis A, de Gaetano G, De Henauw S, Deepa M, DeGennaro V, Demarest S, Dennison E, Deschamps V, Dhimal M, Dika Z, Djalalinia S, Donfrancesco C, Dong G, Dorobantu M, Dörr M, Dragano N, Drygas W, Du Y, Duante CA, Duboz P, Dushpanova A, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk E, Ebrahimi N, Eddie R, Eftekhar E, Efthymiou V, Egbagbe EE, Eghtesad S, El-Khateeb M, El Ati J, Eldemire-Shearer D, Elosua R, Enang O, Erasmus RT, Erbel R, Erem C, Ergor G, Eriksen L, Eriksson JG, Esmaeili A, Evans RG, Fakhradiyev I, Fall CH, Faramarzi E, Farjam M, Farzi Y, Fattahi MR, Fawwad A, Felix-Redondo FJ, Ferguson TS, Fernández-Bergés D, Ferrari M, Ferreccio C, Ferreira HS, Ferrer E, Feskens EJM, Flood D, Forsner M, Fosse S, Fottrell EF, Fouad HM, Francis DK, Frontera G, Furusawa T, Gaciong Z, Garnett SP, Gasull M, Gazzinelli A, Gehring U, Ghaderi E, Ghamari SH, Ghanbari A, Ghasemi E, Gheorghe-Fronea OF, Ghimire A, Gialluisi A, Giampaoli S, Gianfagna F, Gill TK, Gironella G, Giwercman A, Goltzman D, Gomula A, Gonçalves H, Gonçalves M, Gonzalez-Chica DA, Gonzalez-Gross M, González-Rivas JP, González-Villalpando ME, Gonzalez AR, Gottrand F, Grafnetter D, Grodzicki T, Grøntved A, Guerrero R, Gujral UP, Gupta R, Gutierrez L, Gwee X, Haghshenas R, Hakimi H, Hambleton IR, Hamzeh B, Hanekom WA, Hange D, Hantunen S, Hao J, Hari Kumar R, Harooni J, Hashemi-Shahri SM, Hata J, Heidemann C, Henrique RDS, Herrala S, Herzig KH, Heshmat R, Ho SY, Holdsworth M, Homayounfar R, Hopman WM, Horimoto ARVR, Hormiga C, Horta BL, Houti L, Howitt C, Htay TT, Htet AS, Htike MMT, Huerta JM, Huhtaniemi IT, Huisman M, Husseini A, Huybrechts I, Iacoviello L, Iakupova EM, Iannone AG, Ibrahim Wong N, Ijoma C, Irazola VE, Ishida T, Isiguzo GC, Islam SMS, Islek D, Ittermann T, Iwasaki M, Jääskeläinen T, Jacobs JM, Jaddou HY, Jadoul M, Jallow B, James K, Jamil KM, Janus E, Jarvelin MR, Jasienska G, Jelaković A, Jelaković B, Jennings G, Jha AK, Jimenez RO, Jöckel KH, Jokelainen JJ, Jonas JB, Joshi P, Josipović J, Joukar F, Jóźwiak J, Kafatos A, Kajantie EO, Kalmatayeva Z, Karki KB, Katibeh M, Kauhanen J, Kazakbaeva GM, Kaze FF, Ke C, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi S, Kelishadi R, Keramati M, Kersting M, Khader YS, Khaledifar A, Khalili D, Kheiri B, Kheradmand M, Khosravi A, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer U, Kiechl SJ, Kiechl S, Kingston A, Klakk H, Klanova J, Knoflach M, Kolsteren P, König J, Korpelainen R, Korrovits P, Kos J, Koskinen S, Kowlessur S, Koziel S, Kriemler S, Kristensen PL, Kromhout D, Kubinova R, Kujala UM, Kulimbet M, Kurjata P, Kyobutungi C, La QN, Labadarios D, Lachat C, Laid Y, Lall L, Lankila T, Lanska V, Lappas G, Larijani B, Latt TS, Laurenzi M, Lehmann N, Lehtimäki T, Lemogoum D, Leung GM, Li Y, Lima-Costa MF, Lin HH, Lind L, Lissner L, Liu X, Lopez-Garcia E, Lopez T, Lozano JE, Luksiene D, Lundqvist A, Lunet N, Lustigová M, Machado-Coelho GLL, Machado-Rodrigues AM, Macia E, Macieira LM, Madar AA, Maestre GE, Maggi S, Magliano DJ, Magriplis E, Mahasampath G, Maire B, Makdisse M, Malekpour MR, Malekzadeh F, Malekzadeh R, Mallikharjuna Rao K, Malyutina S, Maniego LV, Manios Y, Mannix MI, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Manzato E, Margozzini P, Mariño J, Marques LP, Martorell R, Mascarenhas LP, Masinaei M, Mathiesen EB, Matsha TE, Mc Donald Posso AJ, McFarlane SR, McGarvey ST, Mediene Benchekor S, Mehlig K, Mehrparvar AH, Melgarejo JD, Méndez F, Menezes AMB, Mereke A, Meshram II, Meto DT, Minderico CS, Mini GK, Miquel JF, Miranda JJ, Mirjalili MR, Modesti PA, Moghaddam SS, Mohamed MK, Mohammad K, Mohammadi MR, Mohammadi Z, Mohammadifard N, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohan V, Mohd Yusoff MF, Mohebbi I, Møller NC, Molnár D, Momenan A, Mondo CK, Montenegro Mendoza RA, Monterrubio-Flores E, Moosazadeh M, Moradpour F, Morejon A, Moreno LA, Morgan K, Morin SN, Moslem A, Mosquera M, Mossakowska M, Mostafa A, Mostafavi SA, Motlagh ME, Motta J, Msyamboza KP, Mu TT, Muiesan ML, Mursu J, Musa KI, Mustafa N, Muyer MTMC, Nabipour I, Nagel G, Naidu BM, Najafi F, Námešná J, Nangia VB, Naseri T, Neelapaichit N, Nejatizadeh A, Nenko I, Nervi F, Ng TP, Nguyen CT, Nguyen QN, Ni MY, Nie P, Nieto-Martínez RE, Ninomiya T, Noale M, Noboa OA, Noto D, Nsour MA, Nuhoğlu I, O’Neill TW, Odili AN, Oh K, Ohtsuka R, Omar MA, Onat A, Ong SK, Onodugo O, Ordunez P, Ornelas R, Ortiz PJ, Osmond C, Ostovar A, Otero JA, Ottendahl CB, Otu A, Owusu-Dabo E, Palmieri L, Pan WH, Panda-Jonas S, Panza F, Paoli M, Park S, Parsaeian M, Patel ND, Pechlaner R, Pećin I, Pedro JM, Peixoto SV, Peltonen M, Pereira AC, Pessôa dos Prazeres TM, Peykari N, Phall MC, Pham ST, Phan HH, Pichardo RN, Pikhart H, Pilav A, Piler P, Pitakaka F, Piwonska A, Pizarro AN, Plans-Rubió P, Plata S, Porta M, Poudyal A, Pourfarzi F, Pourshams A, Poustchi H, Pradeepa R, Providencia R, Puder JJ, Puhakka S, Punab M, Qorbani M, Quintana HK, Quoc Bao T, Rahimikazerooni S, Raitakari O, Ramirez-Zea M, Ramke J, Ramos R, Rampal L, Rampal S, Rangel Reina DA, Rashidi MM, Redon J, Renner JDP, Reuter CP, Revilla L, Rezaei N, Rezaianzadeh A, Rigo F, Roa RG, Robinson L, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, Rodriguez-Perez MDC, Rodríguez-Villamizar LA, Rodríguez AY, Roggenbuck U, Rohloff P, Romeo EL, Rosengren A, Rubinstein A, Rust P, Rutkowski M, Sabbaghi H, Sachdev HS, Sadjadi A, Safarpour AR, Safi S, Safiri S, Saghi MH, Saidi O, Saki N, Šalaj S, Salanave B, Salonen JT, Salvetti M, Sánchez-Abanto J, Santos DA, Santos LC, Santos MP, Santos TR, Saramies JL, Sardinha LB, Sarrafzadegan N, Saum KU, Sbaraini M, Scazufca M, Schaan BD, Scheidt-Nave C, Schipf S, Schmidt CO, Schöttker B, Schramm S, Sebert S, Sedaghattalab M, Sein AA, Sepanlou SG, Sewpaul R, Shamah-Levy T, Shamshirgaran SM, Sharafkhah M, Sharma SK, Sharman A, Shayanrad A, Shayesteh AA, Shimizu-Furusawa H, Shiri R, Shrestha N, Si-Ramlee K, Silva DAS, Simon M, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöström M, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Smeeth L, Sobngwi E, Söderberg S, Soemantri A, Sofat R, Solfrizzi V, Somi MH, Soumaré A, Sousa-Poza A, Sparrenberger K, Staessen JA, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stein AD, Stessman J, Stokwiszewski J, Stronks K, Suarez-Ortegón MF, Suebsamran P, Sundström J, Suriyawongpaisal P, Sylva RC, Szklo M, Tamosiunas A, Tarawneh MR, Tarqui-Mamani CB, Taylor A, Taylor J, Tello T, Thankappan KR, Theobald H, Theodoridis X, Thomas N, Thrift AG, Timmermans EJ, Tjandrarini DH, Tolonen HK, Tolstrup JS, Tomaszewski M, Topbas M, Torres-Collado L, Traissac P, Triantafyllou A, Tuitele J, Tuliakova AM, Tulloch-Reid MK, Tuomainen TP, Tzala E, Tzourio C, Ueda P, Ugel E, Ukoli FAM, Ulmer H, Uusitalo HMT, Valdivia G, van den Born BJ, Van der Heyden J, Van Minh H, van Rossem L, Van Schoor NM, van Valkengoed IGM, van Zutphen EM, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Vasan SK, Vega T, Velasquez-Melendez G, Verstraeten R, Viet L, Villalpando S, Vioque J, Virtanen JK, Viswanathan B, Voutilainen A, Wan Bebakar WM, Wan Mohamud WN, Wang C, Wang N, Wang Q, Wang YX, Wang YW, Wannamethee SG, Webster-Kerr K, Wedderkopp N, Wei W, Westbury LD, Whincup PH, Widhalm K, Widyahening IS, Więcek A, Wilks RJ, Willeit J, Willeit P, Wilsgaard T, Wojtyniak B, Wong A, Wong EB, Woodward M, Wu FC, Xu H, Xu L, Yaacob NA, Yan L, Yan W, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, Younger-Coleman NO, Yu YL, Yu Y, Yusoff AF, Zainuddin AA, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zaw KK, Zeljkovic Vrkic T, Zeng Y, Zhang ZY, Zholdin B, Zimmet P, Zitt E, Zoghlami N, Zuñiga Cisneros J, Ezzati M. Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c. Nat Med 2023; 29:2885-2901. [PMID: 37946056 PMCID: PMC10667106 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2023] [Accepted: 09/25/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG, HbA1c or both. We developed prediction equations for estimating the probability that a person without previously diagnosed diabetes, and at a specific level of FPG, had elevated HbA1c, and vice versa. The age-standardized proportion of diabetes that was previously undiagnosed and detected in survey screening ranged from 30% in the high-income western region to 66% in south Asia. Among those with screen-detected diabetes with either test, the age-standardized proportion who had elevated levels of both FPG and HbA1c was 29-39% across regions; the remainder had discordant elevation of FPG or HbA1c. In most low- and middle-income regions, isolated elevated HbA1c was more common than isolated elevated FPG. In these regions, the use of FPG alone may delay diabetes diagnosis and underestimate diabetes prevalence. Our prediction equations help allocate finite resources for measuring HbA1c to reduce the global shortfall in diabetes diagnosis and surveillance.
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Magnussen C, Ojeda FM, Leong DP, Alegre-Diaz J, Amouyel P, Aviles-Santa L, De Bacquer D, Ballantyne CM, Bernabe-Ortiz A, Bobak M, Brenner H, Carrillo-Larco RM, de Lemos J, Dobson A, Dörr M, Donfrancesco C, Drygas W, Dullaart RP, Engström G, Ferrario MM, Ferrieres J, de Gaetano G, Goldbourt U, Gonzalez C, Grassi G, Hodge AM, Hveem K, Iacoviello L, Ikram MK, Irazola V, Jobe M, Jousilahti P, Kaleebu P, Kavousi M, Kee F, Khalili D, Koenig W, Kontsevaya A, Kuulasmaa K, Lackner KJ, Leistner DM, Lind L, Linneberg A, Lorenz T, Lyngbakken MN, Malekzadeh R, Malyutina S, Mathiesen EB, Melander O, Metspalu A, Miranda JJ, Moitry M, Mugisha J, Nalini M, Nambi V, Ninomiya T, Oppermann K, d’Orsi E, Pajak A, Palmieri L, Panagiotakos D, Perianayagam A, Peters A, Poustchi H, Prentice AM, Prescott E, Risérus U, Salomaa V, Sans S, Sakata S, Schöttker B, Schutte AE, Sepanlou SG, Sharma SK, Shaw JE, Simons LA, Söderberg S, Tamosiunas A, Thorand B, Tunstall-Pedoe H, Twerenbold R, Vanuzzo D, Veronesi G, Waibel J, Wannamethee SG, Watanabe M, Wild P, Yao Y, Zeng Y, Ziegler A, Blankenberg S. Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality. N Engl J Med 2023; 389:1273-1285. [PMID: 37632466 PMCID: PMC10589462 DOI: 10.1056/nejmoa2206916] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 39.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking. METHODS We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6). CONCLUSIONS Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).
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Affiliation(s)
- Christina Magnussen
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Hamburg/Kiel/Luebeck, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Francisco M. Ojeda
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Darryl P. Leong
- Department of Medicine (Cardiology), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
| | - Jesus Alegre-Diaz
- Experimental Medicine Research Unit from the School of Medicine, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City
| | - Philippe Amouyel
- Univ. Lille, Inserm, Centre Hosp. Univ Lille, Institut Pasteur de Lille, UMR1167 - RID-AGE LabEx DISTALZ - Risk factors and molecular determinants of aging-related diseases, F-59000 Lille, France
| | - Larissa Aviles-Santa
- Division of Clinical and Health Services Research, National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities at the National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Dirk De Bacquer
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
| | | | - Antonio Bernabe-Ortiz
- CRONICAS Center of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Martin Bobak
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Hermann Brenner
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Network Aging Research (NAR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Rodrigo M. Carrillo-Larco
- Emory Global Diabetes Research Center and Hubert Department of Global Health Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, USA
| | - James de Lemos
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, USA
| | - Annette Dobson
- School of Public Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Marcus Dörr
- Department of Internal Medicine B, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner Site Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany Cardiovascular Disease (DZD), Site Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany
| | - Chiara Donfrancesco
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging, Istituto Superiore di Sanità-ISS, Rome, Italy
| | - Wojciech Drygas
- Department of Epidemiology, Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Cardiology, Warsaw, Poland
- Lazarski University, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Robin P. Dullaart
- Department of Endocrinology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Gunnar Engström
- Lund University, Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Marco M. Ferrario
- Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
| | - Jean Ferrieres
- Department of Cardiology, INSERM UMR 1295, Toulouse Rangueil University Hospital, 31059 Toulouse, France
| | - Giovanni de Gaetano
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli (IS), Italy
| | - Uri Goldbourt
- Tel Aviv University School of Public Health department of Epidemiology Tel Aviv University School of Public Health department of Epidemiology
| | - Clicerio Gonzalez
- Centro de Estudios en Diabetes AC. Centro de Investigacion en Salud Poblacional. Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica
| | - Guido Grassi
- Clinica Medica, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Allison M. Hodge
- Cancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, 615 St Kilda Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia
- Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia
| | - Kristian Hveem
- HUNT Research Center, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Levanger, Norway
- K.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway
| | - Licia Iacoviello
- Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli (IS), Italy
| | - M. Kamran Ikram
- Departments of Neurology & Epidemiology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Vilma Irazola
- Department of Chronic Diseases, Institute for Clinical Effectiveness and Health Policy, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Modou Jobe
- MRC Unit The Gambia @ London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Banjul, The Gambia
| | - Pekka Jousilahti
- Department of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare (THL), Helsinki, Finland
| | | | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Frank Kee
- Centre for Public Health, Queens University Belfast
| | - Davood Khalili
- Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Wolfgang Koenig
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), partner site Munich Heart Alliance, Munich, Germany
- German Heart Centre, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany
- Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, University of Ulm, Ulm, Germany
| | - Anna Kontsevaya
- National research center for therapy and preventive medicine of the Ministry of Healthcare of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
| | - Kari Kuulasmaa
- Department of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare (THL), Helsinki, Finland
| | - Karl J. Lackner
- Institute of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
- DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site RhineMain, Mainz, Germany
| | - David M. Leistner
- University Heart & Vascular Center Frankfurt, Frankfurt/Main, Germany and German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Rhein/Main, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Lars Lind
- Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Allan Linneberg
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Center for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg/Frederiksberg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Thiess Lorenz
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Hamburg/Kiel/Luebeck, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Magnus Nakrem Lyngbakken
- Department of Cardiology, Division of Medicine, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway
- K.G. Jebsen Center for Cardiac Biomarkers, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Reza Malekzadeh
- Liver and Pancreaticobiliary Disease Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Digestive Oncology Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Digestive Disease Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sofia Malyutina
- Research Institute of Internal and Preventive Medicine, Branch of ‘Federal Research Center Institute of Cytology and Genetics’ (IC&G), Siberian Branch of RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia
| | - Ellisiv B. Mathiesen
- Department of Clinical Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Olle Melander
- Lund University, Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Andres Metspalu
- Estonian Genome Center, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | - J. Jaime Miranda
- CRONICAS Center of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
- Sydney School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Marie Moitry
- Department of Public health, Strasbourg University Hospital, University of Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France
| | | | - Mahdi Nalini
- Digestive Disease Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Metabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Vijay Nambi
- Michael E DeBakey Veterans Affairs hospital and Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, USA
| | - Toshiharu Ninomiya
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Karen Oppermann
- Medicine School, University of Passo Fundo, Passo Fundo, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
| | - Eleonora d’Orsi
- Department of Public Health, Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianopolis, Brazil
| | - Andrzej Pajak
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Poland
| | - Luigi Palmieri
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging, Istituto Superiore di Sanità-ISS, Rome, Italy
| | | | - Arokiasamy Perianayagam
- National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER), Delhi, India
- International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India
| | - Annette Peters
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), partner site Munich Heart Alliance, Munich, Germany
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
- Chair of Epidemiology, Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
| | - Hossein Poustchi
- Digestive Oncology Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Digestive Disease Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Andrew M. Prentice
- MRC Unit The Gambia @ London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Banjul, The Gambia
| | - Eva Prescott
- Department of Cardiology, Bispebjerg Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Ulf Risérus
- Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Veikko Salomaa
- Department of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare (THL), Helsinki, Finland
| | - Susana Sans
- Catalan Department of Health, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Satoko Sakata
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Ben Schöttker
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Network Aging Research (NAR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Aletta E. Schutte
- The School of Population Health, University of New South Wales; The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, Australia
- Hypertension in Africa Research Team (HART), SAMRC Unit for Hypertension and Cardiovascular Disease, North-West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa
| | - Sadaf G. Sepanlou
- Digestive Disease Research Center, Digestive Disease Research Institute, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sanjib Kumar Sharma
- Department of Internal Medicine, BP Koirala Institute of Health Sciences, Dharan, Nepal
| | | | | | - Stefan Söderberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, University of Umea, Umea, Sweden
| | - Abdonas Tamosiunas
- Laboratory of Population Studies, Institute of Cardiology, Kaunas, Lithuania; Department of Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania
| | - Barbara Thorand
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Partner Munich-Neuherberg, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Hugh Tunstall-Pedoe
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Cardiovascular Research, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK
| | - Raphael Twerenbold
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Hamburg/Kiel/Luebeck, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | | | - Giovanni Veronesi
- Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
| | - Julia Waibel
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Hamburg/Kiel/Luebeck, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - S. Goya Wannamethee
- Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Masafumi Watanabe
- Global Center of Excellence Program Study Group, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan
| | - Philipp Wild
- University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
| | - Yao Yao
- China Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China
- Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of Education, Beijing, China
| | - Yi Zeng
- China Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China
- Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development and Geriatrics Division, Medical School of Duke University, Durham, NC, US
| | - Andreas Ziegler
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- Cardio-CARE, Davos, Switzerland
- School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa
- Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Stefan Blankenberg
- University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Disease (DZHK), Partner site Hamburg/Kiel/Luebeck, Hamburg, Germany
- Center for Population Health Innovation (POINT), University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- Cardio-CARE, Davos, Switzerland
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Wang Q, Schmidt AF, Lennon LT, Papacosta O, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Prospective associations between diet quality, dietary components, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older British men. Eur J Nutr 2023; 62:2793-2804. [PMID: 37335359 PMCID: PMC10468910 DOI: 10.1007/s00394-023-03193-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2022] [Accepted: 06/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/21/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is a major public health challenge. This study investigated the prospective relationships between diet quality, dietary components, and risk of CMM in older British men. METHODS We used data from the British Regional Heart Study of 2873 men aged 60-79 free of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and type 2 diabetes (T2D) at baseline. CMM was defined as the coexistence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases, including MI, stroke, and T2D. Sourcing baseline food frequency questionnaire, the Elderly Dietary Index (EDI), which was a diet quality score based on Mediterranean diet and MyPyramid for Older Adults, was generated. Cox proportional hazards regression and multi-state model were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS During a median follow-up of 19.3 years, 891 participants developed first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), and 109 developed CMM. Cox regression analyses found no significant association between baseline EDI and risk of CMM. However, fish/seafood consumption, a dietary component of the EDI score, was inversely associated with risk of CMM, with HR 0.44 (95% CI 0.26, 0.73) for consuming fish/seafood 1-2 days/week compared to less than 1 day/week after adjustment. Further analyses with multi-state model showed that fish/seafood consumption played a protective role in the transition from FCMD to CMM. CONCLUSIONS Our study did not find a significant association of baseline EDI with CMM but showed that consuming more fish/seafood per week was associated with a lower risk of transition from FCMD to CMM in older British men.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiaoye Wang
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
| | - Amand Floriaan Schmidt
- Department of Population Science and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1E 6DD, UK
- Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, SW17 0RE, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
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Kaptoge S, Seshasai SRK, Sun L, Walker M, Bolton T, Spackman S, Ataklte F, Willeit P, Bell S, Burgess S, Pennells L, Altay S, Assmann G, Ben-Shlomo Y, Best LG, Björkelund C, Blazer DG, Brenner H, Brunner EJ, Dagenais GR, Cooper JA, Cooper C, Crespo CJ, Cushman M, D'Agostino RB, Daimon M, Daniels LB, Danker R, Davidson KW, de Jongh RT, Donfrancesco C, Ducimetiere P, Elders PJM, Engström G, Ford I, Gallacher I, Bakker SJL, Goldbourt U, de La Cámara G, Grimsgaard S, Gudnason V, Hansson PO, Imano H, Jukema JW, Kabrhel C, Kauhanen J, Kavousi M, Kiechl S, Knuiman MW, Kromhout D, Krumholz HM, Kuller LH, Laatikainen T, Lowler DA, Meyer HE, Mukamal K, Nietert PJ, Ninomiya T, Nitsch D, Nordestgaard BG, Palmieri L, Price JF, Ridker PM, Sun Q, Rosengren A, Roussel R, Sakurai M, Salomaa V, Schöttker B, Shaw JE, Strandberg TE, Sundström J, Tolonen H, Tverdal A, Verschuren WMM, Völzke H, Wagenknecht L, Wallace RB, Wannamethee SG, Wareham NJ, Wassertheil-Smoller S, Yamagishi K, Yeap BB, Harrison S, Inouye M, Griffin S, Butterworth AS, Wood AM, Thompson SG, Sattar N, Danesh J, Di Angelantonio E, Tipping RW, Russell S, Johansen M, Bancks MP, Mongraw-Chaffin M, Magliano D, Barr ELM, Zimmet PZ, Knuiman MW, Whincup PH, Willeit J, Willeit P, Leitner C, Lawlor DA, Ben-Shlomo Y, Elwood P, Sutherland SE, Hunt KJ, Cushman M, Selmer RM, Haheim LL, Ariansen I, Tybjaer-Hansen A, Frikkle-Schmidt R, Langsted A, Donfrancesco C, Lo Noce C, Balkau B, Bonnet F, Fumeron F, Pablos DL, Ferro CR, Morales TG, Mclachlan S, Guralnik J, Khaw KT, Brenner H, Holleczek B, Stocker H, Nissinen A, Palmieri L, Vartiainen E, Jousilahti P, Harald K, Massaro JM, Pencina M, Lyass A, Susa S, Oizumi T, Kayama T, Chetrit A, Roth J, Orenstein L, Welin L, Svärdsudd K, Lissner L, Hange D, Mehlig K, Salomaa V, Tilvis RS, Dennison E, Cooper C, Westbury L, Norman PE, Almeida OP, Hankey GJ, Hata J, Shibata M, Furuta Y, Bom MT, Rutters F, Muilwijk M, Kraft P, Lindstrom S, Turman C, Kiyama M, Kitamura A, Yamagishi K, Gerber Y, Laatikainen T, Salonen JT, van Schoor LN, van Zutphen EM, Verschuren WMM, Engström G, Melander O, Psaty BM, Blaha M, de Boer IH, Kronmal RA, Sattar N, Rosengren A, Nitsch D, Grandits G, Tverdal A, Shin HC, Albertorio JR, Gillum RF, Hu FB, Cooper JA, Humphries S, Hill- Briggs F, Vrany E, Butler M, Schwartz JE, Kiyama M, Kitamura A, Iso H, Amouyel P, Arveiler D, Ferrieres J, Gansevoort RT, de Boer R, Kieneker L, Crespo CJ, Assmann G, Trompet S, Kearney P, Cantin B, Després JP, Lamarche B, Laughlin G, McEvoy L, Aspelund T, Thorsson B, Sigurdsson G, Tilly M, Ikram MA, Dorr M, Schipf S, Völzke H, Fretts AM, Umans JG, Ali T, Shara N, Davey-Smith G, Can G, Yüksel H, Özkan U, Nakagawa H, Morikawa Y, Ishizaki M, Njølstad I, Wilsgaard T, Mathiesen E, Sundström J, Buring J, Cook N, Arndt V, Rothenbacher D, Manson J, Tinker L, Shipley M, Tabak AG, Kivimaki M, Packard C, Robertson M, Feskens E, Geleijnse M, Kromhout D. Life expectancy associated with different ages at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in high-income countries: 23 million person-years of observation. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol 2023; 11:731-742. [PMID: 37708900 PMCID: PMC7615299 DOI: 10.1016/s2213-8587(23)00223-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2022] [Revised: 07/14/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is increasing rapidly, particularly among younger age groups. Estimates suggest that people with diabetes die, on average, 6 years earlier than people without diabetes. We aimed to provide reliable estimates of the associations between age at diagnosis of diabetes and all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and reductions in life expectancy. METHODS For this observational study, we conducted a combined analysis of individual-participant data from 19 high-income countries using two large-scale data sources: the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (96 cohorts, median baseline years 1961-2007, median latest follow-up years 1980-2013) and the UK Biobank (median baseline year 2006, median latest follow-up year 2020). We calculated age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality according to age at diagnosis of diabetes using data from 1 515 718 participants, in whom deaths were recorded during 23·1 million person-years of follow-up. We estimated cumulative survival by applying age-specific HRs to age-specific death rates from 2015 for the USA and the EU. FINDINGS For participants with diabetes, we observed a linear dose-response association between earlier age at diagnosis and higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with participants without diabetes. HRs were 2·69 (95% CI 2·43-2·97) when diagnosed at 30-39 years, 2·26 (2·08-2·45) at 40-49 years, 1·84 (1·72-1·97) at 50-59 years, 1·57 (1·47-1·67) at 60-69 years, and 1·39 (1·29-1·51) at 70 years and older. HRs per decade of earlier diagnosis were similar for men and women. Using death rates from the USA, a 50-year-old individual with diabetes died on average 14 years earlier when diagnosed aged 30 years, 10 years earlier when diagnosed aged 40 years, or 6 years earlier when diagnosed aged 50 years than an individual without diabetes. Using EU death rates, the corresponding estimates were 13, 9, or 5 years earlier. INTERPRETATION Every decade of earlier diagnosis of diabetes was associated with about 3-4 years of lower life expectancy, highlighting the need to develop and implement interventions that prevent or delay the onset of diabetes and to intensify the treatment of risk factors among young adults diagnosed with diabetes. FUNDING British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Health Data Research UK.
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Bush KJ, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Rankin J, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE. Influence of neighborhood-level socioeconomic deprivation and individual socioeconomic position on risk of developing type 2 diabetes in older men: a longitudinal analysis in the British Regional Heart Study cohort. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care 2023; 11:e003559. [PMID: 37907278 PMCID: PMC10619023 DOI: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2023-003559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Accepted: 10/06/2023] [Indexed: 11/02/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Evidence from longitudinal studies on the influence of neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation in older age on the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is limited. This study investigates the prospective associations of neighborhood-level deprivation and individual socioeconomic position (SEP) with T2DM incidence in older age. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS The British Regional Heart Study studied 4252 men aged 60-79 years in 1998-2000. Neighborhood-level deprivation was based on the Index of Multiple Deprivation quintiles for participants' 1998-2000 residential postcode. Individual SEP was defined as social class based on longest-held occupation. A cumulative score of individual socioeconomic factors was derived. Incident T2DM cases were ascertained from primary care records; prevalent cases were excluded. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations. RESULTS Among 3706 men, 368 incident cases of T2DM were observed over 18 years. The age-adjusted T2DM risk increased from the least deprived quintile to the most deprived: HR per quintile increase 1.14 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.23) (p=0.0005). The age-adjusted T2DM HR in social class V (lowest) versus social class I (highest) was 2.45 (95% CI 1.36 to 4.42) (p=0.001). Both associations attenuated but remained significant on adjustment for other deprivation measures, becoming non-significant on adjustment for body mass index and T2DM family history. T2DM risk increased with cumulative individual adverse socioeconomic factors: HR per point increase 1.14 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.24). CONCLUSIONS Inequalities in T2DM risk persist in later life, both in relation to neighborhood-level and individual-level socioeconomic factors. Underlying modifiable risk factors continue to need to be addressed in deprived older age populations to reduce disease burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathryn J Bush
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Judith Rankin
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
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Chen A, Lennon L, Papacosta O, Wannamethee SG. Association of night-time sleep duration and daytime napping with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older British men: Findings from the British Regional HeartStudy. Sleep Med 2023; 109:32-39. [PMID: 37413780 DOI: 10.1016/j.sleep.2023.06.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/20/2023] [Indexed: 07/08/2023]
Abstract
Short and long night-time sleep and daytime napping in young and middle-aged populations were associated with increased mortality, but it is unclear in very older people. The aim of this prospective study was to assess the associations in people aged >70 years. We examined the data of British Regional Heart Study, which included 1722 men aged 71-92 years and had night-time sleep duration and daytime napping measured at baseline and were followed up for nine years. There were 597 deaths. Compared to night-time sleep at 7-<8 h, age-adjusted hazard ratio of all-cause mortality in participants sleeping <6 h was 1.04 (95% CI 0.80-1.35), 1.07 (0.85-1.34) in 6-<7 h, 1.04 (0.83-1.30) in 8-<9 h and 0.93 (0.65-1.33) in ≥9 h. Further adjustments for other co-variables still showed no association, and neither the association with cardiovascular mortality nor non-cardiovascular mortality. Daytime napping, however, was associated with mortality. After adjustment for age, smoking, physical activity, obesity, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, frailty, general health, anti-hypertensive medication and C-reactive protein level, hazard ratio of all-cause mortality in participants with daytime napping >1-h versus no napping was 1.62 (1.18-2.22) and hazard ratio of non-cardiovascular mortality was 1.77 (1.22-2.57). The fully adjusted hazard ratio of cardiovascular mortality was not significantly increased 1.26 (0.69-2.28), although age-adjusted hazard ratio was significant 1.94 (1.20-3.16). In the elderly men, daytime napping was independently associated with increased all-cause and non-cardiovascular mortality, while its association with cardiovascular mortality could be explained by cardiovascular risk factors and co-morbidities. Night-time sleep duration was not associated with mortality risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony Chen
- Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College of London (UCL), UK; Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Clinical Sciences Building, Nottingham City Hospital, Hucknall Road, Nottingham, NG5 1PB, UK
| | - Lucy Lennon
- Dept Primary Care and Population Health, University College of London, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Dept Primary Care and Population Health, University College of London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Dept Primary Care and Population Health, University College of London, UK.
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Kimble R, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Whincup PH, Weyant RJ, Mathers JC, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE. The Relationship of Oral Health with Progression of Physical Frailty among Older Adults: A Longitudinal Study Composed of Two Cohorts of Older Adults from the United Kingdom and United States. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2023; 24:468-474.e3. [PMID: 36584971 PMCID: PMC10398566 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2022.11.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2022] [Revised: 11/24/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the prospective associations between oral health and progression of physical frailty in older adults. DESIGN Prospective analysis. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Data are from the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) comprising 2137 men aged 71 to 92 years from 24 British towns and the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (HABC) Study of 3075 men and women aged 70 to 79 years. METHODS Oral health markers included denture use, tooth count, periodontal disease, self-rated oral health, dry mouth, and perceived difficulty eating. Physical frailty progression after ∼8 years follow-up was determined based on 2 scoring tools: the Fried frailty phenotype (for physical frailty) and the Gill index (for severe frailty). Logistic regression models were conducted to examine the associations between oral health markers and progression to frailty and severe frailty, adjusted for sociodemographic, behavioral, and health-related factors. RESULTS After full adjustment, progression to frailty was associated with dentition [per each additional tooth, odds ratio (OR) 0.97; 95% CI: 0.95-1.00], <21 teeth with (OR 1.74; 95% CI: 1.02-2.96) or without denture use (OR 2.45; 95% CI 1.15-5.21), and symptoms of dry mouth (OR ≥1.8; 95% CI ≥ 1.06-3.10) in the BRHS cohort. In the HABC Study, progression to frailty was associated with dry mouth (OR 2.62; 95% CI 1.05-6.55), self-reported difficulty eating (OR 2.12; 95% CI 1.28-3.50) and ≥2 cumulative oral health problems (OR 2.29; 95% CI 1.17-4.50). Progression to severe frailty was associated with edentulism (OR 4.44; 95% CI 1.39-14.15) and <21 teeth without dentures after full adjustment. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS These findings indicate that oral health problems, particularly tooth loss and dry mouth, in older adults are associated with progression to frailty in later life. Additional research is needed to determine if interventions aimed at maintaining (or improving) oral health can contribute to reducing the risk, and worsening, of physical frailty in older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel Kimble
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK; Division of Sport and Exercise Science, School of Health and Life Sciences, University of the West of Scotland, Blantyre, UK.
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL, London, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London, UK
| | - Robert J Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - John C Mathers
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | | | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
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Mishra A, Zhou B, Rodriguez-Martinez A, Bixby H, Singleton RK, Carrillo-Larco RM, Sheffer KE, Paciorek CJ, Bennett JE, Lhoste V, Iurilli MLC, Di Cesare M, Bentham J, Phelps NH, Sophiea MK, Stevens GA, Danaei G, Cowan MJ, Savin S, Riley LM, Gregg EW, Aekplakorn W, Ahmad NA, Baker JL, Chirita-Emandi A, Farzadfar F, Fink G, Heinen M, Ikeda N, Kengne AP, Khang YH, Laatikainen T, Laxmaiah A, Ma J, Monroy-Valle M, Mridha MK, Padez CP, Reynolds A, Sorić M, Starc G, Wirth JP, Abarca-Gómez L, Abdeen ZA, Abdrakhmanova S, Ghaffar SA, Abdul Rahim HF, Abdurrahmonova Z, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Garba JA, Acosta-Cazares B, Adam I, Adamczyk M, Adams RJ, Adu-Afarwuah S, Afsana K, Afzal S, Agbor VN, Agdeppa IA, Aghazadeh-Attari J, Aguenaou H, Aguilar-Salinas CA, Agyemang C, Ahmad MH, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi N, Ahmadi N, Ahmed I, Ahmed SH, Ahrens W, Aitmurzaeva G, Ajlouni K, Al-Hazzaa HM, Al-Lahou B, Al-Raddadi R, Al Hourani HM, Al Qaoud NM, Alarouj M, AlBuhairan F, AlDhukair S, Aldwairji MA, Alexius S, Ali MM, Alkandari A, Alkerwi A, Alkhatib BM, Allin K, Alvarez-Pedrerol M, Aly E, Amarapurkar DN, Etxezarreta PA, Amoah J, Amougou N, Amouyel P, Andersen LB, Anderssen SA, Androutsos O, Ängquist L, Anjana RM, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Anufrieva E, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Araújo J, Ariansen I, Aris T, Arku RE, Arlappa N, Aryal KK, Aseffa N, Aspelund T, Assah FK, Assembekov B, Assunção MCF, Aung MS, Auvinen J, Avdičová M, Avi S, Azevedo A, Azimi-Nezhad M, Azizi F, Azmin M, Babu BV, Jørgensen MB, Baharudin A, Bahijri S, Bakacs M, Balakrishna N, Balanova Y, Bamoshmoosh M, Banach M, Banegas JR, Baran J, Baran R, Barbagallo CM, Filho VB, Barceló A, Baretić M, Barkat A, Barnoya J, Barrera L, Barreto M, Barros AJD, Barros MVG, Bartosiewicz A, Basit A, Bastos JLD, Bata I, Batieha AM, Batista AP, Batista RL, Battakova Z, Baur LA, Bayauli PM, Beaglehole R, Bel-Serrat S, Belavendra A, Ben Romdhane H, Benedics J, Benet M, Rolandi GEB, Bere E, Bergh IH, Berhane Y, Berkinbayev S, Bernabe-Ortiz A, Bernotiene G, Carrasola XB, Bettiol H, Beutel ME, Beybey AF, Bezerra J, Bhagyalaxmi A, Bharadwaj S, Bhargava SK, Bi H, Bi Y, Bia D, Biasch K, Lele ECB, Bikbov MM, Bista B, Bjelica DJ, Bjerregaard AA, Bjerregaard P, Bjertness E, Bjertness MB, Björkelund C, Bloch KV, Blokstra A, Magnazu MB, Bo S, Bobak M, Boddy LM, Boehm BO, Boer JMA, Boggia JG, Bogova E, Boissonnet CP, Bojesen SE, Bonaccio M, Bongard V, Bonilla-Vargas A, Bopp M, Borghs H, Bovet P, Boymatova K, Braeckevelt L, Braeckman L, Bragt MCE, Brajkovich I, Branca F, Breckenkamp J, Breda J, Brenner H, Brewster LM, Brian GR, Briceño Y, Brinduse L, Brito M, Brophy S, Brug J, Bruno G, Bugge A, Buntinx F, Buoncristiano M, Burazeri G, Burns C, de León AC, Cacciottolo J, Cai H, Caixeta RB, Cama T, Cameron C, Camolas J, Can G, Cândido APC, Cañete F, Capanzana MV, Čapková N, Capuano E, Capuano R, Capuano V, Cardol M, Cardoso VC, Carlsson AC, Carmuega E, Carvalho J, Casajús JA, Casanueva FF, Casas M, Celikcan E, Censi L, Cervantes‐Loaiza M, Cesar JA, Chamukuttan S, Chan A, Chan Q, Chaturvedi HK, Chaturvedi N, Rahim NCA, Chee ML, Chen CJ, Chen F, Chen H, Chen S, Chen Z, Cheng CY, Cheng YJ, Cheraghian B, Chetrit A, Chikova-Iscener E, Chinapaw MJM, Chinnock A, Chiolero A, Chiou ST, Chirlaque MD, Cho B, Christensen K, Christofaro DG, Chudek J, Cifkova R, Cilia M, Cinteza E, Cirillo M, Claessens F, Clarke J, Clays E, Cohen E, Compañ-Gabucio LM, Concin H, Confortin SC, Cooper C, Coppinger TC, Corpeleijn E, Cortés LY, Costanzo S, Cottel D, Cowell C, Craig CL, Crampin AC, Cross AJ, Crujeiras AB, Cruz JJ, Csányi T, Csilla S, Cucu AM, Cui L, Cureau FV, Cuschieri S, Czenczek-Lewandowska E, D’Arrigo G, d’Orsi E, Dacica L, Dallongeville J, Damasceno A, Damsgaard CT, Dankner R, Dantoft TM, Dasgupta P, Dastgiri S, Dauchet L, Davletov K, de Assis MAA, De Backer G, De Bacquer D, De Curtis A, de Fragas Hinnig P, de Gaetano G, De Henauw S, De Miguel-Etayo P, de Oliveira PD, De Ridder D, De Ridder K, de Rooij SR, De Smedt D, Deepa M, Deev AD, DeGennaro V, Delisle H, Delpeuch F, Demarest S, Dennison E, Dereń K, Deschamps V, Dhimal M, Di Castelnuovo A, Dias-da-Costa JS, Díaz-Sánchez ME, Diaz A, Fernández PD, Ripollés MPD, Dika Z, Djalalinia S, Djordjic V, Do HTP, Dobson AJ, Dominguez L, Donati MB, Donfrancesco C, Dong G, Dong Y, Donoso SP, Döring A, Dorobantu M, Dorosty AR, Doua K, Dragano N, Drygas W, Duan JL, Duante CA, Duboz P, Duleva VL, Dulskiene V, Dumith SC, Dushpanova A, Dyussupova A, Dzerve V, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk E, Echeverría G, Eddie R, Eftekhar E, Egbagbe EE, Eggertsen R, Eghtesad S, Eiben G, Ekelund U, El-Khateeb M, El Ammari L, El Ati J, Eldemire-Shearer D, Eliasen M, Elliott P, Endevelt R, Engle-Stone R, Erasmus RT, Erbel R, Erem C, Ergor G, Eriksen L, Eriksson JG, Escobedo-de la Peña J, Eslami S, Esmaeili A, Evans A, Faeh D, Fakhradiyev I, Fakhretdinova AA, Fall CH, Faramarzi E, Farjam M, Sant’Angelo VF, Fattahi MR, Fawwad A, Fawzi WW, Feigl E, Felix-Redondo FJ, Ferguson TS, Fernandes RA, Fernández-Bergés D, Ferrante D, Ferrao T, Ferrari G, Ferrari M, Ferrario MM, Ferreccio C, Ferreira HS, Ferrer E, Ferrieres J, Figueiró TH, Fijalkowska A, Fisberg M, Fischer K, Foo LH, Forsner M, Fouad HM, Francis DK, do Carmo Franco M, Fras Z, Frontera G, Fuchs FD, Fuchs SC, Fujiati II, Fujita Y, Fumihiko M, Furdela V, Furusawa T, Gaciong Z, Gafencu M, Cuesta MG, Galbarczyk A, Galenkamp H, Galeone D, Galfo M, Galvano F, Gao J, Gao P, Garcia-de-la-Hera M, Mérida MJG, Solano MG, Gareta D, Garnett SP, Gaspoz JM, Gasull M, Gaya ACA, Gaya AR, Gazzinelli A, Gehring U, Geiger H, Geleijnse JM, George R, Ghaderi E, Ghanbari A, Ghasemi E, Gheorghe-Fronea OF, Gialluisi A, Giampaoli S, Gianfagna F, Gieger C, Gill TK, Giovannelli J, Gironella G, Giwercman A, Gkiouras K, Glushkova N, Gluškova N, Godara R, Godos J, Gogen S, Goldberg M, Goltzman D, Gómez G, Gómez JHG, Gomez LF, Gómez SF, Gomula A, da Silva BGC, Gonçalves H, Gonçalves M, González-Alvarez AD, Gonzalez-Chica DA, González-Gil EM, Gonzalez-Gross M, González-Leon M, González-Rivas JP, González-Villalpando C, González-Villalpando ME, Gonzalez AR, Gottrand F, Graça AP, Graff-Iversen S, Grafnetter D, Grajda A, Grammatikopoulou MG, Gregor RD, Gregório MJ, Grøholt EK, Grøntved A, Grosso G, Gruden G, Gu D, Guajardo V, Gualdi-Russo E, Guallar-Castillón P, Gualtieri A, Gudmundsson EF, Gudnason V, Guerrero R, Guessous I, Guimaraes AL, Gulliford MC, Gunnlaugsdottir J, Gunter MJ, Guo XH, Guo Y, Gupta PC, Gupta R, Gureje O, González EG, Gutierrez L, Gutzwiller F, Gwee X, Ha S, Hadaegh F, Hadjigeorgiou CA, Haghshenas R, Hakimi H, Halkjær J, Hambleton IR, Hamzeh B, Hanekom WA, Hange D, Hanif AAM, Hantunen S, Hao J, Hardman CM, Kumar RH, Lassen TH, Harooni J, Hashemi-Shahri SM, Hassapidou M, Hata J, Haugsgjerd T, Hayes AJ, He J, He Y, He Y, Heidinger-Felső R, Heier M, Hejgaard T, Hendriks ME, dos Santos Henrique R, Henriques A, Cadena LH, Herrala S, Herrera-Cuenca M, Herrera VM, Herter-Aeberli I, Herzig KH, Heshmat R, Hill AG, Ho SY, Ho SC, Hobbs M, Höfelmann DA, Holdsworth M, Homayounfar R, Homs C, Hopman WM, Horimoto ARVR, Hormiga CM, Horta BL, Houti L, Howitt C, Htay TT, Htet AS, Htike MMT, Hu Y, Huerta JM, Huhtaniemi IT, Huiart L, Petrescu CH, Huisman M, Husseini A, Huu CN, Huybrechts I, Hwalla N, Hyska J, Iacoviello L, Iakupova EM, Ibarluzea JM, Ibrahim MM, Wong NI, Ikram MA, Iñiguez C, Iotova V, Irazola VE, Ishida T, Isiguzo GC, Islam M, Islam SMS, Islek D, Ivanova-Pandourska IY, Iwasaki M, Jääskeläinen T, Jackson RT, Jacobs JM, Jadoul M, Jafar T, Jallow B, James K, Jamil KM, Jamrozik K, Jansson A, Janszky I, Janus E, Jarani J, Jarvelin MR, Jasienska G, Jelaković A, Jelaković B, Jennings G, Jiang CQ, Jimenez RO, Jöckel KH, Joffres M, Jokelainen JJ, Jonas JB, Jonnagaddala J, Jørgensen T, Joshi P, Josipović J, Joukar F, Jóźwiak JJ, Judge DS, Juolevi A, Jurak G, Simina IJ, Juresa V, Kaaks R, Kaducu FO, Kafatos A, Kaj M, Kajantie EO, Kakutia N, Kállayová D, Kalmatayeva Z, Kalter-Leibovici O, Kameli Y, Kampmann FB, Kanala KR, Kannan S, Kapantais E, Karaglani E, Karakosta A, Kårhus LL, Karki KB, Katchunga PB, Katibeh M, Katz J, Katzmarzyk PT, Kauhanen J, Kaur P, Kavousi M, Kazakbaeva GM, Kaze FF, Ke C, Keil U, Boker LK, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi S, Kelishadi R, Kelleher C, Kemper HCG, Keramati M, Kerimkulova A, Kersting M, Key T, Khader YS, Khaledifar A, Khalili D, Khaw KT, Kheiri B, Kheradmand M, Khosravi A, Khouw IMSL, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer U, Kiechl SJ, Kiechl S, Killewo J, Kim HC, Kim J, Kindblom JM, Kingston A, Klakk H, Klimek M, Klimont J, Klumbiene J, Knoflach M, Koirala B, Kolle E, Kolsteren P, König J, Korpelainen R, Korrovits P, Korzycka M, Kos J, Koskinen S, Kouda K, Kovács É, Kovacs VA, Kovalskys I, Kowlessur S, Koziel S, Kratenova J, Kratzer W, Kriaucioniene V, Kriemler S, Kristensen PL, Krizan H, Kroker-Lobos MF, Krokstad S, Kromhout D, Kruger HS, Kruger R, Kryst Ł, Kubinova R, Kuciene R, Kujala UM, Kujundzic E, Kulaga Z, Kulimbet M, Kumar RK, Kunešová M, Kurjata P, Kusuma YS, Kutsenko V, Kuulasmaa K, Kyobutungi C, La QN, Laamiri FZ, Lachat C, Lackner KJ, Laid Y, Lall L, Lam TH, Jimenez ML, Landais E, Lanska V, Lappas G, Larijani B, Larissa SP, Latt TS, Laurenzi M, Lauria L, Lazo-Porras M, Le Coroller G, Le Nguyen Bao K, Le Port A, Le TD, Lee J, Lee J, Lee PH, Lehmann N, Lehtimäki T, Lemogoum D, Leskošek B, Leszczak J, Leth-Møller KB, Leung GM, Levitt NS, Li Y, Liivak M, Lilly CL, Lim C, Lim WY, Lima-Costa MF, Lin HH, Lin X, Lin YT, Lind L, Lingam V, Linkohr B, Linneberg A, Lissner L, Litwin M, Liu J, Liu L, Lo WC, Loit HM, Long KQ, Abril GL, Lopes L, Lopes MVV, Lopes O, Lopez-Garcia E, Lopez T, Lotufo PA, Lozano JE, Lukrafka JL, Luksiene D, Lundqvist A, Lunet N, Lunogelo C, Lustigová M, Łuszczki E, M’Buyamba-Kabangu JR, Ma G, Ma X, Machado-Coelho GLL, Machado-Rodrigues AM, Macia E, Macieira LM, Madar AA, Madsen AL, Maestre GE, Maggi S, Magliano DJ, Magnacca S, Magriplis E, Mahasampath G, Maire B, Majer M, Makdisse M, Mäki P, Malekzadeh F, Malekzadeh R, Malhotra R, Rao KM, Malyutina SK, Maniego LV, Manios Y, Manix MI, Mann JI, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Manyanga T, Manzato E, Marcil A, Margozzini P, Mariño J, Markaki A, Markey O, Ioannidou EM, Marques-Vidal P, Marques LP, Marrugat J, Martin-Prevel Y, Martin R, Martorell R, Martos E, Maruszczak K, Marventano S, Masala G, Mascarenhas LP, Masoodi SR, Mathiesen EB, Mathur P, Matijasevich A, Matłosz P, Matsha TE, Matsudo V, Mavrogianni C, Mazur A, Mbanya JCN, McFarlane SR, McGarvey ST, McKee M, McLachlan S, McLean RM, McLean SB, McNairy ML, McNulty BA, Benchekor SM, Medzioniene J, Mehdipour P, Mehlig K, Mehrparvar AH, Meirhaeghe A, Meisfjord J, Meisinger C, Melgarejo JD, Melkumova M, Mello J, Méndez F, Mendivil CO, Menezes AMB, Menon GR, Mensink GBM, Menzano MT, Meshram II, Meto DT, Mi J, Michaelsen KF, Michels N, Mikkel K, Miłkowska K, Miller JC, Milushkina O, Minderico CS, Mini GK, Miquel JF, Miranda JJ, Mirjalili MR, Mirkopoulou D, Mirrakhimov E, Mišigoj-Duraković M, Mistretta A, Mocanu V, Modesti PA, Moghaddam SS, Mohajer B, Mohamed MK, Mohamed SF, Mohammad K, Mohammadi MR, Mohammadi Z, Mohammadifard N, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohan V, Mohanna S, Yusoff MFM, Mohebbi I, Mohebi F, Moitry M, Møllehave LT, Møller NC, Molnár D, Momenan A, Mondo CK, Montenegro Mendoza RA, Monterrubio-Flores E, Monyeki KDK, Moon JS, Moosazadeh M, Mopa HT, Moradpour F, Moreira LB, Morejon A, Moreno LA, Morey F, Morgan K, Morin SN, Mortensen EL, Moschonis G, Moslem A, Mossakowska M, Mostafa A, Mostafavi SA, Mota-Pinto A, Mota J, Motlagh ME, Motta J, Moura-dos-Santos MA, Movsesyan Y, Msyamboza KP, Mu TT, Muc M, Muca F, Mugoša B, Muiesan ML, Müller-Nurasyid M, Münzel T, Mursu J, Murtagh EM, Musa KI, Milanović SM, Musil V, Musinguzi G, Muyer MTMC, Nabipour I, Naderimagham S, Nagel G, Najafi F, Nakamura H, Nalecz H, Námešná J, Nang EEK, Nangia VB, Nankap M, Narake S, Nardone P, Naseri T, Nauck M, Neal WA, Nejatizadeh A, Nekkantti C, Nelis K, Nenko I, Neovius M, Nervi F, Ng TP, Nguyen CT, Nguyen ND, Nguyen QN, Ni MY, Nicolescu R, Nie P, Nieto-Martínez RE, Nikitin YP, Ning G, Ninomiya T, Nishi N, Nishtar S, Noale M, Noboa OA, Nogueira H, Nordendahl M, Nordestgaard BG, Noto D, Nowak-Szczepanska N, Nsour MA, Nuhoğlu I, Nunes B, Nurk E, Nuwaha F, Nyirenda M, O’Neill TW, O’Reilly D, Obreja G, Ochimana C, Ochoa-Avilés AM, Oda E, Odili AN, Oh K, Ohara K, Ohlsson C, Ohtsuka R, Olafsson Ö, Olinto MTA, Oliveira IO, Omar MA, Omar SM, Onat A, Ong SK, Onland-Moret NC, Ono LM, Ordunez P, Ornelas R, Ortiz AP, Ortiz PJ, Osler M, Osmond C, Ostojic SM, Ostovar A, Otero JA, Overvad K, Owusu-Dabo E, Paccaud FM, Pagkalos I, Pahomova E, de Paiva KM, Pająk A, Palloni A, Palmieri L, Pan WH, Panda-Jonas S, Pandey A, Panza F, Paoli M, Papadopoulou SK, Papandreou D, Pareja RG, Park SW, Park S, Parnell WR, Parsaeian M, Pascanu IM, Pasquet P, Patel ND, Pattussi M, Pavlyshyn H, Pechlaner R, Pećin I, Pednekar MS, Pedro JM, Peer N, Peixoto SV, Peltonen M, Pereira AC, Peres MA, Pérez CM, Peterkova V, Peters A, Petersmann A, Petkeviciene J, Petrauskiene A, Kovtun OP, Pettenuzzo E, Peykari N, Pfeiffer N, Phall MC, Pham ST, Pichardo RN, Pierannunzio D, Pigeot I, Pikhart H, Pilav A, Pilotto L, Pistelli F, Pitakaka F, Piwonska A, Pizarro AN, Plans-Rubió P, Platonova AG, Poh BK, Pohlabeln H, Polka NS, Pop RM, Popovic SR, Porta M, Posch G, Poudyal A, Poulimeneas D, Pouraram H, Pourfarzi F, Pourshams A, Poustchi H, Pradeepa R, Price AJ, Price JF, Prista A, Providencia R, Puder JJ, Pudule I, Puiu M, Punab M, Qadir MS, Qasrawi RF, Qorbani M, Quintana HK, Quiroga-Padilla PJ, Bao TQ, Rach S, Radic I, Radisauskas R, Rahimikazerooni S, Rahman M, Rahman M, Raitakari O, Raj M, Rajabov T, Rakhmatulloev S, Rakovac I, Rao SR, Ramachandran A, Ramadan OPC, Ramires VV, Ramke J, Ramos E, Ramos R, Rampal L, Rampal S, Rangelova LS, Rarra V, Rascon-Pacheco RA, Rech CR, Redon J, Reganit PFM, Regecová V, Renner JDP, Repasy JA, Reuter CP, Revilla L, Rezaianzadeh A, Rho Y, Ribas-Barba L, Ribeiro R, Riboli E, Richter A, Rigo F, Rigotti A, Rinaldo N, Rinke de Wit TF, Rito AI, Ritti-Dias RM, Rivera JA, Roa RG, Robinson L, Robitaille C, Roccaldo R, Rodrigues D, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez M, Rodríguez-Villamizar LA, Rodríguez AY, Roggenbuck U, Rohloff P, Rohner F, Rojas-Martinez R, Rojroongwasinkul N, Romaguera D, Romeo EL, Rosario RV, Rosengren A, Rouse I, Rouzier V, Roy JGR, Ruano MH, Rubinstein A, Rühli FJ, Ruidavets JB, Ruiz-Betancourt BS, Ruiz-Castell M, Moreno ER, Rusakova IA, Jonsson KR, Russo P, Rust P, Rutkowski M, Saamel M, Sabanayagam C, Sabbaghi H, Sacchini E, Sachdev HS, Sadjadi A, Safarpour AR, Safi S, Safiri S, Saghi MH, Saidi O, Saki N, Šalaj S, Salanave B, Martinez ES, Saleva C, Salmerón D, Salomaa V, Salonen JT, Salvetti M, Samoutian M, Sánchez-Abanto J, Rodríguez IS, Sandjaja, Sans S, Marina LS, Santacruz E, Santos DA, Santos IS, Santos LC, Santos MP, Santos O, Santos R, Santos TR, Saramies JL, Sardinha LB, Sarrafzadegan N, Sathish T, Saum KU, Savva S, Savy M, Sawada N, Sbaraini M, Scazufca M, Schaan BD, Rosario AS, Schargrodsky H, Schienkiewitz A, Schindler K, Schipf S, Schmidt CO, Schmidt IM, Schneider A, Schnohr P, Schöttker B, Schramm S, Schramm S, Schröder H, Schultsz C, Schulze MB, Schutte AE, Sebert S, Sedaghattalab M, Selamat R, Sember V, Sen A, Senbanjo IO, Sepanlou SG, Sequera G, Serra-Majem L, Servais J, Ševčíková Ľ, Shalnova S, Shamah-Levy T, Shamshirgaran SM, Shanthirani CS, Sharafkhah M, Sharma SK, Shaw JE, Shayanrad A, Shayesteh AA, Shengelia L, Shi Z, Shibuya K, Shimizu-Furusawa H, Shimony T, Shiri R, Shrestha N, Si-Ramlee K, Siani A, Siantar R, Sibai AM, Sidossis LS, Silitrari N, Silva AM, de Moura Silva CR, Silva DAS, Silva KS, Sim X, Simon M, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöberg A, Sjöström M, Skoblina NA, Skodje G, Slazhnyova T, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Smeeth L, So HK, Soares FC, Sobek G, Sobngwi E, Sodemann M, Söderberg S, Soekatri MYE, Soemantri A, Sofat R, Solfrizzi V, Somi MH, Sonestedt E, Song Y, Soofi S, Sørensen TIA, Sørgjerd EP, Jérome CS, Soto-Rojas VE, Soumaré A, Sousa-Poza A, Sovic S, Sparboe-Nilsen B, Sparrenberger K, Spencer PR, Spinelli A, Spiroski I, Staessen JA, Stamm H, Staub K, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stein AD, Stergiou GS, Stessman J, Stevanović R, Stieber J, Stöckl D, Stokwiszewski J, Stoyanova E, Stratton G, Stronks K, Strufaldi MW, Sturua L, Suárez-Medina R, Suka M, Sun CA, Sun L, Sundström J, Sung YT, Sunyer J, Suriyawongpaisal P, Sweis NWG, Swinburn BA, Sy RG, Sylva RC, Szklo M, Szponar L, Tabone L, Tai ES, Tambalis KD, Tammesoo ML, Tamosiunas A, Tan EJ, Tang X, Tanrygulyyeva M, Tanser F, Tao Y, Tarawneh MR, Tarp J, Tarqui-Mamani CB, Braunerová RT, Taylor A, Taylor J, Tchibindat F, Te Velde S, Tebar WR, Tell GS, Tello T, Tham YC, Thankappan KR, Theobald H, Theodoridis X, Thomas N, Thorand B, Thuesen BH, Tichá Ľ, Timmermans EJ, Tjandrarini DH, Tjonneland A, Tolonen HK, Tolstrup JS, Topbas M, Topór-Mądry R, Torheim LE, Tormo MJ, Tornaritis MJ, Torrent M, Torres-Collado L, Toselli S, Touloumi G, Traissac P, Tran TTH, Tremblay MS, Triantafyllou A, Trichopoulos D, Trichopoulou A, Trinh OTH, Trivedi A, Tsao YH, Tshepo L, Tsigga M, Tsintavis P, Tsugane S, Tuitele J, Tuliakova AM, Tulloch-Reid MK, Tullu F, Tuomainen TP, Tuomilehto J, Turley ML, Twig G, Tynelius P, Tzala E, Tzotzas T, Tzourio C, Ueda P, Ugel E, Ukoli FAM, Ulmer H, Unal B, Usupova Z, Uusitalo HMT, Uysal N, Vaitkeviciute J, Valdivia G, Vale S, Valvi D, van Dam RM, van den Born BJ, Van der Heyden J, van der Schouw YT, Van Herck K, Van Lippevelde W, Van Minh H, Van Schoor NM, van Valkengoed IGM, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Varbo A, Varela-Moreiras G, Vargas LN, Varona-Pérez P, Vasan SK, Vasques DG, Vega T, Veidebaum T, Velasquez-Melendez G, Velika B, Verloigne M, Veronesi G, Verschuren WMM, Victora CG, Viegi G, Viet L, Vik FN, Vilar M, Villalpando S, Vioque J, Virtanen JK, Visvikis-Siest S, Viswanathan B, Vladulescu M, Vlasoff T, Vocanec D, Vollenweider P, Völzke H, Voutilainen A, Vrijheid M, Vrijkotte TGM, Wade AN, Waldhör T, Walton J, Wambiya EOA, Bebakar WMW, Mohamud WNW, de Souza Wanderley Júnior R, Wang MD, Wang N, Wang Q, Wang X, Wang YX, Wang YW, Wannamethee SG, Wareham N, Weber A, Webster-Kerr K, Wedderkopp N, Weghuber D, Wei W, Weres A, Werner B, Westbury LD, Whincup PH, Wickramasinghe K, Widhalm K, Widyahening IS, Więcek A, Wild PS, Wilks RJ, Willeit J, Willeit P, Williams J, Wilsgaard T, Wojciech R, Wojtyniak B, Wolf K, Wong-McClure RA, Wong A, Wong EB, Wong JE, Wong TY, Woo J, Woodward M, Wu FC, Wu HY, Wu J, Wu LJ, Wu S, Wyszyńska J, Xu H, Xu L, Yaacob NA, Yamborisut U, Yan W, Yang L, Yang X, Yang Y, Yardim N, Yasuharu T, García MY, Yiallouros PK, Yngve A, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, You QS, You SL, Younger-Coleman NO, Yu YL, Yu Y, Yusof SM, Yusoff AF, Zaccagni L, Zafiropulos V, Zainuddin AA, Zakavi SR, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zamrazilová H, Zapata ME, Zargar AH, Zaw KK, Zayed AA, Zdrojewski T, Żegleń M, Zejglicova K, Vrkic TZ, Zeng Y, Zhang L, Zhang ZY, Zhao D, Zhao MH, Zhao W, Zhecheva YV, Zhen S, Zheng W, Zheng Y, Zholdin B, Zhou M, Zhu D, Zins M, Zitt E, Zocalo Y, Zoghlami N, Cisneros JZ, Zuziak M, Bhutta ZA, Black RE, Ezzati M. Diminishing benefits of urban living for children and adolescents' growth and development. Nature 2023; 615:874-883. [PMID: 36991188 PMCID: PMC10060164 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-05772-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 03/31/2023]
Abstract
Optimal growth and development in childhood and adolescence is crucial for lifelong health and well-being1-6. Here we used data from 2,325 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight from 71 million participants, to report the height and body-mass index (BMI) of children and adolescents aged 5-19 years on the basis of rural and urban place of residence in 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. In 1990, children and adolescents residing in cities were taller than their rural counterparts in all but a few high-income countries. By 2020, the urban height advantage became smaller in most countries, and in many high-income western countries it reversed into a small urban-based disadvantage. The exception was for boys in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and in some countries in Oceania, south Asia and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. In these countries, successive cohorts of boys from rural places either did not gain height or possibly became shorter, and hence fell further behind their urban peers. The difference between the age-standardized mean BMI of children in urban and rural areas was <1.1 kg m-2 in the vast majority of countries. Within this small range, BMI increased slightly more in cities than in rural areas, except in south Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and some countries in central and eastern Europe. Our results show that in much of the world, the growth and developmental advantages of living in cities have diminished in the twenty-first century, whereas in much of sub-Saharan Africa they have amplified.
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Mitchell JJ, Blodgett JM, Chastin SFM, Jefferis BJ, Wannamethee SG, Hamer M. Exploring the associations of daily movement behaviours and mid-life cognition: a compositional analysis of the 1970 British Cohort Study. J Epidemiol Community Health 2023; 77:189-195. [PMID: 36690475 PMCID: PMC9933163 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2022-219829] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2022] [Accepted: 12/08/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Movement behaviours (eg, sedentary behaviour (SB), moderate and vigorous physical activity (MVPA), light intensity physical activity (LIPA) and sleep) are linked to cognition, yet the relative importance of each component is unclear, and not yet explored with compositional methodologies. OBJECTIVE To (i) assess the associations of different components of daily movement and participant's overall cognition, memory and executive function, and (ii) understand the relative importance of each individual component for cognition. METHODS The 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70) is a prospective birth cohort study of UK-born adults. At age 46, participants consented to wear an accelerometer device and complete tests of verbal memory and executive function. Compositional linear regression was used to examine cross-sectional associations between 24-hour movement behaviours and standardised cognition scores. Isotemporal substitution was performed to model the effect of reallocating time between components of daily movement on cognition. RESULTS The sample comprised 4481 participants (52% female). Time in MVPA relative to SB, LIPA and sleep was positively associated with cognition after adjustments for education and occupational physical activity, but additional adjustment for health status attenuated associations. SB relative to all other movements was robustly positively associated with cognition. Modelling time reallocation between components revealed an increase in cognition centile after MVPA theoretically replaced 9 min of SB (OR=1.31; 95% CI 0.09 to 2.50), 7 min of LIPA (1.27; 0.07 to 2.46) or 7 min of sleep (1.20; 0.01 to 2.39). CONCLUSIONS Relative to time spent in other behaviours, greater MVPA and SB was associated with higher cognitive scores. Loss of MVPA time, given its smaller relative amount, appears most deleterious. Efforts should be made to preserve MVPA time, or reinforce it in place of other behaviours.
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Affiliation(s)
- John J Mitchell
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Joanna M Blodgett
- Institute of Sport, Exercise and Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Barbara J Jefferis
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Mark Hamer
- Institute of Sport, Exercise and Health, University College London, London, UK
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Kimble R, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Whincup PH, Weyant RJ, Mathers JC, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE. The Relationships of Dentition, Use of Dental Prothesis and Oral Health Problems with Frailty, Disability and Diet Quality: Results from Population-Based Studies of Older Adults from the UK and USA. J Nutr Health Aging 2023; 27:663-672. [PMID: 37702340 DOI: 10.1007/s12603-023-1951-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2022] [Accepted: 04/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/14/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study examined the relationships of dental status, use and types of dental prothesis and oral health problems, individually and combined, with diet quality, frailty and disability in two population-based studies of older adults. DESIGN Cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Men form the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) (aged 85±4 years in 2018; n=1013) and Men and Women from the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (HABC) Study (aged 75±3 years in 1998-99; n=1975). MEASUREMENTS Physical and dental examinations and questionnaires were collected with data available for dental status, oral problems related to eating, diet quality, Fried frailty phenotype, disability based on mobility limitations, and activities of daily living (ADL). The associations of dental status and oral health problems, individually and combined, with risk of frailty and disability were quantified. The relationship with diet quality was also assessed. RESULTS In the BRHS, but not HABC Study, impaired natural dentition without the use of dentures was associated with frailty independently. This relationship was only established in the same group in those with oral problems (OR=3.24; 95% CI: 1.30-8.03). In the HABC Study, functional dentition with oral health problems was associated with greater risk of frailty (OR=2.21; 95% CI: 1.18-4.15). In both studies those who wore a full or partial denture in one or more jaw who reported oral problems were more likely to have disability. There was no association with diet quality in these groups. CONCLUSION Older adults with impaired dentition even who use dentures who experience self-report oral problems related to eating may be at increased risk of frailty and disability. Further research is needed to establish whether improving oral problems could potentially reduce the occurrence of frailty and disability.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Kimble
- Dr. Rachel Kimble, Institute of Health and Society, University of the West of Scotland, Technology Ave, Blantyre, Glasgow G72 0LH, United Kingdom, E-mail:
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Gaziano L, Sun L, Arnold M, Bell S, Cho K, Kaptoge SK, Song RJ, Burgess S, Posner DC, Mosconi K, Robinson-Cohen C, Mason AM, Bolton TR, Tao R, Allara E, Schubert P, Chen L, Staley JR, Staplin N, Altay S, Amiano P, Arndt V, Ärnlöv J, Barr EL, Björkelund C, Boer JM, Brenner H, Casiglia E, Chiodini P, Cooper JA, Coresh J, Cushman M, Dankner R, Davidson KW, de Jongh RT, Donfrancesco C, Engström G, Freisling H, de la Cámara AG, Gudnason V, Hankey GJ, Hansson PO, Heath AK, Hoorn EJ, Imano H, Jassal SK, Kaaks R, Katzke V, Kauhanen J, Kiechl S, Koenig W, Kronmal RA, Kyrø C, Lawlor DA, Ljungberg B, MacDonald C, Masala G, Meisinger C, Melander O, Moreno Iribas C, Ninomiya T, Nitsch D, Nordestgaard BG, Onland-Moret C, Palmieri L, Petrova D, Garcia JRQ, Rosengren A, Sacerdote C, Sakurai M, Santiuste C, Schulze MB, Sieri S, Sundström J, Tikhonoff V, Tjønneland A, Tong T, Tumino R, Tzoulaki I, van der Schouw YT, Monique Verschuren W, Völzke H, Wallace RB, Wannamethee SG, Weiderpass E, Willeit P, Woodward M, Yamagishi K, Zamora-Ros R, Akwo EA, Pyarajan S, Gagnon DR, Tsao PS, Muralidhar S, Edwards TL, Damrauer SM, Joseph J, Pennells L, Wilson PW, Harrison S, Gaziano TA, Inouye M, Baigent C, Casas JP, Langenberg C, Wareham N, Riboli E, Gaziano J, Danesh J, Hung AM, Butterworth AS, Wood AM, Di Angelantonio E. Mild-to-Moderate Kidney Dysfunction and Cardiovascular Disease: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Analyses. Circulation 2022; 146:1507-1517. [PMID: 36314129 PMCID: PMC9662821 DOI: 10.1161/circulationaha.122.060700] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND End-stage renal disease is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular events. It is unknown, however, whether mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. METHODS Observational analyses were conducted using individual-level data from 4 population data sources (Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, EPIC-CVD [European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Cardiovascular Disease Study], Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank), comprising 648 135 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes at baseline, yielding 42 858 and 15 693 incident CHD and stroke events, respectively, during 6.8 million person-years of follow-up. Using a genetic risk score of 218 variants for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), we conducted Mendelian randomization analyses involving 413 718 participants (25 917 CHD and 8622 strokes) in EPIC-CVD, Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank. RESULTS There were U-shaped observational associations of creatinine-based eGFR with CHD and stroke, with higher risk in participants with eGFR values <60 or >105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2, compared with those with eGFR between 60 and 105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2. Mendelian randomization analyses for CHD showed an association among participants with eGFR <60 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2, with a 14% (95% CI, 3%-27%) higher CHD risk per 5 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2 lower genetically predicted eGFR, but not for those with eGFR >105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2. Results were not materially different after adjustment for factors associated with the eGFR genetic risk score, such as lipoprotein(a), triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c, and blood pressure. Mendelian randomization results for stroke were nonsignificant but broadly similar to those for CHD. CONCLUSIONS In people without manifest cardiovascular disease or diabetes, mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to risk of CHD, highlighting the potential value of preventive approaches that preserve and modulate kidney function.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liam Gaziano
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Luanluan Sun
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | | | - Steven Bell
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences (S. Bell), University of Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Kelly Cho
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Stephen K. Kaptoge
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Rebecca J. Song
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (R.J.S.)
| | - Stephen Burgess
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit (A.M.M., S. Burgess), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Daniel C. Posner
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
| | - Katja Mosconi
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Cassianne Robinson-Cohen
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine (C.R.-C., E.A.A.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
| | - Amy M. Mason
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit (A.M.M., S. Burgess), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Thomas R. Bolton
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Ran Tao
- Department of Biostatistics (R. Tao), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
| | - Elias Allara
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Petra Schubert
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
| | - Lingyan Chen
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - James R. Staley
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Natalie Staplin
- Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit (N.S., C.B.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Servet Altay
- Department of Cardiology, Trakya University School of Medicine, Edirne, Turkey (S.A.)
| | - Pilar Amiano
- Ministry of Health of the Basque Government, Sub Directorate for Public Health and Addictions of Gipuzkoa, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Biodonostia Health Research Institute, Epidemiology of Chronic and Communicable Diseases Group, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
| | - Volker Arndt
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research (V.A.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Johan Ärnlöv
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit (A.M.M., S. Burgess), University of Cambridge, UK
- Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences (S. Bell), University of Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine (C.L., N.W.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine (J.J., T.A.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (R.J.S.)
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine (C.R.-C., E.A.A.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
- Department of Biostatistics (R. Tao), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
- Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit (N.S., C.B.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit (T.T.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
- Department of Cardiology, Trakya University School of Medicine, Edirne, Turkey (S.A.)
- Ministry of Health of the Basque Government, Sub Directorate for Public Health and Addictions of Gipuzkoa, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Biodonostia Health Research Institute, Epidemiology of Chronic and Communicable Diseases Group, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research (V.A.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology (S.K.J., R.K., V.K.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Division of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (J.A., H.B.)
- School of Health and Social Studies, Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden (J.A.)
- Wellbeing & Preventable Chronic Diseases (WPCD) Division, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia (E.L.M.B.)
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (E.L.M.B., M.I.)
- Institute of Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine (C.B.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- Institute of Medicine, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (P.-O.H., A.R.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands (J.M.A.B., W.M.M.V.)
- Network Aging Research (NAR), Heidelberg University, Germany (H.B.)
- Studium Patavinum (E.C.), University of Padua, Italy
- Department of Medicine (V.T.), University of Padua, Italy
- Dipartimento di Salute Mentale e Fisica e Medicina Preventiva, Università degli Studi della Campania ‘Luigi Vanvitelli’, Caserta, Italy (P.C.)
- William Harvey Research Institute, NIHR Barts Biomedical Research Centre, Queen Mary University of London, UK (J.A.C.)
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD (J.C.)
- Larner College of Medicine, The University of Vermont, Burlington (M.C.)
- The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel (R.D.)
- School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, Israel (R.D.)
- Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, NY (R.D., K.W.D.)
- Amsterdam University Medical Centers, VUMC, the Netherlands (R.T.d.J.)
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy (C.D., L. Palmer)
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University, Sweden (G.E., O.M.)
- International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), World Health Organization, Lyon, France (H.F., E.W.)
- 12 Octubre Hospital Research Institute, Madrid, Spain (A.G.d,l,C.)
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland and Icelandic Heart Association, Kopavogur, Iceland (V.G.)
- Medical School Faculty of Health & Medical Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia (G.J.H.)
- Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Medicine Geriatrics and Emergency Medicine/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden (P.-O.H., A.R.)
- School of Public Health (A.K.H., I.T., E.R.), Imperial College London, UK
- The George Institute for Global Health (M.W.), Imperial College London, UK
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Transplantation, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands (E.J.H.)
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan (H.I.)
- University of Eastern Finland (UEF), Kuopio, Finland (J.K.)
- Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K.)
- Clinical Epidemiology Team, Institute of Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K., P.W.)
- Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, University of Ulm, Germany (W.K.)
- Deutsches Herzzentrum München, Technische Universität München, Germany (W.K.)
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site Munich Heart Alliance (W.K.)
- School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (R.A.K.)
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark (C.K., A.T.)
- Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, UK (D.A.L.)
- Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, UK (D.A.L.)
- Department of Surgical and Perioperative sciences, Urology and Andrology, Umeå University, Sweden (B.L.)
- University Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, Inserm, Villejuif, France (C. MacDonald)
- Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy (G.M.)
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, Munich, Germany (C. Meisinger)
- Navarra Public Health Institute, IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
- Red de Investigación en Servicios de Salud en Enfermedades Crónicas (REDISSEC), Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan (T.N.)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, UK (D.N.)
- Herlev and Gentofte Hospital (B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Frederiksberg Hospital B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences (B.G.N.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Public Health (A.T.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands (C.O.-M., Y.T.v.d.S., W.M.M.V.)
- Escuela Andaluza de Salud Pública (EASP), Granada, Spain (D.P.)
- Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria ibs.GRANADA, Granada, Spain (D.P.)
- Consejería de Sanidad del Principado de Asturias Oviedo, Asturias, Spain (J.R.Q.G.)
- Unit of Cancer Epidemiology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, Turin, Italy (C. Sacerdote)
- Department of Social and Environmental Medicine, Kanazawa Medical University, Uchinada, Japan (M.S.)
- Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Spain (C. Santiuste)
- German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany (M.B.S.)
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Neuherberg, Germany (M.B.S.)
- Institute of Nutritional Science, University of Potsdam, Germany (M.B.S.)
- Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milano, Italy (S.S.)
- Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Sweden (J.S.)
- Hyblean Association for Epidemiological Reserach AIRE - ONLUS, Ragusa, Italy (R.T.)
- Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Institut für Community Medicine, Abteilung SHIP/ Klinisch-Epidemiologische Forschung, Germany (H.V.)
- College of Public Health, University of Iowa (R.B.W.)
- University College London, UK (S.G.W.)
- The George Institute for Global Health, Camperdown, NSW, Australia (M.W.)
- Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, and Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Japan (K.Y.)
- Unit of Nutrition and Cancer, Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat (Barcelona), Spain (R.Z.-R.)
- Center for Data and Computational Sciences, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (S.P.)
- Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (D.R.G.)
- VA Pal Alto Epidemiology Research and Information Center for Genomics, VA Palo Alto Health Care System, CA (P.S.T.)
- Medicine (Cardiovascular Medicine), Stanford University of School of Medicine, CA (P.S.T.)
- Office of Research and Development, Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC (S.M.)
- Department of Veterans Affairs, Tennessee Valley Health Care System, Vanderbilt University, Nashville (T.L.E.)
- Medicine/Epidemiology, Vanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (T.L.E.)
- Department of Surgery, Corporal Michael Crescenz VA Medical Center and Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (S.M.D.)
- Internal Medicine, VA Atlanta Healthcare System, Decatur, GA (P.W.F.W.)
- Emory University School of Medicine (Cardiology), Emory University, Atlanta, GA (P.W.F.W.)
- Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (T.A.G.)
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- The Alan Turing Institute, London, UK (M.I.)
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany (C.L.)
- Department of Human Genetics, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Hinxton, UK (J.D.)
- Division of Nephrology & Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Tennessee Valley Health Care System and Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville (A.M.H.)
- Cambridge Centre for AI in Medicine, UK (A.M.W.)
- Health Data Science Centre, Human Technopole, Milan, Italy (E.D.A.)
| | - Elizabeth L.M. Barr
- Wellbeing & Preventable Chronic Diseases (WPCD) Division, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia (E.L.M.B.)
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (E.L.M.B., M.I.)
| | - Cecilia Björkelund
- Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit (N.S., C.B.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Jolanda M.A. Boer
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands (J.M.A.B., W.M.M.V.)
| | - Hermann Brenner
- Division of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (J.A., H.B.)
- Network Aging Research (NAR), Heidelberg University, Germany (H.B.)
| | | | - Paolo Chiodini
- Dipartimento di Salute Mentale e Fisica e Medicina Preventiva, Università degli Studi della Campania ‘Luigi Vanvitelli’, Caserta, Italy (P.C.)
| | - Jackie A. Cooper
- William Harvey Research Institute, NIHR Barts Biomedical Research Centre, Queen Mary University of London, UK (J.A.C.)
| | - Josef Coresh
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD (J.C.)
| | - Mary Cushman
- Larner College of Medicine, The University of Vermont, Burlington (M.C.)
| | - Rachel Dankner
- The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel (R.D.)
- School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, Israel (R.D.)
- Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, NY (R.D., K.W.D.)
| | - Karina W. Davidson
- Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, NY (R.D., K.W.D.)
| | | | - Chiara Donfrancesco
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy (C.D., L. Palmer)
| | - Gunnar Engström
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University, Sweden (G.E., O.M.)
| | - Heinz Freisling
- International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), World Health Organization, Lyon, France (H.F., E.W.)
| | - Agustín Gómez de la Cámara
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
- 12 Octubre Hospital Research Institute, Madrid, Spain (A.G.d,l,C.)
| | - Vilmundur Gudnason
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland and Icelandic Heart Association, Kopavogur, Iceland (V.G.)
| | - Graeme J. Hankey
- Medical School Faculty of Health & Medical Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia (G.J.H.)
| | - Per-Olof Hansson
- Institute of Medicine, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (P.-O.H., A.R.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Medicine Geriatrics and Emergency Medicine/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden (P.-O.H., A.R.)
| | - Alicia K. Heath
- School of Public Health (A.K.H., I.T., E.R.), Imperial College London, UK
| | - Ewout J. Hoorn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Transplantation, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands (E.J.H.)
| | - Hironori Imano
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan (H.I.)
| | - Simerjot K. Jassal
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology (S.K.J., R.K., V.K.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Rudolf Kaaks
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology (S.K.J., R.K., V.K.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Verena Katzke
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology (S.K.J., R.K., V.K.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jussi Kauhanen
- University of Eastern Finland (UEF), Kuopio, Finland (J.K.)
| | - Stefan Kiechl
- Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K.)
- Clinical Epidemiology Team, Institute of Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K., P.W.)
| | - Wolfgang Koenig
- Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, University of Ulm, Germany (W.K.)
- Deutsches Herzzentrum München, Technische Universität München, Germany (W.K.)
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site Munich Heart Alliance (W.K.)
| | | | - Cecilie Kyrø
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark (C.K., A.T.)
| | - Deborah A. Lawlor
- Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, UK (D.A.L.)
- Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, UK (D.A.L.)
| | - Börje Ljungberg
- Department of Surgical and Perioperative sciences, Urology and Andrology, Umeå University, Sweden (B.L.)
| | - Conor MacDonald
- University Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, Inserm, Villejuif, France (C. MacDonald)
| | - Giovanna Masala
- Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy (G.M.)
| | | | - Olle Melander
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University, Sweden (G.E., O.M.)
| | - Conchi Moreno Iribas
- Navarra Public Health Institute, IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
- Red de Investigación en Servicios de Salud en Enfermedades Crónicas (REDISSEC), Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
| | - Toshiharu Ninomiya
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan (T.N.)
| | | | - Børge G. Nordestgaard
- Herlev and Gentofte Hospital (B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Frederiksberg Hospital B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences (B.G.N.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Charlotte Onland-Moret
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands (C.O.-M., Y.T.v.d.S., W.M.M.V.)
| | - Luigi Palmieri
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit (A.M.M., S. Burgess), University of Cambridge, UK
- Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences (S. Bell), University of Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine (C.L., N.W.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine (J.J., T.A.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (R.J.S.)
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine (C.R.-C., E.A.A.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
- Department of Biostatistics (R. Tao), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
- Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit (N.S., C.B.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit (T.T.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
- Department of Cardiology, Trakya University School of Medicine, Edirne, Turkey (S.A.)
- Ministry of Health of the Basque Government, Sub Directorate for Public Health and Addictions of Gipuzkoa, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Biodonostia Health Research Institute, Epidemiology of Chronic and Communicable Diseases Group, San Sebastián, Spain (P.A.)
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research (V.A.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology (S.K.J., R.K., V.K.), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Division of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (J.A., H.B.)
- School of Health and Social Studies, Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden (J.A.)
- Wellbeing & Preventable Chronic Diseases (WPCD) Division, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia (E.L.M.B.)
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (E.L.M.B., M.I.)
- Institute of Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine (C.B.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- Institute of Medicine, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (P.-O.H., A.R.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands (J.M.A.B., W.M.M.V.)
- Network Aging Research (NAR), Heidelberg University, Germany (H.B.)
- Studium Patavinum (E.C.), University of Padua, Italy
- Department of Medicine (V.T.), University of Padua, Italy
- Dipartimento di Salute Mentale e Fisica e Medicina Preventiva, Università degli Studi della Campania ‘Luigi Vanvitelli’, Caserta, Italy (P.C.)
- William Harvey Research Institute, NIHR Barts Biomedical Research Centre, Queen Mary University of London, UK (J.A.C.)
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD (J.C.)
- Larner College of Medicine, The University of Vermont, Burlington (M.C.)
- The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel (R.D.)
- School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, Israel (R.D.)
- Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, NY (R.D., K.W.D.)
- Amsterdam University Medical Centers, VUMC, the Netherlands (R.T.d.J.)
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy (C.D., L. Palmer)
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University, Sweden (G.E., O.M.)
- International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), World Health Organization, Lyon, France (H.F., E.W.)
- 12 Octubre Hospital Research Institute, Madrid, Spain (A.G.d,l,C.)
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland and Icelandic Heart Association, Kopavogur, Iceland (V.G.)
- Medical School Faculty of Health & Medical Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia (G.J.H.)
- Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Medicine Geriatrics and Emergency Medicine/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden (P.-O.H., A.R.)
- School of Public Health (A.K.H., I.T., E.R.), Imperial College London, UK
- The George Institute for Global Health (M.W.), Imperial College London, UK
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Transplantation, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands (E.J.H.)
- Public Health, Department of Social Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan (H.I.)
- University of Eastern Finland (UEF), Kuopio, Finland (J.K.)
- Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K.)
- Clinical Epidemiology Team, Institute of Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K., P.W.)
- Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, University of Ulm, Germany (W.K.)
- Deutsches Herzzentrum München, Technische Universität München, Germany (W.K.)
- German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site Munich Heart Alliance (W.K.)
- School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (R.A.K.)
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark (C.K., A.T.)
- Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, UK (D.A.L.)
- Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, UK (D.A.L.)
- Department of Surgical and Perioperative sciences, Urology and Andrology, Umeå University, Sweden (B.L.)
- University Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, Inserm, Villejuif, France (C. MacDonald)
- Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy (G.M.)
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, Munich, Germany (C. Meisinger)
- Navarra Public Health Institute, IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
- Red de Investigación en Servicios de Salud en Enfermedades Crónicas (REDISSEC), Pamplona, Spain (C.M.I.)
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan (T.N.)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, UK (D.N.)
- Herlev and Gentofte Hospital (B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Frederiksberg Hospital B.G.N.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences (B.G.N.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Public Health (A.T.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands (C.O.-M., Y.T.v.d.S., W.M.M.V.)
- Escuela Andaluza de Salud Pública (EASP), Granada, Spain (D.P.)
- Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria ibs.GRANADA, Granada, Spain (D.P.)
- Consejería de Sanidad del Principado de Asturias Oviedo, Asturias, Spain (J.R.Q.G.)
- Unit of Cancer Epidemiology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, Turin, Italy (C. Sacerdote)
- Department of Social and Environmental Medicine, Kanazawa Medical University, Uchinada, Japan (M.S.)
- Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Spain (C. Santiuste)
- German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany (M.B.S.)
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Neuherberg, Germany (M.B.S.)
- Institute of Nutritional Science, University of Potsdam, Germany (M.B.S.)
- Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milano, Italy (S.S.)
- Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Sweden (J.S.)
- Hyblean Association for Epidemiological Reserach AIRE - ONLUS, Ragusa, Italy (R.T.)
- Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Institut für Community Medicine, Abteilung SHIP/ Klinisch-Epidemiologische Forschung, Germany (H.V.)
- College of Public Health, University of Iowa (R.B.W.)
- University College London, UK (S.G.W.)
- The George Institute for Global Health, Camperdown, NSW, Australia (M.W.)
- Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, and Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Japan (K.Y.)
- Unit of Nutrition and Cancer, Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat (Barcelona), Spain (R.Z.-R.)
- Center for Data and Computational Sciences, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (S.P.)
- Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (D.R.G.)
- VA Pal Alto Epidemiology Research and Information Center for Genomics, VA Palo Alto Health Care System, CA (P.S.T.)
- Medicine (Cardiovascular Medicine), Stanford University of School of Medicine, CA (P.S.T.)
- Office of Research and Development, Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC (S.M.)
- Department of Veterans Affairs, Tennessee Valley Health Care System, Vanderbilt University, Nashville (T.L.E.)
- Medicine/Epidemiology, Vanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (T.L.E.)
- Department of Surgery, Corporal Michael Crescenz VA Medical Center and Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (S.M.D.)
- Internal Medicine, VA Atlanta Healthcare System, Decatur, GA (P.W.F.W.)
- Emory University School of Medicine (Cardiology), Emory University, Atlanta, GA (P.W.F.W.)
- Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (T.A.G.)
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- The Alan Turing Institute, London, UK (M.I.)
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany (C.L.)
- Department of Human Genetics, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Hinxton, UK (J.D.)
- Division of Nephrology & Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Tennessee Valley Health Care System and Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville (A.M.H.)
- Cambridge Centre for AI in Medicine, UK (A.M.W.)
- Health Data Science Centre, Human Technopole, Milan, Italy (E.D.A.)
| | - Dafina Petrova
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
- Escuela Andaluza de Salud Pública (EASP), Granada, Spain (D.P.)
- Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria ibs.GRANADA, Granada, Spain (D.P.)
| | | | - Annika Rosengren
- Institute of Medicine, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (P.-O.H., A.R.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
- Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Medicine Geriatrics and Emergency Medicine/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden (P.-O.H., A.R.)
| | - Carlotta Sacerdote
- Unit of Cancer Epidemiology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, Turin, Italy (C. Sacerdote)
| | - Masaru Sakurai
- Department of Social and Environmental Medicine, Kanazawa Medical University, Uchinada, Japan (M.S.)
| | - Carmen Santiuste
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain (P.A., A.G.d.l.C., D.P., C. Santiuste)
- Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Spain (C. Santiuste)
| | - Matthias B. Schulze
- German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany (M.B.S.)
- German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Neuherberg, Germany (M.B.S.)
- Institute of Nutritional Science, University of Potsdam, Germany (M.B.S.)
| | - Sabina Sieri
- Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milano, Italy (S.S.)
| | - Johan Sundström
- Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Sweden (J.S.)
| | | | - Anne Tjønneland
- Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark (C.K., A.T.)
- Department of Public Health (A.T.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tammy Tong
- Cancer Epidemiology Unit (T.T.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Rosario Tumino
- Hyblean Association for Epidemiological Reserach AIRE - ONLUS, Ragusa, Italy (R.T.)
| | - Ioanna Tzoulaki
- School of Public Health (A.K.H., I.T., E.R.), Imperial College London, UK
| | - Yvonne T. van der Schouw
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands (C.O.-M., Y.T.v.d.S., W.M.M.V.)
| | - W.M. Monique Verschuren
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands (J.M.A.B., W.M.M.V.)
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, the Netherlands (C.O.-M., Y.T.v.d.S., W.M.M.V.)
| | - Henry Völzke
- Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Institut für Community Medicine, Abteilung SHIP/ Klinisch-Epidemiologische Forschung, Germany (H.V.)
| | | | | | - Elisabete Weiderpass
- International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), World Health Organization, Lyon, France (H.F., E.W.)
| | - Peter Willeit
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Clinical Epidemiology Team, Institute of Health Economics, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (S.K., P.W.)
| | - Mark Woodward
- The George Institute for Global Health, Camperdown, NSW, Australia (M.W.)
| | - Kazumasa Yamagishi
- Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, and Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Japan (K.Y.)
| | - Raul Zamora-Ros
- Unit of Nutrition and Cancer, Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat (Barcelona), Spain (R.Z.-R.)
| | - Elvis A. Akwo
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine (C.R.-C., E.A.A.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN
| | - Saiju Pyarajan
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Center for Data and Computational Sciences, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (S.P.)
| | - David R. Gagnon
- Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (D.R.G.)
| | - Philip S. Tsao
- VA Pal Alto Epidemiology Research and Information Center for Genomics, VA Palo Alto Health Care System, CA (P.S.T.)
- Medicine (Cardiovascular Medicine), Stanford University of School of Medicine, CA (P.S.T.)
| | - Sumitra Muralidhar
- Office of Research and Development, Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC (S.M.)
| | - Todd L. Edwards
- Department of Veterans Affairs, Tennessee Valley Health Care System, Vanderbilt University, Nashville (T.L.E.)
- Medicine/Epidemiology, Vanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (T.L.E.)
| | - Scott M. Damrauer
- Department of Surgery, Corporal Michael Crescenz VA Medical Center and Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (S.M.D.)
| | - Jacob Joseph
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine (J.J., T.A.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Lisa Pennells
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Peter W.F. Wilson
- Internal Medicine, VA Atlanta Healthcare System, Decatur, GA (P.W.F.W.)
- Emory University School of Medicine (Cardiology), Emory University, Atlanta, GA (P.W.F.W.)
| | - Seamus Harrison
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Thomas A. Gaziano
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine (J.J., T.A.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (T.A.G.)
| | - Michael Inouye
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (E.L.M.B., M.I.)
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- The Alan Turing Institute, London, UK (M.I.)
| | - Colin Baigent
- Institute of Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine (C.B.), Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Juan P. Casas
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Claudia Langenberg
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine (C.L., N.W.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany (C.L.)
| | - Nick Wareham
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine (C.L., N.W.), University of Cambridge, UK
| | - Elio Riboli
- The George Institute for Global Health (M.W.), Imperial College London, UK
| | - J.Michael Gaziano
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA (L.G., K.C., R.J.S., D.C.P., P.S., J.J., J.P.C., J.M.G.)
- Division of Aging (K.C., S.P., J.P.C. J.M.G.), Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - John Danesh
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Department of Human Genetics, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Hinxton, UK (J.D.)
| | - Adriana M. Hung
- Division of Nephrology & Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Tennessee Valley Health Care System and Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville (A.M.H.)
| | - Adam S. Butterworth
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
| | - Angela M. Wood
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Cambridge Centre for AI in Medicine, UK (A.M.W.)
| | - Emanuele Di Angelantonio
- BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care (L.G., L.S., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., T.R.B., E.A., L.C., J.R.S., P.W., L. Pennells, S.H., M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- BHF Centre of Research Excellence, School of Clinical Medicine, Addenbrooke’s Hospital (A.M.M., S. Burgess, J.D., A.M.W., A.S.B., E.D.A.)
- Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK (L.G., S. Bell, S.K.K., S. Burgess, K.M., A.M.M., E.A., L. Pennells, M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Behaviour (S. Bell, T.R.B., E.A., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.), University of Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, UK (M.I., J.D., A.S.B., A.M.W., E.D.A.)
- Health Data Science Centre, Human Technopole, Milan, Italy (E.D.A.)
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Wannamethee SG, Papacosta O, Lennon L, Whincup PH, Rumley A, Lowe GDO. Haematological variables and risk of future venous thromboembolism in the British Regional Heart Study on men. Combined D-dimer and APTT as a predictive test for thromboembolism? Br J Haematol 2022; 198:587-594. [PMID: 35655415 PMCID: PMC9543457 DOI: 10.1111/bjh.18288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2022] [Revised: 05/12/2022] [Accepted: 05/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
We examined the associations between haematological and inflammatory variables with future venous thromboembolism (VTE), in 3494 men aged 60-79 years, with no previous history of VTE or myocardial infarction, who were not receiving oral anticoagulants. After a mean follow-up period of 18 years, there were 149 confirmed cases of fatal or non-fatal VTE (deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism). Among classical cardiovascular risk factors, only obesity and cigarette smoking were associated with VTE risk. After adjustment for age, obesity and smoking, VTE risk was associated with coagulation factor VIII, factor IX, von Willebrand factor (VWF), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and fibrin D-dimer. Hazard ratios (95% CI) for top to bottom quarters (bottom to top for APTT), were respectively 2.17 (1.37, 3.44), 2.15 (1.30, 3.53), 2.02 (1.27, 3.22), 2.43 (1.47, 4.02) and 3.62 (2.18, 6.08). The 11% of men with both the shortest APTT and highest D-dimer combined had a 5.02 (2.37, 10.62) higher risk of VTE. VTE risk was not associated with fibrinogen, factor VII or activated protein C resistance; full blood count variables or with inflammatory markers, plasma viscosity, C-reactive protein or interleukin-6. The combination of D-dimer and APTT merits evaluation as an adjunct to VTE risk prediction scores.
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Affiliation(s)
- S. Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population HealthUCL, Royal Free CampusLondonUK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population HealthUCL, Royal Free CampusLondonUK
| | - Lucy Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population HealthUCL, Royal Free CampusLondonUK
| | - Peter H. Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George'sUniversity of LondonLondonUK
| | - Ann Rumley
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical SciencesUniversity of GlasgowGlasgowUK
| | - Gordon D. O. Lowe
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical SciencesUniversity of GlasgowGlasgowUK
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14
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Kimble R, McLellan G, Lennon LT, Papacosta AO, Mathers JC, Wannamethee SG, Whincup PH, Ramsay SE. Cohort Profile Update: The British Regional Heart Study 1978-2018: 40 years of follow-up of older British men. Int J Epidemiol 2022:6599229. [PMID: 35656703 PMCID: PMC10244063 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyac122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2021] [Accepted: 05/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Rachel Kimble
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Gillian McLellan
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - John C Mathers
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London, UK
| | - Shenna E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
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15
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McKechnie DGJ, Patel M, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Ellins EA, Halcox JPJ, Ramsay SE, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Associations between inflammation, coagulation, cardiac strain and injury, and subclinical vascular disease with frailty in older men: a cross-sectional study. BMC Geriatr 2022; 22:405. [PMID: 35527242 PMCID: PMC9082861 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-022-03106-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Inflammation, coagulation activation, endothelial dysfunction and subclinical vascular disease are cross-sectionally associated with frailty. Cardiac-specific biomarkers are less-well characterised. We assessed associations between these and frailty, in men with, and without, cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS Cross-sectional analysis of 1096 men without, and 303 with, CVD, aged 71-92, from the British Regional Heart Study. Multinominal logistic regression was performed to examine the associations between frailty status (robust/pre-frail/frail) and, separately, C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tissue plasminogen activator (tPA), D-dimer, von Willebrand factor (vWF), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-T (hs-cTnT), N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (all natural log-transformed), and, in men without CVD, carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), carotid distensibility coefficient (DC), and ankle-brachial pressure index (ABPI), adjusted for age, renal function, BMI, social class, smoking, polypharmacy, cognition, multimorbidity and systolic blood pressure. Explanatory variables with p < 0.05 were carried forward into mutually-adjusted analysis. RESULTS In men without CVD, higher CRP, IL-6, vWF, tPA, hs-cTnT, NT-proBNP, cfPWV, and lower DC were significantly associated with frailty; mutually-adjusted, log IL-6 (OR for frailty = 2.02, 95%CI 1.38-2.95), log hs-cTnT (OR = 1.95, 95%CI 1.24-3.05) and DC (OR = 0.92, 95%CI 0.86-0.99) retained associations. In men with CVD, higher CRP, IL-6, and hs-cTnT, but not vWF, tPA, NT-proBNP or D-dimer, were significantly associated with frailty; mutually-adjusted, log hs-cTnT (OR 3.82, 95%CI 1.84-7.95) retained a significant association. CONCLUSIONS In older men, biomarkers of myocardial injury are associated with frailty. Inflammation is associated with frailty in men without CVD. Carotid artery stiffness is associated with frailty in men without CVD, independently of these biomarkers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas G J McKechnie
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
| | - Meera Patel
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | | | | | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, NW3 2PF, UK
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16
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Wannamethee SG. Frailty and increased risk of cardiovascular disease: are we at a crossroad to include frailty in cardiovascular risk assessment in older adults? Eur Heart J 2022; 43:827-829. [PMID: 34935046 DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab818] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2021] [Accepted: 11/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
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17
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Wannamethee SG, Welsh P, Papacosta O, Lennon L, Whincup P. Vitamin D deficiency, impaired lung function and total and respiratory mortality in a cohort of older men: cross-sectional and prospective findings from The British Regional Heart Study. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e051560. [PMID: 34933860 PMCID: PMC8693094 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-051560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Vitamin D deficiency is associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We examined the cross-sectional association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and lung function impairment and assessed whether vitamin D deficiency is related to long-term mortality in those with impaired lung function. DESIGN Prospective study SETTING: General practices in the UK. PARTICIPANTS 3575 men aged 60-79 years with no prevalent heart failure. OUTCOME MEASURES Airway obstruction and mortality. The Global Initiative on Obstructive Lung diseases (GOLD) spirometry criteria was used to define airway obstruction. RESULTS During the follow-up period of 20 years, there were 2327 deaths (114 COPD deaths). Vitamin D deficiency was defined as serum 25(OH)D levels<10 ng/mL; insufficiency as 25(OH)D 10-19 ng/mL; sufficient as 25(OH)D>20 ng/mL. In cross-sectional analysis, vitamin D deficiency was more prevalent in those with moderate COPD (FEV/FVC <70% and FEV1 50 to <80%; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 s and FVC, forced vital capacity) and severe COPD (FEV/FVC <70% and FEV1 <50%) but not in those with mild COPD (FEV/FVC <70% and FEV1>80%) or restrictive lung disease (FEV1/FVC >70% and FVC <80%) compared with men with normal lung function . Vitamin D deficiency was associated with increased risk of total and respiratory mortality in both men with COPD and men with restrictive lung disease after adjustment for confounders and inflammation. The adjusted HRs (95% CI) for total mortality comparing levels of 25(OH)D<10 ng/mL to 25(OH)D>=20 ng/mL were 1.39 (1.10 to 1.75), 1.52 (1.17 to 1.98), 1.58 (1.17 to 2.14) and 1.39 (0.83 to 2.33) for those with no lung impairment, restrictive lung function, mild/moderate COPD and severe COPD, respectively. CONCLUSION Men with COPD were more likely to be vitamin D deficient than those with normal lung function. Vitamin D deficiency is associated with increased all-cause mortality in older men with no lung impairment as well as in those with restrictive or obstructive lung impairment.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Goya Wannamethee
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, London, UK
| | - Paul Welsh
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Primary Care and Population Health, UCL Medical School, London, UK
| | - Lucy Lennon
- Primary Care and Population Health, UCL Medical School, London, UK
| | - Peter Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
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18
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McKechnie DGJ, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Ramsay SE, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Associations between inflammation, cardiovascular biomarkers and incident frailty: the British Regional Heart Study. Age Ageing 2021; 50:1979-1987. [PMID: 34254997 PMCID: PMC8675445 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afab143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic inflammation are implicated in the development of
frailty. Longitudinal analyses of inflammatory markers, biomarkers of cardiac dysfunction and
incidence of frailty are limited. Methods in the British Regional Heart Study, 1,225 robust or pre-frail men aged 71–92 years
underwent a baseline examination, with questionnaire-based frailty assessment after 3 years.
Frailty definitions were based on the Fried phenotype. Associations between incident frailty
and biomarkers of cardiac dysfunction (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT),
N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)) and inflammation (C-reactive protein
(CRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6)) were examined, by tertile, with the lowest as reference. Results follow-up data were available for 981 men. Ninety one became frail. Adjusted for age,
pre-frailty, prevalent and incident CVD, comorbidity, polypharmacy and socioeconomic status,
IL-6 (third tertile OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.07–5.17) and hs-cTnT (third tertile OR 2.24, 95% CI
1.03–4.90) were associated with increased odds of frailty. CRP (third tertile OR 1.83, 95% CI
0.97–4.08) and NT-proBNP (second tertile OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.23–1.01) showed no significant
association with incident frailty. The top tertiles of CRP, IL-6, hscTnT and NT-proBNP were
strongly associated with mortality prior to follow-up. Conclusion IL-6 is associated with incident frailty, supporting the prevailing argument that
inflammation is involved in the pathogenesis of frailty. Cardiomyocyte injury may be
associated with frailty risk. Associations between elevated CRP and frailty cannot be fully
discounted; NT-proBNP may have a non-linear relationship with incident frailty. CRP, IL-6,
hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP are vulnerable to survivorship bias.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas G J McKechnie
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
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19
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McKechnie DGJ, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Ellins EA, Halcox JPJ, Ramsay SE, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Subclinical cardiovascular disease and risk of incident frailty: The British Regional Heart Study. Exp Gerontol 2021; 154:111522. [PMID: 34428478 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2021.111522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Revised: 08/03/2021] [Accepted: 08/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) is cross-sectionally associated with frailty, but the relationship between subclinical CVD and incident frailty has not been reported. We aimed to assess this prospective association. DESIGN Longitudinal analysis of data from the British Regional Heart Study, a prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS 1057 men, aged 71-92 years, robust or pre-frail at baseline, and without a clinical diagnosis of CVD. MEASUREMENTS Participants underwent baseline measurement of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), carotid distensibility coefficient (DC), and ankle-brachial pressure index (ABPI), and had questionnaire-based frailty assessment after three years. Frailty status was based on the Fried phenotype. Multivariate logistic regressions examined associations between incident frailty and tertile of cfPWV, CIMT, DC, and ABPI group (<0.9, 0.9-1.4, ≥1.4). RESULTS 865 men were examined and completed the 3 year follow-up questionnaire, of whom 78 became frail. Adjusted for age, prefrailty, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, atrial fibrillation, blood pressure, renal function, and incident CVD, higher CIMT was associated with greater odds of incident frailty (2nd tertile OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.78-3.35, 3rd tertile OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.30-5.23, p = 0.007, trend p = 0.006). cfPWV showed a weaker, non-significant association (2nd tertile OR 1.79, 95% CI 0.85-3.78, 3rd tertile OR 1.73, OR 0.81-3.72, p = 0.16, trend p = 0.20). There was no clear association between incident frailty and DC or ABPI. In subgroup analyses, CIMT was significantly associated with incident frailty in men ≥80 years (3rd tertile OR 6.99, 95%CI 1.42-34.5), but not in men aged 75-80 or < 75 years. CONCLUSION Subclinical CVD, as measured by CIMT, is associated with greater risk of incident frailty in older men over three year follow-up, independent of the development of clinically-apparent stroke, heart failure, or myocardial infarction, and may be a modifiable risk factor for frailty. This association may be stronger in very old age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas G J McKechnie
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK.
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
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Zhou B, Carrillo-Larco RM, Danaei G, Riley LM, Paciorek CJ, Stevens GA, Gregg EW, Bennett JE, Solomon B, Singleton RK, Sophiea MK, Iurilli MLC, Lhoste VPF, Cowan MJ, Savin S, Woodward M, Balanova Y, Cifkova R, Damasceno A, Elliott P, Farzadfar F, He J, Ikeda N, Kengne AP, Khang YH, Kim HC, Laxmaiah A, Lin HH, Margozzini Maira P, Miranda JJ, Neuhauser H, Sundström J, Varghese C, Widyahening IS, Zdrojewski T, Abarca-Gómez L, Abdeen ZA, Abdul Rahim HF, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Acosta-Cazares B, Adams RJ, Aekplakorn W, Afsana K, Afzal S, Agdeppa IA, Aghazadeh-Attari J, Aguilar-Salinas CA, Agyemang C, Ahmad NA, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi N, Ahmadi N, Ahmadizar F, Ahmed SH, Ahrens W, Ajlouni K, Al-Raddadi R, Alarouj M, AlBuhairan F, AlDhukair S, Ali MM, Alkandari A, Alkerwi A, Allin K, Aly E, Amarapurkar DN, Amougou N, Amouyel P, Andersen LB, Anderssen SA, Anjana RM, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Ansong D, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Araújo J, Ariansen I, Aris T, Arku RE, Arlappa N, Aryal KK, Aspelund T, Assah FK, Assunção MCF, Auvinen J, Avdićová M, Azevedo A, Azimi-Nezhad M, Azizi F, Azmin M, Babu BV, Bahijri S, Balakrishna N, Bamoshmoosh M, Banach M, Banadinović M, Bandosz P, Banegas JR, Baran J, Barbagallo CM, Barceló A, Barkat A, Barreto M, Barros AJD, Barros MVG, Bartosiewicz A, Basit A, Bastos JLD, Bata I, Batieha AM, Batyrbek A, Baur LA, Beaglehole R, Belavendra A, Ben Romdhane H, Benet M, Benson LS, Berkinbayev S, Bernabe-Ortiz A, Bernotiene G, Bettiol H, Bezerra J, Bhagyalaxmi A, Bhargava SK, Bia D, Biasch K, Bika Lele EC, Bikbov MM, Bista B, Bjerregaard P, Bjertness E, Bjertness MB, Björkelund C, Bloch KV, Blokstra A, Bo S, Bobak M, Boeing H, Boggia JG, Boissonnet CP, Bojesen SE, Bongard V, Bonilla-Vargas A, Bopp M, Borghs H, Bovet P, Boyer CB, Braeckman L, Brajkovich I, Branca F, Breckenkamp J, Brenner H, Brewster LM, Briceño Y, Brito M, Bruno G, Bueno-de-Mesquita HB, Bueno G, Bugge A, Burns C, Bursztyn M, Cabrera de León A, Cacciottolo J, Cameron C, Can G, Cândido APC, Capanzana MV, Čapková N, Capuano E, Capuano V, Cardoso VC, Carlsson AC, Carvalho J, Casanueva FF, Censi L, Cervantes-Loaiza M, Chadjigeorgiou CA, Chamukuttan S, Chan AW, Chan Q, Chaturvedi HK, Chaturvedi N, Chee ML, Chen CJ, Chen F, Chen H, Chen S, Chen Z, Cheng CY, Cheraghian B, Cherkaoui Dekkaki I, Chetrit A, Chien KL, Chiolero A, Chiou ST, Chirita-Emandi A, Chirlaque MD, Cho B, Christensen K, Christofaro DG, Chudek J, Cinteza E, Claessens F, Clarke J, Clays E, Cohen E, Concin H, Cooper C, Coppinger TC, Costanzo S, Cottel D, Cowell C, Craig CL, Crampin AC, Crujeiras AB, Cruz JJ, Csilla S, Cui L, Cureau FV, Cuschieri S, D'Arrigo G, d'Orsi E, Dallongeville J, Dankner R, Dantoft TM, Dauchet L, Davletov K, De Backer G, De Bacquer D, De Curtis A, de Gaetano G, De Henauw S, de Oliveira PD, De Ridder D, De Smedt D, Deepa M, Deev AD, DeGennaro VJ, Delisle H, Demarest S, Dennison E, Deschamps V, Dhimal M, Di Castelnuovo AF, Dias-da-Costa JS, Diaz A, Dickerson TT, Dika Z, Djalalinia S, Do HTP, Dobson AJ, Donfrancesco C, Donoso SP, Döring A, Dorobantu M, Dörr M, Doua K, Dragano N, Drygas W, Duante CA, Duboz P, Duda RB, Dulskiene V, Dushpanova A, Džakula A, Dzerve V, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk E, Eddie R, Eftekhar E, Eggertsen R, Eghtesad S, Eiben G, Ekelund U, El-Khateeb M, El Ati J, Eldemire-Shearer D, Eliasen M, Elosua R, Erasmus RT, Erbel R, Erem C, Eriksen L, Eriksson JG, Escobedo-de la Peña J, Eslami S, Esmaeili A, Evans A, Faeh D, Fakhretdinova AA, Fall CH, Faramarzi E, Farjam M, Fattahi MR, Fawwad A, Felix-Redondo FJ, Felix SB, Ferguson TS, Fernandes RA, Fernández-Bergés D, Ferrante D, Ferrao T, Ferrari M, Ferrario MM, Ferreccio C, Ferreira HS, Ferrer E, Ferrieres J, Figueiró TH, Fink G, Fischer K, Foo LH, Forsner M, Fouad HM, Francis DK, Franco MDC, Frikke-Schmidt R, Frontera G, Fuchs FD, Fuchs SC, Fujita Y, Fumihiko M, Furdela V, Furer A, Furusawa T, Gaciong Z, Galbarczyk A, Galenkamp H, Galvano F, Gao J, Gao P, Garcia-de-la-Hera M, Garcia P, Gareta D, Garnett SP, Gaspoz JM, Gasull M, Gazzinelli A, Gehring U, Geleijnse JM, George R, Ghanbari A, Ghasemi E, Gheorghe-Fronea OF, Ghimire A, Gialluisi A, Giampaoli S, Gieger C, Gill TK, Giovannelli J, Gironella G, Giwercman A, Gkiouras K, Goldberg M, Goldsmith RA, Gomez LF, Gomula A, Gonçalves H, Gonçalves M, Gonçalves Cordeiro da Silva B, Gonzalez-Chica DA, Gonzalez-Gross M, González-Rivas JP, González-Villalpando C, González-Villalpando ME, Gonzalez AR, Gorbea MB, Gottrand F, Graff-Iversen S, Grafnetter D, Grajda A, Grammatikopoulou MG, Gregor RD, Grodzicki T, Grosso G, Gruden G, Gu D, Guan OP, Gudmundsson EF, Gudnason V, Guerrero R, Guessous I, Guimaraes AL, Gulliford MC, Gunnlaugsdottir J, Gunter MJ, Gupta PC, Gupta R, Gureje O, Gurzkowska B, Gutierrez L, Gutzwiller F, Ha S, Hadaegh F, Haghshenas R, Hakimi H, Halkjær J, Hambleton IR, Hamzeh B, Hange D, Hanif AAM, Hantunen S, Hao J, Hardman CM, Hari Kumar R, Hashemi-Shahri SM, Hata J, Haugsgjerd T, Hayes AJ, He Y, Heier M, Hendriks ME, Henrique RDS, Henriques A, Hernandez Cadena L, Herqutanto, Herrala S, Heshmat R, Hill AG, Ho SY, Ho SC, Hobbs M, Holdsworth M, Homayounfar R, Horasan Dinc G, Horimoto ARVR, Hormiga CM, Horta BL, Houti L, Howitt C, Htay TT, Htet AS, Htike MMT, Hu Y, Huerta JM, Huhtaniemi IT, Huiart L, Huisman M, Husseini AS, Huybrechts I, Hwalla N, Iacoviello L, Iannone AG, Ibrahim MM, Ibrahim Wong N, Ikram MA, Iotova V, Irazola VE, Ishida T, Isiguzo GC, Islam M, Islam SMS, Iwasaki M, Jackson RT, Jacobs JM, Jaddou HY, Jafar T, James K, Jamrozik K, Janszky I, Janus E, Jarvelin MR, Jasienska G, Jelaković A, Jelaković B, Jennings G, Jha AK, Jiang CQ, Jimenez RO, Jöckel KH, Joffres M, Johansson M, Jokelainen JJ, Jonas JB, Jørgensen T, Joshi P, Joukar F, Jóżwiak J, Juolevi A, Jurak G, Jureša V, Kaaks R, Kafatos A, Kajantie EO, Kalmatayeva Z, Kalpourtzi N, Kalter-Leibovici O, Kampmann FB, Kannan S, Karaglani E, Kårhus LL, Karki KB, Katibeh M, Katz J, Kauhanen J, Kaur P, Kavousi M, Kazakbaeva GM, Keil U, Keinan Boker L, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi S, Kelishadi R, Kemper HCG, Keramati M, Kerimkulova A, Kersting M, Key T, Khader YS, Khalili D, Khaw KT, Kheiri B, Kheradmand M, Khosravi A, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer U, Kiechl S, Killewo J, Kim DW, Kim J, Klakk H, Klimek M, Klumbiene J, Knoflach M, Kolle E, Kolsteren P, Kontto JP, Korpelainen R, Korrovits P, Kos J, Koskinen S, Kouda K, Kowlessur S, Koziel S, Kratenova J, Kriaucioniene V, Kristensen PL, Krokstad S, Kromhout D, Kruger HS, Kubinova R, Kuciene R, Kujala UM, Kulaga Z, Kumar RK, Kurjata P, Kusuma YS, Kutsenko V, Kuulasmaa K, Kyobutungi C, Laatikainen T, Lachat C, Laid Y, Lam TH, Landrove O, Lanska V, Lappas G, Larijani B, Latt TS, Le Coroller G, Le Nguyen Bao K, Le TD, Lee J, Lee J, Lehmann N, Lehtimäki T, Lemogoum D, Levitt NS, Li Y, Lilly CL, Lim WY, Lima-Costa MF, Lin X, Lin YT, Lind L, Lingam V, Linneberg A, Lissner L, Litwin M, Lo WC, Loit HM, Lopez-Garcia E, Lopez T, Lotufo PA, Lozano JE, Lukačević Lovrenčić I, Lukrafka JL, Luksiene D, Lundqvist A, Lundqvist R, Lunet N, Lustigová M, Luszczki E, Ma G, Ma J, Machado-Coelho GLL, Machado-Rodrigues AM, Macia E, Macieira LM, Madar AA, Maggi S, Magliano DJ, Magriplis E, Mahasampath G, Maire B, Majer M, Makdisse M, Malekzadeh F, Malekzadeh R, Malhotra R, Mallikharjuna Rao K, Malyutina SK, Maniego LV, Manios Y, Mann JI, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Manzato E, Marcil A, Mårild SB, Marinović Glavić M, Marques-Vidal P, Marques LP, Marrugat J, Martorell R, Mascarenhas LP, Matasin M, Mathiesen EB, Mathur P, Matijasevich A, Matlosz P, Matsha TE, Mavrogianni C, Mbanya JCN, Mc Donald Posso AJ, McFarlane SR, McGarvey ST, McLachlan S, McLean RM, McLean SB, McNulty BA, Mediene Benchekor S, Medzioniene J, Mehdipour P, Mehlig K, Mehrparvar AH, Meirhaeghe A, Meisinger C, Mendoza Montano C, Menezes AMB, Menon GR, Mereke A, Meshram II, Metspalu A, Meyer HE, Mi J, Michels N, Mikkel K, Milkowska K, Miller JC, Minderico CS, Mini GK, Mirjalili MR, Mirrakhimov E, Mišigoj-Duraković M, Modesti PA, Moghaddam SS, Mohajer B, Mohamed MK, Mohamed SF, Mohammad K, Mohammadi MR, Mohammadi Z, Mohammadifard N, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohan V, Mohanna S, Mohd Yusoff MF, Mohebbi I, Mohebi F, Moitry M, Møllehave LT, Molnár D, Momenan A, Mondo CK, Monterrubio-Flores E, Monyeki KDK, Moon JS, Moosazadeh M, Moreira LB, Morejon A, Moreno LA, Morgan K, Moschonis G, Mossakowska M, Mostafa A, Mostafavi SA, Mota J, Motlagh ME, Motta J, Moura-dos-Santos MA, Mridha MK, Msyamboza KP, Mu TT, Muhihi AJ, Muiesan ML, Müller-Nurasyid M, Murphy N, Mursu J, Musa KI, Musić Milanović S, Musil V, Mustafa N, Nabipour I, Naderimagham S, Nagel G, Naidu BM, Najafi F, Nakamura H, Námešná J, Nang EEK, Nangia VB, Narake S, Ndiaye NC, Neal WA, Nejatizadeh A, Nenko I, Neovius M, Nguyen CT, Nguyen ND, Nguyen QV, Nguyen QN, Nieto-Martínez RE, Niiranen TJ, Nikitin YP, Ninomiya T, Nishtar S, Njelekela MA, Noale M, Noboa OA, Noorbala AA, Norat T, Nordendahl M, Nordestgaard BG, Noto D, Nowak-Szczepanska N, Nsour MA, Nunes B, O'Neill TW, O'Reilly D, Ochimana C, Oda E, Odili AN, Oh K, Ohara K, Ohtsuka R, Olié V, Olinto MTA, Oliveira IO, Omar MA, Onat A, Ong SK, Ono LM, Ordunez P, Ornelas R, Ortiz PJ, Osmond C, Ostojic SM, Ostovar A, Otero JA, Overvad K, Owusu-Dabo E, Paccaud FM, Padez C, Pahomova E, Paiva KMD, Pająk A, Palli D, Palmieri L, Pan WH, Panda-Jonas S, Panza F, Paoli M, Papandreou D, Park SW, Park S, Parnell WR, Parsaeian M, Pasquet P, Patel ND, Pavlyshyn H, Pećin I, Pednekar MS, Pedro JM, Peer N, Peixoto SV, Peltonen M, Pereira AC, Peres KGDA, Peres MA, Peters A, Petkeviciene J, Peykari N, Pham ST, Pichardo RN, Pigeot I, Pikhart H, Pilav A, Pilotto L, Pitakaka F, Piwonska A, Pizarro AN, Plans-Rubió P, Polašek O, Porta M, Poudyal A, Pourfarzi F, Pourshams A, Poustchi H, Pradeepa R, Price AJ, Price JF, Providencia R, Puhakka SE, Puiu M, Punab M, Qasrawi RF, Qorbani M, Queiroz D, Quoc Bao T, Radić I, Radisauskas R, Rahimikazerooni S, Rahman M, Raitakari O, Raj M, Rakhimova EM, Ramachandra Rao S, Ramachandran A, Ramos E, Rampal L, Rampal S, Rangel Reina DA, Rarra V, Rech CR, Redon J, Reganit PFM, Regecová V, Revilla L, Rezaianzadeh A, Ribeiro R, Riboli E, Richter A, Rigo F, Rinke de Wit TF, Ritti-Dias RM, Robitaille C, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, Rodriguez-Perez MDC, Rodríguez-Villamizar LA, Roggenbuck U, Rojas-Martinez R, Romaguera D, Romeo EL, Rosengren A, Roy JGR, Rubinstein A, Ruidavets JB, Ruiz-Betancourt BS, Ruiz-Castell M, Rusakova IA, Russo P, Rutkowski M, Sabanayagam C, Sabbaghi H, Sachdev HS, Sadjadi A, Safarpour AR, Safi S, Safiri S, Saidi O, Sakarya S, Saki N, Salanave B, Salazar Martinez E, Salmerón D, Salomaa V, Salonen JT, Salvetti M, Sánchez-Abanto J, Sans S, Santos DA, Santos IS, Santos LC, Santos MP, Santos R, Saramies JL, Sardinha LB, Sarganas G, Sarrafzadegan N, Sathish T, Saum KU, Savva S, Sawada N, Sbaraini M, Scazufca M, Schaan BD, Schargrodsky H, Schipf S, Schmidt CO, Schnohr P, Schöttker B, Schramm S, Schultsz C, Schutte AE, Sebert S, Sein AA, Sen A, Senbanjo IO, Sepanlou SG, Servais J, Shalnova SA, Shamah-Levy T, Shamshirgaran M, Shanthirani CS, Sharafkhah M, Sharma SK, Shaw JE, Shayanrad A, Shayesteh AA, Shi Z, Shibuya K, Shimizu-Furusawa H, Shin DW, Shirani M, Shiri R, Shrestha N, Si-Ramlee K, Siani A, Siantar R, Sibai AM, Silva CRDM, Silva DAS, Simon M, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöström M, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Smeeth L, So HK, Soares FC, Sobngwi E, Söderberg S, Soemantri A, Sofat R, Solfrizzi V, Somi MH, Sonestedt E, Song Y, Sørensen TIA, Sørgjerd EP, Sorić M, Sossa Jérome C, Soumaré A, Sparboe-Nilsen B, Sparrenberger K, Staessen JA, Starc G, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stein AD, Stergiou GS, Stessman J, Stieber J, Stöckl D, Stocks T, Stokwiszewski J, Stronks K, Strufaldi MW, Suka M, Sun CA, Sung YT, Suriyawongpaisal P, Sy RG, Syddall HE, Sylva RC, Szklo M, Tai ES, Tammesoo ML, Tamosiunas A, Tan EJ, Tang X, Tanser F, Tao Y, Tarawneh MR, Tarqui-Mamani CB, Taylor A, Taylor J, Tebar WR, Tell GS, Tello T, Tham YC, Thankappan KR, Theobald H, Theodoridis X, Thijs L, Thinggaard M, Thomas N, Thorand B, Thuesen BH, Timmermans EJ, Tjandrarini DH, Tjonneland A, Toft U, Tolonen HK, Tolstrup JS, Topbas M, Topór-Madry R, Tormo MJ, Tornaritis MJ, Torrent M, Torres-Collado L, Touloumi G, Traissac P, Triantafyllou A, Trichopoulos D, Trichopoulou A, Trinh OTH, Trivedi A, Tshepo L, Tsugane S, Tuliakova AM, Tulloch-Reid MK, Tullu F, Tuomainen TP, Tuomilehto J, Turley ML, Twig G, Tynelius P, Tzourio C, Ueda P, Ugel E, Ulmer H, Uusitalo HMT, Valdivia G, Valvi D, van Dam RM, van den Born BJ, Van der Heyden J, van der Schouw YT, Van Herck K, Van Minh H, Van Schoor NM, van Valkengoed IGM, van Zutphen EM, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Varbo A, Vasan SK, Vega T, Veidebaum T, Velasquez-Melendez G, Veronesi G, Verschuren WMM, Verstraeten R, Victora CG, Viet L, Villalpando S, Vineis P, Vioque J, Virtanen JK, Visvikis-Siest S, Viswanathan B, Vlasoff T, Vollenweider P, Voutilainen A, Wade AN, Walton J, Wambiya EOA, Wan Bebakar WM, Wan Mohamud WN, Wanderley Júnior RDS, Wang MD, Wang N, Wang Q, Wang X, Wang YX, Wang YW, Wannamethee SG, Wareham N, Wei W, Weres A, Werner B, Whincup PH, Widhalm K, Wiecek A, Wilks RJ, Willeit J, Willeit P, Williams EA, Wilsgaard T, Wojtyniak B, Wong-McClure RA, Wong A, Wong TY, Woo J, Wu FC, Wu S, Wyszynska J, Xu H, Xu L, Yaacob NA, Yan W, Yang L, Yang X, Yang Y, Yasuharu T, Ye X, Yiallouros PK, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, You SL, Younger-Coleman NO, Yusoff AF, Zainuddin AA, Zakavi SR, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zapata ME, Zaw KK, Zejglicova K, Zeljkovic Vrkic T, Zeng Y, Zhang L, Zhang ZY, Zhao D, Zhao MH, Zhen S, Zheng Y, Zholdin B, Zhu D, Zins M, Zitt E, Zocalo Y, Zoghlami N, Zuñiga Cisneros J, Ezzati M. Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019: a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants. Lancet 2021; 398:957-980. [PMID: 34450083 PMCID: PMC8446938 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01330-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 938] [Impact Index Per Article: 312.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2021] [Revised: 06/01/2021] [Accepted: 06/03/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hypertension can be detected at the primary health-care level and low-cost treatments can effectively control hypertension. We aimed to measure the prevalence of hypertension and progress in its detection, treatment, and control from 1990 to 2019 for 200 countries and territories. METHODS We used data from 1990 to 2019 on people aged 30-79 years from population-representative studies with measurement of blood pressure and data on blood pressure treatment. We defined hypertension as having systolic blood pressure 140 mm Hg or greater, diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg or greater, or taking medication for hypertension. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the prevalence of hypertension and the proportion of people with hypertension who had a previous diagnosis (detection), who were taking medication for hypertension (treatment), and whose hypertension was controlled to below 140/90 mm Hg (control). The model allowed for trends over time to be non-linear and to vary by age. FINDINGS The number of people aged 30-79 years with hypertension doubled from 1990 to 2019, from 331 (95% credible interval 306-359) million women and 317 (292-344) million men in 1990 to 626 (584-668) million women and 652 (604-698) million men in 2019, despite stable global age-standardised prevalence. In 2019, age-standardised hypertension prevalence was lowest in Canada and Peru for both men and women; in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and some countries in western Europe including Switzerland, Spain, and the UK for women; and in several low-income and middle-income countries such as Eritrea, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, and Solomon Islands for men. Hypertension prevalence surpassed 50% for women in two countries and men in nine countries, in central and eastern Europe, central Asia, Oceania, and Latin America. Globally, 59% (55-62) of women and 49% (46-52) of men with hypertension reported a previous diagnosis of hypertension in 2019, and 47% (43-51) of women and 38% (35-41) of men were treated. Control rates among people with hypertension in 2019 were 23% (20-27) for women and 18% (16-21) for men. In 2019, treatment and control rates were highest in South Korea, Canada, and Iceland (treatment >70%; control >50%), followed by the USA, Costa Rica, Germany, Portugal, and Taiwan. Treatment rates were less than 25% for women and less than 20% for men in Nepal, Indonesia, and some countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Control rates were below 10% for women and men in these countries and for men in some countries in north Africa, central and south Asia, and eastern Europe. Treatment and control rates have improved in most countries since 1990, but we found little change in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Improvements were largest in high-income countries, central Europe, and some upper-middle-income and recently high-income countries including Costa Rica, Taiwan, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Brazil, Chile, Turkey, and Iran. INTERPRETATION Improvements in the detection, treatment, and control of hypertension have varied substantially across countries, with some middle-income countries now outperforming most high-income nations. The dual approach of reducing hypertension prevalence through primary prevention and enhancing its treatment and control is achievable not only in high-income countries but also in low-income and middle-income settings. FUNDING WHO.
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Kotronia E, Brown H, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Weyant RJ, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE. Oral health and all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory mortality in older people in the UK and USA. Sci Rep 2021; 11:16452. [PMID: 34385519 PMCID: PMC8361186 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-95865-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2021] [Accepted: 08/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Preventing deterioration of oral health in older age can be crucial for survival. We aimed to examine associations of oral health problems with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and respiratory mortality in older people. We used cohort data from the British Regional Health Study (BRHS) (N = 2147, 71-92 years), and the Health, Aging and Body Composition (HABC) Study (USA) (N = 3075, 71-80 years). Follow-up was 9 years (BRHS) and 15 years (HABC Study). Oral health comprised tooth loss, periodontal disease, dry mouth, and self-rated oral health. Cox regression was performed for all-cause mortality, competing risks for CVD mortality, and accelerated failure time models for respiratory mortality. In the BRHS, tooth loss was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.59, 95% CI 1.09, 2.31). In the HABC Study, tooth loss, dry mouth, and having ≥ 3 oral problems were associated with all-cause mortality; periodontal disease was associated with increased CVD mortality (subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) = 1.49, 95% CI 1.01, 2.20); tooth loss, and accumulation of oral problems were associated with high respiratory mortality (tooth loss, time ratio (TR) = 0.73, 95% CI 0.54, 0.98). Findings suggest that poor oral health is associated with mortality. Results highlight the importance of improving oral health to lengthen survival in older age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Kotronia
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE2 4AX, UK.
| | - Heather Brown
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE2 4AX, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Robert J Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE2 4AX, UK
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Kotronia E, Brown H, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Weyant RJ, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE. Poor oral health and the association with diet quality and intake in older people in two studies in the UK and USA. Br J Nutr 2021; 126:118-130. [PMID: 33468264 PMCID: PMC8187263 DOI: 10.1017/s0007114521000180] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
We aimed to investigate the associations of poor oral health cross-sectionally with diet quality and intake in older people. We also examined whether change in diet quality is associated with oral health problems. Data from the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) comprising British males aged 71-92 years and the Health, Aging and Body Composition (HABC) Study comprising American males and females aged 71-80 years were used. Dental data included tooth loss, periodontal disease, dry mouth and self-rated oral health. Dietary data included diet quality (based on Elderly Dietary Index (BRHS) and Healthy Eating Score (HABC Study)) and several nutrients. In the BRHS, change in diet quality over 10 years (1998-2000 to 2010-2012) was also assessed. In the BRHS, tooth loss, fair/poor self-rated oral health and accumulation of oral health problems were associated with poor diet quality, after adjustment. Similar associations were reported for high intake of processed meat. Poor oral health was associated with the top quartile of percentage of energy content from saturated fat (self-rated oral health, OR 1·34, 95 % CI 1·02, 1·77). In the HABC Study, no significant associations were observed for diet quality after adjustment. Periodontal disease was associated with the top quartile of percentage of energy content from saturated fat (OR 1·48, 95 % CI 1·09, 2·01). In the BRHS, persistent low diet quality was associated with higher risk of tooth loss and accumulation of oral health problems. Older individuals with oral health problems had poorer diets and consumed fewer nutrient-rich foods. Persistent poor diet quality was associated with oral health problems later in life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Kotronia
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE2 4AX, UK
| | - Heather Brown
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE2 4AX, UK
| | - A. Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T. Lennon
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Robert J. Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Peter H. Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, London, UK
| | - S. Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sheena E. Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE2 4AX, UK
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Wannamethee SG, Papacosta O, Lennon L, Hingorani A, Whincup P. Adult height and incidence of atrial fibrillation and heart failure in older men: The British Regional Heart Study. Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc 2021; 35:100835. [PMID: 34286063 PMCID: PMC8274296 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2021.100835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2021] [Revised: 06/15/2021] [Accepted: 06/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/05/2022]
Abstract
Aims Taller stature has been associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). AF and heart failure (HF) often co-occur but the association between height and risk of HF in older adults has not been well studied. We have examined the association between height and incident AF and incident HF in older adults. Methods Prospective study of 3346 men aged 60–79 years with no diagnosed HF, myocardial infarction or stroke at baseline (1998–2000) followed up for a mean period of 16 years, in whom there were 294 incident HF cases and 456 incident AF. Men were divided into 5 height groups: <168.2, 168.2–172.5, 172.6–176.9, 177.0–183.0 and >183.0 cms based on the 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th centiles distribution of height. Results CVD risk factors tended to decrease with increasing height but a positive association was seen between height and electrocardiographic QRS duration and incident AF. Both short stature (<168.2 cm) and tall stature (>183.0 cm) was associated with significantly increased risk of HF in age-adjusted analysis compared to those in the second height quartile [HR (95 %CI) = 1.62 (1.15, 2.26) and 2.04 (1.23, 3.39) respectively]. In short men the increased risk remained after adjustment for adverse CVD risk factors; in tall men the association was largely associated with AF and QRS duration. Conclusion Tall stature is associated with significantly increased risk of AF leading to increased risk of HF. Short stature was associated with increased HF risk which was not explained by known adverse CVD risk factors.
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Key Words
- AF, atrial fibrillation
- Atrial fibrillation
- CHD, coronary heart disease
- CRP, C-reactive protein
- CVD, cardiovascular disease
- ECG, electrocardiogram
- Epidemiology
- FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 s
- HF, heart failure
- Heart failure
- Height
- LVH, left ventricular hypertrophy
- MI, myocardial infarction
- NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide
- SBP, systolic blood pressure
- hsTnT, high sensitive troponin T
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Affiliation(s)
- S Goya Wannamethee
- Department Primary Care and Population Health, UCL London, United Kingdom
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department Primary Care and Population Health, UCL London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Lennon
- Department Primary Care and Population Health, UCL London, United Kingdom
| | - Aroon Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, UCL, London, United Kingdom
| | - Peter Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, United Kingdom
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McKechnie DGJ, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Ramsay SE, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Frailty and incident heart failure in older men: the British Regional Heart Study. Open Heart 2021; 8:openhrt-2021-001571. [PMID: 34088788 PMCID: PMC8183233 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2021-001571] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2021] [Accepted: 05/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Frailty and heart failure (HF) are cross-sectionally associated. Published longitudinal data are very limited. We sought to investigate associations between frailty and incident HF. METHODS Prospective study of 1722 men, examined at age 72-91 years. Scores based on the Fried phenotype, Gill index and a novel frailty score, based on the Health Ageing and Body Composition Battery, incorporating slow walking speed, low chair-stand time and subjective difficulty with balance, were calculated. Associations between these scores and incident HF were analysed with Cox proportional hazard modelling. RESULTS 1445 men with frailty data and without prevalent HF were included. 99 developed HF (mean follow-up 6.1 years). Men scoring 3/3 on our novel frailty score had elevated risk of incident HF (HR 2.77, 95% CI 1.25 to 6.15), which persisted after adjustment for established risk factors and interleukin-6 (HR 3.14, 95% CI 1.35 to 7.31). This risk remained increased, although attenuated, after excluding HF events within 2 years of baseline (HR 2.05, 95% CI 0.61 to 6.92). The frailty phenotype showed a non-significant association with HF (age-adjusted HR 1.92, 95% CI 0.99 to 3.73), which was further attenuated after adjustment for prevalent coronary heart disease and Body mass index (HR 1.60, 95% CI 0.81 to 3.15). Gill-type scores were weakly associated with HF risk after these adjustments (HR 1.31, 95% CI 0.47 to 3.70). CONCLUSION In these older men, the combination of slow walk speed, low sit-stand time and balance problems were associated with high risk of incident HF, independent of established risk factors and inflammatory markers. However, undiagnosed HF at baseline may still be a confounder. There is a differential association between aspects of the frailty phenotype and incident HF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas GJ McKechnie
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
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Ahluwalia TS, Prins BP, Abdollahi M, Armstrong NJ, Aslibekyan S, Bain L, Jefferis B, Baumert J, Beekman M, Ben-Shlomo Y, Bis JC, Mitchell BD, de Geus E, Delgado GE, Marek D, Eriksson J, Kajantie E, Kanoni S, Kemp JP, Lu C, Marioni RE, McLachlan S, Milaneschi Y, Nolte IM, Petrelis AM, Porcu E, Sabater-Lleal M, Naderi E, Seppälä I, Shah T, Singhal G, Standl M, Teumer A, Thalamuthu A, Thiering E, Trompet S, Ballantyne CM, Benjamin EJ, Casas JP, Toben C, Dedoussis G, Deelen J, Durda P, Engmann J, Feitosa MF, Grallert H, Hammarstedt A, Harris SE, Homuth G, Hottenga JJ, Jalkanen S, Jamshidi Y, Jawahar MC, Jess T, Kivimaki M, Kleber ME, Lahti J, Liu Y, Marques-Vidal P, Mellström D, Mooijaart SP, Müller-Nurasyid M, Penninx B, Revez JA, Rossing P, Räikkönen K, Sattar N, Scharnagl H, Sennblad B, Silveira A, Pourcain BS, Timpson NJ, Trollor J, van Dongen J, Van Heemst D, Visvikis-Siest S, Vollenweider P, Völker U, Waldenberger M, Willemsen G, Zabaneh D, Morris RW, Arnett DK, Baune BT, Boomsma DI, Chang YPC, Deary IJ, Deloukas P, Eriksson JG, Evans DM, Ferreira MA, Gaunt T, Gudnason V, Hamsten A, Heinrich J, Hingorani A, Humphries SE, Jukema JW, Koenig W, Kumari M, Kutalik Z, Lawlor DA, Lehtimäki T, März W, Mather KA, Naitza S, Nauck M, Ohlsson C, Price JF, Raitakari O, Rice K, Sachdev PS, Slagboom E, Sørensen TIA, Spector T, Stacey D, Stathopoulou MG, Tanaka T, Wannamethee SG, Whincup P, Rotter JI, Dehghan A, Boerwinkle E, Psaty BM, Snieder H, Alizadeh BZ. Genome-wide association study of circulating interleukin 6 levels identifies novel loci. Hum Mol Genet 2021; 30:393-409. [PMID: 33517400 PMCID: PMC8098112 DOI: 10.1093/hmg/ddab023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2020] [Revised: 12/02/2020] [Accepted: 01/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Interleukin 6 (IL-6) is a multifunctional cytokine with both pro- and anti-inflammatory properties with a heritability estimate of up to 61%. The circulating levels of IL-6 in blood have been associated with an increased risk of complex disease pathogenesis. We conducted a two-staged, discovery and replication meta genome-wide association study (GWAS) of circulating serum IL-6 levels comprising up to 67 428 (ndiscovery = 52 654 and nreplication = 14 774) individuals of European ancestry. The inverse variance fixed effects based discovery meta-analysis, followed by replication led to the identification of two independent loci, IL1F10/IL1RN rs6734238 on chromosome (Chr) 2q14, (Pcombined = 1.8 × 10-11), HLA-DRB1/DRB5 rs660895 on Chr6p21 (Pcombined = 1.5 × 10-10) in the combined meta-analyses of all samples. We also replicated the IL6R rs4537545 locus on Chr1q21 (Pcombined = 1.2 × 10-122). Our study identifies novel loci for circulating IL-6 levels uncovering new immunological and inflammatory pathways that may influence IL-6 pathobiology.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tarunveer S Ahluwalia
- Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte DK2820, Denmark.,Department of Biology, The Bioinformatics Center, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen DK2200, Denmark
| | - Bram P Prins
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
| | - Mohammadreza Abdollahi
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
| | | | - Stella Aslibekyan
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham School of Public Health, Birmingham, Alabama 35233, USA
| | - Lisa Bain
- QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane 4006, Australia
| | - Barbara Jefferis
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Jens Baumert
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany
| | - Marian Beekman
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Section of Molecular Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands
| | - Yoav Ben-Shlomo
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK
| | - Joshua C Bis
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98101, USA
| | - Braxton D Mitchell
- Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21202, USA
| | - Eco de Geus
- Department of Biological Psychology, Behaviour and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands.,Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | - Graciela E Delgado
- Vth Department of Medicine (Nephrology, Hypertensiology, Rheumatology, Endocrinology, Diabetology), Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, Mannheim 68167, Germany
| | - Diana Marek
- SIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne 1015, Switzerland
| | - Joel Eriksson
- Department of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Sahlgrenska Academy, Centre for Bone and Arthritis Research (CBAR), University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg 41345, Sweden
| | - Eero Kajantie
- Chronic Disease Prevention Unit, National Institute for Health and Welfare, PO Box 30, Helsinki 00271, Finland.,Hospital for Children and Adolescents, Helsinki University Central Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki 00014, Finland
| | - Stavroula Kanoni
- William Harvey Research Institute, Barts & the London Medical School, Queen Mary University of London, London EC1M 6BQ, UK
| | - John P Kemp
- The University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, The University of Queensland, Woolloongabba, Queensland 4102, Australia.,MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | - Chen Lu
- Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02118, USA
| | - Riccardo E Marioni
- Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH4 2XU, UK.,Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, UK
| | - Stela McLachlan
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Yuri Milaneschi
- Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam 1081 HJ, The Netherlands
| | - Ilja M Nolte
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
| | | | - Eleonora Porcu
- Istituto di Ricerca Genetica e Biomedica, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Monserrato (CA) 09042, Italy
| | - Maria Sabater-Lleal
- Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine Solna, Center for Molecular Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm 17176, Sweden.,Unit of Genomics of Complex Diseases, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB-Sant Pau), Barcelona 08041, Spain
| | - Elnaz Naderi
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
| | - Ilkka Seppälä
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, Fimlab Laboratories, and Finnish Cardiovascular Research Center-Tampere, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere 33520, Finland
| | - Tina Shah
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Gaurav Singhal
- Discipline of Psychiatry, Adelaide Medical School, University of Adelaide, Adelaide 5005, Australia
| | - Marie Standl
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany
| | - Alexander Teumer
- Institute for Community Medicine, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald 17475, Germany
| | - Anbupalam Thalamuthu
- Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Elisabeth Thiering
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany.,Division of Metabolic Diseases and Nutritional Medicine, Ludwig-Maximilians-University of Munich, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, Munich 80337, Germany
| | - Stella Trompet
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands.,Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2333 ZA, The Netherlands
| | | | - Emelia J Benjamin
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA 01702, USA.,Section of Cardiovascular Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA 02118, USA
| | - Juan P Casas
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA 02130, USA
| | - Catherine Toben
- Discipline of Psychiatry, Adelaide Medical School, University of Adelaide, Adelaide 5005, Australia
| | - George Dedoussis
- 44Department of Nutrition-Dietetics, Harokopio University, Athens 17671, Greece
| | - Joris Deelen
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Section of Molecular Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands.,Max Planck Institute for Biology of Ageing, Cologne 50931, Germany
| | - Peter Durda
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Larner College of Medicine, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, USA
| | - Jorgen Engmann
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Mary F Feitosa
- Division of Statistical Genomics, Department of Genetics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO 63110-1093, USA
| | - Harald Grallert
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany.,German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Neuherberg 85764, Germany
| | - Ann Hammarstedt
- The Lundberg Laboratory for Diabetes Research, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg SE-41345, Sweden
| | - Sarah E Harris
- Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, UK.,Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, UK
| | - Georg Homuth
- Interfaculty Institute for Genetics and Functional Genomics, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald 17475, Germany
| | - Jouke-Jan Hottenga
- Department of Biological Psychology, Behaviour and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands.,Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | - Sirpa Jalkanen
- MediCity Research Laboratory, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland.,Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland
| | - Yalda Jamshidi
- Genetics Research Centre, Molecular and Clinical Sciences Institute, St George's University of London, London SW17 0RE, UK
| | - Magdalene C Jawahar
- Discipline of Psychiatry, Adelaide Medical School, University of Adelaide, Adelaide 5005, Australia
| | - Tine Jess
- 55Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institute, Copenhagen DK2300, Denmark
| | - Mika Kivimaki
- Department of Epidemiology & Public Health, UCL Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London WC1E 7HB, UK
| | - Marcus E Kleber
- Vth Department of Medicine (Nephrology, Hypertensiology, Rheumatology, Endocrinology, Diabetology), Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, Mannheim 68167, Germany
| | - Jari Lahti
- Turku Institute for Advanced Studies, University of Turku, Turku 20014, Finland.,Department of Psychology and Logopedics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki 00014, Finland
| | - Yongmei Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC 27157, USA
| | - Pedro Marques-Vidal
- Department of Internal Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV), Lausanne 1011, Switzerland.,University of Lausanne, Lausanne 1011, Switzerland
| | - Dan Mellström
- Department of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Sahlgrenska Academy, Centre for Bone and Arthritis Research (CBAR), University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg 41345, Sweden
| | - Simon P Mooijaart
- Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2333 ZA, The Netherlands
| | - Martina Müller-Nurasyid
- IBE, Faculty of Medicine, Ludwig Maximilians University (LMU) Munich, Munich 81377, Germany.,Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics (IMBEI), University Medical Center, Johhanes Gutenberg University, Mainz 55101, Germany
| | - Brenda Penninx
- Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam 1081 HJ, The Netherlands
| | - Joana A Revez
- QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane 4006, Australia
| | - Peter Rossing
- Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte DK2820, Denmark.,Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen DK2200, Denmark
| | - Katri Räikkönen
- Department of Psychology and Logopedics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki 00014, Finland
| | - Naveed Sattar
- BHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, Faculty of Medicine, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK
| | - Hubert Scharnagl
- 66Clinical Institute of Medical and Chemical Laboratory Diagnostics, Medical University of Graz, Graz 8036, Austria
| | - Bengt Sennblad
- Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine Solna, Center for Molecular Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm 17176, Sweden.,Department of Cell and Molecular Biology, National Bioinformatics Infrastructure Sweden, Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University, Uppsala 75124, Sweden
| | - Angela Silveira
- Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine Solna, Center for Molecular Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm 17176, Sweden
| | - Beate St Pourcain
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK.,Max Planck Institute for Psycholinguistics, Nijmegen XD 6525, The Netherlands.,Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour, Radboud University, Nijmegen 6525 AJ, The Netherlands
| | - Nicholas J Timpson
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | - Julian Trollor
- Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia.,Department of Developmental Disability Neuropsychiatry, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2031, Australia
| | | | - Jenny van Dongen
- Department of Biological Psychology, Behaviour and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands.,Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | | | | | - Peter Vollenweider
- Department of Internal Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV), Lausanne 1011, Switzerland.,University of Lausanne, Lausanne 1011, Switzerland
| | - Uwe Völker
- MediCity Research Laboratory, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland
| | - Melanie Waldenberger
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany
| | - Gonneke Willemsen
- Department of Biological Psychology, Behaviour and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands.,Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | - Delilah Zabaneh
- Department of Genetics, Environment and Evolution, University College London Genetics Institute, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Richard W Morris
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1UD, UK
| | - Donna K Arnett
- Dean's Office, College of Public Health, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40536, USA
| | - Bernhard T Baune
- Department of Psychiatry, Melbourne Medical School, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3000, Australia.,Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Muenster, Muenster 48149, Germany.,The Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3000, Australia
| | - Dorret I Boomsma
- Department of Biological Psychology, Behaviour and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1081 BT, The Netherlands.,Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | - Yen-Pei C Chang
- Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21202, USA
| | - Ian J Deary
- Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, UK.,Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, UK
| | - Panos Deloukas
- William Harvey Research Institute, Barts & the London Medical School, Queen Mary University of London, London EC1M 6BQ, UK.,77Centre for Genomic Health, Queen Mary University of London, London EC1M 6BQ, UK
| | - Johan G Eriksson
- National Institute for Health and Welfare, University of Helsinki, Helsinki 00014, Finland.,Department of General Practice and Primary Health Care, University of Helsinki, Helsinki 00014, Finland
| | - David M Evans
- The University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, The University of Queensland, Woolloongabba, Queensland 4102, Australia.,MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | | | - Tom Gaunt
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol BS6 2BN, UK.,Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | - Vilmundur Gudnason
- Icelandic Heart Association, Kópavogur 201, Iceland.,Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik 101, Iceland
| | - Anders Hamsten
- Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine Solna, Center for Molecular Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm 17176, Sweden
| | - Joachim Heinrich
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg 85764, Germany.,Institute and Clinic for Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich 81377, Germany.,Allergy and Lung Health Unit, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne 3010, Australia
| | - Aroon Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Steve E Humphries
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - J Wouter Jukema
- Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.,Durrer Center for Cardiogenetic Research, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands
| | - Wolfgang Koenig
- Deutsches Herzzentrum München, Technische Universität München, Munich 80636, Germany.,88DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Munich Heart Alliance, Munich 80336, Germany.,Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry, University of Ulm, Ulm 89081, Germany
| | - Meena Kumari
- Department of Epidemiology & Public Health, UCL Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London WC1E 7HB, UK.,Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, Colchester CO4 3SQ, Germany
| | - Zoltan Kutalik
- SIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne 1015, Switzerland.,University Center for Primary Care and Public Health, University of Lausanne, Lausanne 1010, Switzerland
| | - Deborah A Lawlor
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol BS6 2BN, UK.,Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK
| | - Terho Lehtimäki
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, Fimlab Laboratories, and Finnish Cardiovascular Research Center-Tampere, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere 33520, Finland
| | - Winfried März
- Vth Department of Medicine (Nephrology, Hypertensiology, Rheumatology, Endocrinology, Diabetology), Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, Mannheim 68167, Germany.,66Clinical Institute of Medical and Chemical Laboratory Diagnostics, Medical University of Graz, Graz 8036, Austria.,SYNLAB Academy, SYNALB Holding Deutschland GmbH, Mannheim 68163, Germany
| | - Karen A Mather
- Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia.,Neuroscience Research Australia, Sydney 2031, Australia
| | - Silvia Naitza
- Istituto di Ricerca Genetica e Biomedica, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Monserrato (CA) 09042, Italy
| | - Matthias Nauck
- Institute of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald 17475, Germany.,DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Greifswald, Greifswald 17475, Germany
| | - Claes Ohlsson
- Department of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Sahlgrenska Academy, Centre for Bone and Arthritis Research (CBAR), University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg 41345, Sweden
| | - Jackie F Price
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Olli Raitakari
- Centre for Population Health Research, University of Turku, Turku University Hospital, Turku 20520, Finland.,Research Centre of Applied and Preventive Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland.,Department of Clinical Physiology and Nuclear Medicine, Turku University Hospital, Turku 20014, Finland
| | - Ken Rice
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
| | - Perminder S Sachdev
- Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia.,Neuropsychiatric Institute, Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney 2031, Australia
| | - Eline Slagboom
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Section of Molecular Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden 2300 RC, The Netherlands.,Max Planck Institute for Biology of Ageing, Cologne 50931, Germany
| | - Thorkild I A Sørensen
- Novo Nordisk Foundation Center For Basic Metabolic Research, Section of Metabolic Genetics, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen DK2200, Denmark.,Department of Public Health, Section on Epidemiology, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen DK1014, Denmark
| | - Tim Spector
- Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London, London SE1 7EH, UK
| | - David Stacey
- MRC/BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB1 8RN, UK
| | | | - Toshiko Tanaka
- Longitudinal Study Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Peter Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London SW17 0RE, UK
| | - Jerome I Rotter
- Department of Pediatrics, The Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, The Lundquist Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA 90502, USA
| | - Abbas Dehghan
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam 3000 CA, The Netherlands
| | - Eric Boerwinkle
- Human Genetics Center, School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX 77030, USA.,Human Genome Sequencing Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Bruce M Psaty
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98101, USA.,Departments of Epidemiology and Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98101, USA
| | - Harold Snieder
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
| | - Behrooz Z Alizadeh
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands
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Affiliation(s)
- Artaza Gilani
- UCL Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London Medical School (Royal Free Hospital Campus), London NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Stephen P Juraschek
- Harvard Medical School, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Division of General Medicine, Section for Research, Boston, MA 02215, USA
| | - Matthew J Belanger
- Harvard Medical School, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Division of General Medicine, Section for Research, Boston, MA 02215, USA
| | - Julie E Vowles
- Hillingdon Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Uxbridge UB8 3NN, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- UCL Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London Medical School (Royal Free Hospital Campus), London NW3 2PF, UK
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27
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Gilani A, De Caterina R, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Excessive Orthostatic Changes in Blood Pressure Are Associated With Incident Heart Failure in Older Men: A Prospective Analysis From the BRHS. Hypertension 2021; 77:1481-1489. [PMID: 33719509 DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.120.15817] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
[Figure: see text].
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Affiliation(s)
- Artaza Gilani
- University College London Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Royal Free Hospital, United Kingdom (A.G., O.P., L.T.L., S.G.W.)
| | - Raffaele De Caterina
- Cardiovascular Division, Pisa University Hospital, University of Pisa, Italy (R.D.E.C.).,Fondazione VillaSerena per la Ricerca, Città Sant'Angelo, Pescara, Italy (R.D.E.C.)
| | - Olia Papacosta
- University College London Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Royal Free Hospital, United Kingdom (A.G., O.P., L.T.L., S.G.W.)
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- University College London Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Royal Free Hospital, United Kingdom (A.G., O.P., L.T.L., S.G.W.)
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, Cranmer Terrace, United Kingdom (P.H.W.)
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- University College London Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Royal Free Hospital, United Kingdom (A.G., O.P., L.T.L., S.G.W.)
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McKechnie DG, Papacosta AO, Lennon LT, Welsh P, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Inflammatory markers and incident heart failure in older men: the role of NT-proBNP. Biomark Med 2021; 15:413-425. [PMID: 33709785 PMCID: PMC8559131 DOI: 10.2217/bmm-2020-0669] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Aim: To determine the relationship between baseline inflammation (CRP and IL-6) with natriuretic peptide (NP) activity (measured by NT-proBNP) and incident heart failure (HF) in older men. Methods & results: In the British Regional Heart Study, 3569 men without prevalent myocardial infarction or HF were followed for mean 16.3 years; 327 developed HF. Baseline CRP and IL-6 were significantly and positively associated with NT-proBNP. Those in the highest CRP and IL-6 quartiles had an elevated risk of HF after age and BMI adjustment (HR = 1.42 [1.01–1.98] and 1.71 [1.24–2.37], respectively), which markedly attenuated after NT-proBNP adjustment (HR = 1.15 [0.81–1.63] and 1.25 [0.89–1.75], respectively). Conclusion: NP activity is associated with pro-inflammatory biomarkers and may explain the link between inflammation and incident HF. Inflammation describes the body’s natural response to infections, injuries and toxins. Inflammation is a helpful response in the short term, but it is thought that long-lasting inflammation – for example, due to illnesses such as diabetes or obesity – may have harmful effects. Previous studies have found that people with higher levels of inflammatory molecules in the blood seem to be more likely to develop heart failure (HF) later on. The amount of fluid in the body is controlled, in part, by molecules in the blood known as ‘natriuretic peptides' (NPs). People with HF have much higher levels of NPs in their blood, and these are used to help diagnose HF. There are suggestions that inflammation and natriuretic peptides are linked to one another. Using a sample of men aged 60–79 years, who did not have HF, we compared blood markers of inflammation and NPs at a baseline examination. Men with higher blood inflammatory markers tended to have higher blood NP levels. We then followed these men up for an average of 16.3 years. Men with higher blood inflammatory markers at baseline were more likely to develop HF, as expected, even after accounting for differences in age and BMI. However, when we accounted for NP levels at baseline, the increased risk of HF with inflammation disappeared. This suggests that NP activity is important in the relationship between inflammation and the risk of HF. Future studies should account for this when examining the link. It is possible that NPs or, more likely, whatever is driving their release, may explain why people with inflammation are more likely to get HF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas Gj McKechnie
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Paul Welsh
- Institute of Cardiovascular & Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, University College London, London, UK
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Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight. eLife 2021; 10:e60060. [PMID: 33685583 PMCID: PMC7943191 DOI: 10.7554/elife.60060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2020] [Accepted: 01/07/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
From 1985 to 2016, the prevalence of underweight decreased, and that of obesity and severe obesity increased, in most regions, with significant variation in the magnitude of these changes across regions. We investigated how much change in mean body mass index (BMI) explains changes in the prevalence of underweight, obesity, and severe obesity in different regions using data from 2896 population-based studies with 187 million participants. Changes in the prevalence of underweight and total obesity, and to a lesser extent severe obesity, are largely driven by shifts in the distribution of BMI, with smaller contributions from changes in the shape of the distribution. In East and Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the underweight tail of the BMI distribution was left behind as the distribution shifted. There is a need for policies that address all forms of malnutrition by making healthy foods accessible and affordable, while restricting unhealthy foods through fiscal and regulatory restrictions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Nayu Ikeda
- National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition
| | | | | | | | - Jing Liu
- Capital Medical University Beijing An Zhen Hospital
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- University of Copenhagen
- Copenhagen University Hospital
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ali Ahmadi
- Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences
| | | | | | | | | | - Kamel Ajlouni
- National Center for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Genetics
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Eman Aly
- World Health Organization Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean
| | | | - Parisa Amiri
- Research Center for Social Determinants of Health
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Joana Araújo
- Institute of Public Health of the University of Porto
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- Tel-Aviv University
- Hebrew University of Jerusalem
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Abdul Basit
- Baqai Institute of Diabetology and Endocrinology
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Judith Benedics
- Federal Ministry of Social Affairs, Health, Care and Consumer Protection
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Hongsheng Bi
- Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine
| | - Yufang Bi
- Shanghai Jiao-Tong University School of Medicine
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - João Breda
- World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe
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- Council for Agricultural Research and Economics
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- The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research
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- Canadian Fitness and Lifestyle Research Institute
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- The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research
| | | | | | | | - Luc Dauchet
- University of Lille
- Lille University Hospital
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- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Anar Dushpanova
- Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna
- Al-Farabi Kazakh National University
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Günther Fink
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute
- University of Basel
| | | | | | | | - Heba M Fouad
- World Health Organization Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Mihai Gafencu
- Victor Babes University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timisoara
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Marcel Goldberg
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale
- Paris University
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Yin Guo
- Capital Medical University Beijing Tongren Hospital
| | | | - Rajeev Gupta
- Eternal Heart Care Centre and Research Institute
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- Beijing Institute of Ophthalmology
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- National Research Institute for Health and Family Planning
| | - Yuna He
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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- Institute of Public Health of the University of Porto
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- Institute of Molecular and Clinical Ophthalmology Basel
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- French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
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- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
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- Research Institute for Primordial Prevention of Non-communicable Disease
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- PASs Hirszfeld Institute of Immunology and Experimental Therapy
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- French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
| | - Vera Lanska
- Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine
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- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
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- Capital Medical University Beijing Tongren Hospital
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- National Research Institute for Health and Family Planning
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- Institute of Neuroscience of the National Research Council
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- French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
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- Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare
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- CIBERCV
- Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jie Mi
- Capital Institute of Pediatrics
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- Women’s Social and Health Studies Foundation
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- University of Strasbourg
- Strasbourg University Hospital
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jorge Motta
- Instituto Conmemorativo Gorgas de Estudios de la Salud
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- Banska Bystrica Regional Authority of Public Health
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Keiu Nelis
- National Institute for Health Development
| | - Liis Nelis
- National Institute for Health Development
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Yury P Nikitin
- SB RAS Federal Research Center Institute of Cytology and Genetics
| | - Guang Ning
- Shanghai Jiao-Tong University School of Medicine
| | | | | | - Marianna Noale
- Institute of Neuroscience of the National Research Council
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- National Institute for Health Development
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- Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
| | | | - Claes Ohlsson
- University of Gothenburg
- Sahlgrenska University Hospital
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- Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Francesco Panza
- IRCCS Ente Ospedaliero Specializzato in Gastroenterologia S. de Bellis
| | | | | | - Suyeon Park
- Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
| | | | | | - Ionela M Pascanu
- University of Medicine, Pharmacy, Science and Technology of Târgu Mures
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- Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology - BIPS
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Raluca M Pop
- University of Medicine, Pharmacy, Science and Technology of Târgu Mures
| | | | - Miquel Porta
- Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Maria Puiu
- Victor Babes University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timisoara
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Manu Raj
- Amrita Institute of Medical Sciences
| | | | | | - Ivo Rakovac
- World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe
| | | | | | | | | | - Rafel Ramos
- Institut Universitari d'Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ana Rito
- National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge
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- Institute of Food Sciences of the National Research Council
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Nader Saki
- Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences
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- Research and Education Institute of Child Health
| | - Mathilde Savy
- French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
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- University of New South Wales
- The George Institute for Global Health
| | | | | | | | - Abhijit Sen
- Center for Oral Health Services and Research Mid-Norway
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- Institute of Food Sciences of the National Research Council
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Liam Smeeth
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
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- Institute of Public Health
- Ss. Cyril and Methodius University
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- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Lucjan Szponar
- National Institute of Public Health – National Institute of Hygiene
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- French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
| | | | | | | | - Oanh TH Trinh
- University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Gilad Twig
- Tel-Aviv University
- Hebrew University of Jerusalem
| | | | | | | | | | - Eunice Ugel
- Universidad Centro-Occidental Lisandro Alvarado
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- Copenhagen University Hospital
- University of Copenhagen
| | | | | | | | - Tomas Vega
- Consejería de Sanidad Junta de Castilla y León
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Lucie Viet
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment
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- Capital Medical University Beijing Tongren Hospital
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Adelheid Weber
- Federal Ministry of Social Affairs, Health, Care and Consumer Protection
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Bogdan Wojtyniak
- National Institute of Public Health - National Institute of Hygiene
| | | | | | | | | | - Jean Woo
- The Chinese University of Hong Kong
| | | | | | - Jianfeng Wu
- Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine
| | | | | | - Haiquan Xu
- Institute of Food and Nutrition Development of Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs
| | - Liang Xu
- Beijing Institute of Ophthalmology
| | | | | | - Weili Yan
- Children's Hospital of Fudan University
| | | | | | - Yang Yang
- Shanghai Educational Development Co. Ltd
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- Peking University
- Duke University
| | | | | | - Dong Zhao
- Capital Medical University Beijing An Zhen Hospital
| | | | - Wenhua Zhao
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
| | - Shiqi Zhen
- Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
| | - Dan Zhu
- Inner Mongolia Medical University
| | - Marie Zins
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale
- Paris University
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Kotronia E, Wannamethee SG, Papacosta AO, Whincup PH, Lennon LT, Visser M, Kapila YL, Weyant RJ, Ramsay SE. Poor Oral Health and Inflammatory, Hemostatic, and Cardiac Biomarkers in Older Age: Results From Two Studies in the UK and USA. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2021; 76:346-351. [PMID: 32306041 PMCID: PMC7812424 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glaa096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2019] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We examined the association of objective and subjective oral health markers with inflammatory, hemostatic, and cardiac biomarkers in older age. METHODS Cross-sectional analyses were based on the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) comprising British men aged 71-92 years (n = 2,147), and the Health, Aging and Body Composition (HABC) Study comprising American men and women aged 71-80 years (n = 3,075). Oral health markers included periodontal disease, tooth count, dry mouth. Inflammatory biomarkers included C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6) in both studies, and tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA), von Willebrand Factor (vWF), fibrin D-dimer, high-sensitivity Troponin T (hsTnT), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) only in the BRHS. RESULTS In both studies, tooth loss, was associated with the top tertile of CRP-odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) are 1.31 (1.02-1.68) in BRHS; and 1.40 (1.13-1.75) in the HABC Study, after adjusting for confounders. In the HABC Study, cumulative (≥3) oral health problems were associated with higher levels of CRP (OR [95% CI] =1.42 [1.01-1.99]). In the BRHS, complete and partial tooth loss was associated with hemostatic factors, in particular with the top tertile of fibrin D-dimer (OR [95% CI] = 1.64 [1.16-2.30] and 1.37 [1.05-1.77], respectively). Tooth loss and periodontal disease were associated with increased levels of hsTnT. CONCLUSIONS Poor oral health in older age, particularly tooth loss, was consistently associated with some inflammatory, hemostatic, and cardiac biomarkers. Prospective studies and intervention trials could help understand better if poor oral health is causally linked to inflammatory, hemostatic, and cardiac biomarkers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Kotronia
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, UK
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, UK
| | - Marjolein Visser
- Department of Health Sciences, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Vrije Universiteit, the Netherlands
| | - Yvonne L Kapila
- Department of Orofacial Sciences, School of Dentistry, University of California, San Francisco
| | - Robert J Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
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Gilani A, Ramsay SE, Welsh P, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Vitamin D deficiency is associated with orthostatic hypotension in older men: a cross-sectional analysis from the British Regional Heart Study. Age Ageing 2021; 50:198-204. [PMID: 32902636 PMCID: PMC7793603 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afaa146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2020] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background orthostatic hypotension (OH) that occurs within, or at, 1 minute of standing is associated with higher risk of falls, myocardial infarction, syncope and mortality, compared to OH that occurs after 1 minute of standing. Whether vitamin D deficiency increases the risk of OH is controversial. Methods this was a cross-sectional analysis of 3,620 older, community-dwelling men. Multinomial, multiple logistic regression models were used to calculate the risk of OH across categories of vitamin D status (deficient [<25 nmol/l], insufficient [≥25–<50 nmol/l] and sufficient [≥50 nmol/l]) and parathyroid hormone quintile. Results men with vitamin D deficiency were more likely to have OH that occurred within 1 minute of standing in univariate logistic regression (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.40–2.53) and multinomial, multiple logistic regression (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.06–2.15), compared to men with sufficient levels of vitamin D. Vitamin D insufficiency was not associated with the risk of OH. Elevated parathyroid hormone was not associated with risk of OH. Conclusion the absence of an association between vitamin D insufficiency and risk of OH and the presence of an association between vitamin D deficiency and risk of OH suggest that there may be a threshold effect; it is only below a particular level of vitamin D that risk of OH is increased. In this cohort, the threshold was <25 nmol/l. Future work should investigate whether treating vitamin D deficiency can improve postural blood pressure or if preventing vitamin D deficiency reduces the incidence of OH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Artaza Gilani
- Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, Royal Free Campus, London NW3 2PF, UK
- Address correspondence to: Dr Artaza Gilani. Tel: 02080168021.
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE2 4AX, UK
| | - Paul Welsh
- British Heart Foundation Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Science, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, Royal Free Campus, London NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, Royal Free Campus, London NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London SW17 0RE, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, Royal Free Campus, London NW3 2PF, UK
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Rodriguez-Martinez A, Zhou B, Sophiea MK, Bentham J, Paciorek CJ, Iurilli MLC, Carrillo-Larco RM, Bennett JE, Di Cesare M, Taddei C, Bixby H, Stevens GA, Riley LM, Cowan MJ, Savin S, Danaei G, Chirita-Emandi A, Kengne AP, Khang YH, Laxmaiah A, Malekzadeh R, Miranda JJ, Moon JS, Popovic SR, Sørensen TIA, Soric M, Starc G, Zainuddin AA, Gregg EW, Bhutta ZA, Black R, Abarca-Gómez L, Abdeen ZA, Abdrakhmanova S, Abdul Ghaffar S, Abdul Rahim HF, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Abubakar Garba J, Acosta-Cazares B, Adams RJ, Aekplakorn W, Afsana K, Afzal S, Agdeppa IA, Aghazadeh-Attari J, Aguilar-Salinas CA, Agyemang C, Ahmad MH, Ahmad NA, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi N, Ahmed SH, Ahrens W, Aitmurzaeva G, Ajlouni K, Al-Hazzaa HM, Al-Othman AR, Al-Raddadi R, Alarouj M, AlBuhairan F, AlDhukair S, Ali MM, Alkandari A, Alkerwi A, Allin K, Alvarez-Pedrerol M, Aly E, Amarapurkar DN, Amiri P, Amougou N, Amouyel P, Andersen LB, Anderssen SA, Ängquist L, Anjana RM, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Araújo J, Ariansen I, Aris 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X, Yiallouros PK, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, You QS, You SL, Younger-Coleman NO, Yusof SM, Yusoff AF, Zaccagni L, Zafiropulos V, Zainuddin AA, Zakavi SR, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zamrazilová H, Zapata ME, Zargar AH, Zaw KK, Zdrojewski T, Zeljkovic Vrkic T, Zeng Y, Zhang L, Zhang ZY, Zhao D, Zhao MH, Zhao W, Zhen S, Zheng W, Zheng Y, Zholdin B, Zhou M, Zhu D, Zocalo Y, Zuñiga Cisneros J, Zuziak M, Ezzati M. Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019 in 200 countries and territories: a pooled analysis of 2181 population-based studies with 65 million participants. Lancet 2020; 396:1511-1524. [PMID: 33160572 PMCID: PMC7658740 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)31859-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 171] [Impact Index Per Article: 42.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2020] [Revised: 08/03/2020] [Accepted: 08/19/2020] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Comparable global data on health and nutrition of school-aged children and adolescents are scarce. We aimed to estimate age trajectories and time trends in mean height and mean body-mass index (BMI), which measures weight gain beyond what is expected from height gain, for school-aged children and adolescents. METHODS For this pooled analysis, we used a database of cardiometabolic risk factors collated by the Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Collaboration. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1985 to 2019 in mean height and mean BMI in 1-year age groups for ages 5-19 years. The model allowed for non-linear changes over time in mean height and mean BMI and for non-linear changes with age of children and adolescents, including periods of rapid growth during adolescence. FINDINGS We pooled data from 2181 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in 65 million participants in 200 countries and territories. In 2019, we estimated a difference of 20 cm or higher in mean height of 19-year-old adolescents between countries with the tallest populations (the Netherlands, Montenegro, Estonia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina for boys; and the Netherlands, Montenegro, Denmark, and Iceland for girls) and those with the shortest populations (Timor-Leste, Laos, Solomon Islands, and Papua New Guinea for boys; and Guatemala, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Timor-Leste for girls). In the same year, the difference between the highest mean BMI (in Pacific island countries, Kuwait, Bahrain, The Bahamas, Chile, the USA, and New Zealand for both boys and girls and in South Africa for girls) and lowest mean BMI (in India, Bangladesh, Timor-Leste, Ethiopia, and Chad for boys and girls; and in Japan and Romania for girls) was approximately 9-10 kg/m2. In some countries, children aged 5 years started with healthier height or BMI than the global median and, in some cases, as healthy as the best performing countries, but they became progressively less healthy compared with their comparators as they grew older by not growing as tall (eg, boys in Austria and Barbados, and girls in Belgium and Puerto Rico) or gaining too much weight for their height (eg, girls and boys in Kuwait, Bahrain, Fiji, Jamaica, and Mexico; and girls in South Africa and New Zealand). In other countries, growing children overtook the height of their comparators (eg, Latvia, Czech Republic, Morocco, and Iran) or curbed their weight gain (eg, Italy, France, and Croatia) in late childhood and adolescence. When changes in both height and BMI were considered, girls in South Korea, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and some central Asian countries (eg, Armenia and Azerbaijan), and boys in central and western Europe (eg, Portugal, Denmark, Poland, and Montenegro) had the healthiest changes in anthropometric status over the past 3·5 decades because, compared with children and adolescents in other countries, they had a much larger gain in height than they did in BMI. The unhealthiest changes-gaining too little height, too much weight for their height compared with children in other countries, or both-occurred in many countries in sub-Saharan Africa, New Zealand, and the USA for boys and girls; in Malaysia and some Pacific island nations for boys; and in Mexico for girls. INTERPRETATION The height and BMI trajectories over age and time of school-aged children and adolescents are highly variable across countries, which indicates heterogeneous nutritional quality and lifelong health advantages and risks. FUNDING Wellcome Trust, AstraZeneca Young Health Programme, EU.
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Kotronia E, Wannamethee SG, Papacosta OA, Whincup PH, Lennon LT, Visser M, Weyant RJ, Ramsay SE. Poor oral health and incidence of disability: results from studies of older people in the UK and USA. Eur J Public Health 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaa165.453] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
To examine the association between oral health markers and disability 4 years later in two population-based studies of older people in the UK and USA.
Methods
Analyses were conducted in the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) comprising older men (n = 2147) and the Health, Aging and Body Composition (HABC) Study comprising American older men and women (n = 3075). Data from a 4-year follow up period were used. Oral health measures included tooth loss, periodontal disease, dry mouth, and self-rated oral health. Mobility limitations and Activities of Daily Living (ADL) were markers of disability. Logistic regression was performed and analyses were adjusted for confounders (age, socioeconomic position, lifestyle factors, and chronic diseases).
Results
Over a 4-year follow-up, 15% of subjects in the BRHS and 19% in the HABC Study developed mobility limitations. In both studies, 12% of participants developed ADL problems. In the BRHS, tooth loss (complete and partial), periodontal disease, dry mouth and accumulation of oral health problems were associated with an increased risk of developing mobility limitations after adjustment for confounders (partial tooth loss, OR = 1.86, 95% CI 1.18-2.94, ≥3 dry mouth symptoms, OR = 1.97, 95%CI 1.25-3.09). Similar results were observed for the risk of developing ADL problems. In the HABC Study, complete tooth loss and accumulation of oral health problems were associated with greater risk of incident mobility limitations (OR = 1.77, 95%CI 1.13-2.76; OR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.02-1.37, respectively). Moreover, self-rated oral health was associated with increased risk of ADL problems, after adjustment for confounders.
Conclusions
Poor oral health was associated with increased risk of developing disability in community-dwelling older people. Screening tools of oral health may be helpful in identifying oral health problems, improving oral health status and promoting health and good quality of life.
Key messages
Poor oral health is associated with a higher risk of developing disability in later life. This highlights the importance of oral health on maintaining independence in older people.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Kotronia
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
| | - S G Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - O A Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - P H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - L T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - M Visser
- Department of Health Sciences, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - R J Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, USA
| | - S E Ramsay
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
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Taddei C, Zhou B, Bixby H, Carrillo-Larco RM, Danaei G, Jackson RT, Farzadfar F, Sophiea MK, Di Cesare M, Iurilli MLC, Martinez AR, Asghari G, Dhana K, Gulayin P, Kakarmath S, Santero M, Voortman T, Riley LM, Cowan MJ, Savin S, Bennett JE, Stevens GA, Paciorek CJ, Aekplakorn W, Cifkova R, Giampaoli S, Kengne AP, Khang YH, Kuulasmaa K, Laxmaiah A, Margozzini P, Mathur P, Nordestgaard BG, Zhao D, Aadahl M, Abarca-Gómez L, Rahim HA, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Acosta-Cazares B, Adams RJ, Agdeppa IA, Aghazadeh-Attari J, Aguilar-Salinas CA, Agyemang C, Ahluwalia TS, Ahmad NA, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi N, Ahmed SH, Ahrens W, Ajlouni K, Alarouj M, AlBuhairan F, AlDhukair S, Ali MM, Alkandari A, Alkerwi A, Aly E, Amarapurkar DN, Amouyel P, Andersen LB, Anderssen SA, Anjana RM, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Araújo J, Ariansen I, Aris T, Arku RE, Arlappa N, Aryal KK, Aspelund T, Assunção MCF, Auvinen J, Avdicová M, Azevedo A, Azizi F, Azmin M, Balakrishna N, Bamoshmoosh M, Banach M, Bandosz P, Banegas JR, Barbagallo CM, Barceló A, Barkat A, Bata I, Batieha AM, Batyrbek A, Baur LA, Beaglehole R, Belavendra A, Ben Romdhane H, Benet M, Benn M, Berkinbayev S, Bernabe-Ortiz A, Bernotiene G, Bettiol H, Bhargava SK, Bi Y, Bienek A, Bikbov M, Bista B, Bjerregaard P, Bjertness E, Bjertness MB, Björkelund C, Bloch KV, Blokstra A, Bo S, Boehm BO, Boggia JG, Boissonnet CP, Bonaccio M, Bongard V, Borchini R, Borghs H, Bovet P, Brajkovich I, Breckenkamp J, Brenner H, Brewster LM, Bruno G, Bugge A, Busch MA, de León AC, Cacciottolo J, Can G, Cândido APC, Capanzana MV, Capuano E, Capuano V, Cardoso VC, Carvalho J, Casanueva FF, Censi L, Chadjigeorgiou CA, Chamukuttan S, Chaturvedi N, Chen CJ, Chen F, Chen S, Cheng CY, Cheraghian B, Chetrit A, Chiou ST, Chirlaque MD, Cho B, Cho Y, Chudek J, Claessens F, Clarke J, Clays E, Concin H, Confortin SC, Cooper C, Costanzo S, Cottel D, Cowell C, Crujeiras AB, Csilla S, Cui L, Cureau FV, D’Arrigo G, d’Orsi E, Dallongeville J, Damasceno A, Dankner R, Dantoft TM, Dauchet L, Davletov K, De Backer G, De Bacquer D, de Gaetano G, De Henauw S, de Oliveira PD, De Ridder D, De Smedt D, Deepa M, Deev AD, Dehghan A, Delisle H, Dennison E, Deschamps V, Dhimal M, Di Castelnuovo AF, Dika Z, Djalalinia S, Dobson AJ, Donfrancesco C, Donoso SP, Döring A, Dorobantu M, Dragano N, Drygas W, Du Y, Duante CA, Duda RB, Dzerve V, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk E, Eddie R, Eftekhar E, Eggertsen R, Eghtesad S, Eiben G, Ekelund U, El Ati J, Eldemire-Shearer D, Eliasen M, Elosua R, Erasmus RT, Erbel R, Erem C, Eriksen L, Eriksson JG, Escobedo-de la Peña J, Eslami S, Esmaeili A, Evans A, Faeh D, Fall CH, Faramarzi E, Farjam M, Fattahi MR, Felix-Redondo FJ, Ferguson TS, Fernández-Bergés D, Ferrante D, Ferrari M, Ferreccio C, Ferrieres J, Föger B, Foo LH, Forslund AS, Forsner M, Fouad HM, Francis DK, do Carmo Franco M, Franco OH, Frontera G, Fujita Y, Fumihiko M, Furusawa T, Gaciong Z, Galvano F, Gao J, Garcia-de-la-Hera M, Garnett SP, Gaspoz JM, Gasull M, Gazzinelli A, Geleijnse JM, Ghanbari A, Ghasemi E, Gheorghe-Fronea OF, Ghimire A, Gianfagna F, Gill TK, Giovannelli J, Gironella G, Giwercman A, Goltzman D, Gonçalves H, Gonzalez-Chica DA, Gonzalez-Gross M, González-Rivas JP, González-Villalpando C, González-Villalpando ME, Gonzalez AR, Gottrand F, Graff-Iversen S, Grafnetter D, Gregor RD, Grodzicki T, Grøntved A, Grosso G, Gruden G, Gu D, Guallar-Castillón P, Guan OP, Gudmundsson EF, Gudnason V, Guerrero R, Guessous I, Gunnlaugsdottir J, Gupta R, Gutierrez L, Gutzwiller F, Ha S, Hadaegh F, Haghshenas R, Hakimi H, Hambleton IR, Hamzeh B, Hantunen S, Kumar RH, Hashemi-Shahri SM, Hata J, Haugsgjerd T, Hayes AJ, He J, He Y, Hendriks ME, Henriques A, Herrala S, Heshmat R, Hill AG, Ho SY, Ho SC, Hobbs M, Hofman A, Homayounfar R, Hopman WM, Horimoto ARVR, Hormiga CM, Horta BL, Houti L, Howitt C, Htay TT, Htet AS, Htike MMT, Huerta JM, Huhtaniemi IT, Huisman M, Hunsberger ML, Husseini AS, Huybrechts I, Hwalla N, Iacoviello L, Iannone AG, Ibrahim MM, Wong NI, Iglesia I, Ikeda N, Ikram MA, Iotova V, Irazola VE, Ishida T, Islam M, al-Safi Ismail A, Iwasaki M, Jacobs JM, Jaddou HY, Jafar T, James K, Jamrozik K, Janszky I, Janus E, Jarvelin MR, Jasienska G, Jelakovic A, Jelakovic B, Jennings G, Jensen GB, Jeong SL, Jha AK, Jiang CQ, Jimenez RO, Jöckel KH, Joffres M, Jokelainen JJ, Jonas JB, Jørgensen T, Joshi P, Joukar F, Józwiak J, Juolevi A, Kafatos A, Kajantie EO, Kalter-Leibovici O, Kamaruddin NA, Kamstrup PR, Karki KB, Katz J, Kauhanen J, Kaur P, Kavousi M, Kazakbaeva G, Keil U, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi S, Kelishadi R, Keramati M, Kerimkulova A, Kersting M, Khader YS, Khalili D, Khateeb M, Kheradmand M, Khosravi A, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer U, Kiechl S, Killewo J, Kim HC, Kim J, Kim YY, Klumbiene J, Knoflach M, Ko S, Kohler HP, Kohler IV, Kolle E, Kolsteren P, König J, Korpelainen R, Korrovits P, Kos J, Koskinen S, Kouda K, Kowlessur S, Kratzer W, Kriemler S, Kristensen PL, Krokstad S, Kromhout D, Kujala UM, Kurjata P, Kyobutungi C, Laamiri FZ, Laatikainen T, Lachat C, Laid Y, Lam TH, Lambrinou CP, Lanska V, Lappas G, Larijani B, Latt TS, Laugsand LE, Lazo-Porras M, Lee J, Lee J, Lehmann N, Lehtimäki T, Levitt NS, Li Y, Lilly CL, Lim WY, Lima-Costa MF, Lin HH, Lin X, Lin YT, Lind L, Linneberg A, Lissner L, Liu J, Loit HM, Lopez-Garcia E, Lopez T, Lotufo PA, Lozano JE, Luksiene D, Lundqvist A, Lundqvist R, Lunet N, Ma G, Machado-Coelho GLL, Machado-Rodrigues AM, Machi S, Madar AA, Maggi S, Magliano DJ, Magriplis E, Mahasampath G, Maire B, Makdisse M, Malekzadeh F, Malekzadeh R, Rao KM, Manios Y, Mann JI, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Manzato E, Marques-Vidal P, Martorell R, Mascarenhas LP, Mathiesen EB, Matsha TE, Mavrogianni C, McFarlane SR, McGarvey ST, McLachlan S, McLean RM, McLean SB, McNulty BA, Mediene-Benchekor S, Mehdipour P, Mehlig K, Mehrparvar AH, Meirhaeghe A, Meisinger C, Menezes AMB, Menon GR, Merat S, Mereke A, Meshram II, Metcalf P, Meyer HE, Mi J, Michels N, Miller JC, Minderico CS, Mini GK, Miquel JF, Miranda JJ, Mirjalili MR, Mirrakhimov E, Modesti PA, Moghaddam SS, Mohajer B, Mohamed MK, Mohammad K, Mohammadi Z, Mohammadifard N, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohan V, Mohanna S, Yusoff MFM, Mohebbi I, Mohebi F, Moitry M, Møllehave LT, Møller NC, Molnár D, Momenan A, Mondo CK, Monterrubio-Flores E, Moosazadeh M, Morejon A, Moreno LA, Morgan K, Morin SN, Moschonis G, Mossakowska M, Mostafa A, Mota J, Motlagh ME, Motta J, Msyamboza KP, Muiesan ML, Müller-Nurasyid M, Mursu J, Mustafa N, Nabipour I, Naderimagham S, Nagel G, Naidu BM, Najafi F, Nakamura H, Námešná J, Nang EEK, Nangia VB, Nauck M, Neal WA, Nejatizadeh A, Nenko I, Nervi F, Nguyen ND, Nguyen QN, Nieto-Martínez RE, Nihal T, Niiranen TJ, Ning G, Ninomiya T, Noale M, Noboa OA, Noto D, Nsour MA, Nuhoğlu I, O’Neill TW, O’Reilly D, Ochoa-Avilés AM, Oh K, Ohtsuka R, Olafsson Ö, Olié V, Oliveira IO, Omar MA, Onat A, Ong SK, Ordunez P, Ornelas R, Ortiz PJ, Osmond C, Ostojic SM, Ostovar A, Otero JA, Owusu-Dabo E, Paccaud FM, Pahomova E, Pajak A, Palmieri L, Pan WH, Panda-Jonas S, Panza F, Parnell WR, Patel ND, Peer N, Peixoto SV, Peltonen M, Pereira AC, Peters A, Petersmann A, Petkeviciene J, Peykari N, Pham ST, Pichardo RN, Pigeot I, Pilav A, Pilotto L, Piwonska A, Pizarro AN, Plans-Rubió P, Plata S, Pohlabeln H, Porta M, Portegies MLP, Poudyal A, Pourfarzi F, Poustchi H, Pradeepa R, Price JF, Providencia R, Puder JJ, Puhakka SE, Punab M, Qorbani M, Bao TQ, Radisauskas R, Rahimikazerooni S, Raitakari O, Rao SR, Ramachandran A, Ramos E, Ramos R, Rampal L, Rampal S, Redon J, Reganit PFM, Revilla L, Rezaianzadeh A, Ribeiro R, Richter A, Rigo F, Rinke de Wit TF, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez M, Rodríguez-Villamizar LA, Roggenbuck U, Rojas-Martinez R, Romaguera D, Romeo EL, Rosengren A, Roy JGR, Rubinstein A, Ruidavets JB, Ruiz-Betancourt BS, Russo P, Rust P, Rutkowski M, Sabanayagam C, Sachdev HS, Sadjadi A, Safarpour AR, Safiri S, Saidi O, Saki N, Salanave B, Salmerón D, Salomaa V, Salonen JT, Salvetti M, Sánchez-Abanto J, Sans S, Santaliestra-Pasías AM, Santos DA, Santos MP, Santos R, Saramies JL, Sardinha LB, Sarrafzadegan N, Saum KU, Savva SC, Sawada N, Sbaraini M, Scazufca M, Schaan BD, Schargrodsky H, Scheidt-Nave C, Schienkiewitz A, Schipf S, Schmidt CO, Schöttker B, Schramm S, Sebert S, Sein AA, Sen A, Sepanlou SG, Servais J, Shakeri R, Shalnova SA, Shamah-Levy T, Sharafkhah M, Sharma SK, Shaw JE, Shayanrad A, Shi Z, Shibuya K, Shimizu-Furusawa H, Shin DW, Shin Y, Shirani M, Shiri R, Shrestha N, Si-Ramlee K, Siani A, Siantar R, Sibai AM, Silva DAS, Simon M, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöström M, Skaaby T, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Smeeth L, Snijder MB, Söderberg S, Soemantri A, Sofat R, Solfrizzi V, Somi MH, Sonestedt E, Sørensen TIA, Jérome CS, Soumaré A, Sozmen K, Sparrenberger K, Staessen JA, Stathopoulou MG, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stein AD, Stessman J, Stevanović R, Stieber J, Stöckl D, Stokwiszewski J, Stronks K, Strufaldi MW, Suárez-Medina R, Sun CA, Sundström J, Suriyawongpaisal P, Sy RG, Sylva RC, Szklo M, Tai ES, Tamosiunas A, Tan EJ, Tarawneh MR, Tarqui-Mamani CB, Taylor A, Taylor J, Tell GS, Tello T, Thankappan KR, Thijs L, Thuesen BH, Toft U, Tolonen HK, Tolstrup JS, Topbas M, Topór-Madry R, Tormo MJ, Tornaritis MJ, Torrent M, Torres-Collado L, Traissac P, Trinh OTH, Truthmann J, Tsugane S, Tulloch-Reid MK, Tuomainen TP, Tuomilehto J, Tybjaerg-Hansen A, Tzourio C, Ueda P, Ugel E, Ulmer H, Unal B, Uusitalo HMT, Valdivia G, Valvi D, van Dam RM, van der Schouw YT, Van Herck K, Van Minh H, van Rossem L, Van Schoor NM, van Valkengoed IGM, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Varbo A, Varona-Pérez P, Vasan SK, Vatten L, Vega T, Veidebaum T, Velasquez-Melendez G, Venero-Fernández SJ, Veronesi G, Verschuren WMM, Victora CG, Vidiawati D, Viet L, Villalpando S, Vioque J, Virtanen JK, Visvikis-Siest S, Viswanathan B, Vlasoff T, Vollenweider P, Voutilainen A, Wade AN, Wagner A, Walton J, Bebakar WMW, Mohamud WNW, Wang MD, Wang N, Wang Q, Wang YX, Wang YW, Wannamethee SG, Wedderkopp N, Wei W, Whincup PH, Widhalm K, Widyahening IS, Wiecek A, Wijga AH, Wilks RJ, Willeit J, Willeit P, Wilsgaard T, Wojtyniak B, Wong-McClure RA, Wong A, Wong TY, Woo J, Woodward M, Wu FC, Wu S, Xu H, Xu L, Yan W, Yang X, Yasuharu T, Ye X, Yeow TP, Yiallouros PK, Yoosefi M, Yoshihara A, You SL, Younger-Coleman NO, Yusoff AF, Zainuddin AA, Zakavi SR, Zali MR, Zamani F, Zambon S, Zampelas A, Zaw KK, Zdrojewski T, Vrkic TZ, Zhang ZY, Zhao W, Zhen S, Zheng Y, Zholdin B, Zhussupov B, Zoghlami N, Cisneros JZ, Gregg EW, Ezzati M. Repositioning of the global epicentre of non-optimal cholesterol. Nature 2020; 582:73-77. [PMID: 32494083 PMCID: PMC7332422 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2338-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 111] [Impact Index Per Article: 27.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2019] [Accepted: 04/02/2020] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
High blood cholesterol is typically considered a feature of wealthy western countries1,2. However, dietary and behavioural determinants of blood cholesterol are changing rapidly throughout the world3 and countries are using lipid-lowering medications at varying rates. These changes can have distinct effects on the levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and non-HDL cholesterol, which have different effects on human health4,5. However, the trends of HDL and non-HDL cholesterol levels over time have not been previously reported in a global analysis. Here we pooled 1,127 population-based studies that measured blood lipids in 102.6 million individuals aged 18 years and older to estimate trends from 1980 to 2018 in mean total, non-HDL and HDL cholesterol levels for 200 countries. Globally, there was little change in total or non-HDL cholesterol from 1980 to 2018. This was a net effect of increases in low- and middle-income countries, especially in east and southeast Asia, and decreases in high-income western countries, especially those in northwestern Europe, and in central and eastern Europe. As a result, countries with the highest level of non-HDL cholesterol-which is a marker of cardiovascular risk-changed from those in western Europe such as Belgium, Finland, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and Malta in 1980 to those in Asia and the Pacific, such as Tokelau, Malaysia, The Philippines and Thailand. In 2017, high non-HDL cholesterol was responsible for an estimated 3.9 million (95% credible interval 3.7 million-4.2 million) worldwide deaths, half of which occurred in east, southeast and south Asia. The global repositioning of lipid-related risk, with non-optimal cholesterol shifting from a distinct feature of high-income countries in northwestern Europe, north America and Australasia to one that affects countries in east and southeast Asia and Oceania should motivate the use of population-based policies and personal interventions to improve nutrition and enhance access to treatment throughout the world.
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Borges MC, Schmidt AF, Jefferis B, Wannamethee SG, Lawlor DA, Kivimaki M, Kumari M, Gaunt TR, Ben-Shlomo Y, Tillin T, Menon U, Providencia R, Dale C, Gentry-Maharaj A, Hughes A, Chaturvedi N, Casas JP, Hingorani AD. Circulating Fatty Acids and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Stroke: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis in Up to 16 126 Participants. J Am Heart Assoc 2020; 9:e013131. [PMID: 32114887 PMCID: PMC7335585 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.119.013131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
Background We aimed at investigating the association of circulating fatty acids with coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke risk. Methods and Results We conducted an individual-participant data meta-analysis of 5 UK-based cohorts and 1 matched case-control study. Fatty acids (ie, omega-3 docosahexaenoic acid, omega-6 linoleic acid, monounsaturated and saturated fatty acids) were measured at baseline using an automated high-throughput serum nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics platform. Data from 3022 incident CHD cases (13 104 controls) and 1606 incident stroke cases (13 369 controls) were included. Logistic regression was used to model the relation between fatty acids and odds of CHD and stroke, adjusting for demographic and lifestyle variables only (ie, minimally adjusted model) or with further adjustment for other fatty acids (ie, fully adjusted model). Although circulating docosahexaenoic acid, but not linoleic acid, was related to lower CHD risk in the fully adjusted model (odds ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.95 per standard unit of docosahexaenoic acid), there was evidence of high between-study heterogeneity and effect modification by study design. Stroke risk was consistently lower with increasing circulating linoleic acid (odds ratio for fully adjusted model, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.75-0.90). Circulating monounsaturated fatty acids were associated with higher CHD risk across all models and with stroke risk in the fully adjusted model (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.03-1.44). Saturated fatty acids were not related to increased CHD risk in the fully adjusted model (odds ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.82-1.09), or stroke risk. Conclusions We found consistent evidence that linoleic acid was associated with decreased risk of stroke and that monounsaturated fatty acids were associated with increased risk of CHD. The different pattern between CHD and stroke in terms of fatty acids risk profile suggests future studies should be cautious about using composite events. Different study designs are needed to assess which, if any, of the associations observed is causal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Carolina Borges
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol United Kingdom.,Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical School University of Bristol United Kingdom
| | - Amand Floriaan Schmidt
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science University College London London United Kingdom.,Groningen Research Institute of Pharmacy University of Groningen the Netherlands.,Division Heart and Lungs Department of Cardiology University Medical Center Utrecht Utrecht The Netherlands
| | - Barbara Jefferis
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health UCL Medical School London United Kingdom
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health UCL Medical School London United Kingdom
| | - Debbie A Lawlor
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol United Kingdom.,Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical School University of Bristol United Kingdom
| | - Mika Kivimaki
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health University College London London United Kingdom
| | - Meena Kumari
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health University College London London United Kingdom.,Institute for Social and Economic Research University of Essex United Kingdom
| | - Tom R Gaunt
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol United Kingdom.,Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical School University of Bristol United Kingdom
| | - Yoav Ben-Shlomo
- Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical School University of Bristol United Kingdom
| | - Therese Tillin
- Cardiometabolic Phenotyping Group Institute of Cardiovascular Science University College London London United Kingdom
| | - Usha Menon
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL Institute of Clinical Trials & MethodologyUniversity College London London United Kingdom
| | - Rui Providencia
- Farr Institute of Health Informatics University College London London United Kingdom.,Barts Heart Centre St Bartholomew's Hospital Barts Health NHS Trust London United Kingdom
| | - Caroline Dale
- Farr Institute of Health Informatics University College London London United Kingdom
| | - Aleksandra Gentry-Maharaj
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL Institute of Clinical Trials & MethodologyUniversity College London London United Kingdom
| | - Alun Hughes
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science University College London London United Kingdom
| | - Nish Chaturvedi
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science University College London London United Kingdom
| | - Juan Pablo Casas
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC) VA Boston Healthcare System Boston MA USA
| | - Aroon D Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science University College London London United Kingdom.,Farr Institute of Health Informatics University College London London United Kingdom
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Ahmed A, Ramsay SE, Papacosta O, Lennon L, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. 84 Circulating Vitamin D Levels and Frailty in the British Regional Heart Study: Cross Sectional and Prospective Associations. Age Ageing 2020. [DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afz192.02] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Introduction
Whether Vitamin D deficiency is linked to development of frailty, independent of other health conditions, is inconclusive. In the British Regional Heart Study we aimed to examine (1) cross sectional (CS) and prospective (PS) associations between Vitamin D levels and frailty; and (2) if these are mediated by conditions linked to low Vitamin D (diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and inflammatory markers C-reactive protein & Interleukin-6).
Methods
Baseline (2010-2012) Vitamin D in men (71-92y) was categorised as deficiency (<12 ng/ml), insufficiency (12 - < 20 ng/ml) and sufficiency (≥20 ng/ml) states. Frailty, assessed at baseline and follow up (2014) was classified as robust, pre-frail or frail (score 0, 1-2, or ≥3 out of 5 Fried Frailty components respectively). Multinomial regression determined CS & PS relative risk ratios (RRR) of being pre-frail or frail, relative to robust. Adjustments were made for age, BMI, season, smoking, drinking habits, social class, Vitamin D/calcium supplements, mental/physical health and potential mediators.
Results
At baseline, 20% of 1494 men were frail and 25% deficient in Vitamin D. Unadjusted RRR of being frail (vs robust) was 3.16 [95% CI 2.16, 4.62] in men with Vitamin D<12ng/ml (reference ≥20ng/ml). Higher RRR persisted even after adjusting for covariates and potential mediating factors, [2.74; 95% CI 1.60, 4.69]. Of 977 men non-frail at baseline, 10% became frail. Men with Vitamin D <12ng/ml (reference ≥20ng/ml) had higher unadjusted RRR of becoming pre-frail [1.47; 95% CI 1.04, 2.09] and frail [2.14 95% CI 1.29, 3.56] (vs robust). While the PS association with pre-frailty was completely attenuated with covariate adjustment, higher RRR for frailty remained even in the fully adjusted model [2.07 95% CI 1.07, 4.00].
Conclusions
Vitamin D <12ng/ml was associated with prevalent & incident frailty in older British men, independent of disease/inflammatory states. Further research exploring Vit D therapy for improving frailty outcomes is needed.
Reference
1. Parry SW. JAGS;2016;64(11):2368–2373.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Ahmed
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
| | - S E Ramsay
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
| | - O Papacosta
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
| | - L Lennon
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
| | - P H Whincup
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
| | - S G Wannamethee
- British Regional Heart Study, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, UCL institute of Epidemiology and Health Care
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Taddei C, Jackson R, Zhou B, Bixby H, Danaei G, Di Cesare M, Kuulasmaa K, Hajifathalian K, Bentham J, Bennett JE, Aekplakorn W, Cifkova R, Dallongeville J, DeBacquer D, Giampaoli S, Gudnason V, Khang YH, Laatikainen T, Mann J, Marques-Vidal P, Mensah GA, Müller-Nurasyid M, Ninomiya T, Petkeviciene J, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, Servais J, Söderberg S, Stavreski B, Wilsgaard T, Zdrojewski T, Zhao D, Stevens GA, Savin S, Cowan MJ, Riley LM, Ezzati M, Adams RJ, Aekplakorn W, Ahrens W, Amouyel P, Amuzu A, Anderssen SA, Ariansen I, Arveiler D, Aspelund T, Auvinen J, Avdicová M, Banach M, Bandosz P, Banegas JR, Barbagallo CM, Bata I, Baur LA, Beaglehole R, Bennett JE, Bernotiene G, Bi Y, Bienek A, Björkelund C, Bo S, Boehm BO, Bonaccio M, Bongard V, Borchini R, Borghs H, Breckenkamp J, Brenner H, Bruno G, Busch MA, Cabrera de León A, Capuano V, Casanueva FF, Casas JP, Caserta CA, Censi L, Chen F, Chen S, Chirlaque MD, Cho B, Cho Y, Chudek J, Cifkova R, Claessens F, Clarke J, Clays E, Cooper C, Costanzo S, Cottel D, Cowell C, Crujeiras AB, Cui L, D'Arrigo G, Dallongeville J, Dauchet L, De Backer G, De Bacquer D, de Gaetano G, De Henauw S, De Smedt D, Dennison E, Deschamps V, DiCastelnuovo A, Dobson AJ, Donfrancesco C, Döring A, Drygas W, Du Y, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk E, Eggertsen R, Ekelund U, Elosua R, Eriksson JG, Evans A, Faeh D, Felix-Redondo FJ, Fernández-Bergés D, Ferrari M, Ferrieres J, Finn JD, Forslund AS, Forsner M, Frontera G, Fujita Y, Gaciong Z, Galvano F, Gao J, Garcia-de-la-Hera M, Garnett SP, Gaspoz JM, Gasull M, Gates L, Giampaoli S, Gianfagna F, Gill TK, Giovannelli J, Goltzman D, GonzalezGross M, Gottrand F, Graff-Iversen S, Grafnetter D, Gregor RD, Grodzicki T, Grosso G, Gruden G, Gu D, Guallar-Castillón P, Gudmundsson EF, Gudnason V, Guessous I, Gunnlaugsdottir J, Gutzwiller F, Hardy R, Hata J, Haugsgjerd T, Hayes AJ, He J, He Y, Herrala S, TapaniHihtaniemi I, Hobbs M, Hopman WM, MaríaHuerta J, Huybrechts I, Iacoviello L, Iannone AG, Ikeda N, Iwasaki M, Jackson R, Jamrozik K, Janszky I, Jarvelin MR, Jasienska G, Jennings G, Jeong SL, QiangJiang C, Joffres M, Jokelainen JJ, Jonas JB, Jóźwiak J, Kajantie EO, Kauhanen J, Keil U, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi S, Kersting M, Khang YH, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer U, Kiechl S, Kim J, Kim YY, Klumbiene J, Knoflach M, Ko S, Kolle E, Korpelainen R, Koskinen S, Kouda K, Kratzer W, Kriemler S, Krokstad S, Kujala UM, Kurjata P, Kuulasmaa K, Laatikainen T, HingLam T, Lanska V, Lappas G, Laugsand LE, Lee J, Lehtimäki T, Li Y, Lilly CL, Lin X, Lind L, Lissner L, Liu J, Lopez-Garcia E, Lorbeer R, EugenioLozano J, Luksiene D, Lundqvist A, Lundqvist R, Lytsy P, Ma G, Machi S, Maggi S, Magliano DJ, Mann J, Manzato E, Marques-Vidal P, Mathiesen EB, McLachlan S, McLean RM, McLean SB, Meirhaeghe A, Meisinger C, Metcalf P, Mi J, Miller JC, Moreno LA, Morin S, Mossakowska M, Muiesan ML, Müller-Nurasyid M, Mursu J, Nakamura H, Námešná J, Nauck M, MariaNavarrete-Muñoz E, Neal WA, Nenko I, Niiranen TJ, Ning G, Ninomiya T, Noale M, Norie S, Noto D, O'Neill T, O'Reilly D, Oh K, Olafsson Ö, MichelPaccaud F, Pajak A, Palmieri L, Panza F, Parnell WR, Peltonen M, Peters A, Petersmann A, Petkeviciene J, Pigeot I, Pilotto L, Piwonska A, Plans-Rubió P, Porta M, Price JF, Puder JJ, Puhakka SE, Radisauskas R, Raitakari O, Ramos R, Redon J, Rigo F, Rodríguez-Artalejo F, Rodriguez-Perez M, Romaguera D, Ronkainen K, Rosengren A, Roy JGR, Ruidavets JB, Rutkowski M, Salanave B, Salmerón D, Salomaa V, Salonen JT, Salvetti M, Sans S, Saramies JL, Saum KU, Scheidt-Nave C, Schienkiewitz A, Schipf S, Schmidt CO, Schöttker B, Sebert S, Sen A, Servais J, Shaw JE, Shibuya K, WookShin D, Shiri R, Simons J, Simons LA, Sjöström M, Slowikowska-Hilczer J, Slusarczyk P, Söderberg S, Solfrizzi V, Sonestedt E, Soumare A, Staessen JA, Stathopoulou MG, Stavreski B, Steene-Johannessen J, Stehle P, Stieber J, Stöckl D, Stokwiszewski J, Sundström J, Suriyawongpaisal P, Tamosiunas A, JooTan E, Taylor A, Tell G, Thijs L, Tolonen H, Topór-Madry R, JoséTormo M, Torrent M, Tsugane S, Tuomainen TP, Tuomilehto J, Tzourio C, Uusitalo HMT, Van Herck K, Vanderschueren D, Vanuzzo D, Vatten L, Vega T, Veronesi G, Vioque J, Virtanen J, Visvikis-Siest S, Vollenweider P, Voutilainen S, Vrijheid M, Wagner A, Wagner A, Wang MD, Wang Q, XingWang Y, Wannamethee SG, Wei W, Whincup PH, Wiecek A, Willeit J, Willeit P, Wilsgaard T, Wojtyniak B, Wong A, Woodward M, GiwercmanWu A, Wu FC, Wu S, Xu H, Xu L, Yan W, Yang X, Ye X, Yoshihara A, Zambon S, Zdrojewski T, Zhao D, Zhao W. National trends in total cholesterol obscure heterogeneous changes in HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio: a pooled analysis of 458 population-based studies in Asian and Western countries. Int J Epidemiol 2020; 49:173-192. [PMID: 31321439 PMCID: PMC7245049 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyz099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/24/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and non-HDL cholesterol have opposite associations with coronary heart disease, multi-country reports of lipid trends only use total cholesterol (TC). Our aim was to compare trends in total, HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and the total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio in Asian and Western countries. METHODS We pooled 458 population-based studies with 82.1 million participants in 23 Asian and Western countries. We estimated changes in mean total, HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and mean total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio by country, sex and age group. RESULTS Since ∼1980, mean TC increased in Asian countries. In Japan and South Korea, the TC rise was due to rising HDL cholesterol, which increased by up to 0.17 mmol/L per decade in Japanese women; in China, it was due to rising non-HDL cholesterol. TC declined in Western countries, except in Polish men. The decline was largest in Finland and Norway, at ∼0.4 mmol/L per decade. The decline in TC in most Western countries was the net effect of an increase in HDL cholesterol and a decline in non-HDL cholesterol, with the HDL cholesterol increase largest in New Zealand and Switzerland. Mean total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio declined in Japan, South Korea and most Western countries, by as much as ∼0.7 per decade in Swiss men (equivalent to ∼26% decline in coronary heart disease risk per decade). The ratio increased in China. CONCLUSIONS HDL cholesterol has risen and the total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio has declined in many Western countries, Japan and South Korea, with only a weak correlation with changes in TC or non-HDL cholesterol.
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Joshi R, Wannamethee SG, Engmann J, Gaunt T, Lawlor DA, Price J, Papacosta O, Shah T, Tillin T, Chaturvedi N, Kivimaki M, Kuh D, Kumari M, Hughes AD, Casas JP, Humphries S, Hingorani AD, Schmidt AF. Triglyceride-containing lipoprotein sub-fractions and risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: A prospective analysis in 11,560 adults. Eur J Prev Cardiol 2020; 27:1617-1626. [PMID: 31996015 PMCID: PMC7707881 DOI: 10.1177/2047487319899621] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
AIMS Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease; however, there is uncertainty about the role of total triglycerides and the individual triglyceride-containing lipoprotein sub-fractions. We measured 14 triglyceride-containing lipoprotein sub-fractions using nuclear magnetic resonance and examined associations with coronary heart disease and stroke. METHODS Triglyceride-containing sub-fraction measures were available in 11,560 participants from the three UK cohorts free of coronary heart disease and stroke at baseline. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association of each sub-fraction with coronary heart disease and stroke expressed as the odds ratio per standard deviation increment in the corresponding measure. RESULTS The 14 triglyceride-containing sub-fractions were positively correlated with one another and with total triglycerides, and inversely correlated with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). Thirteen sub-fractions were positively associated with coronary heart disease (odds ratio in the range 1.12 to 1.22), with the effect estimates for coronary heart disease being comparable in subgroup analysis of participants with and without type 2 diabetes, and were attenuated after adjustment for HDL-C and LDL-C. There was no evidence for a clear association of any triglyceride lipoprotein sub-fraction with stroke. CONCLUSIONS Triglyceride sub-fractions are associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease but not stroke, with attenuation of effects on adjustment for HDL-C and LDL-C.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roshni Joshi
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - Jorgen Engmann
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - Tom Gaunt
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, UK
| | - Deborah A Lawlor
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, UK.,Bristol NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, UK.,Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, UK
| | - Jackie Price
- The Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - Tina Shah
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - Therese Tillin
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK
| | - Nishi Chaturvedi
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK
| | - Mika Kivimaki
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK
| | - Diana Kuh
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing, UK
| | - Meena Kumari
- Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex, UK
| | - Alun D Hughes
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK
| | - Juan P Casas
- Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (MAVERIC), VA Boston Healthcare, USA
| | - Steve Humphries
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - Aroon D Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK
| | - A Floriaan Schmidt
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, UK.,Department of Cardiology, Division Heart and Lungs, University Medical Centre Utrecht, The Netherlands
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Brunner FJ, Waldeyer C, Ojeda F, Salomaa V, Kee F, Sans S, Thorand B, Giampaoli S, Brambilla P, Tunstall-Pedoe H, Moitry M, Iacoviello L, Veronesi G, Grassi G, Mathiesen EB, Söderberg S, Linneberg A, Brenner H, Amouyel P, Ferrières J, Tamosiunas A, Nikitin YP, Drygas W, Melander O, Jöckel KH, Leistner DM, Shaw JE, Panagiotakos DB, Simons LA, Kavousi M, Vasan RS, Dullaart RPF, Wannamethee SG, Risérus U, Shea S, de Lemos JA, Omland T, Kuulasmaa K, Landmesser U, Blankenberg S. Application of non-HDL cholesterol for population-based cardiovascular risk stratification: results from the Multinational Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. Lancet 2019; 394:2173-2183. [PMID: 31810609 PMCID: PMC6913519 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(19)32519-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 146] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2019] [Revised: 09/29/2019] [Accepted: 10/01/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The relevance of blood lipid concentrations to long-term incidence of cardiovascular disease and the relevance of lipid-lowering therapy for cardiovascular disease outcomes is unclear. We investigated the cardiovascular disease risk associated with the full spectrum of bloodstream non-HDL cholesterol concentrations. We also created an easy-to-use tool to estimate the long-term probabilities for a cardiovascular disease event associated with non-HDL cholesterol and modelled its risk reduction by lipid-lowering treatment. METHODS In this risk-evaluation and risk-modelling study, we used Multinational Cardiovascular Risk Consortium data from 19 countries across Europe, Australia, and North America. Individuals without prevalent cardiovascular disease at baseline and with robust available data on cardiovascular disease outcomes were included. The primary composite endpoint of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease was defined as the occurrence of the coronary heart disease event or ischaemic stroke. Sex-specific multivariable analyses were computed using non-HDL cholesterol categories according to the European guideline thresholds, adjusted for age, sex, cohort, and classical modifiable cardiovascular risk factors. In a derivation and validation design, we created a tool to estimate the probabilities of a cardiovascular disease event by the age of 75 years, dependent on age, sex, and risk factors, and the associated modelled risk reduction, assuming a 50% reduction of non-HDL cholesterol. FINDINGS Of the 524 444 individuals in the 44 cohorts in the Consortium database, we identified 398 846 individuals belonging to 38 cohorts (184 055 [48·7%] women; median age 51·0 years [IQR 40·7-59·7]). 199 415 individuals were included in the derivation cohort (91 786 [48·4%] women) and 199 431 (92 269 [49·1%] women) in the validation cohort. During a maximum follow-up of 43·6 years (median 13·5 years, IQR 7·0-20·1), 54 542 cardiovascular endpoints occurred. Incidence curve analyses showed progressively higher 30-year cardiovascular disease event-rates for increasing non-HDL cholesterol categories (from 7·7% for non-HDL cholesterol <2·6 mmol/L to 33·7% for ≥5·7 mmol/L in women and from 12·8% to 43·6% in men; p<0·0001). Multivariable adjusted Cox models with non-HDL cholesterol lower than 2·6 mmol/L as reference showed an increase in the association between non-HDL cholesterol concentration and cardiovascular disease for both sexes (from hazard ratio 1·1, 95% CI 1·0-1·3 for non-HDL cholesterol 2·6 to <3·7 mmol/L to 1·9, 1·6-2·2 for ≥5·7 mmol/L in women and from 1·1, 1·0-1·3 to 2·3, 2·0-2·5 in men). The derived tool allowed the estimation of cardiovascular disease event probabilities specific for non-HDL cholesterol with high comparability between the derivation and validation cohorts as reflected by smooth calibration curves analyses and a root mean square error lower than 1% for the estimated probabilities of cardiovascular disease. A 50% reduction of non-HDL cholesterol concentrations was associated with reduced risk of a cardiovascular disease event by the age of 75 years, and this risk reduction was greater the earlier cholesterol concentrations were reduced. INTERPRETATION Non-HDL cholesterol concentrations in blood are strongly associated with long-term risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. We provide a simple tool for individual long-term risk assessment and the potential benefit of early lipid-lowering intervention. These data could be useful for physician-patient communication about primary prevention strategies. FUNDING EU Framework Programme, UK Medical Research Council, and German Centre for Cardiovascular Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fabian J Brunner
- University Heart & Vascular Center Hamburg, Department of Cardiology, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Christoph Waldeyer
- University Heart & Vascular Center Hamburg, Department of Cardiology, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Francisco Ojeda
- University Heart & Vascular Center Hamburg, Department of Cardiology, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Veikko Salomaa
- National Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Frank Kee
- Centre for Public Health, Queens University of Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Susana Sans
- Catalan Department of Health, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Barbara Thorand
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Simona Giampaoli
- Department of Cardiovascular, Endocrine-metabolic Diseases, and Ageing, National Institutes of Health-ISS, Rome, Italy
| | - Paolo Brambilla
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Hugh Tunstall-Pedoe
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Cardiovascular Research, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK
| | - Marie Moitry
- Department of Epidemiology and Public health, University Hospital of Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France
| | - Licia Iacoviello
- Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, Italy; Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
| | - Giovanni Veronesi
- Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
| | - Guido Grassi
- Clinica Medica, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Ellisiv B Mathiesen
- Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Tromsø-The Arctic University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway; Department of Neurology and Neurophysiology, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Stefan Söderberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, and Heart Center, Cardiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Allan Linneberg
- Center for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Hermann Brenner
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Philippe Amouyel
- Risk Factors and Molecular Determinants of Aging Diseases, University of Lille, Lille, France; Inserm, Lille, France; Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Lille, Lille, France; Institut Pasteur de Lille, Lille, France
| | - Jean Ferrières
- Toulouse University School of Medicine, Toulouse, France
| | - Abdonas Tamosiunas
- Institute of Cardiology, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania
| | - Yuriy P Nikitin
- Research Institute of Internal and Preventive Medicine, Branch of Federal Research Center, Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
| | - Wojciech Drygas
- Department of Epidemiology, Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Cardiology, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Olle Melander
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Karl-Heinz Jöckel
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, University Hospital of Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - David M Leistner
- Department of Cardiology, Charité Berlin-University Medicine, Campus Benjamin Franklin, Berlin, Germany; German Centre for Cardiovascular Research, Partner Site Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Jonathan E Shaw
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Demosthenes B Panagiotakos
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, School of Health Science and Education, Harokopio University, Athens, Greece
| | - Leon A Simons
- University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; St Vincent's Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Ramachandran S Vasan
- Boston University and the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's Framingham Study, Framingham, MA, USA
| | - Robin P F Dullaart
- Department of Endocrinology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Ulf Risérus
- Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Steven Shea
- Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - James A de Lemos
- Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA
| | - Torbjørn Omland
- Department of Cardiology, Division of Medicine, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway; Center for Heart Failure Research, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Kari Kuulasmaa
- National Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ulf Landmesser
- Department of Cardiology, Charité Berlin-University Medicine, Campus Benjamin Franklin, Berlin, Germany; German Centre for Cardiovascular Research, Partner Site Berlin, Berlin, Germany; Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany
| | - Stefan Blankenberg
- University Heart & Vascular Center Hamburg, Department of Cardiology, Hamburg, Germany; German Center for Cardiovascular Research, Partner Site Hamburg/Kiel/Lübeck, Hamburg, Germany.
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Ramsay SE, Papachristou E, Watt RG, Lennon LT, Papacosta AO, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG. Socioeconomic disadvantage across the life-course and oral health in older age: findings from a longitudinal study of older British men. J Public Health (Oxf) 2019; 40:e423-e430. [PMID: 29684223 DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdy068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2017] [Accepted: 04/04/2018] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The influence of life-course socioeconomic disadvantage on oral health at older ages is not well-established. We examined the influence of socioeconomic factors in childhood, middle-age and older age on oral health at older ages, and tested conceptual life-course models (sensitive period, accumulation of risk, social mobility) to determine which best described observed associations. Methods A representative cohort of British men aged 71-92 in 2010-12 included socioeconomic factors in childhood, middle-age and older age. Oral health assessment at 71-92 years (n = 1622) included tooth count, periodontal disease and self-rated oral health (excellent/good, fair/poor) (n = 2147). Life-course models (adjusted for age and town of residence) were compared with a saturated model using Likelihood-ratio tests. Results Socioeconomic disadvantage in childhood, middle-age and older age was associated with complete tooth loss at 71-92 years-age and town adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) were 1.39 (1.02-1.90), 2.26 (1.70-3.01), 1.83 (1.35-2.49), respectively. Socioeconomic disadvantage in childhood and middle-age was associated with poor self-rated oral health; adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) were 1.48 (1.19-1.85) and 1.45 (1.18-1.78), respectively. A sensitive period for socioeconomic disadvantage in middle-age provided the best model fit for tooth loss, while accumulation of risk model was the strongest for poor self-rated oral health. None of the life-course models were significant for periodontal disease measures. Conclusion Socioeconomic disadvantage in middle-age has a particularly strong influence on tooth loss in older age. Poor self-rated oral health in older age is influenced by socioeconomic disadvantage across the life-course. Addressing socioeconomic factors in middle and older ages are likely to be important for better oral health in later life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sheena E Ramsay
- Institute of Health & Society, Newcastle University, The Baddiley-Clark Building, Richardson Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, UCL, London, UK
| | | | - Richard G Watt
- Department of Epidemiology & Public Health UCL, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, UCL, London, UK
| | | | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
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Aggio D, Papachristou E, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Ash S, Whincup P, Wannamethee SG, Jefferis BJ. Trajectories of physical activity from midlife to old age and associations with subsequent cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. J Epidemiol Community Health 2019; 74:130-136. [PMID: 31704805 PMCID: PMC6993021 DOI: 10.1136/jech-2019-212706] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2019] [Revised: 08/09/2019] [Accepted: 10/19/2019] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
Introduction It is well established that physical activity (PA) protects against mortality and morbidity, but how long-term patterns of PA are associated with mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear. Methods 3231 men recruited to the British Regional Heart Study, a prospective cohort study, reported usual PA levels at baseline in 1978–1980 (aged 40–59 years) and at 12-year, 16-year and 20-year follow ups. Twenty-year trajectories of PA, spanning from 1978/1980 to 2000, were identified using group-based trajectory modelling. Men were subsequently followed up until 30 June 2016 for mortality through National Health Service central registers and for non-fatal CVD events through primary and secondary care records. Data analyses were conducted in 2019. Results Three PA trajectories were identified: low/decreasing (22.7%), light/stable (51.0%) and moderate/increasing (26.3%). Over a median follow-up of 16.4 years, there were 1735 deaths. Compared with the low/decreasing group, membership of the light/stable (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.94) and moderate/increasing (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.88) groups was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. Similar associations were observed for CVD mortality, major coronary heart disease and all CVD events. Associations were only partially explained by a range of confounders. Sensitivity analyses suggested that survival benefits were largely driven by most recent/current PA. Conclusions A dose-response relationship was observed, with higher levels of PA from midlife to old age associated with additional benefits. However, even fairly modest and sustained PA was protective and may be more achievable for the most inactive.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Aggio
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Olia Papacosta
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sarah Ash
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Peter Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Barbara J Jefferis
- Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
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Kotronia E, Wannamethee SG, Papacosta AO, Whincup PH, Lennon LT, Visser M, Weyant RJ, Harris TB, Ramsay SE. Oral Health, Disability and Physical Function: Results From Studies of Older People in the United Kingdom and United States of America. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2019; 20:1654.e1-1654.e9. [PMID: 31409558 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2019.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2019] [Revised: 06/05/2019] [Accepted: 06/13/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Studies examining the associations between oral health and disability have limited oral health measures. We investigated the association of a range of objectively and subjectively assessed oral health markers with disability and physical function in older age. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Cross-sectional analyses were based on the British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) comprising men aged 71 to 92 years (n = 2147) from 24 British towns, and the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (HABC) Study comprising men and women aged 71 to 80 years (n = 3075) from the United States. Assessments included oral health (periodontal disease, tooth count, dry mouth, and self-rated oral health), disability, and physical function (grip strength, gait speed, and chair stand test). RESULTS In the BRHS, dry mouth, tooth loss, and cumulative oral health problems (≥3 problems) were associated with mobility limitations and problems with activities of daily living and instrumental activities of daily living; these remained significant after adjustment for confounding variables (for ≥3 dry mouth symptoms, odds ratio (OR) 2.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.94-3.69; OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.15-2.69; OR 2.90, 95% CI 2.01, 4.18, respectively). Similar results were observed in the HABC Study. Dry mouth was associated with the slowest gait speed in the BRHS, and the weakest grip strength in the HABC Study (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.22, 2.50; OR 2.43, 95% CI 1.47-4.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS Markers of poor oral health, particularly dry mouth, poor self-rated oral health, and the presence of more than 1 oral health problem, were associated with disability and poor physical function in older populations. Prospective investigations of these associations and underlying pathways are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Kotronia
- Institute of Health and Society, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - A Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Marjolein Visser
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Robert J Weyant
- Department of Dental Public Health, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
| | - Tamara B Harris
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Institute of Health and Society, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom; Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
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Jefferis BJ, Parsons TJ, Sartini C, Ash S, Lennon LT, Papacosta O, Morris RW, Wannamethee SG, Lee IM, Whincup PH. Objectively measured physical activity, sedentary behaviour and all-cause mortality in older men: does volume of activity matter more than pattern of accumulation? Br J Sports Med 2019; 53:1013-1020. [PMID: 29440040 PMCID: PMC6691867 DOI: 10.1136/bjsports-2017-098733] [Citation(s) in RCA: 147] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/05/2018] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To understand how device-measured sedentary behaviour and physical activity are related to all-cause mortality in older men, an age group with high levels of inactivity and sedentary behaviour. METHODS Prospective population-based cohort study of men recruited from 24 UK General Practices in 1978-1980. In 2010-2012, 3137 surviving men were invited to a follow-up, 1655 (aged 71-92 years) agreed. Nurses measured height and weight, men completed health and demographic questionnaires and wore an ActiGraph GT3x accelerometer. All-cause mortality was collected through National Health Service central registers up to 1 June 2016. RESULTS After median 5.0 years' follow-up, 194 deaths occurred in 1181 men without pre-existing cardiovascular disease. For each additional 30 min in sedentary behaviour, or light physical activity (LIPA), or 10 min in moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA), HRs for mortality were 1.17 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.25), 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.90) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.96), respectively. Adjustments for confounders did not meaningfully change estimates. Only LIPA remained significant on mutual adjustment for all intensities. The HR for accumulating 150 min MVPA/week in sporadic minutes (achieved by 66% of men) was 0.59 (95% CI 0.43 to 0.81) and 0.58 (95% CI 0.33 to 1.00) for accumulating 150 min MVPA/week in bouts lasting ≥10 min (achieved by 16% of men). Sedentary breaks were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS In older men, all activities (of light intensity upwards) were beneficial and accumulation of activity in bouts ≥10 min did not appear important beyond total volume of activity. Findings can inform physical activity guidelines for older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barbara J Jefferis
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Tessa J Parsons
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Claudio Sartini
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sarah Ash
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Richard W Morris
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - I-Min Lee
- Harvard Medical School, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, London, UK
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Parsons TJ, Papachristou E, Atkins JL, Papacosta O, Ash S, Lennon LT, Whincup PH, Ramsay SE, Wannamethee SG. Physical frailty in older men: prospective associations with diet quality and patterns. Age Ageing 2019; 48:355-360. [PMID: 30668624 PMCID: PMC6503938 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afy216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2018] [Revised: 08/15/2018] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND increasing numbers of older adults are living with frailty and its adverse consequences. We investigated relationships between diet quality or patterns and incident physical frailty in older British men and whether any associations were influenced by inflammation. METHODS prospective study of 945 men from the British Regional Heart Study aged 70-92 years with no prevalent frailty. Incident frailty was assessed by questionnaire after 3 years of follow-up. Frailty was defined as having at least three of: low grip strength, low physical activity, slow walking speed, unintentional weight loss and feeling of low energy, all based on self-report. The Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) based on WHO dietary guidelines and the Elderly Dietary Index (EDI) based on a Mediterranean-style dietary intake were computed from questionnaire data and three dietary patterns were identified using principal components analysis: prudent, high fat/low fibre and high sugar. RESULTS men in the highest EDI category and those who followed a prudent diet were less likely to become frail [top vs bottom category odds ratio (OR) (95% CI) 0.49 (0.30, 0.82) and 0.53 (0.30, 0.92) respectively] after adjustment for potential confounders including BMI and prevalent cardiovascular disease. No significant association was seen for the HDI. By contrast those who had a high fat low fibre diet pattern were more likely to become frail [OR (95% CI) 2.54 (1.46, 4.40)]. These associations were not mediated by C-reactive protein (marker of inflammation). CONCLUSIONS the findings suggest adherence to a Mediterranean-style diet is associated with reduced risk of developing frailty in older people.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tessa J Parsons
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UK
| | | | - Janice L Atkins
- Epidemiology and Public Health Group, Medical School, University of Exeter, RILD Building, Barrack Road, Exeter, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UK
| | - Sarah Ash
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, UK
| | - Sheena E Ramsay
- Institute of Health & Society, Newcastle University, Baddiley-Clark Building, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UK,Address correspondence to: P S. Goya Wannamethee. Tel: +44 20 7830 2335; Fax: +44 20 7472 6871.
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Zonoozi S, Ramsay SE, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Ellins EA, Halcox JPJ, Whincup P, Wannamethee SG. Chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular risk markers and total mortality in older men: cystatin C versus creatinine. J Epidemiol Community Health 2019; 73:645-651. [DOI: 10.1136/jech-2018-211719] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2018] [Revised: 02/26/2019] [Accepted: 03/02/2019] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
BackgroundIt remains uncertain whether cystatin C is a superior marker of renal function than creatinine in older adults. We have investigated the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations based on creatinine (CKD-EPIcr) and cystatin C (CKD-EPIcys), and cardiovascular risk markers and mortality in older adults.MethodsThis is a cross-sectional and prospective study of 1639 British men aged 71–92 years followed up for an average of 5 years for mortality. Cox survival model and receiving operating characteristic analysis were used to assess the associations.ResultsThe prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) was similar using the two CKD-EPI equations, although cystatin C reclassified 43.9% of those with stage 3a CKD (eGFR 45–59 mL/min/1.732, moderate damage) to no CKD. However, CKD stages assessed using both CKD-EPIcr and CKD-EPIcys were significantly associated with vascular risk markers and with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality. In all men with CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.732), the HRs (95% CI) for all-cause mortality after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors compared with those with no CKD were 1.53 (1.20 to 1.96) and 1.74 (1.35 to 2.23) using CKD-EPIcr and CKD-EPIcys, respectively. Comparisons of the two CKD equations showed no significant difference in their predictive ability for mortality (difference in area under the curve p=0.46).ConclusionDespite reclassification of CKD stages, assessment of CKD using CKD-EPIcys did not improve prediction of mortality in older British men >70 years. Our data do not support the routine use of CKD-EPIcys for identifying CKD in the elderly British male population.
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Aggio D, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Ash S, Whincup PH, Goya Wannamethee S, Jefferis BJ. Tracking of sport and exercise types from midlife to old age: a 20-year cohort study of British men. Eur Rev Aging Phys Act 2018; 15:16. [PMID: 30546481 PMCID: PMC6284285 DOI: 10.1186/s11556-018-0205-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2018] [Accepted: 11/23/2018] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Previous physical activity (PA) tracking studies have examined the stability of overall PA and/or PA types, but few have investigated how specific types of sport/exercise track over the life course. The aim of this study was to determine how specific sports/exercises in midlife track and predict future sport/exercise and PA in men transitioning to old age. Methods Seven thousand seven hundred thirty-five men (aged 40–59 years) recruited in 1978–80 were followed up after 12, 16 and 20 years. At each wave men self-reported participation in sport/exercise. Frequent sport/exercise participants (> 1/month) reported the types of sport/exercise they engaged in. Men also reported total PA, health status, lifestyle behaviours and socio-demographic characteristics. Stability of each sport/exercise was assessed using kappa statistics and intraclass correlation coefficients. Logistic regression estimated the odds of participating in sport/exercise and being active at 20-year follow up according to specific types of sport/exercise in midlife. Results Three thousand three hundred eighty-four men with complete data at all waves were included in analyses. Tracking of specific sports/exercises ranged from fair to substantial, with golf being the most common and most stable. Bowls was the most frequently adopted. Odds of participating in sport/exercise and being active in old age varied according to sport/exercise types in midlife. Golf and bowls in midlife were the strongest predictors of sport/exercise participation in old age. Golf, cricket and running/jogging in midlife were among the strongest predictors of being active in old age. Compared to participating in just one sport/exercise in midlife, sampling multiple sports/exercises was more strongly associated with sport/exercise participation and being active in old age. Conclusion The stability of sport/exercise participation from midlife to old age varies by type. Specific sports/exercises in midlife may be more likely to predict future PA than others. However, participating in a range of sports/exercises may be optimal for preserving PA into old age. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s11556-018-0205-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Aggio
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK.,UCL Physical Activity Research Group, London, UK
| | - Olia Papacosta
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK
| | - Sarah Ash
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK
| | - Peter H Whincup
- 3Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, SW17 0RE UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK
| | - Barbara J Jefferis
- 1UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF UK.,UCL Physical Activity Research Group, London, UK
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Liljas AEM, Walters K, de Oliveira C, Wannamethee SG, Ramsay SE, Carvalho LA. Self-Reported Sensory Impairments and Changes in Cognitive Performance: A Longitudinal 6-Year Follow-Up Study of English Community-Dwelling Adults Aged ⩾50 Years. J Aging Health 2018; 32:243-251. [PMID: 30522390 PMCID: PMC7221867 DOI: 10.1177/0898264318815391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Objective: To investigate the influence of single and dual sensory impairments prospectively on cognition in adults aged ⩾50 years. Method: Community-dwelling English adults (n = 4,621) were followed up from 2008 to 2014. Self-reported hearing and vision were collected in 2008. Change in cognitive performance on working memory and executive function between 2008 and 2014 was evaluated. Results: Compared with good hearing and good vision, respectively, poor hearing and poor vision were associated with worse cognitive function (hearing: unstandardized coefficient B = 0.83, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] = [0.29, 1.37]; vision: B = 1.61, 95% CI = [0.92, 2.29] adjusted for age, sex, baseline cognition). Compared with no sensory impairment, dual sensory impairment was associated with worse cognition (B = 2.30, 95% CI = [1.21, 3.39] adjusted for age, sex, baseline cognition). All associations remained after further adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, chronic conditions, falls, mobility, depression, and lack of companionship. Discussion: The findings are important as age-related sensory impairments are often preventable or modifiable, which may prevent or delay cognitive impairment.
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48
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Franceschini N, Giambartolomei C, de Vries PS, Finan C, Bis JC, Huntley RP, Lovering RC, Tajuddin SM, Winkler TW, Graff M, Kavousi M, Dale C, Smith AV, Hofer E, van Leeuwen EM, Nolte IM, Lu L, Scholz M, Sargurupremraj M, Pitkänen N, Franzén O, Joshi PK, Noordam R, Marioni RE, Hwang SJ, Musani SK, Schminke U, Palmas W, Isaacs A, Correa A, Zonderman AB, Hofman A, Teumer A, Cox AJ, Uitterlinden AG, Wong A, Smit AJ, Newman AB, Britton A, Ruusalepp A, Sennblad B, Hedblad B, Pasaniuc B, Penninx BW, Langefeld CD, Wassel CL, Tzourio C, Fava C, Baldassarre D, O'Leary DH, Teupser D, Kuh D, Tremoli E, Mannarino E, Grossi E, Boerwinkle E, Schadt EE, Ingelsson E, Veglia F, Rivadeneira F, Beutner F, Chauhan G, Heiss G, Snieder H, Campbell H, Völzke H, Markus HS, Deary IJ, Jukema JW, de Graaf J, Price J, Pott J, Hopewell JC, Liang J, Thiery J, Engmann J, Gertow K, Rice K, Taylor KD, Dhana K, Kiemeney LALM, Lind L, Raffield LM, Launer LJ, Holdt LM, Dörr M, Dichgans M, Traylor M, Sitzer M, Kumari M, Kivimaki M, Nalls MA, Melander O, Raitakari O, Franco OH, Rueda-Ochoa OL, Roussos P, Whincup PH, Amouyel P, Giral P, Anugu P, Wong Q, Malik R, Rauramaa R, Burkhardt R, Hardy R, Schmidt R, de Mutsert R, Morris RW, Strawbridge RJ, Wannamethee SG, Hägg S, Shah S, McLachlan S, Trompet S, Seshadri S, Kurl S, Heckbert SR, Ring S, Harris TB, Lehtimäki T, Galesloot TE, Shah T, de Faire U, Plagnol V, Rosamond WD, Post W, Zhu X, Zhang X, Guo X, Saba Y, Dehghan A, Seldenrijk A, Morrison AC, Hamsten A, Psaty BM, van Duijn CM, Lawlor DA, Mook-Kanamori DO, Bowden DW, Schmidt H, Wilson JF, Wilson JG, Rotter JI, Wardlaw JM, Deanfield J, Halcox J, Lyytikäinen LP, Loeffler M, Evans MK, Debette S, Humphries SE, Völker U, Gudnason V, Hingorani AD, Björkegren JLM, Casas JP, O'Donnell CJ. GWAS and colocalization analyses implicate carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque loci in cardiovascular outcomes. Nat Commun 2018; 9:5141. [PMID: 30510157 PMCID: PMC6277418 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-07340-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 93] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2017] [Accepted: 09/24/2018] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Carotid artery intima media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque are measures of subclinical atherosclerosis associated with ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD). Here, we undertake meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in 71,128 individuals for cIMT, and 48,434 individuals for carotid plaque traits. We identify eight novel susceptibility loci for cIMT, one independent association at the previously-identified PINX1 locus, and one novel locus for carotid plaque. Colocalization analysis with nearby vascular expression quantitative loci (cis-eQTLs) derived from arterial wall and metabolic tissues obtained from patients with CHD identifies candidate genes at two potentially additional loci, ADAMTS9 and LOXL4. LD score regression reveals significant genetic correlations between cIMT and plaque traits, and both cIMT and plaque with CHD, any stroke subtype and ischemic stroke. Our study provides insights into genes and tissue-specific regulatory mechanisms linking atherosclerosis both to its functional genomic origins and its clinical consequences in humans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nora Franceschini
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 27516, USA
| | - Claudia Giambartolomei
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of California (UCLA), Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA
| | - Paul S de Vries
- Human Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
| | - Chris Finan
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Joshua C Bis
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98101, USA
| | - Rachael P Huntley
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Ruth C Lovering
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Salman M Tajuddin
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD, 20892, USA
| | - Thomas W Winkler
- Department of Genetic Epidemiology, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, 93053, Germany
| | - Misa Graff
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 27516, USA
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
| | - Caroline Dale
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Albert V Smith
- Icelandic Heart Association, Kopavogur, IS-201, Iceland
- University of Iceland, Reykjavik, 101, Iceland
| | - Edith Hofer
- Clinical Division of Neurogeriatrics, Department of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, 8036, Austria
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Documentation, Medical University of Graz, Graz, 8036, Austria
| | | | - Ilja M Nolte
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, 3015, The Netherlands
| | - Lingyi Lu
- Department of Biostatistical Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, 27157, USA
| | - Markus Scholz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, , University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
| | - Muralidharan Sargurupremraj
- Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, CHU Bordeaux, F-33000, Bordeaux, France
| | - Niina Pitkänen
- Research Centre of Applied and Preventive Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Turku, Turku, 20520, Finland
| | - Oscar Franzén
- Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, The Icahn Institute for Genomics and Multiscale Biology Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA
- Clinical Gene Networks AB, Stockholm, 104 62, Sweden
| | - Peter K Joshi
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Raymond Noordam
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2300, RC, The Netherlands
| | - Riccardo E Marioni
- Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9JZ, UK
- Medical Genetics Section, Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK
| | - Shih-Jen Hwang
- Population Sciences Branch, Division of Intramural Research, NHLBI, NIH, Framingham, MA, 01702-5827, USA
- National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute's Intramural Research Program, Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, 01702-5827, USA
| | - Solomon K Musani
- Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, 39216, USA
| | - Ulf Schminke
- Department of Neurology, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
| | - Walter Palmas
- Department of Medicine, Columbia University, New York, NY, 10032, USA
| | - Aaron Isaacs
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Department of Biochemistry, Maastricht Centre for Systems Biology (MaCSBio), CARIM School for Cardiovascular Diseases, Maastricht University, Maastricht, 6229, The Netherlands
| | - Adolfo Correa
- Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, 39216, USA
| | - Alan B Zonderman
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD, 20892, USA
| | - Albert Hofman
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Alexander Teumer
- Institute for Community Medicine, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
- DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
| | - Amanda J Cox
- Center for Diabetes Research, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, 25157, USA
- Menzies Health Institute Queensland, Griffith University, Southport, QLD, 4222, Australia
| | - André G Uitterlinden
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
| | - Andrew Wong
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Andries J Smit
- Department of Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, 2300, The Netherlands
| | - Anne B Newman
- Department of Epidemiology, and School of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Annie Britton
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Arno Ruusalepp
- Clinical Gene Networks AB, Stockholm, 104 62, Sweden
- Department of Pathophysiology, Institute of Biomedicine and Translation Medicine, University of Tartu, Biomeedikum, Tartu, 51010, Estonia
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Tartu University Hospital, Tartu, 51010, Estonia
| | - Bengt Sennblad
- Cardiovascular Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, 17177, Sweden
- Department of Cell and Molecular Biology, National Bioinformatics Infrastructure Sweden, Science for Life Laboratory, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 75108, Sweden
| | - Bo Hedblad
- Department of Clinical Sciences in Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, SE-205 02, Sweden
| | - Bogdan Pasaniuc
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of California (UCLA), Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA
- Department of Human Genetics, University of California (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA
| | - Brenda W Penninx
- Department of Psychiatry, EMGO Institute for Health and Care Research and Neuroscience Campus Amsterdam, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, 1081, HL, The Netherlands
| | - Carl D Langefeld
- Department of Biostatistical Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, 27157, USA
| | | | - Christophe Tzourio
- Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, CHU Bordeaux, F-33000, Bordeaux, France
| | - Cristiano Fava
- Department of Clinical Sciences in Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, SE-205 02, Sweden
- Department of Medicine, University of Verona, Verona, 37134, Italy
| | - Damiano Baldassarre
- Department of Medical Biotechnology and Translational Medicine, Università di Milano, Milan, 20133, Italy
- Centro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS, Milan, 20138, Italy
| | - Daniel H O'Leary
- St. Elizabeth's Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, 02135, USA
| | - Daniel Teupser
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- Institute of Laboratory Medicine, University Hospital Munich, LMU Munich, 80539, Germany
| | - Diana Kuh
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Elena Tremoli
- Centro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS, Milan, 20138, Italy
- Dipartimento di Scienze Farmacologiche e Biomolecolari, Università di Milano, Milan, 20133, Italy
| | - Elmo Mannarino
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Internal Medicine, Angiology and Arteriosclerosis Diseases, University of Perugia, Perugia, 06123, Italy
| | - Enzo Grossi
- Centro Diagnostico Italiano, Milan, 20147, Italy
| | - Eric Boerwinkle
- Human Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Human Genome Sequencing Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, 77030-3411, USA
| | - Eric E Schadt
- Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, The Icahn Institute for Genomics and Multiscale Biology Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA
- Clinical Gene Networks AB, Stockholm, 104 62, Sweden
| | - Erik Ingelsson
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, 94309, USA
- Department of Medical Sciences, Molecular Epidemiology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 75185, Sweden
- Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, G1120, USA
| | | | - Fernando Rivadeneira
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
| | | | - Ganesh Chauhan
- Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, CHU Bordeaux, F-33000, Bordeaux, France
- Centre for Brain Research, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, 560012, India
| | - Gerardo Heiss
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 27516, USA
| | - Harold Snieder
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, 3015, The Netherlands
| | - Harry Campbell
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Henry Völzke
- Institute for Community Medicine, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
- DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
| | - Hugh S Markus
- Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK
| | - Ian J Deary
- Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9JZ, UK
- Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9JZ, UK
| | - J Wouter Jukema
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2300, RC, The Netherlands
| | - Jacqueline de Graaf
- Department of Internal Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, 6525, GA, The Netherlands
| | - Jacqueline Price
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Janne Pott
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, , University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
| | - Jemma C Hopewell
- Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK
| | - Jingjing Liang
- Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, 44106, USA
| | - Joachim Thiery
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- Institute for Laboratory Medicine, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04109, Germany
| | - Jorgen Engmann
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Karl Gertow
- Cardiovascular Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, 17177, Sweden
| | - Kenneth Rice
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98105, USA
| | - Kent D Taylor
- Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA
| | - Klodian Dhana
- Department of Internal Medicine, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL, 60612, USA
| | - Lambertus A L M Kiemeney
- Radboud Institute for Health Sciences, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, GA, 6525, The Netherlands
| | - Lars Lind
- Department of Medical Sciences, Cardiovascular Epidemiology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 751 05, Sweden
| | - Laura M Raffield
- Department of Genetics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 27516, USA
| | - Lenore J Launer
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD, 20892, USA
| | - Lesca M Holdt
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- Institute of Laboratory Medicine, University Hospital Munich, LMU Munich, 80539, Germany
| | - Marcus Dörr
- DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
- Department of Internal Medicine B, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
| | - Martin Dichgans
- Institute for Stroke and Dementia Research (ISD), University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU), Munich, 80539, Germany
- Munich Cluster for Systems Neurology (SyNergy), Munich, 81377, Germany
| | - Matthew Traylor
- Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK
| | - Matthias Sitzer
- Department of Neurology, Center for Neurology and Neurosurgery, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-University, Frankfurt am Main, 60323, Germany
| | - Meena Kumari
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
- Institute for Social and Economic Research, Essex University, Colchester, CO4 3SQ, UK
| | - Mika Kivimaki
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Mike A Nalls
- Laboratory of Neurogenetics, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA
- Data Tecnica International, Glen Echo, MD, 20812, USA
| | - Olle Melander
- Department of Clinical Sciences in Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, SE-205 02, Sweden
| | - Olli Raitakari
- Research Centre of Applied and Preventive Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Turku, Turku, 20520, Finland
- Department of Clinical Physiology and Nuclear Medicine, Turku University Hospital, Turku, 20521, Finland
| | - Oscar H Franco
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
| | - Oscar L Rueda-Ochoa
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Electrocardiography Research Group, School of Medicine, Universidad Industrial de Santander, Bucaramanga, Santander, 680003, Colombia
| | - Panos Roussos
- Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, The Icahn Institute for Genomics and Multiscale Biology Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA
- Department of Psychiatry and Friedman Brain Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA
- Mental Illness Research Education and Clinical Center (MIRECC), James J. Peters VA Medical Center, Bronx, New York, NY, 10468, USA
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London, SW17 0RE, UK
| | - Philippe Amouyel
- Inserm U1167, F-59000, Lille, France
- Institut Pasteur de Lille, U1167, F-59000, Lille, France
- Université de Lille, U1167 - RID-AGE & Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Lille, U1167, F-59000, Lille, France
| | - Philippe Giral
- Sorbonne Université, Cardiovascular Prevention Unit, Pitié Salpétrière Hospital, Paris, 75013, France
| | - Pramod Anugu
- Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, 39216, USA
| | - Quenna Wong
- Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center, Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA
| | - Rainer Malik
- Institute for Stroke and Dementia Research (ISD), University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU), Munich, 80539, Germany
| | - Rainer Rauramaa
- Foundation for Research in Health Exercise and Nutrition, Kuopio Research Institute of Exercise Medicine, Kuopio, 70100, Finland
- Department of Clinical Physiology and Nuclear Medicine, Kuopio University Hospital, Kuopio, 70210, Finland
| | - Ralph Burkhardt
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- Institute of Laboratory Medicine, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04109, Germany
- Institute of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, University Hospital Regensburg, Regensburg, 93053, Germany
| | - Rebecca Hardy
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Reinhold Schmidt
- Clinical Division of Neurogeriatrics, Department of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, 8036, Austria
| | - Renée de Mutsert
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333, The Netherlands
| | - Richard W Morris
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1QU, UK
| | - Rona J Strawbridge
- Cardiovascular Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, 17177, Sweden
- Mental Health and Wellbeing, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 0XH, UK
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care & Population Health, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Sara Hägg
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, SE-171 77, Sweden
| | - Sonia Shah
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Stela McLachlan
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK
| | - Stella Trompet
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2300, RC, The Netherlands
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2300, RC, The Netherlands
| | - Sudha Seshadri
- Department of Neurology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, 02118, USA
| | - Sudhir Kurl
- Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio Campus, Kuopio, FI-70210, Finland
| | - Susan R Heckbert
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98101, USA
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, WA, 98101, USA
| | - Susan Ring
- Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1QU, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, UK
| | - Tamara B Harris
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD, 20892, USA
| | - Terho Lehtimäki
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, Fimlab Laboratories, Tampere, 33014, Finland
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, University of Tampere School of Medicine, Tampere, 33014, Finland
| | - Tessel E Galesloot
- Radboud Institute for Health Sciences, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, GA, 6525, The Netherlands
| | - Tina Shah
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Ulf de Faire
- Division of Cardiovascular Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, S-171 77, Sweden
- Department of Cardiology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, S-171 77, Sweden
| | - Vincent Plagnol
- Genetics Institute, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Wayne D Rosamond
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 27516, USA
| | - Wendy Post
- Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
| | - Xiaofeng Zhu
- Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, 44106, USA
| | - Xiaoling Zhang
- National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute's Intramural Research Program, Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, 01702-5827, USA
- Section of Biomedical Genetics, School of Medicine, Boston University, Boston, MA, 02215, USA
| | - Xiuqing Guo
- Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA
| | - Yasaman Saba
- Institute of Molecular Biology and Biochemistry, Centre for Molecular Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, 8010, Austria
| | - Abbas Dehghan
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Adrie Seldenrijk
- GGZ inGeest and Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, The Netherlands
| | - Alanna C Morrison
- Human Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
| | - Anders Hamsten
- Cardiovascular Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, 17177, Sweden
| | - Bruce M Psaty
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, WA, 98101, USA
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit and Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA
| | - Cornelia M van Duijn
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3015, The Netherlands
- Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK
| | - Deborah A Lawlor
- Population Health Science, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1QU, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, UK
| | - Dennis O Mook-Kanamori
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333, The Netherlands
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands
| | - Donald W Bowden
- Center for Human Genomics, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, 27157, USA
| | - Helena Schmidt
- Institute of Molecular Biology and Biochemistry, Centre for Molecular Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, 8010, Austria
| | - James F Wilson
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9AG, UK
- MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK
| | - James G Wilson
- Department of Physiology and Biophysics, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, 39216, USA
| | - Jerome I Rotter
- Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA
| | - Joanna M Wardlaw
- Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9JZ, UK
- Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, and UK Dementia Research Institute at the University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4SB, UK
| | - John Deanfield
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Julian Halcox
- Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP, UK
| | - Leo-Pekka Lyytikäinen
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, Fimlab Laboratories, Tampere, 33014, Finland
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, University of Tampere School of Medicine, Tampere, 33014, Finland
| | - Markus Loeffler
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, , University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
- LIFE Research Center for Civilization Diseases, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, 04107, Germany
| | - Michele K Evans
- Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD, 20892, USA
| | - Stéphanie Debette
- Univ. Bordeaux, Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, CHU Bordeaux, F-33000, Bordeaux, France
| | - Steve E Humphries
- Centre for Cardiovascular Genetics, Institute Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Uwe Völker
- DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
- Interfaculty Institute for Genetics and Functional Genomics, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, 17475, Germany
| | - Vilmundur Gudnason
- Icelandic Heart Association, Kopavogur, IS-201, Iceland
- University of Iceland, Reykjavik, 101, Iceland
| | - Aroon D Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, WC1 6BT, UK
| | - Johan L M Björkegren
- Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, The Icahn Institute for Genomics and Multiscale Biology Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA.
- Clinical Gene Networks AB, Stockholm, 104 62, Sweden.
- Department of Pathophysiology, Institute of Biomedicine and Translation Medicine, University of Tartu, Biomeedikum, Tartu, 51010, Estonia.
- Integrated Cardio Metabolic Centre, Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska Universitetssjukhuset, Huddinge, SE-141 57, Sweden.
| | - Juan P Casas
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Christopher J O'Donnell
- Intramural Administration Management Branch, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, NIH, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
- Cardiology Section, Boston Veteran's Administration Healthcare, Boston, MA, 02130, USA.
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
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49
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Aggio D, Papachristou E, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Ash S, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG, Jefferis BJ. Association Between 20-Year Trajectories of Nonoccupational Physical Activity From Midlife to Old Age and Biomarkers of Cardiovascular Disease: A 20-Year Longitudinal Study of British Men. Am J Epidemiol 2018; 187:2315-2323. [PMID: 30124747 PMCID: PMC6211233 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwy157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2018] [Revised: 07/20/2018] [Accepted: 07/23/2018] [Indexed: 01/31/2023] Open
Abstract
The trajectories of physical activity (PA) from midlife into old age and their associations with established and novel cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in later life remain unclear. This study examined associations between 20-year nonoccupational PA trajectories and a range of CVD biomarkers at ages 60-79 years. We used data from a sample of 3,331 men (mean baseline age = 50.2 ± 5.8 years) recruited in 1978-1980, with follow-up after 12, 16, and 20 years, reporting habitual nonoccupational PA at each wave. At the 20-year follow-up, surviving men attended a physical examination and provided a fasting blood sample. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify trajectories. Adjusted regression analyses examined the association between trajectory-group membership and several cardiometabolic, cardiac, and inflammatory markers at follow-up. Three distinct 20-year trajectories were identified: low/decreasing (21.3%), light/stable (51.8%), and moderate/increasing (27.0%). Compared with the low/decreasing group, membership in the light/stable and moderate/increasing trajectory groups was associated with a more favorable cardiometabolic profile and lower levels of inflammation and endothelial dysfunction. Although following a moderate-increasing PA trajectory was most favorable, more modest but sustained doses of PA into old age may be sufficient to lower CVD risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Aggio
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
- University College London Physical Activity Research Group, London, United Kingdom
| | - Efstathios Papachristou
- Department of Psychology and Human Development, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Olia Papacosta
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Sarah Ash
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George’s University of London, London, United Kingdom
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Barbara J Jefferis
- Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
- University College London Physical Activity Research Group, London, United Kingdom
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50
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Aggio D, Papachristou E, Papacosta O, Lennon LT, Ash S, Whincup PH, Wannamethee SG, Jefferis BJ. Twenty-Year Trajectories of Physical Activity Types from Midlife to Old Age. Med Sci Sports Exerc 2018; 51:481-489. [PMID: 30303936 DOI: 10.1249/mss.0000000000001802] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Correlates of physical activity (PA) vary according to type. However, predictors of long-term patterns of PA types into old age are unknown. This study aimed to identify 20-yr trajectories of PA types into old age and their predictors. METHODS Seven thousand seven hundred thirty-five men (age, 40-59 yr) recruited from UK towns in 1978 to 1980 were followed up after 12, 16, and 20 yr. Men reported participation in sport/exercise, recreational activity and walking, health status, lifestyle behaviors and socio-demographic characteristics. Group-based trajectory modeling identified the trajectories of PA types and associations with time-stable and time-varying covariates. RESULTS Men with ≥3 measures of sport/exercise (n = 5116), recreational activity (n = 5085) and walking (n = 5106) respectively were included in analyses. Three trajectory groups were identified for sport/exercise, four for recreational activity and three for walking. Poor health, obesity and smoking were associated with reduced odds of following a more favorable trajectory for all PA types. A range of socioeconomic, regional and lifestyle factors were also associated with PA trajectories but the magnitude and direction were specific to PA type. For example, men with manual occupations were less likely to follow a favorable sport/exercise trajectory but more likely to follow an increasing walking trajectory compared to men with nonmanual occupations. Retirement was associated with increased PA but this was largely due to increased sport/exercise participation. CONCLUSIONS Physical activity trajectories from middle to old age vary by activity type. The predictors of these trajectories and effects of major life events, such as retirement, are also specific to the type of PA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Aggio
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM.,UCL Physical Activity Research Group, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Efstathios Papachristou
- Department of Psychology & Human Development, UCL Institute of Education, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Olia Papacosta
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Lucy T Lennon
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Sarah Ash
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Peter H Whincup
- Population Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - S Goya Wannamethee
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM
| | - Barbara J Jefferis
- UCL Department of Primary Care & Population Health, UCL Medical School, Rowland Hill Street, London, UNITED KINGDOM.,UCL Physical Activity Research Group, London, UNITED KINGDOM
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